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[Red Bull BG] Washington - Day 1 - Page 254

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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brickrd
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States4894 Posts
September 21 2014 01:06 GMT
#5061
there goes my hope for cure, because there can be no stopping pigbaby
TL+ Member
stuchiu
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
September 21 2014 01:07 GMT
#5062
On September 21 2014 10:05 Darthsanta13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:01 stuchiu wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:58 royalroadweed wrote:
How good must that guy who put polt #8 power rank feel now?


Must feel better than the dude who put Cure at 8

Where was this?


Someone pointed it out earlier. Basically everyone he rated lower advanced or something.
Moderator
NovemberstOrm
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Canada16217 Posts
September 21 2014 01:07 GMT
#5063
On September 21 2014 09:43 Fionn wrote:
anti fans disgust me

even when i lose my passion for sc2

my passion for polt shall never fade

#1 fan
Moderatorlickypiddy
stuchiu
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-09-21 01:08:45
September 21 2014 01:08 GMT
#5064
Hahahaha that last one is hilarious. Cure has to bet half of the ro8 in America don't win WCS AM.
Moderator
brickrd
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States4894 Posts
September 21 2014 01:09 GMT
#5065
On September 21 2014 10:08 stuchiu wrote:
Hahahaha that last one is hilarious. Cure has to bet half of the ro8 in America don't win WCS AM.

every single other criterion will be met... then huk will win WCS AM
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17737 Posts
September 21 2014 01:10 GMT
#5066
On September 21 2014 10:05 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 09:49 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:47 IntoTheheart wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:46 Die4Ever wrote:
WCS Predictor 2014
Red Bull Washington Semifinals
+ Show Spoiler [Changes This Tournament] +

Biggest Winners
kr Jaedong went up by ~ 14.48 %, going from ~ 60.34 % to ~ 74.82 %
no Snute went up by ~ 13.57 %, going from ~ 49.35 % to ~ 62.93 %
kr soO went up by ~ 8.28 %, going from ~ 62.36 % to ~ 70.64 %
kr MMA went up by ~ 4.94 %, going from ~ 62.35 % to ~ 67.29 %
kr herO went up by ~ 3.83 %, going from ~ 93.95 % to ~ 97.77 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr Life went up by ~ 2.71 %, going from ~ 95.91 % to ~ 98.62 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 2.1 %, going from ~ 11.69 % to ~ 13.79 %
kr Heart went up by ~ 1.13 %, going from ~ 5.05 % to ~ 6.17 %
kr Pigbaby went up by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 10.79 %
kr Classic went up by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 98.94 % to ~ 99.76 %
ca HuK went up by ~ 0.64 %, going from ~ 2.53 % to ~ 3.17 %
dk Bunny went up by ~ 0.39 %, going from ~ 13.63 % to ~ 14.02 %
pl MaNa went up by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 1.03 % to ~ 1.39 %
kr HerO went up by ~ 0.32 %, going from ~ 7.87 % to ~ 8.18 %
kr Golden went up by ~ 0.26 %, going from ~ 3.13 % to ~ 3.39 %
kr ForGG went up by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 11.13 % to ~ 11.32 %
kr Cure went up by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.19 %


Biggest Loser
kr sOs went down by ~ 55.3 %, going from ~ 58.8 % to ~ 3.5 %

WCS Point Cutoffs
~ 0 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 3.65 % of the time 2,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 51.66 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 55.9 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 92.99 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

Top 25 Chances
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 6050
  2. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5800
  3. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5250
  4. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5200
  5. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5125
  6. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  7. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4675
  9. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3350
  10. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 99.76 %, Min WCS Points: 3200
  11. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 98.62 %, Min WCS Points: 3125
  12. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 97.77 %, Min WCS Points: 3100
  13. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 74.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  14. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 70.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2900
  15. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 67.29 %, Min WCS Points: 2725
  16. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 62.93 %, Min WCS Points: 2925
  17. kr INnoVation, is at ~ 29.7 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
  18. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 19.5 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
  19. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.02 %, Min WCS Points: 2075
  20. kr YoDa (TCM), is at ~ 13.79 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  21. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 11.32 %, Min WCS Points: 1675
  22. kr Pigbaby, is at ~ 10.79 %, Min WCS Points: 2500
  23. kr HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 8.18 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
  24. kr Heart (Axiom), is at ~ 6.17 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  25. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 3.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2850



Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Polt, Bomber in Red Bull Washington] +
Red Bull Washington
- kr Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.09 % of the time kr Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 49.91 % of the time kr Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.91 % of the time kr Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 50.09 % of the time kr Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Cure, Trap in Red Bull Washington] +
Red Bull Washington
- kr Cure is at ~ 0.19 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.52 % of the time kr Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.33 %.
~ 46.48 % of the time kr Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Trap is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.48 % of the time kr Trap wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 53.52 % of the time kr Trap loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Winning Chances
kr Polt has a ~ 28.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Cure has a ~ 27.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.61 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 27.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Trap has a ~ 16.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


So basically, everything to play for if you're Cure.

This happens
~ 1.8 % of the time
Cure gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and
Cure wins their next match in Red Bull Washington ro4 and
San gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Cure's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.18 % to ~ 3.57 %

His chances aren't very good lol.


Nope:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:03 The_Templar wrote:
For those of you wondering, here's what has to happen for Cure to go to blizzcon, assuming no other tournaments are announced and he doesn't go to Dreamhack. ALL of these have to happen.

-Cure wins Redbull (duh)
-Cure wins GSL (duh)
-sOs loses in the group stages of redbull (already happened)
-sOs doesn't go to dreamhack
-MMA doesn't make it to the RO8 of WCS EU
-Pigbaby doesn't make it to the finals of WCS AM
-Bunny doesn't make it past the RO8 of WCS EU OR Bunny doesn't make it past the RO4 and doesn't win Dreamhack OR Bunny doesn't win WCS EU and doesn't get top 4 in Dreamhack
-Scarlett/Heart/YoDa/Golden/HuK/HerO don't win their regions

IF all this happens, he ties with sOs for 16th.

Crossposting. All of these events must happen for Cure to make it.

Not sure what you're disagreeing with, his chances really aren't that good, your post doesn't make me feel much better about them. Sure a few of those things look likely, but all of them together has a really low chance.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
September 21 2014 01:11 GMT
#5067
On September 21 2014 10:10 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:05 The_Templar wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:49 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:47 IntoTheheart wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:46 Die4Ever wrote:
WCS Predictor 2014
Red Bull Washington Semifinals
+ Show Spoiler [Changes This Tournament] +

Biggest Winners
kr Jaedong went up by ~ 14.48 %, going from ~ 60.34 % to ~ 74.82 %
no Snute went up by ~ 13.57 %, going from ~ 49.35 % to ~ 62.93 %
kr soO went up by ~ 8.28 %, going from ~ 62.36 % to ~ 70.64 %
kr MMA went up by ~ 4.94 %, going from ~ 62.35 % to ~ 67.29 %
kr herO went up by ~ 3.83 %, going from ~ 93.95 % to ~ 97.77 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr Life went up by ~ 2.71 %, going from ~ 95.91 % to ~ 98.62 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 2.1 %, going from ~ 11.69 % to ~ 13.79 %
kr Heart went up by ~ 1.13 %, going from ~ 5.05 % to ~ 6.17 %
kr Pigbaby went up by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 10.79 %
kr Classic went up by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 98.94 % to ~ 99.76 %
ca HuK went up by ~ 0.64 %, going from ~ 2.53 % to ~ 3.17 %
dk Bunny went up by ~ 0.39 %, going from ~ 13.63 % to ~ 14.02 %
pl MaNa went up by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 1.03 % to ~ 1.39 %
kr HerO went up by ~ 0.32 %, going from ~ 7.87 % to ~ 8.18 %
kr Golden went up by ~ 0.26 %, going from ~ 3.13 % to ~ 3.39 %
kr ForGG went up by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 11.13 % to ~ 11.32 %
kr Cure went up by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.19 %


Biggest Loser
kr sOs went down by ~ 55.3 %, going from ~ 58.8 % to ~ 3.5 %

WCS Point Cutoffs
~ 0 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 3.65 % of the time 2,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 51.66 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 55.9 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 92.99 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

Top 25 Chances
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 6050
  2. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5800
  3. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5250
  4. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5200
  5. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5125
  6. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  7. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4675
  9. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3350
  10. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 99.76 %, Min WCS Points: 3200
  11. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 98.62 %, Min WCS Points: 3125
  12. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 97.77 %, Min WCS Points: 3100
  13. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 74.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  14. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 70.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2900
  15. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 67.29 %, Min WCS Points: 2725
  16. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 62.93 %, Min WCS Points: 2925
  17. kr INnoVation, is at ~ 29.7 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
  18. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 19.5 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
  19. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.02 %, Min WCS Points: 2075
  20. kr YoDa (TCM), is at ~ 13.79 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  21. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 11.32 %, Min WCS Points: 1675
  22. kr Pigbaby, is at ~ 10.79 %, Min WCS Points: 2500
  23. kr HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 8.18 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
  24. kr Heart (Axiom), is at ~ 6.17 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  25. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 3.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2850



Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Polt, Bomber in Red Bull Washington] +
Red Bull Washington
- kr Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.09 % of the time kr Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 49.91 % of the time kr Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.91 % of the time kr Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 50.09 % of the time kr Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Cure, Trap in Red Bull Washington] +
Red Bull Washington
- kr Cure is at ~ 0.19 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.52 % of the time kr Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.33 %.
~ 46.48 % of the time kr Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Trap is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.48 % of the time kr Trap wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 53.52 % of the time kr Trap loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Winning Chances
kr Polt has a ~ 28.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Cure has a ~ 27.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.61 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 27.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Trap has a ~ 16.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


So basically, everything to play for if you're Cure.

This happens
~ 1.8 % of the time
Cure gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and
Cure wins their next match in Red Bull Washington ro4 and
San gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Cure's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.18 % to ~ 3.57 %

His chances aren't very good lol.


Nope:
On September 21 2014 10:03 The_Templar wrote:
For those of you wondering, here's what has to happen for Cure to go to blizzcon, assuming no other tournaments are announced and he doesn't go to Dreamhack. ALL of these have to happen.

-Cure wins Redbull (duh)
-Cure wins GSL (duh)
-sOs loses in the group stages of redbull (already happened)
-sOs doesn't go to dreamhack
-MMA doesn't make it to the RO8 of WCS EU
-Pigbaby doesn't make it to the finals of WCS AM
-Bunny doesn't make it past the RO8 of WCS EU OR Bunny doesn't make it past the RO4 and doesn't win Dreamhack OR Bunny doesn't win WCS EU and doesn't get top 4 in Dreamhack
-Scarlett/Heart/YoDa/Golden/HuK/HerO don't win their regions

IF all this happens, he ties with sOs for 16th.

Crossposting. All of these events must happen for Cure to make it.

Not sure what you're disagreeing with, his chances really aren't that good, your post doesn't make me feel much better about them. Sure a few of those things look likely, but all of them together has a really low chance.

I was agreeing, I meant "nope, he doesn't have a large chance."
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
September 21 2014 01:12 GMT
#5068
Ah I thought Scarlett's Red Bull buff would carry her through...

Awesome for Polt though!
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17737 Posts
September 21 2014 01:12 GMT
#5069
On September 21 2014 10:11 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:10 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:05 The_Templar wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:49 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:47 IntoTheheart wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:46 Die4Ever wrote:
WCS Predictor 2014
Red Bull Washington Semifinals
+ Show Spoiler [Changes This Tournament] +

Biggest Winners
kr Jaedong went up by ~ 14.48 %, going from ~ 60.34 % to ~ 74.82 %
no Snute went up by ~ 13.57 %, going from ~ 49.35 % to ~ 62.93 %
kr soO went up by ~ 8.28 %, going from ~ 62.36 % to ~ 70.64 %
kr MMA went up by ~ 4.94 %, going from ~ 62.35 % to ~ 67.29 %
kr herO went up by ~ 3.83 %, going from ~ 93.95 % to ~ 97.77 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr Life went up by ~ 2.71 %, going from ~ 95.91 % to ~ 98.62 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 2.1 %, going from ~ 11.69 % to ~ 13.79 %
kr Heart went up by ~ 1.13 %, going from ~ 5.05 % to ~ 6.17 %
kr Pigbaby went up by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 10.79 %
kr Classic went up by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 98.94 % to ~ 99.76 %
ca HuK went up by ~ 0.64 %, going from ~ 2.53 % to ~ 3.17 %
dk Bunny went up by ~ 0.39 %, going from ~ 13.63 % to ~ 14.02 %
pl MaNa went up by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 1.03 % to ~ 1.39 %
kr HerO went up by ~ 0.32 %, going from ~ 7.87 % to ~ 8.18 %
kr Golden went up by ~ 0.26 %, going from ~ 3.13 % to ~ 3.39 %
kr ForGG went up by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 11.13 % to ~ 11.32 %
kr Cure went up by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.19 %


Biggest Loser
kr sOs went down by ~ 55.3 %, going from ~ 58.8 % to ~ 3.5 %

WCS Point Cutoffs
~ 0 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 3.65 % of the time 2,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 51.66 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 55.9 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 92.99 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

Top 25 Chances
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 6050
  2. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5800
  3. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5250
  4. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5200
  5. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5125
  6. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  7. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4675
  9. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3350
  10. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 99.76 %, Min WCS Points: 3200
  11. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 98.62 %, Min WCS Points: 3125
  12. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 97.77 %, Min WCS Points: 3100
  13. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 74.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  14. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 70.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2900
  15. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 67.29 %, Min WCS Points: 2725
  16. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 62.93 %, Min WCS Points: 2925
  17. kr INnoVation, is at ~ 29.7 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
  18. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 19.5 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
  19. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.02 %, Min WCS Points: 2075
  20. kr YoDa (TCM), is at ~ 13.79 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  21. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 11.32 %, Min WCS Points: 1675
  22. kr Pigbaby, is at ~ 10.79 %, Min WCS Points: 2500
  23. kr HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 8.18 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
  24. kr Heart (Axiom), is at ~ 6.17 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  25. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 3.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2850



Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Polt, Bomber in Red Bull Washington] +
Red Bull Washington
- kr Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.09 % of the time kr Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 49.91 % of the time kr Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.91 % of the time kr Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 50.09 % of the time kr Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Cure, Trap in Red Bull Washington] +
Red Bull Washington
- kr Cure is at ~ 0.19 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.52 % of the time kr Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.33 %.
~ 46.48 % of the time kr Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Trap is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.48 % of the time kr Trap wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 53.52 % of the time kr Trap loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Winning Chances
kr Polt has a ~ 28.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Cure has a ~ 27.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.61 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 27.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Trap has a ~ 16.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


So basically, everything to play for if you're Cure.

This happens
~ 1.8 % of the time
Cure gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and
Cure wins their next match in Red Bull Washington ro4 and
San gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier
This would change Cure's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 0.18 % to ~ 3.57 %

His chances aren't very good lol.


Nope:
On September 21 2014 10:03 The_Templar wrote:
For those of you wondering, here's what has to happen for Cure to go to blizzcon, assuming no other tournaments are announced and he doesn't go to Dreamhack. ALL of these have to happen.

-Cure wins Redbull (duh)
-Cure wins GSL (duh)
-sOs loses in the group stages of redbull (already happened)
-sOs doesn't go to dreamhack
-MMA doesn't make it to the RO8 of WCS EU
-Pigbaby doesn't make it to the finals of WCS AM
-Bunny doesn't make it past the RO8 of WCS EU OR Bunny doesn't make it past the RO4 and doesn't win Dreamhack OR Bunny doesn't win WCS EU and doesn't get top 4 in Dreamhack
-Scarlett/Heart/YoDa/Golden/HuK/HerO don't win their regions

IF all this happens, he ties with sOs for 16th.

Crossposting. All of these events must happen for Cure to make it.

Not sure what you're disagreeing with, his chances really aren't that good, your post doesn't make me feel much better about them. Sure a few of those things look likely, but all of them together has a really low chance.

I was agreeing, I meant "nope, he doesn't have a large chance."

ah ok haha, was pretty confusing reading it as you thinking he had good chances and then listing an extremely specific set of things that need to happen and not happen lol
"Expert" mods4ever.com
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
September 21 2014 01:14 GMT
#5070
On September 21 2014 10:09 brickrd wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:08 stuchiu wrote:
Hahahaha that last one is hilarious. Cure has to bet half of the ro8 in America don't win WCS AM.

every single other criterion will be met... then huk will win WCS AM

Everything will start aligning so that Cure can make blizzcon. He wins GSL and Redbull and all the top 15 ranked players crush dreamhack.
Then the finals of WCS AM is HuK vs HerO.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
brickrd
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States4894 Posts
September 21 2014 01:14 GMT
#5071
also scarlett will lose WCS AM but still make blizzcon by winning the mystical and oft-mentioned "WCS NA" tournament
TL+ Member
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-09-21 01:18:07
September 21 2014 01:16 GMT
#5072
On September 21 2014 10:14 brickrd wrote:
also scarlett will lose WCS AM but still make blizzcon by winning the mystical and oft-mentioned "WCS NA" tournament

Suddenly a showmatch between Scarlett and Bunny gets announced, winner gets 1000 WCS points
By the way, sOs needs the same stuff to happen except for winning GSL/Redbull if I'm not mistaken.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17737 Posts
September 21 2014 01:17 GMT
#5073
On September 21 2014 10:16 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:14 brickrd wrote:
also scarlett will lose WCS AM but still make blizzcon by winning the mystical and oft-mentioned "WCS NA" tournament

Suddenly a showmatch between Scarlett and Bunny gets announced, winner gets 1000 WCS points

but they don't announce the points until Blizzcon has already started and we see the players who are there
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Darthsanta13
Profile Joined July 2011
United States564 Posts
September 21 2014 01:18 GMT
#5074
On September 21 2014 10:07 stuchiu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:05 Darthsanta13 wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:01 stuchiu wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:58 royalroadweed wrote:
How good must that guy who put polt #8 power rank feel now?


Must feel better than the dude who put Cure at 8

Where was this?


Someone pointed it out earlier. Basically everyone he rated lower advanced or something.

Ouch, does he not watch or look at the results of any Korean SC2 right now? That's the only thing I could think of that could make you think that Cure is the worst player here.
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
September 21 2014 01:18 GMT
#5075
On September 21 2014 10:18 Darthsanta13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:07 stuchiu wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:05 Darthsanta13 wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:01 stuchiu wrote:
On September 21 2014 09:58 royalroadweed wrote:
How good must that guy who put polt #8 power rank feel now?


Must feel better than the dude who put Cure at 8

Where was this?


Someone pointed it out earlier. Basically everyone he rated lower advanced or something.

Ouch, does he not watch or look at the results of any Korean SC2 right now? That's the only thing I could think of that could make you think that Cure is the worst player here.

Maybe he ranked everyone by their looks
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
September 21 2014 01:19 GMT
#5076
On September 21 2014 10:16 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:14 brickrd wrote:
also scarlett will lose WCS AM but still make blizzcon by winning the mystical and oft-mentioned "WCS NA" tournament

Suddenly a showmatch between Scarlett and Bunny gets announced, winner gets 1000 WCS points
By the way, sOs needs the same stuff to happen except for winning GSL/Redbull if I'm not mistaken.


Against another terran though, might not help
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
brickrd
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States4894 Posts
September 21 2014 01:19 GMT
#5077
On September 21 2014 10:17 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:16 The_Templar wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:14 brickrd wrote:
also scarlett will lose WCS AM but still make blizzcon by winning the mystical and oft-mentioned "WCS NA" tournament

Suddenly a showmatch between Scarlett and Bunny gets announced, winner gets 1000 WCS points

but they don't announce the points until Blizzcon has already started and we see the players who are there

actually it would be kind of cool (although obviously impossible) to somehow not know who's at blizzcon until it happens. or have a secret wild card tournament between 16-19 for the last spot and announce the mystery player live
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17737 Posts
September 21 2014 01:19 GMT
#5078
On September 21 2014 10:19 brickrd wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:17 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:16 The_Templar wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:14 brickrd wrote:
also scarlett will lose WCS AM but still make blizzcon by winning the mystical and oft-mentioned "WCS NA" tournament

Suddenly a showmatch between Scarlett and Bunny gets announced, winner gets 1000 WCS points

but they don't announce the points until Blizzcon has already started and we see the players who are there

actually it would be kind of cool (although obviously impossible) to somehow not know who's at blizzcon until it happens. or have a secret wild card tournament between 16-19 for the last spot and announce the mystery player live

no
"Expert" mods4ever.com
brickrd
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States4894 Posts
September 21 2014 01:21 GMT
#5079
On September 21 2014 10:19 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:19 brickrd wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:17 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:16 The_Templar wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:14 brickrd wrote:
also scarlett will lose WCS AM but still make blizzcon by winning the mystical and oft-mentioned "WCS NA" tournament

Suddenly a showmatch between Scarlett and Bunny gets announced, winner gets 1000 WCS points

but they don't announce the points until Blizzcon has already started and we see the players who are there

actually it would be kind of cool (although obviously impossible) to somehow not know who's at blizzcon until it happens. or have a secret wild card tournament between 16-19 for the last spot and announce the mystery player live

no

sorry but it would be very cool
TL+ Member
Darthsanta13
Profile Joined July 2011
United States564 Posts
September 21 2014 01:24 GMT
#5080
On September 21 2014 10:21 brickrd wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2014 10:19 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:19 brickrd wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:17 Die4Ever wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:16 The_Templar wrote:
On September 21 2014 10:14 brickrd wrote:
also scarlett will lose WCS AM but still make blizzcon by winning the mystical and oft-mentioned "WCS NA" tournament

Suddenly a showmatch between Scarlett and Bunny gets announced, winner gets 1000 WCS points

but they don't announce the points until Blizzcon has already started and we see the players who are there

actually it would be kind of cool (although obviously impossible) to somehow not know who's at blizzcon until it happens. or have a secret wild card tournament between 16-19 for the last spot and announce the mystery player live

no

sorry but it would be very cool

Why deny us the games though? Seems like playing the games has all of the suspense of a mystery reveal, but with... you know, starcraft. 16-19 play in would be awesome.
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