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Theres probably good and bad players in the same proportions pretty much always, but when the player pool is smaller I think youre more likely to be matched against a wider range of mmr, depending on your league.
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from my experience the players that play at night on NA are usually way worse or sometimes there are koreans that are way better than everyone. if i play during the day, the skill level is more consistent.
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I think this is true to an extent. For example, when I play during the weekdays after schoool (usually only 1-2 games a day), I have a really really high win rate, like this week, I won 7 1v1s in a row before Friday, and this Friday night, I decided to hop on and play a bunch of ladder matches, and I ended up breaking even in terms of points, but it was only because I had like 20 points of bonus pool, I lost 5 games in a row before winning any games.
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I would expect the evening player-pool to be made up of a higher percentage of casual players, as that's when most people have fewer commitments. But this wouldn't affect the skill-level of the opponents you meet, because however often they play, they are still matched to your MMR. Unless you're right the very top or bottom of the MMR ladder, any greater spread of opponents' skill levels should average out over multiple sessions.
There might well be some other reason why you play better in the mornings than evenings. You might be more awake/alert, more likely to be drinking caffeine, not distracted by kids, etc etc. Or it might just be confirmation bias at work after one or two unusually good/bad sessions. Interesting to think about but hard to pin down.
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In poker this is abundantly obvious. Before fascist America told it's peons they couldn't play the American game LOL ^^ The American economy was hemorrhaging money abroad to countries with a higher average intelligence. You had to be a complete moron not to play American evening time. Since they have the most money per braincell in the world. The difference in win rate was staggering. I still have a sleeping disorder derived from that truth ^^
I can only assume this is true on a smaller scale within the server you play starcraft on. When it goes global with HotS it will be even more pronounced. However in starcraft due to match making dilution it will never be as obvious as in poker.
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I do get a lot more easy wins late at night. I have a bad sleeping schedule and when I started laddering around 2 am (im fresh and awake still), I was bound to run into someone who is pushing their limit and is about to quit it for the night. I can get in a lot more hellion runbys/ other stupid shit. Living in California also helps this effect.
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