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Might be a waste, but a quick question for Plexa:
When to activate Double Lynch ability? You can let me know by PM that you wish to use a double lynch in the night before you want to use it. You can also announce a double lynch during the day of voting. If you choose this option the time allocated for voting will be increased.
Would it be too late to call the double lynch now?
And to be honest, it wouldn't surprise me if ydg is innocent (or Truthbringer for that matter), but they're our best bets at the moment, and their behavior has been suspect enough. I'm going to laugh if ydg flips green, and then we can forever call him a stupid townie.
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And by "might be a waste" I mean that it might not be worth using the double lynch at this point. Sure, we have three, but I think we're all hoping that MBH can give us a good amount of solid suspects, and then we can use them in succession if needed there.
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Personally, I think there's a different chance that they're both green, and mafia are split at least somewhat evenly between all the candidates for lynch. We won't know until they die, but if it does turn out that way, the mafia are going to be laughing their asses off.
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So, Mr. Julia could be the Hulk, but then who does the Hulk link to? Only person I could think of is BWDero, because of his comic book character picture, however, that's a very weak connection, at best.
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Another thing to consider would be the "if mafia ran for Emperor, who would it be?". Four people ran (think JeeJee ran jokingly, but never followed up past his post), MBH, L, BC, and HeavOnEarth.
MBH is a (dead) confirmed townie.
HeavOnEarth pulled out of the race, and supported BC.
BC won and became Emperor.
L lost.
Truthbringer was the first to vote for BC, with no reasoning. He also supported ydg's lynching, not sure off the top of my head if he posted his reasons.
L was the one that did the analysis of TruthBringer, which led to us lynching a mafia.
At the moment, I personally think that if any of the candidates was mafia, BC would be the strongest suspect, which would put is in a tough situation. The only real evidence against him (if you look at it in a negative light - it could also be positive if it works), is killing MBH. If he's mafia, he gets rid of one of the best players for two days, and gets a decent chance to snipe the priest before MBH is resurrected, and thus out of the game for good. However, it shouldn't be seen in an entirely negative light, because if the plan works, MBH can hopefully guide us.
If BC turns red, HeavOnEarth could potentially be mafia. The entirety of his campaign was a bit iffy, such as him bowing out and immediately supporting BC, when he himself stated that it was likely the Godfather was among all the candidates. However, that's not to say he is mafia, and much like BC's case, it's all speculation at this point. He abstained from the lynch vote, which doesn't really help the town, but it doesn't hurt it either.
One thing to consider is that ydg could still be mafia, though I personally think he's innocent. If he eventually does flip mafia, then most of the suspicions on BC would be lifted.
I suppose we can't entirely dismiss L from being mafia at this point, however, I'd say the chance is less than 5% (had to do it). The only way L could be mafia is if it was a mafia ploy to get us trusting him, and then maybe have blues send their roles and all. Which would only really be an option if MBH doesn't get resurrected. People can still choose to form circles, but a mass list of who is who is dangerous, when there is even any doubt of the person's alignment.
Another reason L isn't entirely dismissed is the Gosu message. It's possible the message was coincidental, but I think more likely than not, our enemy is toying with us. Such as saying "we're better than you - we can waste a full night's kills and still win the game". In BC's game, L also managed to get away with a lot as mafia (Ver is godfather). However, I think that putting one of your own up on the chopping block AND playing alphabet soup would be pushing it too far.
I'm not saying that any of the candidates are mafia, however, if any of them are, I'd say L is the safest bet for being a townie.
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On July 09 2009 04:22 StorrZerg wrote:Seeing that sun made me think of a new day 
Same.
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lol
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Self owned.
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EPT
