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There are a few people that have kinda surprised me so far.
1) MrBabyHands. Never played with the guy, but his debut is definitely something. Just because his unwavering attitude and calling out people in mega-behavioral analysis has me a little confused. He's like an insane psychologist or obsessive police cop or something, lol.
2) Camlito. He's finally posted, so my suspicion has been lifted slightly. But I think he's generally quiet so not much so say.
3) Random voters voting with no particular reasoning. Teejing Page14. Tricode Page18. 3Lions, ahswtni. Also, CynanMachae, but less likely since he switched votes.
4) Lurker. Random sheriff post Page9.
Iunno, anyone have thoughts on these people?
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Okay, finally got down to reading everything (page 40 until now, page 51)
First off: BC incarcerating Ace means that BC and Ace are mostly likely not mafia together. Why would he incarcerate a fellow mafia when Vigilante's can't act night 1? Mafia have no fear of being killed during Night 1. This leaves these possibilities:
BC is town, thinks Ace will be hit, thus protects Ace for the night.
BC is mafia, thinks Ace is a power role, thus denying Ace's powers for the night.
BC claims he was just following the Zodiac Brave list, but there's a chance BC has other motives.
Night 1 killings = bad. First off, you have BG+Vigi dying. Since vigi's can't act night 1, Ver's hit was not used. I'd like to think our sheriff/mayor played no part in Qatol's death T_T.
Other business. Some more suspect posting behavior.
ahswtini. Page18 is a random vote for BC with not much justification. Page40 is talking about waiting for morning to come and re-reading everything, just a bunch of randomness.
Phrujbaz. Page 39 is him bringing up the vigi discussion all over again, mentioning also that he "doesn't want to beat a dead horse." Why post such a huge reply then? Then while the entire town is voting for either Rice/Mandalor/etc, he puts up a vote for Lucktar? I'm a little confused.
##I vote to lynch mandalor
##I vote for a double lynch
Here's my reasoning:
Mandalor flips Miller. SoG is prob DT or at least in contact with a DT.
Mandalor flips Mafia. SoG is not as likely if Mandalor flipped Miller instead. Because this can be a ploy for SoG to gain more trust. But then again, mafia loses 1 KP, so it's a good enough benefit to the town regardless what color Mandalor flips.
Mandalor flips blue. Well, I won't even consider this case. But that would most likely mean SoG is mafia or he got totally played by a mafia faking DT.
Malongo has a pretty nice post, Page45 full of bolded potential clues and such. Pyrr has an insightful clue to infundibulum Page50.
There is plenty of clue analysis so SoG/claimed DT/hidden DT should split up clue checks/role checks. Well, not SoG since he can only clue check day 1. I would suggest SoG to checking "Whatever that could be found, was lost." I feel that was the biggest clue that sprang up. For everyone in general, Day 1 Clue analysis was recapped by Bockit Page37. Thoughts? I will post my own clue analysis at some point, too.
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ah, frick. Good point. So yeah, let's see how that changes things...
BC is mafia, protects a fellow mafia
BC is town, protects a fellow town
BC is town, just following Ace's Zodiac Brave plan.
So yeah... with my new understanding Qatol's death is more troubling...
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Well so far, if you want a sure-fire way to confirm #2's innocence... we lynch #3 on Day3.
If #3 comes up DT, we have #2 confirmed DT.
If #3 comes up anything besides DT, #2 is mafia
This is a massive loss. I'm not sure if it's in the town's best interest to go this path. Town trades 1 DT (#3) for a confirmed DT (#2), or 1 town role (#3) for a confirmed mafia (#2). #3 DT will post publicly everything he knows/has done before he gets lynched. I'd figure to throw this out there if we have no other way of dealing with this problem.
I'll figure something else out if possible, but since there is very little time before night ends, I thought I should post this immediately.
Btw, if #3 has NOT used a night action, I think I have a plan that will net the town either 3 confirmed DTs or 2 confirmed mafia, not sure, still working out its logic.
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Any other DTs not listed as #2 or #3, DO NOT compromise your roles.
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Ah dang, my post still doesn't work if #2 is mafia and had #3 role-claim DT to him. Sigh... just realized that.
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yay, town victory! Nice job to everyone who played.
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EPT
