EPTTL Mafia 3 [Night 5] - Page 3
| Forum Index > TL Mafia |
Empyrean
16986 Posts
| ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
I'm voting for Ace. Just to clear anything up. EDIT: And if Ace happens to be green, our next lynch targets should be Folca, and then whoever behavior/clue analysis points to. | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
Again, incomplete information sucks. Also, having mafia send in at least one hit for Folca makes sure that another innocent townie doesn't die. | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
See where I'm going with this? | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
On November 04 2008 10:38 Ace wrote: Emp the medics don't know who each other are, so that idea goes out the window since it's not the mafia second guessing medic protection that's key but the medics guessing if the other medics will protect also. You seem so sure Folca is telling the truth, blind trust huh? Exactly. Each medic makes his/her individual random decision. If they would collude, it'd actually be worse for the town. | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
On November 04 2008 11:30 Amber[LighT] wrote: We're not going to have those detective abilities by Day 2 if Folca is a detective. There is a 1/3 shot that Ace could be a mafia, while Folca is 1/2. I feel like the higher risk in this case is to keep Folca alive because we lose both. If we keep Ace alive and we accidentally do kill our detective, then the vigilante should step in and kill Ace overnight. I'm going to switch my vote from DecafChicken to Folca. This is just bullshit. Both of them have 1/5 chance of them being mafia and 3/50 chance of being detectives. To the town, their behaviors will "weight" what we think of these probabilities, that is, whether it's more or less likely for them to be mafia or detective, based on their behavior. | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
The fact that no other person claiming to be DT has spoken up saying that they investigated him and that Folca is mafia pretty much ensures that Folca isn't mafia. I'm pretty sure that once Folca roleclaimed DT, another one checked him out, found out he was DT, and decided to stay silent. They'd only pull the alarm if Folca were actually mafia. Honestly. If any of you guys were DT and someone claimed they were DT and accused Ace, wouldn't your natural reaction be to investigate Folca and see if he were lying? Exactly. I'm positive that some other DT has investigated Folca, found him to be DT, and is thus remaining silent. | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
On November 04 2008 11:50 decafchicken wrote: or the other DTs already used their ability, don't want to die, etc. Think about this. If Folca were actually a DT and a DT investigated him and found that he was, then we'd have one dead DT, Folca. If Folca were mafia and a DT investigated him, the DT would naturally speak up and say that Folca is mafia, and the other DT would die (to mafia). Either way, we have one dead detective. Besides, the DT also realizes how important a townie Ace could be, and would also naturally want to save Ace. EDIT: On November 04 2008 11:53 Amber[LighT] wrote: Or they could have figured out he was mafia, and are keeping quiet until tomorrow when they won't be targets and screw us over. The problem is, if they found Folca to be mafia, then they'd know that there'd be a high chance that Ace is townie. Now they would weigh Ace's death against their own DT life. | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
EDIT: On November 04 2008 11:57 Ace wrote: Or Emp, they could realize Folca was a DT but realized revealing themselves to Folca also makes bring them out into the open, and also questions whether they or legit or not. So they couldn't do that even if they wanted to, so what your saying is wrong. By saying Folca were actually mafia, they'd reveal Folca's guilt and your (ostensible) innocence. | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
On November 04 2008 12:00 HeRoS)Pink wrote: also if a dt did rolecheck folca and turns out to be red, why would he sacrifice himself to reveal the role of the player likely to be lynched today? we would have killed 1 mafia and kept all 3 of our DTs Oh, this is a good point. Hadn't actually considered this. | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
Hell, even if he is mafia, he's still a great asset to the town if not for anything but his intelligence.  | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
| ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
| ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
I'm changing my vote to Folca. This is final. Sorry Chuiu .If you turn out to be mafia, Ace, at least we can figure out with some degree of certainty who other mafia members are based on behavior in this thread. But hopefully you're not  (though I still secretly and, I suppose, irrationally (to some extent) believe you are ) | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
EDIT: Missed an apostrophe. | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
C-C-C-COMBO BREAKER!! | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
On November 04 2008 14:34 Ace wrote: Folca died pointing a finger at five people. As the biggest threat, I obviously would be the prime candidate. That does not mean he investigated me. Folca and another DT probably colluded, with Folca investigating decaf or gladius and the other DT investigating me. Of course, Folca doesn't even know if the other DT was legit and before he died he never told us. So you're wrong. Desperation isn't very becoming  | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
Right. Again, without a central authority to direct things, it's difficult. And Ace, just don't try to defend yourself anymore. Occam's Razor > your explanation of what happened, and everyone knows it. Try and die with some dignity please | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
Honestly, to best utilize them, we should just suggest things for them to do, hope they read the thread and follow suggestions, then if anything major comes up, have them sacrifice themselves and use paramedics on them later if necessary (paramedic problem again...read my previous post). | ||
|
Empyrean
16986 Posts
You might as well have two different townies, one for each remaining DT, and have them be rolechecked and be the voice of the DTs. EDIT: I'm going to sleep now. I'll catch up on this in the morning. | ||
| ||
