He's going to jump at this and demand explanations and I am going to ignore him

Happy to discuss if we should lynch die_meatbaby, raynpelikoneet, or Koshi first. I'm quite torn about this, I hate to let any of them escape this.
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 21:21 GMT
#2674
He's going to jump at this and demand explanations and I am going to ignore him ![]() Happy to discuss if we should lynch die_meatbaby, raynpelikoneet, or Koshi first. I'm quite torn about this, I hate to let any of them escape this. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 21:42 GMT
#2688
On June 11 2024 06:27 die_meatbaby wrote: I don't have a super confident read on sandroba or anything but currently he is being voted by the people in the game I find most suspicious. This makes me very incentivized to keep him alive. He's been low activity/involvement, but that alone doesn't make him mafia imo.Show nested quote + On June 11 2024 06:21 Trfel wrote: I'm not going to argue with raynpelikoneet when he is likely mafia and is very obviously basing his arguments on nonsense. No matter how right I am, it's not reasonable to expect myself to be able to convince him that he is mafia. He's going to jump at this and demand explanations and I am going to ignore him ![]() Happy to discuss if we should lynch die_meatbaby, raynpelikoneet, or Koshi first. I'm quite torn about this, I hate to let any of them escape this. Explain me how I am wrong with sandroba and Mocstar? Explain me how sandroba is town?? If you believe that Mocstar is PR then why didn't mafia kill him? You said that he has townreads early, some people value their early townreads, it's a playstyle thing. I will note however that sandroba didn't say he was townreading AlphaZero, just that he liked the point that AlphaZero made. I will note however that the final post of these "townreads" was post #283. By this point, your townread rsoultin said she liked where Vivax's head was at, and that she liked AlphaZero. I don't consider three to be significantly more than two, especially since sandroba was posting at a later point in the game, where there was more that happened. Basically though what I am getting at is that early townreads aren't atypical at all. For example, when rsoultin came back she almost immediately said I looked good (post #343). I don't think Mocsta is a power role, or if he is, it's definitely not because of his post about jailkeeping Oatsmaster or whatever he said. I don't see any reasons that you have given for Mocsta to be mafia outside of associations with sandroba (who I don't really think is mafia) and him saying he is a power role (which I don't believe). If you have other reasons, please let me know. If you are town, I'm going to need some help to see it so we can lynch Koshi and/or raynpelikoneet here. Or heck, even someone else if there is good reason. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 21:44 GMT
#2690
Just saying, maybe you should reconsider. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 21:46 GMT
#2693
On June 11 2024 06:45 Koshi wrote: Why would you hope I am town? From your perspective, I'm completely and thoroughly wrong? Wouldn't it be much easier for you if I am mafia?Tfrel I hope you are town. This is so beautiful. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 21:48 GMT
#2695
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 21:52 GMT
#2699
On June 11 2024 06:51 Koshi wrote: Oh, sure. If there are reasons to think otherwise I will react accordingly No I meant that I see you are town but just wrong. I don't think this is another charade. It makes the game great. You will snap out of it. ![]() | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 22:07 GMT
#2713
On June 11 2024 07:06 Koshi wrote: Your side has more alignments in it I think our side is more united but we are less in numbers. Exciting! ![]() | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 22:11 GMT
#2721
And taking potshots at Koshi or raynpelikoneet as opportunities present. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 22:17 GMT
#2733
On June 11 2024 07:16 Mocsta wrote: No actually. Just in general.Show nested quote + this is about Scott right?On June 11 2024 07:11 Trfel wrote: Sorry I don't really have much to say. I think the arguments are out there and I can't really say anything more to add, they're about as strong as they can be. Just waiting for something to happen I guess. And taking potshots at Koshi or raynpelikoneet as opportunities present. I haven't lost hope quite yet. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 22:24 GMT
#2736
I don't think it's valid to scumread Mocsta because he is mafia with sandroba. If sandroba flips mafia, then maybe you have a case. Until then, you don't know if sandroba is mafia, so there is no reason to think Mocsta is mafia. Raynpelikoneet is mafia because he typically has very strong logical play, but his play here is riddled with blunders and inconsistencies and falsehoods. Case in point, he is voting for sandroba for what he said is the strongest case in the thread, and it's completely false. It's not even a matter of opinion, it's strictly false. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 23:20 GMT
#2752
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 11 2024 00:15 GMT
#2761
On June 11 2024 09:12 AlphaZero wrote: I dunno, I'm a huge sucker for gambler's fallacy.Show nested quote + On June 11 2024 08:49 Mocsta wrote: Az To confirm your considering a grouping of ((Rayn/koshi); scott: (dmb / altm lurker)? Im dropping scott for now, I think its pretty clear that I am missing something, because all my big town reads think he is town. (trfel/marv) I like oats as mafia if im being really open and honest. he seems to be flying under the radar a bit too much | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 11 2024 00:25 GMT
#2771
On June 11 2024 09:21 AlphaZero wrote: I'm willing to lynch die_meatbaby, raynpelikoneet, or Koshi. It's hard for me to figure out which lynch is best.Show nested quote + On June 11 2024 09:18 Mocsta wrote: On June 11 2024 09:12 AlphaZero wrote: coolOn June 11 2024 08:49 Mocsta wrote: Az To confirm your considering a grouping of ((Rayn/koshi); scott: (dmb / altm lurker)? Im dropping scott for now, I think its pretty clear that I am missing something, because all my big town reads think he is town. (trfel/marv) I like oats as mafia if im being really open and honest. he seems to be flying under the radar a bit too much Scott is looking better to me. Glad there is alignment there to not focus today on Scott. I still like the vivax lynch and there does appear to be resistance today from the bottom end of the group which to me is much different build up to kelsier. I will vote rayn if there is enough for majority Oats. I'm still giving a town pass today although he is progressively coming across to me as shitting the thread. I want to give benefit of the doubt he's as lost as me and is equally a provocative style player. I’d also lynch Rayn. Trfel what you think of a Rayn lynch? | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 11 2024 00:33 GMT
#2775
On June 11 2024 09:28 AlphaZero wrote: I am kinda giving up due to frustration and insanity. I can't figure out which lynch is best, and they're all coming off incredibly scummy. But it's unlikely they are all mafia, next to impossible, it's never ever so simple.Show nested quote + On June 11 2024 09:25 Trfel wrote: On June 11 2024 09:21 AlphaZero wrote: I'm willing to lynch die_meatbaby, raynpelikoneet, or Koshi. It's hard for me to figure out which lynch is best.On June 11 2024 09:18 Mocsta wrote: On June 11 2024 09:12 AlphaZero wrote: coolOn June 11 2024 08:49 Mocsta wrote: Az To confirm your considering a grouping of ((Rayn/koshi); scott: (dmb / altm lurker)? Im dropping scott for now, I think its pretty clear that I am missing something, because all my big town reads think he is town. (trfel/marv) I like oats as mafia if im being really open and honest. he seems to be flying under the radar a bit too much Scott is looking better to me. Glad there is alignment there to not focus today on Scott. I still like the vivax lynch and there does appear to be resistance today from the bottom end of the group which to me is much different build up to kelsier. I will vote rayn if there is enough for majority Oats. I'm still giving a town pass today although he is progressively coming across to me as shitting the thread. I want to give benefit of the doubt he's as lost as me and is equally a provocative style player. I’d also lynch Rayn. Trfel what you think of a Rayn lynch? I’m also fine with all that. But I’m relying on your analysis to be honest. That being said I’d prefer to try the harder lynches now while your still alive. Then there's the kicker that even if we figure it out we probably don't have the support. But oh well. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 11 2024 04:06 GMT
#2842
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 11 2024 04:08 GMT
#2843
Is there anything in particular you want/expect me to work with you on? I'm not going to lynch sandroba. Not only are your reasons either incomprehensible or awful, but I'm voting for a really scummy person with the town leaders who I have to assume, are town, and the other wagon has all of the scummiest people in the game. I'm just not switching, absolutely no way. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 11 2024 04:19 GMT
#2846
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 11 2024 04:26 GMT
#2853
On June 11 2024 13:20 Oatsmaster wrote: No, I don't think there is much reason to suspect sandroba. The only reason is that he has been low activity/involvement. I could see him being mafia, but when that's the only reason, and there are strong reasons to suspect other people, I'm much, much more inclined to look somewhere else. The fact that his wagon is all the scummiest people in the game seals the deal.Okay fine, sell me on the koshi/rayn partnership. From what I can tell reading your filter, you do think Sandro is mafia independently of anyone else, you just don’t think so atm because koshi and Rayn are going after him If the game weren't in such a rough state, I'd like to think more about sandroba. As it is, he's one of the few players providing any sanity to the game, and there are a lot of people I think are more suspicious than he is. In addition to the likelihood of him being town, I feel forced to hope that he is town, because I think we absolutely need sandroba to be town to have a chance at winning this game. On June 11 2024 13:20 Oatsmaster wrote: My impression of your play is that whenever you are around, you're bullying townies out of the thread and preventing any discussion. If that's working with people to you, idk.Show nested quote + On June 11 2024 13:19 Trfel wrote: Honestly I'm tempted to lynch Oatsmaster for being the most anti-town player this game, regardless of alignment. This is the exact opposite of working with people btw just you know for your information | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 11 2024 04:32 GMT
#2854
Raynpelikoneet has been extremely illogical and useless. He's been discussing a ton but not showing any insight, critical thinking, or desire to solve the game. His town play is quite strong, this clearly isn't it. Other than sheer post count, I can't think of a redeeming quality in his play. Koshi has been solid at times, but I think he really gave himself up in the confusion over the Vivax lynch and then not lynching Vivax. He's just said enough things that make no sense. I guess maybe this makes me more confident in raynpelikoneet being mafia, but I still think Koshi definitely could be mafia. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
June 11 2024 04:43 GMT
#2858
On June 10 2024 07:01 raynpelikoneet wrote: Show nested quote + On June 10 2024 07:00 Koshi wrote: Sandro, Slam, Mocsta (AZ instead of Mocsta but only because so many of you say it, they are not mafia together) can you help me why sandro? On June 10 2024 07:01 raynpelikoneet wrote: i am sorry guys i dont see it, aside from him being away... why? On June 10 2024 07:02 raynpelikoneet wrote: And then...he was really townie when he was in thread tbh ![]() On June 10 2024 07:52 raynpelikoneet wrote: Vivax go with me on sandroba, mocsta, az, ok? On June 10 2024 08:05 raynpelikoneet wrote: Also, can anyone possibly believe this?Show nested quote + On June 10 2024 08:04 Trfel wrote: On June 10 2024 07:59 raynpelikoneet wrote: What?On June 10 2024 07:55 Trfel wrote: Honestly my first impression is that Vivax and die_meatbaby are trying to distance from each other. Could be that just one of them is mafia, or I guess maybe that neither is mafia, but I think both could also be mafia. I have reason to think they both (individually, separately) could be mafia, and very little reason to think otherwise. Just seems like the most plausible explanation is one (or even both) of them decided to try and clutter the thread to defend themselves/distract from the actual arguments against them. i literally adviced them to do so, if you didnt catch that? Why are you making this argument? If you have to blame anyone, blame me for their "show"... @raynpelikoneet, I disagree that sandroba's posting was great when he was here. It was.... okay at best imo? But I don't think there's anything special about it. That doesn't mean he has to be mafia, but a lack of interesting or insightful thoughts, combined with nonexistent activity/involvement, is a reasonable case. i didn't say great. and i can't say he looks townie now when not posting. noone can. If you think sandroba is mafia, go ahead. I am just talking about what i know when people were posting. Maybe I phrased it poorly. What I meant was, it seems like they are both mafia, and realized that they're associating too closely and "fought" to try and change that. I know that's unflipped association, but it was my first thought.* If you really want to say that they did this due to your advice, I mean sure, I can lynch you after them ![]() *Asterisk means: as I thought about it more, I still think that the argument makes sense if only one of them is mafia, baiting the other one into the argument but overall accomplishing the purpose of cluttering the thread and distracting from the actual arguments at hand. Didn't you say sandroba's posting looked good or towny or something more positive? I forget the exact word. I wouldn't really attribute anything positive to it though, it felt solidly meh/null range. I was just bring it up since I think sandroba is very much worth considering, and you and marvellosity are the ones I think might benefit from reconsidering it. I dont think they are both mafia. I think sandroba is worth considering. On June 11 2024 05:45 raynpelikoneet wrote: Can raynpelikoneet actually think that this:Show nested quote + On June 11 2024 05:39 Trfel wrote: On June 11 2024 05:37 raynpelikoneet wrote: Don't bother, I can't imagine Vivax getting lynched.I should be on computer in somewhat 30mins. Let it be known i already told AZ 6 hours ago i dont think case on vivax is strong. Vivax teaction to case wss also townie. I can write why the case is not hood an see how many people will still stick there. Is there any reason why I should think you are town? I made the best case anyone has this game. On June 11 2024 02:59 raynpelikoneet wrote: Is the best case in the game?Sandrobas reads do not track. He just took the town consensus scumreads and put them in a list. That in itself isnt wrong, but he has just talked anout how oats can be scum if rsoultin is scum, then rsoultin (koshi) is scum, but oats is not on the list. Also case on rsoul being mafia is basically "i cant find reasons for her to be mafia"????? | ||
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