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Sweet Summer Mafia - Page 11

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Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 00:46 GMT
#2195
On June 10 2024 09:45 AlphaZero wrote:
Medic toss a coin between trfel and Marv.
Marvellosity or you 100% imo, town needs a leader.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:00 GMT
#2200
Might also be worth noting that raynpelikoneet's high post count, discussion heavy game without conclusions or real pushes matches his no scumread buddy-buddy play from Day 1 (before the period of inactivity

Sadly I seem to have scared raynpelikoneet away Was really curious how he would respond.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:04 GMT
#2204
On June 10 2024 10:01 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 10:00 Trfel wrote:
Might also be worth noting that raynpelikoneet's high post count, discussion heavy game without conclusions or real pushes matches his no scumread buddy-buddy play from Day 1 (before the period of inactivity

Sadly I seem to have scared raynpelikoneet away Was really curious how he would respond.

Does it being night change anything for you
Night as in the phase, or night as in roughly 4a in Finland?

The former, not at all. The latter, yes, which is why I was mostly joking. It is a bit disappointing since raynpelikoneet was present one minute before I posted, but it doesn't mean anything.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:10 GMT
#2208
On June 10 2024 10:06 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 10:03 AlphaZero wrote:
On June 10 2024 10:00 Oatsmaster wrote:
On June 10 2024 09:35 AlphaZero wrote:
I agree trfel. that is a good post.

Not good post


Why?

The first half is completely irrelevant. The point isn’t whether Scott is town or mafia, it’s if az and marv are town, why didn’t they get Scott lynched. With such a critical misunderstanding, it colors the whole post badly.
Further more, it’s not really a thing to push people at night. Further further more, rayn was able to interact significantly with koshi/marv/az so saying that just because there’s no conclusion that Rayn is just interacting for interaction sake is just not correct
For the first part, raynpelikoneet literally said that if scott31337 is town, the whole thing about AlphaZero and marvellosity is meaningless. Even if you disagree, this is what raynpelikoneet thought, so shouldn't he play as if that is true?

The other points are more subjective I guess, but your first claim is just definitively wrong if I am reading it correctly.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:14 GMT
#2216
Obviously good is subjective but I would argue that anyone who knows anything about the game makes reads and posts their thoughts at night largely as if it was day. I mean, the TL Mafia guides say you should do this.

There are exceptions, like mayyybe you don't make a big post 30 minutes before the deadline, but in general, extra discussion time is considered more than worth giving mafia information for night kills. I'm honestly shocked that so many players have indicated that they are withholding information due to it being night, I thought most everyone knew that is just an inferior way to play.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:22 GMT
#2220
On June 10 2024 10:17 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 10:14 Trfel wrote:
Obviously good is subjective but I would argue that anyone who knows anything about the game makes reads and posts their thoughts at night largely as if it was day. I mean, the TL Mafia guides say you should do this.

There are exceptions, like mayyybe you don't make a big post 30 minutes before the deadline, but in general, extra discussion time is considered more than worth giving mafia information for night kills. I'm honestly shocked that so many players have indicated that they are withholding information due to it being night, I thought most everyone knew that is just an inferior way to play.

Thoughts != push/hard conclusions

You can’t lynch anyone at night, that causes changes in play
Do you think raynpelikoneet is town?
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:37 GMT
#2225
I think he thinks Alakaslam is mafia? Bottom of the second to last page of his filter?

Side note, I kinda like how Oatsmaster dismissed my post and Vivax ignored it. And they're both not committing to a stance on raynpelikoneet. Makes me think we might be on to something.

The biggest lesson of all though seems to be that the game is just infinitely easier to play if AlphaZero agrees with you.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:42 GMT
#2228
On June 10 2024 10:41 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 10:37 Trfel wrote:
I think he thinks Alakaslam is mafia? Bottom of the second to last page of his filter?

Side note, I kinda like how Oatsmaster dismissed my post and Vivax ignored it. And they're both not committing to a stance on raynpelikoneet. Makes me think we might be on to something.

The biggest lesson of all though seems to be that the game is just infinitely easier to play if AlphaZero agrees with you.


I have a hard time taking your opinions as serious so I assume you just want to play with me a la me fake voting rayn on D1 and the best answer to that is to ignore it until you get serious.

Maybe you‘ll tell me you‘re serious but I still wouldn‘t believe you.
But it‘s entertaining
And I'm supposed to think you are town why, again?
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:43 GMT
#2230
On June 10 2024 10:42 scott31337 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 10:37 Trfel wrote:
I think he thinks Alakaslam is mafia? Bottom of the second to last page of his filter?

Side note, I kinda like how Oatsmaster dismissed my post and Vivax ignored it. And they're both not committing to a stance on raynpelikoneet. Makes me think we might be on to something.

The biggest lesson of all though seems to be that the game is just infinitely easier to play if AlphaZero agrees with you.


Is that why it feels like climbing an ice coated vertical mountain for me?
Quite possibly, yeah
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:47 GMT
#2233
On June 10 2024 10:44 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 10:42 Trfel wrote:
On June 10 2024 10:41 Vivax wrote:
On June 10 2024 10:37 Trfel wrote:
I think he thinks Alakaslam is mafia? Bottom of the second to last page of his filter?

Side note, I kinda like how Oatsmaster dismissed my post and Vivax ignored it. And they're both not committing to a stance on raynpelikoneet. Makes me think we might be on to something.

The biggest lesson of all though seems to be that the game is just infinitely easier to play if AlphaZero agrees with you.


I have a hard time taking your opinions as serious so I assume you just want to play with me a la me fake voting rayn on D1 and the best answer to that is to ignore it until you get serious.

Maybe you‘ll tell me you‘re serious but I still wouldn‘t believe you.
But it‘s entertaining
And I'm supposed to think you are town why, again?


I don‘t care if you think I am town.
I do my thing but it‘s not going to be to explain to you why I am.
I mean you do you, but your thing is looking extremely mafia-motivated.

So many suspicious people, unfortunately it's hard to figure out who to lynch, they can't all be mafia Usually I have the reverse problem.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 01:59 GMT
#2239
die_meatbaby on Vivax
On June 08 2024 09:04 die_meatbaby wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 08 2024 08:17 AlphaZero wrote:
I’ll lynch vivax with you oats.

Vote:vivax



Is first time you play with vivax?
I am used to always read vivax first because for me are 2 option with vivax
first when i am mafia I have to get him out of the game as fast as possibole
second is if i am town he is still the "easiest" read for me.
If vivax is mafia he just posting random shit, jokes, memes, off the topic stuff and hating the government of austria
if he is Town he actually trys to tell us his opinion, try to find scummy shit, beeing paranoid about chez but he is not in the game and hating the government of austria.

For me he looks like Town (atm)
you have any other scum reads?
Die_meatbaby's third post of the game. For what it's worth I don't think this is a terribly good way to read Vivax, but I'm curious if die_meatbaby follows this view throughout the game.
On June 10 2024 05:31 die_meatbaby wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 05:20 Vivax wrote:
One cannot not like Koshi.
He‘s the hypno-buddha in the flesh

fewer and fewer town points for you. Maybe I have to reread you filter.
you are paranoid about RL but not about the game. Thats kinda strange. I don´t like that
More posts to a similar effect but I'm running out of time. Now I need to check if Vivax's posting warrants the change but idk if I have time to do so

My guess is that it's debatable.

Gut feels say look at raynpelikoneet and Vivax most. Sandroba, die_meatbaby, Alakaslam, maybe scott31337 and Oatsmaster after that. No particular order on those.

Vivax is just.... so nonsensical? I am really struggling with how he could be town and be like this. I'm honestly willing to give Alakaslam more time when so many otehrs are so sus
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 02:04 GMT
#2250
Expected. Just wanted to get my thoughts out there in case. Hey, at least I can finish my post I guess?

I think voting for Vivax is the most useful here so I'm going to do that. If you are town you should consider doing the same.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 02:06 GMT
#2251
On June 10 2024 05:02 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 04:58 Trfel wrote:
Vivax

Vivax seemed to scumread both scott31337 and Kelsi3r. He spent much of his day 1 trying to figure out which was the better lynch (while suspecting both). See these posts (for example) about his increasing desire to lynch Kelsi3r:
On June 09 2024 07:18 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 07:03 Mocsta wrote:
I'm becoming more and more open to lynch outside kelsier

He doesn't looked bullied out to me as his tone is pretty consistent start to finish

I still think his tone specifically to me is more unhelpful mafia than town, however the nonchalantness is somewhat consistent even after which I am.imcreasingly.viewing as townie

...

I really don't want to vote Scott for mason stuff
Is there a case outside of that?
....
Rsoultin I will give sandroba a read


I think the opposite the less Kelsier does the more I want to lynch him.

Feels like a weird defense here if you don‘t have a particularly strong conviction outside of that.
On June 09 2024 07:51 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 07:46 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 07:39 Vivax wrote:
I‘m comfy with Az taking the reins here. They seem competent and townish to me.

Them pitting Oats against me was a bit dickish tho


If you do this, He's going to want to lynch me and I'll flip town.

Only if you lynch him D2 is this a suitable outcome.


There‘s people I think are around but just choosing not to post. Mocsta and him would be my guess.

I‘m moving to Kelsier. He doesn‘t appear motivated anyway.
On June 09 2024 08:45 Vivax wrote:
What I like about scott is that he seemed pretty genuine as of late. He isn‘t really trying every trick in the book to keep himself afloat just doing his thing.

Kelsier might have given up as either alignment.
Then Vivax has this reason to vote for scott31337:
On June 09 2024 09:43 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:19 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:04 AlphaZero wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:59 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:58 rsoultin wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:47 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:45 Vivax wrote:
What I like about scott is that he seemed pretty genuine as of late. He isn‘t really trying every trick in the book to keep himself afloat just doing his thing.

Kelsier might have given up as either alignment.
town can also not want to be mislynched.. is this 'effort'notion a scott meta thing?


at the risk of answering for viva

if scum's gonna keep posting they want to either

1) try to get the lynch off them
2) shit up the thread

or they just roll over

i guess there's the third option of trying to get more attention so it's off a scummate if you've got two scum up for lynch?

i wouldn't say that's what scott's posting looks like. guy's been scumread from minute 1 and still is just bebopping around
salient notion

alphazero - where does that sit with you?


Well he is trying to survive, to me he just continues to exhibit the traits that o find scummy and I outlined above. Says things and can’t provide foundations or reasoning that can really be taken seriously.


We can even contrast that with your own play, you have looked substantially more town aligned the more you interacted and explained thought processes and your reads have changed and grown as that has happened.

Scott’s reads haven’t changed and he hasn’t looked any better. That is classic mafia trait imo.




I favor Oats more than the last magical time you are making up. That's a change of read.
Rsoul is a little higher on my list as well.
Trfel isn't going to change much today unless he does something stupid.
What's there to change on DMB,sandroba, and Alakaslam? They haven't posted.
Marv isn't coming back tonight from his word.
Kelsi3r - nuff said
Mocsta - I still town read him even if he gets junk from other people. Is still thinking reasonable, unlike yourself.
Vivax - I wouldn't lynch today either.



On June 09 2024 09:38 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:33 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:29 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:18 Mocsta wrote:
one underlying issue i have with scott is that

when he was getting heat and i backed him, he made some posts that soft buddied to me.. which i thought was completely reasonable if town.

my issue therefore is that, as my read with AZ has shifted and evolved, hes not paid attention (publicly at least) to it.. no comments or impact on scotts AZ read is very weird to me.

now scott says hes completely up to date, so its been read, and apparently not relevant - so again. i find this super super weird and struggling to identify how town would do that.


AZ is not the lynch today unless everyone expands their mind. So forgive me for not spending the energy nested into such.

But he's my #2 still - so help me out - maybe I missed a point of yours.


Excuse me but what do you mean by the bolded.


Town.


Yes. I'm town. But that doesn't answer the question.

If you're so convinced we should lynch AZ which I suppose you are by saying that the mind of town is closed, why isn't he in the list ?
And then this?
On June 09 2024 10:52 Vivax wrote:
Considering the time I‘ll just let Kelsier happen ig
He sounds so sad about lynching Kelsi3r, who he was very content to lynch for much of the day, and was getting increasingly happy to lynch until scott31337 did something that stuck out to him as especially scummy. This doesn't add up from the town perspective, Vivax ought to be at least content with a Kelsi3r lynch.

Then, Vivax has a series of posts after the deadline about scott31337 being town:
On June 09 2024 12:07 Vivax wrote:
Scott is never going to get lynched on D2, and he isn‘t going to get vigged either. Going by experience.

Doesn‘t have to be a bad thing but it means we look for 2-3 outside of him.
On June 09 2024 12:13 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:09 die_meatbaby wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:07 Vivax wrote:
Scott is never going to get lynched on D2, and he isn‘t going to get vigged either. Going by experience.

Doesn‘t have to be a bad thing but it means we look for 2-3 outside of him.


how about giving a look on ninja rayn or az


Az lookedlike he was posting forcibly around EoD, rayn didn‘t make himself readable.

Townies can have reasons to refuse to be readable. To be honest everyone has good reason to refuse to be readable.

I‘d guess the masons of the day were rayn and Trfel.

The flip doesn‘t automatically make Scott more scummy, if you were town in his situation you‘d understand why, so look at those who think so.
On June 09 2024 12:17 Vivax wrote:
With the Kelsier flip and if he‘s town, Scott starts becoming useful to mafia.
On June 09 2024 12:35 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:32 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:25 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:18 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:13 Vivax wrote:
The flip doesn‘t automatically make Scott more scummy, if you were town in his situation you‘d understand why, so look at those who think so.
help me out, im being dumb dumb

the only reason i can see is this from marv
https://tl.net/forum/mafia/625928-sweet-summer-mafia?page=66#1302

like.. why cant mafia have wagoned kelsier to save scott equally?

i get in marv of rsoultin, he is expecting the most likely answer is double-town wagon; yet, why cannot it not be an effort to save scott equally?


It‘s beneficial to take sides as mafia here. Or maybe look undecided. They only have two buffets to choose from and don‘t have to be active so there‘s zero downside to being active, preferrably on the side of the one who‘s going to remain unflipped.

Without accounting for players who are time constrained or just don‘t care enough.
i see which feeds into my ongoing concerns with how the kelsi3r train was building

i dont want to blanket discard how d1 unfolded for you; heuristically for me, its really hard to not acknowledge the complexities of having 1/3 of town to barely post for the 24hrs before lynch. it makes it hard for me to then follow your interpretation.

i am in agreement with the other post that there should be options outside of scott tomorrow though.


Right ? Wouldn‘t make much sense after a majority decided to spare him.

My next favourite would be the rsoultin slot because theirs was one of the deciding votes.

Not necessarily to lynch but definitely to consider.
Which makes absolutely no sense given that he still strongly believes that scott31337 is mafia. How is not lynching scott31337, who is mafia, a bad thing? That's absolutely a bad thing! Vivax was seemingly frustrated that he had to settle for the Kelsi3r lynch instead of lynching scott31337, why is he suddenly accepting the "majority-decided" verdict of keeping scott31337 alive and why is that a reason to focus on other people instead?

It's not that what Vivax is saying is wrong necessarily, or in other words, it's completely fine to have alternative lynch options to scott31337. But from the perspective of someone who thinks scott31337 is mafia, and just missed out on lynching him, why is his focus on finding other people to focus on (besides scott31337) and what it means if scott31337 is town? Why isn't his focus on scott31337 being mafia? If Vivax was no longer scumreading scott31337 then this makes sense, but that isn't the case at all:
On June 10 2024 00:16 Vivax wrote:
On June 10 2024 00:14 Trfel wrote:
On June 09 2024 23:53 Vivax wrote:
I have a townread on dmb fwiw. She seems very relaxed tonally.

I‘d like a doc on marv.
I‘d like rayn to play the game.

I love GabeN
Is scott31337 mafia still?


I think so. Don‘t understand his post about AZ if he isn‘t.
The end result is that Vivax is very suspicious. There hasn't been the normal insightful thinking or tinfoil, he seemed very happy with the two wagons day 1 (scott31337 and Kelsi3r), despite the odds of both being mafia being quite low. I would have thought this was even more suspicious for someone with paranoia like Vivax, but instead he seems quite content with the gamestate.

For some reason it took me a long time to understand this. But having spent said time, I think it’s a good case
Gonna take my marvellosity credit and cash it in to make everyone vote for Vivax!
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 02:09 GMT
#2261
AlphaZero, if you're still around, can you go for Vivax with me?

Trust?
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 02:10 GMT
#2262
On June 10 2024 11:09 Alakaslam wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 11:06 Trfel wrote:
On June 10 2024 05:02 marvellosity wrote:
On June 10 2024 04:58 Trfel wrote:
Vivax

Vivax seemed to scumread both scott31337 and Kelsi3r. He spent much of his day 1 trying to figure out which was the better lynch (while suspecting both). See these posts (for example) about his increasing desire to lynch Kelsi3r:
On June 09 2024 07:18 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 07:03 Mocsta wrote:
I'm becoming more and more open to lynch outside kelsier

He doesn't looked bullied out to me as his tone is pretty consistent start to finish

I still think his tone specifically to me is more unhelpful mafia than town, however the nonchalantness is somewhat consistent even after which I am.imcreasingly.viewing as townie

...

I really don't want to vote Scott for mason stuff
Is there a case outside of that?
....
Rsoultin I will give sandroba a read


I think the opposite the less Kelsier does the more I want to lynch him.

Feels like a weird defense here if you don‘t have a particularly strong conviction outside of that.
On June 09 2024 07:51 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 07:46 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 07:39 Vivax wrote:
I‘m comfy with Az taking the reins here. They seem competent and townish to me.

Them pitting Oats against me was a bit dickish tho


If you do this, He's going to want to lynch me and I'll flip town.

Only if you lynch him D2 is this a suitable outcome.


There‘s people I think are around but just choosing not to post. Mocsta and him would be my guess.

I‘m moving to Kelsier. He doesn‘t appear motivated anyway.
On June 09 2024 08:45 Vivax wrote:
What I like about scott is that he seemed pretty genuine as of late. He isn‘t really trying every trick in the book to keep himself afloat just doing his thing.

Kelsier might have given up as either alignment.
Then Vivax has this reason to vote for scott31337:
On June 09 2024 09:43 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:19 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:04 AlphaZero wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:59 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:58 rsoultin wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:47 Mocsta wrote:
[quote]town can also not want to be mislynched.. is this 'effort'notion a scott meta thing?


at the risk of answering for viva

if scum's gonna keep posting they want to either

1) try to get the lynch off them
2) shit up the thread

or they just roll over

i guess there's the third option of trying to get more attention so it's off a scummate if you've got two scum up for lynch?

i wouldn't say that's what scott's posting looks like. guy's been scumread from minute 1 and still is just bebopping around
salient notion

alphazero - where does that sit with you?


Well he is trying to survive, to me he just continues to exhibit the traits that o find scummy and I outlined above. Says things and can’t provide foundations or reasoning that can really be taken seriously.


We can even contrast that with your own play, you have looked substantially more town aligned the more you interacted and explained thought processes and your reads have changed and grown as that has happened.

Scott’s reads haven’t changed and he hasn’t looked any better. That is classic mafia trait imo.




I favor Oats more than the last magical time you are making up. That's a change of read.
Rsoul is a little higher on my list as well.
Trfel isn't going to change much today unless he does something stupid.
What's there to change on DMB,sandroba, and Alakaslam? They haven't posted.
Marv isn't coming back tonight from his word.
Kelsi3r - nuff said
Mocsta - I still town read him even if he gets junk from other people. Is still thinking reasonable, unlike yourself.
Vivax - I wouldn't lynch today either.



On June 09 2024 09:38 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:33 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:29 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:18 Mocsta wrote:
one underlying issue i have with scott is that

when he was getting heat and i backed him, he made some posts that soft buddied to me.. which i thought was completely reasonable if town.

my issue therefore is that, as my read with AZ has shifted and evolved, hes not paid attention (publicly at least) to it.. no comments or impact on scotts AZ read is very weird to me.

now scott says hes completely up to date, so its been read, and apparently not relevant - so again. i find this super super weird and struggling to identify how town would do that.


AZ is not the lynch today unless everyone expands their mind. So forgive me for not spending the energy nested into such.

But he's my #2 still - so help me out - maybe I missed a point of yours.


Excuse me but what do you mean by the bolded.


Town.


Yes. I'm town. But that doesn't answer the question.

If you're so convinced we should lynch AZ which I suppose you are by saying that the mind of town is closed, why isn't he in the list ?
And then this?
On June 09 2024 10:52 Vivax wrote:
Considering the time I‘ll just let Kelsier happen ig
He sounds so sad about lynching Kelsi3r, who he was very content to lynch for much of the day, and was getting increasingly happy to lynch until scott31337 did something that stuck out to him as especially scummy. This doesn't add up from the town perspective, Vivax ought to be at least content with a Kelsi3r lynch.

Then, Vivax has a series of posts after the deadline about scott31337 being town:
On June 09 2024 12:07 Vivax wrote:
Scott is never going to get lynched on D2, and he isn‘t going to get vigged either. Going by experience.

Doesn‘t have to be a bad thing but it means we look for 2-3 outside of him.
On June 09 2024 12:13 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:09 die_meatbaby wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:07 Vivax wrote:
Scott is never going to get lynched on D2, and he isn‘t going to get vigged either. Going by experience.

Doesn‘t have to be a bad thing but it means we look for 2-3 outside of him.


how about giving a look on ninja rayn or az


Az lookedlike he was posting forcibly around EoD, rayn didn‘t make himself readable.

Townies can have reasons to refuse to be readable. To be honest everyone has good reason to refuse to be readable.

I‘d guess the masons of the day were rayn and Trfel.

The flip doesn‘t automatically make Scott more scummy, if you were town in his situation you‘d understand why, so look at those who think so.
On June 09 2024 12:17 Vivax wrote:
With the Kelsier flip and if he‘s town, Scott starts becoming useful to mafia.
On June 09 2024 12:35 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:32 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:25 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:18 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:13 Vivax wrote:
The flip doesn‘t automatically make Scott more scummy, if you were town in his situation you‘d understand why, so look at those who think so.
help me out, im being dumb dumb

the only reason i can see is this from marv
https://tl.net/forum/mafia/625928-sweet-summer-mafia?page=66#1302

like.. why cant mafia have wagoned kelsier to save scott equally?

i get in marv of rsoultin, he is expecting the most likely answer is double-town wagon; yet, why cannot it not be an effort to save scott equally?


It‘s beneficial to take sides as mafia here. Or maybe look undecided. They only have two buffets to choose from and don‘t have to be active so there‘s zero downside to being active, preferrably on the side of the one who‘s going to remain unflipped.

Without accounting for players who are time constrained or just don‘t care enough.
i see which feeds into my ongoing concerns with how the kelsi3r train was building

i dont want to blanket discard how d1 unfolded for you; heuristically for me, its really hard to not acknowledge the complexities of having 1/3 of town to barely post for the 24hrs before lynch. it makes it hard for me to then follow your interpretation.

i am in agreement with the other post that there should be options outside of scott tomorrow though.


Right ? Wouldn‘t make much sense after a majority decided to spare him.

My next favourite would be the rsoultin slot because theirs was one of the deciding votes.

Not necessarily to lynch but definitely to consider.
Which makes absolutely no sense given that he still strongly believes that scott31337 is mafia. How is not lynching scott31337, who is mafia, a bad thing? That's absolutely a bad thing! Vivax was seemingly frustrated that he had to settle for the Kelsi3r lynch instead of lynching scott31337, why is he suddenly accepting the "majority-decided" verdict of keeping scott31337 alive and why is that a reason to focus on other people instead?

It's not that what Vivax is saying is wrong necessarily, or in other words, it's completely fine to have alternative lynch options to scott31337. But from the perspective of someone who thinks scott31337 is mafia, and just missed out on lynching him, why is his focus on finding other people to focus on (besides scott31337) and what it means if scott31337 is town? Why isn't his focus on scott31337 being mafia? If Vivax was no longer scumreading scott31337 then this makes sense, but that isn't the case at all:
On June 10 2024 00:16 Vivax wrote:
On June 10 2024 00:14 Trfel wrote:
On June 09 2024 23:53 Vivax wrote:
I have a townread on dmb fwiw. She seems very relaxed tonally.

I‘d like a doc on marv.
I‘d like rayn to play the game.

I love GabeN
Is scott31337 mafia still?


I think so. Don‘t understand his post about AZ if he isn‘t.
The end result is that Vivax is very suspicious. There hasn't been the normal insightful thinking or tinfoil, he seemed very happy with the two wagons day 1 (scott31337 and Kelsi3r), despite the odds of both being mafia being quite low. I would have thought this was even more suspicious for someone with paranoia like Vivax, but instead he seems quite content with the gamestate.

For some reason it took me a long time to understand this. But having spent said time, I think it’s a good case
Gonna take my marvellosity credit and cash it in to make everyone vote for Vivax!

Ok part of me wants to do this and part of me says this is the scummiest shit you have done all game
Trust me? It's objectively the best play.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 02:16 GMT
#2273
@AlphaZero, thanks, you're the best

@Alakaslam, maybe read my mind? Chupazi hijole? (side note, when you search for chupazi on Google, Alakaslam is the first thing that comes up, I think that's pretty awesome ) Trust me, the reason for doing this is very solid. You'll thank me later.

@Mocsta, c'mon, you too now. Don't try and ignore this. It's objectively the right play.

@die_meatbaby, I don't know if you are town, but if you are, this is where you want to be.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 02:16 GMT
#2274
On June 10 2024 11:13 AlphaZero wrote:
12 page filter is a good argument for town vivax tho.
Doesn't matter, this is simply the best play.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 02:23 GMT
#2276
On June 10 2024 11:22 scott31337 wrote:
I'm going to sheep your case Trfel.

I do want to hear Koshi's thoughts though.
Right, my bad, I forgot you were around too >< Thanks <3

If there's anyone else around who I forgot to mention, you've gotta vote for Vivax. No exceptions.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 02:47 GMT
#2292
Die_meatbaby, do you have a read on scott31337 yet?

Either way though, look at it this way:
1. Scott31337 is town. This means that town spent the vast majority of day 1 focusing on town wagons (Kelsi3r and scott31337), so mafia didn't have to do anything but sit there and watch. In this context, does AlphaZero's play (huge push for lynching scott31337, to the point of great frustration) make sense? Yes it's theoretically possible, but it's so much simpler for AlphaZero to just be town. Mafia players (alignment) don't tend to go through tons of extra work if they don't have to.
2. Scott31337 is mafia. Why on earth would AlphaZero spend all day pushing his scum buddy scott31337 against so much resistance? And even if this is what happened, if he was trying to bus scott31337, then why wouldn't scott31337 give up, since he knows he is being bussed? It's theoretically possible for them to both be mafia and for things to play out like they did but it's not realistic at all.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
June 10 2024 02:51 GMT
#2294
On June 10 2024 11:01 die_meatbaby wrote:
mocasta maybe red aswell
Actually, I glossed over this in all the things going on.
On June 10 2024 11:08 die_meatbaby wrote:
I don´t understand mafia here right now. If somebody claims blue... why do they not kill mocstar.
Marv is always strong Town. But mafia shouldn´t be that scared of him on the n1
Which is it? Is Mocsta mafia, or is he blue?

If anything these posts would make much more sense reversed, where die_meatbaby is thinking of Mocsta as blue before the deadline, but mafia after, no?
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