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Cupid's Arrow Mafia - Page 14

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NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 02 2019 20:22 GMT
#2060
His reentranced smelled off, and EOD he was considering between MZ and Branch. But he was second to last to vote MZ?

ES holding votes for a longass time is rubbing me the wrong way too. I think if MZ got jumped on like he did yesterday it’s likely that at least one scum would hold their vote to see if they can push an alternate

Branch as much as his posts are dumb looks townier. Arguing up to EOD...? Is he really gonna put that effort in as a new scum player?

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 02 2019 20:26 GMT
#2063
I think pandain and eversince are probably scum tbh.
Eversince is still a great lynch for all the same reasons as yesterday. MZ said that push was bullshit. MZ mafia.

-J
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 02 2019 20:30 GMT
#2066
On August 03 2019 05:28 Eywa- wrote:
Nice, I mean, at least 1 of my early reads were good. >_<


+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


-J
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 02 2019 20:33 GMT
#2070
On August 03 2019 05:32 Koshi wrote:
Leave your reads.


I just left mine, ES and pandain.

I wanna go through MZ filter though so that could change before end of night.

-J
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 02 2019 20:47 GMT
#2071
On August 03 2019 05:32 Koshi wrote:
Well if you guys agree on Pandain. We will do Pandain.


Wait.
Me you and bugs all agree on Eversince, you didn't seem to agree on pandain.
Lynch eversince.
-J
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 02 2019 20:49 GMT
#2072
Branch you're more sure of pandain than ES?
Lets figure this out before we die.
-J
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 02 2019 21:12 GMT
#2073
I’m personally more sure on Pandain than anyone else atm.

I’d kill Eversince too. But there is a good chance that mafia bussed today.

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 01:39 GMT
#2075
On July 25 2019 01:54 NoSmurfHere wrote:
Man I can’t believe I’m actually saying this but Koshi has been making a lot of sense in the past page or so.

The best two choices we have for lynch today are rayn and MZ. Personally I’m not accepting any others, as I honestly don’t have much reason to suspect anyone else yet and I don’t really have that many town reads either. I prefer killing rayn over MZ:

I find MZ scummy but I waffle on him because last game he did similar things, where he didn’t provide many reads or vote at all until very late, and was wishy washy throughout. Also, he seems to defend me & jock based on believing the reasoning for voting us is bad and partly rayn drunk posting but then tries to get tube to explain why we’re scum. If MZ is actually town and legitimately believes we’re town then I could see him potentially trying to just shore up his read here but it comes off as extremely passive & non-committal.

Jock I think felt more confident on MZ being scum than I did but now is backtracking (?) a bit. I’ll let him comment with his own thoughts if he wants to.

I’m off to bed and won’t be back for another 9-12 hours or so.

-wherebugsgo


We started with this and then lynched several townies in a row. I’m bad.

both of us caught on MZ day 1 and I got distracted by townies being dumb and playing contrary to their wincon as happens every game. Oh well. Credit to Jock for pursuing that today when I haven’t had the time nor desire to reread at all and rereading is really critical here.

MZ townread Koshi and Tube:

On July 26 2019 11:34 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 25 2019 07:55 NoSmurfHere wrote:
On July 25 2019 02:49 Alakaslam wrote:
From the look of things we lose Rayn.

Not good. He is a strong player.


Rayn when you return please just make cases in last bit don’t waste too much time on defense. There comes a point where people won’t change their minds, period.

Anyway, so people can make associations later:

My reason for believing Rayn to be town are mostly on meta. The case against him is basically that he is anti town because he is able to get angry. And not understand sarcasm. Basically.

Bad case. My reasons for scumreading the smurf is trying to shut me down, and a few other things but those are wifom. Not enough to vote on.

I vote him to save Rayn.


I want to hear what others think of this post as it sticks out quite a lot especially in light of rayn’s flip.

The good news is that tomorrow morning we have a confirmed townie, so if you are rayn’s partner please do not claim until then.

I also want to hear from you, HF. For everyone else my assignment to you is to tell me your read of HF at this very moment.


Ok I don't like this post from slam at all. The whole part about "making associates later" reeks like TMI and this post is basically slam's way of distancing himself from the lynch so that he's on the right side of the vote that he knows will flip town. Aside from that, he literally admits his reasons for voting the hydra are terrible but he's saving rayn, I view this as scummy since it's hard for me to believe someone organically comes up with a townread so strong on D1 that they're willing to vote for someone else they don't think is scum in order to save them.

Show nested quote +
On July 25 2019 08:51 Tubesock wrote:
I townreading FF and Alakaslam. I also townread Coagulation but it's softer.

Yeah Bugs I’ll scumread you for shutting down a player for posting 25 times in a row when it’s a very slow game. It wasn’t like anyone else was around, and You should know that Slam isn’t exactly a high post count player, so shutting him down hurts town. I doubt it took you anymore time to read those 25 posts than it would have if it was all in one.

I think the shade towards FF and Meap post flip are scummy.

Alright so I'm still leaning scum on FF, I think that the hydra makes a decent point here

I think the TMI argument on slam is actually very strong, and I have some meta reasons as well that I can go over if anyone cares to but I'm really interested as to where you're getting this townread from, could you elaborate more on that?

I disagree with the hydra scum read but coag is also a soft townread for me.

Show nested quote +
On July 25 2019 12:24 Vivax wrote:
Looks like I forgot to unvote NSH and vote anything else yesterday really..

I think we can all agree that after that mislynch I don't really have to feel arsed to play. He was rather obvious town.

My advice is that you look into HF and pandain.


Was really hoping from more than this from you vivax, picking lurkers as your suspects is weaksauce.

Show nested quote +
On July 25 2019 17:30 Koshi wrote:
On July 25 2019 08:51 Tubesock wrote:
I townreading FF and Alakaslam. I also townread Coagulation but it's softer.

Yeah Bugs I’ll scumread you for shutting down a player for posting 25 times in a row when it’s a very slow game. It wasn’t like anyone else was around, and You should know that Slam isn’t exactly a high post count player, so shutting him down hurts town. I doubt it took you anymore time to read those 25 posts than it would have if it was all in one.

I think the shade towards FF and Meap post flip are scummy.

This guy is town most likely.
Going so hard against the consensus. Must be thinking aboit the game.


Koshi and Tube are definitely my strongest townreads.

Show nested quote +
On July 26 2019 06:47 Alakaslam wrote:
What a short read.

He suspected Pandain and HF mostly. If he is killed this early, I tend to think he was on the right track.

See subsequent vote in vote thread. If folks want a counter wagon, it should be me I think so that my statements can warrant a reread when I am gone.

Because then y’all will realize:
1. I was town, and knew Rayn was too
2. That I was playing pretty carefully and pretty attentively
3. That though I couldn’t explain why, I was right on Rayn and am semi- likely to be right on other reads by EOD D2.

If Hf vs Pandain well idk I somehow feel they aren’t BOTH scum.

I think what I've highlighted red here sums up parts of my meta read on slam. Based on my memory, slam is absolutely not playing his usual self and he is aware of it and has tried to emulate that at times but it feels artificial. He is much too serious and, in his own words, careful compared to what town slam does.

Show nested quote +
On July 26 2019 07:09 Koshi wrote:
0% chance slam is mafia. If you think so you shoot up in my mafia list so high kites would be jealous.


Show nested quote +
On July 26 2019 07:10 Koshi wrote:
I'll sheep slam even though I dont think Pandain is the best kill. But I dont know who is.


Ok you and Tube agreeing on this is enough to give me pause but I really would like to know what you think of some of the points I've brought up earlier in this post. I'm not going to just sheep either of you without some decent reasoning behind your thought process.

Alright I'm caught up and this is where I'm at. I think the TMI evidence, along with the meta/gut read I've got on slam is the strongest I've got right now. Going to go ahead and vote for him. FF is probably my second strongest read with a mix of Chez/Pandain/the dude who replaced in to round things out.


I think it’s really rare that scum will hard townread a partner early in the game, usually they just townread an actual townie because it’s an easy read to fake. Scumreads they often piggyback unless they’re really bold and active and MZ is not a scum leader, he hates playing scum (although I think his scum play has improved!)

So we can probably safely eliminate Koshi as a possibility here. If MZ did indeed hard townread a scum partner on d1 and then hard pushed him later in the game (and complained about him not dying) then I will swallow my hat, that’s some seriously skilled scum play.

On July 26 2019 22:26 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
The last six hours of Koshi have taken him off my strongest town read list. The sellout defense of slam is not a good look. In my opinion nobody has yet really addressed the TMI piece of the slam case well. And I can't shake my gut meta read either.

I'm reasonably certain HF is town at this point which makes me less confident vivax was killed because of his reads and more likely scum were hunting the other mason. Pandain is still on my scum list but that's just based off of activity and meta rather than vivax.

The people trying to get the Hydra killed are really off the mark here. If anything the Hydra is one of the few people most actively scumhunting. Tube I understand you're kinda playing the devil's advocate this game but at this point I think your tunnel of the hydra is unproductive.


Nice distancing there

On August 02 2019 00:46 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:

But Hydra, Eversince, and Pandain, I need you guys to read this over and seriously think about the lynches you are pushing. Look at Branch. This dude is literally looking for the most opportune lynch to park his vote on and ride out the day. I honestly can't say I've read eversince that closely but I will not be on the same wagon as Branch at lylo.


Very convenient list of 3 names.

I do really think scum’s plan was to win it yesterday by having us all kill branch. It’s kinda proven by what MZ was posting. It also lines up with how damn long both ES and Pandain both 1.) waited to do anything at all (Pandain only mysteriously showed up when I called him out for being a lurking asshole) and 2.) voted.

Just kill Pandain and eversince. GG.

-wherebugsgo






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NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 01:45 GMT
#2076
So ES needs to explain to the class why Pandain is 100% town now according to her.

If we’re not alive tomorrow then this needs to be priority #1 to flesh out. Why would you ever say only one of Pandain/MZ is scum?

Next, you’ve got to explain why, if Koshi is scum here, would MZ hard bus him on d2 when Koshi had a real good chance of dying. He was runner up to Chezinu and it wasn’t clear that Chezinu would even die at various points when MZ a was pushing Koshi. MZ also hard town-read Koshi early day 1 and it’s a read he flipped on thread sentiment (specifically, Koshi looking worse after rayn died & not doing anything & us trying to kill Koshi)

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 02:41 GMT
#2079
On August 03 2019 11:30 Eversince wrote:
I never said Pandain was 100% town if MZ was mafia.. I said I think there was one mafia between Pandain/MZ. Assuming I think Koshi/Branch is scum I can't think both are mafia yeah?? You make a decent points but I can see a world where mafia just bus m!Koshi early on (D2). He was in trouble D2 so why not bus him when it looks like he can be lynch? Pandain could make sense here, though I thought Slam distancing from Koshi was off for the same reason you said here about MZ/Pand.. I decided then it had to be 1 town/ 1 mafia and Koshi made more sense as mafia.. Same logic applies here :p.

What are your real reasons for scum reading me? I've reread and it's mostly 'ES is super low active' & 'ES isn't herself'. I already explain how activety is bogus reason to scum read me several times. Check out Simple game of mafia if you want proof of my statement -.-.. I was super low activity, didn't spend a ton of time explaining reads, as town that game too. If you guys won't explain a reasonable cause for wanting to lynch me outside this I'm just going to have giggle fits when the game ends when I die !


You write a lot but really say nothing.

You think one mafia between Pandain/MZ but this is not thinking Pandain is town now? Do you think Pandain is town or not? Very simple question.

Secondly, slam vs Koshi doesn’t matter at all given that between the two a scum has not flipped. No idea how you can make effective associations between players when one flips town or even associate the two pairs here when only MZ has flipped scum. There is no “distancing” when slam was town and Koshi is unflipped.

My reason for scumreading you independent of POE is that 1. instead of helping to figure out the game you throw out a town of maybes and possibilities, basically only when forced to, 2. you spend most of the day afk with your vote uncommitted and then 3. never follow up on promises (what happened to those rereads?) and now 4. you spend most of your effort pointing me to past games to defend yourself instead of doing anything useful.

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 02:48 GMT
#2080
Also ES you need to explain how it could possibly be Koshi/Branch when scum was clearly trying to win yesterday (why else would they shoot HF and not us???)

Literally the only two players MZ pushed were Koshi and Branch. Conveniently, the same players you and Pandain were pushing.

Now why the fuck would scum MZ bus BOTH HIS TEAMMATES in order to draw the game out when he hates playing scum and instead could just get a flawless victory?

Did you really think that after the NK our lynch would be MZ? It’s the first thing that has gone against the scum team this game, I highly doubt they were expecting that.

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 03:07 GMT
#2082
On August 03 2019 11:49 Eversince wrote:
I'm obvious bad at explaining here..

How is me thinking 1 mafia between Koshi/Slam (prior flip), and me thinking 1 mafia between MZ/Pand any different? I gave up pressure on Slam (not that I ever pushed him real hard in the first place), I wasn't even considering between the two but given I think BOTH Koshi/ Branch are scum I LITERALLY CAN NOT think both are scum there. If the were that makes 4 mafia and game would already be over. You made sense on why you think Koshi/ Branch are less likely to be mafia so I say your logic is good.. I'll re-eval, but my point is it's not unheard of that mafia just busses m!Koshi (who is looking like lynch D2 here). Then none of these guys are driving factors unless you count MZ FF case.

At any rate I've already said I've waffled on Pandain most of the game to begin with anyway. So just to save you time going to look for it, he's still nullish for me but I liked him a little better for trying to deflecting off of Chezinu with me. But that's possible bias, as I tend to not try to read to much into Pandain anymore (I think he's scum every game). It could be m!Pand knowing Chezinu is town and trying to make himself look better. *shrugs* I already said I'd filter later but haven't done so because I have shit to do .



So you think mafia MZ bussed both his teammates, Koshi and Branch, on the day when mafia could have easily won by mislynching once.

Not only that, but also:

1. Koshi was vote #3
2. Branch hammered at vote #4
3. Koshi and Branch were not united in pushing a secondary lynch

So mafia premeditated this mega bus?

What an amazing play.

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 04:39 GMT
#2085
On August 03 2019 13:04 Eversince wrote:
Hmm, actually I don't get it.. Why wasn't I just lynched today? MZ defend, but Koshi/ Branch both jump on my lynch. Mafia could of just lynch me today for easy win. It's not like I have any influence or am around to really defend myself 90% of the time.. Lacking better reason than I'm easy to lynch makes me think even more that mafia play here. They got stuck because you ended on MZ and your vote was the forced vote target.. Branch (the only other option via Pandain [who never actually pushed for him]) was never getting lynched (you t!Branch)So maby Koshi/Pandain? Both Branch/ Koshi (Koshi super wierd because he went from OMGUS m!ES read to 'weakest scum read' to posting a couple of my post, then not even reading the rest and just calling me confirm mafia. This fits your perspective of mafia just trying to end game by ML (on t!ES). Question in my mind then is why not try harder for it? Because I think if mafia team consolidated on me with one swayed vote they would of won last cycle..

Assuming I'm town Bugs/J, who would be mafia outside Pandain then?


Right, what a mystery indeed that Meapak didn’t hammer his own scum partner on a day that he thought he could get branch (most likely a townie) lynched.

What a mystery indeed when Meapak spent the most effort out of anyone trying to kill Branch when he could’ve just hammered you, a supposed townie.

So many mysteries here in your made-up make believe world where you’re town but I see no mysteries at all if you and Pandain are scum together.

gg, you should concede now. Every post you make just makes you look worse.

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 05:01 GMT
#2087
On August 03 2019 13:45 Eversince wrote:
*laugh* You know, as much as I hate martyr, I probably would concede. But town can't do that crap. So you are stuck with me !! I'm not going to fight this much though. I lose hotspot soon unless I can renew and I won't know that until Monday morning. I'll try to prove myself town but if everyone wants to lynch me anyway just lynch me before Pandain because at least then new games can start. If my post make me look worse then fine. I don't care. at least post-game I can say I tried to tell you people! I roll over for no one hehe !


Feel free to do what you promised and filter Pandain & then tell us what to do with him.

You know, cause you seem to have spent quite a bit of time pointlessly “arguing” with me now. I say pointlessly because you literally don’t ever come to a proper conclusion ever. And why make preemptive excuses for things and martyr/claim you don’t care about dying when if you’re town you could’ve already played the game about five times over?

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 05:23 GMT
#2089
My A++ game summary right here

Players

1) NoSmurfHere
me = dumbass
Jock = god, town MVP
2) Holyflare Vanilla Townie killed night 3
Uncooperative, selfish, master antitown plan schemer

3) Raynpelikoneet Single Sexy Mason lynched day 1.
Dunning-Kruger effect

4) Alakaslam Vanilla Townie killed night 3
Philosopher

5) Fecalfeast Vanilla Townie lynched day 3
That guy who gets lynched for being a dick

6) Eywa
That guy who lynches others by being a dick (aka me 1.0)

7) Pandain
Dictionary definition of active lurker

8) Coagulation Replaced by Branch.AUT Day 2.
Coag: hope your dog is okay
Branch: that noob who is a noob (but isn’t) and posts complete nonsense with utter confidence

9) Tubesock Single Sexy Mason killed night 2.
Thought his dead partner’s reads were good enough for a game-long tunnel

10) Chezinu Parity Cop lynched day 2
Inexplicable as always. Inactive so 3x usual mystery levels

11) Koshi
Is Koshi

12) Meapak_Ziphh Cupid lynched day 4
Hates being scum LOL + Show Spoiler +
wp though, seemed very different from what I remember your scum game like...at least after day 1? Or maybe the style of everyone else is now super distracting so you could just appear townie to me. But I’m a dumbass. Regardless wp


13) Vivax Vanilla Townie killed night 1
Got shot cause scum couldn’t figure out the real mason

14) Eversince Replaced Night 1.
Has time to post but not time to read

OBS OF SHAME

1) Conversion
Probably laughing at all of us rn
2)
3)

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 05:32 GMT
#2090
On July 26 2019 02:42 Coagulation wrote:
Im putting my old baby girl down tomorrow. Im hurting more than I ever have in my life. Im sorry I wont be around to finish.




Sorry I misread this post originally. I’m so so sorry for your loss.

+ Show Spoiler +
I’m dreading the day I have to do this for my own pup and he’s getting there himself.


Coag if you need someone to talk to feel free to PM me.

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 12:03 GMT
#2095
The problem with that theory is that eywa also has been pushing for your lynch. MZ's read progression on eywa was weird also, with lots of positive comments until day 4 i think where it suddenly turns to a scum read - but a nice safe 3rd scum read where he would never have to put a vote there if he didn't want to.

Check out this circular logic from MZ. Trying to lynch FF but also trying to townread eywa?

On July 30 2019 09:22 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
It's actually incredibly hard to do an honest analysis of someone who has been calling you scum with literally nothing to back up the claims since like D1. I've kinda been ignoring most of what Eywa has said because I don't feel like giving the time of day when he doesn't have any reason aside from his gut (which helped get rayn killed). It's very tempting to OMGUS a case because this dude seems like a real asshole (hate when people talk about their home sites). But I agree with a couple points he's made today:
Show nested quote +
On July 30 2019 03:15 Eywa- wrote:
You guys post too much... Holy fuck.

FecalFeast has to be the lynch today, I mean... His filter is terrible, just keeps pushing random reads off of the main wagons, but doesn't actually push them hard enough to push them through. Then he calls other people scum for pushing mislynches.

On July 26 2019 12:49 Fecalfeast wrote:
i still think mason should claim because if mafia shoots mason that's a probable guaranteed cop check unless they hit the RB and or the miller


Also, this feels a lot like PR hunting. WHERE DID THAT GUARANTEED COP CHECK GO? Oh... Y'all lynched it.


This is correct.


On July 30 2019 09:37 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
Gonna pick up my read of FF where I left off, this is already not a great start:
Show nested quote +
On July 28 2019 01:08 Fecalfeast wrote:
Well I'm voting eywa and think they've played scummy. There's some smart people words that suggest the hydra may be town and nobody wants to vote with me there.

My opinion is that an eywa lynch is good.


This actually makes me feel better about not going after Eywa now.

Scum team: Koshi, Branch, FF


He's using eywa's scumread of FF to scumread FF and townread eywa, and then uses FF attacking eywa to confirm both.

-J
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 12:42 GMT
#2098
On August 03 2019 21:27 Branch.AUT wrote:
I agree that a scum strategy of 2 active seeking a mislynch, and a third unconnected person as a failsafe makes sense. I had also considered this possibility, but was hesitant to devote too much time in case the game ended yesterday.

Im going to read through eywa/pandain/eversince with thisnin mind over the next few hours.


One more thing bugs/jock, since you have the modt town cred, and probably will die now. Ease name a successor, ro lead the lynch. One united vote is still necessary, and I think this would help our case


Make sure you read MZ. His filter is short but interesting. You might be able to use it to figure out who's mafia. I had a brief look this morning but nothing too detailed.
As for who will lead town, it doesn't really matter because its 3vs2 either way and you and koshi will probably vote together.

-J
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 13:05 GMT
#2099
The deciding vote comes down to the townie between ES/eywa/Pandain every time. Two out of three of them are scum here.

So whichever one of you is the townie: you are literally the game decider lol.

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
NoSmurfHere
Profile Joined June 2012
New Zealand613 Posts
August 03 2019 13:09 GMT
#2100
Actually I take that back i’m dumb. In the final 3 there’ll be someone else if the two players vote each other.

But anyway, we need to figure out which one is the townie in those 3.

-wherebugsgo
The following statement is true. The previous statement is false.
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