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On March 24 2018 05:50 rsoultin wrote:+ Show Spoiler +\o/ Slam!
Town Mocsta Coagulation raynpelikoneet - tone
Very Likely Town disformation - level of involvedness Palmar - could be wrong for a number of reasons, but I like what he's posted since N1 Koshi - think he could emulate this level of play as mafia, however his beginning of D2 gives me good feels. he could have just let the cats quarrel and that would have been perfect for scum Slam - tone from his last catch-up on D1
Computer says town but want to reread Moosy - my impression of his scum play was he fell off hard later in the game while still posting periodically. i'm not getting that impression here, but need to double-check to make sure his posts are leading somewhere Needs review darthfoley - tonally i'm finding him more townish since EoD1/N1. need to really look into the arguments and discuss with rayn ksc - felt he was town early D1 and never really gave him a hard look. even the read through I didn't get too far in. could be wrong here tt- seem to remember he made okayish posts, but i'm having trouble placing him in this game. not a good sign Fuck if I know ykl - liked his early tone. could be overwhelmed as town. could be floating under the radar, though FF - a bit more on the scummy side of null. says i'm scum but he'll sheep onto the wagon that i'm voting on Very likely scum N00b - would rather argue about how valuable he is to town than try to be valuable to town Flipping anyway Conversion
I'm going to focus on the bottom 7 tomorrow (excluding conv of course), and I'll also discuss any townreads that others want lynched. Probably be on around noonish CET? Maybe a little earlier
Noob still hasn't answered my questions -_- I liked the thought process behind the Palmar poke (even if Rayn didn't) specifically regarding how he treated disinfo. Really waffly on this guy. On the one hand, he's adjusted his behavior. Less fighting over wording. Less fighting when we say, blah, this argument isn't important. That's a point to his favor. But just the fact that he hadn't bothered to look at what the flips meant and he hasn't contested that he uses that info to get his reads and that's why he feels D1 is a crapshoot, doesn't sit too easily with me. But given I have stronger reasons to townread a lot of people in this game, waffly isn't good enough to remove him from the lynch pool.
Okay, so I've read entirely through DF and TT's filters, and I'm not feeling a lynch on either. Both have that organic responsiveness that I really like (and that I know for a fact makes for a town DF because that's how I read him last game). From my experience, it's just difficult to be that reactive to all the different shinies as scum because you're not actually trying to figure out alignments.
Which means I'll be removing them and KSC from today's lynch pool.
Which also means if conversion is town (and he likely is but a girl can hope), even if the other three are all scum, I have to be wrong somewhere.
Mocsta, rayn and coag I can be pretty confident of. Disinfo has been super involved. Maybe not as organic as TT for example, but I can't see myself lynching him.
I agree with rayn's point on Palmar. I don't think it makes him lock town, per se, but I think it's enough to leave him be until after weekend.
I think I need to bump koshi down, if not into the 'could lynch today' list, at least into the 'i think that he could definitely play at this level as scum'. There was a shinyness that made me pretty confident he was town last game, and it's not something I can put my finger on, but even though the activity level doesn't seem much different, I'm not as certain on him. It's more of a 'he's okay' than a confident 'he's probably town'.
I'm gonna stick with my toneread on slam for now. I think his posting as he pops into thread will clarify my thoughts on him. I also think scum flips could be super informative. My hesitation on calling him town is I can see a couple associations that make me less confident.
So that just leaves a moosy dive. Which I completely forgot to do @.@
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lol yeah >< that's just a lot of association reads
if this, then this, or if not, then that. NK mentioned there not being much direction but never what that actually meant in terms of moosy's alignment, which i find interesting
that said, my first thought is it feels townish in moosy's odd way
am i right to say your if/then analysis is basically coming from the rels wagon + ykl, Moosy?
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On March 23 2018 10:19 n00bKing wrote: Will make responses to some other posts later, as well as reading up on Tictock's game. For now, he's a perfectly reasonable place for a vote. And since there is already some traction in that direction, I'll happily pile on, and see what that gets us from him.
##Vote: Tictock
This seemingly comes from nowhere. He was arguing with TT beforehand, but the only read he actually made on him that I could find before this point was this:
On March 21 2018 18:44 n00bKing wrote:Show nested quote +On March 21 2018 18:20 rsoultin wrote: of course, there's more mafia in the game even if I'm right on slam (and I think I probably am) I don't have any context on whether it's suspicious for Alakaslam to think that "lazy mafia" are pushing him early game, instead of saving him to be mislynched late game. I DO find it odd that he so confidently named me town in this game. When people voting against me (like HF and Moosy) say they're doing so on the basis that I'm playing the same as the last game. They're right, I'm playing the same as the last game, because I just played my town game for 95% of the last game. HF doesn't seem to know anything about my Town game, and doesn't care. He's just "blah blah, same as other game, blah." Yet while I AGREE with the people voting against me that I'm playing the same as the last game, Alakaslam correctly labels me Town in this game, after all his "classic scum m8" crap from the previous game. Now yes, I pushed him off of his scumread on me in the prior game, and even had him voting against MY lynch target, eventually. But even so, the speed and accuracy of his townread on me here is cause for pause. However, I can't help you lynch him, cuz then he'll OMGUS me, and then once Slam gives the go-ahead, Koshi will lynch me with the heat of a thousand suns. And then I flip town, and people are sad. :D (In all seriousness, Slam is probably fine as a fallback option, with the likes of Rels. From your recent "remove from the lynch pool" list, the only one I disagree with is Rels. I would add to that "remove from the lynch pool" list by putting Tictock in it. I don't have any interest in lynching him. Oh, and me! I should be removed from it too. hehe. I also am not too excited about lynching Conversion, though he's been almost entirely useless, it seems. I can at least hope that he might be useful later. I can't hold out much hope for that in the case of like...Fecalfeast.)
Not much reasoning, but he was clearly fine with TT at that point.
@NK...what made TT a 'reasonable' lynch? Your post about his D2 entrance came like 8 hours later, so doesn't feel like an explanation for this comment from you.
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On March 23 2018 08:35 Fecalfeast wrote: I honestly don't think I'll be trying too hard so if i have to die to solve the game go for it.
Also i guess it does make sense that mocsta should be called town for now. I'll switch to ticktok
I don't understand how you go from this to saying I'm scum because it feels like I'm scum and then saying you'll sheep onto noobking. Shouldn't you, in your world, be more convinced that you should be voting TT at that point?
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On March 25 2018 04:54 Fecalfeast wrote:Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 04:53 rsoultin wrote:On March 23 2018 08:35 Fecalfeast wrote: I honestly don't think I'll be trying too hard so if i have to die to solve the game go for it.
Also i guess it does make sense that mocsta should be called town for now. I'll switch to ticktok I don't understand how you go from this to saying I'm scum because it feels like I'm scum and then saying you'll sheep onto noobking. Shouldn't you, in your world, be more convinced that you should be voting TT at that point? I am voting TT
Sure. But that's not what I was asking. Why would you sheep onto noobking?
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On March 25 2018 04:55 rsoultin wrote:Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 04:54 Fecalfeast wrote:On March 25 2018 04:53 rsoultin wrote:On March 23 2018 08:35 Fecalfeast wrote: I honestly don't think I'll be trying too hard so if i have to die to solve the game go for it.
Also i guess it does make sense that mocsta should be called town for now. I'll switch to ticktok I don't understand how you go from this to saying I'm scum because it feels like I'm scum and then saying you'll sheep onto noobking. Shouldn't you, in your world, be more convinced that you should be voting TT at that point? I am voting TT Sure. But that's not what I was asking. Why would you sheep onto noobking?
Nvm, this is answered by not knowing I was voting for him.
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I guess the more relevant question is why tictock at all in the first place, given your filter.
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-facepalms- Lol >< do you know how ridiculously unreadable you are?
At the same time, I got the impression that you were at least a smidge capable of independence last game, despite the barely playing thing. Here you look at Master Holyflare's mocsta then decided he probably isn't fake-claiming. Then vote Master Holyflare's tictock, and say I look like mafia after Master Holyflare calls me underwhelming. I got the impression that you liked that Master Holyflare had the same read as you on NK and that's why you liked him. Was I mistaken?
The prospect of going back through not only that game but several others of yours is not one that I really savor three hours before deadline, but maybe I should @.@
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On March 25 2018 05:08 Fecalfeast wrote: I can cry about how i should have outed when the game filled up past my slot but i'm here now right
Give me someone to filter and i'll make a read you get one free ticket
Okay, can I get two? The wagons for today? That's asking for more than you offered, but I don't think it's asking too much for you to make an informed vote.
I'm currently leaning toward riding out the NK wagon because there are just too many unresolved issues with his play there. (That and mocsta seems fairly entrenched, lol >< But also the former.) I'll be here to talk about what you find.
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On March 25 2018 06:16 n00bKing wrote:Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 04:30 rsoultin wrote: NK mentioned there not being much direction but never what that actually meant in terms of moosy's alignment, which i find interesting I said I am not interested in lynching him today. Can't see why I would say more, when he is not a critical topic for discussion atm.
Obviously it would be so that I could get a better read on you, NK. Given you're up for lynch, that seems like a reasonable ask.
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On March 25 2018 06:27 n00bKing wrote:Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 04:48 rsoultin wrote:On March 23 2018 10:19 n00bKing wrote: Will make responses to some other posts later, as well as reading up on Tictock's game. For now, he's a perfectly reasonable place for a vote. And since there is already some traction in that direction, I'll happily pile on, and see what that gets us from him.
##Vote: Tictock This seemingly comes from nowhere. He was arguing with TT beforehand, but the only read he actually made on him that I could find before this point was this: On March 21 2018 18:44 n00bKing wrote:On March 21 2018 18:20 rsoultin wrote: of course, there's more mafia in the game even if I'm right on slam (and I think I probably am) I don't have any context on whether it's suspicious for Alakaslam to think that "lazy mafia" are pushing him early game, instead of saving him to be mislynched late game. I DO find it odd that he so confidently named me town in this game. When people voting against me (like HF and Moosy) say they're doing so on the basis that I'm playing the same as the last game. They're right, I'm playing the same as the last game, because I just played my town game for 95% of the last game. HF doesn't seem to know anything about my Town game, and doesn't care. He's just "blah blah, same as other game, blah." Yet while I AGREE with the people voting against me that I'm playing the same as the last game, Alakaslam correctly labels me Town in this game, after all his "classic scum m8" crap from the previous game. Now yes, I pushed him off of his scumread on me in the prior game, and even had him voting against MY lynch target, eventually. But even so, the speed and accuracy of his townread on me here is cause for pause. However, I can't help you lynch him, cuz then he'll OMGUS me, and then once Slam gives the go-ahead, Koshi will lynch me with the heat of a thousand suns. And then I flip town, and people are sad. :D (In all seriousness, Slam is probably fine as a fallback option, with the likes of Rels. From your recent "remove from the lynch pool" list, the only one I disagree with is Rels. I would add to that "remove from the lynch pool" list by putting Tictock in it. I don't have any interest in lynching him. Oh, and me! I should be removed from it too. hehe. I also am not too excited about lynching Conversion, though he's been almost entirely useless, it seems. I can at least hope that he might be useful later. I can't hold out much hope for that in the case of like...Fecalfeast.) Not much reasoning, but he was clearly fine with TT at that point. Me not wanting to lynch TT on Day 1 doesn't mean I was "clearly fine" with him. It just means I wasn't looking to lynch him. I had already called him out for his terribly-reasoned vote against Exo. But he was playing the game some, and I felt like I could expect him to keep doing so, at that point. I couldn't have that same kind of expectation for someone like FecalFeast. Or ykl (appeared to be actively hiding from me). Or Slam (appeared to have taken his ball and gone home). Or sicklucker and Rels (neither of whom had made a post yet). Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 04:48 rsoultin wrote: @NK...what made TT a 'reasonable' lynch? Your post about his D2 entrance came like 8 hours later, so doesn't feel like an explanation for this comment from you. Yeah, that's NOT what I said. I said he was a perfectly reasonable place for a vote. You can do more with your vote than just lynch people, which is (part of) why it's pitiful that so many people here wait forever to cast one (if they do so at all). For most games I play in, voting is NOT required by rule. Yet non-voting players are far more common here, where it's actually a rules violation. lol I tacked my vote onto him to help make him the player clearly in the most danger, and see how he reacted to that. While I worked through posting some discussion points for the Phase, then some meta analysis, and then fine-tuning my scumread on Palmar. Since "I know how to accomplish more than one thing at a time." And while you say my post about his D2 entrance didn't come until 8 hours later, so it doesn't feel like an explanation for my comment that he's a good place for a vote....well...it IS an explanation? I can vote for someone first, and then explain it later. For one thing, it gives me an opportunity to award townpoints to anyone who jumps all over the same post for similar reasons. If I had just said "I'm voting against you and here are the reasons why" I'm not going to be able to differentiate between people who see his posts the same way I do, and people just pretending to.
I'll concede that it could be an explanation. But if your purpose was only to put pressure on him to see what he did, yet your problem with him was a post that you couldn't see coming from town...you see how that doesn't compute?
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Also am fully aware people can do more than one thing at a time.
The problem with your vote is 1) it seemed to come out of nowhere 2) your explanation for it came well after the fact 3) it was on your only counterwagon while you only seemed interested in discussing other things
You can claim what you want. And it may even be true. But surely you can see how it might look to others like you go, oh, he's my counterwagon. I should vote him. *8 hours later* Oh, yeah, this is my reason. Didn't have one before but now I do. <- This is where I'm sitting right now.
And your moosy read interests me because I say, hey, if moosy isn't going in a direction that's his scum meta (in other words, but I trust your reading comprehension enough based on experience to think you understood that) and you respond with 'I think you'll be disappointed'. Now, what does that mean, and why is there some great need for secrecy regarding your opinion on his alignment?
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On March 25 2018 06:51 n00bKing wrote:Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 04:12 rsoultin wrote: Noob still hasn't answered my questions -_- I feel like there was really only one. It more or less amounted to "what did you discern from the night actions?" Unfortunately, we've had very little information about what the night actions actually were, and the analysis is made more difficult by not knowing how many mafia there are. (Again, that sure would be handy to know!) I haven't had time to complete that analysis, as it takes actual effort. Skimming someone's meta is something I can do while doing something at the same time that isn't game-related. Responding to a bunch of posts in the thread is something that takes almost no time, because I am usually posting from a legit keyboard, and type over 90wpm. I can post comments on other posts almost as quickly as I generate thoughts about them. Analyzing what it means that Vivax and HF appear to have been the night-kill targets is a whole other kind of animal. That said, from what I did get to of the comments from Vivax and HF on other players, other players' comments on Vivax and HF, and mixing in some inductive reasoning, I think HF and Vivax being the night-kills would help me feel better about Exo, mocsta, and Kelsier being town. And to a lesser extent, also Tictock. (So my vote on him was only about the fact that he's had bad posts throughout every stage of the game. I voted for him despite the night results, and not because of them.) Meanwhile, HF and Vivax being the night-kills would make me more suspicious of Palmar, and you. And to a lesser extent, also Koshi and FecalFeast. Not knowing how many mafia there are is a problem again here also, because the fewer of them there are, the more weight you can put on what each one's "desirable kills" would be, based on their play. But I think another factor is that if there is an overbearing personality on the scum team (like a Palmar, for example) then I could see it not mattering what the "desirable kills" would be for potential teammates like ykl or FecalFeast. Palmar might just browbeat them into whatever Night Actions he wanted anyway. Palmar's meta looks slightly scum-indicative to me. His posts in this game (independent of the nightkills or his meta) already felt slightly scummy to me. The fact that he so powerfully scumreads someone I know to be Town does not help anything. Do I find anything in his filter that makes Vivax and Holyflare undesirable Night-kills for him? I do not. Do I think it would make sense for him to eliminate those targets, as maybe being players who have played with him a lot and could potentially use his meta history against him? Yeah, I could possibly see that. So that's the player I would flip today, were it my choice.
You are doing something really wonky here with your timing. First you 'don't have time to complete the analysis', then HF and Vivax 'make you feel better about TT', but you voted him 'despite' those results? How can you vote someone despite something that you hadn't looked into yet?
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On March 25 2018 06:58 Mocsta wrote: Tina
Did nk ever get back to u on ?slam?
Thete was sometjing he suggssted you remind him of?
??
If you're referring to the question that I asked slam regarding NK, NK said he had points that he'd bring up after Slam answered. Slam hasn't.
Or are you referring to something else?
Also, please see my question for you regarding your association dichotomies. Were those based primarily on the Rels wagon?
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On March 25 2018 07:03 n00bKing wrote:Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 06:54 rsoultin wrote: Also am fully aware people can do more than one thing at a time.
The problem with your vote is 1) it seemed to come out of nowhere 2) your explanation for it came well after the fact 3) it was on your only counterwagon while you only seemed interested in discussing other things #1 - Good. The more it looked that way, the better. #2 - Good. Already explained. #3 - FALSE. There could be no such thing as a "counterwagon" to me at the time I placed the vote. I had zero votes cast against me, and had no reason to suspect I might BE a wagon on Day 2. Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 06:54 rsoultin wrote: why is there some great need for secrecy regarding your opinion on [Moosy's] alignment? Because I don't suffer from the same "diarrhea of the mouth" problem as so many other players here. I don't make the mistake of throwing around information about which surviving players I have "slightly above null" vs. which ones are "townleans" vs. which ones are hard "townreads." I'm not interested in lynching him on Day 2. 'nuff said.
I'm gonna be frank with you. The last player who made this assertion was scum by a mile. And the scum motivation for keeping reads close to the chest, especially during the day phase, is also blindingly obvious. If you've stated this mindset of yours before, I suggest you link the game/post to me, because I've got less than an hour to poke into that and I can't guarantee I'd find it.
Also, fair regarding the vote @.@ I'm a numbnuts.
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On March 25 2018 07:07 rsoultin wrote:Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 07:03 n00bKing wrote:On March 25 2018 06:54 rsoultin wrote: Also am fully aware people can do more than one thing at a time.
The problem with your vote is 1) it seemed to come out of nowhere 2) your explanation for it came well after the fact 3) it was on your only counterwagon while you only seemed interested in discussing other things #1 - Good. The more it looked that way, the better. #2 - Good. Already explained. #3 - FALSE. There could be no such thing as a "counterwagon" to me at the time I placed the vote. I had zero votes cast against me, and had no reason to suspect I might BE a wagon on Day 2. On March 25 2018 06:54 rsoultin wrote: why is there some great need for secrecy regarding your opinion on [Moosy's] alignment? Because I don't suffer from the same "diarrhea of the mouth" problem as so many other players here. I don't make the mistake of throwing around information about which surviving players I have "slightly above null" vs. which ones are "townleans" vs. which ones are hard "townreads." I'm not interested in lynching him on Day 2. 'nuff said. I'm gonna be frank with you. The last player who made this assertion was scum by a mile. And the scum motivation for keeping reads close to the chest, especially during the day phase, is also blindingly obvious. If you've stated this mindset of yours before, I suggest you link the game/post to me, because I've got less than an hour to poke into that and I can't guarantee I'd find it. Also, fair regarding the vote @.@ I'm a numbnuts.
I'm having the worst time keeping timings right in my head. Yeah, the whole thing around the tt vote is significantly less scummy, especially considering you came in with your reason also before the votes started piling up by the timestamps.
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Meh, and it's 45 minutes before deadline and this thread is deeeeeaaad as dead can be. I still want a link to the game/post where you've shown this mindset before, NK. Actually, the game. Multiple games would be even better.
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On March 25 2018 07:15 n00bKing wrote:Show nested quote +On March 25 2018 07:07 rsoultin wrote:On March 25 2018 07:03 n00bKing wrote:On March 25 2018 06:54 rsoultin wrote: Also am fully aware people can do more than one thing at a time.
The problem with your vote is 1) it seemed to come out of nowhere 2) your explanation for it came well after the fact 3) it was on your only counterwagon while you only seemed interested in discussing other things #1 - Good. The more it looked that way, the better. #2 - Good. Already explained. #3 - FALSE. There could be no such thing as a "counterwagon" to me at the time I placed the vote. I had zero votes cast against me, and had no reason to suspect I might BE a wagon on Day 2. On March 25 2018 06:54 rsoultin wrote: why is there some great need for secrecy regarding your opinion on [Moosy's] alignment? Because I don't suffer from the same "diarrhea of the mouth" problem as so many other players here. I don't make the mistake of throwing around information about which surviving players I have "slightly above null" vs. which ones are "townleans" vs. which ones are hard "townreads." I'm not interested in lynching him on Day 2. 'nuff said. I'm gonna be frank with you. The last player who made this assertion was scum by a mile. And the scum motivation for keeping reads close to the chest, especially during the day phase, is also blindingly obvious. If you've stated this mindset of yours before, I suggest you link the game/post to me, because I've got less than an hour to poke into that and I can't guarantee I'd find it. Also, fair regarding the vote @.@ I'm a numbnuts Maybe this will help. Show nested quote +On March 21 2018 13:44 n00bKing wrote:On March 21 2018 13:30 Alakaslam wrote: List post more often scum than not though. Careful calling them good m8 Yeah. I don't think I've ever made a "most trusted to least trusted" list, as Town. Only as scum, and only when I was really motivated to get other players to follow suit. And if I'm Town, I am probably never going to ask you who you've got firmly stuck in your "townpile." I don't need to know who your strongest townreads are, just who your scumreads are. And you don't need to know about my strongest townreads either. But if I'm scum? Yeah, THEN I want to know who is in your townpile. THEN I want to know who EVERYone has in their townpile. If I'm scum, I'd like to see a list post from everybody. I might even want to see that badly enough to post one myself. Unfortunately, on THIS site, those types of list posts are a mistake made SO frequently by town players, that you can't really scumread anyone for doing it.
I've seen this before. I think from this game? That's not helpful. And if it's from last game it's also not.
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The thing about Palmar is I sincerely hope he's town. I'll probably explain why later. And I posthumously don't disagree with rayn's post on him.
I'm not sure that I'm super happy with an FF vote but that may be the only reasonable place to go, because I'm not feeling TT as scum and feel that FF has a better chance to flip that way. Just don't trust my ability to read him at all.
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On March 25 2018 07:20 n00bKing wrote:Show nested quote +On May 02 2016 19:31 Palmar wrote: If a person claims blue to save himself ALWAYS, ALWAYS lynch him. It is always the right play. I don't really agree. It depends on other factors too. Oh, and on that note, I'm a blue role.
@.@
this claim
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