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Newbie Student Mafia XXII - Page 4

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Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 06 2016 16:17 GMT
#1061
Mr. Cele, Mr. Silent, Members of the Town:

Yesterday, August 5th, 2016 -- a date which will live in infamy -- the United States of Newbie Student Mafia XXII was suddenly and deliberately attacked by naval and air forces of the Empire of Mafia.

The United States of Township was at peace with that nation and, at the solicitation of Mafa, was still in conversation with its government and its emperor looking toward the maintenance of peace in the nearby lake.

Indeed, one hour after Mafia air squadrons had commenced bombing in the Newbie island of Oahu, the Mafia ambassador to the United States and his colleague delivered to our Secretary of harvest a formal reply to a recent Newbiee message. And while this reply stated that it seemed useless to continue the existing diplomatic negotiations, it contained no threat or hint of war or of armed attack.

It will be recorded that the distance of the nearby lake from Mafia makes it obvious that the attack was deliberately planned many days or even weeks ago. During the intervening time, the Mafia government has deliberately sought to deceive the United States of Township by false statements and expressions of hope for continued peace.

The attack yesterday on the nearby farmhouses has caused severe damage to Newbiee naval and military forces. I regret to tell you that very many Township lives have been lost in this aggression. In addition,

Yesterday, the Mafia government also launched an attack against Another farmer.

To many lives have been lost to this unwanted aggression.

Stutters695 was killed by, Mafia forces during the night.

Mderg was killed by, Township forces during the day

Grackaroni was killed by, Township forces during the night

KelsierSC was killed by, Township forces during the day

And this morning, the Mafia attacked Newbiee Island.

Mafia has, therefore, undertaken a surprise offensive extending throughout the Township area. The facts of yesterday and today speak for themselves. The people of the United Township have already formed their opinions and well understand the implications to the very life and safety of our nation.

As Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy, I have directed that all measures be taken for our defense. But always will our whole nation remember the character of the onslaught against us.

No matter how long it may take us to overcome this premeditated invasion, the American people in their righteous might will win through to absolute victory.

I believe that I interpret the will of the Congress and of the people when I assert that we will not only defend ourselves to the uttermost, but will make it very certain that this form of treachery shall never again endanger us.

Hostilities exist. There is no blinking at the fact that our people, our territory, and our interests are in grave danger.

With confidence in our armed forces, with the unbounding determination of our people, we will gain the inevitable triumph -- so help us God.

I ask that the Congress declare that since the unprovoked and dastardly attack by Mafia on Sunday, Augusst 5th, 2016, a state of war has existed between the United Township and the Mafia empire.

#Vote Celest
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 06 2016 17:06 GMT
#1064
On August 01 2016 11:36 -Celestial- wrote:
Hey so I'm in. Day was pretty great. Really interesting panel with Warwick Davis answering questions, spent far too much money on a Viking drinking horn, chatted to a guy in a Deadpool costume wearing a maid uniform, just the usual convention things.

So...the game. I'm going to post thoughts on everyone anyway, despite Race's chaos. I'm not as happy with this as I'd like to be but eh...

Lunaticman - Thing about lynching Grac because of a previous game is NAI as far as I'm concerned. Just salt. Don't particularly like the assumption of Race being town based on the spamming but honestly I don't think it even matters. It was just a massive disruption to the game all told. This line indicates to me that they're not on the mafia team together:

Show nested quote +
So even if he has good reads we will not be able to take anything productive from it.


Even though this is perfectly true it's not something I think you would say about a fellow mafia member so early on. You wouldn't want to undermine their credibility (even if Race was doing a more than good enough job doing that himself). This isn't to say that Lunatic or Race/scott isn't mafia, but a Lunatic/(Race/scott)/x team is unlikely in my eyes based on that post alone, which is a potentially useful bit of information going forward.

I actually really like Lunatic's reply to Skynx:

Show nested quote +
It feels like you are also sceptical of Grac, I don't know if I will be able to trust him. Also I think he is playing similar to last game so far. I don't know if that is good or bad. The big difference is that he is contributing "more" atm so that should indicate he is towny?


Lunatic is town leaning a little from this in my eyes (unless we want to go tinfoil hat and assume they're both mafia and are playing a VERY aggressive game together). If they're both mafia then he doesn't do this so early because you're starting to put yourself too close to a teammate too early on before anyone is being townread and before you see where the game is going. If Lunatic is mafia and Skynx isn't then I think you be a bit more buddy-buddy about the "hey we agree on this!" thing.

Questioning Grack about that kinda weird thing on Race is good. From there on seems to be asking genuinely useful probing questions. Trying to get a game going despite everything that's happened. All good stuff.


silentwarrior - The focus on Kelsier is really, really weird. Like...to me Kelsier was clearly just sick and fed up of what Race was doing. Hell if I'd not been out all day I'd probably have felt the same way if I'd been looking forward to getting the game going. It's totally NAI that he felt like that. But silent went ham on it. He's right that avoiding posting and waiting for others is kinda scummy, but there was practically nothing to go on and Race was just messing up the thread with garbage.

Maybe I sympathise with Kelsier a bit here because every game so far I've liked to hold back a bit at the beginning so I could get a decent read post off as my first major contribution. I like having a starting point for myself, see.

silent then calls out Race for the spam. But it was the easiest call-out in the world because of the overwhelming amount of garbage. ANYONE calls this out. As any alignment. Regardless of the alignment of Race. Even in the one circumstance that you don't really want to call someone out for it (i.e. being on the same Mafia team) you still call this out because if someone on a scum team with you is doing that kind of something you bus them hard because they're not helping at all.

I don't entirely dislike silent's reasoning on the Kelsier vote but it's still reaching incredibly far. Kelsier's actions weren't unreasonable given the circumstances, even if they were a bit scummy. I could easily see a town doing exactly the same things.

Shady. Do not like. Just going ham on Kelsier and looking at literally nobody else.


beentheredonethat - Claimed he was going to wreck people. Then said we should kill Race "before the replacement". That's an incredibly scummy thing to do as far as I'm concerned. Then made a joke with Moosy. That is literally the entire content of his filter, three posts since his confirm. Very dodgy.


MoosyDoosy - Said to ignore Race. It's a fair point to make. It gets a bit weirder later on though. He says he's not fond of D1 policy lynches which is a fair point too and a position I can agree with (though I'd still have totally policied Race for that utter nonsense, it was really getting on my nerves). Then claims he was pretty sure Race was town, then says it'll become more apparent with the next person. Then talks about how Race's spam was pointless.

You know...if I want to go REALLY tinfoil hat here I could almost say Moosy is protecting Race here by playing down the importance of that insanity. The fact that he's replying to a joke about him being scum by saying it's a good read would be one hell of a mind game tactic if you actually were scum.

All of Moosy's posts actually make a lot of sense to me and I can see where they're all coming from. But there's just something here that makes me very uncomfortable.


Race Bannonscott31337 - Oh god where to start...you know I'm going to just totally discount all of Race's stuff right now. I MIGHT go back to it at some point just in case there's literally anything in there to be used but right now from a brief look I can't pick out much that's even coherent, let alone useful.

Which leaves me with scott. His http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/511961-newbie-student-mafia-xxii?page=14#268 ]first post is actually really, really cute. I can't draw any useful alignment information on it because it basically amounts to a town claim, which anyone would do. Though I think he might actually have a bit of a point.

Good point on BTDT. Totally disagree on silent. Agree with the thing about that particular J Roc post. Again really dislike his position on silent.

Can't do much with scott right now. Race's stuff is totally useless in this too. I'm really not sure I like the buddying with silent but that might just be because we seem to disagree on silent; someone buddying with someone you're scum leaning on is always going to feel bad. On the other hand his posts seem sincere.


Stutters695 - Said wouldn't be about much because of birthday. Isn't about much. Totally fair enough imo.

Fed up with Race, like a lot of people. NAI.

Really good point in reply to Moosy. I find him pointing out that Race is actually capable of being coherent, he just isn't, quite a towny thing to do. Because it comes from a mentality of wanting the game to actually go somewhere.

I also like the calling out of Grack claiming that Race was probably town. And challenging the reply. I'd like to see more tomorrow but all I've seen here so far is coming from a town mentality.


J Roc - The whole blue claim thing earlier came across as quite silly honestly. Responding rather flippantly to posts, though quite amusingly admittedly. Early stuff is a bunch of nothing, don't like.

But then calls out silent for that post of his that I found awful as well. Asks Race to comment on the Kelsier vote. And points out the really weird BTDT post. Like this bit. On balance probably more townie than not.


Mderg - Pretty funny first post I have to admit. Also calls out silent for his Kelsier stuff. Also called to kill off Race, frustration apparent. Piggy-backing off Skynx's post comment on silent but he previously called out silent and I can't disagree with Skynx's post so I don't think it's a case of buddying up. Kinda weird post calling out Lunatic for saying 'bus'; although he's perfectly right in the specifics I don't really get any maliciousness from Lunatic's post he's quoting. Frankly I think this is an overreaction to Lunatic's post given that Lunatic probably just misspoke.

Also told Kelsier he should get in the game. That's fine I guess.

Nothing particularly special to make mderg either way here honestly. I want to see more. He's not posted since the replacement.


KelsierSC - Done hardly anything so far. Kinda a fair point for a big chunk of it because of frustration over Race but since the sub still hasn't done a lot. Lunatic called him out a bit and the reply was literally just 'good for you'. Then he called the game terrible. Then say Skynx is okay but doesn't like anyone else.

On the one hand the lurking and seemingly not playing is kinda scummy. On the other hand I don't think mafia is so damn flippant about it. Null


Skynx - Did absolutely jack all until Race got banned honestly. But I like his thoughts on silent's post when Grack asked for them. And he was spot-on with the comment to BTDT too. Kinda like. Would not lynch today.


Grackaroni - Has a lengthier filter than most but there's honestly not a lot in it. The stuff pre-Race ban is a bunch of nothing. I don't like all this "Race is probably town" based off the utter garbage Race was serving up. Also I feel like the whole "Mafia plays subdued" thing is honestly pretty leading. I don't think this is necessarily a safe assumption at all, but he seems quite happy to push town down that way of thinking.

I like that he brings up silent's post but I don't like that he doesn't want to post his own thoughts before getting other people's. I also don't like that he disagrees with it but just dismisses it as 'reasoning a new town player would make' whilst simultaneously setting up to call anyone who calls silent scum, scum themselves. Then calling up people who were calling on silent, despite the fact that he's admitted that he disagrees with silent himself...he just doesn't find him particularly scummy for it.

This is a kind of weird mentality...you agree that you don't like the thoughts in silent's post...but they're scummy for feeling that it might make silent scummy?

I got split feelings on the three he calls most towny. So I guess I can't do much with this.

However I have huge issues with this bit:

Show nested quote +
Right now I'm kind of inclined to lynch Mderg just because I think the three people he has pushed so far (Silentwarrior, Lunatic, scott) have been the townier people in the thread, and he has pushed suspicion on two of them and tried to policy lynch the third.


No. Mderg wanted to policy lynch Race, because he was screwing up the thread. Mderg hasn't commented AT ALL on scott himself because he's not been in thread since then. This is pretty deceptive stuff from Grack imo. I don't like it when people try to slip things like that under the radar. Scum lean.
The defence on Lunatic is NAI because its exactly what I thought. Asking Kelsier to play is fine and complaining about him complaining is also fine but nothing special. Asks for a lynch target from Kelsier. NAI, anyone would want more info from Kelsier at this stage no matter their alignment or Kelsier's.


Rels - Literally done absolutely nothing since the game started. -_-


So right now my things look something like this:
Town lean - Stutters695, J Roc, Lunaticman, Skynx
Null - Moosy, scott, mderg, KelsierSC, Rels
Scum lean - silentwarrior, beentheredonethat (unless he gives a good reply about 'that one post'), Grack

Questions for people!

silent: more thoughts, if you please, on someone other than Kelsier. You're tunnelling hard here and the only comment you've made about anyone else is complaining about Race's spamming.

beentheredonethat: do something. Literally anything. Call someone scum. Call someone town. Ask a question of someone. Whatever. Also I'd like some thoughts about where you were coming from with that godawful call to lynch Race "before" a replacement.

mderg: thoughts now that scott has replaced Race then, given that the last thing you seemed to want to do was lynch Race?

KelsierSC: as for BTDT. Please do something, anything. What do you like about Skynx, for example? Though I sort of assume it's probably the same things I like so I guess that won't really get us anywhere...

Rels: same as BTDT. But bigger: DO SOMETHING, LITERALLY ANYTHING.

scott: Bit more specific question that I'm curious about. You posted this:

Show nested quote +
On August 01 2016 07:30 scott31337 wrote:
KelsierSC Mderg Stutters and BTDT


When you were saying about RB being town and looking into who voted for him. I know this is only the people who actively voted for him but I expressed in thread that I'd probably be up with plynching him given the nonsense going on. Any particular reason I'm being left off your potential scum list? Or is it just my relative lack of filter and the fact I didn't actually get around to voting due to being out most of the day which made you miss it?
[/url]

I think most of these are good points, I don't really want to vote you anymore. I think I'll have to switch at some point. Let me reread some of the filters.
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 07 2016 15:36 GMT
#1066
On August 07 2016 06:53 J Roc wrote:
Have free time this evening after dota battle cup. Will do stuff I promise


Hahahaha, That is one loooong cup.
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 10 2016 10:05 GMT
#1214
I just want to say that I got kinda pissed that Moosy went afk and got modkilled. I think BT played beautiful and would have won unless he had to go to the hospital.

Had Moosy not got modkilled it is very possible mafia would have won day 4. So tbh this was a moral victory for mafia but gg.
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 10 2016 13:02 GMT
#1220
On August 10 2016 21:00 silentwarrior wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2016 19:05 Lunaticman wrote:
I just want to say that I got kinda pissed that Moosy went afk and got modkilled. I think BT played beautiful and would have won unless he had to go to the hospital.

Had Moosy not got modkilled it is very possible mafia would have won day 4. So tbh this was a moral victory for mafia but gg.


Btdt would probably have won, but Moosy would probably have been lynched D4 anyway. He was my biggest scumread by a big margin at that point. Also, find it funny you wanted me modkilled in obv when I did nothing wrong.


It's because the town gained information from a mod. It had nothing to do with you per say.
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 10 2016 14:40 GMT
#1226
Yeah well I just want to point out that if I had, had more time during those 24 hours I got targeted. The Town would never have lynched me. I got extremly lucky I got such an easy CC to make though.

And I agree with Skynx, I think it was horrible the way KSC went about the game. But I mean it is hard to predict how much time any player will have in any given phase of the game.

Lurking can be a strategy too.
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 10 2016 20:03 GMT
#1232
Yes Half was an amazing coach as well thank you.
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 10 2016 20:05 GMT
#1233
On August 11 2016 04:51 silentwarrior wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2016 22:02 Lunaticman wrote:
On August 10 2016 21:00 silentwarrior wrote:
On August 10 2016 19:05 Lunaticman wrote:
I just want to say that I got kinda pissed that Moosy went afk and got modkilled. I think BT played beautiful and would have won unless he had to go to the hospital.

Had Moosy not got modkilled it is very possible mafia would have won day 4. So tbh this was a moral victory for mafia but gg.


Btdt would probably have won, but Moosy would probably have been lynched D4 anyway. He was my biggest scumread by a big margin at that point. Also, find it funny you wanted me modkilled in obv when I did nothing wrong.


It's because the town gained information from a mod. It had nothing to do with you per say.


Yeah, but I didn't do anything wrong, mods did. It dosen't make sense to punish me then. Also, Moosy should actually have been modkilled D1, but mods went easy on him. It was his own fault he got modkilled.


Your taking it to personal, I think when a player is modconfirmed for whatever reason they should be killed. It is really an unfair advantage in my opinion.
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 11 2016 08:36 GMT
#1251
On August 11 2016 17:24 Rels wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2016 17:21 disformation wrote:
yo rels your shot on grack was so anti-town i wss convinced you were scum fake claiming, unzil cele explained why this wozld be the worst scum play ever

I had to shoot him. He duelled me. PEW PEW
I agree it was an objectively bad shot BUT I would have shot silent if not Grack. And silent went on to become super townie during D2, then modconfirmed just before deadline. So it's probably better I murdered Grack than shot a guy that would become a confirmed town later.


To be fair, if you didn't do that I would have gotten both of you killed. I had it setup that way, your early claim when I was AFK saved you because I couldn't CC like I wanted to in case either of you or Grac was a blue role.

I just didn't suspect that you would shot him or vice verse if that was the case. So you kinda ruined my plan.
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 11 2016 09:35 GMT
#1254
On August 11 2016 17:52 Rels wrote:
I played laid back D1 because I was vig, so I would be confirmed town D2 and I didn't want to risk being killed + roleblocked N1 by being super townie. So that's why people could scumread me. After N1 ended I was unlynchable.


My point being, that if you were a VT, I would have gotten you killed easy. Don't overestimate your power. The whole Grac/Rels thing would have been super easy to pin a mafia between the two of you.

The only way for you to survive a misslynch was to do what you did.
Failure is not an option
Lunaticman
Profile Joined November 2007
Sweden1097 Posts
August 12 2016 06:21 GMT
#1265
On August 11 2016 19:25 Rels wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2016 18:35 Lunaticman wrote:
On August 11 2016 17:52 Rels wrote:
I played laid back D1 because I was vig, so I would be confirmed town D2 and I didn't want to risk being killed + roleblocked N1 by being super townie. So that's why people could scumread me. After N1 ended I was unlynchable.


My point being, that if you were a VT, I would have gotten you killed easy. Don't overestimate your power. The whole Grac/Rels thing would have been super easy to pin a mafia between the two of you.

The only way for you to survive a misslynch was to do what you did.

The point is that I wouldn't have AFKd 46 hours of D1 if I was VT. But even if I did that, I disagree that lynching me was going to be an easy thing to do, especially since you didn't have time D2.

You're going about this the wrong way about this: just because people thought Grack and I were super scummy during D1 doesn't mean that one of us was going to be the lynch D2 (assuming we were both VT and alive D2). A mafia game just doesn't work like that. As scum, you shouldn't be stuck on one path to victory. It's an easy (and normal) mistake to make.
Imagine if Grack and I became super townie D2. The mistake you could have made, seeing your posts, if that you continue to tunnel the both of us all day, showing a scum mentality: townies look for scum and WILL re evaluate a lot over the course of the game; it's almost impossible for a townie to be 100% right D1/N1. Scum have a tendency to think a lot more about who they want to push, decide who is the perfect lynch, and get stuck with their reads. It's a mistake a lot of newbies (and vet actually) scum make.

So no, just because you had killer cases on Grack / I N1 doesn't mean you would have mislynched the both of us starting D2. It's possible that you would have made it work; but it's also possible that you would become obvious scum incapable of re evaluating in the face of new evidences.


I agree with you, Im just very confident I would have suceeded. well I didnt have time to do it then either way so your also correct in that regard. But I would have liked to try!
Failure is not an option
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