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Who Wants to be a Millionaire Cell Mini Mafia

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 15 2016 16:38 GMT
#24
/in
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 19 2016 13:34 GMT
#44
Pregame excuse: I probably won't post during the first 48h. Maybe I'll manage a quick readthrough at one point but if you don't see anything: it is not alignment indicative. It's pretty cool that the first cell vote deadline is 72 hours into the game (= will have time to catch up the third day.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 19 2016 13:35 GMT
#46
Mm. Votes being mandatory might be a problem for the mayor vote though.
I'll do my best to vote whoever, but I'll take my warning if I can't.
Artanis if that is not acceptable for you I'm OK being removed from the game before the game's start.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 19 2016 15:48 GMT
#49
On February 20 2016 00:43 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 19 2016 22:35 Rels wrote:
Mm. Votes being mandatory might be a problem for the mayor vote though.
I'll do my best to vote whoever, but I'll take my warning if I can't.
Artanis if that is not acceptable for you I'm OK being removed from the game before the game's start.

Do you not have a chance to check your phone at any point in the first 24 hours? If not, I can default you to vote for yourself.

There is a possibility I do not have the opportunity to even phone post. Thanks for the proposition (= that would be cool
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 22 2016 07:49 GMT
#61
I thought it was starting now will only miss the first 24 hours if it starts tonight! Cool
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 23 2016 08:13 GMT
#262
I read the first few pages and I'll vote ritoky for mayor. I think we should definitely use 50 50 on the first cell since that's where we have the least information. I don't have strong reads on anyone. Ritoky questioning people is what he did last game as town, damdred might be town too cause when he ran for mayor in season of the witch it was much more apathetic. Gotta go now, see you later!
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 11:25 GMT
#585
On February 23 2016 09:26 darthfoley wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2016 08:03 ritoky wrote:
On February 23 2016 08:01 darthfoley wrote:
Well I don't know the meta for how this theme works tbh, and i'm relatively confident that there are multiple people in this game that can read me for my town play.


This isn't really relevant to wanting to or being okay with going first. Why do you want your cell to go first?

Also what do you think is a good cell order?


I think A is a hard cell; Kuragari was low activity lynchbait in the only game I played with him; you're good and you've coached me so i'm wary of you for that reason, and I haven't played with SL before, but spec'd a game or two of his (no read on him).

I don't understand the bolded. Why ritoky coaching you makes you wary of him ?
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 11:29 GMT
#586
On February 23 2016 09:40 Damdred wrote:
@darth I don't think ls is lymchbait either but neither of you to my memory have the best record of being read so far by town. So it would be good to get you guys playing fast and figuring it out under 50/50 imo and maybe one of you ls would be revealed town and then it comes down to figuring out rels.

Damdred one of your argument for using 50/50 on our cell is "LS is lynchbait". Well, you have a god read on LS, so why would you hope for LS to be inno child when you can always tell if he's town or not in every game you see him play ?
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 11:43 GMT
#587
On February 23 2016 14:38 Kuragari42 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2016 14:32 Damdred wrote:
Do you think ritoky is town then since you think he's a good mayor?


Not necessarily, but unless I get some strong town read on someone else, which is unlikely, I figure my odds are just as good with him as anyone else.

No. You cannot think that. You have no read on ritoky nor SL (at the time of this post, I'm page 12 right now) and since you know you're in the same cells as them, ritoky's odds of being scum are waaaaaay higher than "anyone else". 33% vs 50%.
This doesn't make any sense.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 12:22 GMT
#588
On February 24 2016 05:32 Damdred wrote:
I don't even know what yo say now, I'm such obvious time you idiots should be able to say lol the other guy is scum at this point.

Gid dammit why do I even fucking try anymore, fuck it ok I'll be like lazy damdred from now on little to no explanation and guiding the thread. Seriously fuck

Town
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 12:24 GMT
#589
Will finish catching up after lunch! I already have some strong reads, we'll see if that changes with the stuff I didn't read
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 13:04 GMT
#591
On February 24 2016 22:00 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 24 2016 08:55 Damdred wrote:
I'm here, sorry ff thought I was up first.

Ok so I had a thought Breshke did something super Toney I want thoughts on.

When he came back rit was debating when to use the 50/50. It will be 100% easier in that situation for Breshke to go 1 v 1 and either take the loss and do nothing or just try to take that person down.

However Breshke asks rit not to use it so that he can do work. This is pretty town oriented to me it forces him to do more work looking at multiple people. It forces the rest of the game to take stances on all three rather than a 50-50.
I like this thought of mine.

I like that thought of yours too. Mafia would just push the 1v1 instead of trying to convince Breshke not to use it. Especially since there are some more useful cells to use that on.

I am going to look into VA after i catch up. My reasoning to TR him doesn't feel good to me after sleeping.

I 100% disagree with both you and Damdred. The only scums that are OK with using 50/50 are scums that are heavily townread, as 1v1 puts them in a position where the other guy is lynched. Scums that are scumread do not want to 50/50 used as they might lose the 1V1 fight. If Breshke is scum, he is MORE likely to be lynched in a 1v1 than in a 1v2.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 13:09 GMT
#594
On February 24 2016 05:58 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 24 2016 05:56 ritoky wrote:
vivax, if you could pick the ideal spot for your cell to go, which would it be?


Second cause it seems like an easy group and it gives me some more time to solve the game, im already tinfoiling about my kush tr cause of some stuff hes been asking that was bad/pointless/uninformed.

This seems super weird to me because:
- it's apparently a well-known fact that you just give up as scum, so I don't understand why you wouldn't want to go later so it's sure you're town
- this tinfoil is so forced it seems to be only there 'cause someone said you're tinfoiling as town
What posts made you doubt your kush townread ?
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 13:46 GMT
#601
My reads:

VA => aggressivly posting his thoughts and scumreads
FF => kinda useless, don't know. Hope he's chosen by 50/50 if he's town.
Breshke => his posts N0 are scum indicative. Questions that are useless or do not lead anywhere, only for the 3 hours that followed the game start. After that, only posted after his cell was chosen as the first to go.
Will vote Breshke for now.

DF => useless
LS => no idea one way or another, it will become clear when he is up for lynch. Would like Damdred's read on him.

Vivax =>has one weird post, but reading his filter has good posts on Shape + this post, where he says the opposite of waht he means (starts with OWS could be scum for that read progression, ends with I can undersatnd his read progression), which is town indicative
kush => he cares => town. Only re evaluate if he tryharded and gives up from now on.
bum => useless.

OWS => sexy and aggressive like in PYP.
Damdred => rsoultin "Damdred emo => Damdred town" + implication to solve the game.
Shape => This post was super bad. Like, every explanation for his reads are either bad or obvious; AND THERE IS NO TOWNREAD. Every "townfeel" is balanced by something. In short, Shape is giving himself outs to scumread people. His unwilligness to townread Damdred is scummy. He also posted something about "Damdred wanting to waste the 50/50 on our group" several times, which is nonsense but in line with scum not wanting to deal with 50/50 in his group.

ritoky => lots of question like in his last town game + using his meta to read people he can meta (me, DF, LS ...); as scum in outlaw he didn't do that.
SL => bad feeling about him. Super, super different from his last town game where he was obvious town very early on. SL is hard to read though sometimes.
kura => instant vote on ritoky, with shitty explanation. He didn't say "I don't care if mayor is scum" as his first explanation (which would be believable), he said "ritoky's odds of being scum are the same as everyone else", which implies that he cares that mayor is not scum; but he voted ritoky when he did not have a read on neither ritoky nor SL.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 14:54 GMT
#610
On February 24 2016 23:23 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 24 2016 22:46 Rels wrote:
Shape => This post was super bad. Like, every explanation for his reads are either bad or obvious; AND THERE IS NO TOWNREAD. Every "townfeel" is balanced by something. In short, Shape is giving himself outs to scumread people. His unwilligness to townread Damdred is scummy. He also posted something about "Damdred wanting to waste the 50/50 on our group" several times, which is nonsense but in line with scum not wanting to deal with 50/50 in his group.

Umm there are town reads (More of leans) in that post.
Show nested quote +

MY MAN KUSH! I have played many of town games with Kush (I actually think, that all my games, Nut, Newbies 1&2, etc.) I have played with him. So Kush should know me very well. On the other hand, I have never played with scum Kush. So idk what to look at him for.

His involvement + his attitude makes me want to TL him.

Show nested quote +

VA: Scum reads! Scum reads everywhere!
Wow, this guy is very aggressive. He really has not stated why he is scum reading people. But that actually makes me feel like he might be town. I feel personally that scum would feel the need to explain their scum reads.

His attention is weirdly focused on My cell (B) and his Cell (D).


And for scum reads
Show nested quote +

FF: Happy to be "Town", which IIRC, Kush stated that he would have a scum burnout. That prob. filters into that post a bit tbh. Then reinstates it which feels weird.

Another thing that stands out:
On February 23 2016 09:25 Fecalfeast wrote:
On February 23 2016 09:18 VayneAuthority wrote:
vivax and breshke mafia

Deng ninja'd by my cellmate

He does not seem to care about why Breshke is being scum read by his other cell mate VA. I find it strange that FF, knowing if he is town that 1 or the other is scum, does not care about why they scum read each other. It just feels like FF didn't care.

I feel out the 3, right now if i had to pick, I say FF is scum. Does not make sense IMO, that he would not care about his other cell mates (while being town) scum reading each other. Especially since he would know that 1 of them had to be scum.


SO while most of what you say is true. It is not true that I did not have ANY Town reads.

Those townreads are weak. Like for kush, he didn't see his scum game so he cannot be sure. For VA, here is a thing that is weird BUT for shape might mean VA is town.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 14:59 GMT
#611
On February 24 2016 23:28 Shapelog wrote:
Also @Rels.
Can you please explain more about you read on OWS? Sexy I get, Aggressive I do not.

OK reading his filter it was much less aggresive than I thought. I liked his posts though, especially his huge read post.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 15:03 GMT
#612
On February 24 2016 23:39 Shapelog wrote:
Hell Rels also explain a bit more about darth too. I agree that he has not been as useful as I remember. But saying he is totally useless Is a bit of a stretch.
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2016 23:23 darthfoley wrote:
On February 23 2016 20:52 nnn_thekushmountains wrote:
On February 23 2016 16:05 darthfoley wrote:
I know Breshke hasn't posted much but I liked this post of his

On February 23 2016 08:24 Breshke wrote:
On February 23 2016 08:16 nooniansoong wrote:
Of course order needs to be reevaluated closer to EoD depending on how people look so far.
I am kind of in agreement with ritoky's order, but more active people should be put first. D might be better to save just because those are all low content players, so deciding early on them might be hard.


im kind of confused here though. If all the active people are put in the earlier phases won't that mean the later phases are just an afk party.

I thought you would do it the other way around and put cells with the less active people earlier


Why would mafia not want an AFK party near the end? Also, didn't particularly like Kush's response

On February 23 2016 08:55 nnn_thekushmountains wrote:
Inactive people in early cells is bad because there's not a lot of content to go off of


While that's true, you're kinda just kicking the can down the road if you want to keep AFK people in longer. Wouldn't town benefit longer from having many active players left in longer?


You seem to admit that there are pros and cons to it.
What makes one benefit definitively better than the other?
Why does it make me scum for valuing one over the other?


I never said one was definitely better than the other, but I don't think I really mentioned any pros to your strategy, which is why I questioned you in the first place. Unless you consider kicking the can down the road to be a pro.

I do however think that gambling that inactive/afk people early game are going to get helpful and active later in the game-- especially if their inactivity is what got their cells placed later-- is just that: a gamble. With active players (e.g. cells A and B) isn't it a safer play to leave them in the game longer simply because their activity will allow them to be town read/scum read easier and because they'll create good town discussion?

From what I've thought about your strategy, it just seems like it would benefit mafia more than town to not have that many strong towns/active towns late game and rely on low activity players to win the game for town. Am I missing something?

Show nested quote +
On February 24 2016 10:39 darthfoley wrote:
Meh I've gone through VA/FF/Breshke's filters and I don't really have strong vibes from any of them.

I'm not sure why people are town reading FF. Most of his posts about other games or kinda useless. I found it kinda weird when he called Breshke out for talking actively about cell order pros/cons.

On February 23 2016 09:24 Fecalfeast wrote:
Oh so I'm in a cell with breshke.

All his posts are pretty benign questions that don't talk about anyone, just about cell order. If he's so interested in cell order why is he so disinterested in mayor?

Mostly setup talk so far actually so it's not enough to call him scum but I don't particularly like anything he's posted so far


Posts he was referencing:
+ Show Spoiler +
On February 23 2016 07:25 Breshke wrote:
Should all would be mayors post what their cell order would be since that is really the only thing that would differentiate them?

Just at a quick glance ritoky like say without reading anyone's posts what would you make the order?


On February 23 2016 07:35 Breshke wrote:
Rit is the assumption right that you want to put the "strong" players in the final cells and the weaker players in the early cells?

Or is cell 4 more important than cell 5 because cell 5 you have like all the information to go off?


On February 23 2016 08:24 Breshke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2016 08:16 nooniansoong wrote:
Of course order needs to be reevaluated closer to EoD depending on how people look so far.
I am kind of in agreement with ritoky's order, but more active people should be put first. D might be better to save just because those are all low content players, so deciding early on them might be hard.


im kind of confused here though. If all the active people are put in the earlier phases won't that mean the later phases are just an afk party.

I thought you would do it the other way around and put cells with the less active people earlier



I don't think any of these posts are bad, and they give me a towny vibe from Breshke. You don't have to be running for mayor to care about cell order. This sounds like someone trying to work through the strategy of cell order from town perspective.

VA I am slightly scum reading right now... I liked Kush's reasoning behind his cell order and where to put easy/hard cells more than VA's argument, but I am not sure if that's alignment indicative yet. Seems like a mafia thing to want: planting the hard cells early so they just win a quick 3-0 or 3-1. VA's only real contribution so far is that on the off chance we get to cell 5 and the game is going, town will have a better chance of winning. I think Kush's approach of win now rather than later is much more town oriented.

Think we should think about 50/50 here if the play doesn't pick up

He Might not really be pushing much. But he does care about things and voicing his Opinions.

First post is useless. It's setup talk that do not really matter.
Second post is kinda useless. He's scumreading VA slightly for something that might not be AI in his own words.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 15:08 GMT
#615
Actually I don't understand this post at all.
On February 24 2016 10:39 darthfoley wrote:
Meh I've gone through VA/FF/Breshke's filters and I don't really have strong vibes from any of them.

I'm not sure why people are town reading FF. Most of his posts about other games or kinda useless. I found it kinda weird when he called Breshke out for talking actively about cell order pros/cons.

Show nested quote +
On February 23 2016 09:24 Fecalfeast wrote:
Oh so I'm in a cell with breshke.

All his posts are pretty benign questions that don't talk about anyone, just about cell order. If he's so interested in cell order why is he so disinterested in mayor?

Mostly setup talk so far actually so it's not enough to call him scum but I don't particularly like anything he's posted so far


Posts he was referencing:
+ Show Spoiler +
On February 23 2016 07:25 Breshke wrote:
Should all would be mayors post what their cell order would be since that is really the only thing that would differentiate them?

Just at a quick glance ritoky like say without reading anyone's posts what would you make the order?


On February 23 2016 07:35 Breshke wrote:
Rit is the assumption right that you want to put the "strong" players in the final cells and the weaker players in the early cells?

Or is cell 4 more important than cell 5 because cell 5 you have like all the information to go off?


On February 23 2016 08:24 Breshke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2016 08:16 nooniansoong wrote:
Of course order needs to be reevaluated closer to EoD depending on how people look so far.
I am kind of in agreement with ritoky's order, but more active people should be put first. D might be better to save just because those are all low content players, so deciding early on them might be hard.


im kind of confused here though. If all the active people are put in the earlier phases won't that mean the later phases are just an afk party.

I thought you would do it the other way around and put cells with the less active people earlier



I don't think any of these posts are bad, and they give me a towny vibe from Breshke. You don't have to be running for mayor to care about cell order. This sounds like someone trying to work through the strategy of cell order from town perspective.

VA I am slightly scum reading right now... I liked Kush's reasoning behind his cell order and where to put easy/hard cells more than VA's argument, but I am not sure if that's alignment indicative yet. Seems like a mafia thing to want: planting the hard cells early so they just win a quick 3-0 or 3-1. VA's only real contribution so far is that on the off chance we get to cell 5 and the game is going, town will have a better chance of winning. I think Kush's approach of win now rather than later is much more town oriented.

Think we should think about 50/50 here if the play doesn't pick up

About FF, since "Most of his posts about other games or kinda useless" and his only relevant post (about Breshke) are bad, FF HAS to be scum right ? Yet he seems super unsure about that fact.
I don't undersatnd the VA scumread. If the scumread was only:
VA's only real contribution so far is that on the off chance we get to cell 5 and the game is going, town will have a better chance of winning

then OK, I would get it. But that shit is overexplained with stuff that is apparently "not alignment indicative yet".

To me, it looks like DF is scum with Breshke, got shit on both FF and VA, and is waiting to see on which the 50/50 is going to fall.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 15:11 GMT
#616
On February 25 2016 00:06 Damdred wrote:
I think you misunderstood my point about breshke rels. The question wasn't whether we should use the 50/50 or not but breshke said don't insta use it which forces him to do work on both.

Oh. That might be good actually.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
February 24 2016 15:15 GMT
#617
He still didn't post relevant stuff unless being up for lynch though. His N0 posts are useless. His posts start of D1 are OK.
Mm actually it's weird that he is looking through FF's past scum games to check the difference, and not VA who is more likely scum in his mind.
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