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Newbie Mini Mafia LXI - Page 5

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jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 04:23 GMT
#784
On February 18 2015 13:22 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 18 2015 13:19 jarjarbinks wrote:
I think I originally treated her like she was on Rso's level (no offense lol) and I think I should have treated her more like on your or Shining's level.
That settles it, you're getting lynched


lol should I keep going?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 04:28 GMT
#786
"In addition, Tere doesn't seem to be affected at all by the lynch. This is strange, given that she was the main player conversing with Hier in the hours preceding the lynch. Note that she gave only a token effort for finding counterwagons (looked at ElyAs upon my suggestion, glanced at Silverarte's filter). More on this next."

This part could be noteworthy, she didn't seem affected. That could be the result of anger "he deserved it as town" but it is suspicious. If I was one of the hardest, if not the hardest pusher, on a mislynch I would think I would at least be a bit bummed.

I don't think she was that contradictory. I think she was the most set on a Hier lynch EOD out of us all.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 04:31 GMT
#787
"Tere does not seem to separate player skill from her reads"

True but look around. Rso was universally townread. You were pretty townread by most if not all. You could probably say this for most of us. More experienced players play this game better and are better at appearing town. You could make an argument that her reads based on skill show a lack of effort?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 04:36 GMT
#789
"Tere stated several times that we should look for a counterwagon to Hier, but barely put any effort into actually doing this."

You did this as well as Elyas. It is suspicious, but obviously one of you guys are town and you all did it xD While I think mafia is definitely in your group, obviously a town person did this. Thinking about it now hurts my scumreads on the three of you... lol

I need to go to sleep lol I'll be on for a few more minutes if you want to keep chattin lol
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 04:41 GMT
#791
On February 18 2015 13:33 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 18 2015 13:31 jarjarbinks wrote:
"Tere does not seem to separate player skill from her reads"

True but look around. Rso was universally townread. You were pretty townread by most if not all. You could probably say this for most of us. More experienced players play this game better and are better at appearing town. You could make an argument that her reads based on skill show a lack of effort?
That's precisely the argument. It takes no effort to say what makes sense, what sounds right. But the goal isn't to lynch the person who says incorrect things, the goal is to lynch the mafia. I didn't see that in Tere's filter on Day 1.


Agreed, and her latest reads have you two at the top again.

Most effort in her latest post is on Shining which is good. Do you think that scumread took a lot of effort?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 04:45 GMT
#793
On February 18 2015 13:38 Trfel wrote:
Stay up for a few more minutes please?

Thanks a bunch for answering my request. I took a cursory look at your posts, I'll definitely take a more through look tomorrow. (tonight I am reading ElyAs, tomorrow on to other people)


It's all good. Thoughts on Elyas so far?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 04:55 GMT
#795
On February 18 2015 13:45 Trfel wrote:
Jarjarbinks, I feel like getting an accurate read on you is going to be extremely difficult. Allow me to explain why.

I feel like we base our play around completely different things, and we look for entirely different things. Thus, for me to get an accurate read on you, I have to do it by your standards, but I'm having trouble figuring out how to go about that. The biggest example of this is that you immediately dismissed my case on Tere because I myself am guilty of some of the things I mentioned in the case. I place a ton of value on subjective arguments and the validity of various arguments, as well as the level of critical thinking shown. Meanwhile, I'm under the impression that you look for more reasons that are purely objective, such as votes, night kills, and numbers. Is this a correct assessment?

I don't know if you are town based on filter length alone. I don't know if you are town based on potentially fooling rsoultin. I have no scumgame of yours to look at for information. Therefore, the more reads you can provide, it would help a ton. I really really want to get this lynch, and it's going to require ALL townies to raise their game. I know that I'm going to try and put in a ton more effort.

What is your overall conclusion on my case on Tere? Is it good or bad? How does this affect your stance on Tere and myself, and why?

Thanks a ton for being willing to discuss with me. It's immensely helpful.


It's cool. Yes lol I look at objective things more than subjective, because well I suck at the subjective. I'm trying to get better as these games go on but honestly this game is not my forte. I've spent more hours building a spreadsheet that most vets disapprove of lol I haven't gone a game where people besides my sister think i'm actually town. Null maybe? Town definitely not lol

I actually have never played scum so I can't help you there lol The only thing I can think of doing is provide you as much information as possible.

I think I was being devil's advocate when commenting on your case lol You made some points I agree on. The effort thing is something to look into. She has a pretty high filter, but effort on scumhunting is what matters. I'm not suspicious enough to lynch her at the moment, but I would favor her over zfelin for sure lol
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 04:58 GMT
#797
Man our brains do not work similiarly lol

I'll go reread his filter. Sleep is for the weak.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 05:00 GMT
#799
On February 15 2015 20:08 ElyAs wrote:
Actually, I'm gonna elaborate on this.

Although I don't like Trfel's opening, he is clearly trying to start discussions so I can't scumread him for that. I'm just gonna keep this in mind for later, but not gonna vote for him day 1.

Shining posted a bit and disappeared, his last post was hinting towards "I'm gonna post more later", I expect you to do it. Until then nullread

Rsoultin
discussed with Trfel, then with jarjar, she is asking questions, which what I'd expect from town.

jarjarbinks is sharing his insight on rsoultin's demand, but apart from that, not a lot of content. What do you think of Hier's plan ?

Hier only posted his plan, and I've given my thoughts on that.


I like this post. Makes me think he is thinking through the game relatively well. Especially his comment on me lol
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 05:08 GMT
#800
On February 18 2015 13:58 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 18 2015 13:55 jarjarbinks wrote:
On February 18 2015 13:45 Trfel wrote:
Jarjarbinks, I feel like getting an accurate read on you is going to be extremely difficult. Allow me to explain why.

I feel like we base our play around completely different things, and we look for entirely different things. Thus, for me to get an accurate read on you, I have to do it by your standards, but I'm having trouble figuring out how to go about that. The biggest example of this is that you immediately dismissed my case on Tere because I myself am guilty of some of the things I mentioned in the case. I place a ton of value on subjective arguments and the validity of various arguments, as well as the level of critical thinking shown. Meanwhile, I'm under the impression that you look for more reasons that are purely objective, such as votes, night kills, and numbers. Is this a correct assessment?

I don't know if you are town based on filter length alone. I don't know if you are town based on potentially fooling rsoultin. I have no scumgame of yours to look at for information. Therefore, the more reads you can provide, it would help a ton. I really really want to get this lynch, and it's going to require ALL townies to raise their game. I know that I'm going to try and put in a ton more effort.

What is your overall conclusion on my case on Tere? Is it good or bad? How does this affect your stance on Tere and myself, and why?

Thanks a ton for being willing to discuss with me. It's immensely helpful.


It's cool. Yes lol I look at objective things more than subjective, because well I suck at the subjective. I'm trying to get better as these games go on but honestly this game is not my forte. I've spent more hours building a spreadsheet that most vets disapprove of lol I haven't gone a game where people besides my sister think i'm actually town. Null maybe? Town definitely not lol

I actually have never played scum so I can't help you there lol The only thing I can think of doing is provide you as much information as possible.

I think I was being devil's advocate when commenting on your case lol You made some points I agree on. The effort thing is something to look into. She has a pretty high filter, but effort on scumhunting is what matters. I'm not suspicious enough to lynch her at the moment, but I would favor her over zfelin for sure lol
Okay, thanks. I'll have to accept the fact that you are probably town. Though I hope you understand that I still need to make a detailed check of your filter and your past games.

As to the last part of my question, how did this discussion and my case on Tere affect your read on me? And far more importantly, why? (note that there is no set right/wrong answer to this question, I'm interested in the explanation).

Then you can go to sleep XD


Lol Despite not agreeing with a lot of things you have said, your have definitely shown the most effort in scumhunting to this point. I was there in your last scumgame and if you are scum then this is massive improvement. Like beyond massive. There were some actions you took that I disapprove of (#1 being your actions EOD on D1, but you at least were around at the end), but since then you have honestly been scumhunting and scumhunting hard. I'd be blind not to see that lol

Your argument was a subset of that. Some of your reads weren't exactly strong. If you voted Tere based off your argument I wouldn't join. I want to see what her plan that she was talking about is. I also want to see her reaction to all of these scumreads. But the amount of effort you took in making it strengthen's your case for being town.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 05:13 GMT
#801
Vote post was more solid than I remember. Props Elyas, that was a decent argument.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 05:23 GMT
#803
The multiple posts that "distance" himself from Hier is what got me bent on Elyas being scum. What do you think about those? I count about 3 different distance posts.

I see this two ways:

1: Distances himself. Makes an easy but decent case on zfelin. Talks about maybe Tere being bad, but doesn't really muster an argument. Looks like he's scumhunting when isn't.

2: Actually believes what he says. Waffles on Hier. Makes an easy but decent case on Zfelin and realizes its not super strong. Moves on to Tere, but doesn't make a case due to Shining switching. This is definitely possible, my only problem with this outlook is that Elyas' case on Tere seems lacking compared to the other two cases he already made. The points ring a bit, but do you see how it has less effort? I'll attach it below this post as I still suck at formatting lol

Obviously I originally thought #1 was more likely. Maybe I'm wrong. Let me know your thoughts.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 05:27 GMT
#804
On February 18 2015 02:38 ElyAs wrote:
First, I've been following from my intention to check Hier's posts on Tere. Tere did vote for Hier really fast, but this is where I think I'm drowning in WIFOM. Would a newcomer mafia autovote on such an obvious wagon ? At that point the count was : 3 votes for Hier and quite the pressure building on him. I don't know where this train of thought is leading me, though.

Tere's case on Hier is also mostly stuff we have said about Hier, be it rsoultin's case or the OMGUSy vote.

I'm not sold on this, but I'm adding Tere on my lynch pool.

I think rsoultin's case on Hier was good and Hier's vote for rsoultin was misguided.
I think you're town, rsoultin, and I really hope it's the case, because if you're scum you're gonna be hard to catch :p


This was the case I was mentioning. Maybe Elyas didn't get too far in his Tere case before the Shining switch, then gave up and looked at Tere fresh before this post. Still this case seems worse than the other two he made.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 23:09 GMT
#888
Read up from last night. I'll answer questions and then go to comments.

Tere you still up?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 23:26 GMT
#891
On February 19 2015 07:03 zlefin wrote:
I've for the most part (aside from the couple posts mentioned a short while ago) liked Tere's responses of late, so I'm giving her a town point;

here's where my point totals are now:
Trfel 0/2
Shining 1/1
rsoultin 1/1 dead town N1
elyas -1/1
jarjar -1/3
tere -1/3
hier 0/2 dead town D1
silver -1/1

as a reminder, not all points area created equal, it simply means I at one time or another had a feel one way or another. Some feels are stronger than others, and I haven't yet figured out a system for letting points decay over time, or if I even should have points decay over time.

I'm going to put this in another format:

Townish: Shining
Neutral: Trfel, Jarjar, tere
Scummish: elyas, silver


Question for everyone: In terms of the above 3 categories (townish, neutral, or scummish) how would you classify each other remaining player?
If you could format it similarly to above, so it's easier to read and compare them, please do so.

Jarjar, you seem to like data and tables, would having that data from each player be helpful to you, given that they're merely statements and not votes?


Sorry zfelin, I can't pick up what your asking here lol Are you saying your datas and tables is helpful to me? It is helpful. My primary concern with it is with the data part (the part you put points to) is bolded, but we can talk about that after game if you like. Adding the table underneath that helps me understand a little bit which points are more important than others.

What you have done since the beginning of N1 has definitely helped me understand what you are thinking. Thanks for that.

You didn't ask for a read, but I do think you are more towny since I voted for you EOD in D1. You responded well to a couple people's criticism and scumreading which is good (doesn't help your alignment too much, but it does help town scumhunt by keeping their focus off of you for bad reasons) Some of your points have been pretty good (after D1), especially from a 1st timer perspective. I like what I'm seeing. You are also asking questions that promote discussion which is also good. Your scumreads make sense.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 23:30 GMT
#894
On February 19 2015 08:21 Tere wrote:
Yes, but I need to go to bed soon. What do you need?

(what I need from you is to reach out to us. I think I get where you are coming from but it's liking parsing Earth to Martian. If you can't speak your language to talk to me, pretend I'm your sister, that was very insightful, not perfect but a reasonable base to start from)

I'll get a cup of coffee. You are my second strongest townread right now so what do you need from me?


Your filter is ridicously long since last night lol which is definatley a good thing. Hard for scum to BS for an entire day lol

I think you ended up on silver and shining. Silver hasn't posted yet, and you got in a piss argument. Do you see them as a possible scumteam? Two lurkers seems off for a scumteam, but it is possible. IF they can't be a scumteam, would you pick one over the other? I'm thinking silver over Shining, although both of their behaviors are similar to the games I have played with them in.

Do you feel like you might be tunneling Shining?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 23:35 GMT
#897
Shining you aren't actually quitting right? We've already had 1 replacement. Think about the other players in this game.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 18 2015 23:57 GMT
#910
On February 19 2015 08:48 Tere wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 19 2015 08:30 jarjarbinks wrote:
On February 19 2015 08:21 Tere wrote:
Yes, but I need to go to bed soon. What do you need?

(what I need from you is to reach out to us. I think I get where you are coming from but it's liking parsing Earth to Martian. If you can't speak your language to talk to me, pretend I'm your sister, that was very insightful, not perfect but a reasonable base to start from)

I'll get a cup of coffee. You are my second strongest townread right now so what do you need from me?


Your filter is ridicously long since last night lol which is definatley a good thing. Hard for scum to BS for an entire day lol

I think you ended up on silver and shining. Silver hasn't posted yet, and you got in a piss argument. Do you see them as a possible scumteam? Two lurkers seems off for a scumteam, but it is possible. IF they can't be a scumteam, would you pick one over the other? I'm thinking silver over Shining, although both of their behaviors are similar to the games I have played with them in.

Do you feel like you might be tunneling Shining?


I think you've gotten muddled up, both those people have posted since then. Silver has posted a WOT that I don't feel is strong. The Shining has aggroed on me. If I am honest I wouldn't say either of them were lurkers, per se,

I wouldn't say I'm tunnelling Shining right now. I haven't constructed a case yet - I am leaving that quite deliberately. As the person who entered Day 2 with the most scum reads, I shouldn't be generating cases right now.

What I want to do now is sleep and give people room to post for 8-12 hours. I have opinions, but I would rather people came to independent conclusions. It's easy for scum to refute conclusions, less easy to drive their own agenda.

Having said that, I'd love a loose read from you once you've combed through everything. You are a town read, but your thought processes are somewhat alien to me. I need to understand where you are coming from more I think. Night night


They have posted, but I figured the posts they made changed your view on them lol Silver posted once and left and Shining is still tunneled on you so I figured your opinion of him prob got worse if anything else.

I've got some work to do on here. I haven't given a thorough enough read on silver and she deserves one.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 19 2015 00:15 GMT
#919
On February 17 2015 13:27 Silverarte wrote:
Hmm, ok. So I'm going to start posting this stuff up as I get my thoughts in order (and hopefully without random copy/paste cut offs!)

Let's see. I'll post up thoughts on Tere first! (Then Tere, I'll give you my thoughts for everyone since I did see you asked for that as well as Trfel. Also, by the way? HILARIOUS gifs! Loved coming back to those.)

ALright, so back to the read on Tere here.

-Jump on the bandwagon with Hier. Later, seems relatively unaffected considering all the effort placed here. Note, I'm not going to stare sideways too much for that one with Hier. That was a lynch gone bad, or so it felt to me with the way Hier was reacting.
-Scumread list definitely is skewed to the most experienced players at the top (I did peek at your post Trfel before popping this up - darn you for being faster than me this round!), but I feel Zlefin may not be a bad read where she placed him. I think at this point, I'd really like to see what Tere has to say here.
-I think my biggest issue where Tere is, really is in the communication with Hier, the scum reading and then yes, the counter wagon that was met with little to no attempts. But, this could be attributed to tunneling. I just think a lot of effort went into this here, with little attempts to other things she said. It does come off as contradicting itself.


I agree with suspicion here, but I'm not sure Tere is an immediate lynch. Like I said, I'd really like to see what Tere has to say and go from there. I'm suspicious, but I some of the others catch my eye a bit more. I'm not all that unconvinced that you are on the wrong track, Trfel.


Is this true? Do you actually have stronger scumreads? Is it just Zlefin or were you just saying that to make your say without leaving too much of a mark? Give that slight scumread and then lurk away?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 19 2015 05:56 GMT
#1038
Poop I just got back. Promised a silver filter read earlier and haven't done it. I'll go through it and call it a night lol

Trf: Ya If I remember right I initially read Shining as one of my top two scum early game and switched it in the post you quoted.

Let me know if you got questions while I dive. Might be a quick filter dive cuz its silver lolz

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