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TL Mafia LXI - Page 11

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:10 GMT
#1944
On April 26 2013 12:06 GiygaS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 26 2013 11:49 Ace wrote:
I do not push for an Oats/yamato hammer there. That is blatant lying.


Show nested quote +
On April 23 2013 06:37 Ace wrote:
To all you people lurking the thread lets get some consensus going. Right now I've got my vote on yamato but Vivax's case on Oats looks like an even better lynch. These are our top two suspects at the moment and imo, our best 2. do not stall these fucking wagons unless you've got a really good case of your own. Else wise the discussion should be focused on these two for now. Arguments for/against either of them will be greatly appreciated.


Show nested quote +
On April 23 2013 10:01 Ace wrote:
On April 23 2013 09:18 Vivax wrote:
Vivax → Case
Ace → prefers Oats, initially pushed yamato
CC → announces to look through yamato and Oats
VE → Would get behind Oats lynch
Kush → prefers yamato
Giyga → Ask Oats question about earlier vote against him
OO → Prefers yamato
Rayn → Prefers oats
Kush → Changes mind to lynching Oats
Palmar → Could do Oats. Also, VE is scum.
Giyga → Announces delay in looking through them
WoS → Says VE is scum, mentions something scummy about Oats. Worried about Oats posting something about yamato
Yamato → Said Oats could be scum earlier, VE IS SCUM but pops in and says BC and Ace could both be mafia. Bleh.
Getmoript → votes yamato
BM → Votes yamato
TRN → Votes yamato for martyring
Giyga → Prefers Oats
WoS → Claims to prefer Oats.
Kush → Actual change of vote to Oats


Ones in bold need to follow through and vote for Oats.

Stop lying.

GiygaS telling to consolidate onto main targets or to make a good case on someone else is another thing than to tell "you need to hammer one of those guys".
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:17 GMT
#1950
On April 26 2013 12:14 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 26 2013 12:08 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Apparently i can't sleep. :E

Ace: I think you are being kinda wishy-washy regarding me. I don't like you saying i'm "temporarily cleared because of activity". If you think i'm town say so, if you think i'm scum, say so, if think i'm null, say so, but don't "clear" me for now because of activity. as you have said, activity has nothing to do with someone being scum/town.

I don't like ShiaoPi lynch as much as Clarity as why i have said earlier (ignore the VE voting for him part), mainly because of my analysis of the NK's at the start of D2. I want to hear more from yamato/BC regarding BC's case, i think yamato's answer was weak, he just said "no U scum, i'll tell more later". I could write something about WoS, but not tonight. I think he has a fair chance of flipping mafia, but Clarity is more likely imo.

I didn't like how Mr.CheeseCake accepted geript's case on GiygaS, as the case was full of nothing. I want him to tell why he did so.


I think you're Town but I always think in terms of leaning/Protown and Confirmed Town. So when I say temporarily cleared it doesn't mean you are Scum - just me really saying you aren't confirmed. I'll try to be more clear from now on.

I'm liking ShiaoPi more than Clarity because of the Oats wagon. But Vivax accused them both so it's not a big deal for either wagon especially when both are just chilling right now. Yamato still missing is of course a big deal.

Why is this as we can't know if yamato is mafia or not?
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:22 GMT
#1954
On April 26 2013 12:18 ObviousOne wrote:
BM Palmar ShiaoPi GiygaS

90% of the game of Mafia is half skill. The other half is reading.

BOOM!

I kinda think all of those guys are town. :¤
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:22 GMT
#1956
On April 26 2013 12:20 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 26 2013 12:17 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On April 26 2013 12:14 Ace wrote:
On April 26 2013 12:08 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Apparently i can't sleep. :E

Ace: I think you are being kinda wishy-washy regarding me. I don't like you saying i'm "temporarily cleared because of activity". If you think i'm town say so, if you think i'm scum, say so, if think i'm null, say so, but don't "clear" me for now because of activity. as you have said, activity has nothing to do with someone being scum/town.

I don't like ShiaoPi lynch as much as Clarity as why i have said earlier (ignore the VE voting for him part), mainly because of my analysis of the NK's at the start of D2. I want to hear more from yamato/BC regarding BC's case, i think yamato's answer was weak, he just said "no U scum, i'll tell more later". I could write something about WoS, but not tonight. I think he has a fair chance of flipping mafia, but Clarity is more likely imo.

I didn't like how Mr.CheeseCake accepted geript's case on GiygaS, as the case was full of nothing. I want him to tell why he did so.


I think you're Town but I always think in terms of leaning/Protown and Confirmed Town. So when I say temporarily cleared it doesn't mean you are Scum - just me really saying you aren't confirmed. I'll try to be more clear from now on.

I'm liking ShiaoPi more than Clarity because of the Oats wagon. But Vivax accused them both so it's not a big deal for either wagon especially when both are just chilling right now. Yamato still missing is of course a big deal.

Why is this as we can't know if yamato is mafia or not?


I don't understand. how does yamato flipping correlate with Shiaopi over Clarity because of the Oats wagon?

Oh yeah. You mean you assume there is at least one scum in Oats wagon right? That's fair.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:31 GMT
#1961
On April 26 2013 12:26 Ace wrote:
yes. Maybe you missed the post I made earlier but basically it was Oats (Town) was accused by Vivax (Town) and gets lynched by 13 players. I doubt all 13 are Town because that would be incredible luck and insight on Scum's behalf to all miss that vote. Hence we should look at who is on the wagon. Combine it with Vivax, the only N1 death meaning someone really wanted him dead because of his accusations, and he was right about something. Combine those seperate threads of thought/looking for scum and thats how I got to the points I'm at.

Yeah i understand it now. However, whatever yamato is, i doubt all scum were on Oats wagon. That's why i think this tells little about Clarity/ShiaoPi and their chances of being mafia (i mean, their chances of being scum just by analyzing D1 wagons as numbers). One thing that bothers me is people saying ShiaoPi is mafia because he hammered Oats (especially if yamato is town). Oats was L-1 and we were waiting players to consolidate, don't you think scum would be more careful with hammer in that situation?
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:33 GMT
#1966
BM just read the thread and give us your thoughts then please.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:36 GMT
#1970
Actually BM, do not read. This is way more funny. :D
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:45 GMT
#1975
On April 26 2013 12:41 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 26 2013 12:31 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On April 26 2013 12:26 Ace wrote:
yes. Maybe you missed the post I made earlier but basically it was Oats (Town) was accused by Vivax (Town) and gets lynched by 13 players. I doubt all 13 are Town because that would be incredible luck and insight on Scum's behalf to all miss that vote. Hence we should look at who is on the wagon. Combine it with Vivax, the only N1 death meaning someone really wanted him dead because of his accusations, and he was right about something. Combine those seperate threads of thought/looking for scum and thats how I got to the points I'm at.

Yeah i understand it now. However, whatever yamato is, i doubt all scum were on Oats wagon. That's why i think this tells little about Clarity/ShiaoPi and their chances of being mafia (i mean, their chances of being scum just by analyzing D1 wagons as numbers). One thing that bothers me is people saying ShiaoPi is mafia because he hammered Oats (especially if yamato is town). Oats was L-1 and we were waiting players to consolidate, don't you think scum would be more careful with hammer in that situation?


I dont think all were on it either, just some. Hammering someone isn't scummy, especially if we've discussed it for that many hours. Even so I don't remember ever saying ShiaoPi is Scum because he hammered Oats. As an aside, hammering is usually scummy when you don't give someone a chance to do anything, Oats was around long before the hammer dropped.

I know you are not saying so. I was just pointing out one reason why i'm uncomfortable in voting for ShiaoPi, as some people who are voting for him / find him suspicious use his hammering as a reasoning.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:50 GMT
#1977
yes
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:51 GMT
#1978
but i still want ShiaoPi to explain his vote on Oats, because of what OO pointed out. That is a fair point.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 03:51 GMT
#1979
On April 26 2013 12:43 ObviousOne wrote:
Hammer or not, his vote reasoning was basically Oats was being a silly bitch.

This.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 04:16 GMT
#1983
On April 26 2013 13:07 ObviousOne wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 26 2013 12:31 GiygaS wrote:
Ace there was a 30 minute time delay between you telling everyone to settle down and wait, as the day is infinite, to you telling people to "not stall the fucking wagons" in bold. How is this not pushing for the lynch? How is telling people who haven't voted for oats to vote for oats not pushing for a hammer?

The wagons were solid cases, even if they were wrong, objectively it was two scummy-looking players.

The only point against Ace in any way regarding how things went down D1 is if he somehow knew both wagons were town and you have to start from the assumption that he is mafia (admittedly easier to do earlier in the game than now) to essentially guarantee a town lynch. He didn't say not to bring up fresh cases, he basically said don't bring up terrible fresh cases or they won't be considered. I mentioned he championed the lynches as the only options but realistically after 2 real days it was time to push forward for a D1 and someone had to do it or we might have been putzing for another day.

Conversely I think we're being really productive still past the 2-RL day mark at this point but I do feel we should start listing today's candidates soon and Ace's idea of lynching from the scummiest players on the Oats wagon is probably a good place to start. That's kind of where I was going with my red names a short while ago.

Another place we probably need to look is the Yamato wagon at some point (especially those who joined very easily or with very clearly bullshit reasons [BTW my reason was I preferred to lynch Yamato over Oats at the time, save you a few seconds of checking, your call whether or not it was bullshit] plus the outlier and non-voters as the other category for D1 lynch. Treat them all as the secondary category so we don't get pigeon-holed into being too granular with the search.

I don't know where this leads you. Looking into 20 players? Only people (besides inactives) why didn't vote for yamato or Oats are Clarity and yamato. How does this reduce your suspect pool, as i think both of those guys are pretty damn suspicious.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 04:17 GMT
#1984
why = who
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 04:22 GMT
#1987
I still don't see why you want to ignore yamato and Clarity?
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 04:49 GMT
#1992
One thing i don't agree with your analysis Sharrant. If Palmar was mafia and BC town i would find it likely that mafia would shoot BC over anyone but maybe Ace in addition to Vivax. No matter how right or wrong he is on D1 he is capable of destroying scumteams if they let him live.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 04:51 GMT
#1993
OO, also this;
On April 26 2013 06:48 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I am also waiting for yamato's response to BC. In case i'm wrong about VE he would be my, if not second, at least third pick for todays lynch. N1 he called Clarity scum due to his timing of the case on Sharrant without a doubt, now it's suddenly a possibility that he was just a townie who wanted to contribute something of his own. I questioned yamato about this on N1 sepecifically asking if it's possible that Clarity just thought he should say something about his scumreads when he came back. Everyone can see him changing his mind on D2 based on nothing if you read his filter.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 04:56 GMT
#1996
On April 26 2013 13:54 Sharrant wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 26 2013 13:49 raynpelikoneet wrote:
One thing i don't agree with your analysis Sharrant. If Palmar was mafia and BC town i would find it likely that mafia would shoot BC over anyone but maybe Ace in addition to Vivax. No matter how right or wrong he is on D1 he is capable of destroying scumteams if they let him live.


I'm not sure I follow, that just sounds like another point as to why Palmar isn't mafia. If you believe a mafia Palmar would shoot BC over anyone (with Ace a close second) but the only shot was Vivax, then does that not say you believe Palmar is not mafia?

I think we may have our wires crossed again, help me out here.

As BC claimed roleblocked there is a possibility that scum shot him right? If Palmar is mafia, scum probably shot BC if he is town.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 05:05 GMT
#1999
On April 26 2013 13:59 Sharrant wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 26 2013 13:56 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On April 26 2013 13:54 Sharrant wrote:
On April 26 2013 13:49 raynpelikoneet wrote:
One thing i don't agree with your analysis Sharrant. If Palmar was mafia and BC town i would find it likely that mafia would shoot BC over anyone but maybe Ace in addition to Vivax. No matter how right or wrong he is on D1 he is capable of destroying scumteams if they let him live.


I'm not sure I follow, that just sounds like another point as to why Palmar isn't mafia. If you believe a mafia Palmar would shoot BC over anyone (with Ace a close second) but the only shot was Vivax, then does that not say you believe Palmar is not mafia?

I think we may have our wires crossed again, help me out here.

As BC claimed roleblocked there is a possibility that scum shot him right? If Palmar is mafia, scum probably shot BC if he is town.


Ah, I get you know. That is a possibility, but I still find it quite unlikely, I will however keep it in mind. At any rate, I don't think you can disagree that if Palmar is mafia trying to pull the wool over town's eyes with this one, it is doomed to fail because he's not a player that will benefit from the plan as he either dies quickly or will get lynched.

No i do not think Palmar is mafia. But if he is, it's even likely that a jailer (town or mafia) jailed him as he looks town for many people. But, after all, there are people who think Palmar is mafia, there are people who think BC is town, so it's unreliable to assume that it was Palmar who was 100% shot (i know i fell into this category early on, and i still think it's likely, but still).
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 05:06 GMT
#2001
EBWOP:
But if he is...

But if he is town...
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 26 2013 05:15 GMT
#2003
On April 26 2013 14:08 ObviousOne wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 26 2013 13:51 raynpelikoneet wrote:
OO, also this;
On April 26 2013 06:48 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I am also waiting for yamato's response to BC. In case i'm wrong about VE he would be my, if not second, at least third pick for todays lynch. N1 he called Clarity scum due to his timing of the case on Sharrant without a doubt, now it's suddenly a possibility that he was just a townie who wanted to contribute something of his own. I questioned yamato about this on N1 sepecifically asking if it's possible that Clarity just thought he should say something about his scumreads when he came back. Everyone can see him changing his mind on D2 based on nothing if you read his filter.

Please replace some of those pronouns with nouns if you want an answer for this before I sleep, that's a lot of he/his and I'm completely lost and I want to understand it. Let's see if my interpretation is right so you might not even need to write it yourself:

Yamato scummy for calling clarity scummy for clarity's post on sharrant then yamato does a 180 into a town read on clarity for the same reason but nothing happened to change yamato's mind in the thread. As if Yamato forgot he gave clarity a scum read and then changed his mind.

My only answer is probably the one you're looking to get out of Yamato himself, as there is only really one possible not-scummy answer. I think the question is, will you believe it even if he gives you the right answer?

I don't really need an answer from you, just pointing out that is something to not ignore.
I want yamato to answer that, i can provide the exact quotes if he does not understand what i mean. I would not call that a 180, only a 90 or smth, but it doesn't sit well with me anyways.
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