On April 14 2013 04:42 strongandbig wrote:+ Show Spoiler [dead people] +
Sn0_man -- Inventor 1,1
obviousone -- CPR doctor3**
Raynpelikoneet -- DEAD UNKNOWN 5, 1
Visceraeyes -- NRA Member 10, 10
Caller -- Showtime UNKNOWN 2**
Meapak_ziphh -- America 6,3
artanis[xp] -- Assassin 11, X
sharrant -- Vanilla (denied Detective) 11, X
gonzaw -- Jack 8, X
Austinmcc -- Copycat 8, X (green check from Keirathi NK)
Palmar -- suspected Emperor 8, X
billmurray -- (In)Justice Vigilante
Deconduo -- claimed Janitor UNKNOWN 8, X
-- claimed Vote Rigger,
green check from Keirathi invention - can only be scum if keir is making up checks or if there are two GFs, which is unlikely, could be traitor until he uses one of his powers
Geript -- Vanilla (denied NRA Member) - can't be traitor, wouldn't know NRA had been taken above him, could be scum
strongandbig -- claimed detective - can't be traitor as DT is confirmed taken
restraining order -- claimed framer, no checks (as a claimed framer, must be considered immune to checks)
Keirathi -- claimed NKVD, green-checked austin & sinani, red-checked BM so probably town
Mocsta -- claimed Capitalist,
green check from vivax - not traitor because of claimed shot on decon - only scum if vivax is traitor making up checks
Shelvocke --
checked as vanilla by mocsta, denied DT -- could be vanilla scum ; wouldn't know DT was taken, so denied claim would have had to be a big gamble if he's traitor but also possible
Vivax -- claimed parity cop, green-checked austin and mocsta
Oatmaster -- confirmed recruiter mason - could be scum, can't be traitor
Yamato77 -- claimed vanilla (denied Justice Vigilante) -
VT check from snb - can't be scum unless i am, could be traitor
scum candidates in order of my estimated likelihood, assuming there's not two godfather bonuses
RO
Vivax
Geript? Oatsmaster? This doesn't really make sense tho
traitor candidatesSinani
Yamato
RO?
Recommended actionsIt's highly unlikely that sinani is the remaining scum, since keirathi would have to be making up checks. However, Sinani's play doesn't make me feel super townie about him. If sinani uses his role, we know he isn't traitor.
However, IMO a double lynch today is not good for town, since it just decreases the amount of time we have for our investigative roles to work on everyone.
Therefore, we should vote for Sinani, and he should use his vote rigging power to lynch RO. This way if he's lying about his role he dies, and if he's not lying then town can absolutely confirm his role. If he rigs the vote to anyone other than RO, he should be shot or insta-lynched the next phase, and he will no longer have his vote-rig to wriggle out of the lynch.
RO should be our real lynch for today. As a claimed framer, we can't trust checks on him, and the safest way to a town victory appears to be through mechanics. IMO he's a better lynch than any of the investigative roles at this time and better than anyone with a check on them, which leaves just him, Geript, and Oatsmaster. Out of those three I think RO is by far the most likely to be scum.
EPT
