RED Team's Prize - Page 99
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Hapahauli
United States9305 Posts
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ObviousOne
United States3704 Posts
On March 30 2013 15:33 Hapahauli wrote: Fwiw, acro made his case after I expressed very strongly that Yamato needed to die today Am I wrong in thinking that both Acro and Smurf can't both be mafia? I'm opening back up to the idea they could be. | ||
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
On March 30 2013 15:29 ObviousOne wrote: Okay, I browsed them to get a feel for them. I really don't know. He hasn't done anything (or not done something he should have) to get modkilled. His filter's past the 2 page mark. I guess I'll unvote him. I'm no expert on meta and I'm probably blasting him for not even trying to be a beacon of shining towniness. You win. What about Acro? I still don't think that both Acro and Smurf are mafia together. I'm not trying to "win". I just want you to recognize the point that I was making. So, you looked over the filters. Now, where did Acro get the "I had a quick look at Sinani's town meta (think I only ever played with him as scum) and he seems more useful" sentiment from? Because I just don't see it. As far as Acro and Smurf being scum together...that's a harder one to answer. Yea, a mutual double bus is uncommon. But it is not completely unheard of (in recent memory, VE and Snarfs went after each other hard on day 1 of Nomination, iirc). There are some mitigating circumstances that make me think it is a possibility here, though. ** ![]() So day 1 ends and night 1 starts. Thread sentiment is turning pretty heavily against Smurf. How should Acro react? Does he try to save his buddy, or does he hard bus for the town cred? Remember, Acro hasn't really been under any major suspicion up until this point. The biggest thing against him was how hard he was pushing for the Nisani mislynch, which isn't alignment indicative in itself. So, lets say Acro decides to bus. He throws the case out there after everyone is already calling Smurf mafia. Now, if Smurf realizes that he is more than likely going to die (hell, he has me, marv, Hapa, and now his scumbuddy Acro all pushing his case), what should he do in reaction? What helps the scum team out the most? Attacking the townies who are attacking him, attacking a random townie, or attacking his scumbuddy? It seems to me that it wouldn't be a bad play at all for him to OMGUS onto his scum buddy, because when Smurf does flip mafia, the people he spent a ton of time attacking inherently look better because of it. ***End disclaimer*** I'm not saying that is 100% how it happened or anything, but I think it is a reasonable line of thought. The alternative is so take one of them out of the vote today and wait for flips, but I'm honestly not sure which one I would take out, and who I would replace in. And I'm almost positive that there is at least one scum between the two of them. | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
On March 30 2013 12:34 sinani206 wrote: I'm going to be pushing a prplhz lynch because he's the scummiest player in the game right now and is flying a little bit too low in most people's radars. His day one play is what triggered my scumdar and based on his play since then, I am completely sure of his alignment. Day 1: He pushed and Nisani exclusively day 1 (both out of nowhere, more about that in a second), and we can all agree that this was a rather easy target, after the multiple attacks on Nisani. His posts about Nisani did not show his thoughts in a very townie way either, deciding halfway through the day that Nisani was scum for no apparent reason (also said nothing in the main thread about unvoting Grack). Before that, nothing. Nothing useful at least. Some one-liners, random questions, and vague answers are all he had to show until he found someone to bandwagon. Then, his self-defense to Hapa was ridiculous. I don't even know why Hapa got off him randomly after that defense. I mean, Hapa's case wasn't the best, but that's OK, because it was mid-Day 1. This is full of meta-defense (useless) and circular logic. Then, after his suspicious of Smurf, prplhz jumps off because Smurf defended him. This is really scummy. Just because someone defends you doesn't mean they're on your side. Unless they unknowingly are. Prplhz decided not to want to kill someone purely because he was helping him stay alive. Day 2: Literally only one-liners. He said at night he had some reads, but I don't see any. OK, there's a null read on me, but I hadn't posted for a while there, so that's essentially nothing. He's been posting enough to look like he's keeping with the thread when in fact he is merely throwing votes on people with no explanation. Then there's this claim-but-not-really-a-claim, which looks to me like "I'm scum but lazy so I'll just claim some random role so people are confused and I can survive a few days to kill people." Prplhz has been shitting on the thread since the beginning of the game, with no regard for the town of a game this small. We need all the help we can get, and I'm not seeing any of that in prplhz. He is even negatively affecting the game, asking questions that help only himself and his scumteam, and throwing anyone who is remotely suspicious of him far away. I really don't understand how no one else sees this. Thanks for claiming scum dood. Prp isnt scum cause he doesnt play like this as scum. He is not actually useless this game if you can read his filter without being fucking biased. so ##Vote: Sinani ##Vote: Smurf | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
HE IS SCUM!. If he is yamato, still probably scum but there is a chance that he isnt. | ||
ObviousOne
United States3704 Posts
On March 30 2013 15:52 Keirathi wrote: I'm not trying to "win". I just want you to recognize the point that I was making. So, you looked over the filters. Now, where did Acro get the "I had a quick look at Sinani's town meta (think I only ever played with him as scum) and he seems more useful" sentiment from? Because I just don't see it. As far as Acro and Smurf being scum together...that's a harder one to answer. Yea, a mutual double bus is uncommon. But it is not completely unheard of (in recent memory, VE and Snarfs went after each other hard on day 1 of Nomination, iirc). There are some mitigating circumstances that make me think it is a possibility here, though. ** ![]() So day 1 ends and night 1 starts. Thread sentiment is turning pretty heavily against Smurf. How should Acro react? Does he try to save his buddy, or does he hard bus for the town cred? Remember, Acro hasn't really been under any major suspicion up until this point. The biggest thing against him was how hard he was pushing for the Nisani mislynch, which isn't alignment indicative in itself. So, lets say Acro decides to bus. He throws the case out there after everyone is already calling Smurf mafia. Now, if Smurf realizes that he is more than likely going to die (hell, he has me, marv, Hapa, and now his scumbuddy Acro all pushing his case), what should he do in reaction? What helps the scum team out the most? Attacking the townies who are attacking him, attacking a random townie, or attacking his scumbuddy? It seems to me that it wouldn't be a bad play at all for him to OMGUS onto his scum buddy, because when Smurf does flip mafia, the people he spent a ton of time attacking inherently look better because of it. ***End disclaimer*** I'm not saying that is 100% how it happened or anything, but I think it is a reasonable line of thought. The alternative is so take one of them out of the vote today and wait for flips, but I'm honestly not sure which one I would take out, and who I would replace in. And I'm almost positive that there is at least one scum between the two of them. IF anything, Sinani looks "more useful" as scum in those few games he rolled mafia. | ||
ObviousOne
United States3704 Posts
There's no way smurf is Vivax, I haven't once questioned his sanity. | ||
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
Oats, tell me why Acro isn't scum before I get back. | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
On March 30 2013 16:10 Keirathi wrote: Anyways, I'm going to sleep. Oats, tell me why Acro isn't scum before I get back. I am absolutely firmly null on him. He has made sense, but I know that he can play that way as scum too. Nothing really stood out about him to me. Ill read his filter and tell you what I think in a while. | ||
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
On March 30 2013 16:14 Oatsmaster wrote: I am absolutely firmly null on him. He has made sense, but I know that he can play that way as scum too. Nothing really stood out about him to me. Ill read his filter and tell you what I think in a while. Particularly comment on my case plx. | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
I DONT HAVE TO LISTEN TO YOU sure. | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
1. You said that Acro and sinani probably not scumteam together because Acro made a case on sinani. Agreed. But mostly because sinani was the obvious counterlynch to nisani's lynch and I dont see how sinani is scum because he misread nisani and is useless. 2. The marv stuff. I dont know what to think about this I think this is null. MY POINTS Acro is scum because On March 26 2013 09:34 Acrofales wrote: I did that in Personality and it turned out Ver had in fact not read his role PM. And I did it as scum, when I knew Ver was not in the scumQT. I STILL found it a reason to start up pressure on him. I learned. I adjusted: they are not automatically scum. They are just idiots to be ignored. Absolute bullshit post, he was scum in personality and knew that Ver was scum. What learning is to be made? Why is it null? He never says, just gives a 'correct' answer. On March 26 2013 14:08 Acrofales wrote: You are terrible. I made a lot of sense in the beginning of the game. My VERY FIRST serious post was my opinion on OO's claim. The rest of my filter has my opinion on DI, prplhz and Marv. Off the top of my head. Probably anything else that has been discussed in the thread too. This game gonna be easy. Lynch the liar! ##vote Nisani201 OMGUS'ing Nisani right here, without provocation and immediately goes into 'shut up you're scum mode' + Show Spoiler + On March 26 2013 14:54 Acrofales wrote: I believe I made it quite clear that it doesn't matter. I will judge his play as if he HAS read his role PM, but I choose to believe he hasn't. All the claim does is put pressure on him to act as a townie, because if he uses it to be useless, then it increases the chance that he DID in fact read his role PM and is scum using the excuse to be useless and not be held accountable for his actions. However, if he DOES act as a townie, then worst-case, he is scum with a chance of bussing his buddies. I don't mind scum who bus their scumbuddies at all. They're my favourite kind of scum. They then get caught lategame, because they'll have to survive umpteen lynches all by themselves (and if he still hasn't read his role PM, then he has to survive without KP, making it all the easier to catch him) Now I have said that before. Twice, in different words and maybe not in this much detail. But it was my first few posts, when I was supposedly BEING USEFUL. How the fuck are you calling those posts useful without actually knowing their content? where he didnt do anything about SnB's horrific case on prp. Why? Nisani is easier to lynch than SnB, no? + Show Spoiler + On March 27 2013 02:38 Acrofales wrote: Some updates. I like Smurf's more recent participation. Pressure on Cora feels good. Still don't like his stance on DI, and it depends on how good a player Smurf is, whether this is something that can be excused, or is an obvious scumtell. I want to know who he is. Raynpelikoneet does not look particularly scummy to me. There are some posts I don't like: + Show Spoiler [this one] + On March 26 2013 10:15 raynpelikoneet wrote: S&B: I never said i wasn't serious with my vote. I asked marv why does he assume i am serious. Something he also failed to answer. + Show Spoiler [and this one] + On March 26 2013 10:42 raynpelikoneet wrote: The problem with meta in this prplhz case is that it's the easiest thing in the world to fake. Even the dumbest idiot could probably fake their "town meta" by posting some general advice as their first post. Other than that part, you are right. However, neither of these are particularly concerning... and while his case on OO was somewhat OMGUS, I think he picked on some good points and OO's case really was just a bad association case based on unflipped players. Mostly, however, I like that he does not seem concerned to speak his mind or share his reads, and I don't get the feeling that he is just throwing suspicion around to see where it sticks. In closing: he's not a scumspect at the moment. I'm not really liking what I see in Cora's filter. In particular this post: came at a time when I was NOT talking about OO at all (except to answer Oats' stupid question). In fact, I only directly talk about OO in two posts, the rest is all using it as a springboard to analyse OTHER players' reactions to it. At the time, I had specifically singled out two reactions as feeling off: Nisani's and Cora's own. Trying to flip it back just reaks of panicked OMGUS. However, given how Cora was a rather easy mislynch in Personality 2, I am hesitant to just outright call him scum for this behaviour. While I don't agree with his read on Rayn, his posts about it are reasonable and he seems forthcoming with his opinion. My main scumspect is still Nisani. His case was a pack of lies and he has disappeared from the thread again. Lynch him. Here is his case on me: My first few posts were where I gave my opinion about OO's claim. How can those be my most sensible posts when he has clearly not even read them properly?! It's because he is scum and needed to contribute, so jumped on something without thinking it through, that's why. ##revote Nisani201 for emphasis. Waffely, waffley post with the 100% scum hammer at the end. Absolute tunnel of Nisani with no indication of any other reads other than a shitfest with Marv for no particular reason. Nisani dies. + Show Spoiler + On March 28 2013 22:46 Acrofales wrote: OO, you ask so many broad, and leading questions, that you make it incredibly hard to answer them. I have made it quite clear what I found scummy about Nisani's case on me and it WASN'T because it was on me, it was because at the time I saw this: there was a blatant lie, which served one single purpose: to make me look like scum. I still have no clue what Nisani was thinking when he made the case or how he could say that my initial posts were contributions while simultaneously stating the direct contradiction of their content, but it's water under the bridge: I was clearly wrong and if I play with Nisani again I will take this into account. The mere fact that YOU and quite a few other people agreed with me on it should indicate that I was clearly not stupid to think this way about the post, so calling it a bad OMGUS case is wrong. As for why Nisani (and not someone else)? Because I thought he was scum. The fact that you even ask this question seems to indicate you have presupposed a scum motive for me making a case and are then asking why Acro, as scum, is making a case against Nisani of all possible targets. There is no answer, because I'm not scum. I was just wrong. *Could I have voted for other "targets" of opportunity at the time?" --- I'm still not scum, so there are no targets of opportunity, just people I suspect are scum and people who I think are town. *Was it a solitary tunnel? No. I think that is clear from my filter. I'll let others be the judge of whether I played a good game or not, but I don't think I was stuck in a rut where I overanalysed Nisani and never considered anybody else. But by and large, Nisani looked scummiest to me. Also, you won't find scum by trying to ask why a lynch was pushed. You're far better off trying to figure out who had no decent reasons to be on it, but got the townie lynched anyway. People like Smurf, who jumped on halfway through with a shoddy reason. I am going to spend the rest of the day looking at the people in my null-scum list who I haven't properly analyzed yet. Quite a few of them had really dodgy reasons for hopping wagons. Finally, can future vote tallies please be in the order of voting, rather than seemingly randomized? It's important to know who voted early, who hammered, and what votes in the middle were safe and which caused momentum swings. So here is the actual votecount: + Show Spoiler + prplhz: raynpelikoneet: marvellosity: ObviousOne: Grackaroni: Palmar: Keirathi: Dandel Ion: Acrofales: Nisani201 (13): Strongandbig: InsertSmurfHere (1): Dandel Ion, cDgCorazon: Sinani206 (1): Everybody after Keirathi and ObviousOne is basically just hopping on "for consolidation" and their votes should be taken with a grain of salt. The interesting votes that I feel were cast without any real motivation are prplhz, Cora, Smurf and rayn. Out of these I find Cora's to flow the most naturally: he mentions him a few times as scummy and then decides pushing his own read is unfeasible and hops on the Nisani wagon. Prplhz is half-on half-off the wagon the entire time: he ninja-votes, he says he doesn't see what makes Nisani scum, then says Nisani is probably scum and then says Nisani's meta is unreadable and he might be town. And none of that seems well reasoned through. It seems more like a sheep vote than anything else, which is strange, because he'd be sheeping me and he seems to think I am scum. Smurf I have discussed already. I think he's scum, so that right there is the justification for him being on the wagon. Rayn is also a weird vote: he mentions Nisani quite a few times in a list of people he feels are scummy, but never really does anything about it until he feels he has to consolidate (way earlier than he actually has to). He then hops onto the Keirathi wagon, once again to consolidate: this time he hops OFF the leading wagon in order to consolidate, which just increases the chance of a no-lynch. And then jumps back onto Nisani. Given both Nisani is town and Keir probable town, this feels like "as long as a townie gets lynched, I'm cool with it" votes. Marv deserves a special mention, because he was hard on the Nisani wagon, then starts up a counterwagon on Keirathi and then hops back onto Nisani when Keirathi claims mason. But this deserves more extensive analysis... have to decide whether this was town Marv being indecisive or scum Marv screwing around with the lynch. Holy batman long stupid summery post for NO FUCKING REASON when he only has to post the last 2 paragraphs. Mentions rayn's vote is being scummy, NEVER EVER MENTIONS RAYN AGAIN, just a short phrase where he goes 'rayn probably scum, lets leave him till tmr. Then Acro just goes and tunnels OO for the rest of the night and he appears to think that OO is town, but doesnt outrightly say it, which leads me to think that he wants to 180 on it in the future. | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
##Vote Acro | ||
marvellosity
United Kingdom36156 Posts
On March 30 2013 15:35 ObviousOne wrote: Am I wrong in thinking that both Acro and Smurf can't both be mafia? I'm opening back up to the idea they could be. you are wrong, as Kei is wrong (I think) that Acro and sinani can't both be mafia. Only just woken up, I have to digest this Acro stuff when I'm not so sleepy. | ||
ObviousOne
United States3704 Posts
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36156 Posts
On March 30 2013 19:57 ObviousOne wrote: I'm still around because I'm stupid and drank all of the coffee. It didn't make me smarter though so talk me through it when you get around to it. Just read what Kei wrote for a start. The thing to think about is when is someone "doomed". A mafia's objective changes markedly at this point, and goes into wifom-mode, rather than push-a-mislynch-mode. I can't remember Kei's reasons for thinking sinani and Acro couldn't be mafia together even though I only read them 20 minutes ago, but I do remember thinking that they weren't good reasons. lol. | ||
ObviousOne
United States3704 Posts
I'm re-reading from after the Nisani lynch to see what sticks out to me so I'll get back to it eventually. Where in the sweet tits is Dandel? | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
Why do it if they were both mafia, and insta vote smurf(mafia) and sinani(mafia) and do jack shit else? | ||
Dandel Ion
Austria17960 Posts
On March 30 2013 20:09 ObviousOne wrote: Lol I'm re-reading from after the Nisani lynch to see what sticks out to me so I'll get back to it eventually. Where in the sweet tits is Dandel? I'm afk a lot cause it's easter weekend. Pretty sure I already said so. was out with friends yesterday, am working today for like 20 hours straight, starting now. Depending on how busy this shit is I might post a bit later, don't count on it tho. I will probably get around to reading the thread, there's not much there. Luckily lynching smurf will hard-confirm me town beyond any doubt, so I don't even need to spam the thread, which is cool cause I don't have the time to do that. Funny how that works out. Cheers. | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
On March 30 2013 21:19 Dandel Ion wrote: I'm afk a lot cause it's easter weekend. Pretty sure I already said so. was out with friends yesterday, am working today for like 20 hours straight, starting now. Depending on how busy this shit is I might post a bit later, don't count on it tho. I will probably get around to reading the thread, there's not much there. Luckily lynching smurf will hard-confirm me town beyond any doubt, so I don't even need to spam the thread, which is cool cause I don't have the time to do that. Funny how that works out. Cheers. So it doesnt actually matter what smurf flips? Explain this cool way of confirming yourself as town. Also double lynch today, DO YOU STILL WANT TO LYNCH MARV? | ||
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