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TranceStorm
1616 Posts
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DarthPunk
Australia10847 Posts
On March 20 2013 14:34 WaveofShadow wrote: + Show Spoiler + On March 20 2013 08:54 kitaman27 wrote: Finally have some spare time. I'll respond to a couple relavent issues, but first I wanted to get out a post on one of my strongest scum reads. I may have a second post about another player I'm suspicious of, depending on how much time I have. WaveofShadow The first player I'd like to bring up is WaveofShadow. Whenever I try to look at a player, the most important thing to look at in my opinion is motive. During the first few cycles of a game, it can be quite difficult to differentiate a townie post and a mafia post. The easiest way to tell the difference is to ask yourself, what is a player trying to accomplish with these posts and what does this player care most about. When I read through the filter of Wave, I can't help but notice that he is much more willing to play through others, than to put himself out there. On numerous occasions, we can see him prodding other players with questions, but there has been very little follow through. He questions other players reads, but fails to come to significant conclusions. Wave has approached the first two cycles in a way that shows me that he has little interest in being the guy that gets a player lynched. He is more interested in selecting a bandwagon based on the arguments of other players. In his support for the day one lynch, he posts the following: This is the first time in the game he actually mentions Darthpunk. He states in a single line that he supports VE's case, yet provides no reasoning for why he agrees. Notice how defensive he gets with his vote. In reference to his disapproval of VE's circle he states "Call that scummy if you wish." At a point where he has selected his preferred lynch candidate, he is still spending more time discussing VE's completely irrelevant circle. For the sake of keeping this post legible, I've edited out the previous part of this quote, but he spends a whole paragraph discussing the deal with yamato. Why is it that he is spending more time discussing events not relevant to his scumread, than the actual vote itself? It would be one thing if VE's case was so convincing that he had nothing to add. However, when I ask myself, does he care about this lynch, I come to the conclusion that he does not. DarthPunk is his preferred lynch candidate, but at this point he has put absolutely no effort in pushing his selection. He is more than willing to comment on unrelated issues, but when it comes to the part of the game that should be most relevant, he shows little interest. This post shows me that his scum read is influenced by whether or not he believes the town views it as a viable lynch. When a mafia player selects a bandwagon, they often due it based on where the town's sentiment lies. Once he realizes that DarthPunk isn't going to get lynched, he backs off, simply stating that he has responded well to pressure. Back to my point about his "defensive" phrasing of his vote, he has been acting quite defensive during the first two cycles. While a town player plays with confidence, Wave seems quite careful with his actions and is quite concerned with other's view of himself. Look how important it is to him for others to realize his meta based scum-hunting skills are sub-par. On four different occasions he makes this statement. In response to suspicion, he reacts quite strangely. Look how worked up he gets when GM names him as a scum read. There is essentially no pressure or votes on him at this point, yet he is responding as if he is about to be hammered. These are more examples of how important it is to him that he is seen in good light. Note how he has spent more time talking about his annoyance of getting suspected, than he does about DarthPunk earlier. His vote of GreYMisT also occurred at a time where GreYMisT was suspicious of him. Finally, I come to this post which is what caused me to look at him further. Look how squirmish he is in his response. This is at a point where he accidentally mentioned to a lynch, rather than a night kill. It was a 100% typo and a non-issue. Yet here is his talking about how his has to be more careful about not making mistakes and coming up with more excuses. Wave has show that he cares more about himself, than town. He is willing to share opinions on less important issues, while skimping in pushing town objectives when it comes to the lynch. He responds in a mafia manner to suspicion and posts with an attitude that lacks the look of a town player. I think he would make an excellent lynch today. Kita's first post: Solid reads actually, though they're not for the reasons he thinks. He's right I didn't do much scumhunting of my own D1 because as I have stated before, I didn't have any strong reads. VE's case on DP struck a chord with me because I was previously schooled on how useless it is to drop a 'pressure' vote on a lurker in the first few hours so I got on board. As for attempting to make myself look good, I believe I responded to that already: His second post: + Show Spoiler + On March 20 2013 09:39 kitaman27 wrote: Being defensive is a newbie scum trait, so I don't think that really plays much of a part. This is his 5th or 6th game though, so he should be more than capable of pushing a case. In one of his early posts he mentions how he would rather not provide a scum read until he is prepared to develop a strong case. It's 100+ hours and 60ish pages into the game and he still hasn't done so. This is my 5th game, yes. And I am very capable of pushing a case but usually in order for me to be capable it requires me to act like a fucking idiot first (see Hydra Mini Mafia) and get pressure on myself to get my ass in gear. I'm not sure why or why I'm incapable of fearlessly making cases before this happens in non-newbie games. (NMM 38 is the obvious exception; I played that very well in my opinion because I was more experienced than nearly everyone in there and either didn't post any bullshit to get called out on or they were too new to recognize it). Third: + Show Spoiler + On March 20 2013 09:45 kitaman27 wrote: I write up a case against you and your response is that you've never lied? Where am I calling you a liar? My case is that you show no interest in pushing a lynch. Even with this post, you ask "who are the lynch targets"? A town player decides a lynch target and pushes it on other players. A mafia player looks at the bandwagons and selects his favorite. I don't need another player to defend you. I'd like a response from yourself on the issues I mentioned. Using lying when unprovoked was an odd way to go, I'll admit, but I stand by my thoughts on meta, which I DID bring up before Mocsta, albeit really badly. He said what I should have though I'm not sure how compelling it would have been coming out of my own mouth. Fourth: + Show Spoiler + On March 20 2013 09:48 kitaman27 wrote: This is exactly what I'm referring to. Just minutes earlier you posted about how you wanted to know who where the lynch candidates in order to determine who to look at. Now you're voting Wiggles with a one line explanation. You clearly couldn't have taken the time to read through the filters of the players you just asked about. So why is it that you are voting based on town sentiment, rather than finding a player that you believe is scum and explaining to everyone why you believe this is the case. Early on in the day Wiggle said a few things that made me gut-read him as town but then looking over him I realized I had no reason to think as such. During the day multiple times I make mention of him appearing scummier to me. Fifth: It's completely relevant. In conclusion, Kita's case is not weak at all, it's my own fault for not playing as fearlessly as I should be early game and not defending myself with meta properly when I should have. Now I have defended myself in full and if people choose to go with it, great. If I'm still up for lynch then....we'll see how tomorrow goes. Great! now that you have done a thorough analysis of Kita's case and still think that it is quite strong EVEN with you being the target. How do you feel about Coag and mocsta who instantly call you town for little reason DESPITE how strong the kita case is? Oh and I am pretty sure WoS is town now. ##unvote | ||
WaveofShadow
Canada31494 Posts
Mocsta can be fairly manipulative, but if he was scum why would he essentially write a huge meta case against me when he could have just has easily found one the many smaller reasons I looked scummy? Especially since it ended up being a massive defense for me? Again, I get what you're saying but they both look decently townie in my eyes. I should probably read into Mocsta at some point but it's late as hell right now and I've got to go to bed before my kid wakes up. Either way, now I think it's probably most pertinent to have a look at the people still on my wagon and why. I will be pushing Zare and Wiggle tomorrow, though I don't necessarily believe they must be the only scum on board. | ||
Mocsta
Australia9387 Posts
Now I find your question to WoS ironic, considering its leading nature. I dindt call WoS instantly town. i voted him based on a meta read & even admit i havent read kita case http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=402057¤tpage=69#1372 Guess what.. hes where i unvote - and guess whats, its founded upon my meta case. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=402057¤tpage=70#1383 I just read kita case (cos was quoted in WoS filter) personally I think the points from Kita are valid enough i dont think it was a fake case from scum. However, kita is writing as an experienced guy, and judging play on the same level as someone such as yourself WoS doesnt fall into that category; and for many of the points kita raised, I could see a townie mentality doing the same thing. the case was essentially damned if you; damned if you dont logic. WoS says stupid things each game.. seriously. Hydra: read their filter for the blue claim slip... Mafia LX: read his filter for his request to be pardoner... For me, the case is upheld *ONLY IF* WoS hasnt pushed a lynch agenda during Day1. Thats when a sheep vote to me is scummy. From the quick filter browse i did, it looked like he satisfied the above, thus, making the case invalid to me. | ||
geript
10024 Posts
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TranceStorm
1616 Posts
That's why we have to look at the particular circumstances of this game as our primary 'evidence'. You state that you didn't have particularly you didn't have any strong reads on D1 and wanted to be seen in a good light. I'm not so sure that is the case when I look back at your D1 posts: and here, as you yourself admit, we see that kita's arguments hold up pretty strongly. Do you have any particular response to kita's arguments beyond your meta? | ||
WaveofShadow
Canada31494 Posts
In hydra the blue-slip was Soniv, and we were planning on claiming later in the day anyway. It worked out in our favour as we had planned anyway. In LX I don't think my bid for pardoner was stupid either and I made a decent case for it whether or not people wanted the role to be killed off or go to a townie. Anyway, night! | ||
Mocsta
Australia9387 Posts
On March 20 2013 14:39 DarthPunk wrote: That's me calling you scummy buddy. The question is why were you asking suggestive questions at all? Rather than reading the thread you are saying you haven't read or asking questions that generate real evidence and not evidence that is biased by the very nature of those questions? OK bud. dude, u just played a game as scum in the same team as me. Yeah the game sentiment is different, but I can feel a complete difference in my confidence of posting. Maybe you didnt pay attention to my filter in that game, but heres a hint, i was very snide in personality2/hydra. It was my way of being "townie aggressive" and simultaneously casting doubt and having low time. I dont think I am being snide this game and I still have low time. Yes, I am being an asshole to some ppl, but thats not snide. I am not reading the thread cos im at work and been too busy @ home, and personally each time i have sat down to read Day1, i find the conversations really boring and cant motivate myself. I was initially excited by the low post count, but im finding many posts overly verbose and its a chore to read. Its just easier to interact in the now. So my "suggestive questions" are me trying to ascertain ppls alignment to short cut reading the thread. Im not ashamed to admit it. I think you are finding it scummy because you are involved in the line of questioning; the actual technique is alignment null. I dont see how it pushes a scum agenda, and if you do think I am scum, you're welcome to show me how it does. Also I dont think suggestive questions lead to biased information.. in fact, I think a suggestive question can lead to very hard evidence. But whatevs, thats a personal difference and im not here to debate heuristics with you. | ||
Mocsta
Australia9387 Posts
On March 20 2013 15:06 geript wrote: Moc could you explain that logic more clearly. I'm not understanding that post at all. I can, if you let me know what you're struggling to follow. Surely its not the "whole thing" | ||
TranceStorm
1616 Posts
On March 20 2013 13:07 Mocsta wrote: I think its important to consider what you wrote here: VERY FUCKING TRUE... Guys, mafia is having a field day with this.... take a step back and look how it unfolded is my suggestion. Scum is there to be found. I'm not quite seeing the scum that easily amongst the votes that developed on WOS? You suggest that this is where scum will be, but could you lend me a hand here? Wiggles vote was definitely dodgy, but I'm not seeing too much beyond that. | ||
geript
10024 Posts
On March 20 2013 15:18 Mocsta wrote: I can, if you let me know what you're struggling to follow. Surely its not the "whole thing" Here's what I mean: your problem with WoS as you summarize it is that in non-newb (non-first game) games he has more balls. You confront him on it. He turns on the 'balls factor.' You unvote based on said 'having balls' town read. Then you excuse the kita case essentially based on experienced player reading an experienced player when you say WoS isn't experienced and thus the whole case is invalid. There's nothing damning there and I can follow that at least. That said, I can't help but feel that this whole exchange is fishy because it comes off as you telling him how to act, then he acts that way, then you dismiss your vote and the case with a wave of the hand. (Pun intended). I categorize this as "Moc-type logic" but it still feels artificial to me. The last part is my real issue: For me, the case is upheld *ONLY IF* WoS hasnt pushed a lynch agenda during Day1. Thats when a sheep vote to me is scummy. From the quick filter browse i did, it looked like he satisfied the above, thus, making the case invalid to me. You say the case is upheld only if WoS doesn't push a lynch agenda D1. Honestly, I didn't remember a lynch agenda from him D1 and the only points re:lynch are a +1 on DP and a preference on GM over Zare. He even noted his meta reads are crap; I think he also called my meta reads as crap (based on previous games where Zare had at least softclaimed town early). However, I don't remember him commenting on DYH's meta read at all. I don't see a real case push from WoS D1 which makes the case still stand then right? | ||
goodkarma
United States1067 Posts
Regarding Wave: I'm really not liking Wave as a lynch candidate for today. The way in which Wave has defended himself feels like an indignant townie to me. After a rather stupid troll response to Kita's case, I feel he has put in a decent effort to defend himself. Yes, Kita's case is rather solid and Wave has acted pretty scummy. But I'm leaning toward him being a bad town. Regarding Mr. Wiggles: As for Mr. Wiggles, I'm not impressed with what he's had to say today. I feel that what he did in his night 1 post is pretty damning, and the lack of drive he seems to have today to step up his game has done nothing to convince me he isn't scum. His "excuse" seems to be that he can't spend all day playing this game. However, I refuse to believe he would need that long to have more reads than he's had (and some actual conviction behind them). As for Wave, the only person he's really pushed today, I'd argue he's an easy case to push regardless of alignment. I'm keeping my vote on Wiggles. And I encourage those still on Wave to take a serious look into his filter. I believe he's more likely to flip red than Wave is. | ||
Mocsta
Australia9387 Posts
On March 20 2013 15:45 TranceStorm wrote: I'm not quite seeing the scum that easily amongst the votes that developed on WOS? You suggest that this is where scum will be, but could you lend me a hand here? Wiggles vote was definitely dodgy, but I'm not seeing too much beyond that. If you already found one guy.. is this a serious question? | ||
TranceStorm
1616 Posts
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sciberbia
United States1359 Posts
In the meantime, I would like to get some thoughts on this IMO suspicious back-and-forth between two of my top suspects: WoS and cosmicomics. Read carefully. I think it is evidence against both of them individually, and would make even more sense if both are scum. On March 18 2013 19:32 glurio wrote: (paraphrased) 1. It is dumb to go after people on the DP wagon 2. WoS had bad reasoning for voting GreyMist over Zarepath On March 18 2013 22:54 WaveofShadow wrote: Also glurio, you're still a newbie in my eyes so maybe I can excuse your immediate contradiction within your post. You imply that it's dumb that people are going for those who originally voted DP (namely, you) and group me along with you, and then IN THE SAME FUCKING POST you accuse me of shit WHEN WE'RE IN THE SAME BOAT? Is this really the town I'm going to have to put up with this game? REALLY? On March 18 2013 23:17 WaveofShadow wrote: lol. LOL. You stuck to your read when you sheep voted him with no fucking reason?? Wow, glurio. Not to mention switched a vote onto him from Sandroba whom you ALSO had barely any reason to vote in the first place. 'Pressure.....right.' As for my defense, this is I'll I'm going to give you because you honestly aren't even worth my time. ... You haven't posted anything useful at all yet, you're sheeping just as much as you accuse me of doing but you haven't posted any real reads with proper backup or pushed anything (aside from me right now because it's the new cool thing to do). But please, by all means keep it coming and tunnel me instead of hunting for real scum. It's not like this is a distraction or anything from the real point of the game. On March 19 2013 01:24 cosmicomics wrote: WaveofShadow, where are you getting your townish read on glurio? On March 19 2013 01:58 WaveofShadow wrote: This is essentially how glurio has played every game. His reads are bad and he doesn't add much to a scumhunt. Every once in a while he'll actually attempt to put pressure on something but it doesn't amount to anything. He's a little lurkier than he was in LX and isn't putting as MUCH effort in so ima paint him null leaning town right now purely based on meta, but we'll see how the night/day pans out. On March 19 2013 02:02 WaveofShadow wrote: On that note, Vivax are you really sure glurio is scum? You should know what his game is like from LX; you don't think he was just sheeping badly? Does this feel rather fishy to anyone else? I will recap: -- Glurio posts accusation of WoS -- WoS posts a defense in which he paints glurio in a scummy light -- CC comes out of nowhere (no posts within 8 hours of this in either direction) to ask why WoS has a town read on glurio, even though anyone casually reading those posts would almost certainly not pick up on this. -- WoS gives some meh reasoning for a nullish read on glurio despite his recent extreme agitation with him I think this is fishy because: cosmic had never talked about WoS or glurio previously, yet while he is online, the only thing he comments on is WoS's town read on glurio. WoS seems to be painting glurio in a scummy light despite supposedly leaning town on him. He does this again later where he says he thinks my list looks like I'm scum trying to pick out easy targets, but then it turns out he has a town read on me. I don't think townies are likely to spend time making the thread see their own null/town reads as scummy. DP/Mocsta/ whoever is online, I'd like some unbiased opinions here. Am I reading too much into this? | ||
DarthPunk
Australia10847 Posts
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Mocsta
Australia9387 Posts
On March 20 2013 15:46 geript wrote: Here's what I mean: your problem with WoS as you summarize it is that in non-newb (non-first game) games he has more balls. You confront him on it. He turns on the 'balls factor.' You unvote based on said 'having balls' town read. Then you excuse the kita case essentially based on experienced player reading an experienced player when you say WoS isn't experienced and thus the whole case is invalid. There's nothing damning there and I can follow that at least. That said, I can't help but feel that this whole exchange is fishy because it comes off as you telling him how to act, then he acts that way, then you dismiss your vote and the case with a wave of the hand. (Pun intended). I categorize this as "Moc-type logic" but it still feels artificial to me. The last part is my real issue: You say the case is upheld only if WoS doesn't push a lynch agenda D1. Honestly, I didn't remember a lynch agenda from him D1 and the only points re:lynch are a +1 on DP and a preference on GM over Zare. He even noted his meta reads are crap; I think he also called my meta reads as crap (based on previous games where Zare had at least softclaimed town early). However, I don't remember him commenting on DYH's meta read at all. I don't see a real case push from WoS D1 which makes the case still stand then right? Wow Geript.. I wrote this whole post and said fuck it. im not gonna be lazy, I will read 6 pages of WoS. It changed everything. You are right. Kita case still stands. I was wrong. this fucker did not do anything until the Kita case (which is the only stuff I read when WoS asked me to look @ his filter my derp) I was under the impression he had pushed Mr.Wiggles all of Day 1.. obviously wrong. I dindt realise the majority of his filter came from late Night1/early Day 2. And also that the majority of his filter is just talking shit. There is not a clear agenda. I need to read WoS defense of Kita case one more time, because I wasnt satisfied the first time around; but was giving undue credit for pushing a case Day1. For your reference, the below is the post i was about to make before reading WoS filter. + Show Spoiler + (1) "Balls" Now for what you raised: I didnt unvote WoS because he turned the balls factor on... that would be invalid (cos i gave him a way out).. The way it went down: I skipped to the most recent page, saw that limp post of him and was like WTF, WoS doesnt play like that and made my meta validation vote post. It was that simple. I think its pretty obvious when i voted him, it was with intention to lynch. He then identified to me, that he had "balls" before the meta case. As such, the meta case post in my opinion became his saving grace. (2) Why lynch push is important I know you love poker. so let me me analogous to that. Pros expect a certain level of play, and can actually struggle against newbies, because they dont understand/conform to the "rules' of the game and make unpredicatable/stupid plays. I believe that was the basis of kitaman case on WoS. Those tells on someone like DP would indeed be the nail in the coffin. Unfortunately I dont find them as strong on newbies, because typically they are not as aware of what constitutes good play; or the ramifications of their own play. Hence why I said, Kita case points are indeed valid scum tells; but to me only point to a scum WoS if he hasnt pushed a lynch candidate hard. (That would be the turning point for me to consider the tells as scum, and not newbie town being unaware/stupid). (3) Is the case invalid - i.e. did WoS push anyone hard I need to do a proper read of his filter, instead of just a couple pages. Based on Day2 play, I thought he pushed ppl; hence my retraction of vote. Based on Day1 play, I havent read it (yet.. planning to tonight) If WoS indeed only discussed "Im not familiar to know these meta reads" and didnt push a lynch vote, then I would give serious consideration to Kita case, and most likely lead to a vote on WoS. Unfortunately, I am making a leap of faith currently that the targets WoS pushed today (i.e. Mr.Wiggles etc) are the same ppl from Day1. If that is the situation at hand, then I think Kita case is invalid in full. | ||
sciberbia
United States1359 Posts
On March 20 2013 16:34 DarthPunk wrote: Hmmm. That is really solid. And you picked up on some stuff I completely missed. I'm very happy you think so. I have other stuff to share about WoS too. Taking a quick food break though. | ||
Mocsta
Australia9387 Posts
On March 20 2013 16:00 goodkarma wrote: Regarding Wave: I'm really not liking Wave as a lynch candidate for today. The way in which Wave has defended himself feels like an indignant townie to me. After a rather stupid troll response to Kita's case, I feel he has put in a decent effort to defend himself. Yes, Kita's case is rather solid and Wave has acted pretty scummy. But I'm leaning toward him being a bad town. Please walk me though your read as bad town. What has he done specifically to sway you that way? Regarding Mr. Wiggles: This is weird.As for Mr. Wiggles, I'm not impressed with what he's had to say today. I feel that what he did in his night 1 post is pretty damning, and the lack of drive he seems to have today to step up his game has done nothing to convince me he isn't scum. His "excuse" seems to be that he can't spend all day playing this game. However, I refuse to believe he would need that long to have more reads than he's had (and some actual conviction behind them). As for Wave, the only person he's really pushed today, I'd argue he's an easy case to push regardless of alignment. I'm keeping my vote on Wiggles. And I encourage those still on Wave to take a serious look into his filter. I believe he's more likely to flip red than Wave is. If you think Wave has some likelihood to flip red.. why are you supporting a scum reads lynch candidate? | ||
sciberbia
United States1359 Posts
On March 20 2013 16:34 Mocsta wrote: Wow Geript.. I wrote this whole post and said fuck it. im not gonna be lazy, I will read 6 pages of WoS. It changed everything. You are right. Kita case still stands. I was wrong. this fucker did not do anything until the Kita case (which is the only stuff I read when WoS asked me to look @ his filter my derp) I was under the impression he had pushed Mr.Wiggles all of Day 1.. obviously wrong. I dindt realise the majority of his filter came from late Night1/early Day 2. And also that the majority of his filter is just talking shit. There is not a clear agenda. I need to read WoS defense of Kita case one more time, because I wasnt satisfied the first time around; but was giving undue credit for pushing a case Day1. For your reference, the below is the post i was about to make before reading WoS filter. + Show Spoiler + (1) "Balls" Now for what you raised: I didnt unvote WoS because he turned the balls factor on... that would be invalid (cos i gave him a way out).. The way it went down: I skipped to the most recent page, saw that limp post of him and was like WTF, WoS doesnt play like that and made my meta validation vote post. It was that simple. I think its pretty obvious when i voted him, it was with intention to lynch. He then identified to me, that he had "balls" before the meta case. As such, the meta case post in my opinion became his saving grace. (2) Why lynch push is important I know you love poker. so let me me analogous to that. Pros expect a certain level of play, and can actually struggle against newbies, because they dont understand/conform to the "rules' of the game and make unpredicatable/stupid plays. I believe that was the basis of kitaman case on WoS. Those tells on someone like DP would indeed be the nail in the coffin. Unfortunately I dont find them as strong on newbies, because typically they are not as aware of what constitutes good play; or the ramifications of their own play. Hence why I said, Kita case points are indeed valid scum tells; but to me only point to a scum WoS if he hasnt pushed a lynch candidate hard. (That would be the turning point for me to consider the tells as scum, and not newbie town being unaware/stupid). (3) Is the case invalid - i.e. did WoS push anyone hard I need to do a proper read of his filter, instead of just a couple pages. Based on Day2 play, I thought he pushed ppl; hence my retraction of vote. Based on Day1 play, I havent read it (yet.. planning to tonight) If WoS indeed only discussed "Im not familiar to know these meta reads" and didnt push a lynch vote, then I would give serious consideration to Kita case, and most likely lead to a vote on WoS. Unfortunately, I am making a leap of faith currently that the targets WoS pushed today (i.e. Mr.Wiggles etc) are the same ppl from Day1. If that is the situation at hand, then I think Kita case is invalid in full. err no he didn't push any agenda D1. I was going to point this out too: In fact as of N1 Wiggles was one of his "strongest town reads". By early D2, Wiggles was the scummiest person in the thread to WoS. The conversion does not look convincing to me. Look into this as well as my post above and tell me what you think. | ||
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