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Chrono Trigger Mafia

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 19 2012 07:00 GMT
#52
/in tentatively
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-19 16:55:35
November 19 2012 16:53 GMT
#81
The original post states that preference is given to experienced players. Some of the people who have signed up have not played before, at least on TL; a few of them also have very low post counts and there is even a self admitted "mafia smurf". What I'm saying is that it's a shame if Toadsstern doesn't get to play.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 19 2012 20:40 GMT
#106
##beat Gato up
##earn silver points
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 06:22 GMT
#507
I'm in the process of reading the thread, but I'm nominating myself. I'm not going to tell who I'm going to bring along until closer to the deadline as my reads are subject to change and I'll choose players who are most likely to be town. While at first glance it's tempting on day 1 to bring along people who I would like to see "cleared" by the mechanic, I do not think it's optimal. Good players who rolled town will clear themselves and/or get shot anyway and even if the mission succeeds it doesn't mean every player we brought along is cleared.

We should attempt to have some sort of consensus of likely party leaders by the end of first 24 hours or so to allow them to start diverting more attention to choosing their teams.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 06:28 GMT
#510
Oh Sandro is here and posting quite a bit, I may re-evaluate my nomination if I like what I see as I would definitely prefer being as lazy as possible
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 06:59 GMT
#519
Sandro who do you think is [most likely to be] town so far?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 08:01 GMT
#533
All this talk about treating this game like Resistance is misguided or malicious, at least if the implication is that the game is only about looking for townies. Resistance is a game with no roles, transparent mechanics, no flips, clear goal and every day you gain information that isn't particularly subject to manipulation. In this game there is some sort of mafia NK mechanic, hitpoint mechanic, likely a lot of roles and town can even win by eliminating all the mafia. This suggests that there is a lot of KP in the game and it is not limited to just mafia. Moreover, I think the more mafia are left alive when Lavos is summoned, the harder it is for town to win.

The point being, there is little reason for us not to also be looking for mafia in the thread. Mafia have relatively easy time blending in if all they have to do is pretend to be looking for townies or even worse every single day just look for the best party leader. Identifying likely mafia will also give our blues something to work on.

So, while it's fine that we early on discuss about who is likely to be town or who would be the good leader, this shouldn't last and the game should be played quite like a normal mafia game. Town hunting can be mostly restricted to your spreadsheets unless you are trying to convince the likely party leader to include someone on the team.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 08:15 GMT
#544
On November 21 2012 17:06 sandroba wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2012 17:01 syllogism wrote:
All this talk about treating this game like Resistance is misguided or malicious, at least if the implication is that the game is only about looking for townies. Resistance is a game with no roles, transparent mechanics, no flips, clear goal and every day you gain information that isn't particularly subject to manipulation. In this game there is some sort of mafia NK mechanic, hitpoint mechanic, likely a lot of roles and town can even win by eliminating all the mafia. This suggests that there is a lot of KP in the game and it is not limited to just mafia. Moreover, I think the more mafia are left alive when Lavos is summoned, the harder it is for town to win.

The point being, there is little reason for us not to also be looking for mafia in the thread. Mafia have relatively easy time blending in if all they have to do is pretend to be looking for townies or even worse every single day just look for the best party leader. Identifying likely mafia will also give our blues something to work on.

So, while it's fine that we early on discuss about who is likely to be town or who would be the good leader, this shouldn't last and the game should be played quite like a normal mafia game. Town hunting can be mostly restricted to your spreadsheets unless you are trying to convince the likely party leader to include someone on the team.

I predict it will be harder for us to find scum with no lynch voting. I think the best bet at least for d1 is to concentrate in finding a team that will succeed in the mission and let us learn more about the game mechanics.

Really? What do you expect to learn about game mechanics after day 1 and how do you think will that impact our play? While mafia has easier time bussing their team mates in this format, they still do not want town to start treating some of their players are likely mafia. If there we allow players to just look for townies and all the discussion revolves around that, it is going to be more difficult to identify mafia, which can also make it more difficult to identify townies, at least for a lot of players. Lynch mechanic or not, mafia still has to fake their mafia reads or bus and they would rather not do either. Discussions relating as to who people think are mafia produce a lot more useful information.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 08:33 GMT
#555
But getting a team together is not a collective effort; players only have to identify one likely townie who is also likely capable of identifying 3 additional ones. If I was a party leader, I wouldn't pay much attention to who most people think are town. As such I suppose it can be argued the possible party leaders should devote more time on town hunting, but everyone else should mostly just justify their party leader vote and spend the rest of their efforts on finding mafia.

Do you agree that it's easier to get reads if people post and explain their mafia reads than if they only talk about who they find to likely be town?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 08:37 GMT
#557
Sandro is dienosore the "dio" person you were talking about or was that a reference to Djo?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 08:46 GMT
#562
I'm not sure what I think of him (dienosore) at this point, but he seems like the kind of person us two wouldn't have a confident read early on, so I'm surprised that you would name him. Overall I find your activity and early attitude promising, but I'm not as confident as I would like about your alignment so far.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 12:09 GMT
#597
On November 21 2012 18:13 Keirathi wrote:
Syllogism/sandroba:

You guys have ignored us, but what do you think of Toads reasoning for me being scum? Do you think I'm scum?

What about Deinos 2 scum reads and 2 town reads? Agree or disagree with any of them?

I think his reasoning is weak and your subsequent posts in which you attract more attention towards the fact that someone thinks you are mafia are fairly towny. I do not like your marv or no "vet" as a leader strategy at all, however.

On November 21 2012 18:34 risk.nuke wrote:
Hi, I'd proposed myself to lead the party since I feel I possess the essential quality's we'd want for a mission leader. But I feel I'm late to sign myself up and as it stands there already is already a candidate I want to support. As it stands right now I want Sandroba for our first party leader.

No disrespect to marv who's one of the best scumhunters I know on these forums but a scumhunter isn't what we need today.

I'm not sure how missions are going to work but to prepare for anything these quality's are what we seak.
We need a player who's smart, adaptable to new situations and capable of finding the optimal play.
We need a player who's good at analysing behaviour and who's good at finding townies.

This is Sandroba in a nutshell. I've seen firsthand how he think and he is one of the few people I've met I trust can identify the correct play in a new situation. In SS mafia he created and executed the plan that dismantled the mafiateam in a day. Furthermore from my experience Sandroba's greatest strength is finding townies and then scum by process of elimination.

Additionally his activity is promising and I have a pretty good insight of how he plays.
##Vote: Sandroba


Perhaps I'm reading too much into this as being transparent when justifying your party leader vote is good, but this seems overly explanatory. I don't understand what's the point of mentioning that you were going to propose yourself nor why there was a need to mention marv at all (as a side note, I'm surprised that you hold him in this high regard; it's not something I'm used to hearing from you). One motive for saying that you intended to propose yourself could be that townies are "expected" to nominate themselves.

The focus of the post is less on what Sandroba has done in this game and more on his general strengths. I'm used to a more direct risk nuke. I agree with your suspicions on acrofales, however.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 12:21 GMT
#600
Adam so far you haven't expressed a very few opinions or said anything otherwise helpful. You say Keirathi might be your number two choice for the party leader. Do you have confidence in his ability to choose 3 townies today? You also assert that there is no way of checking if mafia reads are right other than sending them on a mission; is this your honest assessment of how you expect the game to work?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 12:27 GMT
#603
On November 21 2012 21:23 Acrofales wrote:
@syllo and phagga: you advocate a policy of scumhunting, yet are doing no scumhunting. People who seem to be clearly focused on scumhunting so far: clarity and toad. Why are you not in that list?

Syllo at least is giving a running commentary of the game. Phagga just posted the policy of scumhunting and went away.

Phagga, why are you not practicing what you preach?

What are you talking about? I'm absolutely hunting for mafia. This is how you do it; by engaging in conversations and asking for clarifications and opinions. Making cases is for convincing everyone else.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 12:47 GMT
#613
On November 21 2012 21:32 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2012 21:27 syllogism wrote:
On November 21 2012 21:23 Acrofales wrote:
@syllo and phagga: you advocate a policy of scumhunting, yet are doing no scumhunting. People who seem to be clearly focused on scumhunting so far: clarity and toad. Why are you not in that list?

Syllo at least is giving a running commentary of the game. Phagga just posted the policy of scumhunting and went away.

Phagga, why are you not practicing what you preach?

What are you talking about? I'm absolutely hunting for mafia. This is how you do it; by engaging in conversations and asking for clarifications and opinions. Making cases is for convincing everyone else.

First time you engaged in a conversation was with Sandro. For you that is not a conversation, as you and Sandro can mindread each other.

This is the second conversation you are engaging in. Everything else has been a running commentary.

Do you think I'm more or less likely to have a conversation with a player who can "mindread" me if I'm mafia? So far your point of view on things has not appeared honest to me or at the very least your analysis isn't on the level I would expect if you are town. Also this is not the second conversation.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 13:19 GMT
#621
On November 21 2012 22:03 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2012 21:47 syllogism wrote:
On November 21 2012 21:32 Acrofales wrote:
On November 21 2012 21:27 syllogism wrote:
On November 21 2012 21:23 Acrofales wrote:
@syllo and phagga: you advocate a policy of scumhunting, yet are doing no scumhunting. People who seem to be clearly focused on scumhunting so far: clarity and toad. Why are you not in that list?

Syllo at least is giving a running commentary of the game. Phagga just posted the policy of scumhunting and went away.

Phagga, why are you not practicing what you preach?

What are you talking about? I'm absolutely hunting for mafia. This is how you do it; by engaging in conversations and asking for clarifications and opinions. Making cases is for convincing everyone else.

First time you engaged in a conversation was with Sandro. For you that is not a conversation, as you and Sandro can mindread each other.

This is the second conversation you are engaging in. Everything else has been a running commentary.

Do you think I'm more or less likely to have a conversation with a player who can "mindread" me if I'm mafia? So far your point of view on things has not appeared honest to me or at the very least your analysis isn't on the level I would expect if you are town. Also this is not the second conversation.

I think that that is irrelevant and pointless wifom, because if one of you is scum and the other isn't, you would be dead scared of each other in any case and try to act normally. I think it is fairly normal for you and sandro to have a conversation and it will not affect his ability to mindread you one way or another.

However, if you are asking me if I think you are scum, then no, I don't. I am still rather null on you. However, there are things in your play that make me suspicious. Firstly, the things Kita just pointed out, and secondly because I feel you are making alot of your "scumhunting" while actually it amounts to very little.

As for my honesty, at least I'm not fakeclaiming mason (yet).


This is a really pointless and irrelevant topic, but it would serve you well to stop using the term WIFOM and if you are town you should not attempt to downplay things that a person of one alignment is clearly more likely to do. That is all that mafia is, determining what is more likely. You can reduce anything to a level where you can claim it's "wifom" when in fact it is evidence of someone's alignment. WIFOM is a meaningless term used by lazy players, people who do not understand mafia or mafia aligned players who want to wave away evidence of someone being town.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 13:26 GMT
#626
On November 21 2012 21:48 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2012 15:28 syllogism wrote:
Oh Sandro is here and posting quite a bit, I may re-evaluate my nomination if I like what I see as I would definitely prefer being as lazy as possible


Quite the resolve on that campaign.

Lazy syllo says to me scum syllo. You trust your ability to determine sandro's alignment in 48 hours over your ability to identify 3 town players out of the remaining 23? If you were serious of being elected, why wouldn't you simply include him in your party, while remaining a leader?

I believe we have had this conversation before in another game, perhaps even pypi, where I supported mig. In addition I supported sandroba's election in that 80+ player game and I believe you also played in that. I don't understand what your point even here is, are you suggesting that I'm mafia and don't care if town sandroba is elected or that we are both mafia?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 13:37 GMT
#633
It was a less nuanced way of categorizing players who use the term, the intend being to drive home a point. In reality it is a combination of things and disagreeing with me on the usage of the term doesn't necessarily make someone bad at mafia (but still wrong on this subject). I can not tell what your motive for using it in this case is and I do not think it is possible to tell, so it is irrelevant.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 13:45 GMT
#635
Right now it is likely that I will support sandroba if I do not gain the necessary votes, even if I'm not "fairly sure" that he is town. The problem is that just electing someone who is very likely to be town isn't enough as the person has to also be able to identify 3 townies at a high enough probability on day 1. Anyway, currently it would definitely optimal from my point of view that I would be elected over him due to my uncertainty. I'm not likely to put effort into convincing sandroba voters to switch to me, if that's what you mean by running, but I'm definitely "running" in the sense that I wouldn't mind people voting for me.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 13:54 GMT
#647
Purely based on the strength of my reads, not giving value to things such as the advantage of "clearing" players who are less likely to get shot. However, right now it seems likely that my team would not include many, if any, "veterans".
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 14:35 GMT
#681
Sandroba why do you think Clarity "smells funny"?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 15:27 GMT
#713
Can someone link me a game where kush is mafia, thanks
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 15:37 GMT
#728
On November 22 2012 00:20 kushm4sta wrote:
Holy fuck this thread is so long and 99% of it is about who are we voting leader, which I really don't care about.
Not much thought put into this decision but
##vote sandroba
Good town, easy to distinguish town from scum.

You usually have a million page filter when you are town, I've a hard time believing you find the size taunting. What do you care about then and what are you going to about it? Why do you say sandroba's town play is easy to distinguish from his mafia play, my impression from looney lynching was that you had no idea whether he was town or mafia on day 1 (he got shot n1)?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 16:00 GMT
#751
Max hp in Chrono trigger the game is 999, that's likely all there is to that. Nothing worth pursuing
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 16:32 GMT
#774
I'm going to spoil to you what he does, regardless of alignment. He picks 3 players, day post happens and then it's day 2 and we likely have a new decision to make. What else?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 17:40 GMT
#809
CaveJohnson who are you? It would be helpful to know in order to determine whether you should "know better" than to say some of the things you have said. Obviously the fact that you chose to use that account suggests that you don't want us to know, but if you are town it would be in your best interest to reconsider. I don't like your posts either, although the fact you said you don't want to be picked for the mission is slightly towny, depending on your reasoning, which I expect you to later reveal.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 19:05 GMT
#856
Sandroba: when you are back, I would like to know if you have reconsidered Dienosore at all based on new content, in addition to explaining what about clarity_nl's play you find suspect. Some kind of mafia reads would also be helpful. Also any thoughts regarding the current candidate situation?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 21 2012 20:25 GMT
#880
kush4masta you stealth voted sandroba, which isn't a big deal as you already voted in the thread, but it indicates that you have been around and yet haven't addressed my questions. Usually it's hard to keep you from posting, but in this game you haven't even begun playing? Why is that?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 06:32 GMT
#1112
Sandroba I can't shake the feeling that the flurry of activity was just for appearances rather than with intend of actually being useful. You didn't answer my question regarding as to who you think is mafia. A lot of the posts you decided to reply to didn't seem important and you did not make any attempts at extracting useful information from anyone.

Today I think it's a good idea not to reveal, at least if I'm the leader, who the party is going to be until the action resolving period, because that minimizes potential of mafia roles somehow messing with the success of the party (doesn't eliminate it though) and prevents them from sniping party members in case it's an all town party. The main advantage in revealing who is coming is to provide more information regarding the alignment of the party leader, but I do not think that is necessary if I get elected. I have never been lynched as town and will never likely be; it should soon be extremely clear whether I'm town or not, it already is in fact.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 06:53 GMT
#1116
Right now I would say there is a >50% chance that sandroba is mafia. His interest in the game feels superficial and some of his posts feel off. For instance him saying that he is "torn" about clarity_nl as opposed to actually stating whether he now thinks it is more likely that he is town or mafia. His explanation as to why he thought clarity was mafia is also pretty weak by his standards. Pouncing with one-liners on weak stuff? That probably applies to many, many people in every single game.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 06:59 GMT
#1119
I also have a tough time determining mafia's strategy today if sandroba isn't mafia. None of the candidates besides us two are getting much traction. Marvel isn't running and I think he as mafia could easily run, possibly win and not look suspicious. He could still be mafia of course and there may be some mechanic we aren't aware of that explains why mafia doesn't feel the need to win today. None of the above is conclusive, but day 1 isn't unfolding in the manner I thought it would, unless sandroba is mafia. I suppose one possibility is that mafia did run candidates, but don't want to risk other mafia supporting them early unless they first get some town votes, indicating the possibility of them actually winning. Seems rather weak in this format though.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 07:45 GMT
#1128
On November 22 2012 16:23 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 22 2012 16:17 Oatsmaster wrote:
@Syllo
I think that it is a better idea to talk about your party members and give reasoning rather than keeping it quiet, at least for the first cycle. This way it gives us more info about the players and your reads on them which will help us when the flips start happening.

What do you think about my point that party leader candidates expressing who they plan to choose as their party giving mafia extra influence as to who they want to vote to elect in the event that one of the candidates has a scum member in their proposed parties while the others might not?

This is absolutely true, although we don't know whether 1 mafia is enough for an event to fail. Balance wise I think it makes sense for that to be case, unless the party consists of townies with a high hidden factor numbers.

I'm not going to reveal who I am going to pick. I may do that after the day post if that is necessary; that is to say, if the event fails.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 07:52 GMT
#1131
On November 22 2012 16:12 Adam4167 wrote:
Syllo, what are your thoughts on Kitaman.

I am trying to grasp if he is taking this game seriously when he delivers a list of 'reads' with as lousy reasoning as he did.

I've seen him play well as both scum and town, and this doesn't look similar to either.

I don't currently find him particularly suspicious. Some elements of his posts point towards him being interested in figuring things out and nothing stands out as clearly mafia motivated. When he puts in effort his mafia play is good, however.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 07:53 GMT
#1132
When I said I may reveal who I am going to pick after the day post, I meant that I might explain why I picked the team I did, not just list the names as that is obviously unnecessary
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 08:02 GMT
#1135
On November 22 2012 16:58 risk.nuke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 22 2012 16:53 syllogism wrote:
When I said I may reveal who I am going to pick after the day post, I meant that I might explain why I picked the team I did, not just list the names as that is obviously unnecessary

What? What benefit would it be not to explain the reasoning for why you picked them?

If the mission is a success and everyone considers me town anyway I don't think that's necessary and I would then rather be lazy.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 08:22 GMT
#1137
On November 22 2012 17:13 risk.nuke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 22 2012 17:02 syllogism wrote:
On November 22 2012 16:58 risk.nuke wrote:
On November 22 2012 16:53 syllogism wrote:
When I said I may reveal who I am going to pick after the day post, I meant that I might explain why I picked the team I did, not just list the names as that is obviously unnecessary

What? What benefit would it be not to explain the reasoning for why you picked them?

If the mission is a success and everyone considers me town anyway I don't think that's necessary and I would then rather be lazy.

I'm not a fan of your lazy-when-I-feel-like-it strategy. It still feels like you should have your reads on why you picked your team already. It shouldn't be that much of an effort to scribble them down.

What do you think of leader-candidates outside you and sandroba? (feel free to ignore kitaman)

Acro seems like the only other serious candidate and I do not like his play so far. The most recent post of his that I found off was the one where he suggested for Frog should attempt to run a campaign without claiming and he based this on, in my view, laughable suggestion that frog was a playable character in the first mission of the game. It seemed like a complete fluff post rather than a serious well-thought of suggestion.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 08:34 GMT
#1142
It's more likely than not real and he seems kind of towny, but in a crazy way that has often posed me problems. As you know, I'm convinced that at least some of the main characters either aren't in the game (and mafia knows this so they are safe claims) or some of them are simply mafia.

I'll be back in maybe 6 hours
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 13:04 GMT
#1197
What kush has told us so far about his ability makes no sense at all. I think cyrus is a character that could be a third party flavor wise, but no point speculating about that right now.

Sandro: you said that you don't mind me being the leader. Does that mean you are open to throwing your support behind me and withdrawing your nomination?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 13:49 GMT
#1211
Goodkarma your system relies on a very questionable assumption; in every single game it is beneficial for mafia to be proactive and not lurking, yet few ever do. Overall I would characterize as your play and posts as droning and overly explanatory. Unfortunately you appear to show similar characteristics as town and mafia, so I'm not sure if that means anything.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 14:13 GMT
#1217
I'm not going to read Promethelax's previous games as he apparently posts way too much, but limited to just this game I think his play is suspicious so far.

Whomever is elected i will support in their choice of team 100%, we as a town gain more (information and, I believe a better chance of mission success) by giving that power to one person.

This doesn't feel like town mindset, which is that of suspicion. It makes no sense at all to suggest that whomever is elected you will support the choice of team 100%. How do you gain more information by giving that power to one person? If that person is mafia, what information do you gain from his choices? Better chance of mission success regardless of whom is elected?

This might also be nitpicky depending on how he plays usually, but first he has this to say about Hapa
He is a great town player and a kinda crappy scum player, seems like the right guy to have along for the ride.

I just don't have that town feel from Hapa. (as Hapa knows I never have a town feel from him).

First Promethelax asserts that hapa is a great town player and crappy scum player and thus prom wanted to have him on his team. In the second quote he says that he never has a town read on Hapa. This feels like the kind of contradiction that indicates a mindset other than town. If you aren't comfortable reading Hapa, why would you want him on your team? In general I find people who immediately suggested teams based on nothing at all.

His reasoning for not wanting to vote for me or sandro are also curious as I think I saw him only explaining why he chose not to vote for sandro, but didn't provide any reason for not voting for me.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 14:52 GMT
#1235
On November 22 2012 23:38 Toadesstern wrote:
A finally TL is working for me again, back to what I was saying earlier in the morning when I wasn't able to open the votingthread or this thread anymore.

I think we should be voting Kita.
I love voting Kita.

##vote Kita

If I understood correctly, you base your vote on nothing other than the fact two players already have a few votes and this third person does not. Is this correct?

I don't see anything in your filter that indicates you care about alignments or figuring things out, besides your initial post in which you randomly called someone mafia.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 14:54 GMT
#1236
Okay acro, if you are town you are compelled to vote for me now for being inside your mind
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 15:18 GMT
#1256
I can't explain it better than I have. It doesn't feel like he cares about figuring things out and there is no sense of urgency despite him being one of the most likely people to be elected. He has made no attempts at figuring out who mafia is and it seems to me he is hiding behind the fact he doesn't have to. There is being lazy and then there is just not caring. My other reasons rely on my knowledge of how he thinks and some of the things he has said feel off; can't elaborate more on that.

Yes, I might gain more votes by making my reads public. I would also gain more reads by pretending to be completely confident in my reads; I'm not. I have not finalized my team yet (right now I've 2 whom I'm likely to take and a few possibilities for the third) and may not finalize it until the end. An honest assessment as to why I'm not going to is a combination of considering it optimal play (if I get the votes), being lazy and because sometimes my town reads rely on things other players may find flimsy or the reasons are otherwise difficult to explain (tone, whether the person feels earnest).

If I were mafia, there would be absolutely no reason not to make the list of people I intend to pick public.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 15:19 GMT
#1257
EBWOP: gain more votes
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 15:42 GMT
#1270
On November 23 2012 00:34 risk.nuke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2012 00:19 Mementoss wrote:
Vote Count

Kitaman27 (4): Kitaman27, Promethelax,phagga, Toadesstern

Goodkarma (2): djodref, goodkarma

Sandroba (4): risk.nuke, Hopeless1der, Acrofales, kushm4sta

Dienosore (1): Dienosore

Syllogism (5): Oatsmaster, Marvellosity, Clarity_nl, iamperfection, TheChronicler


Players who have yet to vote (9): CaveJohnson, Hapahauli, Z-BosoN, strongandbig, BioSC, Keirathi, syllogism, Adam4167, sandroba

Remember that voting is mandatory.

All votes must be in by Thursday, Nov 22 11:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)

I forgot to unvote.
##unvote: Sandroba
##Vote: goodkarma

You say that you do not trust me. Does that mean you don't think that I'm town or just that I'm less likely to pick a good team than goodkarma. Why did you trust sandroba over me?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 16:04 GMT
#1291
There has been no sudden flip and insight has been provided. You keep posting without actually reading the whole thread or just skimming some parts.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 17:51 GMT
#1383
I don't see why you would know your success modifier and why do you think 4 is low? I assume that is a third party claim, what do you claim your win con to be?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 18:01 GMT
#1396
On November 23 2012 02:58 Dienosore wrote:
If CaveJohnson is telling the truth (and it feels like he is), then I'm going to have to reevaluate my relationship map. He was catching a lot of flak from a lot of people, so now I'm going to reverse the pipes and see what comes up.

It's no surprise he doesn't like marv, but I didn't predict him having any opinion on Djo. My only link between Cave and Djo was a stretch that included a pitstop through possible scum Acro and Kitaman.

It's extremely difficult to believe that you aren't being disingenuous with these posts. If you are town, please make some attempt at taking the game seriously.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 18:14 GMT
#1421
I confirmed that nothing in the OP is a lie, including this line

"Each character in the game is assigned a hidden number value"

Drazerk, or whoever you are, if you are somehow town I'm pretty certain that I'm never joining a game with you again.

syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 19:08 GMT
#1466
I guess if Sandroba is mafia, what I said about marvel's play not making strategical sense from mafia point of view is moot. In addition, he doesn't seem worried about dying in the near future, considering his hp related remark and him already announcing that he may run for an election in the future. Regardless, it's not relevant now and I am not going to go through his filter to determine whether it makes sense content-wise. That's not important right now though and a content based evaluation has to be made when it is.

I've a team ready. Not entirely satisfied with it as usually figuring out 3 virtually certain townies is easier; perhaps it's the format or the players complicating things or me just not being familiar with a lot of people here. Around 4 hours until deadline, is this correct?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 19:15 GMT
#1472
The only way me providing information regarding my picks gives you more information is if mafia decides to fight harder against my election due to my team being all town. I don't find it particularly likely that mafia would have behaved any differently today, unless perhaps if I had revealed my team much earlier. Revealing the team right now or even a few hours ago would have achieved nothing as I've been pretty much inevitable for longer than that. The reasons against disclosing the team, however, still stand.

You don't need more information about me than can be found by reading my posts. I'm town and whether town reached the correct conclusion based on blind faith or deduction isn't relevant.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 19:24 GMT
#1481
I don't believe you are entirely confident with your team either. I'm capable of honest self assessment and I don't see why you are attempting to use me being transparent about my thoughts in an attempt to discredit me. It doesn't particularly make sense for mafia to attack me at this stage though.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 20:01 GMT
#1511
On November 23 2012 04:45 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2012 04:08 syllogism wrote:
I guess if Sandroba is mafia, what I said about marvel's play not making strategical sense from mafia point of view is moot. In addition, he doesn't seem worried about dying in the near future, considering his hp related remark and him already announcing that he may run for an election in the future. Regardless, it's not relevant now and I am not going to go through his filter to determine whether it makes sense content-wise. That's not important right now though and a content based evaluation has to be made when it is.

I've a team ready. Not entirely satisfied with it as usually figuring out 3 virtually certain townies is easier; perhaps it's the format or the players complicating things or me just not being familiar with a lot of people here. Around 4 hours until deadline, is this correct?


I find this quite curious given you corrected drazerk on something in the op and apparently asked the host about it. Why not just check the deadline yourself?

I don't understand your point here, how is something like that alignment indicative at all?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 22 2012 20:07 GMT
#1513
On November 23 2012 05:04 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2012 05:01 syllogism wrote:
On November 23 2012 04:45 marvellosity wrote:
On November 23 2012 04:08 syllogism wrote:
I guess if Sandroba is mafia, what I said about marvel's play not making strategical sense from mafia point of view is moot. In addition, he doesn't seem worried about dying in the near future, considering his hp related remark and him already announcing that he may run for an election in the future. Regardless, it's not relevant now and I am not going to go through his filter to determine whether it makes sense content-wise. That's not important right now though and a content based evaluation has to be made when it is.

I've a team ready. Not entirely satisfied with it as usually figuring out 3 virtually certain townies is easier; perhaps it's the format or the players complicating things or me just not being familiar with a lot of people here. Around 4 hours until deadline, is this correct?


I find this quite curious given you corrected drazerk on something in the op and apparently asked the host about it. Why not just check the deadline yourself?

I don't understand your point here, how is something like that alignment indicative at all?


Because a conversational question you could easily find yourself seems somewhat out of character. Do I really have to connect the dots on why that could be alignment indicative?

I was reasonably sure and was writing a post. Feel free to interpret it in any way you like, but it is not indicative of anything.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 04:57 GMT
#1824
Phew, that was pretty stressful
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 05:05 GMT
#1828
I took 50 damage.

I'm going back to bed, but very briefly him suggesting that his modifier is likely low was something that probably makes people less likely pick him. He also pointed out the fact that if parties are announced in public, mafia has easier time choosing who to support and that was a pretty towny observation and something that occurred to me as well. In addition he wasn't afraid of asking me and sandro whether we thought he was suspicious.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 09:28 GMT
#1839
I suppose I can mention that I received a useful gift tonight, in case someone claims something later and I'm not around to confirm. Also I recommend listening to chrono trigger soundtrack while reading the thread.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 13:58 GMT
#1879
I agree with what marvel said about thechronicler.

As for goodkarma, I don't like how he tied me with sandroba and used that as an excuse not to consider me

Yet, at this point I would go so far as to say that sandroba has put so much faith into syllo that a vote for either is semi-interchangable. Between the two of them, I see one party leader ticket.


He also seemed to suggest that my post filter was a sea of one-liners and that made it incredibly challenging to read or something

While many here give Sandroba/Syllo respect for being a "vet," it's incredibly hard for me to sort through a sea of one-liners and go, "That guy is definitely town..." Actually, insert Marv's name here too as he's guiltiest of this...


He concluded by claiming he wouldn't vote for me until I provided more information
what I am certain of is that there's not a snowflake's prayer in hell I'm voting for either sandroba or syllo (or should I say sandollo?) until they provide more information on who they're bringing and why


But then decided to end his candidacy, because it was important to consolidate on me or something, although there were pretty much no other viable candidates and almost 8 hours of time left
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 19:09 GMT
#2001
I'll give my thoughts as to who should be our lynch tomorrow. Taking a break today and not just because I'm lazy and there is no night cycle.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 19:28 GMT
#2014
On November 24 2012 04:19 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 04:09 syllogism wrote:
I'll give my thoughts as to who should be our lynch tomorrow. Taking a break today and not just because I'm lazy and there is no night cycle.


Considering I have to submit a lynch guess tonight or else I receive a huge chunk of damage, it really would be nice if you would be able to take tomorrow off instead

Also, I've been pulled into watching an awful family movie. Looks like I'll be posting in a couple hours XD

That's pretty annoying. When do you have to send the answer in? It doesn't sound like a mafia ability to me
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 20:00 GMT
#2023
I'm usually vary of interpreting contradictions as an indication of someone being mafia as that depends a lot on the person question, but that one seems pretty bad. He hasn't really done anything other than propose his bad plan. A lot of posts and no useful content at all.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 20:10 GMT
#2028
On November 24 2012 05:07 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 05:00 syllogism wrote:
I'm usually vary of interpreting contradictions as an indication of someone being mafia as that depends a lot on the person question, but that one seems pretty bad. He hasn't really done anything other than propose his bad plan. A lot of posts and no useful content at all.


so you now think he could be scum, having agreed with me earlier he was more likely town?

I agree that the plan he proposed seemed towny and some of his reactions feel genuine, but his content and that contradiction point the other way. I don't think he is the best lynch today, however.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 20:20 GMT
#2036
On November 24 2012 05:12 risk.nuke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 05:10 syllogism wrote:
On November 24 2012 05:07 marvellosity wrote:
On November 24 2012 05:00 syllogism wrote:
I'm usually vary of interpreting contradictions as an indication of someone being mafia as that depends a lot on the person question, but that one seems pretty bad. He hasn't really done anything other than propose his bad plan. A lot of posts and no useful content at all.


so you now think he could be scum, having agreed with me earlier he was more likely town?

I agree that the plan he proposed seemed towny and some of his reactions feel genuine, but his content and that contradiction point the other way. I don't think he is the best lynch today, however.

Syllo, what do you feel about adam?

He has been useless. Nothing really stands out besides maybe him complaining about kita is trying to "ward of people from voting sandroba". At the time adam hadn't mentioned sandro before and presumably wasn't supporting him for party leader. That's a bit thin though and he shouldn't be a priority right now.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 20:40 GMT
#2043
I was going to wait until tomorrow so I could see who people are pushing today without me, to an extent, locking down discussion. I don't think it's particularly working though and kita can't wait (whether he is town remains to be seen, but I don't think it's worth the gamble).

I'm fairly certain that sandroba is mafia. He hasn't done anything useful whole game long and he definitely could have. Everything that I've said about him before is still applicable. Even if he has been busy, it was by choice. No one forced him to run for election and he could have at any time dropped out and supported me. If he was town, I think he would have as soon as he figured out that I'm town.

Moreover, his attitude when he came back is still wrong. Instead of attempting to convince me or even address me, he just addresses everyone generally. He claims that I have been paranoid about his alignment in merc mini and that 80+ player game, but that is false or an exaggeration. In the huge game I was, in fact, pushing him for mayor on day 1 (we were both town). In merc mini I was only slightly suspicious because his ability completely broke the game, but I never wanted to lynch him at any point; the only suspicions were voiced over PM.

If he was town, he would be attempting to convince me, not play down my ability to read him accurately. To those who believe sandroba is town, what do you think mafia did on day 1? Who is mafia? Did they really have no one who could have ran and won? Do you think it's kita or acro were the mafia candidates then?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 20:45 GMT
#2047
None of the people who are pushing the idea that sandro is town are pushing kita lynch though (doesn't necessarily make them mafia, they could just be overlooking the fact).

Marvel do you think sandro is mafia?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 20:54 GMT
#2051
This is a setup that relies heavily on the ability to contest elections. I don't think the alignments were completely RNGed, because if all the people who can win these elections turn out town, it's likely extremely difficult for mafia to win. We don't know how many mafia there are, but I would expect ~5. At least two of those should be higher profile players who can contest elections. I would also expect that at least two mafia members ran for election yesterday.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 20:56 GMT
#2054
A lot of things he has said so far have been a little off and I agree that question is one of those.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 21:16 GMT
#2065
On November 24 2012 05:59 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 05:56 syllogism wrote:
A lot of things he has said so far have been a little off and I agree that question is one of those.


what do you think of kita's play so far?

his proposal of cave as a lynch candidate, his support with no reasoning for sandroba? some of his earlier reads that felt weakly thought through?

I agree that his reads, or at least the reasoning behind them, have been weak as is often the case when he is mafia. The way he suggests Cave as an "alternative" while still stressing that he would love to lynch sandroba is also suspicious. Cave may be mafia, but I don't understand what his plan is because he has essentially guaranteed that he will never be selected to the party. I think his very first post said that he shouldn't be selected; would he do that as mafia and would his team allow it? Third party seems more likely.

Kita's early attacks were focused on me over sandroba and the attacks were very weak. He never addressed sandroba directly, except when sandro asked him a random question.

Here he paints me, marvel and sandro red
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16984163

50 minutes later he says he hasn't read sandro's filter yet and says sandro's posts have been reasonable and logical (although he says that doesn't make him town)

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16984518

The turkey post wasn't obviously completely serious, but seems weird to paint us red as a joke
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 21:25 GMT
#2075
On November 24 2012 06:21 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 06:16 syllogism wrote:
On November 24 2012 05:59 marvellosity wrote:
On November 24 2012 05:56 syllogism wrote:
A lot of things he has said so far have been a little off and I agree that question is one of those.


what do you think of kita's play so far?

his proposal of cave as a lynch candidate, his support with no reasoning for sandroba? some of his earlier reads that felt weakly thought through?

I agree that his reads, or at least the reasoning behind them, have been weak as is often the case when he is mafia. The way he suggests Cave as an "alternative" while still stressing that he would love to lynch sandroba is also suspicious. Cave may be mafia, but I don't understand what his plan is because he has essentially guaranteed that he will never be selected to the party. I think his very first post said that he shouldn't be selected; would he do that as mafia and would his team allow it? Third party seems more likely.

Kita's early attacks were focused on me over sandroba and the attacks were very weak. He never addressed sandroba directly, except when sandro asked him a random question.

Here he paints me, marvel and sandro red
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16984163

50 minutes later he says he hasn't read sandro's filter yet and says sandro's posts have been reasonable and logical (although he says that doesn't make him town)

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16984518

The turkey post wasn't obviously completely serious, but seems weird to paint us red as a joke


do you think he has a decent chance of being mafia then? is sandroba more likely mafia to you simply because you are more intimate with his play?

I wouldn't lynch kita today even if Sandro wasn't an option. I don't think the second question makes sense, but yes I can more accurately identify alignment of a player who I know extremely well.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 21:39 GMT
#2080
On November 24 2012 06:28 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 06:25 syllogism wrote:
On November 24 2012 06:21 marvellosity wrote:
On November 24 2012 06:16 syllogism wrote:
On November 24 2012 05:59 marvellosity wrote:
On November 24 2012 05:56 syllogism wrote:
A lot of things he has said so far have been a little off and I agree that question is one of those.


what do you think of kita's play so far?

his proposal of cave as a lynch candidate, his support with no reasoning for sandroba? some of his earlier reads that felt weakly thought through?

I agree that his reads, or at least the reasoning behind them, have been weak as is often the case when he is mafia. The way he suggests Cave as an "alternative" while still stressing that he would love to lynch sandroba is also suspicious. Cave may be mafia, but I don't understand what his plan is because he has essentially guaranteed that he will never be selected to the party. I think his very first post said that he shouldn't be selected; would he do that as mafia and would his team allow it? Third party seems more likely.

Kita's early attacks were focused on me over sandroba and the attacks were very weak. He never addressed sandroba directly, except when sandro asked him a random question.

Here he paints me, marvel and sandro red
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16984163

50 minutes later he says he hasn't read sandro's filter yet and says sandro's posts have been reasonable and logical (although he says that doesn't make him town)

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16984518

The turkey post wasn't obviously completely serious, but seems weird to paint us red as a joke


do you think he has a decent chance of being mafia then? is sandroba more likely mafia to you simply because you are more intimate with his play?

I wouldn't lynch kita today even if Sandro wasn't an option. I don't think the second question makes sense, but yes I can more accurately identify alignment of a player who I know extremely well.


uh, what I was getting at is this: I find kita's play scummier than sandroba's, but as you know sandroba so well you find it easier to discern sand's alignment.

I'm curious what you think kita has done to deserve NOT being lynched.

I'm less certain of him and I can lynch only one per day. I lynch players based on the strength of my read, that's it (except sometimes I may opt not to lynch my strongest read on day 1 if I'm not certain and the player in question is a very good town player). I think it's likely that I would prefer goodkarma lynch today over kita.

But I'm not going to waste time on hypotheticals and I don't see why you are wasting time interrogating me when I'm about as confirmed town as one can be.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 21:43 GMT
#2086
Speculating about the guessing game ability is pointless at this stage. If it wasn't a one-shot, we should see more and more people getting targeted by it. I don't see why kita would fake claim something like that unless he is mafia, they didn't use the ability n1 and will use it later.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 21:48 GMT
#2092
On November 24 2012 06:42 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 05:40 syllogism wrote:
I was going to wait until tomorrow so I could see who people are pushing today without me, to an extent, locking down discussion. I don't think it's particularly working though and kita can't wait (whether he is town remains to be seen, but I don't think it's worth the gamble).

I'm fairly certain that sandroba is mafia. He hasn't done anything useful whole game long and he definitely could have. Everything that I've said about him before is still applicable. Even if he has been busy, it was by choice. No one forced him to run for election and he could have at any time dropped out and supported me. If he was town, I think he would have as soon as he figured out that I'm town.

Moreover, his attitude when he came back is still wrong. Instead of attempting to convince me or even address me, he just addresses everyone generally. He claims that I have been paranoid about his alignment in merc mini and that 80+ player game, but that is false or an exaggeration. In the huge game I was, in fact, pushing him for mayor on day 1 (we were both town). In merc mini I was only slightly suspicious because his ability completely broke the game, but I never wanted to lynch him at any point; the only suspicions were voiced over PM.

If he was town, he would be attempting to convince me, not play down my ability to read him accurately. To those who believe sandroba is town, what do you think mafia did on day 1? Who is mafia? Did they really have no one who could have ran and won? Do you think it's kita or acro were the mafia candidates then?

Why do you randomly include me in that list?

Anyway, I just haven't gotten around to Kita yet, because I got sidetracked by TheChronicler. What is your opinion of him?

Because you ran and I think you are a good player, but you are right, I'm not sure if greymist would view things quite the same as I do.

Or actually I guess you didn't really run. I just remembered your first real post talking about the team you would choose, but it doesn't look like you were never pushing to get yourself elected.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 21:54 GMT
#2099
On November 24 2012 06:44 Hapahauli wrote:
@ nl_clarity

I'm not sold on Sandro or your 2nd case on him. Your 2nd case talks a lot about "faking enthusiasm," but his change in eagerness is explainable in many other ways as well. Also, I believe that him giving up the election at the end doesn't make sense with scum objectives:

Show nested quote +
Regarding Sandroba

Along similar lines as the read on GoodKarma, him completely abandoning his campaign and sheeping on Syllo doesn't make much sense from a scum perspective. Why guarentee a strong town player complete control over party selections? Makes no sense as scum. While his activity dipped down today, the day is still young, and I can't blame people for lack of activity on Thanksgiving.


Whaddy'a think?

I don't think Sandroba is in the US currently and I believe very few people celebrate thanksgiving in Brazil.

Also some of you people aren't giving my ability to read sandroba nearly enough weight
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 21:59 GMT
#2103
You don't have to do anything other than sheep me
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 22:18 GMT
#2117
On November 24 2012 07:12 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 06:54 syllogism wrote:
On November 24 2012 06:44 Hapahauli wrote:
@ nl_clarity

I'm not sold on Sandro or your 2nd case on him. Your 2nd case talks a lot about "faking enthusiasm," but his change in eagerness is explainable in many other ways as well. Also, I believe that him giving up the election at the end doesn't make sense with scum objectives:

Regarding Sandroba

Along similar lines as the read on GoodKarma, him completely abandoning his campaign and sheeping on Syllo doesn't make much sense from a scum perspective. Why guarentee a strong town player complete control over party selections? Makes no sense as scum. While his activity dipped down today, the day is still young, and I can't blame people for lack of activity on Thanksgiving.


Whaddy'a think?

I don't think Sandroba is in the US currently and I believe very few people celebrate thanksgiving in Brazil.

Also some of you people aren't giving my ability to read sandroba nearly enough weight

What does thanksgiving have to do with it? He said he spent all night at a girl's place (not that that explains his absence during the day, but he was largely absent during the D1 as well).

Syllo: is it normal for Sandro to work during the day and play in the evenings/night? Or does he, like me, spend the entire day at work procrastinating by F5ing the thread and poring over filters? If the latter, his absence is indeed weird.

I don't feel comfortable using that kind of meta knowledge against him (ie. knowledge I have obtained due to talking him a lot outside the game). This answer doesn't confirm or deny whether that is true, because I do not know the answer unless I convert time zones and think about it more.

He can disappear for long periods of time even as town, but the case against him isn't that he disappeared even though a lot of people are attempting to portray it as such.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 22:21 GMT
#2119
And hapa wasn't talking about his earlier disappearance, but his current one. It's fairly suspicious that hapa attempted to defend sandroba based on it being thanksgiving as it indicates that he didn't even bother checking where sandroba is from, but perhaps it's just american to expect thanksgiving to be a more global thing.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 23 2012 22:30 GMT
#2129
On November 24 2012 07:24 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 07:18 syllogism wrote:
On November 24 2012 07:12 Acrofales wrote:
On November 24 2012 06:54 syllogism wrote:
On November 24 2012 06:44 Hapahauli wrote:
@ nl_clarity

I'm not sold on Sandro or your 2nd case on him. Your 2nd case talks a lot about "faking enthusiasm," but his change in eagerness is explainable in many other ways as well. Also, I believe that him giving up the election at the end doesn't make sense with scum objectives:

Regarding Sandroba

Along similar lines as the read on GoodKarma, him completely abandoning his campaign and sheeping on Syllo doesn't make much sense from a scum perspective. Why guarentee a strong town player complete control over party selections? Makes no sense as scum. While his activity dipped down today, the day is still young, and I can't blame people for lack of activity on Thanksgiving.


Whaddy'a think?

I don't think Sandroba is in the US currently and I believe very few people celebrate thanksgiving in Brazil.

Also some of you people aren't giving my ability to read sandroba nearly enough weight

What does thanksgiving have to do with it? He said he spent all night at a girl's place (not that that explains his absence during the day, but he was largely absent during the D1 as well).

Syllo: is it normal for Sandro to work during the day and play in the evenings/night? Or does he, like me, spend the entire day at work procrastinating by F5ing the thread and poring over filters? If the latter, his absence is indeed weird.

I don't feel comfortable using that kind of meta knowledge against him (ie. knowledge I have obtained due to talking him a lot outside the game). This answer doesn't confirm or deny whether that is true, because I do not know the answer unless I convert time zones and think about it more.

He can disappear for long periods of time even as town, but the case against him isn't that he disappeared even though a lot of people are attempting to portray it as such.


Okay. Do you remember any game where you and Sandro were opposite alignments?

Off the top of my head games where I was town and he was mafia: liar game (pm game, but I figured him out day 1), pypi (pm game, this was mostly won based on setup/role related reasons, he was ignored for a while). I was mafia in personality and responsibility, while he was town.

You aren't going to find anything useful in those games
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 24 2012 08:46 GMT
#2297
That doesn't read like a town sandro post. It misconstrues parts of the case and the tone is off. It doesn't provide us anything useful. My vote isn't moving.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 24 2012 08:54 GMT
#2299
On November 24 2012 17:48 Promethelax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 17:46 syllogism wrote:
That doesn't read like a town sandro post. It misconstrues parts of the case and the tone is off. It doesn't provide us anything useful. My vote isn't moving.


what quote are you talking about? Maybe I'm retarded but I don't see it.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17006956
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 24 2012 09:10 GMT
#2302
If you agree with me, I would rather not. I can give one example

The first part: can you honestly say that? I'm never one to give very precise reasoning for reads and it's more of a gut feeling most of the time, about a certain post or timing or w/e. I don't even understand how you came up with this one. Second part: fair enough, I didn't bother with this day1. I'm pretty sure prom and kita are scum at this point and almost sure on clarity. I'll try to provide proof in another post.

First of all, I'm not sure if I even made this argument (my problem is mostly content/wording/tone of his posts). He hasn't given any reads whatsoever besides maybe stating that Clarity_nl is "smelly". Our reads are usually precise and not gut based; definitely not "most of the time". I discuss reads and mafia lot with him and this is a complete misrepresentation of our usual thought process. Occasionally the reads can be based on a more general feeling, but it's always based on content, so for instance we may find certain sentence or post disingenuous, but it is almost always something that can be explained in more detail. There is no way sandroba believes that he is a gut based rather than reasoning based player.

syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 24 2012 10:45 GMT
#2307
I may not be around much today due to potential canine medical emergency. I think the situation is fine and I don't need a replacement, it's just a stressful situation and I'm not taking any chances.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 24 2012 12:52 GMT
#2340
Stop distorting the case against him Acro. I seem to be trying to read sandro as if I'm skyping with him? That's completely nonsensical.

You don't feel sandro is not playing any different? How about the fact he has done or said nothing useful at all whole game long. Not a single read; just throwing a name out there with no reasoning is not a read. Failure to construct reads is fairly in line with what? Is the sandro you know completely useless? The little time he has devoted to the game has centered around him defending himself rather than doing something actually useful.

Despite the amount of seeming effort you are putting into the game, your defense of Sandro is starting to feel quite suspicious.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 24 2012 12:59 GMT
#2344
On November 24 2012 21:54 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 21:52 syllogism wrote:
Stop distorting the case against him Acro. I seem to be trying to read sandro as if I'm skyping with him? That's completely nonsensical.

You don't feel sandro is not playing any different? How about the fact he has done or said nothing useful at all whole game long. Not a single read; just throwing a name out there with no reasoning is not a read. Failure to construct reads is fairly in line with what? Is the sandro you know completely useless? The little time he has devoted to the game has centered around him defending himself rather than doing something actually useful.

Despite the amount of seeming effort you are putting into the game, your defense of Sandro is starting to feel quite suspicious.


what do you make of sand's point about his party selection?

I think town sandro would realize that it is completely meaningless as he never had to select a party and it's quite likely that just one mafia is under normal circumstances enough to cause the mission to fail, and therefore he wouldn't attempt to use something like to defend himself.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 24 2012 13:26 GMT
#2354
There is no reason to assume mafia doesn't know more about how many people they need to cause an event to fail. The main purpose why mechanics are hidden is so that we don't confirm 4 townies any time a mission succeeds.

Also reading sandro's filter it doesn't even look like he announced what his final team would be. At one point he said oats, kush and dienosore, but if he is mafia he probably knew that kush was going to die. In addition, when he named that team, I don't think he thought he was going to win. Moreover, he was locked down to dienosore+oats very early on, before dienosore claimed.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 07:33 GMT
#2892
Prom I only skimmed the thread, but are you saying that you lied about your roleblock and your ability?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 07:51 GMT
#2900
Anyway, I was roleblocked and took no damage
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 08:34 GMT
#2917
Hey prom perhaps I missed it, but did you claim your n2 action somewhere?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 08:39 GMT
#2920
I read that, but does it unambiguously say that he used the same ability on me on n1 and n2
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 09:55 GMT
#2959
I don't even know the source of the item. It may have been a reward or it may have been given to me by another player. I can make an educated guess, that's about it. Either way, it's not something we should base our party decisions on.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 10:06 GMT
#2964
On November 25 2012 18:57 Dienosore wrote:
When did you get it, and how were you notified that you got it?

I was told in PM. I don't really want to be more specific than that since it's kind of a gray area rules-wise. It says I got an item and what it does. It's not really important.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 11:01 GMT
#2971
Prom: So you are saying you have a roleblock+track ability and an ability that roleblocks everyone who visits the person you target, is this correct?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 11:20 GMT
#2975
Yeah sure.

I'm fairly certain that Prom is mafia and that his first claimed ability is real. The one he is claiming now is completely ridiculous as a town ability. It is so strong that even if it was a real ability, I don't see a town aligned player claiming it like that. Sandroba was headed for a lynch and we didn't need additional information to secure the lynch. Both of his abilities could be real, but the mass roleblock ability is extremely unlikely to be an ability of a town aligned role.

I think bussing is the strongest ability Sandro had and it is very likely that it is the one he used (although frame bus is a bit ambigious). Prom targeted marv n1 with his rb+track or whatever ability. Right now I don't quite understand why he decided to change his claim, but I guess one possibility is to make marv look slightly suspicious/force him to claim and perhaps he thinks he gets more town cred like this.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 11:30 GMT
#2981
Yes you did, you are just now pretending it wasn't a claim; you claimed an ability that roleblocks and tracks. Anyway, I'm not going to waste time arguing with you, just making sure you aren't taken into any mission ever. If you are town you are going to use your ridiculous mass roleblock ability every cycle on a person we want to keep alive.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 11:33 GMT
#2985
No, you likely knew because you are mafia with sandroba and because you, in fact, have an ability that roleblocks and tracks at the same time.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 13:44 GMT
#3054
Risk what do you think about Prom
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 14:28 GMT
#3072
Risk if you had to pick fourth person onto your team, who would that be? Are you going to tell me what you thought about prom?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 17:40 GMT
#3153
Right now I think Dienosore, Oatsmaster and then two out of TheChronicler, Marvel and Djodref would work as a team. I don't think it's quite an ideal team though, more uncertainty involved than I would like. TheChronicler how did you buy the popcorn? Maybe I missed it.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 17:45 GMT
#3157
TheChronicler was planning for this claim quite a bit in advance if he is mafia, see some of his posts last night. I guess my problem with the idea that he is mafia gambitting is that he was under quite a bit of suspicion sacrificing toad like this doesn't make much sense because it still doesn't guarantee that he is included on the team.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 17:50 GMT
#3162
Wasn't it a n1 action, not n2?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 18:08 GMT
#3176
I'm more curious as to how he bought his "popcorn"; am I missing something?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 18:21 GMT
#3189
I think those may potentially affect mission success, but in the end best and most likely design is based primarily on mafia being included in the team. I do not think a mission can fail if there is no mafia included; that kind of hidden mechanics are simply not fun. The only possible, and still unfun, exception I can see would be some kind of one-shot mafia ability, but I think they would have used that on n1.

In fact, I think the speculation revolving around whether we should include claimed characters or players with matching time period flavor is also misguided (dienosore and oats should be included because they were on a successful day 1 mission, although the roles do not hurt).

So, in short, ignore hp/roles, unless the claims themselves make someone more likely to be town.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 18:29 GMT
#3195
On November 26 2012 03:25 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 26 2012 03:21 syllogism wrote:
I think those may potentially affect mission success, but in the end best and most likely design is based primarily on mafia being included in the team. I do not think a mission can fail if there is no mafia included; that kind of hidden mechanics are simply not fun. The only possible, and still unfun, exception I can see would be some kind of one-shot mafia ability, but I think they would have used that on n1.

In fact, I think the speculation revolving around whether we should include claimed characters or players with matching time period flavor is also misguided (dienosore and oats should be included because they were on a successful day 1 mission, although the roles do not hurt).

So, in short, ignore hp/roles, unless the claims themselves make someone more likely to be town.


Out of interest, any reason you advocate those 2 rather than yourself?

No, including me is fine.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 18:35 GMT
#3199
Again, the most likely function of hidden modifier mechanic is to prevent too many players to be confirmed as town and to leave room for some confusion. It is extremely unlikely that we are supposed to plan around these unknown factors as that is just bad design. Greymist hardly expected players to just claim their roles based on the current time line and then those people would get included. Perhaps having a lot of strong town roles on a mission could outweight a mafia being included on a mission, but that doesn't seem fun for mafia. Roles aren't supposed to be claimed, so who is on the mission should usually be completely random.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 18:47 GMT
#3205
How did you get your popcorn
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 18:51 GMT
#3207
That's such a dumb ability name that I'm struggling to see how it could be a fake claim unless someone on the team is clever. How do you get gold then?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 25 2012 18:57 GMT
#3210
I guess the ability is called popcorn, because that is what greymist will be eating when the person with the role claims his popcorn check
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 06:19 GMT
#3509
Prom: just for entertainment, what is the name of your role
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 06:30 GMT
#3511
Oh ok, so outing marv's action and the fact he has a role helps town, but you revealing your role name does not. You seem more worried about claiming your role name than your powers
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 06:40 GMT
#3514
That crumb you just did is so obvious mafia already knows which time period you are from. In addition, I doubt they would even care if you were town. So kindly claim your role name
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 06:42 GMT
#3517
Just in case mafia has safe claims, I would like one to be used now
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 07:45 GMT
#3529
Prom: for future reference, it's not a good strategy to berate me in every post, especially given what happened on day 1 and 2. That and telling fewer unnecessary lies should help in your future endeavours.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 10:24 GMT
#3554
I like the relationship map. It's like a more-effort version of something I occasionally do, although it can be tricky to determine meaningful negative associations, so have to be careful with those erratic lines. They in particular can provide useful information later on if the screen isn't too lax.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 11:56 GMT
#3563
If I had to name a five person mafia team on the spot without reading any of the filters. I would probably go with

sandro toad acro prom and maaaybe risk

The above risk-prom conversation feels off, as does the fact that risk decided to run today for election. He also supported sandro early and the post in which he declared his vote is suspicious in more ways than one. Anyway, this isn't relevant right now.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 11:59 GMT
#3567
You can't throw anything "in my face" even if somehow I am wrong about you. Everyone is wrong about a lot of things every single game. Town is in a very good position, so me considering you almost certain mafia shouldn't bother you this much. The hostility and that comment is very typical of a mafia in your position, not so much of a town aligned person.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 12:07 GMT
#3573
I forgot to mention one reason for including acro (besides his strong and occasionally irrational support of sandro and his 1-shot dt claim today):

What's the common theme among the first three players: Iam, Djo, Clarity, Acro

First three are players who aren't high priority mafia targets, but yet were pretty active and to some degree towny on day 1. If mafia has an ability that does damage slowly over time, it makes sense to target this kind of players. Acro is the one who doesn't fit. Of course I'm operating based on the assumption that mafia would fake damage, but I think this makes sense.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 12:11 GMT
#3580
I said I didn't even read your filter, don't worry about it, I'm not going to push you to get lynched and if you are town you are definitely an asset and will prove yourself as such in the following days. There is definitely some confirmation bias going on if I'm wrong, it just seems tidy.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 12:19 GMT
#3587
I don't know him very well, but I went through his filter at some point and concluded at the time that I couldn't figure out how his play would make sense from mafia perspective. I also thought he genuinely cared about finding mafia. So leaning town I guess.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 13:11 GMT
#3611
Oh so you RBed me today
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 14:34 GMT
#3658
I've very strong reasons for considering Prom mafia, so how about directing your damage that way. Also you are just plain wrong in saying that whether his role seems ridiculous or not is irrelevant, just like you were yesterday when you were telling everyone how wrong they were about sandroba.

If you are town, how about not arguing against me every single day
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 14:37 GMT
#3663
On November 26 2012 23:36 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 26 2012 23:34 syllogism wrote:
I've very strong reasons for considering Prom mafia, so how about directing your damage that way. Also you are just plain wrong in saying that whether his role seems ridiculous or not is irrelevant, just like you were yesterday when you were telling everyone how wrong they were about sandroba.

If you are town, how about not arguing against me every single day


syllo, perhaps you do, but you're not communicating them very effectively to the rest of us, which is kinda important.

As a basically confirmed town with some deserved credibility and as someone who does not make strong statements lightly how about taking my word for it
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 26 2012 14:42 GMT
#3668
What I've revealed in-thread makes perfect sense and I've reasons beyond what I've revealed. I will reveal those reasons when doing so is more beneficial than keeping the reasons secret.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 05:56 GMT
#4022
Prom any idea why you took only 25 damage when I tried to hit you for 75?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 06:01 GMT
#4024
Why is everyone so focused on Prom's second claim, when his first claim explains quite clearly how he knew Marvel visited me?

Did anyone besides Prom get roleblocked today?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 06:10 GMT
#4031
Okay, fine. I've an ability that roleblocks+tracks at the same time. Prom initially claimed tracking sandro to me even though sandro was roleblocked. Marvel was roleblocked n1 and Prom definitely knew that he targeted me. The much more likely explanation for him knowing is that he simply has the same ability I do.

If you are more willing to instead believe that his other claimed abiltiy, which roleblocks everyone who attempts to target his target and in addition makes some kind of damage shield, I guess there's that. His actions and justifications for them make no sense whatsoever for town.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 06:17 GMT
#4034
He said he 'knew which way Sand was pointing when he was Rb'd'. His claim has evolved multiple times since then. Why would you even assume on n1 that the only roleblocked people just happened to visit me?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 06:25 GMT
#4037
On November 27 2012 15:23 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 15:17 syllogism wrote:
He said he 'knew which way Sand was pointing when he was Rb'd'. His claim has evolved multiple times since then. Why would you even assume on n1 that the only roleblocked people just happened to visit me?

Put yourself in his shoes. You have an ability that roleblocks anyone who targets your target, and you use it night one on a generally accepted strong town player who just won a mayoral election. Then the next day, two people, also known as strong players, claimed to be roleblocked.

I don't think its a super unreasonable gambit to guess that they were both targeting you.

Whatever, just read Hapa's case on him and his reactions to my suspicions. There is no way he is town. I can't believe how difficult it is to convince you people that someone who claimed something might be mafia.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 06:28 GMT
#4039
Wait, Prom now says his ability only roleblocks the first person who targets the player he targets and it doesn't block mafia KP?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 06:29 GMT
#4040
On November 27 2012 15:27 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 15:25 syllogism wrote:
On November 27 2012 15:23 Keirathi wrote:
On November 27 2012 15:17 syllogism wrote:
He said he 'knew which way Sand was pointing when he was Rb'd'. His claim has evolved multiple times since then. Why would you even assume on n1 that the only roleblocked people just happened to visit me?

Put yourself in his shoes. You have an ability that roleblocks anyone who targets your target, and you use it night one on a generally accepted strong town player who just won a mayoral election. Then the next day, two people, also known as strong players, claimed to be roleblocked.

I don't think its a super unreasonable gambit to guess that they were both targeting you.

Whatever, just read Hapa's case on him and his reactions to my suspicions. There is no way he is town. I can't believe how difficult it is to convince you people that someone who claimed something might be mafia.

I'm not saying that it's impossible that he's mafia. Hapa's case definitely has merit.

Yours doesn't, though.

Also, like I already said, we have 2 red checks to deal with first, and who knows if we'll even have 3 more lynches.

It makes perfect sense, even if you don't happen to understand.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 06:37 GMT
#4042
Oh there is basically a red check on Acro. Don't worry hopeless, I got your back.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 06:49 GMT
#4045
A compilation of things Prom has so far said about his role

"I know who he was pointing at when he got blocked, okay?"

"I used last night Roleblocks all players who target a single player with their actions. I took a gamble and assumed that I was the only one with a roleblocking ability because only two people claimed RB'd and I assumed that they both targeted Syllo."

"I have an ability which is planted on a single player which, if activated RBs everyone who visits that players. If it is not activated it will after [redacted number of cycle(s)] become a shield to block [ redacted number] of HP damage to the targeted player."

"I was pretty shocked about the damage which Syllo claimed (he was shocked because he knew mafia didn't shoot me, the dmg was probably due to Robo's bus ability inflicting 50 damage or something)"

"essentially the downsides are only if my reads are bad. There are some restrictions on when I can use my claimed ability. "

"my role pm says that if someone targets the player whom I targeted that first player will be roleblocked. I'm not sure about 'everyone takes ten damage' I just asked and it does not block mafia kp."
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 07:40 GMT
#4048
Prom why did you only take 25 damage when I hit you for 75?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 07:45 GMT
#4051
Djodref why are you answering for him?

Actually you know what, I'm done for a few days. There are no active town aligned players left in the game who make even a modicum amount of sense. It's not like we can lynch these people anytime soon and the game is going to take forever given that we are still only in 2300 AD.

Why did you have to be mafia sandro
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 07:58 GMT
#4059
It's not an elitist attitude. I would understand your point of view more if you actually presented reasons as to why you believe Prom is town. Instead you are just blindly defending him for no apparent reason at all. I don't have to prove that someone is mafia, I just have to show that it is probable. It just feels like I've to argue against a brick wall every single day. Even on day 2 people were making excuses for Sandro and I can't understand why.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 08:00 GMT
#4060
It is always possible that I'm wrong, I often am. I just maintain that given what we know about Prom's play and claims, it is much more likely than not that I'm correct.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 08:02 GMT
#4062
For what it is worth, Prom did visit Dienosore last night
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 08:04 GMT
#4064
Prom until you full claim I am going to roleblock you every single cycle.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 08:10 GMT
#4067
No, I want to know your name, all the abilities and what you claim to have done every cycle. You still haven't claimed your day 2 action. You have already claimed so much that this nonsense about not wanting to let mafia know isn't going to fly
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 08:17 GMT
#4070
If you are town, your actions and claimed abilities are much more likely to make sense than if you are mafia. I will be able to evaluate whether your earlier refusals to reveal eg. your role name makes sense. You have already claimed your presumably most powerful ability and you claimed it for no reason at all. You forced someone else to claim their ability, but refuse to provide information that I require.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 08:26 GMT
#4073
I just did that. This is the last time I address you until you provide the information I require. Your role is worthless until you do, because you are going to be roleblocked every cycle.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 08:48 GMT
#4083
There are no contradictions in my play. I'm confirmed town through being the leader of the team and because I got mafia lynched, not merely due to being on a successful quest. Everyone who is on a successful quest should be treated as town until we have reasons to believe otherwise, however.

I did something else on day 1. The damage I inflicted relates to the item I got for completing the mission successfully.

Goodkarma: my read is hardly based on just his role. I agree with most hapa said about prom and in addition prom's reactions to my suspicions are highly indicative of him being mafia.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 08:48 GMT
#4084
No, I did not RB sandroba.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 09:35 GMT
#4094
Cavejohnson: Why did you ask me on day 2 if I got a seed?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 10:27 GMT
#4099
That is a much more comprehensive and admirable look at his play than what the others have so far offered (Hapa aside). There are reasons for believing that his claim doesn't make much sense for mafia perspective, but I just don't read any town motives for his initial claim and subsequent behavior. Now he has finally claimed his flavor, but it turns out there was no apparent reason for not claiming it as he is just some unimportant character. I would that say it sounds like a mafia role and that is why he could have been hesitant to claim. Does it make any sense for him to refuse to claim his flavor, but casually offer details about his abilities? He didn't even have to reveal the damage shield aspect, but yet he did.

There is a chance that I'm tunnelling on an erratic, irrational, anti-town player who happens to be town aligned, but I'll take my chances for now.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 11:08 GMT
#4101
Also there is no way a town aligned player protected Prom last night unless actions were really conveniently misdirected.

However, I don't quite understand why he would claim receiving only 25 damage if he knew how much of the damage was going to be healed/blocked.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 11:16 GMT
#4103
On November 27 2012 20:13 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 15:37 syllogism wrote:
Oh there is basically a red check on Acro. Don't worry hopeless, I got your back.

You switching your brain off this game is not helping anybody.

I wasn't entirely serious, I haven't even read his filter. You just haven't been very cooperative so far. Obviously none of the people involved will be taken along on a quest and it doesn't look like we will be able to even lynch one of you anytime soon.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 11:28 GMT
#4104
Having done that, he is pretty much "guilty" of all the things you have done, except he hasn't shown the same kind of interest in the game as you have done. He supported sandroba on day 1 and was reluctant to lynch him on day 2. He hopped on TheChronicler wagon, but did not care about Toad. A lot of useless setup speculation and questions with no clear purpose.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 12:19 GMT
#4110
One has to wonder how whoever is responsible for Kita's guessing game knew that we would have a lynch day 2. Perhaps his role stipulates that the day 2 question is always about lynch, but what happens if eg. he is roleblocked day 2 and as such will have to ask the question later? Kita what was your fun little minigame on day 2?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 13:30 GMT
#4116
I apologize if I've seemed hostile or arrogant. I do not have confidence in myself, but rather I honestly think the facts speak for themselves.

I did not expect having to argue against almost certain townies who also know that I'm town. I believe that some people are being obnoxiously dismissive of what I consider a reasonable argument. I'm struggling to understand why not only do people strongly disagree, but instead of letting the person in question defend himself they feel the need to make arguments for him. I may have somewhat overstated the case, but you should be asking Prom more questions instead of arguing with me.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 16:18 GMT
#4176
I don't see why mafia would shoot you for massive damage on those two days, when their main priority should be eliminating semi-confirmed townies.

I can't believe you two were healing him anyway, but I perhaps he didn't believe it either. Hapa definitely shouldn't be on a team until this is sorted out.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 16:41 GMT
#4189
If you are a third party and there is someone out to get you, I can assure you what you said is already sufficient. It's not like they have someone else to target, so these excuses about wanting to hide your identity seem a bit thin based on what you said.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 19:12 GMT
#4245
Strongandbig reads not-mafia to me, unless he is playing for really long term. He didn't push to get sandro or toad elected (voted kita, but assuming kita isn't mafia for now), didn't oppose sandro lynch and seems rather carefree despite being inactive. He hasn't asked to be included in the party. From what I could tell, his day 1 reasoning looked genuine.

The thing is, unless mafia is just rolling over someone like Hapa has to be mafia. It doesn't matter if these lurking mafia get away with it if they never get a chance to be in a party. I suppose things may get trickier in a few cycles, but still it's such weak play.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 19:59 GMT
#4263
Looking back, the seeming "difficulty" in finding townies on day 1 might just have been due to there being many really towny players who were, in fact, town. I had too many town reads and was starting to second guess myself based on everyone being town.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 27 2012 20:04 GMT
#4268
On November 28 2012 05:03 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 04:59 syllogism wrote:
Looking back, the seeming "difficulty" in finding townies on day 1 might just have been due to there being many really towny players who were, in fact, town. I had too many town reads and was starting to second guess myself based on everyone being town.

It's comforting to be in a game where the majority of people are actually able to play the game decently, isn't it? You missing people like Grush?

I wouldn't go that far. Going to leave this ambigious
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 28 2012 06:08 GMT
#4427
Cavejohnson still waiting for you to tell me why you asked if I received a seed
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 28 2012 08:39 GMT
#4430
Drazerk you are completely worthless as always

I've decided for now that Prom's claim is plausible, even if the timing, execution and subsequent behavior are suspicious. The initial claim was compeltely ridiculous and anyone who believed such a role is likely to be in the game is naive. What he claimed at first was a role that could not only make a person completely invulnerable, but it also functioned as a semi-watcher role; a player of any alignment that gets roleblocked wouldn't know the source and would be forced to claim. Now that we know roleblock does not prevent factional KP (and I consider it likely that there is non-role based mafia factional KP) and that he can't always use it every cycle, it is more believable. Moreover, the claim is a bit too complicated and too easily veribiable to be a sane mafia claim (his sanity is still in question, however).

The fact he initially refused to claim his other ability or flavor and decided to attack and suspect a near confirmed town still doesn't make sense. I was also suspicious of sandroba immediately confirming that he visited me, instead of showing skepticism towards Prom's claim.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 28 2012 09:03 GMT
#4432
I've no idea, but you asked a question and I presumed there may have been some meaning behind that. Next time I will just assume that your questions are meaningless.

Instead of telling me to google or play the game, why not just answer the question?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 28 2012 09:28 GMT
#4434
Thanks, that is actually helpful. Do you have any idea what Acro's role is, based on your role?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 28 2012 16:23 GMT
#4478
At some point someone should claim the roleblocks on Risk and Toad. It is extremely unlikely that Risk was, at least intentionally, targeted by a mafia roleblock.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 28 2012 18:44 GMT
#4507
Clarity did you resolve as to why Hapa wasn't informed of you healing him?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 28 2012 20:51 GMT
#4529
I'm in a rather useless mason circle (completely unconfirmed obviously) with Risk and Goodkarma. I was invited there last night. Nothing in the mason QT really gives me a better feeling about Risk.

I'll hopefully be back in 9 hours or so
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 06:18 GMT
#4738
This is extremely stupid, I can not believe hosts didn't just ask him for a team. Poor form
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 06:19 GMT
#4739
I did not take damage and I was healed
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 06:31 GMT
#4743
Prom you better have a good story read as to why you didn't protect any of the most likely targets
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 06:40 GMT
#4749
Actually I forgot that you don't protect against factional KP, doesn't matter much then and I think the shield is more useful
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 08:04 GMT
#4756
On November 29 2012 15:55 Promethelax wrote:
I'm out for the night. See you tomorrow.
gl town! Can't wait to see what you come up with while I'm gone.

Syllo: some comment on my case on GK would be appriciated.

Risk: please answer my questions.

Thanks and g'night!

I agree that his day 1 play in particular was extremely dubious and I and others have pointed out and agreed with some of the things you have said. His claim is a bit strange if he is mafia, although on the QT he seemed to forget at one point how his role is supposed to work.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 14:06 GMT
#4785
On November 29 2012 06:50 Clarity_nl wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 01:25 Hapahauli wrote:
On November 28 2012 01:18 syllogism wrote:
I don't see why mafia would shoot you for massive damage on those two days, when their main priority should be eliminating semi-confirmed townies.

I can't believe you two were healing him anyway, but I perhaps he didn't believe it either. Hapa definitely shouldn't be on a team until this is sorted out.


Well both of those guys (clarity and iamp) have town reads on me, so the heals make sense from that perspective.

From what I understand:
Post-D1: I took 0 damage. Either iamp's claimed heal was completely wasted OR it nullified any damage directed towards me.
Post-D2: I took 100 damage. No one healed me (or no one has claimed so), and Toad claimed he shot me for 100.
Post-D3: I took 50 damage, and nl_clarity healed me for an undisclosed amount, indicating that I took more than 50 damage.


Okay so with the information we have currently this post is false. That's not to say Hapa lied, but he's wrong.
Namely the host saying this (at my request)
Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 02:07 GreYMisT wrote:
IF you take 150 damage and are healed for 100 damage in the same night, you will be told

You took 50 damage

You were healed.


So regardless of how much damage you take, if you get healed you get notified of the heal.

This means there are a couple of possibilities:
1. Hapa is lying - This wouldn't make a whole lot of sense, regardless of alignment
2. Some ability made it so Hapa cannot be healed (either it was used both times or it is permanent/lasts a couple of cycles. (this would be a scum ability no doubt)
3. Some ability redirects abilities used on hapa to someone else (again, has to be scum or it would have been claimed by now)

I think the safe thing to say is that we should not be using heals or protection on hapa anymore, but it does not make him scum as far as I can tell. If someone can see a reason why hapa would be lying about getting healed by townies, please do tell.

Why doesn't him lying make sense? It's entirely possible that he lied about taking damage and didn't expect anyone would ever heal him or didn't understand how the mechanic works. He wouldn't be lying about not being healed, he would be lying about taking damage. I find 2) and 3) to make much less sense than 1). Why would mafia target hapa with such abilities when there were much, much better ones available? Basically only third party makes sense, but only really if it was a completely random ability.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 14:08 GMT
#4786
I suppose you can ask the host whether you get notified of being healed if you are at full hp. If the answer is no, then the above stands
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 14:52 GMT
#4806
If someone roleblocked Risk on d2 (?), claim. You don't have to claim anything else.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 15:09 GMT
#4815
Some things I learned while in the mason QT

He says he is Gato and he claims this in the first post of the QT. The QT flavor says the tent has a crystal ball.

He has only recruited people who he thinks are town, although he also claims there was some mutual distrust between GK and him until some undisclosed point. He claims he thought GK might have roleblocked due to his fearsome mason recruiting ability. He says he recruited me to get me interested in the game or something.

He says he can attack people in the QT, but apparently thinks it's better to invite people who he considers town rather than people who might be mafia.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 15:18 GMT
#4827
I'm fine with any combination of dieno, djo, keir, oats, me, clarity, iamperfection.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 15:30 GMT
#4834
My impression from reading the QT is that he seemed to want GK to treat him as town based solely on the fact that he is a mason recruiter. I'm not going to check time stamps, but I think he wanted GK nominate him as a party leader on day 3
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 15:31 GMT
#4836
On November 30 2012 00:29 Acrofales wrote:
@syllo, risk, GK: was anybody new recruited into the QT this cycle?

Dieno was recruited. Risk's justification was that he wanted to let him "share any information" in private before he dies.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 16:32 GMT
#4847
When I read the QT for the first time, my first impression of the conversations was that it was all an act by both parties although clearly more so by Risk. Now I'm leaning more towards just Risk. He says things like he is unsure whether his alleged roleblock prevented him from inviting Keirathi and that he was awaiting for modconfimation. If he was roleblocked and received a PM stating as much, how could he possibly believe that his mason recruit could have gone through anyway.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 16:34 GMT
#4850
Acro: did you ask mementoss that as well? He hasn't replied to my inquiry yet.

I asked him if posts said in blue can be relied to be true and then elaborate as to why I would like to know.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 16:48 GMT
#4862
On November 30 2012 01:42 risk.nuke wrote:
Syllogism's thought process. This role isn't a mafia role. And if this was a mafia role this is a very suboptimal way to play. But there is a crystal ball in the tent flavor so this is probably a huge ploy where mafia scum buddies goodkarma and risknuke are trying to sell themselves of as town.

And I didn't know if inviting someone counted as a roleblockable action. But hey thanks for outing my name... there probably will be no consequences.

It's an incredibly suboptimal way regardless of alignment and some of the things that were said by you were just mindboggling. It doesn't help that, of course, that I was suspicious of your play even before that so I'm interpreting everything through that prism. What kind of consequences do you expect there to be for outing a name of a minor character? You didn't even think it was important to keep it secret as you voluntarily divulged the name before anyone even had posted in the QT. We've had two major characters claim their names and neither of them has even been roleblocked yet.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 17:04 GMT
#4875
On November 30 2012 02:01 risk.nuke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2012 01:48 syllogism wrote:
On November 30 2012 01:42 risk.nuke wrote:
Syllogism's thought process. This role isn't a mafia role. And if this was a mafia role this is a very suboptimal way to play. But there is a crystal ball in the tent flavor so this is probably a huge ploy where mafia scum buddies goodkarma and risknuke are trying to sell themselves of as town.

And I didn't know if inviting someone counted as a roleblockable action. But hey thanks for outing my name... there probably will be no consequences.

It's an incredibly suboptimal way regardless of alignment and some of the things that were said by you were just mindboggling. It doesn't help that, of course, that I was suspicious of your play even before that so I'm interpreting everything through that prism. What kind of consequences do you expect there to be for outing a name of a minor character? You didn't even think it was important to keep it secret as you voluntarily divulged the name before anyone even had posted in the QT. We've had two major characters claim their names and neither of them has even been roleblocked yet.

I don't know this is a heavily themed greymist game. For all we know there is third party out there who's objective is to kill me or someone else and now knows it's not me. Then there is the general always a downside to nameclaiming to prevent people from trying to mass-claim. For all we know at any point in the game the mafia can wipe out everyone who's name they know. So now it's your turn. Please, tell me the benefits of nameclaim?

You ignored half of the post but that's okay, I will answer anyway.

The name was required because it is suspicious when combined with the flavor provided in the QT. It could be completely meaningless, but it's still potentially evidence.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 17:32 GMT
#4902
On November 30 2012 02:27 Clarity_nl wrote:
Syllo may I ask why you are not trying to run for the election? I think I know but I'd like to hear your reasons.

So I don't have to send a pm with the party
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 17:35 GMT
#4907
Did anyone claim RB this cycle?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 17:38 GMT
#4911
I'm not convinced, I'm suspicious. The QT can still in theory be useful and linking to it is definitely not useful.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 17:44 GMT
#4920
VE did you get roleblocked last night
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 17:58 GMT
#4939
On November 30 2012 02:53 Acrofales wrote:
Seems easy enough: don't take Dieno, don't take Keirathi. Syllo, Oats, Clarity and Chronicler seems like a pretty good party. Chronicler gets to use his 1-shot ability and if one of the members gets killed, that still leaves 3 townie players who have not mentioned any low HSM shenanigans.

Syllo, you agree? Get your party PM ready, and don't you dare herpaderp it up like a certain extinct reptile.

##unvote
##Party Leader Syllo

I'm fine with that, although I haven't actually read anything about TC's 1-shot yet.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 18:00 GMT
#4943
VisceraEyes where did you go? Weren't you preparing a post? Can you answer my previous question
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 18:05 GMT
#4949
VE as you may know, my ability also lets me see where you were heading when you were roleblocked. The question is whether revealing this is worthwhile. What do you think?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 18:17 GMT
#4960
On November 30 2012 03:12 VisceraEyes wrote:
Well, I guess that depends on your intended result. It's your show syllo, if you reveal then I'll just have to explain my motivation. Simple as that.

Have you or Biosc sent in an action every cycle? Is any of that in any way confirmable or useful?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 18:37 GMT
#4969
So far I haven't been blown away by the abilities people have claimed and I'm more interested in finding mafia or townies even if it means outing some ability. I can't really keep withholding information very long anyway in case I die.

What did you target Dienosore with?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 18:48 GMT
#4971
You should have told me to wait until next cycle to reveal, oh well.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 18:51 GMT
#4975
No, I roleblocked+tracked him
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 20:24 GMT
#4986
I haven't paid attention to the whole rollback/1-shot ability discussion, but I imagine that he can't use his ability during the same cycle that the rollback is used on him, so if the plan relies on simultaneous usage, might want to reconsider
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 21:40 GMT
#5013
Hapa: that post reads like it was written out of obligation rather than out of genuine interest. Anyway, hope you realize you are never going to be included in the party until a role that explains why you didn't receive a PM about the heal flips.

Clarity: did you get an answer regarding full hp healing yet?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 22:04 GMT
#5021
I'm not pursuing that idea at all and you would know if you had actually read what I said and the related earlier discussion.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 29 2012 22:27 GMT
#5029
Because taking damage is seen towny and they didn't think they could get caught? Why does mafia ever lie?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 08:42 GMT
#5115
Acro or whoever can you stop beating up the poor frog. I don't see what's the rush, just let mafia finish him off
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 10:46 GMT
#5121
What is your win con then? I don't quite understand how you are supposed to achieve your win con if you really have no idea what your abilities do. Clearly no one is trying to kill you given that you haven't claimed being hit or anything. Have you managed to do anything useful with your abilities since the dt check? I'm mostly curious as there is no way you are mafia and we can't do anything about you even if your win con is to kill some townie.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 11:09 GMT
#5123
It's very likely that mafia has some protective abilities considering my 75 dmg shot only hit Prom for 25. I think him claiming the damage as only 25 is towny, however. It's quite possible that mafia protected him because they knew he was likely going to be shot and it would make him even more suspicious.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 12:26 GMT
#5133
What about Hapa risk? There isn't a single mention of hapa on your filter (not on the QT either)? He was suspicious of Prom when I was and dropped it later and he has been casually suspicious of you. You have reacted violently to most suspicions but have ignored his.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 17:57 GMT
#5185
The event next cycle will probably be first lavos encounter. I'm probably at full health, so including me in the party may be a good idea.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 17:59 GMT
#5186
Since I just noticed the game is scheduled to end "Dec 3 - Dec 15", meaning it might be possible to win after the next cycle, although I'm not particularly optimistic since we failed one event.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 18:34 GMT
#5191
The item I received allowed me to inflict damage in addition to my normal night action

I don't think there are lots of unclaimed roleblocks, if any. Signs point towards sandro being the only mafia roleblocker unless mafia just prefers to use some other ability over roleblock.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 18:48 GMT
#5196
I think sandroba roleblocked me n2 if actions and lynch are processed simultaneously. I do not believe risk was roleblocked or if he was, it was by a third party for no apparent reason. It is certainly extremely unlikely for mafia to roleblock risk over some of the claimed roles. It's possible that he was roleblocked by a town aligned roleblocker, but I've asked the person in question to claim and I think he would have. I didn't know about drazerk claiming roleblock n3 though.

It's possible that there are roles that have a passive/active ability that roleblocks anyone who visits them or something, I suppose.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 20:23 GMT
#5236
I find it extremely unlikely for there to be a pardoner role in a setup that uses a limited lynching mechanic. I wouldn't worry about it.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 20:24 GMT
#5237
And don't spread the votes too much given that we may not be getting true vote counts
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 20:45 GMT
#5255
If mafia is actually trying to win the game, someone like Hapa has to be mafia. Toad's play has been pretty passive and I think he would have attempted to take more control if only sandro and him were in a position to do so. Hapa initially supported sandro and then made a last ditch attempt to get elected on day 1. He wasn't too keen on a sandro lynch on day 2. He again tried to run on day 3 although he flip flopped on that almost immediately.

When I look at the pool of players who can still be mafia, him makes most sense in terms of overall picture and it would be foolish to dismiss the healing issue.

This is also why I thought acro might be mafia, because he was one of the few people who seemed like he was trying to establish control on day 1 and 2.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 20:47 GMT
#5256
Also I find it quite suspicious that Toad claimed having shot hapa. It didn't make sense for mafia to shoot hapa and claiming the shot in his position probably made even less sense unless it was to give hapa town cred.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 20:57 GMT
#5259
Mafia knows how much KP they have. So far they have managed to flip one person. Also there is no way the game is balanced around mafia winning the game through just night killing people. On the contrary, the big assumption is to believe that in a game that appears to revolve around whether these missions succeed or not, mafia could win without contesting these elections at all.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 21:14 GMT
#5264
I'm not arriving at him just due to process of elimination, not that there is anything wrong with process of elimination, and stating that "they are both assumptions" is a meaningless statement as one of these "assumptions" is much more likely than the other. Greymist says he feels the setup is "very balanced" and the only reasonable interpretation of that means that mafia has to contest elections to have a decent chance at winning. These elections are the part of the game where we are actually playing the game of mafia rather than just night action roulette.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 21:31 GMT
#5270
No one really is by this point. I'm not disputing the fact that mafia realizes that they can not do anything right now. No one is making any attempts, because it's not possible. I'm not convinced that he is mafia, I just think it is likely. Doesn't matter much though until we get our next lynch. I will say that I would rather include some of these lurking players in the party than him.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 21:52 GMT
#5279
Perhaps they shot me day 2 and your protection stopped the damage or they just assumed that I would be protected every cycle. Either way I agree that mafia KP usage has been terrible based on what we know.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
November 30 2012 22:27 GMT
#5285
Has the party been submitted
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 00:02 GMT
#5323
I took 265 damage
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 10:08 GMT
#5431
I received two corrections to the damage I took and I actually took 210
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 10:31 GMT
#5432
Also I don't believe hapa's claim about a host error. They have been reading the thread and there is very little doubt that they have known about the issue for quite a while. It wouldn't have taken this long to notice the problem. Greymist even answered a question regarding how damage and healing is displayed in PMs when we were discussing hapa's missing PM.

If you are mafia, which I think is likely, I think it's pretty cowardly to attempt to hide behind a host error. You could have asked him about how healing mechanic works, but did not. Furthermore, I think any major, game affecting host errors should be acknowledged in some manner.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 12:19 GMT
#5442
On December 01 2012 20:06 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 01 2012 15:21 TheChronicler wrote:
Confirming that I didn't get a pm. Gnight.

Funky shit.

This means the healing notification mechanics may be different than we thought. I find it very hard to believe VE OR TC would be dumb enough to lie about healing at this point.

Either that, or there is some kind of action redirector that is severely screwing with our minds. However, if it is targeted I can think of no sane reason to use that on Hapa and TC rather than high profile players who you'd expect to get healed (Syllo, Marv, Dino).

If VE can't actually heal, his only only real options were claiming RB or claim healing TC. I think every believable target has claimed receiving damage and out of those town trusts TC least. I think VE should claim all his night actions so far. Role claiming a healer when you aren't one is very risky for mafia though, we'll see what happens with his next few actions.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 15:33 GMT
#5457
Do you know this for a fact Oatsmaster?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 15:50 GMT
#5464
Oats can you just claim what you know or don't know? You are already a mafia target and if S&B is mafia they certainly know that you have some sort of ability
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 15:58 GMT
#5466
Well he claimed using an ability on you and I've an idea what it might have done

Strongandbig you might as well claim what it was
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 17:50 GMT
#5476
On December 02 2012 02:32 strongandbig wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2012 00:58 syllogism wrote:
Well he claimed using an ability on you and I've an idea what it might have done

Strongandbig you might as well claim what it was


I increase my target's max hp by 300 and damage them by 250.

This ability can fail under certain conditions. On oatsmaster it succeeded.

I also claim the 1 hp damage on drazerk, i have a troll ability with 99% chance to do 1 damage and 1% chance to reduce target to 1hp.

also voting grab sword and oatsmaster, seems the most reasonable thing atm

That ability makes no sense and using it makes even less sense. Why did you think using that on Oats was a good idea?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 18:04 GMT
#5480
Okay so why did it take you until N4 to use this ability? Why did you use your "troll" ability on drazerk before that?

Oatsmaster: can you ask Greymist what your max hp is, thanks
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 18:11 GMT
#5483
Dianosore: if you had taken 300 less damage on day 1, would you have required saving from death on N4? Does this math sound plausible?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 18:19 GMT
#5485
What is the condition? You can only use it on a person who is in a party and you have to know their character name?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 18:21 GMT
#5486
Actually I think I got the cycles wrong so that doesn't quite work out
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 18:28 GMT
#5488
Didn't Oats take the damage on N4? The cycle when the party failed due to dino not sending in a team? But yes, that was my theory
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 18:46 GMT
#5491
Where did you go S&B? What is the condition for your ability to be usable?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 19:00 GMT
#5493
Yes I did, he didn't go anywhere. Shouldn't have bothered though as if he is mafia, I telegraphed my target way too much.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 19:55 GMT
#5501
What did you do on N5
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 20:08 GMT
#5504
On December 02 2012 05:02 Dienosore wrote:
Concerning the most recent nights action, all I was told was that I was once again saved from death and masamune was restored. I followed up with a PM, asking a few questions that would help me cut through the vagueness. All questions about dmg taken and hp stuff were ignored.

Strongandbig claims that he targeted you on n1 with an ability that does 250 damage to you, but at the same time increases your max hp by 300 and "heals" you by 300 (so +50 net heal). He claims that the healing aspect doesn't count as a normal heal, so you aren't informed about that.

If you assume you took 300 less damage on n1, would the damage you received on n4 been enough to kill you
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 20:30 GMT
#5509
If there was a host error that went unnoticed for 2+ cycles even though host was there reading our conversations, I think Greymist should confirm. If you aren't lying about the error, what I said does not apply. You do not have to be angry, because it was all based on false assumptions.

Not confirming a mod error isn't any better than confirming it, in fact it is worse.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 20:38 GMT
#5510
The point is, mafia shouldn't be able to hide behind false claims about host making an error. There is no way for us, the players, to determine whether that is true or not (not exactly accurate, but close enough). That is not playing mafia and it should not be allowed.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 01 2012 20:41 GMT
#5512
And that was a completely unwarranted response to what I said.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 09:34 GMT
#5590
No, risk recruited dieno last cycle and he isn't playing anymore. Presumably he will recruit someone new this cycle. No point discussing things in the QT instead of the thread and there isn't anything to discuss anyway.

Hapa and S&B can you two full claim? S&B feels more like a third party to me, but there seem to be so many of those already.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 10:53 GMT
#5592
It would be informative, but at the same time I don't think we can do anything with the information right now, so it's probably safer not to have everyone claim.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 11:37 GMT
#5595
Djodref why did you want Dieno on the party even though you couldn't actually guarantee his safety?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 11:39 GMT
#5596
Oh Djodref hasn't been on a successful party yet, I was under impression that he had been. Maybe it's time to finally read your filter
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 11:42 GMT
#5597
You have been pushing the idea of you being on the party every day and it seems to me way more than you should have
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 11:50 GMT
#5598
It seems Hapa isn't the only player who matches how I would expect mafia to have played. Also, all your mafia reads so far have been bad and your defense of Prom reeks of too much information. I think this mission is going to fail.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:02 GMT
#5599
You also claimed that me and marv had a town read on you and that's why you should be on the team. I've actually only mentioned you once in a context that could be interpreted as that and even then I said I was uncertain. It appears to me you misinterpreted something that I said to push the idea of you being on the team. There is no reason for a town aligned person to be this eager to be on the team. Can you explain your motivation?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:04 GMT
#5601
Cliff notes version: Djodref is mafia
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:09 GMT
#5603
You? I thought they targeted me. What makes you say that?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:17 GMT
#5604
Prom why did Clarity take damage despite the seed shield?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:20 GMT
#5609
On December 02 2012 21:18 Clarity_nl wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2012 21:04 syllogism wrote:
Cliff notes version: Djodref is mafia


Eh, I think it's town djo being overzealous, he does that. The protection would also seem like a weird ability for scum.
I heard no objections from anyone when I gave him a townread and when he said him and Dieno should be on the party.

I've been thinking about the setup and mafia must have either healing or protection roles, otherwise it's too easy for confirmed townies to get out of control. It's also weird that Dieno was hit for the second time even though Djodref claimed that he would keep him alive again. Also, why isn't mafia attempting to get rid of Djodref?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:22 GMT
#5610
On December 02 2012 21:19 Clarity_nl wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2012 21:17 syllogism wrote:
Prom why did Clarity take damage despite the seed shield?


I think the most logical answer is that the damage shown includes the 100 damage done to the shield.

Is it? But Djodref claims taking only 100 and he also "forgot" to claim it initially. Doesn't that seem a lot of damage anyway from an event?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:24 GMT
#5613
Djodref was. For mafia, being "confirmed" as a townie in this format is worth sacrificing some KP for.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:25 GMT
#5617
The shield is supposed to protect from 200 damage, so that would mean you got hit for 325 and djodref for only 100. Does this sound reasonable and logical to you?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:35 GMT
#5624
On December 02 2012 21:30 Adam4167 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2012 21:24 syllogism wrote:
Djodref was. For mafia, being "confirmed" as a townie in this format is worth sacrificing some KP for.


Someone (presumably the scum), hammered Dieno for 445 damage on N4.

You think they both protected him and dumped what i presume is a majority of their nightly KP into him?


I don't know if that's all from mafia, but yes that kind of play makes sense in this format if Djodref is mafia. I have to read the post where Djodref claims the save as claiming makes no sense if you can just stay hidden and protect the player for all eternity. I think at the time of the claim we already had enough "confirmed" townies to form a team.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:39 GMT
#5626
Anyway, this speculation all hinges on the mission failing. If it doesn't fail I'll obviously drop my suspicions.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:43 GMT
#5628
On December 02 2012 21:41 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2012 21:35 syllogism wrote:
On December 02 2012 21:30 Adam4167 wrote:
On December 02 2012 21:24 syllogism wrote:
Djodref was. For mafia, being "confirmed" as a townie in this format is worth sacrificing some KP for.


Someone (presumably the scum), hammered Dieno for 445 damage on N4.

You think they both protected him and dumped what i presume is a majority of their nightly KP into him?


I don't know if that's all from mafia, but yes that kind of play makes sense in this format if Djodref is mafia. I have to read the post where Djodref claims the save as claiming makes no sense if you can just stay hidden and protect the player for all eternity. I think at the time of the claim we already had enough "confirmed" townies to form a team.

What? You think it makes sense for scum to
1. Blow all their KP on someone they know is unkillable
2. Blow an incredibly strong protection power on town

Just to get Djodref into a party?

I don't really understand how mafia is supposed to win this game. They don't seem to have enough KP to kill townies faster than we even confirm them. It seems to me they have to do everything they can to be included in the party. Again, I'm trying to make the game make sense in case the mission today fails.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:52 GMT
#5631
Stalling? Toad flipped a role that allows summoning lavos early.

I think the options we are picking only affect the amount of damage the town aligned members on the party take.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 12:59 GMT
#5639
That isn't a very rational explanation, as mafia is only interested in shooting at people who are confirmed town or been on the party. Why claim your ability at all? As long as mafia isn't interested in you, Dieno can not die.

Why do you think the amount of damage you took is important? Early on you were suspecting someone of lying about it, although in retrospect mafia isn't particularly afraid of taking some damage so they could have even targeted one of their own on purpose.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 13:05 GMT
#5643
Also Djodref, were you not afraid of roleblocks at all? Were you that convinced that mafia has no roleblocker left?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 13:16 GMT
#5646
I don't understand why you keep saying they targeted you, Prom. Are you saying your damage sharing only works one way and it is not, in fact, a protective ability?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 13:26 GMT
#5654
It seems strange to me to use that powerful ability on Dienosore, even with the frog claim. It also seems dubious that your role isn't affected by roleblocks. I do not believe that you have actually asked the host whether it is. I guess we will know more after today.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 13:43 GMT
#5657
Djodref: What is your time period?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 13:51 GMT
#5661
So it doesn't say that you are Alfador?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 14:24 GMT
#5670
Djodref you said that you "also suspect that I could get an ability if [you] get the chance to have a seat on the party". Why did you suspect that?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 14:29 GMT
#5671
On November 30 2012 00:15 Djodref wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2012 00:10 iamperfection wrote:
hey if anyone thinks im not town say it now.

If not i say its time i get in the party.


I think that we should prioritize people who need to be in the party for ability related stuff or because they have bad ass role like robo or frog with a possible high hidden value.
I believe that you are town but I would prefer you to remain non "confirmed" town if you don't mind. I think that the protection type roles like you and me shouldn't try to get under the spotlight too much. I would vote a party with you as a member though...

Why did neither of these two things apply to you Dienosore? You are just a cat with presumably a low hidden modifier and you are also an extremely powerful protective role.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 14:30 GMT
#5672
EBWOP: Djodref, not Dienosore
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 14:48 GMT
#5675
Answer the other question, the one you chose to ignore
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 14:50 GMT
#5676
Your PM allegedly doesn't even say what your era is and presumably also nothing about you getting more abilities in that era. Your answers are highly unsatisfactory, but I guess we will see. Pretty convenient that Dieno ended up dying and mafia didn't even feel like shooting at anyone on the party.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 15:22 GMT
#5685
I agree, it's a stretch. I didn't like how he started speculating about the mission potentially failing and it feels to me mafia is helpless with all these powerful roles present in the game. I think it's more likely than not that djodref is town right now, but if the mission fails I'm not inclined to believe that it was because Dienosore died.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 15:34 GMT
#5686
On December 03 2012 00:16 iamperfection wrote:
Also I have been trying to get on team does that make me scum sylo?

You haven't made nonsensical excuses as to why you should be included and haven't played down other potential candidates for reasons that also apply to yourself.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 15:43 GMT
#5688
On December 03 2012 00:35 Clarity_nl wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2012 00:34 syllogism wrote:
On December 03 2012 00:16 iamperfection wrote:
Also I have been trying to get on team does that make me scum sylo?

You haven't made nonsensical excuses as to why you should be included and haven't played down other potential candidates for reasons that also apply to yourself.


Djo's reasoning makes sense to me. He felt he was a target and being on the party made it more likely he would be protected, you disagree?

But he is the one who made himself a target by claiming when there was no reason to claim, admittedly he isn't the only one guilty of this. It also doesn't seem likely to me that a cat has a lot of HP, but perhaps he just didn't think his claim through at all. The thing is, imagine some lower profile player having his role and never claiming. He would make one player invulnerable for the duration of the whole game and mafia wouldn't be able to do anything about it, unless they have some sort of day actions, but that likely outs their player and they can't even know if the protected person is vulnerable to day actions.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 15:51 GMT
#5691
Did it ever occur to you to use it on Drazerk? Did it ever occur to you to use your role as a role check? I kind of want to believe you because I don't understand why mafia chose to shoot frog on d1 and then ignored him for 2 days for no apparent reason. It seems likely to me that they shot marvel+dienosore d1, but didn't have enough KP to inflict 665 damage on those two and that they believed some third party also targeted dienosore.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 16:00 GMT
#5697
Oh I forgot about the theory of dienosore reflecting some action on d2, perhaps you targeted him again on n2 but it didn't work and that's why you couldn't use it on day 3. That would also explain why you targeted Oats on n3 rather than frog again. Then you got hit by Oats 100 damage and deemed it safer to target prom.

This doesn't make you mafia, but I'm just attempting to come up reasons as to why mafia chose their targets as they did.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 16:08 GMT
#5703
Okay so you haven't even asked the host about it? You just assumed?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 02 2012 17:22 GMT
#5717
On December 03 2012 02:17 kitaman27 wrote:
On Spekkio's wiki page, we have links to Queen Zeal (Toad), Johnny (Toad's fake claim), and Alfador!

This may be my shining achievement when it comes to mafia cases.

I agree, this is definitely the best case I've ever seen
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 06:09 GMT
#5906
Hey guys S&B attempted to visit Djodref
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 06:10 GMT
#5907
Also I was healed
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 06:34 GMT
#5911
And yes, one (or more) of the main characters is almost certainly mafia unless you think the game can be won on day 1 with a mass claim. Hapa should claim all his abilities and actions tomorrow.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 06:52 GMT
#5914
Flamethrower is incredibly anti-town even with the potential to track actions. Also you know toad flipped a role that had a night action to inflict 100 damage, so shouldn't you have been looking for players who took 175 damage and not 75?!
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 07:50 GMT
#5917
Hapa I can symphatize if you really took 50 damage, thanks to your flamethrower, on the night that clarity healed you, but your damage occured after all the other actions, so you weren't healed. I can see how you could consider that a mod error even though it may not be.

Going to wait until S&B flips until attempting to figure out whether what Prom just said makes any sense
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 07:54 GMT
#5919
That's why I'm waiting until S&B flips because people who he has allegedly targeted have experienced some weird things (Oats not receiving a heal and now something messing with you).
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 08:14 GMT
#5923
Oh wait Hapa just claimed attempting to visit Clarity, so perhaps he really did trigger your roleblock
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 08:38 GMT
#5927
Prom: even if it occurred on n5? The night when I also roleblocked him?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 09:21 GMT
#5931
On December 03 2012 18:05 Promethelax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2012 17:38 syllogism wrote:
Prom: even if it occurred on n5? The night when I also roleblocked him?


well if you roleblocked him it wouldn't do shit to my shield. What are you asking? Also: Iamp got RB'd by neither of us.

I didn't hear about Iamp getting roleblocked and I assumed it might be possible that your roleblock of hapa was processed before mine. Seems unlikely though, so Hapa is just lying about attempting to visit clarity on N5 (since my tracking showed him staying home).
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 09:59 GMT
#5934
I'm guessing that mafia has a role that deals damage based on max (or current?) hp. Would explain why greymist had to do calculate how much damage me and prom took. Based on day 1 damage reports this could be 20% of either current or max hp. Dienosore took 475 damage, acro inflicted 75 of that and S&B 250. Leaves 150 damage and that's 20% of his max hp. I'm guessing VE is this role.

Marvel took 200. This could be flamethrower+toad's draining attack. Marvel was roleblocked so he didn't visit anyone, so no additional flamethrower damage.

I may have taken 50 damage because S&B redirected Frog's attack to me, although this would be a mod error because frog should have been roleblocked by prom's ability.

syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 11:01 GMT
#5938
On December 03 2012 19:13 Promethelax wrote:
do you really have 850 health Syllo?

I don't think it's necessary to make our HP values public, but my assumption was that he took an average of our total/current HPs and used that or something.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 12:19 GMT
#5945
I think healing is more important than restoring 1-shots.

Some unresolved mysteries:

- Kita's weird guessing game and the subsequent beanbag game, of which he never talks about again.
- Risk's claimed roleblock. Is no one really going to claim this?
- Number of mafia. It could be 5 or 6
- Why does Adam want to go to 2300 AD if his only ability is a very unreliable guessing vig?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 12:26 GMT
#5950
We should take epoch to an era that benefits our healers most
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 12:28 GMT
#5952
If your PM doesn't mention an era specific bonus, I doubt you get one
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 12:56 GMT
#5960
On December 03 2012 21:45 phagga wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2012 21:24 kitaman27 wrote:
Good news

Phagga, if you're not golem, would you mind revealing your actual role name? The reason I asked S&B to commit to checking you is because I couldn't come up with anything else that matches the flavor.

Still waiting for VE to reveal the reasoning for his night action.


What do you hope to achieve by knowing my role name?

I would like to know it as well
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 12:59 GMT
#5962
Actually I changed my mind, no rush to reveal
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 13:19 GMT
#5964
I'm vary of going to End of Time because it looks like more damage was inflicted on N4 than on others. It's possible that Dianosore took extra damage for failing the event (so more than 75), but if not mafia inflicted 400+250 and that's with VE being roleblocked.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 14:24 GMT
#5980
He had already claimed that, S&B visited him and took 100 damage. This conversation is incredibly pointless all around.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 14:59 GMT
#5993
Iamperfection I don't care if you believe Hapa is town (he isn't), but at least don't heal him again
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 15:08 GMT
#5997
On December 04 2012 00:03 iamperfection wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2012 23:59 syllogism wrote:
Iamperfection I don't care if you believe Hapa is town (he isn't), but at least don't heal him again

my heals have been great this game

Absolutely, I didn't mean to criticize your choices so far.

However, you should read Hapa's claim again to see if it makes sense, even if you don't find a problem with the rest of his play. He claims his ability does 100 damage to the person he targets and then 75 to the target of his target and finally 50 to the next in the chain. He claims he targeted Toad twice with this amazingly towny ability, even knowing that Toad has a damaging ability. Essentially he says he inflicted 100 damage on someone he thinks mafia (Toad) while at the same time not caring about the fact the rest of his damage would likely hit town (125 overall).

He also never attempted to figure out who Toad had been targeting with his 100 damage draining ability, as evidenced by the fact that today he was still under the impression that Toad's target would have taken 75 damage (instead of 175, since Toad's own ability does 100 damage).
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 15:12 GMT
#5999
He also didn't go anywhere on the night that he claimed having visited Clarity
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 15:15 GMT
#6002
He claimed visiting Clarity on two nights. I roleblocked+tracked him on the first one. He only activated your RB this cycle.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 15:23 GMT
#6007
Well he would have needed a completely different claim to explain why he stayed home. I can't explain why other than that he made a mistake or thought that claiming this would be more believable.

Attempting to explain why mafia make mistakes is pointless. If S&B is mafia, he could have made a much more believable claim but did not. He could have visited phaga as instructed, but did not.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 15:32 GMT
#6015
If he had attacked Clarity or someone, that person would have taken damage. I'm done having this conversation as I don't need to convince you of anything.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 15:32 GMT
#6017
I retract that point because it's very dumb.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 15:34 GMT
#6019
I think you are not a person who can easily be reasoned with.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 15:37 GMT
#6021
So hapa can you shoot VE this cycle
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 16:05 GMT
#6029
On December 04 2012 01:01 Clarity_nl wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2012 00:36 Hapahauli wrote:
I don't think syllo is lying, but as stated previously, I did attempt to protect nl_clarity. The only way I can think of how this works is if I was roleblocked by another player.


That's not how Syllo's ability works though, iirc
He roleblocks you but he gets told who you planned on targeting.

Syllo could you ask the host if it changes anything if hapa was roleblocked by someone other than you?

I've already sent the PM asking about that.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 17:16 GMT
#6035
Okay, so Hapa tried to visit Clarity.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 17:18 GMT
#6038
No, I don't trust you at all, but I received a correction
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 17:26 GMT
#6041
Why did you say you didn't know Toad had a damaging ability when he claimed shooting you? Why does a town aligned player have a role that even when used on mafia, it is is likely to do more damage on town aligned players than on mafia? If the answer is that it can be used to "confirm" night actions, why did you not attempt to use it like that?

Anyway, I'm not trying to convince you of anything. We'll see how things have developed once your alignment becomes more relevant.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 17:35 GMT
#6045
No, straight up 100 damage shots aren't overpowered at all.

Oh here is a question. Do you get some kind of bonus in your native era? Is this era 1000 AD?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 17:48 GMT
#6052
Hapa: but you thought hopeless was mafia in cycle 3 and we had already seen a framer role flip (sandroba)
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 17:48 GMT
#6053
On December 04 2012 02:44 iamperfection wrote:
Anyone find it wierd that I was roleblocked?

Didn't you visit clarity as well?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 03 2012 17:52 GMT
#6056
On December 04 2012 02:51 iamperfection wrote:
I was trying to heal clarity

Prom says his role roleblocked everyone who attempted to visit Clarity. I'm not sure if I still understand how his role allegedly works though.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 04 2012 10:16 GMT
#6148
I don't care at all about speculation about what kind of events are linked to which time period or whether we have to travel to certain time zones period defeating lavos. We do not have enough evidence to make any conclusions about these things and I do not think it would be fair or make sense to expect us to.

What I do care about is the potential for mafia to get double actions or some other bonus in certain time period and there is some, albeit weak, evidence suggesting that the end of time is not a good place to be. The fact Drazerk, a person of dubious motives, wants to go there is another argument against it.

I think 600 AD or 2300 AD are the best options.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 04 2012 10:19 GMT
#6149
EBWOP: travel to certain time periods before we can defeat lavos*
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 06:20 GMT
#6376
I took 450 damage and this seems too much unless Risk punched me in the face. I'm not quite sure why he wouldn't have done that before this, however.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 06:21 GMT
#6377
Why would you heal a non-confirmed townie who has a worthless ability and who is never going to be shot by mafia? Sigh
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 06:31 GMT
#6378
Oh wait, I guess risk didn't actually invite VE last cycle as he promised and instead punched me. The punch just doesn't do 200 damage.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 06:53 GMT
#6383
However, 450 is a weird amount of damage to take. Did anyone else target me?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 07:52 GMT
#6386
Also this is worth highlighting

if you are correct, you will reduce his HP by 250 and his max HP by 250


Everyone targeted by SnB had their max hp lowered by 250, which explains why clarity's heal on Oats didn't do anything
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 07:58 GMT
#6388
It's also worth noting that none of the flipped mafia, sandroba aside, have had an ability that could in any way be interpreted as inflicting fire damage. Sandroba's fire based ability deals damage over 4 cycles, so fireproof coating would only prevent 100 damage (since it lasts for two cycles). That sure is an amazingly useless ability to have, Hapa.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 08:04 GMT
#6390
Another unsolved mystery is the fire bombs (or whatever) that burned (?) people over a few cycles. Maybe an ability for some fire damage dealing character. Sounds like a gadget.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 12:46 GMT
#6409
This is all very interesting, but can someone, since Hapa didn't feel like, help me find the person who fire bombed a bunch of likely townies on N1. There aren't very many possibilities and it definitely looks like a mafia ability rather than a third party.

Can I get full claims from everyone?

Acro: I did something else this night, unfortunately.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 12:54 GMT
#6414
On December 05 2012 21:51 Acrofales wrote:
@Syllo: I'd help, but nobody has claimed an ability even remotely like it. Nearest are Sandro's (single target dot) and mine (3-target mini-nuke).

Zbo/austin is the only one who has so far not claimed any abilities.

Just do process of elimination based on role claims, potentially matching flavor and claimed night 1 actions.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 13:48 GMT
#6417
Does anyone know who risk thinks is mafia? Besides this random hapa comment it's impossible to tell. Risk you should push hapa today since you seem to find his claim suspicious as well.

Also we've flipped 4 mafia so far and we haven't found the role blocker who allegedly blocked risk on n2. There haven't been any unaccounted for role blocks since then either.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 16:26 GMT
#6447
By the way I attempted to rb+track VE on n2, so if I was, hypothetically, targeted by a flamethrower, that would explain why Kita took 50 damage since VE allegedly used his guessing game ability on kita.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 17:12 GMT
#6455
Can you check what z-boson did during the earlier cycles
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 17:26 GMT
#6464
How long does this 75 HP shield last? Forever?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 17:31 GMT
#6466
I don't think it's that insane since he doesn't know who attacked him and there is a lot of random damage flying around, especially if someone is using flamethrower. It would be ridiculous as a mafia ability though.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 17:38 GMT
#6470
Anyone who isn't obviously town should claim everything, in my opinion
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 17:40 GMT
#6472
How did hapa take 100 damage on n2 then? I guess it's possible he took 175, but how
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 17:41 GMT
#6477
He didn't flamethrower toad on n2
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 17:45 GMT
#6481
This game would probably be completely solvable based on actions alone if Dienosore had claimed who he targeted every night
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 17:50 GMT
#6486
I guess kita you have stances too
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 18:25 GMT
#6505
Anyway, I hope someone heals me this cycle as I've taken a lot of damage
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 19:33 GMT
#6517
Acrofales is literally the towniest person in the game based on content and he isn't even town. I'm amazed that he still has it in him to make content based cases, I gave up on that after day 2.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 20:38 GMT
#6526
There's still the unresolved question regarding Prom taking less damage than I shot him for (I hit for 75 and he claimed 25). I don't think he is mafia, but that suggests that there is a mafia (or Drazerk) ability that messed with the damage.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 20:48 GMT
#6528
Sigh I guess Austin is mafia, there is no way he would have used shielding every cycle over healing if he is town
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 20:50 GMT
#6529
I mean he claims using shield n2 on keirathi even though Dienosore took 445 damage n1
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 20:52 GMT
#6530
And then he used a hp check in dienosore on n4, how is that reasonable
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 21:02 GMT
#6533
I've to say it's a really stupid claim to make if he is mafia (don't blame him though, I would want this to end by this point as well), but still as a town aligned player you would absolutely love to "confirm" your actions by healing players instead of using a shield. None of his actions so far are actually confirmable and healing is strictly better than shielding.

It's a cry for help, maybe we should lynch him today.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 21:15 GMT
#6538
I don't think he can actually heal. We can just lynch risk today and ask him to heal someone who isn't being healed by anyone else.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 21:17 GMT
#6540
No, I don't want you to inflict 300 damage. I want you to heal someone for 150.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 21:19 GMT
#6542
Healing you isn't a good idea because S&B's ability presumably lowered your max hp by 250 and you only took 210 damage due to damage sharing.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 05 2012 22:13 GMT
#6565
If austin truly shielded me last cycle, I took 525 damage which seems rather absurd given that there was only one or two mafia still alive. Even during the early cycles mafia never inflicted this much damage and they had S&B's 250 damage hit at their disposal. Difficult to explain how they could have achieved that unless risk is mafia or a third party or two participated in the attack. I guess it's possible that they had double actions due to time period bonus or some ability. Lynch occurs before other actions are processed, so S&B definitely didn't use his action on me.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 06 2012 13:03 GMT
#6619
Perhaps the other action associated with his roleblock ability went through and he was told about that (note: I've been never told whether my action actually roleblocked my target). Still, I don't see why kita wouldn't explain how his abilities work.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 06 2012 13:17 GMT
#6623
It probably doesn't benefit at all, I just don't like having unsolved mysteries and it doesn't seem like mafia can do anything even if you do claim
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 06 2012 13:20 GMT
#6625
Yes, I've my own assumption about his role and if it works as he has described it's hard to see how it is a mafia role, but again I can't imagine what mafia could possibly do with the information
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 06 2012 13:47 GMT
#6628
We can't shut down factional KP, but we can shut down their damaging abilities and it's clear that they still have some. Anyway, not sure if coordinating is worthwhile since it has to be done in public.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 06 2012 13:50 GMT
#6631
Okay that is not at all what I was expecting. Why didn't you want to claim?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 06 2012 23:28 GMT
#6687
I didn't take any damage. I was healed. If someone has it in him to figure out how much damage Clarity likely took, that would be helpful.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 06 2012 23:41 GMT
#6691
Didn't your shielding get interrupted due to people attempting to visit him earlier?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 06 2012 23:49 GMT
#6696
Kita time to full claim
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 06 2012 23:57 GMT
#6697
By the way, I roleblocked hapa again and he didn't go anywhere, so assuming Clarity took ~400 damage and there's 6 mafia, he is cleared. I don't think there is 400 kp worth of factional KP, makes no sense based on how much damage mafia was dealing early on.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 07 2012 09:24 GMT
#6769
Kita how much MP do you have? How much do you generally gain per cycle?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 07 2012 16:44 GMT
#6795
I think there is factional KP that doesn't depend on how many mafia are alive and thus the last mafia isn't personally responsible for 300 damage. There are some unsolved mysteries and the last mafia being someone who has some KP and can in addition heal/hp check/shield makes some sense. Whether the last mafia can perform more than one action per cycle is the question as it's relatively likely that austin healed iamperfection.

Personally I think it's more likely for a role consisting of three different people to be able to perform more than one action per cycle than the role having different abilities depending on the time period.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 07 2012 16:47 GMT
#6796
This applies to a lot of people in the game, but if you are town and want to have other townies believe you are town, it would be helpful if you thought about your role and how you can get most of out of your role. This generally means not role claiming for no reason, not using inferior abilities (75 hp shielding vs 150 hp healing), not forgetting to send in actions and not using abilities that are inherently anti-town (flamethrower in most circumstances).
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 07 2012 17:01 GMT
#6799
I don't know if you have a 300 nuke. Can you try to explain why you thought using a 75 hp shield is better than a 150 hp heal? I realize that claiming the role you did as mafia makes very little sense, but then again S&B managed to claim something that is even more damning.

It also makes sense to me for mafia to have some sort of hp checking ability and none of the flipped mafia roles had any. I also can't explain how Prom took 25 damage when I hit him for 75, unless someone messed with the damage (shielding?).
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 07 2012 17:20 GMT
#6801
Kitaman I would like you to explain your role a bit more. I would particularly like to know how much mp you have available on average and how much you gain every cycle. What is your max mp? What did you do last cycle?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 08:26 GMT
#6861
Kita really you roleblocked Drazerk again? Should have made you coordinate as that's just about the worst block you could have made. Did you think he is mafia? We don't even have to kill third parties to win.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 08:31 GMT
#6862
Oats you need to claim your targets and the damage you inflicted for every cycle.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 09:29 GMT
#6863
Oh you already said you have. Anyway, if anyone has any unclaimed actions at all, they should be claimed.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 09:36 GMT
#6864
Austin can you tell me what happens if you are hit with mafia factional KP? Can you still counterattack?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 13:03 GMT
#6871
Only goodkarma and risk claimed and goodkarma didn't claim his name. Even if he had, SnB could only target one person per cycle and there were higher priority targets
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 14:22 GMT
#6878
Kita: you had already blocked drazerk on n7 and I took so much damage on n7 that it pretty much had to come from more than one source. Anyway, I'm mostly annoyed that the game is still going on even though it seems clearly that mafia can not win this. Mafia should concede
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 15:14 GMT
#6886
I can't make any sense of some of these night actions/claimed damages unless more than one people is lying, there are some hidden mechanics or there have been a bunch of mod errors. If austinmcc isn't lying about shielding hapa/keirathi, when and how did they take 75 extra damage?

Why did me and Prom take 420 shared damage (420-250 = 170, which is a strange number)? Why did it take greymist multiple attempts to get the number right?

Why did Prom take 25 damage instead of 75 when I shot him?

Why did mafia shoot hapa on n2 for 100 (or 175?) damage?

Why/how did I take 50 damage on n1, since Prom was seed shielding me? Did mafia use 50 factional KP for fun or was Kita's shot on Drazerk randomly reflected onto me?

How did Clarity take ~400 damage (if he started with 900 hp) last night even though it should have been less than that due to risk being dead? Is it because we were in a different time period?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 15:18 GMT
#6887
Phagga having an ability that targets two players (players A and B) and makes him use a random ability that player A has on player B could explain some of the strange things, maybe
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 16:31 GMT
#6892
On December 09 2012 01:28 phagga wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2012 00:18 syllogism wrote:
Phagga having an ability that targets two players (players A and B) and makes him use a random ability that player A has on player B could explain some of the strange things, maybe


Yeah right and perhaps you know your hidden modifier is actually positive although you are mafia and you therefore have some sort of godfather-role for party events, and are actually the last scum. (no, I do not mean that serious).

Speculating about how my ability could actually work because you do not want to trust me/think I am lying is the worst way to try to find scum, just saying. You can make up any fantasy ability that fits the holes with the night actions, and assign it to me, but that does not make it real.

My vote is on austin and it's unlikely to move. I'm just trying to make sense of the actions and game purely based on the claims. I would like to solve the game based on claimed night actions alone, but it doesn't seem possible even though it should be.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 18:05 GMT
#6897
How do you propose mafia <person> could win the game no matter what he does?

Actually I think you were a weird target for a town healer because you were essentially at full health already and main healers were instructed to heal me. Healing Clarity would have been townier because he had taken a lot of damage recently.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 20:08 GMT
#6906
5 players haven't voted and there will apparently be no more warnings for non-voting. Please vote austin.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 21:16 GMT
#6925
What is the solid analysis austin has offered us? All I can see is him talking about people who even mafia probably thought are third parties (drazerk/acro) and a lot of role speculation? I can't particularly fault him for latter, but his defense is completely different from the spirited one he gave in Paranoia mafia.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 21:25 GMT
#6928
That doesn't read like a real case to me and it's conveniently about the only person who we can possibly lynch over him. Does he truly think think that "vote limping" on mafia is indicative of someone being mafia in this game considering mafia bussed sandroba, there was a red check on toad (and s&b basically) and risk wasn't even playing? What reasoning should he have contributed exactly? Were other, town aligned people "guilty" of this too (the answer is yes).
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 21:36 GMT
#6932
No, I mean the only player we are willing to lynch today, not the only person who can possibly be mafia.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 21:48 GMT
#6934
It's absolutely fine to think phagga is mafia and it's certainly easier for you as you know your own alignment. He can very well be mafia and I don't particularly care who we lynch first as the remaining person is going to get roleblocked anyway. The point was I don't find your case on him alignment indicative. If I had time or will to compare your posting in this game with some other games, perhaps I could tell.

This game is just too long and it's getting more and more difficult to care. Why can't it just end already, who is tormenting us for no reason at all
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 21:59 GMT
#6943
Sheesh you aren't going to modkill Oatsmaster for not voting for the first time in like cycle 9
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 22:08 GMT
#6946
Acro is a third party and have you even read his filter? He has been by far the most useful player in the game. Why do you want to "check" acro and what information is that going to give us? I'm town and I don't care about any of those things, by the way.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 22:17 GMT
#6953
Why are you so focused on acro? Shouldn't you be more interested in finding the last mafia and using your ability to pursue that goal? Or do you think phagga won't flip mafia? As soon as all the mafia are dead, lavos gets summoned so it doesn't really make sense for a third party to count towards our win con, especially if we don't put him on the party when fighting lavos.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 22:25 GMT
#6957
Proxy voting to get himself lynched and helping someone who is clearly town not to get mod killed? Uh, I guess you can interpret that as a mafia move

Can we get a second official vote count near the deadline because I need to re-submit my action if we lynch phagga
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 22:32 GMT
#6966
That's not a self vote, that is a "help a near confirmed townie not to get modkilled" post
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 22:48 GMT
#6970
Hapahauli do you think mafia shot you for 175 damage on n2?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 22:49 GMT
#6971
And where did that extra 75 damage on keirathi come from, since he had a 75 damage shield on him too?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 22:50 GMT
#6973
You mean not sent to you?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 22:54 GMT
#6975
I can possibly see mafia using the drain ability on you if they wanted to be sure that it goes through (maybe it doesn't count for their counter if it gets healed), but randomly wasting 75 damage on you instead of one of the near confirmed townies makes no sense
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:07 GMT
#6981
Sigh your phrasing made it sound like the game is over
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:10 GMT
#6983
I took 50 damage and was healed. How much did you heal iamperfection?

Austin did not go anywhere
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:11 GMT
#6984
I believe I can't track mafia factional kp, however. The question is whether there was more than 150-200 worth of damage dealt
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:14 GMT
#6987
Lynch is processed before everything else, so it shouldn't do anything
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:29 GMT
#6992
Iamperfection you should just reveal how much you healed me this cycle so we can figure out how much damage was inflicted overall
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:30 GMT
#6993
Oh okay, so that's 250 damage. Why would mafia split their kp like this?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:46 GMT
#7007
That's not a problem. We lynch austin unless he find the last mafia for us. All I care about right now is lavos and the game ending. Austin's role isn't even going to be helpful if he is town.

By the way, he hasn't claimed what his ability is in 1999 AD
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:48 GMT
#7008
I don't know why Prom isn't seeding our healer, but how about doing that, thanks.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:50 GMT
#7010
On December 09 2012 08:49 iamperfection wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2012 08:46 syllogism wrote:
That's not a problem. We lynch austin unless he find the last mafia for us. All I care about right now is lavos and the game ending. Austin's role isn't even going to be helpful if he is town.

By the way, he hasn't claimed what his ability is in 1999 AD

why would we lynch austin if he didn't go anywhere and both you and i took damage?

Because I can't block or track mafia factional kp and 250 is lower than mafia presumably did last cycle.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 08 2012 23:59 GMT
#7019
I'm not lynching acro. I don't even care if he can do something to us at this point. He deserves to win for the effort he has put into the game and our win con says nothing about lynching third parties. He should claim his win con though, it's clearly at least partly anti-town.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 09 2012 10:42 GMT
#7032
I have an ability that should be useful against lavos; in fact, I've two good abilities that I haven't used yet due to finding rb+track slightly better and because I have to switch between stances to use my other two abilities. The optimal usage depends on how much damage lavos dishes out though.

Prom, I think you should use only your damage sharing ability

Goodkarma I don't remember how your stacking works, but you should get rid of any stacks you may have right now if you need to do that to start new stacks on lavos

We probably don't need to do any planning to win, but might as well
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 10 2012 07:51 GMT
#7132
Acro you have to convince me that you aren't going to be a liability during the lavos fight, or I will have to disable you for the duration of it. I can disable you without it impeding my damage output, so I've very little reason not to do it without some convincing.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 10 2012 12:08 GMT
#7134
I don't need you to prove that you aren't mafia, I just wanted to know your win con. I have to say that your win con is a tad suspicious, mostly because it makes you essentially a miller (for the party mechanic) who has to lynch/kill specific mafia. Not suspicious enough for me to care though.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 10 2012 14:18 GMT
#7144
Yes, the last hour switch from austin to phagga was astonishingly bad. I should have put more effort into convincing people not to, but it didn't really seem to matter much.

Hapa you should probably use your fireproofing on iamperfection or one of the damage dealers. I don't know who Prom has been seed shielding, but in case there is a danger of one of them being visited, he should claim his targets.

The ability I will be using deals damage to two targets (some to A, more to B) while also making A immune to other actions. I will probably use it on kita first if he is capable of dealing a lot of damage.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 10 2012 15:23 GMT
#7148
Okay I forgive you for delaying the game by one cycle
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 10 2012 18:30 GMT
#7185
You would take 75 damage and I've already confirmed that it works against lavos.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 10 2012 18:32 GMT
#7186
Austin the only way the lynch moves off you is if you find the last mafia and make a very convincing case. Lynching acro isn't happening and you shouldn't waste your time if that's your plan.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 11 2012 06:25 GMT
#7299
I don't understand how Oats took 400 damage unless there is, in fact, 7 mafia.

Hapa who did you give fireproof coating to?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 11 2012 06:38 GMT
#7300
Nevermind, I see it. I'll hit lavos this cycle and after the night results determine whether helping Acro kill the queen is worthwhile.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 11 2012 12:12 GMT
#7302
Okay so I went back and finally read a bit. At one point adam warned against attacking him, but apparently that was a false threat. Why did you lie about that, adam? Can you provide a full list of all your predictions so far?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 11 2012 15:54 GMT
#7317
On December 11 2012 23:14 Adam4167 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2012 21:12 syllogism wrote:
Okay so I went back and finally read a bit. At one point adam warned against attacking him, but apparently that was a false threat. Why did you lie about that, adam? Can you provide a full list of all your predictions so far?


I lied to try and prevent someone I had a town read on from shooting at me.

Syllogism
Dieno
Toad
Toad
Wrathed Austin for 200 damage
Clarity
Iamperfection
austinmcc
austinmcc
phagga

The last two were incredibly frustrating because I had to submit my night action and then go to bed before the lynch. Then the switch onto Phagga happened, making my austinmcc prediction wrong AND screwing up my next cycles prediction because he was already dead. I think that comes across in this post here

I'm not scum, feel free to roleblock the shit out of me, ill never get one of these predictions right anyway.

Can you explain your role a bit more

N1 Syllogism
N2 Dieno
N3 Toad
N4 Toad
N5 Wrathed Austin for 200 damage
N6 Clarity
N7 Iamperfection
N8 austinmcc
N9 austinmcc
N10 phagga

These are what you submitted in right? So if I had died on N1, you would have gotten a bullet for N2? So are you saying you submitted Phagga last night even though Phagga was already dead?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 11 2012 17:28 GMT
#7320
Kita: you should RB adam or just concentrate purely on damaging lavos. Acro is RBing toad, in addition to damaging him.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 11 2012 17:31 GMT
#7323
I'm taking care of kita, you should share with whoever I guess. It's not that helpful when damage is randomized.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 12 2012 06:32 GMT
#7403
Lets try to kill Toad first, everyone should target her this cycle
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 12 2012 08:33 GMT
#7405
How much damage did you do to lavos kita?

Who were the ones who claim to have damaged lavos last cycle? Hapa, Kita, Me, maybe Oats?
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 12 2012 13:31 GMT
#7412
On December 12 2012 22:17 kitaman27 wrote:
I dealt 250 last night. We can add up the total kp output to determine the number of town players remaining if everyone claims their damage.

Something is wrong then. Us two + 10 townies adds up to 850 damage, which would mean Hapa is the liar here if Oats punched lavos for 50 damage.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 12 2012 22:28 GMT
#7489
The game should end as soon as Toad dies as I don't think lavos can kill us even if we stop sending in night actions
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 12 2012 22:38 GMT
#7491
No, the last mafia is irrelevant, he can't do anything either
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 12 2012 22:57 GMT
#7494
I can confirm that I was not told of anything hitting me
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 13 2012 09:08 GMT
#7622
Chronicler's bus still seems so completely pointless that it just never occurred to me that he could possibly be mafia, especially after the second check. After Sandro flipped red, all the townies who were pushing for toad would have looked suspicious. Nothing was gained out of it. Also Sandro's frame bus ability suggested that there had to be an investigative role in the game and my tracking ability and acro's ability didn't seem to be enough to justify the ability being present.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 13 2012 11:49 GMT
#7626
Also Kita I never gave any indication that I trusted Sandroba and him being absent had little to do with my suspicions
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-13 19:49:51
December 13 2012 19:48 GMT
#7638
Hapa got framed constantly by host errors. Not a big deal, but funny how they all centered around him, especially since his role was also rather anti-town and not very believable.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-13 21:32:57
December 13 2012 21:31 GMT
#7645
I didn't believe that your role could exist in the game because it felt way too strong (it was) and I thought your claim timing and reason for claiming were both suspicious. There was no reason to claim and you forced another person who I thought was town to claim for no reason. Then you overreacted to my suspicions. Also I thought you initially clearly said something that suggested that your role RBs and tracks, which is what my role does, but it was actually Kita who alluded to that. In retrospect I forgot that townies love to claim for no reason at all.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 13 2012 21:57 GMT
#7647
We were already lynching Sandroba at the time. Perhaps from your point of view there was still uncertainty, but I think he was clearly in the lead in votes. I meant marv.

Yes my role was too strong as well, but your role seemed to make someone completely invulnerable in addition to providing a lot of information when people claimed being roleblocked. Not only that, but it lasts for 2 cycles and even if no one happens to visit it gives a free damage shield too. It's a role with almost no downsides no matter who you happen to target. Factional KP being unblockable somewhat weakens it, but mafia only had a bit of that.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
December 14 2012 09:54 GMT
#7664
They were good assumptions based on how this kind of setups are usually balanced. It's not the only way to balance, but it makes sense from design perspective. Just because the assumption turned out to be wrong in this specific case, it doesn't mean it was a bad one.
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