Chrono Trigger Mafia
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##earn silver points | ||
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We should attempt to have some sort of consensus of likely party leaders by the end of first 24 hours or so to allow them to start diverting more attention to choosing their teams. | ||
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The point being, there is little reason for us not to also be looking for mafia in the thread. Mafia have relatively easy time blending in if all they have to do is pretend to be looking for townies or even worse every single day just look for the best party leader. Identifying likely mafia will also give our blues something to work on. So, while it's fine that we early on discuss about who is likely to be town or who would be the good leader, this shouldn't last and the game should be played quite like a normal mafia game. Town hunting can be mostly restricted to your spreadsheets unless you are trying to convince the likely party leader to include someone on the team. | ||
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On November 21 2012 17:06 sandroba wrote: I predict it will be harder for us to find scum with no lynch voting. I think the best bet at least for d1 is to concentrate in finding a team that will succeed in the mission and let us learn more about the game mechanics. Really? What do you expect to learn about game mechanics after day 1 and how do you think will that impact our play? While mafia has easier time bussing their team mates in this format, they still do not want town to start treating some of their players are likely mafia. If there we allow players to just look for townies and all the discussion revolves around that, it is going to be more difficult to identify mafia, which can also make it more difficult to identify townies, at least for a lot of players. Lynch mechanic or not, mafia still has to fake their mafia reads or bus and they would rather not do either. Discussions relating as to who people think are mafia produce a lot more useful information. | ||
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Do you agree that it's easier to get reads if people post and explain their mafia reads than if they only talk about who they find to likely be town? | ||
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On November 21 2012 18:13 Keirathi wrote: Syllogism/sandroba: You guys have ignored us, but what do you think of Toads reasoning for me being scum? Do you think I'm scum? What about Deinos 2 scum reads and 2 town reads? Agree or disagree with any of them? I think his reasoning is weak and your subsequent posts in which you attract more attention towards the fact that someone thinks you are mafia are fairly towny. I do not like your marv or no "vet" as a leader strategy at all, however. On November 21 2012 18:34 risk.nuke wrote: Hi, I'd proposed myself to lead the party since I feel I possess the essential quality's we'd want for a mission leader. But I feel I'm late to sign myself up and as it stands there already is already a candidate I want to support. As it stands right now I want Sandroba for our first party leader. No disrespect to marv who's one of the best scumhunters I know on these forums but a scumhunter isn't what we need today. I'm not sure how missions are going to work but to prepare for anything these quality's are what we seak. We need a player who's smart, adaptable to new situations and capable of finding the optimal play. We need a player who's good at analysing behaviour and who's good at finding townies. This is Sandroba in a nutshell. I've seen firsthand how he think and he is one of the few people I've met I trust can identify the correct play in a new situation. In SS mafia he created and executed the plan that dismantled the mafiateam in a day. Furthermore from my experience Sandroba's greatest strength is finding townies and then scum by process of elimination. Additionally his activity is promising and I have a pretty good insight of how he plays. ##Vote: Sandroba Perhaps I'm reading too much into this as being transparent when justifying your party leader vote is good, but this seems overly explanatory. I don't understand what's the point of mentioning that you were going to propose yourself nor why there was a need to mention marv at all (as a side note, I'm surprised that you hold him in this high regard; it's not something I'm used to hearing from you). One motive for saying that you intended to propose yourself could be that townies are "expected" to nominate themselves. The focus of the post is less on what Sandroba has done in this game and more on his general strengths. I'm used to a more direct risk nuke. I agree with your suspicions on acrofales, however. | ||
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On November 21 2012 21:23 Acrofales wrote: @syllo and phagga: you advocate a policy of scumhunting, yet are doing no scumhunting. People who seem to be clearly focused on scumhunting so far: clarity and toad. Why are you not in that list? Syllo at least is giving a running commentary of the game. Phagga just posted the policy of scumhunting and went away. Phagga, why are you not practicing what you preach? What are you talking about? I'm absolutely hunting for mafia. This is how you do it; by engaging in conversations and asking for clarifications and opinions. Making cases is for convincing everyone else. | ||
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On November 21 2012 21:32 Acrofales wrote: First time you engaged in a conversation was with Sandro. For you that is not a conversation, as you and Sandro can mindread each other. This is the second conversation you are engaging in. Everything else has been a running commentary. Do you think I'm more or less likely to have a conversation with a player who can "mindread" me if I'm mafia? So far your point of view on things has not appeared honest to me or at the very least your analysis isn't on the level I would expect if you are town. Also this is not the second conversation. | ||
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On November 21 2012 22:03 Acrofales wrote: I think that that is irrelevant and pointless wifom, because if one of you is scum and the other isn't, you would be dead scared of each other in any case and try to act normally. I think it is fairly normal for you and sandro to have a conversation and it will not affect his ability to mindread you one way or another. However, if you are asking me if I think you are scum, then no, I don't. I am still rather null on you. However, there are things in your play that make me suspicious. Firstly, the things Kita just pointed out, and secondly because I feel you are making alot of your "scumhunting" while actually it amounts to very little. As for my honesty, at least I'm not fakeclaiming mason (yet). This is a really pointless and irrelevant topic, but it would serve you well to stop using the term WIFOM and if you are town you should not attempt to downplay things that a person of one alignment is clearly more likely to do. That is all that mafia is, determining what is more likely. You can reduce anything to a level where you can claim it's "wifom" when in fact it is evidence of someone's alignment. WIFOM is a meaningless term used by lazy players, people who do not understand mafia or mafia aligned players who want to wave away evidence of someone being town. | ||
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On November 21 2012 21:48 kitaman27 wrote: Quite the resolve on that campaign. Lazy syllo says to me scum syllo. You trust your ability to determine sandro's alignment in 48 hours over your ability to identify 3 town players out of the remaining 23? If you were serious of being elected, why wouldn't you simply include him in your party, while remaining a leader? I believe we have had this conversation before in another game, perhaps even pypi, where I supported mig. In addition I supported sandroba's election in that 80+ player game and I believe you also played in that. I don't understand what your point even here is, are you suggesting that I'm mafia and don't care if town sandroba is elected or that we are both mafia? | ||
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On November 22 2012 00:20 kushm4sta wrote: Holy fuck this thread is so long and 99% of it is about who are we voting leader, which I really don't care about. Not much thought put into this decision but ##vote sandroba Good town, easy to distinguish town from scum. You usually have a million page filter when you are town, I've a hard time believing you find the size taunting. What do you care about then and what are you going to about it? Why do you say sandroba's town play is easy to distinguish from his mafia play, my impression from looney lynching was that you had no idea whether he was town or mafia on day 1 (he got shot n1)? | ||
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Today I think it's a good idea not to reveal, at least if I'm the leader, who the party is going to be until the action resolving period, because that minimizes potential of mafia roles somehow messing with the success of the party (doesn't eliminate it though) and prevents them from sniping party members in case it's an all town party. The main advantage in revealing who is coming is to provide more information regarding the alignment of the party leader, but I do not think that is necessary if I get elected. I have never been lynched as town and will never likely be; it should soon be extremely clear whether I'm town or not, it already is in fact. | ||
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On November 22 2012 16:23 Keirathi wrote: What do you think about my point that party leader candidates expressing who they plan to choose as their party giving mafia extra influence as to who they want to vote to elect in the event that one of the candidates has a scum member in their proposed parties while the others might not? This is absolutely true, although we don't know whether 1 mafia is enough for an event to fail. Balance wise I think it makes sense for that to be case, unless the party consists of townies with a high hidden factor numbers. I'm not going to reveal who I am going to pick. I may do that after the day post if that is necessary; that is to say, if the event fails. | ||
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On November 22 2012 16:12 Adam4167 wrote: Syllo, what are your thoughts on Kitaman. I am trying to grasp if he is taking this game seriously when he delivers a list of 'reads' with as lousy reasoning as he did. I've seen him play well as both scum and town, and this doesn't look similar to either. I don't currently find him particularly suspicious. Some elements of his posts point towards him being interested in figuring things out and nothing stands out as clearly mafia motivated. When he puts in effort his mafia play is good, however. | ||
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On November 22 2012 16:58 risk.nuke wrote: What? What benefit would it be not to explain the reasoning for why you picked them? If the mission is a success and everyone considers me town anyway I don't think that's necessary and I would then rather be lazy. | ||
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On November 22 2012 17:13 risk.nuke wrote: I'm not a fan of your lazy-when-I-feel-like-it strategy. It still feels like you should have your reads on why you picked your team already. It shouldn't be that much of an effort to scribble them down. What do you think of leader-candidates outside you and sandroba? (feel free to ignore kitaman) Acro seems like the only other serious candidate and I do not like his play so far. The most recent post of his that I found off was the one where he suggested for Frog should attempt to run a campaign without claiming and he based this on, in my view, laughable suggestion that frog was a playable character in the first mission of the game. It seemed like a complete fluff post rather than a serious well-thought of suggestion. | ||
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I'll be back in maybe 6 hours | ||
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Sandro: you said that you don't mind me being the leader. Does that mean you are open to throwing your support behind me and withdrawing your nomination? | ||
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Whomever is elected i will support in their choice of team 100%, we as a town gain more (information and, I believe a better chance of mission success) by giving that power to one person. This doesn't feel like town mindset, which is that of suspicion. It makes no sense at all to suggest that whomever is elected you will support the choice of team 100%. How do you gain more information by giving that power to one person? If that person is mafia, what information do you gain from his choices? Better chance of mission success regardless of whom is elected? This might also be nitpicky depending on how he plays usually, but first he has this to say about Hapa He is a great town player and a kinda crappy scum player, seems like the right guy to have along for the ride. I just don't have that town feel from Hapa. (as Hapa knows I never have a town feel from him). First Promethelax asserts that hapa is a great town player and crappy scum player and thus prom wanted to have him on his team. In the second quote he says that he never has a town read on Hapa. This feels like the kind of contradiction that indicates a mindset other than town. If you aren't comfortable reading Hapa, why would you want him on your team? In general I find people who immediately suggested teams based on nothing at all. His reasoning for not wanting to vote for me or sandro are also curious as I think I saw him only explaining why he chose not to vote for sandro, but didn't provide any reason for not voting for me. | ||
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On November 22 2012 23:38 Toadesstern wrote: A finally TL is working for me again, back to what I was saying earlier in the morning when I wasn't able to open the votingthread or this thread anymore. I think we should be voting Kita. I love voting Kita. ##vote Kita If I understood correctly, you base your vote on nothing other than the fact two players already have a few votes and this third person does not. Is this correct? I don't see anything in your filter that indicates you care about alignments or figuring things out, besides your initial post in which you randomly called someone mafia. | ||
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Yes, I might gain more votes by making my reads public. I would also gain more reads by pretending to be completely confident in my reads; I'm not. I have not finalized my team yet (right now I've 2 whom I'm likely to take and a few possibilities for the third) and may not finalize it until the end. An honest assessment as to why I'm not going to is a combination of considering it optimal play (if I get the votes), being lazy and because sometimes my town reads rely on things other players may find flimsy or the reasons are otherwise difficult to explain (tone, whether the person feels earnest). If I were mafia, there would be absolutely no reason not to make the list of people I intend to pick public. | ||
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On November 23 2012 00:34 risk.nuke wrote: I forgot to unvote. ##unvote: Sandroba ##Vote: goodkarma You say that you do not trust me. Does that mean you don't think that I'm town or just that I'm less likely to pick a good team than goodkarma. Why did you trust sandroba over me? | ||
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On November 23 2012 02:58 Dienosore wrote: If CaveJohnson is telling the truth (and it feels like he is), then I'm going to have to reevaluate my relationship map. He was catching a lot of flak from a lot of people, so now I'm going to reverse the pipes and see what comes up. It's no surprise he doesn't like marv, but I didn't predict him having any opinion on Djo. My only link between Cave and Djo was a stretch that included a pitstop through possible scum Acro and Kitaman. It's extremely difficult to believe that you aren't being disingenuous with these posts. If you are town, please make some attempt at taking the game seriously. | ||
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"Each character in the game is assigned a hidden number value" Drazerk, or whoever you are, if you are somehow town I'm pretty certain that I'm never joining a game with you again. | ||
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I've a team ready. Not entirely satisfied with it as usually figuring out 3 virtually certain townies is easier; perhaps it's the format or the players complicating things or me just not being familiar with a lot of people here. Around 4 hours until deadline, is this correct? | ||
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You don't need more information about me than can be found by reading my posts. I'm town and whether town reached the correct conclusion based on blind faith or deduction isn't relevant. | ||
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On November 23 2012 04:45 marvellosity wrote: I find this quite curious given you corrected drazerk on something in the op and apparently asked the host about it. Why not just check the deadline yourself? I don't understand your point here, how is something like that alignment indicative at all? | ||
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On November 23 2012 05:04 marvellosity wrote: Because a conversational question you could easily find yourself seems somewhat out of character. Do I really have to connect the dots on why that could be alignment indicative? I was reasonably sure and was writing a post. Feel free to interpret it in any way you like, but it is not indicative of anything. | ||
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I'm going back to bed, but very briefly him suggesting that his modifier is likely low was something that probably makes people less likely pick him. He also pointed out the fact that if parties are announced in public, mafia has easier time choosing who to support and that was a pretty towny observation and something that occurred to me as well. In addition he wasn't afraid of asking me and sandro whether we thought he was suspicious. | ||
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As for goodkarma, I don't like how he tied me with sandroba and used that as an excuse not to consider me Yet, at this point I would go so far as to say that sandroba has put so much faith into syllo that a vote for either is semi-interchangable. Between the two of them, I see one party leader ticket. He also seemed to suggest that my post filter was a sea of one-liners and that made it incredibly challenging to read or something While many here give Sandroba/Syllo respect for being a "vet," it's incredibly hard for me to sort through a sea of one-liners and go, "That guy is definitely town..." Actually, insert Marv's name here too as he's guiltiest of this... He concluded by claiming he wouldn't vote for me until I provided more information what I am certain of is that there's not a snowflake's prayer in hell I'm voting for either sandroba or syllo (or should I say sandollo?) until they provide more information on who they're bringing and why But then decided to end his candidacy, because it was important to consolidate on me or something, although there were pretty much no other viable candidates and almost 8 hours of time left | ||
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On November 24 2012 04:19 kitaman27 wrote: Considering I have to submit a lynch guess tonight or else I receive a huge chunk of damage, it really would be nice if you would be able to take tomorrow off instead ![]() Also, I've been pulled into watching an awful family movie. Looks like I'll be posting in a couple hours XD That's pretty annoying. When do you have to send the answer in? It doesn't sound like a mafia ability to me | ||
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On November 24 2012 05:07 marvellosity wrote: so you now think he could be scum, having agreed with me earlier he was more likely town? I agree that the plan he proposed seemed towny and some of his reactions feel genuine, but his content and that contradiction point the other way. I don't think he is the best lynch today, however. | ||
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He has been useless. Nothing really stands out besides maybe him complaining about kita is trying to "ward of people from voting sandroba". At the time adam hadn't mentioned sandro before and presumably wasn't supporting him for party leader. That's a bit thin though and he shouldn't be a priority right now. | ||
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I'm fairly certain that sandroba is mafia. He hasn't done anything useful whole game long and he definitely could have. Everything that I've said about him before is still applicable. Even if he has been busy, it was by choice. No one forced him to run for election and he could have at any time dropped out and supported me. If he was town, I think he would have as soon as he figured out that I'm town. Moreover, his attitude when he came back is still wrong. Instead of attempting to convince me or even address me, he just addresses everyone generally. He claims that I have been paranoid about his alignment in merc mini and that 80+ player game, but that is false or an exaggeration. In the huge game I was, in fact, pushing him for mayor on day 1 (we were both town). In merc mini I was only slightly suspicious because his ability completely broke the game, but I never wanted to lynch him at any point; the only suspicions were voiced over PM. If he was town, he would be attempting to convince me, not play down my ability to read him accurately. To those who believe sandroba is town, what do you think mafia did on day 1? Who is mafia? Did they really have no one who could have ran and won? Do you think it's kita or acro were the mafia candidates then? | ||
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Marvel do you think sandro is mafia? | ||
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On November 24 2012 05:59 marvellosity wrote: what do you think of kita's play so far? his proposal of cave as a lynch candidate, his support with no reasoning for sandroba? some of his earlier reads that felt weakly thought through? I agree that his reads, or at least the reasoning behind them, have been weak as is often the case when he is mafia. The way he suggests Cave as an "alternative" while still stressing that he would love to lynch sandroba is also suspicious. Cave may be mafia, but I don't understand what his plan is because he has essentially guaranteed that he will never be selected to the party. I think his very first post said that he shouldn't be selected; would he do that as mafia and would his team allow it? Third party seems more likely. Kita's early attacks were focused on me over sandroba and the attacks were very weak. He never addressed sandroba directly, except when sandro asked him a random question. Here he paints me, marvel and sandro red http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16984163 50 minutes later he says he hasn't read sandro's filter yet and says sandro's posts have been reasonable and logical (although he says that doesn't make him town) http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16984518 The turkey post wasn't obviously completely serious, but seems weird to paint us red as a joke | ||
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On November 24 2012 06:21 marvellosity wrote: do you think he has a decent chance of being mafia then? is sandroba more likely mafia to you simply because you are more intimate with his play? I wouldn't lynch kita today even if Sandro wasn't an option. I don't think the second question makes sense, but yes I can more accurately identify alignment of a player who I know extremely well. | ||
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On November 24 2012 06:28 marvellosity wrote: uh, what I was getting at is this: I find kita's play scummier than sandroba's, but as you know sandroba so well you find it easier to discern sand's alignment. I'm curious what you think kita has done to deserve NOT being lynched. I'm less certain of him and I can lynch only one per day. I lynch players based on the strength of my read, that's it (except sometimes I may opt not to lynch my strongest read on day 1 if I'm not certain and the player in question is a very good town player). I think it's likely that I would prefer goodkarma lynch today over kita. But I'm not going to waste time on hypotheticals and I don't see why you are wasting time interrogating me when I'm about as confirmed town as one can be. | ||
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On November 24 2012 06:42 Acrofales wrote: Why do you randomly include me in that list? Anyway, I just haven't gotten around to Kita yet, because I got sidetracked by TheChronicler. What is your opinion of him? Because you ran and I think you are a good player, but you are right, I'm not sure if greymist would view things quite the same as I do. Or actually I guess you didn't really run. I just remembered your first real post talking about the team you would choose, but it doesn't look like you were never pushing to get yourself elected. | ||
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On November 24 2012 06:44 Hapahauli wrote: @ nl_clarity I'm not sold on Sandro or your 2nd case on him. Your 2nd case talks a lot about "faking enthusiasm," but his change in eagerness is explainable in many other ways as well. Also, I believe that him giving up the election at the end doesn't make sense with scum objectives: Whaddy'a think? I don't think Sandroba is in the US currently and I believe very few people celebrate thanksgiving in Brazil. Also some of you people aren't giving my ability to read sandroba nearly enough weight | ||
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On November 24 2012 07:12 Acrofales wrote: What does thanksgiving have to do with it? He said he spent all night at a girl's place (not that that explains his absence during the day, but he was largely absent during the D1 as well). Syllo: is it normal for Sandro to work during the day and play in the evenings/night? Or does he, like me, spend the entire day at work procrastinating by F5ing the thread and poring over filters? If the latter, his absence is indeed weird. I don't feel comfortable using that kind of meta knowledge against him (ie. knowledge I have obtained due to talking him a lot outside the game). This answer doesn't confirm or deny whether that is true, because I do not know the answer unless I convert time zones and think about it more. He can disappear for long periods of time even as town, but the case against him isn't that he disappeared even though a lot of people are attempting to portray it as such. | ||
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On November 24 2012 07:24 Acrofales wrote: Okay. Do you remember any game where you and Sandro were opposite alignments? Off the top of my head games where I was town and he was mafia: liar game (pm game, but I figured him out day 1), pypi (pm game, this was mostly won based on setup/role related reasons, he was ignored for a while). I was mafia in personality and responsibility, while he was town. You aren't going to find anything useful in those games | ||
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On November 24 2012 17:48 Promethelax wrote: what quote are you talking about? Maybe I'm retarded but I don't see it. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17006956 | ||
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The first part: can you honestly say that? I'm never one to give very precise reasoning for reads and it's more of a gut feeling most of the time, about a certain post or timing or w/e. I don't even understand how you came up with this one. Second part: fair enough, I didn't bother with this day1. I'm pretty sure prom and kita are scum at this point and almost sure on clarity. I'll try to provide proof in another post. First of all, I'm not sure if I even made this argument (my problem is mostly content/wording/tone of his posts). He hasn't given any reads whatsoever besides maybe stating that Clarity_nl is "smelly". Our reads are usually precise and not gut based; definitely not "most of the time". I discuss reads and mafia lot with him and this is a complete misrepresentation of our usual thought process. Occasionally the reads can be based on a more general feeling, but it's always based on content, so for instance we may find certain sentence or post disingenuous, but it is almost always something that can be explained in more detail. There is no way sandroba believes that he is a gut based rather than reasoning based player. | ||
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You don't feel sandro is not playing any different? How about the fact he has done or said nothing useful at all whole game long. Not a single read; just throwing a name out there with no reasoning is not a read. Failure to construct reads is fairly in line with what? Is the sandro you know completely useless? The little time he has devoted to the game has centered around him defending himself rather than doing something actually useful. Despite the amount of seeming effort you are putting into the game, your defense of Sandro is starting to feel quite suspicious. | ||
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On November 24 2012 21:54 marvellosity wrote: what do you make of sand's point about his party selection? I think town sandro would realize that it is completely meaningless as he never had to select a party and it's quite likely that just one mafia is under normal circumstances enough to cause the mission to fail, and therefore he wouldn't attempt to use something like to defend himself. | ||
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Also reading sandro's filter it doesn't even look like he announced what his final team would be. At one point he said oats, kush and dienosore, but if he is mafia he probably knew that kush was going to die. In addition, when he named that team, I don't think he thought he was going to win. Moreover, he was locked down to dienosore+oats very early on, before dienosore claimed. | ||
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On November 25 2012 18:57 Dienosore wrote: When did you get it, and how were you notified that you got it? I was told in PM. I don't really want to be more specific than that since it's kind of a gray area rules-wise. It says I got an item and what it does. It's not really important. | ||
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I'm fairly certain that Prom is mafia and that his first claimed ability is real. The one he is claiming now is completely ridiculous as a town ability. It is so strong that even if it was a real ability, I don't see a town aligned player claiming it like that. Sandroba was headed for a lynch and we didn't need additional information to secure the lynch. Both of his abilities could be real, but the mass roleblock ability is extremely unlikely to be an ability of a town aligned role. I think bussing is the strongest ability Sandro had and it is very likely that it is the one he used (although frame bus is a bit ambigious). Prom targeted marv n1 with his rb+track or whatever ability. Right now I don't quite understand why he decided to change his claim, but I guess one possibility is to make marv look slightly suspicious/force him to claim and perhaps he thinks he gets more town cred like this. | ||
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In fact, I think the speculation revolving around whether we should include claimed characters or players with matching time period flavor is also misguided (dienosore and oats should be included because they were on a successful day 1 mission, although the roles do not hurt). So, in short, ignore hp/roles, unless the claims themselves make someone more likely to be town. | ||
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On November 26 2012 03:25 marvellosity wrote: Out of interest, any reason you advocate those 2 rather than yourself? No, including me is fine. | ||
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sandro toad acro prom and maaaybe risk The above risk-prom conversation feels off, as does the fact that risk decided to run today for election. He also supported sandro early and the post in which he declared his vote is suspicious in more ways than one. Anyway, this isn't relevant right now. | ||
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What's the common theme among the first three players: Iam, Djo, Clarity, Acro First three are players who aren't high priority mafia targets, but yet were pretty active and to some degree towny on day 1. If mafia has an ability that does damage slowly over time, it makes sense to target this kind of players. Acro is the one who doesn't fit. Of course I'm operating based on the assumption that mafia would fake damage, but I think this makes sense. | ||
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If you are town, how about not arguing against me every single day | ||
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On November 26 2012 23:36 marvellosity wrote: syllo, perhaps you do, but you're not communicating them very effectively to the rest of us, which is kinda important. As a basically confirmed town with some deserved credibility and as someone who does not make strong statements lightly how about taking my word for it | ||
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Did anyone besides Prom get roleblocked today? | ||
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If you are more willing to instead believe that his other claimed abiltiy, which roleblocks everyone who attempts to target his target and in addition makes some kind of damage shield, I guess there's that. His actions and justifications for them make no sense whatsoever for town. | ||
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On November 27 2012 15:23 Keirathi wrote: Put yourself in his shoes. You have an ability that roleblocks anyone who targets your target, and you use it night one on a generally accepted strong town player who just won a mayoral election. Then the next day, two people, also known as strong players, claimed to be roleblocked. I don't think its a super unreasonable gambit to guess that they were both targeting you. Whatever, just read Hapa's case on him and his reactions to my suspicions. There is no way he is town. I can't believe how difficult it is to convince you people that someone who claimed something might be mafia. | ||
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On November 27 2012 15:27 Keirathi wrote: I'm not saying that it's impossible that he's mafia. Hapa's case definitely has merit. Yours doesn't, though. Also, like I already said, we have 2 red checks to deal with first, and who knows if we'll even have 3 more lynches. It makes perfect sense, even if you don't happen to understand. | ||
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"I know who he was pointing at when he got blocked, okay?" "I used last night Roleblocks all players who target a single player with their actions. I took a gamble and assumed that I was the only one with a roleblocking ability because only two people claimed RB'd and I assumed that they both targeted Syllo." "I have an ability which is planted on a single player which, if activated RBs everyone who visits that players. If it is not activated it will after [redacted number of cycle(s)] become a shield to block [ redacted number] of HP damage to the targeted player." "I was pretty shocked about the damage which Syllo claimed (he was shocked because he knew mafia didn't shoot me, the dmg was probably due to Robo's bus ability inflicting 50 damage or something)" "essentially the downsides are only if my reads are bad. There are some restrictions on when I can use my claimed ability. " "my role pm says that if someone targets the player whom I targeted that first player will be roleblocked. I'm not sure about 'everyone takes ten damage' I just asked and it does not block mafia kp." | ||
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Actually you know what, I'm done for a few days. There are no active town aligned players left in the game who make even a modicum amount of sense. It's not like we can lynch these people anytime soon and the game is going to take forever given that we are still only in 2300 AD. Why did you have to be mafia sandro | ||
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I did something else on day 1. The damage I inflicted relates to the item I got for completing the mission successfully. Goodkarma: my read is hardly based on just his role. I agree with most hapa said about prom and in addition prom's reactions to my suspicions are highly indicative of him being mafia. | ||
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There is a chance that I'm tunnelling on an erratic, irrational, anti-town player who happens to be town aligned, but I'll take my chances for now. | ||
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However, I don't quite understand why he would claim receiving only 25 damage if he knew how much of the damage was going to be healed/blocked. | ||
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On November 27 2012 20:13 Acrofales wrote: You switching your brain off this game is not helping anybody. I wasn't entirely serious, I haven't even read his filter. You just haven't been very cooperative so far. Obviously none of the people involved will be taken along on a quest and it doesn't look like we will be able to even lynch one of you anytime soon. | ||
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I did not expect having to argue against almost certain townies who also know that I'm town. I believe that some people are being obnoxiously dismissive of what I consider a reasonable argument. I'm struggling to understand why not only do people strongly disagree, but instead of letting the person in question defend himself they feel the need to make arguments for him. I may have somewhat overstated the case, but you should be asking Prom more questions instead of arguing with me. | ||
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I can't believe you two were healing him anyway, but I perhaps he didn't believe it either. Hapa definitely shouldn't be on a team until this is sorted out. | ||
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The thing is, unless mafia is just rolling over someone like Hapa has to be mafia. It doesn't matter if these lurking mafia get away with it if they never get a chance to be in a party. I suppose things may get trickier in a few cycles, but still it's such weak play. | ||
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On November 28 2012 05:03 Acrofales wrote: It's comforting to be in a game where the majority of people are actually able to play the game decently, isn't it? You missing people like Grush? ![]() I wouldn't go that far. Going to leave this ambigious | ||
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I've decided for now that Prom's claim is plausible, even if the timing, execution and subsequent behavior are suspicious. The initial claim was compeltely ridiculous and anyone who believed such a role is likely to be in the game is naive. What he claimed at first was a role that could not only make a person completely invulnerable, but it also functioned as a semi-watcher role; a player of any alignment that gets roleblocked wouldn't know the source and would be forced to claim. Now that we know roleblock does not prevent factional KP (and I consider it likely that there is non-role based mafia factional KP) and that he can't always use it every cycle, it is more believable. Moreover, the claim is a bit too complicated and too easily veribiable to be a sane mafia claim (his sanity is still in question, however). The fact he initially refused to claim his other ability or flavor and decided to attack and suspect a near confirmed town still doesn't make sense. I was also suspicious of sandroba immediately confirming that he visited me, instead of showing skepticism towards Prom's claim. | ||
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Instead of telling me to google or play the game, why not just answer the question? | ||
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I'll hopefully be back in 9 hours or so | ||
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On November 29 2012 15:55 Promethelax wrote: I'm out for the night. See you tomorrow. gl town! Can't wait to see what you come up with while I'm gone. Syllo: some comment on my case on GK would be appriciated. Risk: please answer my questions. Thanks and g'night! I agree that his day 1 play in particular was extremely dubious and I and others have pointed out and agreed with some of the things you have said. His claim is a bit strange if he is mafia, although on the QT he seemed to forget at one point how his role is supposed to work. | ||
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On November 29 2012 06:50 Clarity_nl wrote: Okay so with the information we have currently this post is false. That's not to say Hapa lied, but he's wrong. Namely the host saying this (at my request) So regardless of how much damage you take, if you get healed you get notified of the heal. This means there are a couple of possibilities: 1. Hapa is lying - This wouldn't make a whole lot of sense, regardless of alignment 2. Some ability made it so Hapa cannot be healed (either it was used both times or it is permanent/lasts a couple of cycles. (this would be a scum ability no doubt) 3. Some ability redirects abilities used on hapa to someone else (again, has to be scum or it would have been claimed by now) I think the safe thing to say is that we should not be using heals or protection on hapa anymore, but it does not make him scum as far as I can tell. If someone can see a reason why hapa would be lying about getting healed by townies, please do tell. Why doesn't him lying make sense? It's entirely possible that he lied about taking damage and didn't expect anyone would ever heal him or didn't understand how the mechanic works. He wouldn't be lying about not being healed, he would be lying about taking damage. I find 2) and 3) to make much less sense than 1). Why would mafia target hapa with such abilities when there were much, much better ones available? Basically only third party makes sense, but only really if it was a completely random ability. | ||
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He says he is Gato and he claims this in the first post of the QT. The QT flavor says the tent has a crystal ball. He has only recruited people who he thinks are town, although he also claims there was some mutual distrust between GK and him until some undisclosed point. He claims he thought GK might have roleblocked due to his fearsome mason recruiting ability. He says he recruited me to get me interested in the game or something. He says he can attack people in the QT, but apparently thinks it's better to invite people who he considers town rather than people who might be mafia. | ||
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On November 30 2012 00:29 Acrofales wrote: @syllo, risk, GK: was anybody new recruited into the QT this cycle? Dieno was recruited. Risk's justification was that he wanted to let him "share any information" in private before he dies. | ||
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I asked him if posts said in blue can be relied to be true and then elaborate as to why I would like to know. | ||
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On November 30 2012 01:42 risk.nuke wrote: Syllogism's thought process. This role isn't a mafia role. And if this was a mafia role this is a very suboptimal way to play. But there is a crystal ball in the tent flavor so this is probably a huge ploy where mafia scum buddies goodkarma and risknuke are trying to sell themselves of as town. And I didn't know if inviting someone counted as a roleblockable action. But hey thanks for outing my name... there probably will be no consequences. It's an incredibly suboptimal way regardless of alignment and some of the things that were said by you were just mindboggling. It doesn't help that, of course, that I was suspicious of your play even before that so I'm interpreting everything through that prism. What kind of consequences do you expect there to be for outing a name of a minor character? You didn't even think it was important to keep it secret as you voluntarily divulged the name before anyone even had posted in the QT. We've had two major characters claim their names and neither of them has even been roleblocked yet. | ||
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On November 30 2012 02:01 risk.nuke wrote: I don't know this is a heavily themed greymist game. For all we know there is third party out there who's objective is to kill me or someone else and now knows it's not me. Then there is the general always a downside to nameclaiming to prevent people from trying to mass-claim. For all we know at any point in the game the mafia can wipe out everyone who's name they know. So now it's your turn. Please, tell me the benefits of nameclaim? You ignored half of the post but that's okay, I will answer anyway. The name was required because it is suspicious when combined with the flavor provided in the QT. It could be completely meaningless, but it's still potentially evidence. | ||
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On November 30 2012 02:27 Clarity_nl wrote: Syllo may I ask why you are not trying to run for the election? I think I know but I'd like to hear your reasons. So I don't have to send a pm with the party | ||
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On November 30 2012 02:53 Acrofales wrote: Seems easy enough: don't take Dieno, don't take Keirathi. Syllo, Oats, Clarity and Chronicler seems like a pretty good party. Chronicler gets to use his 1-shot ability and if one of the members gets killed, that still leaves 3 townie players who have not mentioned any low HSM shenanigans. Syllo, you agree? Get your party PM ready, and don't you dare herpaderp it up like a certain extinct reptile. ##unvote ##Party Leader Syllo I'm fine with that, although I haven't actually read anything about TC's 1-shot yet. | ||
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On November 30 2012 03:12 VisceraEyes wrote: Well, I guess that depends on your intended result. It's your show syllo, if you reveal then I'll just have to explain my motivation. Simple as that. Have you or Biosc sent in an action every cycle? Is any of that in any way confirmable or useful? | ||
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What did you target Dienosore with? | ||
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Clarity: did you get an answer regarding full hp healing yet? | ||
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I don't think there are lots of unclaimed roleblocks, if any. Signs point towards sandro being the only mafia roleblocker unless mafia just prefers to use some other ability over roleblock. | ||
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It's possible that there are roles that have a passive/active ability that roleblocks anyone who visits them or something, I suppose. | ||
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When I look at the pool of players who can still be mafia, him makes most sense in terms of overall picture and it would be foolish to dismiss the healing issue. This is also why I thought acro might be mafia, because he was one of the few people who seemed like he was trying to establish control on day 1 and 2. | ||
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If you are mafia, which I think is likely, I think it's pretty cowardly to attempt to hide behind a host error. You could have asked him about how healing mechanic works, but did not. Furthermore, I think any major, game affecting host errors should be acknowledged in some manner. | ||
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On December 01 2012 20:06 Acrofales wrote: Funky shit. This means the healing notification mechanics may be different than we thought. I find it very hard to believe VE OR TC would be dumb enough to lie about healing at this point. Either that, or there is some kind of action redirector that is severely screwing with our minds. However, if it is targeted I can think of no sane reason to use that on Hapa and TC rather than high profile players who you'd expect to get healed (Syllo, Marv, Dino). If VE can't actually heal, his only only real options were claiming RB or claim healing TC. I think every believable target has claimed receiving damage and out of those town trusts TC least. I think VE should claim all his night actions so far. Role claiming a healer when you aren't one is very risky for mafia though, we'll see what happens with his next few actions. | ||
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Strongandbig you might as well claim what it was | ||
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On December 02 2012 02:32 strongandbig wrote: I increase my target's max hp by 300 and damage them by 250. This ability can fail under certain conditions. On oatsmaster it succeeded. I also claim the 1 hp damage on drazerk, i have a troll ability with 99% chance to do 1 damage and 1% chance to reduce target to 1hp. also voting grab sword and oatsmaster, seems the most reasonable thing atm That ability makes no sense and using it makes even less sense. Why did you think using that on Oats was a good idea? | ||
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Oatsmaster: can you ask Greymist what your max hp is, thanks | ||
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On December 02 2012 05:02 Dienosore wrote: Concerning the most recent nights action, all I was told was that I was once again saved from death and masamune was restored. I followed up with a PM, asking a few questions that would help me cut through the vagueness. All questions about dmg taken and hp stuff were ignored. Strongandbig claims that he targeted you on n1 with an ability that does 250 damage to you, but at the same time increases your max hp by 300 and "heals" you by 300 (so +50 net heal). He claims that the healing aspect doesn't count as a normal heal, so you aren't informed about that. If you assume you took 300 less damage on n1, would the damage you received on n4 been enough to kill you | ||
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Not confirming a mod error isn't any better than confirming it, in fact it is worse. | ||
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Hapa and S&B can you two full claim? S&B feels more like a third party to me, but there seem to be so many of those already. | ||
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On December 02 2012 21:18 Clarity_nl wrote: Eh, I think it's town djo being overzealous, he does that. The protection would also seem like a weird ability for scum. I heard no objections from anyone when I gave him a townread and when he said him and Dieno should be on the party. I've been thinking about the setup and mafia must have either healing or protection roles, otherwise it's too easy for confirmed townies to get out of control. It's also weird that Dieno was hit for the second time even though Djodref claimed that he would keep him alive again. Also, why isn't mafia attempting to get rid of Djodref? | ||
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On December 02 2012 21:19 Clarity_nl wrote: I think the most logical answer is that the damage shown includes the 100 damage done to the shield. Is it? But Djodref claims taking only 100 and he also "forgot" to claim it initially. Doesn't that seem a lot of damage anyway from an event? | ||
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On December 02 2012 21:30 Adam4167 wrote: Someone (presumably the scum), hammered Dieno for 445 damage on N4. You think they both protected him and dumped what i presume is a majority of their nightly KP into him? I don't know if that's all from mafia, but yes that kind of play makes sense in this format if Djodref is mafia. I have to read the post where Djodref claims the save as claiming makes no sense if you can just stay hidden and protect the player for all eternity. I think at the time of the claim we already had enough "confirmed" townies to form a team. | ||
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On December 02 2012 21:41 Acrofales wrote: What? You think it makes sense for scum to 1. Blow all their KP on someone they know is unkillable 2. Blow an incredibly strong protection power on town Just to get Djodref into a party? I don't really understand how mafia is supposed to win this game. They don't seem to have enough KP to kill townies faster than we even confirm them. It seems to me they have to do everything they can to be included in the party. Again, I'm trying to make the game make sense in case the mission today fails. | ||
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I think the options we are picking only affect the amount of damage the town aligned members on the party take. | ||
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Why do you think the amount of damage you took is important? Early on you were suspecting someone of lying about it, although in retrospect mafia isn't particularly afraid of taking some damage so they could have even targeted one of their own on purpose. | ||
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On November 30 2012 00:15 Djodref wrote: I think that we should prioritize people who need to be in the party for ability related stuff or because they have bad ass role like robo or frog with a possible high hidden value. I believe that you are town but I would prefer you to remain non "confirmed" town if you don't mind. I think that the protection type roles like you and me shouldn't try to get under the spotlight too much. I would vote a party with you as a member though... Why did neither of these two things apply to you Dienosore? You are just a cat with presumably a low hidden modifier and you are also an extremely powerful protective role. | ||
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On December 03 2012 00:16 iamperfection wrote: Also I have been trying to get on team does that make me scum sylo? You haven't made nonsensical excuses as to why you should be included and haven't played down other potential candidates for reasons that also apply to yourself. | ||
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On December 03 2012 00:35 Clarity_nl wrote: Djo's reasoning makes sense to me. He felt he was a target and being on the party made it more likely he would be protected, you disagree? But he is the one who made himself a target by claiming when there was no reason to claim, admittedly he isn't the only one guilty of this. It also doesn't seem likely to me that a cat has a lot of HP, but perhaps he just didn't think his claim through at all. The thing is, imagine some lower profile player having his role and never claiming. He would make one player invulnerable for the duration of the whole game and mafia wouldn't be able to do anything about it, unless they have some sort of day actions, but that likely outs their player and they can't even know if the protected person is vulnerable to day actions. | ||
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This doesn't make you mafia, but I'm just attempting to come up reasons as to why mafia chose their targets as they did. | ||
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On December 03 2012 02:17 kitaman27 wrote: On Spekkio's wiki page, we have links to Queen Zeal (Toad), Johnny (Toad's fake claim), and Alfador! This may be my shining achievement when it comes to mafia cases. I agree, this is definitely the best case I've ever seen | ||
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Going to wait until S&B flips until attempting to figure out whether what Prom just said makes any sense | ||
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On December 03 2012 18:05 Promethelax wrote: well if you roleblocked him it wouldn't do shit to my shield. What are you asking? Also: Iamp got RB'd by neither of us. I didn't hear about Iamp getting roleblocked and I assumed it might be possible that your roleblock of hapa was processed before mine. Seems unlikely though, so Hapa is just lying about attempting to visit clarity on N5 (since my tracking showed him staying home). | ||
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Marvel took 200. This could be flamethrower+toad's draining attack. Marvel was roleblocked so he didn't visit anyone, so no additional flamethrower damage. I may have taken 50 damage because S&B redirected Frog's attack to me, although this would be a mod error because frog should have been roleblocked by prom's ability. | ||
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On December 03 2012 19:13 Promethelax wrote: do you really have 850 health Syllo? I don't think it's necessary to make our HP values public, but my assumption was that he took an average of our total/current HPs and used that or something. | ||
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Some unresolved mysteries: - Kita's weird guessing game and the subsequent beanbag game, of which he never talks about again. - Risk's claimed roleblock. Is no one really going to claim this? - Number of mafia. It could be 5 or 6 - Why does Adam want to go to 2300 AD if his only ability is a very unreliable guessing vig? | ||
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On December 03 2012 21:45 phagga wrote: What do you hope to achieve by knowing my role name? I would like to know it as well | ||
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Absolutely, I didn't mean to criticize your choices so far. However, you should read Hapa's claim again to see if it makes sense, even if you don't find a problem with the rest of his play. He claims his ability does 100 damage to the person he targets and then 75 to the target of his target and finally 50 to the next in the chain. He claims he targeted Toad twice with this amazingly towny ability, even knowing that Toad has a damaging ability. Essentially he says he inflicted 100 damage on someone he thinks mafia (Toad) while at the same time not caring about the fact the rest of his damage would likely hit town (125 overall). He also never attempted to figure out who Toad had been targeting with his 100 damage draining ability, as evidenced by the fact that today he was still under the impression that Toad's target would have taken 75 damage (instead of 175, since Toad's own ability does 100 damage). | ||
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Attempting to explain why mafia make mistakes is pointless. If S&B is mafia, he could have made a much more believable claim but did not. He could have visited phaga as instructed, but did not. | ||
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On December 04 2012 01:01 Clarity_nl wrote: That's not how Syllo's ability works though, iirc He roleblocks you but he gets told who you planned on targeting. Syllo could you ask the host if it changes anything if hapa was roleblocked by someone other than you? I've already sent the PM asking about that. | ||
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Anyway, I'm not trying to convince you of anything. We'll see how things have developed once your alignment becomes more relevant. | ||
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Oh here is a question. Do you get some kind of bonus in your native era? Is this era 1000 AD? | ||
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On December 04 2012 02:44 iamperfection wrote: Anyone find it wierd that I was roleblocked? Didn't you visit clarity as well? | ||
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On December 04 2012 02:51 iamperfection wrote: I was trying to heal clarity Prom says his role roleblocked everyone who attempted to visit Clarity. I'm not sure if I still understand how his role allegedly works though. | ||
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What I do care about is the potential for mafia to get double actions or some other bonus in certain time period and there is some, albeit weak, evidence suggesting that the end of time is not a good place to be. The fact Drazerk, a person of dubious motives, wants to go there is another argument against it. I think 600 AD or 2300 AD are the best options. | ||
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if you are correct, you will reduce his HP by 250 and his max HP by 250 Everyone targeted by SnB had their max hp lowered by 250, which explains why clarity's heal on Oats didn't do anything | ||
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Can I get full claims from everyone? Acro: I did something else this night, unfortunately. | ||
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On December 05 2012 21:51 Acrofales wrote: @Syllo: I'd help, but nobody has claimed an ability even remotely like it. Nearest are Sandro's (single target dot) and mine (3-target mini-nuke). Zbo/austin is the only one who has so far not claimed any abilities. Just do process of elimination based on role claims, potentially matching flavor and claimed night 1 actions. | ||
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Also we've flipped 4 mafia so far and we haven't found the role blocker who allegedly blocked risk on n2. There haven't been any unaccounted for role blocks since then either. | ||
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It's a cry for help, maybe we should lynch him today. | ||
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Personally I think it's more likely for a role consisting of three different people to be able to perform more than one action per cycle than the role having different abilities depending on the time period. | ||
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It also makes sense to me for mafia to have some sort of hp checking ability and none of the flipped mafia roles had any. I also can't explain how Prom took 25 damage when I hit him for 75, unless someone messed with the damage (shielding?). | ||
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Why did me and Prom take 420 shared damage (420-250 = 170, which is a strange number)? Why did it take greymist multiple attempts to get the number right? Why did Prom take 25 damage instead of 75 when I shot him? Why did mafia shoot hapa on n2 for 100 (or 175?) damage? Why/how did I take 50 damage on n1, since Prom was seed shielding me? Did mafia use 50 factional KP for fun or was Kita's shot on Drazerk randomly reflected onto me? How did Clarity take ~400 damage (if he started with 900 hp) last night even though it should have been less than that due to risk being dead? Is it because we were in a different time period? | ||
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On December 09 2012 01:28 phagga wrote: Yeah right and perhaps you know your hidden modifier is actually positive although you are mafia and you therefore have some sort of godfather-role for party events, and are actually the last scum. (no, I do not mean that serious). Speculating about how my ability could actually work because you do not want to trust me/think I am lying is the worst way to try to find scum, just saying. You can make up any fantasy ability that fits the holes with the night actions, and assign it to me, but that does not make it real. My vote is on austin and it's unlikely to move. I'm just trying to make sense of the actions and game purely based on the claims. I would like to solve the game based on claimed night actions alone, but it doesn't seem possible even though it should be. | ||
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Actually I think you were a weird target for a town healer because you were essentially at full health already and main healers were instructed to heal me. Healing Clarity would have been townier because he had taken a lot of damage recently. | ||
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This game is just too long and it's getting more and more difficult to care. Why can't it just end already, who is tormenting us for no reason at all | ||
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Can we get a second official vote count near the deadline because I need to re-submit my action if we lynch phagga | ||
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Austin did not go anywhere | ||
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By the way, he hasn't claimed what his ability is in 1999 AD | ||
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On December 09 2012 08:49 iamperfection wrote: why would we lynch austin if he didn't go anywhere and both you and i took damage? Because I can't block or track mafia factional kp and 250 is lower than mafia presumably did last cycle. | ||
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Prom, I think you should use only your damage sharing ability Goodkarma I don't remember how your stacking works, but you should get rid of any stacks you may have right now if you need to do that to start new stacks on lavos We probably don't need to do any planning to win, but might as well | ||
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Hapa you should probably use your fireproofing on iamperfection or one of the damage dealers. I don't know who Prom has been seed shielding, but in case there is a danger of one of them being visited, he should claim his targets. The ability I will be using deals damage to two targets (some to A, more to B) while also making A immune to other actions. I will probably use it on kita first if he is capable of dealing a lot of damage. | ||
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Hapa who did you give fireproof coating to? | ||
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On December 11 2012 23:14 Adam4167 wrote: I lied to try and prevent someone I had a town read on from shooting at me. Syllogism Dieno Toad Toad Wrathed Austin for 200 damage Clarity Iamperfection austinmcc austinmcc phagga The last two were incredibly frustrating because I had to submit my night action and then go to bed before the lynch. Then the switch onto Phagga happened, making my austinmcc prediction wrong AND screwing up my next cycles prediction because he was already dead. I think that comes across in this post here I'm not scum, feel free to roleblock the shit out of me, ill never get one of these predictions right anyway. Can you explain your role a bit more N1 Syllogism N2 Dieno N3 Toad N4 Toad N5 Wrathed Austin for 200 damage N6 Clarity N7 Iamperfection N8 austinmcc N9 austinmcc N10 phagga These are what you submitted in right? So if I had died on N1, you would have gotten a bullet for N2? So are you saying you submitted Phagga last night even though Phagga was already dead? | ||
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Who were the ones who claim to have damaged lavos last cycle? Hapa, Kita, Me, maybe Oats? | ||
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On December 12 2012 22:17 kitaman27 wrote: I dealt 250 last night. We can add up the total kp output to determine the number of town players remaining if everyone claims their damage. Something is wrong then. Us two + 10 townies adds up to 850 damage, which would mean Hapa is the liar here if Oats punched lavos for 50 damage. | ||
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Yes my role was too strong as well, but your role seemed to make someone completely invulnerable in addition to providing a lot of information when people claimed being roleblocked. Not only that, but it lasts for 2 cycles and even if no one happens to visit it gives a free damage shield too. It's a role with almost no downsides no matter who you happen to target. Factional KP being unblockable somewhat weakens it, but mafia only had a bit of that. | ||
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