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Newbie Mini Mafia XXII - Page 9

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Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 18:13 GMT
#1216
I don't think that we have a town RB. But scum having RB and not using it for two nights (especially night 2!) after medic got a save in night 1 makes no sense to me as well.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 18:38 GMT
#1218
On August 08 2012 03:30 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 03:13 Ange777 wrote:
I don't think that we have a town RB. But scum having RB and not using it for two nights (especially night 2!) after medic got a save in night 1 makes no sense to me as well.


Scum having an RB and using it on JingleHell makes zero sense either. He's not playing like a medic at all.


I know. RBed or not, at the moment it does not change my read on Jingle or my last remaining scum.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 18:38 GMT
#1219
EBWOP:

On August 08 2012 03:30 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 03:13 Ange777 wrote:
I don't think that we have a town RB. But scum having RB and not using it for two nights (especially night 2!) after medic got a save in night 1 makes no sense to me as well.


Scum having an RB and using it on JingleHell makes zero sense either. He's not playing like a medic at all.


I know. RBed or not, at the moment it does not change my read on Jingle or my last remaining scum therefore I am ignoring it right now.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 18:58 GMT
#1221
Actually I already finished mine and can't wait to post it :D
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 19:06 GMT
#1223
I know I know ... it's just night time get's kind of boring due to the long wait at this stage :D
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 20:59 GMT
#1224
Another night in which I am not sure whether I'll survive or not. Now here is my candidate for the day 4 lynch. You might have guessed, it's Alan. Originally flying very very low under the radar, I was not really paying attention to him. Naive me! Eventually with all my other scum reads flipping scum or getting town cred he is the only one left from my original list.

Read through his filter please. Even compared with aRyuujin's filter it is rather sparse, especially when you look for any kind of clear stances and opinions. Alan has been sheeping town and only giving us few content posts. DarthPunk is not even once mentioned by Alan until late day 3. I don't know why he would not address DarthPunk in his posts except for being scum. Not to mention that he also didn't talk to/about Zork (besides replying to a "Why haven't you answered yet post") before the case against Zork gained momentum. Go and look at Jingle's case on Alan which points to a few of those suspicious posts from Alan: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=353315&currentpage=46#908

This alone would not be damning enough in my eyes if it wasn't for his wishy-washy stance regarding the DarthPunk lynch.
He claimed that he is 100% convinced that Jingle is scum but still would be lynching his only second best scum read DarthPunk. I don't know how he went from not mentioning DarthPunk even once to him being his second best scum read. Such a sad thing that scum has not learned how to bus right?

On August 05 2012 18:26 alan133 wrote:
@Ange
Yes, I am leaning towards a scum Jingle for the same reasons. His shift his FOS towards me seems like a desperation move to shift the focus away from himself. I think even a townie Jingle would be more careful when he suggest a new lynch, as the town's goal is to lynch scum, not just to survive.
-snip-
@DarthPunk
The conclusion I made above convinced me DarthPunk is the potential last scum, given that no bussing occurred. I went through his huge filter and was hoping to find one slip that can nail him, and have yet to find anything substantial. His blatant defences on Zorkmid is definitely scum motivated, and I know I also "defended" zorkmid, I hope you all see that I have been consistent with defending people who I thought was being called out for the wrong reasons.

I would like to put my vote on VOTE## JingleHell, and FOS## DarthPunk. I believe we got this in the bag


On August 07 2012 00:10 alan133 wrote:
@Shady
I started writing my case not long ago. But if you want to make the final decision, I will keep my vote on JH, but is fine with changing it to DP. Both are the scums in my eyes and it does not matter who gets lynched first.


On August 07 2012 00:27 alan133 wrote:
I am back from a long day. I thought Jingle is certainly getting lynched the last time I post, so I did not sneak out to check on this thread during work today. In my eyes, he is as close as to scum as it can get without flipping.
-snip-
@Jingle
His recent post has somewhat improved; he stopped the tunnelling thing and moved on to OMGUS town. (lol) There are no follow up to my case, and no follow up to Good Karma’s either. However, his reaction to DP’s scum slip seems very believable, and the counter-vote seems to give him huge townie points. It could be another attempt to “seems pro town” by “catching” DP, as DP has gained quite a lot of FOS-momentum at that point. [spoiler]WIFOM: Could it be scums trying to sacrifice another scummate so the last one can gain a more advantages spot? I think this is very unlikely, but no entirely impossible.[/spoiler]Also, he refused to defend attacks, and disregard all of them as WIFOM and since then only passively comment on cases, after the DP vote.

@DarthPunk
I said I could not find any scummy things to penalize him in his huge filter, how eager is he to prove me wrong. I am sure many has caught and mentioned his scum slip ever since he started defending himself.(Oh the irony) Even Jingle himself talks about his “slip”. I would like to know, why Jingle gives you a townie vibe, other than that you yourself is getting tunnelled right now? I would also like to add that that was posted before you were tunnelled, so any other reasons? No?
Also, this:
If shady votes for me I will vote for myself etc

Well, in this case, if you are a town, you are allowing town to mislynch you-an anti-town play. If you are a scum, then LOL. Please tell me this is not a slip? If you intend to buy “townie points” with this, then you failed miserably. Town wants to lynch scum, not martyr himself to prove he is town.


I am fine with voting any of these two players, but I will keep my vote on Jingle for the moment. I think we got both scums.


When reading the above quotes it makes you really wonder how much more wishy-washy and flip flop a post can get. A summary of the above quotes would look like this:

- Alan thinks Jingle is scum -> Vote Jingle
- Alan thinks DarthPunk might be scum -> FoS Jingle
- Alan thinks both are scum and would vote both but keeps his vote on Jingle
- Alan thinks Jingle is the most scummy player
- Alan thinks Jingle's posting has improved but WIFOMs it
- Alan confronts DarthPunk about his slips and anti-town play and wants explanations
- Alan is fine with voting both players but keeps his vote on Jingle

Not once in these posts does he take a clear stance. Instead in one single post he first claims Jingle to be the scummiest, than proceeds to praise his improved townie posting and soft-defends him, than goes on to WIFOM about scum motivation and ends in confirming his vote on Jingle. Seriously?

This looks a lot like a desperate scum trying to to balance to many things at once:

1. Pushing for a mislynch while soft-defending the lynch candidate.
2. Subtly implying that his scum buddy is not as scummy as the other lynch candidate and therefore should not be voted first.
3. Bussing his scum buddy when all hopes are lost to survive the next lynch himself.



So I hope this can convince you of Alan's scum-alignment. How else would you explain the flip flop play in the last hours before a lynch of his scum buddy? Alan is scum! Don't get uncertain by his defense because if he had believed what he wrote, he would have actually voted DarthPunk as he claimed that in his eyes Jingle got a bit of town cred.
*Yes, this scenario is based on the town Jingle theory which I think should be the most probable right now.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 21:02 GMT
#1226
Shady, please reconsider to lynch Alan first. He is my only remaining scum read (with Jingle only being slighty scummy but should be town)! I have town reads on every other player in this game except for Alan.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 21:04 GMT
#1229
##Vote alan133
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 21:05 GMT
#1231
Have you already finished my case on Alan, Shady?
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 21:08 GMT
#1232
My guess is scum is afraid to have his nightkill saved if he tries to go for one of the more expected kills.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 07 2012 21:30 GMT
#1241
Shady, I don't understand why you still believe Jingle to be scummier than alan after the way the lynch yesterday went. I don't think you can just brush off DarthPunk's defense of Jingle to be WIFOM.

DarthPunk started and continued to defend Jingle throughout the entire time starting at the moment that Jingle made himself suspicious. He even defended Jingle when it was almost sure that we were going to lynch him.

Now why would a scum DarthPunk do that? There are two possibilites:

1. Jingle is scum. DarthPunk would be trying to save his scum buddy. But why bother trying when all other players have unanimously voted for Jingle? Bussing should be the correct move, especially when there is no chance that he could save scum Jingle? I believe they did not bus Zork because at that time Zork's case didn't gained momentum but Jingle basically had one foot in the grave already.

2. Jingle is town. DarthPunk would be trying to gain town cred by repeatedly defending town Jingle as afterwards he could just point back at the discussion and say: I was right, Ange pushed for the Jingle mislynch and therefore should be lynched next. Scum know the alignments which fits the fact that DarthPunk was really stubborn in the defense but yet could not give us any good explanation for why he had a town read on Jingle.

Please think about both scenarios. While the first one is indeed possible, it would be more than just supotimal. It would be suicidal. Being the only one to defend a scum when the entire town wants to lynch him will absolutely make you the next lynch target. On the contrary, the second one is far more probable and fits perfectly.

Jingle's chances of being scum are like 0,00000000001% now.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 08 2012 10:00 GMT
#1255
@Shady: For the 0,0000000001% chance that Alan flips green I'd be fine with lynching Jingle next.

@alan:
On August 08 2012 10:36 alan133 wrote:
Hey there, looks like I am going to post some defences.

@Ange

1. Pushing for a mislynch while soft-defending the lynch candidate.
There is no defences for this, I indeed pushed for a mislynch on Promethelax and Mordanis, and that's it. My soft-defending "lynch candidates" were those in my eyes were bad case, or cases that I do not agree with. For instances, Mordanis' early cases for voting Kei, Jingle's tunneling on you and so on/fourth.

2. Subtly implying that his scum buddy is not as scummy as the other lynch candidate and therefore should not be voted first.
And many others when there is a list of lynch candidates. I have explained this before.

3. Bussing his scum buddy when all hopes are lost to survive the next lynch himself.
If you think my stance on DarthPunk was wish-washy, I do hope you actually followed my case against him WAY before the one that I said I will keep my vote on Jingle. I logically deduced DarthPunk must be scum, based on one single post on aRyujin's filter: he was kicking MrMedic out way early in the cycle, and the other Mordanis vote was either me or DarthPunk. I don't know saying: "Jingle and DarthPunk are the two scum. Lynch either of them is fine by me."
@Shady
I don't know what is with the claim medic thing or die, because I am not. If you want to waste a lynch on me, it is fine, but the game does not end there.

I will be busy for the day, will be replying to any more cases against me much later, and add my own. I am not, but if you all are set to lynch me, please look at the other scenarios where I am not the scum. The game will go on after I flip.


Your defense is poor. First of all, the three points you quoted were all in regard to the DarthPunk lynch situation. So I was talking about you trying to push the Jingle lynch while stating that DarthPunk should be scum but is not more scummy than Jingle. About you giving Jingle some town cred and accusing DarthPunk in the same post as confirming that your vote stays on Jingle. You (intentionally?) misunderstood this in my accusations and gave some general excuses.

You claim that through logical conclusion you deduced that DarthPunk had to be the last scum. Please tell me how? Why had it to be DarthPunk? I did a Crtl+F search through your filter and could not find anything of you on DarthPunk prior to that post. What made you think he is suspicious in the first place? Why not goodkarma or Obvious (who was still alive at the time of your post)? No, this is not you deducing who is scum, this is a poor try at last minute bussing.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 08 2012 14:37 GMT
#1257
@alan:

You say you don't want to spend too much time defending yourself but in the end this huge post only contains defensive explanation and lacks a case. If you yourself can't think of another scum candidate except for yourself then your entire defense just falls apart.

Could we have the flip earlier? Of course only if everyone agrees! Like today at 09:00 GMT (+00:00) instead of tomorrow.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 09 2012 20:52 GMT
#1279
Funny, it never occured to me that your awesome play saved us and will win us this game. If you can't talk to us without being sore than please just shut up.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 09 2012 21:06 GMT
#1288
Jingle, you don't have any bit of town cred. It's the fact that you and DarthPunk would not have fitted as a scum team that has saved your ass from being lynched today. So I don't think that you calling him out did anything to tip the votes in DarthPunk's favor.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 09 2012 21:08 GMT
#1291
What exactly is self-delusional in my post? If you ask any player in this game right now about how much town cred they'd give you from a scale from 1-10 I would be really surprised if you would get more than 3.
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 09 2012 21:12 GMT
#1303
I CLAIM GIRL ... oh no that was the wrong one >_< ...

I CLAIM MEDIC!

Night 1:
On July 30 2012 05:41 Ange777 wrote:
So I only got back now and read through the thread. Apparently people still don't see the need to be more active in this game. Voting your strongest scum read and then abstain from further discussion is not exactly pro town behaviour. Especially if there was so much worth of discussion and several people just did not care to comment on other scum candidates expect for Golbat.

Keep in mind please that I am not satisfied with goodkarma's (non-existent) response to my accusation. Entering the thread and shifting the discussion from scum hunting to policy lynches ... this is not town play! I still have goodkarma marked as my strongest scum read.


SAVE KEI

Night 2:
On August 02 2012 05:49 Ange777 wrote:
Seeing as night is ending and no one else wants to join this discussion is so frustrating. As townie you should really be playing with your win-con in mind. Valid RL excuses are kind of acceptable but you should have known what you signed up for. Even if you just subbed in there has been plenty of time to form an opinion on everybody by now, not stating your reads is anti town play.

Going to bed in a couple of minutes (Have to see the doc tomorrow). Keep posting guys.


SAVE GK

Night 3:
On August 05 2012 05:58 Ange777 wrote:
So I guess there is a pretty decent chance that I might be shot tonight. As I already stated I am convinced that we have nailed the second scum in Jingle. Veto the case as much as you want Jingle, there is no way you can wriggle yourself out of this. Extremely obvious scum play like this can't be ignored.

On to the third scum. Bsed on the theory Shady already mentioned with scum actively trying to counter bandwagon the Zork case there is one more player I think we need to analyze closely. Very much unsuspected by most of the players ... DarthPunk. I believe only goodkarma called him out. Originally I had a town read on him, he came across as a thoughtful poster who analyzed the play of others first before jumping on any kind of bandwagon. Under normal circumstances I probably still wouldn't have noticed him but the recent situation with Zork made me reconsider. See for yourselves:


SAVE OBVIOUS

Night 4:
On August 08 2012 05:59 Ange777 wrote:
Another night in which I am not sure whether I'll survive or not. Now here is my candidate for the day 4 lynch. You might have guessed, it's Alan. Originally flying very very low under the radar, I was not really paying attention to him. Naive me! Eventually with all my other scum reads flipping scum or getting town cred he is the only one left from my original list.

Read through his filter please. Even compared with aRyuujin's filter it is rather sparse, especially when you look for any kind of clear stances and opinions. Alan has been sheeping town and only giving us few content posts. DarthPunk is not even once mentioned by Alan until late day 3. I don't know why he would not address DarthPunk in his posts except for being scum. Not to mention that he also didn't talk to/about Zork (besides replying to a "Why haven't you answered yet post") before the case against Zork gained momentum. Go and look at Jingle's case on Alan which points to a few of those suspicious posts from Alan: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=353315&currentpage=46#908

This alone would not be damning enough in my eyes if it wasn't for his wishy-washy stance regarding the DarthPunk lynch.
He claimed that he is 100% convinced that Jingle is scum but still would be lynching his only second best scum read DarthPunk. I don't know how he went from not mentioning DarthPunk even once to him being his second best scum read. Such a sad thing that scum has not learned how to bus right?
-snip-


So I hope this can convince you of Alan's scum-alignment. How else would you explain the flip flop play in the last hours before a lynch of his scum buddy? Alan is scum! Don't get uncertain by his defense because if he had believed what he wrote, he would have actually voted DarthPunk as he claimed that in his eyes Jingle got a bit of town cred.
*Yes, this scenario is based on the town Jingle theory which I think should be the most probable right now.


ANYONE READING THIS? At the beginning I was even afraid of it being to obvious ....

SHADY

Man, those words with V were really giving me headaches
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 09 2012 21:37 GMT
#1313
I am still reading through all the QTs .... thanks for your praise guys

@Shady: Do you know what really frustrated me? Everytime I made a case the confirmed townie just didn't agree with me :D You were always for lynching someone else first ... ^^
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
Ange777
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Germany1164 Posts
August 09 2012 22:50 GMT
#1328
Thanks everyone for the amazing game. I really enjoyed playing it (most of the time @Marv: Hell yeah was I frustrated! >_< )

I was really excited to roll my first blue roll I thought about bread crumbing my role but decided to go for the nightsaves instead. I was kind of scared that they would be too obvious and be spotted by scum ^^ Are there any other good ways to bread crumb blue roles?

After the day 1 lynch I actually only had one town read I was confident enough and that was Kei. Maybe it was good that the Vig was dead because previous to the day 1 flip I was afraid that I might save the wrong guys (who might even be targetted by the Vig).

Night 2 I could not save Kei again so I went with my second best town read goodkarma.

Night 3 Shady was already confirmed town. I was not that impressed by his play at that point as he was just often inactive and I felt that he didn't contribute that much. Considering the fact that scum might think that the medic will save Shady, I went for my next best town read Obvious.

Night 4 I thought for sure that they are going to nightkill Shady or me. It would be suicidal to try to get to LYLO with both of us. So I saved Shady.

I really wanted to get another night save but was always outwitted :D

I think if it had not been for that "Zorktanic" we really would have had a hard time to win this game. In the beginning I also had a slight town read on DarthPunk but after all the discussion it got pretty obvious to me. I must say that I was really impressed by DarthPunk for trying to talk himself out of his lynch. He tried and tried and never gave up.

One thing I'd like to ask the others: What did you think of Jingle's case against me? I felt like no one understood my frustration with a case that was basically pressuring me for answers that were all in my filter. Or was I just biased?

Going to read the Scum QT now
♥ Sen - 台灣之光 ♥
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