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I Can't Believe it's not Themed MiniMafia - Page 43

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Miltonkram
Profile Joined December 2011
United States310 Posts
July 16 2012 18:27 GMT
#841
Regarding the case on talismania, I'm really uncomfortable about it. There's a lot in his filter that I find strange such as his obsession with his D1 plan and his subpar case-making. The thing that gives me pause is the fact that he continued commenting on his plan despite getting a ton of shit for it. I realize this is completely different from what I was saying earlier, but the fact that he followed his plan through to completion, whether or not it was a good plan in other people's eyes, gives me the impression that he thought it was a good plan. His D1 plan counts as a townie point in my book.

Talismania's case-making against DropBear and in general has been subpar. I find that the scummiest point against him.

Sciberbia, s0Lstice and I all played in Newbie Mini XV with Vivax. He's been a scummy-as-fuck town player for quite a while. I meant to point this out before the D1 lynch, but I was in a rush and it slipped my mind. The fact that none of us pointed this out should count as an extremely scummy point against all three of us. I have to run, I'm visiting family. I should be back in the thread in a while. In the meantime I would appreciate it if people would read through each of our filters extremely thoroughly. I know I'm town, but I include my name in this to be fair to both sciberbia and s0Lstice.
sciberbia
Profile Joined April 2011
United States1359 Posts
July 16 2012 18:34 GMT
#842
@miltonkram
If you recall, I correctly read vivax as townie in XV. Like marv said on D1, vivax actually seemed a bit calm this game compared to what I remembered of him. I compared the filters from XV, this game, and one game where he was scum in between. His filter this game looked nothing like his scum filter, but I figured he might've simply learned from his mistakes. His filter this game didn't seem quite like town vivax either, hence why I was comfortable lynching him.

I think your opinion of me might change after we see talis flip scum. The fact that he hasn't posted in like 22 hours even with mounting suspicion against him pretty much confirms him as scum imo.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
July 16 2012 18:42 GMT
#843
KEIRATHI
We have no real D2 thoughts from you, except a promised case on sciberbia.

RISEN
You think Matt is playing like he did in a past scum game. You've already mentioned that.


We're less than 4 hours from the deadline of a day phase. You've both basically done nothing D2. You are difficult to read because of this. That is not helpful to town. You want to help town, yes?
Fe fi fo fum.
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1832 Posts
July 16 2012 18:44 GMT
#844
On July 17 2012 03:27 Miltonkram wrote:
Regarding the case on talismania, I'm really uncomfortable about it. There's a lot in his filter that I find strange such as his obsession with his D1 plan and his subpar case-making. The thing that gives me pause is the fact that he continued commenting on his plan despite getting a ton of shit for it. I realize this is completely different from what I was saying earlier, but the fact that he followed his plan through to completion, whether or not it was a good plan in other people's eyes, gives me the impression that he thought it was a good plan. His D1 plan counts as a townie point in my book.


This is a really good point. I need to revisit this.
ATOBTTR
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1832 Posts
July 16 2012 18:51 GMT
#845
On July 17 2012 03:34 sciberbia wrote:
@miltonkram
If you recall, I correctly read vivax as townie in XV. Like marv said on D1, vivax actually seemed a bit calm this game compared to what I remembered of him. I compared the filters from XV, this game, and one game where he was scum in between. His filter this game looked nothing like his scum filter, but I figured he might've simply learned from his mistakes. His filter this game didn't seem quite like town vivax either, hence why I was comfortable lynching him.

I think your opinion of me might change after we see talis flip scum. The fact that he hasn't posted in like 22 hours even with mounting suspicion against him pretty much confirms him as scum imo.


sciberbia I think it's a little weird that you have no misgivings about how this lynch has no resistance.

The portion of Milton's post I just quoted...what do you make of it?

Remember that you can't just look at someone's words, but the intent behind them. It doesn't matter what we think of Talis' behavior concerning the plan. What matters is what he thinks about it. Milton points out how Talis carries through with it, despite knowing the flak it is generating against him. Is the more logical motivation for this a) townie who thinks he is doing good for town, or b) scum who is trying to fill space, knowing that people are directly looking at him do it
ATOBTTR
sciberbia
Profile Joined April 2011
United States1359 Posts
July 16 2012 19:08 GMT
#846
@s0Lstice
I am completely unbothered by the fact that there is no resistance to this lynch. Clearly, all the townies in this game (except maybe miltonkram) find talis quite suspicious. This is true regardless of whether talis is actually scum or not. So the only thing I could possibly find disconcerting is that scum aren't doing anything to save him. But this really doesn't bother me. Most players in this game are quite good and I don't see scum giving themselves away that easily by defending a scumbuddy (a la heist or roflwaffles). Additionally, I suspect gonzaw to be scum-buddies with talis and scum gonzaw had no choice but to bus talis seeing he voiced suspicions of talis during N1.

Obviously talis thinks his plan is good because he apparently proposes it every game. But that doesn't stop him from proposing it as scum too. As I said before, I find all his talk about the plan as slightly suspicious because he can use it as an excuse to talk but not actually contribute. This is only a minor point against him, anyway, and I certainly would not be pushing for his lynch off this alone.
sciberbia
Profile Joined April 2011
United States1359 Posts
July 16 2012 19:11 GMT
#847
EBWOP: He doesn't even need to have a sinister plan to not contribute by following through on his plan. It could easily just be him trying to match his town meta.
Mattchew
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States5684 Posts
July 16 2012 19:13 GMT
#848
Can we get a vote count (I won't disappear this time promise )
There is always tomorrow nshs.seal.
Mattchew
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States5684 Posts
July 16 2012 19:13 GMT
#849
Shit I might have to vote myself for using smilies
There is always tomorrow nshs.seal.
gonzaw
Profile Joined December 2011
Uruguay4911 Posts
July 16 2012 19:14 GMT
#850
@sciberbia: Okay, if talis flips scum I'll address those points if they still bother you. Meh even if he flips town as well, but I'll address them later basically since I don't have much time to be honest (and the lynch is in 3 hours right? the mayority needs 6 votes and there are only 5 on talis right now).

Okay I'll continue reading the thread
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1832 Posts
July 16 2012 19:47 GMT
#851
austin I want to hear from you on this.

what do you think of Milton's point

On July 17 2012 03:27 Miltonkram wrote:
Regarding the case on talismania, I'm really uncomfortable about it. There's a lot in his filter that I find strange such as his obsession with his D1 plan and his subpar case-making. The thing that gives me pause is the fact that he continued commenting on his plan despite getting a ton of shit for it. I realize this is completely different from what I was saying earlier, but the fact that he followed his plan through to completion, whether or not it was a good plan in other people's eyes, gives me the impression that he thought it was a good plan. His D1 plan counts as a townie point in my book.
ATOBTTR
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
July 16 2012 19:50 GMT
#852
Hmm, I guess I'll change my vote to talismania. I should put my money where my mouth is, and I haven't been too convinced by the defences so far.

I still think s0lstice and dropbear look scummy though.

##unvote
##vote: talismania

"It's the torso" "only more so!"
Keirathi
Profile Joined May 2012
United States4679 Posts
July 16 2012 19:51 GMT
#853
On second thought about sciberbia, I really can't decide if I think he's scum or not. He pushes a lot of scum and town reads, but there are some things about him that really bug my in his filter:

sciberbia wrote:
I'm feeling like vivax would be my personal top choice right now followed by Keirathi, but nobody else seems that interested in lynching them.

sciberbia wrote:
That said, I'd be willing to consolidate on dropbear because the only players I find definitively scummier than him (you and Vivax) don't seem to be getting lynched.

sciberbia wrote:
I think there is least resistance to a dropbear lynch. I'd be willing to consolidate on dropbear. Is anyone strongly opposed to a dropbear lynch?

sciberbia wrote:
@marv
vote vivax already. he has a lot of votes and you're suspicious of him


I can't really say why this bothers me, but the fact that Vivax ended up being lynched really made this series of posts stand out as strange to me, especially the last one. Marv had voiced suspicions on literally everyone that was a lynch candidate at that point (Vivax, Drop, and Risen) and wanted an austin vote which scib strongly disagreed with.


+ Show Spoiler +

On July 15 2012 20:42 sciberbia wrote:
I feel much better about my reads right now than I did D1. Here are top 3 most suspicious:

1) talismania: I really want to lynch him.
2) gonzaw: I have a few minor points against him, but other than that it's gut feeling. He reminds me a lot of mafia Xatalos from NMM XV. gonzaw and talis are linked as scumbuddies in my mind. I want to see talis flip red before we lynch gonzaw.
3) keirathi: still seems somewhat suspicious; mostly for reasons I've already stated

I really need a break from this game so I'm just going to make a case on talismania before getting some much-needed sleep. It's almost 7am here. I'll post thoughts on other people tomorrow.



My case on talismania

fixation on his plan
This has already been talked about in other cases; those of austinmcc and miltonkram I believe. It's a bit weird how wrapped up he gets in proposing his plan, defending his plan, and analyzing reactions to his plan. In particular, I find his assemblage of reactions suspicious:
+ Show Spoiler +

On July 13 2012 00:43 talismania wrote:
Reactions to talismania's Shitty Plan
(for those who care)


+ Show Spoiler +
marvellosity

On July 12 2012 08:54 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 12 2012 08:50 talismania wrote:
pardon me for some half-assed musing:

since we've got majority lynch to deal with, what about some sort of nomination system? I don't like how majority allows townies and scum alike to save their opinions on people, especially day one and just hop on whatever bandwagon is happening near the end of the day. It would be nice if, say, 24 hours in everyone puts up a list of three players they want to see in consideration for the lynch and reasons why. Then all that gets tallied up or something and we decide between the popular choices. Actually you wouldn't even need to tally or enforce that. Just having everyone put up three names with reasons should be good enough to move discussion towards a consensus lynch candidate or two (hush s&b yes I am and always will try to get people to post their impressions of others).


no

next


On July 12 2012 09:47 marvellosity wrote:
naw, I'm not killing anyone based on one post right at the beginning of the game (especially as pregame was quite active/friendly, it spilled over)

I'd rather lynch talis for his never-ending bullshit on listing names and reasons.

Seriously, 24 hours into day 1 and we're supposed to come up with reasons on 3 different people for why they might be scum? It's just nonsense.

Or... wait for it... I have an idea! If someone says something a person finds scummy, they can call them out and bring it to the thread! Wow, marv, you say - an amazing plan!

People shouldn't be 'forced' to make effort, the making of the effort willingly is what helps gives us our reads on people.



Predictably shits on it, suggests policy lynching me out of his annoyance that I keep proposing these dumb plans.

gonzaw

On July 12 2012 09:36 gonzaw wrote:
So, if the lynch was right now I'd want to kill one of these 3 guys:

Show nested quote +
On July 12 2012 07:56 Risen wrote:
Welcome to ICBINTMM in which Risen does not post in caps or call anyone an idiot THE ENTIRE GAME. Stay tuned to see if this actually happens......


Show nested quote +
On July 12 2012 07:33 strongandbig wrote:
sup bros
i am currently watching Le Closer in french in my hotel room.
Scum y'all best get ready to get motherfucking interrogated


Show nested quote +
On July 12 2012 06:33 Mattchew wrote:
alight lets do this.

no zentor means no policy lynch based on names for me.



You can see the recurring theme in all 3 (just 1 post, promising something/appearing they are eager to start but not doing anything else later).

marv, talismania, anybody active, what do you think about these guys? If you had to kill one of them which one would you choose and why? (if you don't want to kill anyone then say so).

Also this guy could die too:

Show nested quote +
On July 12 2012 08:05 austinmcc wrote:
Screw the number and size of posts. I'm not a scientist, but it looks like talismania's been town --> scum --> town --> scum --> town. Therefore, he's scum this game.

I know that millers are supposed to claim D1, but I don't see why we'd want claims on other roles right now. Except from marv, who needs to let us know whether he's a vigi or scum this game, since those are the only roles that he rolls.


But at least he put a little bit more effort (although that's not town-telling)

Dropbear and Milton haven't even posted, but well we can't do anything about it.


Actually follows the plan - as I said seems rather townie. Especially the timing.

Mattchew

On July 12 2012 10:46 Mattchew wrote:
Also, talis has the worst plan ever with his 3 people thing. That just allows people to half ass push some stupid reads and then connections theories run wild and everything turns to shit


shits on it

solstice

On July 12 2012 11:04 s0Lstice wrote:
Keirathi, assuming you are still around...

why so verbose about lurkers? what do you think of talismania's plan?


I actually don't see him reacting to it at all yet he asks keirathi about it. Interesting. He did react to gonzaw's post reacting to mine.

austinmcc

On July 12 2012 11:33 austinmcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 12 2012 11:06 Mattchew wrote:
Anyway I want to hear more from austin his first post doesnt sit well with me

That's because there's basically nothing to my first post except "Millers claim," which isn't helpful.

What I can add is that I think talismania's 3-case plan is bad, but that seems to be the general sentiment. Forcing arbitrary requirements on everyone isn't really going to help us, and is going to clog up the thread later. People are going to make halfhearted cases to try to reach that number, someone will inevitably only find 1-2 people scummy and we'd end up in some "does x not making 3 cases = scummy?" discussion, and we also might end up lynching people that EVERYONE finds a little bit scummy rather than someone that a few people have a strong scumread on for good reasoning.

Can also add that I haven't played with gonzaw, but I've obsed his recent games. Anyone here feel like they do a good job reading him, and if so, can you post some tips? I've found that I almost always end up reading him as scum, because he is active enough and posts enough that I keep finding scummy things to latch on to. Had him scum at the end of liar game just prior to the katina lynch, but also found him really scummy in the recent MTG because I felt like some of the plans he pushed hard were anti-town (check the obsqt early on, although I didn't post much there). So...any magical tricks for getting the right read on Gonzaw?


Actually this reads scummy again on the second go-round too. He says he's about to "add" something but literally just copies/expands on what marv said and doesn't add anything at all.

Keirathi

On July 12 2012 11:54 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 12 2012 11:04 s0Lstice wrote:
Keirathi, assuming you are still around...

why so verbose about lurkers? what do you think of talismania's plan?


Sorry was getting dinner.

I was verbose because I have some shared experience with sciberbia, whom I was replying to. I know that most (all?) of his TL mafia experience was in newbie games, and the dynamic is just different when you can assume that people know how to play the game.

As far as talismania's plan, I feel like it makes it too easy for mafia to blend in. The more townies you have making arguments against other townies, the easier you can push mislynches and not have to take any blame for them. There are other things wrong with it, but Mattchew and austin beat me to it. No need rehashing what they said.



Mmm I think this is innocuous. He might not even have responded if he hadn't been asked to.

DropBear

On July 12 2012 15:18 DropBear wrote:
This is silly.
Show nested quote +
On July 12 2012 08:50 talismania wrote:
pardon me for some half-assed musing:

since we've got majority lynch to deal with, what about some sort of nomination system? I don't like how majority allows townies and scum alike to save their opinions on people, especially day one and just hop on whatever bandwagon is happening near the end of the day. It would be nice if, say, 24 hours in everyone puts up a list of three players they want to see in consideration for the lynch and reasons why. Then all that gets tallied up or something and we decide between the popular choices. Actually you wouldn't even need to tally or enforce that. Just having everyone put up three names with reasons should be good enough to move discussion towards a consensus lynch candidate or two (hush s&b yes I am and always will try to get people to post their impressions of others).

This isn't going to happen and would just waste time.



On the majority lynch, day 1 this tends to be a right kerfuffle. I can't think of any system that has ever worked on day 1 in games I have been part of. So fuck a system, we deal with it when the time comes. There should be solid candidates by then anyway.


Actually this doesn't sit that well with me at all. Conversation had started to move on and then he brings it back to my plan and says the same shit everyone else did. I also don't like his misrepresentation of my views on the roleblocker's use of their power.

strongandbig

On July 12 2012 16:51 strongandbig wrote:
Hey bros
For people who weren't in ssb or mtg mafias, just wanted to let you guys know I am currently in Europe, where I don't have a cell phone data plan. This means I can only post when I have wifi, which is a change from my normal method. I've also been busy at work so please don't expect much from me before 8pm CET.


Now for serious stuff: I'm going to be watching marv like a motherfuking hawk.

I think hosts tend to try to "balance" games sometimes by tweaking their scum team selection; however, that can and has led to extra info from town through balance speculation. Marvellosity makes an extremely tempting player for hosts to do this kind of balancing, because his scum play is empirically very good, but he isn't a "veteran" so he's not likely to be the subject of balance speculation.
I also suspect bugs of doing this kind of balancing.
+ Show Spoiler [reasons, from wheel of fortune.] +
The last of his c++ games I played in was wheel of fortune. That was a stacked game and I was one of the worst players in it, although I did eventually manage to figure out the scum team (and got shot for having correct reads before I could push some of them). With the benefit of hindsight, that scum team looks almost perfectly balanced for the player base. Radfield was town, ace was scum. VE and Forumite were both good players, but only on the edge of being full-on vets. I firmly believe that town would have won that game if Radfield hadn't decided to use a DT check on Ace, who was godfather. That kind of closeness is the sign of a well-balanced game; and the odds that both town and scum would have their best player as their best power role are very small from pure chance.


So what does this mean? I am NOT proposing to policy lynch marvellosity; if he's town he can be a great asset, and besides that's totally against the spirit of the game. What I AM saying is that I think when someone points out something scummy he does, we should take it pretty seriously. Pure chance wouldn't explain why he has rolled scum in something like half his games since our first game together (noob 6) while I have rolled it once - him being good and me not does explain that.


NOW: having told you why you should pay attention, I'm going to point out something scummy marv has done. That thing is: propose/say he would be okay with lynching Talismania.

Talismania's plan IS anti town. When Ace is host and he tells an obs QT how good a plan is for scum, you better believe he knows what he's talking about. Systematic case proposing plans give scum an excuse to make shitty reads and blend in, because everyone is making shitty cases and dumb reads. That kind of plan dilutes good information and adds bad information.

HOWEVER: Talismania proposes this plan as town. All the time. Like, every game. Usually "pushing scummy plans" is a decent scum tell; but this specific player pushing this specific plan is not. And Marvellosity should know this. Marv has obs'd at least two games where Talismania proposed this plan or a variation of it (ssb, bangbang). Tali has proposed this in other games. Marv is the kind of player who pays attention; he should also know that I've pushed tali hard for these plans in the past, as have others. Marv putting tali forward as his first lynch candidates comes down to an easy push on an easy target for reasons he should know are bad.

Marv, I'm watching you.

+ Show Spoiler [on Talismania, briefly] +
I'm not saying tali is an easy target in general, like kenpachi or grush would be. He's not that kind of shitty player slash bad case magnet. It's just that for marv to propose him for lynch based on that plan is scummy.


He's right about me always pushing this idea althoguh I think he's overreacting to marv's reaction.


So actually not that many people commented on it even though I thought like everyone did oops.

My views:

scummy responses: austinmcc, dropbear

null responses: marv, mattchew, keirathi, strongandbig

townie response: gonzaw

did not respond directly although was in the thread: Risen, sciberbia, solstice


This just feels like one of those busy-work summaries that scum do to make it look like they are contributing. It also ties in with his insisting that his plan has promoted discussion. Overall, all this talk about the plan is unproductive and slightly suspicious.

consistently wishy/washy
Here are some examples of some wishy/washiness. Several of these raise yellow flags for me:
+ Show Spoiler +

On July 13 2012 07:54 talismania wrote:I don't like milkton's last post either. There's a touch of omgus to my feelings there but I also think his argument he just made about me doesn't make much sense. Although come to think of it I dunno why he would come in out of the cold and start making a case on me does seem a bit random as scum.

austin's reply to my poke at his post was rather overwrought which fits with my model of him as nervous scum but I guess that could just be the way the guy is too. solstice you said you know him - what do you make of it?


+ Show Spoiler +

On July 14 2012 01:32 talismania wrote:
solstice: I really like the case marv made on him, actually, but for some reason I don't know if I can move beyond a null on him. Like I think the first half of his filter is scummy (the part marv showed), the second half townie. Overall he is playing fairly relaxed, which is usually a town indicator as well. On the other hand he's also been fairly focused on just a couple players, which is a scum indicator.

Keirathi: Well he's conditional town or conditional scum at this point. Like I think he was way too neutral in the beginning as someone else pointed out but he's also onto dropbear as I am.


+ Show Spoiler +

On July 14 2012 01:43 talismania wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 14 2012 01:39 marvellosity wrote:
quick question tali - what pushes you to Dropbear rather than austin?


actually that is a decent question. I originally ranked them that way in my head from way back when I analyzed reactions to my posts and it sort of has stuck since then. Mmm I guess thinking it over I can't think of a fantastic reason for one over the other to be honest with you.


+ Show Spoiler +

On July 14 2012 06:00 talismania wrote:
@risen I don't know what to make of the risen v vivax to be honest. I liked your case against him but I'm still stuck on dropbear. and if dropbear is scum I can't see vivax being scum either. mmm I better not be tunneling again like I did last time to HiroPro.


+ Show Spoiler +

On July 14 2012 06:08 talismania wrote:
I dunno. I'm starting to think my case on austin is actually stronger than my case on dropbear was in the first place to be perfectly honest. However milton and keirathi also brought up good points on dropbear I think. Unless they were just trying to nudge a bandwagon along? Mmm shit.


+ Show Spoiler +

On July 14 2012 06:39 talismania wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 14 2012 06:32 marvellosity wrote:
no-one's gonna come with me on austin?


I kinda want to but I kinda don't. My feelings atm are that worst comes to worst, if I have to be wrong about someone I'd rather have a dead town dropbear than a dead town austin because at least austin seems to be trying.



especially that last one. seriously wtf..

I don't like his approach to the lynch
I feel like we were just lynching between a bunch of townies yesterday. If I had to guess, I'd say there is only 1 scum between our many lynch candidates: dropbear, vivax, miltonkram, s0Lstice, austinmcc, risen, and keirathi.

So I think the mafia must have felt very at ease and not really cared too much who actually got lynched. Talis was just too calm in the hour leading up to the lynch. For example, what was he doing in between these two posts:

+ Show Spoiler +

On July 14 2012 06:08 talismania wrote:
I dunno. I'm starting to think my case on austin is actually stronger than my case on dropbear was in the first place to be perfectly honest. However milton and keirathi also brought up good points on dropbear I think. Unless they were just trying to nudge a bandwagon along? Mmm shit.

Where has gonzaw gone? I kinda expect him to be in here cracking the whip near deadline.


On July 14 2012 06:39 talismania wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 14 2012 06:32 marvellosity wrote:
no-one's gonna come with me on austin?


I kinda want to but I kinda don't. My feelings atm are that worst comes to worst, if I have to be wrong about someone I'd rather have a dead town dropbear than a dead town austin because at least austin seems to be trying.



This was a crucial 31 minutes. I don't think any of us actually had any idea who would end up being lynched at this time. But what was talis doing? Looks like he was just sitting around waiting for us to lynch a townie. In the last hour before the lynch, he really does nothing productive at all. He just says a bunch of neutralish things that don't really go anywhere.

I also have serious problems with this post just after we lynched vivax:
Show nested quote +
On July 14 2012 07:01 talismania wrote:
well here's to hoping I was completely wrong


For reference, here is the full extent of his defense on Vivax:
Show nested quote +
On July 14 2012 06:00 talismania wrote:
@risen I don't know what to make of the risen v vivax to be honest. I liked your case against him but I'm still stuck on dropbear. and if dropbear is scum I can't see vivax being scum either. mmm I better not be tunneling again like I did last time to HiroPro.


Seriously? He says that he hopes he is "completely wrong" about vivax, but he hardly defended Vivax at all. If he really felt strongly about Vivax being town, he should have been positively shouting at people like me/marv/austin/strongandbig to put votes on dropbear instead of vivax, especially seeing as dropbear was supposedly his #1 scumread. But he was just saying useless shit like this:

+ Show Spoiler +

On July 14 2012 06:39 talismania wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 14 2012 06:32 marvellosity wrote:
no-one's gonna come with me on austin?


I kinda want to but I kinda don't. My feelings atm are that worst comes to worst, if I have to be wrong about someone I'd rather have a dead town dropbear than a dead town austin because at least austin seems to be trying.

On July 14 2012 06:54 talismania wrote:
argh wtf I don't want to swtich but I will if we need too.

On July 14 2012 06:57 talismania wrote:
jesus risen why are you so excited?



According to what talis has said, he really thought dropbear was scum, and he really thought vivax was town. I was a hell of a lot less sure than talis supposedly was, and even I was more invested in the lynch. All of his posts leading up to the lynch seriously bother me.

throws suspicion on easy targets (my townreads)
He throws suspicion on a bunch of easy targets: dropbear, austin, risen, s0Lstice, milton. In fact, he threw suspicion onto just about every lynch candidate, and onto nobody that was not a lynch candidate. His reads are just going with the flow. I feel like he is just gonzaw's parrot. He's quite friendly with both gonzaw and marv (people with most thread control IMO).

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2012 09:54 talismania wrote:
@marv: nice shit. solstice was pretty on point activity-wise in ssb64 despite being kind of wrong the whole game (he did get better late game). He simply hasn't been around this game that much. Very curious to see what he thinks of the austin situation since he claims he can read austin so well.


Show nested quote +
On July 13 2012 07:57 talismania wrote:
ps risen where you at? Gonzaw wrote some great stuff about you and I want to hear your cases/suspicions since I can't recall actually seeing anything from you along those lines yet.



does not defend his townreads
He never makes an against-the-grain townread. In his entire filter, I don't think he defends anybody at all. He supposedly had townreads on vivax, strongandbig, and mattchew, all 3 of which were under fire at some point, and none of which he did any defending for. This is suspicious to me.

I have a really good feeling about this case. Can we please lynch talis today?

##Vote talismania



This is his case against tali. A lot of it is a strong case (particularly the first 2 points) that I could get behind, but besides the obvious misunderstanding of tali's post at the end of d1 that was already gone over (point 3), I feel like the last 2 points are just stretching to add some more depth to your case and hoping no one checked up on it.

1) "Gonzaw's parrot" -

+ Show Spoiler +
gonzaw

Townie Reads: Vivax, solstice, scib, tali, me; Risen, me; austin,

Scum Reads: Risen, S&B, matt; austin, S&B, me, drop, risen; S&B, tali, austin; Tali, Drop, solstice, matt, risen, me;

Null Reads: marv, austin, Risen;;

Arguments against: Drop, Risen, Milton, matt; matt, Risen; Matt, Risen,

votes: Drop, me, vivax;;tali

(Note: the ;'s indicate changing from day to night and vice versa)


That's just a quick list and I probably missed some. You could claim that literally anyone was gonzaw's parrot and you'd be mostly correct. As far as I can tell, tali has only really made pushes for Drop and austin, so its a pretty weak argument imo.

(As an aside, it also bugs me that you use particular phrases that other people have used i.e Risen calling s0lstice "Vivax's parrot" and gonzaw saying marv was trying to "lynch all his town reads". I don't think this is a particularly strong point, because the phrases arent unique, it was just something I noticed.)

2) The defending town reads point - I don't find those town reads. Care to point them out?
My dear friend if I have gone pants on head, you have gone socks on ears!!! -ShiaoPi
Keirathi
Profile Joined May 2012
United States4679 Posts
July 16 2012 20:00 GMT
#854
EBWOP: oh, I see what you are counting as his town reads on matt and S&B. I'm not sure I agree with your point, but at least it wasnt made-up nonsense.
My dear friend if I have gone pants on head, you have gone socks on ears!!! -ShiaoPi
Keirathi
Profile Joined May 2012
United States4679 Posts
July 16 2012 20:04 GMT
#855
Also @sciberbia: why am I not your top candidate anymore? You repeatedly stated at the end of Day1 that I was your biggest scum read, but you were going to consolidate onto Vivax just to avoid the no-lynch, which is fine.

But by this point, I had already done all the "towntelling" things that you give matt poins for pointing out in your Matt defense post.

What happened to change your mind when I really didn't do anything during the night and was out of town for basically the entire day?
My dear friend if I have gone pants on head, you have gone socks on ears!!! -ShiaoPi
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
July 16 2012 20:06 GMT
#856
On July 17 2012 04:47 s0Lstice wrote:
austin I want to hear from you on this.

what do you think of Milton's point

Show nested quote +
On July 17 2012 03:27 Miltonkram wrote:
Regarding the case on talismania, I'm really uncomfortable about it. There's a lot in his filter that I find strange such as his obsession with his D1 plan and his subpar case-making. The thing that gives me pause is the fact that he continued commenting on his plan despite getting a ton of shit for it. I realize this is completely different from what I was saying earlier, but the fact that he followed his plan through to completion, whether or not it was a good plan in other people's eyes, gives me the impression that he thought it was a good plan. His D1 plan counts as a townie point in my book.

Fun answer - The last time I saw milton post that he was getting pre-lynch jitters, we lynched scum and he was scum as well. 2/3 down! Also, I'm MORE uncomfortable with the fact that Gonzaw was right about low vote counts and we had 4 people that hadn't voted 44 hours into a day phase.
Real answer - I guess I fundamentally disagree with Milton here, because he references talis as making a "plan." Again, I have been struggling with talis's calling gauging reactions his true plan, and then saying that it was not planned from the beginning. Nobody, milton, talis, or otherwise, has really commented on that from what I remember, and I believe I brought it up both D1 and D2. If you look at talis's comments as contradictory, then there hasn't been a "plan" to stick to, and I don't love that milton doesn't even touch that possibility.

Like...seriously. Do people think I'm wrong about those statements being contradictory? Does that indicate a townie talis? Do people agree with me but think it doesn't matter?



Fe fi fo fum.
sciberbia
Profile Joined April 2011
United States1359 Posts
July 16 2012 20:26 GMT
#857
@keirathi
I don't really have time to write a suitable response from work. I'll respond to your post after I get home around 6:30.
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1832 Posts
July 16 2012 20:37 GMT
#858
dropbear-

In response to your question about why I voted Risen, I had him along with Milton on D1 on my 'to-kill' list. Nobody was interested in killing Milton, so I went with Risen. I had to leave before all the late movement, so my vote stayed where it was.

You find the reasons for my suspicions on Risen suspect, so I'll explain.

As far as Risen posting about it being too early to make reads, it has nothing to do with if he is right or not. My point is when he does, or doesn't say it. He actually does say this when he is town too, but in the games I looked at it is more frequent when he is scum. My second part was him being forthcoming/defending his town reads. There is a reason I included both of those words. He did call you out, but he concluded you were probably town.

Also, here is him defending Mattchew:

On July 13 2012 02:55 Risen wrote:
I've had experience with Mattchew being scum, as we were both godfathers who flipped vigis in some other game I can't remember the name of. I think he's WAY, WAY, WAY more active and useful this game ALREADY than he was that game.


ATOBTTR
Keirathi
Profile Joined May 2012
United States4679 Posts
July 16 2012 20:45 GMT
#859
Man, missing 90% of the day is frustrating. I'm second guessing everything at this point, and don't have any really strong townie reads.


Also I really don't know what I think about tali. There's so many cases against him, and they are all decent, but none of them are damning I think. Maybe enough little things adds up to him being scum, but I remain unconvinced. Almost everything about him is either directly relating to his plan, or relating to things that branched out from his plan. I agree that his plan was really bad and I don't want to support bad play, but like Milton pointed out, he was entirely too invested in it. I don't really see scum as staying that invested into pushing something to intentionally bring attention onto himself. Something about this case and being so little opposition just feels bandwagonny. If I'm wrong, it probably means I get lynched tomorrow because of this post though
My dear friend if I have gone pants on head, you have gone socks on ears!!! -ShiaoPi
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1832 Posts
July 16 2012 20:50 GMT
#860
lol you ninja'd me Keir.

I was just typing how this was such a catch 22, I keep looking at Tali's filter and I have a terrible feeling he is going to flip green. I have to decide if I'm sure enough to risk dying for it : /
ATOBTTR
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