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BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 07 2012 15:46 GMT
#438
Evul, have a look at what JieXian just said. You saving Hopeless so late would have made you look very bad. Bussing Hopeless would make sense. That is the reason you are not "cleared" as YourHarry put it.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 07 2012 15:51 GMT
#439
So I just got ninjad like 5 times over because I didn't refresh for so long, but anyway...

Evul, JieXian is saying that the logical choice for you if you are scum and Lazer is town was to vote for Hopeless because if you hadn't and Lazer flipped green, you would have looked quite scummy, and not only would Hopeless have had a high chance of being lynched the next day anyway, you would also be compromised and under heavy scrutiny.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 07 2012 15:59 GMT
#441
EBWOP:

Evul, JieXian is saying that the logical choice for you if you are scum and Lazer is town was to vote for Hopeless because if you had voted for Lazer and he flipped green, you would have looked quite scummy for protecting Hopeless, and not only would Hopeless have had a high chance of being lynched the next day anyway, you would also be compromised and under heavy scrutiny.

BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 07 2012 16:00 GMT
#443
And I'm actually off to bed now, I'm out.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 03:26 GMT
#542
The role claim plan is sound and it seems like we're already going ahead with it. My post regarding Mackin still stands (posting a summary list of players with still no clear stance other than things like "scummy or not" or "slightly scummy" isn't really responding to my post):

+ Show Spoiler +
On July 07 2012 13:43 BassInSpace wrote:
I'm still not liking Mackin's posts. Here's why:

+ Show Spoiler +
On July 06 2012 05:48 Mackin wrote:
Hey guys, I've only caught up on what I've missed, but I want to provide some defense for myself from some FoS I've been getting. I feel it's a little unfair, but I'll explain myself each time someone has called me out.
Show nested quote +
On July 05 2012 15:44 BassInSpace wrote:
Also, Mackin seems to have completely dropped off with no significant contributions whatsoever, and we KNOW he was around during most of the discussion during this first 24 hours. Not too sure about the other lurkers yet obviously, but I know JieXian and I will have similar post timing (see NMM XVIII) because we’re only 2 hours apart.


Ok, so yeah dropped off but not exactly available 24/7 so it's not really that strange - just different time zones / bed times is all. I agree I haven't contributed too much, but call me out on anything I say and I'll justify it.

Show nested quote +
On July 05 2012 21:09 Lazermonkey wrote:
Some good analysis there Hapa. Although I can't really contribute anything on Mackin as his filter is just that long. I only find the first post of him to be intresting tho. I don't agree with my post be contradictory which I have already said a dozen of times. Yes, I did use bad wording but that's about it. Also look at the timing. Basically echoing what Hope had already said at that point. The other posts from him is indeed fluff, which is at best bad town play.

Overall Mackin is kinda null for me although with the slightest scum vibes due to his first post. I consider him a lurker atm and he really needs to post more before I make a clear read. TMG on the other hand i feel is playing in a very anti-town way. I'd say he is my number 2 scumread after Jingle atm.


Ok Lazer, I'm ready to contribute - I'll be pretty active for a good while if I have anything to add As I said before, don't jump to point the FoS on me just because I have different sleeping times than others. I see the post isn't exactly contradictory now but it still is worded badly, and I think I was one of two who misinterpreted what he was saying about roleclaiming.
//
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2012 02:31 JieXian wrote:

My FOS is on Mackin for trying to light up fires and disappearing as town burns. His thoughtless posting reminds me so much of mafia behavior.



I would agree with you on that point except for the fact that if you read the thread you would realise I wasn't the only one trying to get people talking by saying stuff about their names. If anything I've been pro-town by trying to get people to post which I think worked in some small part, because now it's clearer to see people's stance on each other since they have actually been posting.

More posts in thread = more informed decisions - absolutely true in Mafia.


Also for Hapahauli, you're using words like "huge red flag" and "very anti town" when my motive was simply to get the ball rolling in this game. I feel this is very harsh for how little I've posted, but hopefully I'll have something to add when I re-read everyone's posts.

Show nested quote +
On July 06 2012 02:37 JieXian wrote:
Let's focus on lurkers like Mackin ATM. I know I might qualify as one but I have nothing to add to the lazer/hapa vs hopeless/release/jingle babbling

Back to JieXian: Focus on me all you want, I have nothing but valid reasons for posting what I have so far, call me out if you want an explanation.


Show nested quote +
On July 06 2012 04:33 The_Zen_Man wrote:

So far, Mackin has not posted anything of worth, only tried a bandwagon and agreeing with other players.

Fos: Mackin


Hmm, I know you say I haven't posted anything of worth, but I disagree.
As I have stated above, that in my eyes, it's not so much as the content I had posted but the post itself to get people talking is the main reason for my post. Anyway, the way I see it, I haven't exactly "bandwagoned" I just agree putting pressure on players earlier on as it helps to get them talking.


Anyway, I'm gonna look into everyone's post again and post my thoughts on some of the other players...






Inflates the contributions he's made to the thread. At that point, he hadn't promoted any discussion, all he did was make a few people talk about how scummy he is.

Next:

+ Show Spoiler +
On July 06 2012 07:15 Mackin wrote:
I'm not exactly sure of what to think yet. Nobody has clearly made any big bold statements but whoever the Mafia are, they sure are trying their best to confuse the shit out of me. I can see why people say Mafia is more rewarding the more time you spend looking at it, it is really difficult to make an informed decision when half of the people are lying to you

Release seems like he's on the town's side, as does Hapa, Zen and JieXian, who mostly has the same motive to get people talking as me. Many people have already given credible reasons for suspicion of others, including suspicion aimed at myself but I can see pretty much everyone isn't doing too bad at acting townie.


False, at that point release and lazer were already starting to go at each other (although maybe this doesn't fit his definition of bold, so it's arguable), but Hapa was already attacking Hopeless, and had even dropped his vote on him already. He's being non-committal. He also gives the excuse that he is confused by everyone, possibly as a cover for his infrequent and generally content light posting, although I admit this may be digging a little too hard.

And then we have this post:

+ Show Spoiler +
On July 06 2012 08:42 Mackin wrote:
@Hapa:
Your case on Hopeless1der:
I don't know what to think here. It's like Hopeless is really trying to build a case against you, he builds up quite alot in the first post and when you make your stance clear in your response, his response is to back down immediately. Maybe he just wanted to question you and test the water a bit? I don't think he's trying to genuinely full on attack and point the FoS here. I don't know why he starts going on about Release, if I was thinking more suspiciously of him, he maybe just wanted the conversation to change quickly and forget about building a case on you.


Case vs. TMG26:
Unless his English is really bad, I can see some basis for thinking he isn't exactly on townie side. He may be trying to be really diplomatic for the purposes of going through to the next day, but then again mafia will try to act diplomatic while pushing accusations at the same time like he did in that first quoted post. It's hard to know whats going on in that first post, because his English really isn't great so I'm undecided. I think the indecision may be out of fear of being lynched on day1 townie, but it's hard to know whether the indecision is because he isn't sure and doesn't want to accuse someone innocent or because he has a reason to be indecisive... I don't understand what he's trying to achieve. It does seem odd/slightly scummy but still undecided.

Bass said:

I don't quite understand. So you think that hopeless and jingle are mafia because hopeless defended jingle, but jingle and harry are actually your prime suspects? I'd just like this point clarified.

All in all, TMG is my strongest read so far.

I think that's a good point actually. why would harry be one of TMG's prime suspects if hopeless had defended jingle (if he is assuming jingle to be scummy?)

Onto the case against Release:

I think TMG's case against Release isn't so strong - anyone putting out an early FoS isn't that serious in D1 early stages as it keeps the discussion going and there is no strong points in the post you (hapa) have linked, whereas Evul brings up a better worded, but still annoyingly confusing case against him. I can see why he calls out certain things Release has said, but nothing said actually sounds too scummy to me, but I know I could easily be missing something.

Anyway, I'm getting really tired, damn GMT time so I might have to goto bed soon





Again, claiming that he doesn't know what to think/is confused, thereby not taking a stance on either hopeless or TMG. And then, out of nowhere, this:

Show nested quote +
[B]On July 07 2012 04:04 Mackin wrote:
##Vote YourHarry


No explanation before or after. Not even a post. At that point it was 3 votes a piece for Hopeless and Lazer. I'm thinking this is a throwaway vote on someone who is highly unlikely to be lynched; again, being very non-committal.



It will be interesting to see how zen man responds now, since he promised a proper post on Lazer on day 2.








BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 03:30 GMT
#544
Release I'm not quite sure what the point of your list is. Mafia is not going to fake claim. If evul is mafia, he knows that a claim from the real DT will lose him the game instantly, since we'll just lynch both as one of them has to be lying. The same goes with mafia lying and counter claiming evul; we'd just lynch evul or the counter claimer first, and if the game isn't over yet, lynch the other person.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 04:05 GMT
#555
Regarding Release:

If anything made him look fishy to me, it's his willingness to jump on Lazer (again) based on what is obviously a typo (to put it in Release's own words against Lazer awhile ago, "grasping at straws"), and the vote switch to Jingle without much explanation at all. The post he made listing detective claims could also have been an attempt at making a useful post without actually being all that useful, but this could be stretching it too far.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 06:10 GMT
#570
On July 08 2012 14:31 JieXian wrote:
About Mackin, I've a feeling that he's just a lazy townie.

His vote on YourHarry was probably because he jumped right to the last page and read my argument with Harry and just voted.


That is just a guess though, we'll have to wait to see if he's going to make his actions clear when he gets back.

I'm inclined to lean towards Lazer rather than Zen Man at the moment, at least until Zen Man comes back with the promised case for his vote against Lazer.

Release, I was talking about your vote change TO Jingle, here:

On July 08 2012 10:26 Release wrote:
##unvote

##vote: jinglehell



After having said you didn't feel that Jingle was scum:


On July 07 2012 15:19 Release wrote:
Well i read the Jingle case and i can't disagree with it.

But it makes me uncomfortable to feel that he is scum, because then YourHarry would be the other scum (those two had a little OMGUS battle and then suddenly reconciled, great way to clutter the thread), leaving no place for Lazer to be scum, which i still think is true. And mackin...

BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 06:12 GMT
#571
EBWOP:

"I'm inclined to lean towards Lazer rather than Zen Man at the moment, at least until Zen Man comes back with the promised case for his vote against Lazer"

"I'm inclined to lean town towards Lazer rather than Zen Man at the moment, at least until Zen Man comes back with the promised case for his vote against Lazer"
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 11:21 GMT
#607
Yourharry, that would probably constitute cheating in some way, or result in mass modkills if Radfield feels like it since we are not allowed to abstain from voting. Also, you can't vote for yourself:

You may not vote for yourself. You may not vote for anyone dead or outside the game.



BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 11:43 GMT
#612
Release, you really think Hapa would bus Hopeless at the very start of the game? I understand a bus on day 2 or day 3, but bussing at the very start when it's 3 v 10 and an open set up (town favoured) seems sub-optimal. Besides, I doubt Hopeless would agree to something like this. As much as mafia is meant to be a team game, I don't think Hopeless (or at least I wouldn't) would want to get bussed just for a team victory. He wouldn't be able to play for the rest of the game and would just be sitting on the sidelines. Btw Hapa and JieXian, he posted his little breadcrum before it was revealed Khorrus was the godfather. Even if the godfather is dead, his case doesn't become invalid just because he thought Hapa was the godfather. I just disagree with his case for reasons stated above.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 11:45 GMT
#613
Zen, address the concerns people have raised with you. Right now all it looks like you're doing is dodging.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 12:19 GMT
#618
And Mackin, I can only take your word that you were busy and simply threw your vote on YourHarry. You'll understand it if I say this doesn't clear you for me, although it makes you slightly less suspicious. The other issue I and others raised with you is that you have been indecisive on just about everything so far. Just look at this post of yours for example:

+ Show Spoiler +
On July 08 2012 10:02 Mackin wrote:
Ok guys so I know I stepped out of the loop for quite a while, but I'm gonna step in now before bed and give my opinions on some people before we get back into day.

Evul has his case/claim now for being pro-town with his vote being important on the day 1 lynching. I don't see him as too suspicious so far.

Zen_man I feel is pro town. Either that or he's good mafia. Don't know why he has such a strong hate against Lazer but I'm gonna look into Lazer in some more detail later.

Lazer: I don't see anything from his posts that are particularly mafia so far. I really don't understand where people got off accusing him. I would like someone to point out the traits people see in him as mafia.

Release: Literally no idea, from what he has posted I didn't learn much except for the fact he near toppled over back at end of D1 voting. It was so so good Hopeless was mafia because it said something about Release's read.

YourHarry: My vote on him probably gave a lot of people a WTF type feeling. I just had some feeling that he was scum but since voting I'm not so sure.



Hapa: Is being unbelievably good townie. I find it funny though because I've came up with some crazy theories on how he could be the Godfather who wanted to bus one of his men early to add confidence to his name, then acts and "is" pro town until the end where you discover he's really been the mastermind behind it all. I severely doubt this is the case though because he literally has provided really really good information and reads on each person, especially on Hopeless. It's easy to say now, but had I seen Hapa's post on why Hopeless had to go I would've switched votes... though I was unavailable at the time (which shouldn't be an issue anymore)

Jingle: Scummy or not?
Recently, if you look Jingle gets annoyingly defensive and suspicious every time he posted in response to grilling from Hapa. This could be for either two things - straight up scum or else genuine townie getting so annoyed. I don't know which way to take this but I'll say he's not on my townie list

Bass: From what he has posted so far, I'm thinking he's town but meeeh...

TMG: Meeh - I'll do one later
Jie: Also do one later, but slightest scum vibes.


It pretty much tells us nothing about your reads on who is mafia. It just tells us who you "feel" is town, and who you're unsure of. You are still a candidate for mafia for me at the very least. I'l also be taking you up on your offer now to ask you questions. What do you think of the current cases? Who do you actually think could be mafia?

Now YourHarry, I don't like how you're playing with the numbers here and going through multiple scenarios. Randomly lynching can still lose us the game. It should be played out as it normally would: finding scummy behaviour and voting for it. Random lynching would just be lazy. JieXian is right, even if the odds may seem favourable, it's still gambling. There was no need to tell him to shut up though...

BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 12:26 GMT
#619
Mackin, if you are referring to this post:

+ Show Spoiler +
On July 08 2012 18:40 Mackin wrote:
Hey guys, I'm claiming Vanilla Townie. I know I'm on a couple of people's suspicions list, but as JieXian said:
Show nested quote +
On July 08 2012 14:31 JieXian wrote:
About Mackin, I've a feeling that he's just a lazy townie.

His vote on YourHarry was probably because he jumped right to the last page and read my argument with Harry and just voted.

He's right here. I was very short on time IRL and knew I had to get a vote down. I said early I was unavailable at the time but whatever.

And whoever wants to ask me any questions, feel free. I have nothing to hide.
Also glad to see Jingle cleared as if you check my earlier posts, I can't see anything I've said to overly mislead anyone. If you look at one of my larger blocks of text:

Show nested quote +
On July 06 2012 08:42 Mackin wrote:
@Hapa:
Your case on Hopeless1der:
I don't know what to think here. It's like Hopeless is really trying to build a case against you, he builds up quite alot in the first post and when you make your stance clear in your response, his response is to back down immediately. Maybe he just wanted to question you and test the water a bit? I don't think he's trying to genuinely full on attack and point the FoS here. I don't know why he starts going on about Release, if I was thinking more suspiciously of him, he maybe just wanted the conversation to change quickly and forget about building a case on you.

I totally made a logical reason for why he posted talking about Release. I said that if he was scum, he was probably trying to distract from the case against him, and that proved correct no?

In my opinion, I can't see any real just case against me, though feel free to bring it people.






That doesn't count. Yes, it's an analysis. But let's have a closer look at the bolded sections. You have the benefit of hindsight now in saying that you were right about Hopeless. At the time of making that post, you weren't sure about anything. You didn't even commit to anything. If Hopeless had flipped green, you could just argue and say "oh, look I was right, he really WAS just testing the waters".
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 12:26 GMT
#620
EBWOP:

The above post is in reply to Mackin's latest post here:

+ Show Spoiler +
On July 08 2012 21:07 Mackin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 08 2012 20:43 BassInSpace wrote:
Release, you really think Hapa would bus Hopeless at the very start of the game? I understand a bus on day 2 or day 3, but bussing at the very start when it's 3 v 10 and an open set up (town favoured) seems sub-optimal. Besides, I doubt Hopeless would agree to something like this. As much as mafia is meant to be a team game, I don't think Hopeless (or at least I wouldn't) would want to get bussed just for a team victory. He wouldn't be able to play for the rest of the game and would just be sitting on the sidelines. Btw Hapa and JieXian, he posted his little breadcrum before it was revealed Khorrus was the godfather. Even if the godfather is dead, his case doesn't become invalid just because he thought Hapa was the godfather. I just disagree with his case for reasons stated above.

Well Bass, if I was playing mafia, I wouldn't mind being bussed if it meant a win - I understand you don't get to analyze and post as much but a win is a win regardless. Maybe it is just brilliant strategy as everyone's convinced on Hapa's pro-town status?

If it did turn out Hapa was mafia it would be hilarious, because I can't see anyone wanting to lynch him the rest of the game. Fairly unlikely, but still possible.

I'm wondering what happens if its decided to lynch Zen/Release/me and we all flip green. I'm fairly sure the mafia would be sitting happy and in great shape for actually winning with the odds against (s)he...

Anyway I provided some defense earlier showing some pro-townie stuff I've said and some people have basically ignored it. Please read and comment appropriately.

BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 13:51 GMT
#627
Valid points against me, but could be playing smart mafia trying to lynch the player with some weaknesses in play (aka me). If I get lynched please be careful of him as I'm undecided of why he's pushing me so hard. I really have nothing to hide so if I'm continually pushed I will be suspicious.


I'm sorry if you feel that I'm pushing you hard, but as you just said yourself, there are valid points against you. You never properly addressed the original case against you, and you're not the only player who copped flack for that; Zen man is too.
I wanted you to make your position clear so that we don't have a wildcard in a player like you if the game ever goes late and we can't actually afford a mislynch. We got completely screwed over by a wildcard in my last game because we ignored him for too long. You're not playing nearly as bad as he was, but as you can see over the last few posts, there are people who are still suspicous of you. It's good that you have kicked up the activity and did actually name players who you consider scummy this time. You needn't worry about a case against you at this time, however. I think a Zen man lynch is more likely at this point.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 13:53 GMT
#628
EBWOP:

"You needn't worry about a case against you at this time"

"You needn't worry about a lynch against you at this time"
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 15:21 GMT
#632
Oh I actually missed that post of yours Mackin. The case against Zen Man still stands regardless of that question about 3styla. Have a look at previous posts about him. I'm personally not holding that post against him.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 08 2012 15:46 GMT
#636
Currently I'm still waiting on Release to actually post something about the meta case laid against him by Hapa, rather than talk about his little breadcrumb. He never actually said anything in his defense, he just counter cased Hapa. I'm off to bed now, so since there is still half of day 2 to go, I will

##Vote The_Zen_Man

Subject to change should he actually post something decent by the time I'm around again of course.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 09 2012 11:43 GMT
#718
Well I was afraid I missed out since I was busy all day, but it looks like nothing much happened. Keeping my vote on Zen Man since he hasn't even posted yet.
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