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Responsibility Mafia!

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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 19 2011 22:34 GMT
#131
You know, I guess that's one way of getting me to actually play in your game Ver ;P
But I guess I did verbally half commit!
Don't start this until the 23rd though, or you won't see me posting until then.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 20 2011 00:58 GMT
#141
On December 20 2011 07:55 Ver wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2011 07:34 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
You know, I guess that's one way of getting me to actually play in your game Ver ;P
But I guess I did verbally half commit!
Don't start this until the 23rd though, or you won't see me posting until then.


verbally "half" commit=

"rol are you playing in my game?"

"okay ill play"

pff, you know I do that just so you will play team games and always plan on bailing last minute.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 20 2011 05:02 GMT
#172
Oh boy, so first things first. At no point in this game should anyone suggest a mass role claim, or ever infer their role. In a closed set up like this and Zona's previous game I could easily see there being something to punish town doing dumb, sheepish things. Knowing Ver, and how he would like to see this game played it will punish dumb shit.

So my advice, play smart and tight and don't do dumb shit.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 20 2011 09:11 GMT
#191
On December 20 2011 15:30 L wrote:
Alright, straight off the bat people are saying that we need good posts.

No shit.

Not only is the concept of the game surrounding the idea that poor play will be punished, but there's also the notion that we've got relatively few players. in the game. 5 to 15 or so. This means that best case scenario, we can win day 5 through lynches alone, but that's a rather long timeframe to close out a game. So poor play seems to be some form of game accelerant, and the 'poorer' the play, the less in our favor it seems to be.

So! What do we do? Post with content and condense your points. Keep your short posts to yourself and clump them up to make substantive comments. I'd say that posts between 6 and 15 lines are large enough to be substantive, but short enough to be read. But that shit is obvious. There's a bigger question here, however, which is what we're going to do with the first vote.

RNG is probably the worst possible idea; gives us next to zero information regarding how people argue and its practically an excuse for people to not post anything because there's no element of responsibility attached to it. Either way, we're going to want ideas down on the table asap. And not like dicks, either. Cut it out bum/prplhz.

Meh, I assumed the RNG thing was just to randomly create something to work with D1 and wasn't serious. Every non retarded person knows very few people will actually RNG it and there is no way a mafia candidate would get support and lynched using RNG.

So now that I have wasting my time talking about that for some reason, how have you been L? Remember that time you spoiled the entire ending to death note for me?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 20 2011 09:13 GMT
#192
On December 20 2011 14:09 bumatlarge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2011 14:01 VisceraEyes wrote:
I tried to get a straight answer from Ace about this in the game I played with him, but he was...not willing to play with me. What good does an RNG vote do for town? Honestly, if we all decide that's how we start off, no one is going to be dumb enough to try and derail the lynch if it happens to land on scum, so really, what information can possibly be gained? I'm serious, this has been bugging me ever since that game because he flipped town and I don't understand the motivation.


Why wouldn't you be serious? RNG is when there is an impasse in the first day votes, and when there is no "no-lynch" option. I'm sure just mentioning RNG first nets me some responsibilty points.

That's pretty good. From now on, all talk about someone provoking what Ver has warned us about has an arbitrary amount of "Responsibility". I have a tiny bit of Responsibility at the moment. I think for asking such a question VE, regardless of your true intentions, also nets you some responsibility. I think RoL has very responisibity at the moment, unless there is a Captain Obvious role.

The obvious is only obvious when someone points it out, if no one does than I guarantee we will see some people not realize ver hates retarded people and then realize this set up is likely devised to punish stupidity.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 20 2011 09:33 GMT
#196
PALM-AIR.
It's day 1, what else would you like him to currently say?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 20 2011 16:21 GMT
#244
On December 20 2011 21:39 GMarshal wrote:
quote fail.
Lets try again

Show nested quote +
On December 20 2011 18:59 L wrote:
RE: The hydra
I have no idea what/who this is, but I think I happened across it twice reading the thread. Is this someone's nickname? I haven't kept up with the last few (months of) games, so hook a brother up.


A hydra is an account shared by two players, in this case SamuelLJackson shared by Curu and Sandroba. They are, of course the ideal target for a day one lynch! As they have the issue of being extremely difficult to read, because of the two heads.

##Vote: SamuelLJackson

Also, as much as I love Chezinu, is anyone up for either policy lynching him or teaching me how the hell you get a grasp on his alignment? I enjoy his insanity, but its hardly conducive to figuring out his alignment.

Nah, you are only as strong as your weakest link. I'd be more scared of them as mafia using that logic. They have twice the time to analyze and I know they are both decent players, sandroba particularly can be a good scum hunter sometimes.

I am a bit curious how my name got into your first post gman <3 and that's the thing about chezinu. You never know and the mafia will rarely hit him because hes always a potential wasted lynch because he plays weird as shit and it becomes hard to actually develop a proper behavioral read off of him. If I was to policy lynch anyone it would be him because I find his play discernible either way which helps the mafia way more. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if he was actually the traitor right now, seems like something he might do to try to draw a quick mafia recruit on him and its not even that bad of an idea.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 20 2011 16:39 GMT
#245
Alright, can you guys please stop speculating on the set up and "triggers". Does this look like insane mafia? Does it look like closed casket mafia? It isn't a themed game, it's normal. You aren't going to say anything that's going to trigger some ridiculous mechanic that blows up half the town. I doubt there is anything anyone can do apart from activity queues that going to trigger some divine intervention.

We all know that role claiming is stupid though and can never be trusted. The mafia know what possible roles there are and how claiming only giving more information to them because they know whether your role exists or not. Inversely the mafia know which roles they can claim that likely exist and might get them support from other people who actually have the role. IE: IF I am getting lynched, I claim the specific medic role I know to exist, hopefully the other actual medics that are likely in the game realize that role exists and therefore believe I must have it.

So the only other punishable thing I could think of we should never have a need for, which is role claiming since it only hurts us. The mafia will never know if they killed a blue or not and I'd rather we kill the blue and the mafia are still scared of the potential of that blue still being alive, than know more likely than not that someone claimed medic before they were lynched, and they are likely to actually be a medic, meaning better chance sniping prominent figures isn't blocked.

So don't be dumb, if I fistpound palmar a nuke isn't going to go off somewhere.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 21 2011 00:52 GMT
#303
On December 21 2011 02:25 syllogism wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 21 2011 02:23 LSB wrote:
On December 21 2011 02:02 syllogism wrote:
On December 21 2011 02:00 LSB wrote:
On December 21 2011 01:53 syllogism wrote:
That is incorrect; for instance information roles have to role claim because the lack of role flips prevents us from just going through their post history in order to figure out their investigation results and such. Indeed the threat of night kill might make claiming relatively early worth considering, even if you only have town results. Similarly if a medic protects someone and gets lynched without claiming the protection, mafia can later on gamble and claim the protection. The latter is a bit far fetched scenario, but a strict no claiming strategy is not good. Actually another advantage is that it will be easier later on to determine whether certain claims make sense in terms of balance.

So you are saying we should all role claim right now?

No, are you saying you can't read?

I'm very confused. When you are saying
On December 21 2011 01:53 syllogism wrote:
That is incorrect

Is it in response to this statement?

On December 21 2011 01:52 LSB wrote:
On December 20 2011 19:15 Chezinu wrote:
On December 20 2011 19:04 SamuelLJackson wrote:
Yes it is.

Chezinu played just fine as Town in Personality, enough to make him a night 1 shot. IIRC he was playing fine in Closed Casket as Town as well.

The one game I remember him nonstop trolling and posting nothing but nonsense was LSB's game where he was 3rd party SK and claimed it day 1. Yeah it's early in day 1 and most people haven't even posted yet which is why I said if this is just some random nonsensical idea from him as Town then the onus is on him to start actually playing the game.

Listen Jack,

Town doesn't know the roles. Mafia does. What does this mean? If you have a crazy role to play, the mafia knows this. The town doesn't. However! There are some black roles out there and quite a few.. them mafia don't know about them except for that traitor other there. Here we are day 1 and it is so dark you might as well call it night and its going to be a long night for many of us are going to die.

It bound to come up. Role claiming. As much as I would love to claim a bank, I'm not. If people claim blue the mafia can spot lying townies. or lying blues claiming to be other blues.. oh wait.. thats a great idea! How about I act like a blue role claiming to be a different blue role to make the mafia think I'm a green or black claiming blue? yeah thats good. Ok guys. I got the nazi role.. if your grammar is so bad, I cna kills yous! But watch out, if you correct someone's grammar in the thread. There may be a role that is hunting them grammar nazis.. Ver is trying to turn us into professionals. Its his secret plan. so type dull proper structured formal long writings guys! oh and don't forget to have fun adhering to these rules to avoid certain deaths.. but don't forget you still have to deal with the lynches.

Just knowing the roles doesn't mean anything.
I can tell you there is probably a cop, doc, sk, vig, ect ect. What does that help you with? Night actions I guess.

There is a big difference between knowing who has who's role, and just knowing the list of roles. For example, if we knew that there was a traitor, we wouldn't do much. However if we knew that Chez was the traitor, that would be an easy day 1 lynch.

If not, what statement is it in response to?

If it is, are you defending chez's statement that people should straight out claim right now? Or are you introducing an obvious yet irrelevant point?

It was a response to RebirthOfLeGenD, who seemed to be advocating not claiming, ever

Your only reason is that if mafia actually gets a KP blocked by a medic or something and the medic doesn't claim they can fake the protect later or something assuming the person they failed to kill was
1. 100% protected and not a veteran, they can't be sure of this.
2. Still alive and knew they were protected. Some hosts have used a non inform on medic protects which can't be overlooked as a possibility.
3. That we would somehow also overlook that we don't know the mafia KP and that they could have some way to manipulate it in order to claim a hit.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 21 2011 21:19 GMT
#449
##Vote: Chezinu
Working on finals stuff. Consider it a placeholder if you will.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 05:15 GMT
#759
GM don't do it!
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 05:16 GMT
#760
On December 20 2011 07:34 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
You know, I guess that's one way of getting me to actually play in your game Ver ;P
But I guess I did verbally half commit!
Don't start this until the 23rd though, or you won't see me posting until then.

I refer you to this. I have been busy all semester and I literally just finished my last thing I had to do which was a 20 page research report. If you would like a copy of it you are more than welcome but killing me is a bad idea.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 05:23 GMT
#765
On December 23 2011 14:06 Foolishness wrote:
noooo not RoL! You could have shot bugs!

If I am right, he couldn't.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 05:33 GMT
#771

LSB (12): wherebugsgo, SamuelLJackson, Jackal58, BloodyC0bbler, VisceraEyes, syllogism, -VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Palmar, Foolishness, bumatlarge, Liquid`Sheth, GMarshal, -Liquid`Sheth, GGQ, prplhz, -Foolishness, Mr. Wiggles
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 05:39 GMT
#774
On December 23 2011 14:32 L wrote:
RE: Return

Alright, just got back from hours of crazy monkeysex. The night so far's been a gigantic, terrible cesspool as far as discussion quality goes. This is important:

Compare page 35, a typical night page: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=295384&currentpage=35
With
Page 17, a typical day page: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=295384&currentpage=17

I'm going to go back and write up a list of who pushed for who from day 1, because if night 1 is any indication, there's going to be a flood of shitty one liner posts and we're not going to be getting anywhere otherwise.

RE: Daypost
Just refreshed
Oh, I was right about Palmar? Figures. Good lord I'm good at this game. Some notes:

GM seems to have lied about his target in order to lessen the chance that his shot would be medic'd/intercepted/roleblocked/whatevered. His target was probably one of his greens to throw off suspicion, so he probably didn't shoot Jackal. Palmar's shot was claimed.

This means GM either shot VisceraEyes or SamuelLJackson

I'm gonna go back and look through his post list to see if he gave any indication of suspicion with respect to either of them.

I asked Ver, the timing off Gmarshal's post was at the deadline. There was no way for the mafia or medics to change actions when Gmarshal had posted that. I speculate he may have been some sort of suicide vigilante who wanted to make sure he could send out a message as he died without it affecting the game.

Read this:

So, I've sucked horribly and the fact that two of my coworkers decided not to show today really cut into my TL time. Be that as it may, a list of my reads, for reference if I misfire, and for reference if I hit. Consider it my apology for not being able to crank out a full fledged analytic post full of pictures. If I live, well then, this should be something to hold me to.

He's apologizing in case he dies. I am guessing he has some sort of conscience where if he doesn't target a mafia then he dies. This post reads like a last will and testament because GM knew he was going to die. This could also explain why I didn't die or get notified of getting hit at all. His hit is only successful if its on a mafia, or he dies instead. This would also fit nicely with the theme of the game too.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 05:40 GMT
#775
On December 23 2011 14:39 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2011 14:32 L wrote:
GM seems to have lied about his target in order to lessen the chance that his shot would be medic'd/intercepted/roleblocked/whatevered. His target was probably one of his greens to throw off suspicion, so he probably didn't shoot Jackal. Palmar's shot was claimed.

This means GM either shot VisceraEyes or SamuelLJackson

I'm gonna go back and look through his post list to see if he gave any indication of suspicion with respect to either of them.


If that was the case, why in the world would GM not inform us who he really shot after the 12:00 deadline? He had around 20 minutes to share who he really would have shot, during a time which the scum team wouldn't be able to change their actions. Are you purposely trying to shift focus away from RoL or something?

@RoL,did you receive any notification of receiving a hit?

I never received any notification.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 05:42 GMT
#776
Oh and this part.

Oh, I guess I should announce that I'm shooting RoL. I'm not having a repeat of TMM where he gets away with being busy till the endgame. If I'm wrong then on my head be it (and by that I mean I'll be horribly dead). I know there isn't strong analysis supporting it, but I just spent 3 1/2 hours writing this post/coming up with who to shoot, and I just don't have time to flesh out a fully detailed analysis on anyone before the deadline.

That would also explain why GM released all his reads. If you believe my analysis of this, then congrats. I am now confirmed town by GM's death, or at the very least, confirmed not mafia. If only he said specifically how his role worked, oh well.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 05:49 GMT
#779
On December 23 2011 14:48 Foolishness wrote:
I think RoL needs to go back and read the thread...

I am going to now actually, but what am I missing?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 06:16 GMT
#790
On December 23 2011 15:03 wherebugsgo wrote:
oh wait wtf RoL didn't die?

If GM shot at a townie does it mean he would kill both the townie and himself? Or would GM just die and the townie would live?

If GM would have simply died and RoL would've survived then we know nothing about RoL's alignment. However in the former case we have to lynch him.

The host isn't going to be able to answer that because he would be confirming roles in the game. And wow lol, why would you guys think Gmarshal was lying about who he hit if you knew what his claimed role was?

GM Couldn't of been roleblocked because then he wouldn't of been dead. So if he faked his hit to mislead mafia then changed it last minute to try to kill me and he was roleblocked then he wouldn't of killed himself, which means the mafia would of had to RB + hit him, which means there would be 4 hits unaccounted for, which is bad and probably not possible since we know someone claimed killing palmar, that would leave 4 other hits in mafia hands.

More likely, the mafia was going to let GM kill himself/whoever else since it wasn't them, and as a result GM hit me and killed himself because I am town aligned. This would leave 3 hits unaccounted which could be an SK kill and 2 mafia, or just mafia kills. Much more reasonable.

Either way, we can be certain that GM was NOT roleblocked, otherwise it leaves an absurd amount of KP unaccounted for, so he must of killed himself. Any other explanation would be elaborate as shit and confusing therefore, we defer to Occam's and we have our answer.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 06:18 GMT
#792
On December 23 2011 15:11 Foolishness wrote:
I'm fairly confident that if GM lied about who he shot then he breadcrumbed the real victim in his post.

I could see him doing that, but why would he lie? He knew actions were final at that point.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 06:42 GMT
#796
On December 23 2011 15:20 L wrote:
RE: People who argue like second graders.

Alright, here's a challenge to people who think GM did NOT lie about who he shot.

Give me a good explanation why every person who died, died. Do not bother trying to nitpick anything I've said until that point, otherwise it'll be pretty obvious that you're scum trying to muddy the waters because my analysis tells us WHO they shot, which allows us to go find out WHY.

I'll be waiting.

Annnnnd Go!

Alright, I read all their posts. To start off, one of the reasons I place holder'd on Chezinu was because I found him suspicious. I will elaborate on that a bit later.

But from what I read, here is how I imagine the mafia decided their hits. They hit SamuelJackson for two reasons I can think of, 1. Curu/Sandroba are both good players, and you are essentially killing two heads there. I explained earlier how mafia should be more scared of a hydra then the town should be. On top of this he was making some decent posts and he was virtually tunneling Chezinu all day 1 and didn't want to deal with his insanity. A lot of people put up with Chezinu's insanity because they are too lazy to read it and statistically there is only a 20-25% chance he is mafia, right?

So that's why I think they killed the Hydra.

Jackal58 becomes a bit more complicated, but simply put he was a bit active, he has a bit of a reputation and had no one really suspecting him. Not a terrible hit since he wasn't likely to be getting protection either.

VE was a bit more complicated but I have two reasons. He was really active and seemed to be kind of making sense, at least compared to what I remember of him. But more importantly this post probably sealed his fate.
On December 22 2011 11:59 VisceraEyes wrote:
Sheth I swear to Christ if you don't put your vote back on LSB something horrifying is going to happen to you overnight.

Which brings me to my next question.
What's up Sheth?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 06:45 GMT
#799
On December 23 2011 15:33 L wrote:
RE: Chaoser

Just to make your life harder, I just remembered this post:

Show nested quote +
On December 22 2011 11:49 LSB wrote:
Because Ver would defiantly put a duplicate of the same role in a game....

Wana test? I'll shoot you tonight if you wish, if you're town, we both die, if your mafia, you're probably too scared to face my shot


A shot on a townie kills both.

You're claiming have mafia with 3 kp, still don't know why Jackal died and now can't explain why RoL isn't dead.

Try again.

They were both town... they both claimed different roles. It's possible there is more than one variant on a vigilante in this game. Unless you are saying LSB fake claimed for some retarded reason and just never corrected himself, and that Gmarshal also fake claimed.

But why the hell would they both lie? L that is so convoluted and ridiculous. They both most likely told the truth and they probably had different roles. I dunno why GM assumed LSB had to be lying, it would be a silly mafia fake claim.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 16:20 GMT
#816
On December 23 2011 16:32 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2011 15:42 chaoser wrote:
Ok, you bring up a good point. I'll have to retread the whole claiming part of day 1 tomorrow but I still don't understand why gm would feel the need to lie at midnight, when all the actions have been set in stone and a lie would just confuse the town instead of being clean and simple. I feel like a more valid reason for the kills would be that a bus driver bussed his kill but that's also just speculation.

RE: Bus driver

Bus driver's possible, but the end result with respect to who mafia killed doesn't change, so it becomes entirely irrelevant whether or not he lied, only whether or not he shot Visc. If anyone bussed Visc/RoL they're either delusional or mafia, which means mafia has a bus driver.

Which means this game is fucking broken. We can't call shots to confirm anyone. Roles like GM and LSB's can be rerouted with mafia knowledge of who's innocent to change a shot against mafia to a double townie kill. The only way of obtaining proper information about a shooter would be to have at least 3 people shoot during a night.

But that's kinda beyond the fact. A driver is an assured +3 for mafia with a single night action. I hope you recognize that even hatters typically don't have that much firepower (3 bomb hatters are a +2 swing and take the entire game to set up). The only night action I've seen do more than a 3 kill swing for a team was the Murrayitis plague, but there were at least five plague related roles acting across 3-4(5?) days in the game that had to engineer the beautiful destruction that we set up for that one.

RE: RoL

I'm not claiming EITHER lied about their role. If LSB's role wasn't the same as GM's GM wouldn't have had a need to continue pushing him and would have said "oh shit, we DONT have the same role". But that's not the case.

Nothing in ANY of LSBs or GMs post indicate that their vig shots do not work vs townies, with LSB basing his plea on the very fact that it does. GM replied to this very point without commenting on it.

RE: GGQ

So, you have VE shooting GM, who would die or confirm himself as green during the night. No. You also have 3 mafia KP per day which leads to LyLo on day 2 with a single missed justice vig. Double No.

I don't like what you are doing. Its blatant fear mongering with insane theorizing behind this games set up. We can assume the mafia probably has a RB, and probably a GF, at most I'd give them one more power role which would probably be a medic which would encourage the idea of responsibility by allowing the mafia to punish the town trying to coordinate publicly. A bus driver makes the game crazy on so many levels while serving the same effect that a medic would by allowing them to disrupt hits, but would do it in a much more destructive manner.

You go even farther to say that there must be a bus driver and this game is fucked. Stop talking about crazy shit and be productive, I will just kill you if I see you fear mongering and not being productive one more time, its scummy as shit L and its not going to fly.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 16:30 GMT
#817
On December 23 2011 18:41 prplhz wrote:
Hey guys

I like GGQ's explanation of night actions. VisceraEyes bombed bumatlarge in Election Mafia on a somewhat flimsy reasonable, he's crazy like that. I think he shot GMarshal. I don't think mafia would shoot VisceraEyes on day1, which is why VisceraEyes shouldn't shoot on day1 if he's blue but again, he's crazy like that.

I think GMarshal was roleblocked last night, because who else would mafia roleblock? If he was roleblocked and he survived there could have been massive chaos day2 and he's a claimed blue who said he'd shoot somebody in the face, scum knows that he isn't kidding around so he's absolutely their best target for roleblock. I think that Chezinu is lying about his roleblock, consequently making him mafia. What do you guys think about that?

I'd post more about him but he's kinda hard to read you know.

Read the game...
If GM was roleblocked and hit that leaves 4 hits for the mafia/unclaimed, which is way too high. If GM was roleblocked he wouldn't of died because it would block both his hit and his suicide, not just the hit. The mafia know this assuming they are literate and since they thought he was going to hit a townie why would they roleblock GM since it would result in his death anyway? Hint: They wouldn't.

I don't even know what to say to this anymore. A bit scummy?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 19:19 GMT
#821
On December 24 2011 03:06 prplhz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2011 01:30 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On December 23 2011 18:41 prplhz wrote:
Hey guys

I like GGQ's explanation of night actions. VisceraEyes bombed bumatlarge in Election Mafia on a somewhat flimsy reasonable, he's crazy like that. I think he shot GMarshal. I don't think mafia would shoot VisceraEyes on day1, which is why VisceraEyes shouldn't shoot on day1 if he's blue but again, he's crazy like that.

I think GMarshal was roleblocked last night, because who else would mafia roleblock? If he was roleblocked and he survived there could have been massive chaos day2 and he's a claimed blue who said he'd shoot somebody in the face, scum knows that he isn't kidding around so he's absolutely their best target for roleblock. I think that Chezinu is lying about his roleblock, consequently making him mafia. What do you guys think about that?

I'd post more about him but he's kinda hard to read you know.

Read the game...
If GM was roleblocked and hit that leaves 4 hits for the mafia/unclaimed, which is way too high. If GM was roleblocked he wouldn't of died because it would block both his hit and his suicide, not just the hit. The mafia know this assuming they are literate and since they thought he was going to hit a townie why would they roleblock GM since it would result in his death anyway? Hint: They wouldn't.

I don't even know what to say to this anymore. A bit scummy?

I was in PYP:Insane that Protactinium hosted who was part Ver as I understood it. That game had a role called dreamflower that worked kinda like the vigilantes we've seen so far in this game. I really wanted this role so I asked a lot of questions about it and dreamflower only died from hitting someone, if they actually flipped town. Combined with what LSB said, I am going to assume it works like that in this game too. Also, GMarshal told people about his hits at 14:00KST which would leave no room for scum to organize their actions based on what he said. Therefore he did not lie and therefore scum would only know who he was going to hit, too late to change their own actions.

This means that GMarshal was roleblocked, or that his target was magically protected by a medic but the latter I find extremely unlikely.

VisceraEyes voted GMarshal during the whole claim/counterclaim thing, because VisceraEyes thought it was weird that there was another role like his (LSB) but even weirder that there was a third role. I don't really think this is too weird.

I don't think that VisceraEyes was killed by town because he was obvious townie (why aren't you all obvious townies?) and I don't think that VisceraEyes was killed by scum because I don't think scum considered him to be a huge threat. I think it is likely that VisceraEyes shot somebody because he's a crazy man who does stuff like that.

Palmar was shot by chaoser, GMarshal was shot by VisceraEyes who had to take responsibility for shooting a townie and died himself. Jackal58 and SamuelLJackson were shot by mafia. This means that the 4 mafia players have 2 hits, which doesn't sound unlikely to me. Sorry if I was unclear about this in my first post. This seems like the simplest explanation to me, any other explanation that assumes that GMarshal flipped himself by hitting you or assumes that GMarshal lied about his claim in his 14:00KST post seems very unlikely to me.

I'd much rather assume that VisceraEyes was a responsibility vig than I would assume that GMarshal lied or that GMarshal would flip even without getting hit.


Now did you read the thread? You say here that you are speculating that GMarshal might have been some sort of suicide vigilante, after he had claimed suicide vigilante in the thread. Can you tell me why you are only speculating, that a confirmed townie who claimed suicide vig in thread, might be a suicide vig? "I'm guessing he has some sort of conscience", well the guy said that in this very thread! Did you read the thread?

Are you saying that I am scum or what?


I'd actually much rather continue pushing BloodyC0bbler because night hit analysis of this magnitude is bound to have a huge error margin, that's why we can't really agree. wherebugsgo's defense of BloodyC0bbler has been "Yea, but WIFOM?", attacking the one argument that I said was very debatable, and pointing out that a traitor supported it. I thought about how traitors should act, and I don't think they're going to act overly scummy in hopes that scum will find them. They're probably going to act kinda townie while never pushing to get a scum lynched, and then make a guess at the remaining mafia when they have 2 shots and only have to hit 1. If they act scummy, then they get lynched (or shot in the face). I am uncertain as to whether my case was actually good or bad because only wherebugsgo and VisceraEyes ever really commented on it.

Right now only me and wherebugsgo are actually trying to say who we find scummy, maybe somebody else could chime in at some point in a non-wishy-washy manner.

I said I had not been current up until that point. Your scenario fails to explain why I am not dead, nor was I notified of any hit or protection. You are making some insane scenario to explain the night hits. Gmarshal killed himself. Why would you speculate VE was also the same type of vigi, and if so why the fuck would he hit GM?

I am not wasting time responding to you on this anymore, it is a complete waste of time.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 23 2011 20:46 GMT
#832
On December 24 2011 04:57 GGQ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2011 04:19 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On December 24 2011 03:06 prplhz wrote:
On December 24 2011 01:30 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On December 23 2011 18:41 prplhz wrote:
Hey guys

I like GGQ's explanation of night actions. VisceraEyes bombed bumatlarge in Election Mafia on a somewhat flimsy reasonable, he's crazy like that. I think he shot GMarshal. I don't think mafia would shoot VisceraEyes on day1, which is why VisceraEyes shouldn't shoot on day1 if he's blue but again, he's crazy like that.

I think GMarshal was roleblocked last night, because who else would mafia roleblock? If he was roleblocked and he survived there could have been massive chaos day2 and he's a claimed blue who said he'd shoot somebody in the face, scum knows that he isn't kidding around so he's absolutely their best target for roleblock. I think that Chezinu is lying about his roleblock, consequently making him mafia. What do you guys think about that?

I'd post more about him but he's kinda hard to read you know.

Read the game...
If GM was roleblocked and hit that leaves 4 hits for the mafia/unclaimed, which is way too high. If GM was roleblocked he wouldn't of died because it would block both his hit and his suicide, not just the hit. The mafia know this assuming they are literate and since they thought he was going to hit a townie why would they roleblock GM since it would result in his death anyway? Hint: They wouldn't.

I don't even know what to say to this anymore. A bit scummy?

I was in PYP:Insane that Protactinium hosted who was part Ver as I understood it. That game had a role called dreamflower that worked kinda like the vigilantes we've seen so far in this game. I really wanted this role so I asked a lot of questions about it and dreamflower only died from hitting someone, if they actually flipped town. Combined with what LSB said, I am going to assume it works like that in this game too. Also, GMarshal told people about his hits at 14:00KST which would leave no room for scum to organize their actions based on what he said. Therefore he did not lie and therefore scum would only know who he was going to hit, too late to change their own actions.

This means that GMarshal was roleblocked, or that his target was magically protected by a medic but the latter I find extremely unlikely.

VisceraEyes voted GMarshal during the whole claim/counterclaim thing, because VisceraEyes thought it was weird that there was another role like his (LSB) but even weirder that there was a third role. I don't really think this is too weird.

I don't think that VisceraEyes was killed by town because he was obvious townie (why aren't you all obvious townies?) and I don't think that VisceraEyes was killed by scum because I don't think scum considered him to be a huge threat. I think it is likely that VisceraEyes shot somebody because he's a crazy man who does stuff like that.

Palmar was shot by chaoser, GMarshal was shot by VisceraEyes who had to take responsibility for shooting a townie and died himself. Jackal58 and SamuelLJackson were shot by mafia. This means that the 4 mafia players have 2 hits, which doesn't sound unlikely to me. Sorry if I was unclear about this in my first post. This seems like the simplest explanation to me, any other explanation that assumes that GMarshal flipped himself by hitting you or assumes that GMarshal lied about his claim in his 14:00KST post seems very unlikely to me.

I'd much rather assume that VisceraEyes was a responsibility vig than I would assume that GMarshal lied or that GMarshal would flip even without getting hit.


Now did you read the thread? You say here that you are speculating that GMarshal might have been some sort of suicide vigilante, after he had claimed suicide vigilante in the thread. Can you tell me why you are only speculating, that a confirmed townie who claimed suicide vig in thread, might be a suicide vig? "I'm guessing he has some sort of conscience", well the guy said that in this very thread! Did you read the thread?

Are you saying that I am scum or what?


I'd actually much rather continue pushing BloodyC0bbler because night hit analysis of this magnitude is bound to have a huge error margin, that's why we can't really agree. wherebugsgo's defense of BloodyC0bbler has been "Yea, but WIFOM?", attacking the one argument that I said was very debatable, and pointing out that a traitor supported it. I thought about how traitors should act, and I don't think they're going to act overly scummy in hopes that scum will find them. They're probably going to act kinda townie while never pushing to get a scum lynched, and then make a guess at the remaining mafia when they have 2 shots and only have to hit 1. If they act scummy, then they get lynched (or shot in the face). I am uncertain as to whether my case was actually good or bad because only wherebugsgo and VisceraEyes ever really commented on it.

Right now only me and wherebugsgo are actually trying to say who we find scummy, maybe somebody else could chime in at some point in a non-wishy-washy manner.

I said I had not been current up until that point. Your scenario fails to explain why I am not dead, nor was I notified of any hit or protection. You are making some insane scenario to explain the night hits. Gmarshal killed himself. Why would you speculate VE was also the same type of vigi, and if so why the fuck would he hit GM?

I am not wasting time responding to you on this anymore, it is a complete waste of time.


You are obviously not reading very carefully at all, or you are purposefully misunderstanding. His (my) scenario explains why you are not dead; Gmarshal was roleblocked.

Are you subscribing to the explanation that GMarshal shot VE (or possibly jackal or hydra), after claiming he shot you in a post after the deadline? How do you explain this?

Or do you think he died for trying to shoot you? In that case, what is your explanation for being alive and not receiving notification of a protection?

I explained I think he kills himself if he targets town. If GM was roleblocked then he wouldn't of killed himself. VE killing Gmarshal assumes VE is a a vigi and that he hit him, two things we have no reason to believe.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 24 2011 00:25 GMT
#850
On December 24 2011 07:33 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2011 01:20 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On December 23 2011 16:32 L wrote:
On December 23 2011 15:42 chaoser wrote:
Ok, you bring up a good point. I'll have to retread the whole claiming part of day 1 tomorrow but I still don't understand why gm would feel the need to lie at midnight, when all the actions have been set in stone and a lie would just confuse the town instead of being clean and simple. I feel like a more valid reason for the kills would be that a bus driver bussed his kill but that's also just speculation.

RE: Bus driver

Bus driver's possible, but the end result with respect to who mafia killed doesn't change, so it becomes entirely irrelevant whether or not he lied, only whether or not he shot Visc. If anyone bussed Visc/RoL they're either delusional or mafia, which means mafia has a bus driver.

Which means this game is fucking broken. We can't call shots to confirm anyone. Roles like GM and LSB's can be rerouted with mafia knowledge of who's innocent to change a shot against mafia to a double townie kill. The only way of obtaining proper information about a shooter would be to have at least 3 people shoot during a night.

But that's kinda beyond the fact. A driver is an assured +3 for mafia with a single night action. I hope you recognize that even hatters typically don't have that much firepower (3 bomb hatters are a +2 swing and take the entire game to set up). The only night action I've seen do more than a 3 kill swing for a team was the Murrayitis plague, but there were at least five plague related roles acting across 3-4(5?) days in the game that had to engineer the beautiful destruction that we set up for that one.

RE: RoL

I'm not claiming EITHER lied about their role. If LSB's role wasn't the same as GM's GM wouldn't have had a need to continue pushing him and would have said "oh shit, we DONT have the same role". But that's not the case.

Nothing in ANY of LSBs or GMs post indicate that their vig shots do not work vs townies, with LSB basing his plea on the very fact that it does. GM replied to this very point without commenting on it.

RE: GGQ

So, you have VE shooting GM, who would die or confirm himself as green during the night. No. You also have 3 mafia KP per day which leads to LyLo on day 2 with a single missed justice vig. Double No.

I don't like what you are doing. Its blatant fear mongering with insane theorizing behind this games set up. We can assume the mafia probably has a RB, and probably a GF, at most I'd give them one more power role which would probably be a medic which would encourage the idea of responsibility by allowing the mafia to punish the town trying to coordinate publicly. A bus driver makes the game crazy on so many levels while serving the same effect that a medic would by allowing them to disrupt hits, but would do it in a much more destructive manner.

You go even farther to say that there must be a bus driver and this game is fucked. Stop talking about crazy shit and be productive, I will just kill you if I see you fear mongering and not being productive one more time, its scummy as shit L and its not going to fly.


RE: You
RoL, there's a difference between mildly not understanding logic and implying that I'm saying the opposite of what I'm saying.

I said there CANNOT be a bus, specifically on the mafia team, because given the roles that have been claimed thus far it would be off the charts ridiculously powerful.

Seriously, what the shit.

Why are you even talking about it then? No one mentioned it to begin with, the way you were wording it was strange and I see what you meant but why are you even analyzing what the fuck could of happened so hard? You are talking about elaborate scenarios that have no relevance.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 24 2011 23:33 GMT
#871
Alright well, time to be productive. Sorry guys, I have been lazy and hesitant and whether or not to do this analysis.

BC is scum. So I have arrived at this from three points of analysis which I will go into detail about. But first, an overview. BC hasn't done shit all game, was a bit defensive in his posting and overall didn't really do much. He just posted some generic text blocks to fulfill minimum requirements. The second point is the previous night hits which I can explain, and thirdly his place on the voting list for the LSB lynch and him basically sheeping the vote.

Part I: Posting
BC has basically done nothing all game, as I am sure most of you know. He does play a tight game and I don't believe without much posting we can easily see a developing scum agenda, but I feel this is enough to work on for now.
On December 21 2011 13:15 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
OK, this game is seriously wtf balls at the moment. To state a few things after my quick read through the thread. Bum and chez regardless of alignment have actively helped people regardless of what people may or may not believe. Their posts illustrate what I am saying. If you cannot find it now it will become apparent later.

As for the general play of this game. It is responsibility mafia. This should just mean Ver has made a game that is designed to stop blatant asshattery. Playing badly will get punished is the general take.

Now one point of this game that has me instantly glued to is the whole idea of RNG day 1 lynch. L is saying its anti town to base an initial lynch off it while palmar believes it is pro town. Guess what? L is right, Palmar is wrong.

RNG the person who is lynched gives no real onus to the player or players responsible for the name being brought up and then lynched. In a game with a no flip on role mechanic will also not let us glean information about the games setup. Since the advantage of discussing lynch choices day 1 is forcing people to take a stand via analysis not luck. If you analyze player x and they flip town you look slightly bad. If the logic used was poor then information was garnered on the accuser.

If you RNG a day 1 lynch it is a crap shot and you learn near nothing from the lynch except the few peoples stance on RNG who started the process.

Now as Palmar is pushing an obvious shitty play I will quote something of his.

Show nested quote +
On December 20 2011 08:05 Palmar wrote:
Alright people, let's make this a game worth referencing to new people if they want to see how mafia should be played.

No lazy posting, no bullshit.



Step your game up, for your post you have a filter of terribly uninspired posts talking about very neutral topics.

Some generic advice, a soft defense of Chezinu. Makes some easy, concise statements without really taking any inflammatory or controversial stance. Yeah, RNG is retarded. Mildly attacks palmar and just says step up his game.

On December 22 2011 06:39 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 21 2011 18:53 Palmar wrote:
Are you around for a bit syllo? I really need someone to talk to.

Yes I do agree that GM would be a pretty good lynch today. I tried to get him to explain why all he had to offer was policy lynches but he hasn't posted since. I don't think we should be lynching prplhz though, he's marginally more useful than most people in this thread.

Did you notice that BloodyC0bbler came into the thread and the one thing he focused on was the RNG idea, something that had been out of the discussion for a long while by then. I still believe it's a good idea if a town would roll with it from the start, but at the point his post is completely irrelevant to the discussion, to the point that this post is basically a huge pile of nothing. We know absolutely nothing about BC from that one post.

In addition I've had a problem with L's posting since the very beginning, I don't know if this was how you posted back when he was playing but in today's environment that's almost enough to just lynch him by default.

And finally, what do you think about WBG's case on LSB? Do you agree with me that it felt a bit forced, especially the part where he basically flat out accused LSB of being a SK?



Did anyone notice that aside from a post about rng, random accusations with no merit and posting random fluff posts talking generalities about things Palmar had provided nothing of any substance in any town way, including this post? Hell up to this post most of them were total spam posts.

Has anyone noticed he made a few more fluff posts then followed it up on a case against GM for wanting to policy lynch a Hydra? Account sharers have proven to ruin games and have an advantage other players don't. Starting a game off before any information is gleaned by saying "lets off the hydras" is not a terrible post. Had he been actively pushing it and bullying people to do so maybe.

He then makes a post to "further incriminate" gm then again attacks me based off my post I made saying that I only covered 3 points. One of those points is "vague" to only players who aren't seriously reading this thread, one point was on talking about something that was so obviously scummy and was something palmar said was pro town (its not) that I had to comment. Even if someone says something ages before you post, if it scummy you comment on it. People do not get a free pass on old comments.

I then told him to stop making vague posts. He was doing so till that point and only started giving somewhat non shite posts after I called him out. So apparently 3 valid points.


Now, I only respond to these posts as he was tossing shit my way for my play. Up until I called him out Palmar was playing like shite. However he is actively playing so I am inclined to let him continue posting to give us a better read on him.

As for the game at hand as it is now. LSB should be hanged. Anyone go filter him. He hasn't really defended himself at all from any heat given, nor has he provided any real analysis on anyone. Near every post of his seems to be quoting people asking questions of clarification on shite rather than contributing in any meaningful manner. Near none of his posts say fuck all about himself and most of them are short as the "long ones" are only long due to quote usage.

So until he comes out with anything substantial to keep him alive im voting him.

##vote lsb

Comes in basically just to defend himself, then writes a little bit and votes LSB. I will explain the relevance of this in the next section.

Part II: The Hits
Now let's look at the previous nights hits.
On December 23 2011 14:19 Ver wrote:
[image loading]

Day 2


SamuelLJackson's attempt to drink soup through one head and spit it out through the other backfired.
Jackal58 was flattened out by a bowling ball.
VisceraEyes found out that drinking hot soup out of a wine glass produces disastrous results.
GMarshal found out that it was a bad idea to enlist in the Nazi army.
Palmar was ejected into outer space and asphixiated.




Day 2 is extended by 24 hours and ends at Sun Dec 25 05:00 GMT (+00:00)

We have 5 dead, two hits we can reasonably explain. Chaoser claimed killing Palmar who could be a traitor/third party according to the rules and Gmarshal killing himself by hitting me. So that leaves 3, VE, Jackal58, and SamuelLJackson (Curu/Sandroba).

Assuming BC is more active behind the scenes I can easily explain at least two of these hits and having played a bunch with BC I have seen him use these justifications before for hits. Let me show a post I made earlier when L asked me to explain the hits assuming GM didn't get hit.

On December 23 2011 15:42 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2011 15:20 L wrote:
RE: People who argue like second graders.

Alright, here's a challenge to people who think GM did NOT lie about who he shot.

Give me a good explanation why every person who died, died. Do not bother trying to nitpick anything I've said until that point, otherwise it'll be pretty obvious that you're scum trying to muddy the waters because my analysis tells us WHO they shot, which allows us to go find out WHY.

I'll be waiting.

Annnnnd Go!

Alright, I read all their posts. To start off, one of the reasons I place holder'd on Chezinu was because I found him suspicious. I will elaborate on that a bit later.

But from what I read, here is how I imagine the mafia decided their hits. They hit SamuelJackson for two reasons I can think of, 1. Curu/Sandroba are both good players, and you are essentially killing two heads there. I explained earlier how mafia should be more scared of a hydra then the town should be. On top of this he was making some decent posts and he was virtually tunneling Chezinu all day 1 and didn't want to deal with his insanity. A lot of people put up with Chezinu's insanity because they are too lazy to read it and statistically there is only a 20-25% chance he is mafia, right?

So that's why I think they killed the Hydra.

Jackal58 becomes a bit more complicated, but simply put he was a bit active, he has a bit of a reputation and had no one really suspecting him. Not a terrible hit since he wasn't likely to be getting protection either.

VE was a bit more complicated but I have two reasons. He was really active and seemed to be kind of making sense, at least compared to what I remember of him. But more importantly this post probably sealed his fate.
Show nested quote +
On December 22 2011 11:59 VisceraEyes wrote:
Sheth I swear to Christ if you don't put your vote back on LSB something horrifying is going to happen to you overnight.

Which brings me to my next question.
What's up Sheth?

In many games I have played with BC I have seen him shoot someone based off some soft claim. VisceraEyes threatened someone in thread and said he would perform a night action on them, implying he has a blue role of some sort.
On December 22 2011 11:59 VisceraEyes wrote:
Sheth I swear to Christ if you don't put your vote back on LSB something horrifying is going to happen to you overnight.

This is a prime example of that and while other people I am sure would use that rationale to justify a hit, I know I have seen BC do it in at least two games. Specifically in FlameWheel's game he used to to justify a hit on Mataza because he hinted medic in thread (but was vet), another time was when we played mafia, its how he created a blue snipe list. I can't recall the specific game and I'm not going to try to figure it out. Lastly, VE also suspected BC which I am sure might of made the decision a bit easier.

The next hit is Sandroba/Curu. This as I explained earlier was mafia fear of two heads which made the hit made sense. Furthermore they were both playing pretty well. But most importantly was BC knows Sandroba is fucking good. When we played in FlameWheel's game I got pinned in some retarded trap by Sandroba/Mataza where they thought they leaked info to me and thought I would respond by killing them both to cover my ass. What actually happened was Sandroba got drunk and told BC his scum suspects, which amounted to the entire scum team minus BC. Sandroba had NEVER posted that list publicly or told me or Mataza. That night BC killed Sandroba and hit Mataza thinking he would kill a blue in Mataza, and a dangerous player in Sandroba.

Part III: The Lynch
On December 22 2011 14:12 Ver wrote:
Night 1

[image loading]


After much rioting and dueling, things finally settled down as LSB was meekly led to the noose. The crowd eagerly gathered around to see a happy spectacle. However, their hopes were dashed as LSB the innocent was lynched!




Night Actions are due by 05:00 GMT (+00:00) tomorrow.

Day 1 Final Votecount


Show nested quote +
On December 17 2011 12:44 ZBot wrote:
Day 1 Vote Count


With 20 alive, it takes 11 to lynch.


Current votes:

LSB (12): wherebugsgo, SamuelLJackson, Jackal58, BloodyC0bbler, VisceraEyes, syllogism, -VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Palmar, Foolishness, bumatlarge, Liquid`Sheth, GMarshal, -Liquid`Sheth, GGQ, prplhz, -Foolishness, Mr. Wiggles

GMarshal (2): Palmar, -Palmar, GGQ, VisceraEyes, -VisceraEyes, kitaman27, Liquid`Sheth, -GGQ, Foolishness, Mr. Wiggles, -kitaman27, -Mr. Wiggles

L (1): chaoser, Palmar, -Palmar

Palmar (1): VisceraEyes, -VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Chezinu, bumatlarge, -VisceraEyes, L, -bumatlarge, -Chezinu

Foolishness (1): VisceraEyes, -VisceraEyes, kitaman27

SamuelLJackson (1): GMarshal, bumatlarge, Chezinu, VisceraEyes, -bumatlarge, -VisceraEyes, -Chezinu, LSB, -GMarshal, -LSB, Chezinu

Chezinu (1): RebirthOfLeGenD

VisceraEyes (1): prplhz, LSB, -prplhz

kitaman27 (0): GMarshal, -GMarshal

BloodyC0bbler (0): Mr. Wiggles, -Mr. Wiggles

Liquid`Sheth (0): kitaman27, -kitaman27

Voting ends at December 22 2011 14:00. (It's over.)


Here is where I think the mafia made a big mistake.
On December 23 2011 14:33 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Show nested quote +

LSB (12): wherebugsgo, SamuelLJackson, Jackal58, BloodyC0bbler, VisceraEyes, syllogism, -VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Palmar, Foolishness, bumatlarge, Liquid`Sheth, GMarshal, -Liquid`Sheth, GGQ, prplhz, -Foolishness, Mr. Wiggles

They killed half the people who voted for LSB. Using basic reasoning, we can assume that the LSB wagon most likely has a couple of scum on it. Knowing a wagon is going to kill a townie, they most likely sheeped it or didn't comment much. BC Did just that.

However, the sheep vote isn't the worst part since it could be argued BC was one of the first few voters on and just wasn't around to change his vote, but that is precisely why its scummy. I believe wholeheartedly BC probably read the thread and chose to not comment or try to change his vote because it was beneficial to his win condition as mafia. He can thus claim inactivity and not draw speculation. In this sense, he is conspicuous by his act of silence and his convenient inactivity.

To stress this further, the third or fourth person on a lynch is most likely scum, assuming the lynch hits a townie. BC falls right into that category.


So there you have it. BC is scum, 3 times isn't a coincidence, its an enemy action. No contribution, fishy voting, hit analysis. It all points to BC.

##Vote: BloodyC0bbler
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 25 2011 08:13 GMT
#883
On December 25 2011 12:11 bumatlarge wrote:
I don't think that's very strong, Alot of those things seem very coincidental. The voting in particular seems very pushed, 12 people were on it, and the "third-fourth voter is scum thing" doesn't do a lot to convince me.

Mostly cause Wiggles immediately jumped on it. A lot of people are legitimately busy, and the analysisis appreciated, but BC being inactive because it's his diabolic scum plot doesn't sit right with me.

His initial posts and the night-hits make sense if he was scum though, so I'll be open to switch f we need to get a lynch through. Otherwise I'll be focusing on Wiggles.

http://mafiascum.net/wiki/index.php?title=Mastin's_Insane_Tells#Mit_.23_2--Bandwagonning_Early_On
http://mafiascum.net/wiki/index.php?title=JEEP's_Tells_for_Finding_Mafia
It makes sense for voting, It has to due with his voting range and the convenience of not being around.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 25 2011 08:14 GMT
#884
On December 25 2011 13:55 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
still busy with xmas shit, but to add in the one piece of information I can add that is relevant to this entire thing.

I shot GM. Be back in a bit or sometime tommorrow.

Cool, why claim this now? Why would you even hit GM? There was a good chance he would die regardless since his role involved killing scum or dying.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 26 2011 06:36 GMT
#893
Why did it take so long, and that is your only reason for shooting him? The mafia would either have to not RB anyone, RB people they are killing if GM was scum and wanted to do that or he would be counterclaimed instantly and die. You aren't stupid, how long could he keep an "I got RBed" charade up? Not long if at all. Even if the mafia did the RB + hit on people I doubt Veterans are effected in this set up because I don't think Ver has ever done that, and a medic could still save a target they RB + hit.

Would a RB negate Veteran status if veterans hypothetically existed in this set up?

You had to have another reason to hit GM, and for what reason could you only hit GM?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 26 2011 06:38 GMT
#894
Imo, you are only claiming a hit that won't get counterclaimed because GM most likely killed himself as a result of his role.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 26 2011 16:31 GMT
#896
Can we get some more activity up in this bitch?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 27 2011 01:17 GMT
#899
On December 27 2011 08:07 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2011 00:45 syllogism wrote:
BC can you full claim; for some reason you didn't despite being asked to earlier. I find it curious that you found it a good idea to "waste" your shot like that in the light of your filter suggesting that you were suspicious of Palmar who had been pushing GM for most of day 1.

##vote BloodyC0bbler


I couldn't shoot palmar or I would have. Before lsb was lynched I was able to shoot him as well but with his lynch that became impossible.

Near every kp role in this game as a trigger from what I can tell so far and until the conditions have been met you can't use your powers. Plain and simple.

Interesting considering that we as town actually don't any of the roles as fact, but the mafia does.
gg~
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 27 2011 01:17 GMT
#900

On December 27 2011 08:07 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2011 00:45 syllogism wrote:
BC can you full claim; for some reason you didn't despite being asked to earlier. I find it curious that you found it a good idea to "waste" your shot like that in the light of your filter suggesting that you were suspicious of Palmar who had been pushing GM for most of day 1.

##vote BloodyC0bbler


I couldn't shoot palmar or I would have. Before lsb was lynched I was able to shoot him as well but with his lynch that became impossible.

Near every kp role in this game as a trigger from what I can tell so far and until the conditions have been met you can't use your powers. Plain and simple.

Interesting considering that we as town actually don't know any of the roles as fact, but the mafia does.
gg~
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 27 2011 01:40 GMT
#902
So you thought GM was town and believed his claim but shot him? Or after the fact you now believe him? Either way you inferred absolute knowledge which none of us should have or feel comfortable saying we have. But as I said before, everything you claimed has been too convenient.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 27 2011 06:46 GMT
#921
On December 27 2011 15:30 Foolishness wrote:
Hey RoL, got a big question for you:

Show nested quote +
On December 25 2011 08:33 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
We have 5 dead, two hits we can reasonably explain. Chaoser claimed killing Palmar who could be a traitor/third party according to the rules and Gmarshal killing himself by hitting me. So that leaves 3, VE, Jackal58, and SamuelLJackson (Curu/Sandroba).

You claimed that you did not take a hit last night.

LSB confirmed that if he shoots a green both the green and him die.

Thus you should be dead, as GM dying is accounted for now.

But I am also curious why you would say what I highlighted in your post if you were town. Seems like you wrote that because you have extra information on some sort of night events happening.

LSB didn't hit me, Gmarshal did. They could feasibly have different roles, GM never said to the contrary.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 27 2011 07:03 GMT
#923
Where did they post and compare exact role PMs? Last time I checked that's not allowed. Either way, I can only explain it as I did. I didn't take a hit and if I were scum we wouldn't of been able to change medic protection from whoever to me by the time GM posted who he was going to kill.

You could pretend mafia RBed GM and killed him, but that would leave quite a few hits unexplained. Do you believe BC's claim, or what flaws do you see with my analysis of him? What else makes you think I am scum?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 28 2011 00:34 GMT
#929
On December 28 2011 06:13 Foolishness wrote:
The other day I thought that BC was red, but his claim makes a lot of sense.

Why RoL is still alive is the biggest problem at the moment. If GM breadcrumbed his real target (which most people seem to think he didn't) I haven't been able to figure out the real target.

Pretend that you are RoL and you are mafia. You got shot last night but you survived due to whatever reason (medic, veteran, etc). What would you say in the thread? You are highly suspicious cause you were inactive day 1, so claiming that you took a hit isn't going to do anything for you since it will just make the town lynch you anyways. But if you claim that nothing happened to you during the night, suddenly you might be saved since everyone is now distracted with what really happened during the night. And perhaps GM's suspicions of you were just a farce to hide his real shot.

We should still kill bugs at some point though.

I guess we will know tomorrow, won't we?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 28 2011 01:40 GMT
#932
On December 28 2011 10:04 prplhz wrote:
@Foolishness

Why did you not change your vote to BloodyC0bbler then? You didn't push wherebugsgo very hard either, it was one post that might have attracted attention, but nobody really picked up the ball from there. Are you telling me that you thought that your vote was more well placed on wherebugsgo than on BloodyC0bbler, who had a lot more votes and who you also thought was scum? If you still think we should lynch wherebugsgo, then why didn't you push him harder yesterday? What did you do yesterday?

Why does his claim making sense make him blue instead of red? He claimed 48 hours into the day, he absolutely knew that there would be no counter claims. So far, we have had three vigilantes claim, BloodyC0bbler should absolutely know that with this many vigilantes, any vigilante most likely does not have two shots and so they have no reasons not to tell town about their shots as soon as possible. Why does this claim make him blue instead of red? Considering this and how close he was to getting lynched yesterday, a claim like that doesn't seem very risky for a scum at all.

Wouldn't BC make 4 vigilantes?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 28 2011 08:23 GMT
#960
Well that never posted from my phone. I hit BC, whoops. If someone had less than 5 posts in a cycle I was allowed to hit them. I could also argue someone was not contributing enough at all and hit them likewise.

BC claiming vig seemed like the final nail in the coffin. It now seems kind of obvious that most, if not all of the players in the game have some variant on a vigilante.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 28 2011 14:04 GMT
#964
On December 28 2011 18:50 syllogism wrote:
Well at least one out of RoL and Chezinu is definitely mafia. I would like to hear from Chezinu first but the situation has been covered quite adequately above.

Are you claiming alignment cop or something? How do you know one of us is definitely scum?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 28 2011 14:06 GMT
#965
Calling it now btw. Sheth, L, chezinu scumteam.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 28 2011 16:17 GMT
#970
The reason is because I'm not scum prpzm.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 28 2011 19:37 GMT
#979
On December 29 2011 03:19 Liquid`Sheth wrote:
Things I'm pretty sure of without going in to why too much. I've just finished reading the entire thread so this is just based off of a clean full read.

If one of Syllogism / L are mafia then the other is town.

Chezinu was giving me a very town feeling, but hasn't posted in a long time. What are your thoughts on how everyone was killed this night, or even last night?

BumatLarge if your a vig why were you so sure that LSB was lieing and voted against him? Do you think Kita is mafia?

Prplhz you are the one person who is cleared town to me. After reading the problems with the first night we both came up with the same logic. That VE vig shot GM and that GM was roleblocked from killing someone. And then that the other 2 were Mafia KP. Since then, However BC shooting GM has since changed things.

RoL you claim vig and that you shot Bloody Cobbler this is interesting. You also voted for Chezinu the first night. Was there a reason you didn't hop on the LSB bandwagon? And you disagreed with prplhz's theory about how night one went down. I find this interesting as well.

Kitaman you are actually my one fairly good read on being scum. Just because of how you've played this game. You went after a lurker (myself) which is understandable, but after it not working (me not posting because I was just sick and busy with other things honestly) you still kept on me and didn't really go scum hunting elsewhere. You also were against some of foolishness' reasoning and have just had very scummy play overall. Your my for sure read on who is mafia and who'd I'd prefer to lynch tonight.

Sylogism Bugs asked what you thought at one point during the game. You were negative towards Bumatlarge. And you and L are arguing quite a bit. I'm really not sure on you honestly. Null read.

L You've had good logic. You voted for Palmar day one which I find weird. I have a null read on you as well. Other then thinking that either BOTH you and sylogism are town or 1 is town 1 is mafia I really don't have a great read. I think there is very likely no chance your both mafia.

So thats where I'm at right now.

Rebirth of Legend, were you hit and just lied about it earlier?

I claimed vigilnate and that I killed BC, I can't be both a vig and a veteran. So sheth, what is your role?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 28 2011 19:38 GMT
#980
And prplhz, I was posting from my cell phone while at my internship/girlfriends for the last 24 hours. Way to make asinine assumptions about me getting bussed and letting it happen. If you are so convinced L is mafia then why are you voting me over him lol?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 28 2011 19:41 GMT
#981
Assuming BC was telling the truth that he hit GM, then it is safe to also assume that he was RBed hence why I was not alerted to being hit. That being true, this makes Chezinu a liar about being roleblocked, or we have two RBers (uncommon). With Chezinu we have a liar, an inactive, and scummy voting D1. He's a good lynch for today

##vote Chezinu

I can do a more indepth analysis on his D1 shit if you want, but to be honest I don't see the point considering BC + RB = GM Death + me not getting hit explains it. So him lying about a RB the mafia knew wouldn't get CC'd makes sense.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 29 2011 09:34 GMT
#1029
So L, still on this whole "RoL must be scum!" thing? You should stop doing that, seriously.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 29 2011 09:35 GMT
#1030
##Unvote Chezinu
##Vote L
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 29 2011 09:43 GMT
#1032
On December 29 2011 12:03 prplhz wrote:
@RebirthOfLeGenD Can you tell me why you shot BloodyC0bbler over Liquid`Sheth and Chezinu?

A couple of reasons, namely what I highlighted earlier as suspicious. Combine that with a vigi claim on gmarshal which seemed scummy and came at the last minute. After that I also wanted to know his alignment so I can crossreference those who voted for him (and failed) vs those who voted for LSB day 1 and draw inferences.

As an aside from that, let me explain a couple of things I should of realized and taken into account but had reason for disregarding. Firstly when I accused BC there was virtually no discussion, just sheeping. No case is so good to the point where the mafia wouldn't try to divert it off one of their own, on that I should of known I was aiming and missing with my lynch, but I justified that by telling myself the Christmas inactivity unilaterally affected activity so I couldn't use that tell to figure out I was on the wrong track.

The second thing is BC's lack of concern with the game. The amount he didn't care should of came off as a bored townie, I rarely ever see him not try that hard, however I had to consider he could just be bored overall and can't simply attribute inactivity and meager posting to only town lazyness so I didn't feel comfortable letting him live based off that read.

At the end of the day, the vigi claim (That would make me the 4th vigi) seemed really high, which was before we knew what the game set up most likely was, and that combined with the late Gmarshal claim was really really weird. Since I wanted to be able to cross reference voting lists that seemed good enough to justify the hit.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 29 2011 09:44 GMT
#1033
In retrospect, Chezinu and Sheth both might of been better shots, but I had more analytical reasoning for the BC vote.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 29 2011 10:21 GMT
#1036
On December 29 2011 19:15 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2011 18:44 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
In retrospect, Chezinu and Sheth both might of been better shots, but I had more analytical reasoning for the BC vote.

Might have? Either you or Chez is mafia and for some reason you didn't hit him because you instead wanted to kill one of our strongest players and it 'might' have been a mistake?

Is anyone else even bothering to read how bad these posts are?

Lol cherry picking much? I explained my reasoning in detail, BC had literally done nothing all game and wasn't looking to begin doing anything. Tell me though, yesterday did anyone once say me or Chez is mafia? I don't even recall that being remotely on the table until BC flipped.

Stop making shit up.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 29 2011 16:57 GMT
#1038
The way you are acting is scummy as shit and your just trying to lylo lynch me, so in a sense, yes I am chainsawing you. But that is because everyone refuses to pick up on lynching Chezinu which I would of been fine with since D1.

We do face the possibility of their being multiple roleblockers in this game though since we are all vigilantes. The only evidence to the contrary I would say is that no one apart from Chezinu has claimed being RBed which happened in the same night we could be nearly certain that Gmarshal was RBed.

Two conclusions can be drawn from this. There is either 1 RBer, or the mafia are RBing + Killing people to mask their power and increase their kill efficiency, possibly in fear of some sort of methman/zombie killing role they could be aware of.

Chezinu is guilty in scenario one, and I doubt scenario two would hold for this many days of no one else claiming RB unless the mafia used that strategy or we coincidentally keep killing their RB candidates.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 30 2011 08:03 GMT
#1057
I was almost worried L, the day seemed a bit too one sided but then I realized you guys probably didn't have any voice in which to fight back. You were getting accused, chances are Chezinu/Meapak were your other (AFK and unable to push another agenda) and your third would of been just another voice. But they day had enough activity to make me sure enough you were scum and combined with your posting seemed correct.

Anyway, with that being said the rather weak showing from mafia today to win at lylo indicates something to us. The mafia don't have the sway to truly influence the town. We can infer the other members were most likely the lesser active players which I would think are Chezinu and Sheth. I will do some analysis in the morning and get back to you, but I imagine it shouldn't be too hard to peg down the last two.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 30 2011 19:55 GMT
#1076
I never breadcrumbed my role, I just inferred I was going to kill someone before the day post.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
December 31 2011 02:48 GMT
#1080
On December 31 2011 11:10 Liquid`Sheth wrote:
Hey, Syllogism, if I was a unroleblockable Vigilante, who would u recomend I shoot?

Yourself would be nice, or meapak.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 01 2012 00:34 GMT
#1108
I requested that we extend the day 24 hours, but I don't think Ver wants to.
WHATJOO GUYZ THINK?

I'm going to be out all night.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 01 2012 15:02 GMT
#1113
nigga I had plans, and now I have work. Hence why I asked for a 24 hour extension.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 01 2012 23:42 GMT
#1119
So here is how I am going to run with this, Sheth your the last one. Syllogism inadvertently outed you. Read Syllogism's posts. He keeps trying to push that me/Chezinu are scum, now I would say as a late game strategy we could argue hes setting up one of his own while incriminating me, but even early on he ignores Sheth and pressrues Chezinu.

So I doubt Chezinu/Meapak is scum. So that leaves me with Sheth.

##Vote Liquid`Sheth
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 02:21 GMT
#1125
Sorry Sheth, I am fairly sure you are scum. I'd try to do a full analysis on any player here, but to be honest I am a bit busy/lazy these past couple of days. If I am wrong though I will put out an analysis on every remaining player in the game for the inevitable 2-1 scenario tomorrow assuming no vig shots.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 05:43 GMT
#1137
ima go ahead and call whoopz on that one. When I wake up tomorrow and am at my internship I will figure out who is the last scum.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 06:14 GMT
#1138
Kita claimed the hit that killed a mafia, right? There was no counter claim so why would we assume he is scum?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 15:40 GMT
#1141
On January 02 2012 16:39 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
I called the hit first.

Wait, you both claimed the hit? Both of you claimed you targeted him AND used your hit? As in neither were refunded?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 16:03 GMT
#1143
We are retarded then. I don't know why we lynched sheth if we have two people claiming they both killed the same person. Clarify both of you now.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 18:21 GMT
#1145
In my role PM it never specified. I just asked Ver and he confirmed hits are NOT refunded. That is unusual, in most games vigi hits are refunded. I presume this is because we have so many vigis so the rule is specific to this set up.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 19:44 GMT
#1148
...........It sounds like something Chezinu would do. Which sucks for us. This means we should ignore facts for analysis because they don't help at all.

That being said, who do you guys think the last scum is? I am doing an analysis now and cleared one person, I believe the other is leaning town.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 19:52 GMT
#1149
Do you know who Chezinu tried to shoot?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 19:52 GMT
#1150
crap didn't mean to hit enter, did you talk to Chezinu at all before taking his role over?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 20:37 GMT
#1152
On December 31 2011 04:22 bumatlarge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 31 2011 03:59 Liquid`Sheth wrote:
On December 31 2011 02:54 bumatlarge wrote:
I doubt kita is scum. He has had extremely similar play to myself if you disregard the chez era. Sure L, could have been a bus, but if we were both scum, we could have simply unvoted without fear and won the game? If only one of us, then Chez obviously take precedence.

I never hinted at chez being confirmed town at all. Just the oposite. I just feel bad for meapak. He didn't hammer a vote on to L, which seems rather straightforward if there are already 5 townies on L. Anyone not pushing meapak tomorrow needs to share with the class.


This is something that I disagree with. If you all took your votes off, there would have been a no-lynch on l. Then its 5-3 at night, you'll have two KP. However town now KNOWS who the 3 are. I didn't say this earlier, because I was hoping they would do this. So hopefully town has 1-2 shots of their own. So at the end of the night its probably 3-2 town ahead, which leads to a 3-1 town after the lynch and then 2-1, and town wins. Thats with only 1 kp vig shot.

Just pointing out I think your logic is wrong bum, and you pointing that out as logic for why your not mafia is scary to me. Your reads are also a bit weird, why do you say "everyone else" : who cares. I care about each and every one of you. :/


Why would I care who is town? The object of the game is to oust scum, not figure out who is town. If they aren't on my radar, then I really don't see a reason to worry about them.

Hopefully isn't a guaranteed town win. If town had no viable shots or mafia has more then 1 roleblocker, we would have got off scott free. And that doesn't explain how kita and I generated the L lynch. The L lynch would not have happened and you guys would have stuck around on the RoL wagon for the rest of the lynch. I don't think there was much reason to go through all this trouble and then have this conversation if we could have been having a post-game conversation.

This is stupid. It is much easier to get a town read on someone then it is to get a scum read. By knowing who is TOWN you can narrow town your possibilities of who is actually scum. Scum are trying to not look scummy, but generally only that. They don't tend to jump to the other spectrum because that would start harming their win condition.

So there is a huge purpose in recording and acknowledging your town reads, that way you can narrow down the gray area of mafia scumminess.

Anyway bum, its pretty much me and you, which of the other two do you find scummy? One of them has to be hiding behind the hit, but its a tough decision. What do you think?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 02 2012 22:19 GMT
#1158
Well, I agree with you mostly on reasoning and I see cases on both the other two, but more importantly I am pretty damn sure you are town. Foolishness had a town read on you and he was on fire this game, and I do too, and I really doubt both of us would be wrong about it. The other two I need to read the subtleties on and work it out tomorrow.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 03 2012 01:39 GMT
#1160
I have work 12-6 EST tomorrow. After that if you want.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 03 2012 07:42 GMT
#1168
##Vote Bumatlarge
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 03 2012 15:03 GMT
#1170
On January 03 2012 15:16 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
Bum I didn't vote because I had no idea wtf was going on. I hadn't read the thread at all so for all I knew L could have been town. I was subbed in like 4 hours before the lynch ended and up until that point I hadn't opened the thread since I asked to be taken out of them game.

If you think that my lack of vote alone makes me scum then you need to broaden your sights a bit. Right now in your scenario, I'm scum and I claim to have shot syllo... to what end? If I'm scum then I already used my shot on prp, but I can't force syllo to die. My only option is to claim RB but wait, I already rb'd sheth. If I had called my shot after the day post and saw syllo had died it would have made a lot more sense because now I have syllo's death to back me up. But I claimed before the deadline. If I'm scum then how do I know that syllo will die, and furthermore, what is my backup if I already rb'd sheth. If syllo doesn't die then I'm forced to claim rb, but then sheth cc's me. Even if I get a mislynch on sheth, when he flips green I've still outed myself.

Do you see where the problem is Bum?




Much simpler, you could of been scum and killed prp and claimed the syllo hit knowing that even if you were CC'd it wouldn't mean anything since hits can overlap and you both lose it.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 03 2012 16:51 GMT
#1172
I know, Chezinu's filter is worthless, but I saw something that might of clarified the situation.
On January 03 2012 04:52 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
crap didn't mean to hit enter, did you talk to Chezinu at all before taking his role over?

The reason I asked this is because if you read Chezinu's filter carefully enough you will see it.

On December 21 2011 00:07 Chezinu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2011 23:57 SamuelLJackson wrote:
@bum I'm also baffled that you say "forcing a response" out of someone is scummy. Are you being dense on purpose?

/Curu

Well, this game is all about people's ability to respond....response ability.. I'm totally dead for saying responsibility so many times.

He hints at what his role is here, his role is trigger by saying a certain phrase too many times according to meapak. So either they are town and the role is legit, or Chezinu was setting up this fakeclaim, went inactive then had the mental capacity to PM Meapak and give him an out and a fakeclaim out of a really bad situation. At the same time the mafia could of told him of this fake claim they were working up, but by the time meapak subbed in they were all dead iirc, so no one could of told him what happened and that Chezinu worked up a fake claim, unless they talked about it all in a quick topic and meapak read it all.

Notice which scenario is much simpler? It involves both of them being honest about their role, which means I doubt they are scum, and considering Chezinu's filter, that's the best I could come up with.

Then I look at Kitaman, he started the lynch on L, but that's not really the important part. Look at the mafias position going into that, it was a 5v3 situation and they needed one last mislynch, L was reaming into me hard trying to force my mislynch it doesn't REMOTELY look like he was setting himself up to get bussed, he was pushing for the end game right there. Instead Kita pushes his lynch and it gets flipped on L. I read him yesterday, but it would require an impeccable scum game from Kita for this read to be wrong and all the things he did be setting up the illusion of being town.

With those two reads I had the process of elimination and that leaves bumatlarge, I could only hope his filter didn't disagree with me, and it didn't. But I have work, so the rest of that comes later.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 04 2012 12:16 GMT
#1188
On January 04 2012 13:06 bumatlarge wrote:
Oh meapak, that's heart warming. Shame I'm the only one with a shot left, and mafia has a roleblocker.

KITAMAN, YOU SHALL BE PURGED. NO MERE ROLEBLOCK CAN STOP MY WRATH.

And guys, no lynch right? I mean, this might just a test in order to see if scum can increase his chances, but it might be that he cannot kill anyone? Then we get two lynches? I mean it's really stretching, but there is no reason not to wait. Ver is a cruel dude sometimes, but he isn't bill murray (Cue 2nd no-lynch gives mafia 2 KP). We still have a lot of cycles to go through. Meh, maybe to give scum time to figure out what he isn't doing

Can we opt to end the day early?

I want to point out just how convenient this is. You are the only one with a shot left, which means you are going to keep getting "RBed" even if we no lynch today. So we can never disprove your claim.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 05 2012 13:22 GMT
#1196
If it goes one more cycle like this chaoser, I imagine that is our only solution.
To that end, sorry about my inactivity, I thought I would be able to play at my internship yesterday but I was busy, then I went straight to GF's and I just got home -_-;
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 05 2012 13:23 GMT
#1197
On January 05 2012 14:01 Ver wrote:
Night something


No lynch. Day ends blah blah. Send your actions.

Can we speed up cycles plz.

Let me help you out.

Day ?


No one died! BumAtLarge was roleblocked.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 05 2012 23:51 GMT
#1201
On January 06 2012 04:39 bumatlarge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 02:48 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
I obviously knew that kita was going to disagree with my analysis of him, but I'd like to hear what Bum and RoL think. Bum do you still think I'm most likely to be scum? If so, what problems do you have with me that you don't have with kita. Same with RoL, what is wrong with my kita analysis that makes bum a better lynch?

I've been reading the thread again and I'm feeling very confident that kita is scum at this point.


No, you are not my top candidate for scum, and if RoL would just set off my role condition I would feel a lot better about him.

I am town, no you fucking fuck.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 05 2012 23:52 GMT
#1202
On January 06 2012 02:48 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
I obviously knew that kita was going to disagree with my analysis of him, but I'd like to hear what Bum and RoL think. Bum do you still think I'm most likely to be scum? If so, what problems do you have with me that you don't have with kita. Same with RoL, what is wrong with my kita analysis that makes bum a better lynch?

I've been reading the thread again and I'm feeling very confident that kita is scum at this point.

I am going to read, collect my thoughts post my final decision and stick with that. I liked your analysis but I want to see how it fits in context of L/Syllogism/WBG Posting.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 03:38 GMT
#1204
On December 24 2011 08:29 wherebugsgo wrote:
also, I should note, that because of this, I now very strongly believe either Chezinu is lying about that RB, or that there exist at least two roleblocking roles in the game. From what Foolishness has said, I am certain scum roleblocked GM.

Chezinu might have been roleblocked by a town roleblocker yesterday, if this is true. He could also be scum. As of now I don't believe Chezinu is scum.

To the players who believe Chezinu is scum: (i.e. prplhz) please provide a detailed case as to why you believe he is scum and not town. I will do my own rereading of Chezinu's posts, to see if I have missed anything. I don't think I have, though, seeing as I've read the thread at least 3 times now (not hard, seeing as no one is doing anything)

On December 28 2011 11:54 wherebugsgo wrote:
feel better about him than I do about Foolishness or Chezinu!

Upon rereading I think RoL has been acting rather town-like. The GM business doesn't make sense unless GM was RBed. We don't know that for sure unless Chezinu is lying or trolling. This is the problem atm.

So, we lynch one of Foolishness/Chezinu tomorrow IMO. I guess if there's a convincing argument for RoL being scum I'd be willing to lynch him too. Chezinu very well could be lying/trolling. He did nothing today, though he did more day 1. His activity dropped off like a scum's would. At first I didn't believe he was lying. Now I'm more willing to entertain that idea.

also my bad, I'm playing LoL :p I got back from jury duty and I feel lazy.

On December 28 2011 18:50 syllogism wrote:
Well at least one out of RoL and Chezinu is definitely mafia. I would like to hear from Chezinu first but the situation has been covered quite adequately above.


This confirms Meapak pretty much. You can all read for yourself and interpret, after reading all this I am lazy.
On December 28 2011 23:24 syllogism wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2011 23:04 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On December 28 2011 18:50 syllogism wrote:
Well at least one out of RoL and Chezinu is definitely mafia. I would like to hear from Chezinu first but the situation has been covered quite adequately above.

Are you claiming alignment cop or something? How do you know one of us is definitely scum?

Chezinu claimed RB on n1, so either he is lying and thus scum or he was RBed and then there is no good explanation for you to be alive unless there is a scum medic. I guess it's possible that GM didn't actually hit you or his shot doesn't go through if the target is town, but both scenarios require poor play on GMs part; he specifically said that his role is the same as LSB's, who heavily implied that his shot goes through regardless of the alignment of the target.

On December 29 2011 07:01 syllogism wrote:
Bum how does the scum team consisting of role blockers make sense considering that only one person has claimed RB so far and last night there were 6 deaths, of which only one was claimed. None of the living players claimed RB, so even assuming foolishness was RBed, that's three missing role blocks.

Given the weird n1 kills I think it's more likely that scum also has some sort of KP roles that punish "bad" play or something similar. A scum medic also makes more sense than more than 1 RBer due to the missing RB claims. Two role blockers is possible but lynching people or clearing people based on that assumption in LYLO is very weak/scummy.


I would also infer this to mean there is only 1 RB, he is assuming there has to be a scum medic and ignoring the 2RB scenario which isn't that unlikely, then just dismissing it.

But I have made a decision. I agree with you meapak, Kitaman is our last scum so I will be voting him tomorrow. My next post will detail a bit more, but upon reading all the dead mafia, they seem to implicate Kitaman way more.

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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 03:40 GMT
#1205
So this looks pretty unanimous then, we all are voting kitaman tomorrow anyway. After my next post I am not changing my mind or thinking about this anymore and am moving to purgatory mafia full time, so let me bang that out then post my vote at 12 and go AFK.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 03:58 GMT
#1209
On December 22 2011 06:33 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 22 2011 05:53 kitaman27 wrote:
lol what you are you two even arguing about? How is the percentage of games that scum get lynched day one even relevant? Who cares what the percentages are on MS or how the last 20 games have gone? Even if it was really poor odds, you still try to find scum regardless.

L, your Metric post is nice and all, but who exactly did you catch? It's not a very good trap if you don't mention anyone that has fallen for it.

Foolishness, you seem more than willing to call certain people town, but who is scum? It's a lot easier to defend people, than to attack them.


Sorry, got caught up with Palmar. Here's the list:

1. Foolishness -- Actively Hiding, but he's stuck his neck out a few times. Not sure yet.
2. RebirthOfLeGenD -- Quiet
3 .wherebugsgo -- Aggressive and Questioning.
4. kitaman27 -- Aggressive post analysis, but I'm not sure how long you had that liquid sheth picture around. Undecided.
5. syllogism -- Actively Hiding. Leaning towards red.
6. SamuelLJackson (sandroba/curu hybrid) -- I have no idea how to read hydra posts, but he has content posts + early vote. Greenish as far as I can tell.
7. Jackal58 -- Very short posts but lots of questions. Probably trigger hitter.
8. Liquid`Sheth -- BLARING WARNING SIGNS.
9. GMarshal -- Not enough information. Starts off quiet, moves to medium content posts. Early vote. Goes quiet again. Seems like a busy townie.
10. L -- This is me. I am super cool.
11. Mr. Wiggles -- Huge content filled posts. Aggressive voting after building a case. Lots of questions. Probably a trigger hitter.
12. Palmar -- Should be obvious that I am leaning towards mafia on this one.
13. Chezinu -- Proposes a HYPER aggressive roleclaim early, but no one bit. I assume he's town but maybe 20% potential for traitor based on the risk involved.
14. chaoser -- Lots of questions. Large analysis posts. Aggressive early vote on me. Probably another trigger hitter.
15. bumatlarge -- Huge content filled posts designed to spur discussion and an early vote. Very town.
16. BloodyC0bbler -- Not enough posts. I'd really prefer that he posted more and he's one of the reasons I waited.
17. LSB -- Probably the toughest call in the game asides from Palmar. His posts appear large but they're short replies to large quoted text. Additionally, he's been called out before for 'trying really hard to not piss people off' which is a warning light in metric land. He does, however, vote early, but his case isn't very strong. I lean red on him.
18. GGQ -- One substantive post. Same as BC.
19. prplhz -- Short avoidant posts early. RNGs, votes Viscera. Also has a very solid attack post on GMarshal. Aggressiveness indicates town. Post structure indicates busy.
20. VisceraEyes -- Super town.

I wanted to put filter links on the names, but I have no idea how to do that quickly. Also not putting additional information regarding roles other than trigger hitters, because DANG BRO, THATS NOT HELPFUL. Also, everyone that's blue isn't blue because they're legit; its possible mafia has trigger hitters. Anyways, go through the list and see what you think.

Anyways, I'm now at 22 hours left for 4k words in my term essay, so I will be taking off at the speed of light (meowth, that's right). I'll pop in in a few hours to see what's up, but other than that I can't spare much more time today.

So I already said how I am pretty sure the Chez/Meapak combo is town. Then we have to look at this. We see 2/3 mafia exposed on this list, he calls WBG town and syllogism *slightly* red. Then we have BumAtLarge and Kita as green, and unknown respectively. We can assume he probably wouldn't list half his team red this early in the game, but would still want to distance. In that we have the red Syllogism. WBG he avoided going into detail on and called him down with some flatlined reasoning, understandable. But what would he do with pick 3? I think he wanted to go 1-1-1 with his reads and it would be WAY too blatant on BumAtLarge later on to say he is "very town" and obviously on Day 1 (when that post occurred) he didn't foresee our current situation. Also note how his Kita description is the only one with semblance of a joke.

If you read the filter Kita and L also chat a bit back and forth within short timespans of each other on around 2-3 occasions. You also see a much duller version between Syllogism/BumAtLarge but there is much larger time gaps.

On December 30 2011 13:24 L wrote:
Oh, so there's a bunch of people actively lurking.

On the plus side, we don't lose immediately when I'm lynched now. So, for night actions: when I flip town, shoot some combination of RoL, Kita and Bum and lynch whomever remains the following day. If you don't hit 2 mafia during the night, we go from 5:3 now to 4:3 after the lynch, then 2:3 after mafia hits, so we'd lose. On the plus side, if people don't derp out and decide to read this post, we might win, but given how poorly the town's playing it would surprise me if we lose regardless.

Anyways, cheerio chaps.

With this post he obviously knew he was dying and basically just confirms meapak while incriminating one of the three of us. I know I am town, I can infer bum is town, and I am fiarly sure meapak is town. Kita is the odd man out.

On December 27 2011 14:44 L wrote:
RE: Activity.

Sorry, my Christmas plans multiplied pretty quickly because one side of my family had a second celebration on the 26th due to scheduling conflicts with other chunks of the family from which I just got home from.

If I had to push for someone yesterday I'd have gone after GGQ. I was pretty certain with my assessment, but I hadn't put together enough time to outline the full case on him.

RE: BC
The recent few posts by BC have been oddly worded, but only if you don't bother reading the first day of the game. He is talking about the breadcrumbing that I (and one other) did early on in the thread. I fully agree with his statement (maybe not to the same extent that he put it), but every claimed role thusfar has been a form of conditional or weakened vig. This also fits with my initial prediction that the concept of responsibility will be a game accellerant.

RE: Night
Either way, we might lose tonight if more guns go off in the wrong direction.

We've got four options:

1) Power play: We draw up hit targets and have people volunteer to hit if they can w/ accompanying roleclaims.

2) Hit discuss: We discuss hit targets and let people decide of their own choice if they wish to act on it.

3) Silence + NA: We refuse to talk about potential hits in order to neuter any potential RB action, then hit targets as per private tendencies

4) No night actions: We do any of the above, but hold off on shooting people tonight.

But to be honest we don't have very much time to deliberate over these options. The more pressing matter is who should we shoot and why. I personally don't think BC should be shot, but my gut is telling me that GGQ, Kitaman and Foolishness are probably our best choices for the night.

GGQ's posting contents look scummy on their own, and Jackal, an otherwise unimpressive kill target, points towards him. Kitaman asks a LOT of questions but offers very little content of his own. His posts seem careful and guarded, careful to prod, but not make opponents. Foolishness took day 2 off after a standard non-existent day 1; very atypical play given he normally springs into action D2, but hey, I was afk for the majority of D2 as well.

But see, here's my problem, the main criteria for catching mafia if I'm right about this format being hit driven is activity. Given that we just had ZERO activity out of anyone, I'm kinda up shit's creek about how to understand what happened. I'm going to go reread day 1, because the past 15 pages of the thread are trash.

This is the post that did it for me though. Of those 3, two we now know are town, once again I feel he would never post a purely townie list, it feels suspicious to do as mafia, but even more so just three posts before that was his giant list where he didn't have a read on kitaman, yet somehow nothing has changed in his read yet he wants to kill Kitaman? It's not like Sheth and Syllogism someone started looking less scummy at this point.
On December 28 2011 14:58 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2011 14:35 bumatlarge wrote:
3 scum left, so we need all townies on one wagon, so if it's a mislynch we lose? Or wait everyone is a vig :D

2. RebirthOfLeGenD
4. kitaman27
5. syllogism
8. Liquid`Sheth
10. L
13. Chezinu
15. bumatlarge
19. prplhz

I'll believe prphlz because WBG ended up being scum and was hounding him. L I think might be a pretty good lynch, foolishness shot him, and because all townies are vigis, roleblocking is probably an issue. Bat sense tell me this makes L scum. People need to not shoot people so much

Wait, what? Who did what to me now?

This doesn't feel like it was scripted or done purposely in any way.

On December 30 2011 14:31 L wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 30 2011 14:16 bumatlarge wrote:
Fuck L you know how to worry the shit of people.

:D

GL everyone!

This just feels natural and unscripted as well.


With that, I'm outie yo. Ver end the day early so we can vote and finally end this.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 04:04 GMT
#1210
On January 06 2012 12:46 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2012 01:51 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Then I look at Kitaman, he started the lynch on L, but that's not really the important part. Look at the mafias position going into that, it was a 5v3 situation and they needed one last mislynch, L was reaming into me hard trying to force my mislynch it doesn't REMOTELY look like he was setting himself up to get bussed, he was pushing for the end game right there. Instead Kita pushes his lynch and it gets flipped on L. I read him yesterday, but it would require an impeccable scum game from Kita for this read to be wrong and all the things he did be setting up the illusion of being town.

With those two reads I had the process of elimination and that leaves bumatlarge, I could only hope his filter didn't disagree with me, and it didn't. But I have work, so the rest of that comes later.


lol RoL, how quickly you change your mind, even though there has been absolutely no new evidence. Funny how you were suspicious of bum, yet when nobody decided to bite, you never followed through.

That was before I read Syllogism, WBG, and L and I didn't read the whole L lynch on context and I am not going to, Meapak's analysis of it also makes sense, especially since I doubt you guys assumed syllogism was going to get killed. If he didn't you would of been in a great position post bus with Sheth lined up to die and then you just needing one hit after that and it's game over.

Just so you get that math, it was 5-3, killing L makes 5-2, we aren't sure, but we can pretend mafia KP is 1 which makes it 4-2 by morning and Sheth as a free lynch makes it 3-2 going into night, meaning you win when you kill and tie it 2-2. But instead Syllogism went down and shit hit the fan.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 05:43 GMT
#1214
WE WILL GO WITH THE ZIPH.
##Vote: Kitaman27
I'd give your time to write Kita, but I said earlier I am not thinking anymore. We can assume bum will vote with me if he's scum, so if you want Ver just hammer it now and end this.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 05:55 GMT
#1216
If bum comes back and decides he wants to hear you then I will pay attention, but until then I am keeping my vote here. If he hammers, he hammers and I won't change my vote. If in that time you want to write out your thing no one is going to stop you.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 06:25 GMT
#1223
On January 06 2012 15:04 bumatlarge wrote:
Sorry, Kita. I actually shot at RoL last night, because if he was scum I think he might have not roleblocked me. Anyway, I don't think he can be a roleblocker and still have pulled off that BC shot without being a scumvig.

Since meapak is dead it makes kita's "hit" on syllo look pretty bad.
##Vote: Kitaman27
I haven't been keeping track of how many scum I've killed kita, and neither has RoL.

Basically if RoL is mafia, this is gonna be Insane Mafia 2 all over again. Oh well. Commence hammer Ver.

This just made my life easier. Why did you hit me lol?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 06:30 GMT
#1224
If you really want to talk about this more bum I suppose we can, but I don't feel like rehashing every point that's been made against kita, its redundant. You were all for killing him a page ago.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 15:30 GMT
#1230
God damn it bum, what the fuck? He posts a wall of literally useless shit and you turn an about face? This is undermining my ability to move on to purgatory and forget about this. Going off instinct is stupid. Read Meapak's case, read what I wrote. Do you want me to go through L/WBG/Syllogism's posts and show how I am town?

From just memory you can remember L trying to kill me the day he got lynched, I never really put any posts into why he was scum, I just ran with the analysis that was done on top of my already existing suspicions of L and lynched him. I gained no credit for that lynch.

But seriously, think about the BC kill. I explained all my reasoning behind it and why I did everything. No one counter claimed my vig hit. For me to be scum, that night there would have to be 4 mafia KP, or other unclaimed vig hits. The much simpler explanation is 3 hits and my vigi hit. If we assume any other scenario it assumes mafia taking a huge risk by trying to call a hit they didn't perform or hoping they killed one of the people who performed a hit thus preventing a counter claim.

At the end of the day I am most likely a town due to that scenario. But if you would like to elaborate where I am all over the place by all means. But if you want to stay with instinct, fine, lose the game on your own terms.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 15:35 GMT
#1231
On January 06 2012 15:42 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 15:30 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
If you really want to talk about this more bum I suppose we can, but I don't feel like rehashing every point that's been made against kita, its redundant. You were all for killing him a page ago.


A town response to me posting all my notes from the entire game would be something along the lines of "oh crap, could bum be scum afterall?", instead you know that I'm probably not willing to lynch bum, so you focus on convincing him that I need to be killed without even mentioning them. You're scum RoL.

I'll try to post my final analysis first thing tomorrow morning.

It's called I am tired as shit, and I have already read every post from you, bum, meapak/chez, and your entire scum team twice. You really think one post by you (which I did read) is going to somehow contradict all that information? Bum's claim also makes more sense and further implicates you today. but hey, let me one up you.

This is from closed casket mafia.

Chezinu- Said he was going to try, early on posting random shit. Impossible read. Attacks Amber's post, leaning town

Radfield- too much emphasis on lurkers, and very wordy posts, although might just be his style of posting if I remember right. He just writes wordy looking at his BC defense against accusations.

Kurumi- http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=235762&currentpage=9#179 Reversed Ace's words in an interesting way. Ace didn't say 2KP mafia would be too strong, but used the no flip to justify why mafia were so weak. Kind of odd. Spams and contributes nothing of actual value. Votes for fishball.

Amber[LighT]- Page 10 posted the dumbest shit I have ever read. Reading red.

BC- Actually trying this game. I agree with his thoughts on radfield posting unnecessary shit, but at the same time I believe radfield just writes in a very wordy way. Protown read for effort, but he might just like the challenge in this game.

ilj- echoes. ECHOES MOAR. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=235762&currentpage=14#266
KNOWINGLY ECHOES
ARGHHHH http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=235762&currentpage=15#286
First actual thought.

Chaoser/VisceraEyes- Sucks, bitch puts me at tier 2. Psuedo contributions but gets subbed out. Viscera?

Fishball- The boss negro.

Deconduo- Aggressive, not his typical mafia behavior, generally tries to coast. Wants to kill fishball who he thinks is green? Que? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=235762&currentpage=16#307
Deconduo is in the gray, I think he is honestly just playing like shit.

Caller- POST SOMETHING RELEVENT, I HATE YOU. Chezinu .5

Palmar- Wants to carpet bomb the game with kills, I like it. First post of Radfield/Kurumi. I agree with the reads more or less.

Scamp- Not as active as I would like, late game bloomer. Doesn't appear too scummy.

LSB- Posting late about Deconduo/Fishball and posting dumb shit.

Sandroba- Posting nothing, supports LSB? Odd. Actually defends himself fairly well to fishballs accusations. Going in the gray area.

Fuck man, I am so town now.
+ Show Spoiler +
I was scum in this game, I kept it as something to post in case of emergency since its counter intuitive for mafia to need to keep a reads list, but keeping this list also allowed me to keep track of players I wanted to kill.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 15:38 GMT
#1232
I think I had an excel sheet from another mafia game, I just can't remember which one it was.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 17:01 GMT
#1234
Kita, we now know as fact that Chezinu was never roleblocked, which means there was a roleblock and chances are it was mafia RBing Gmarshal to set him up for the next days lynch when he failed to follow through on his promise to kill someone. They didn't count on BloodyC0bbler killing Gmarshal instead. This explains where that roleblock went and why I didn't die and has been realized as a possibility since Meapak said Chezinu wasn't really roleblocked. Now we KNOW Chezinu is town and we can infer that the roleblock was actually on GM the same time BC hit him, hence why I am still alive and GM is dead.

It makes sense, stop trying to misconstrue established facts.

Secondly, that isn't a post from a game. Its from a word document I have just had on my computer, those reads and clues were NEVER posted. I was showing BumAtLarge that just because you had a wall of shit to post doesn't mean you have said anything of substance nor does it confirm you as town.

L Surviving foolishnesses hit was on another night with no claimed roleblock, I believe the mafia roleblocked and hit foolishness because they thought he was going to kill WBG, if you read his posts prior to his death he is hitting on like 2-3 mafia the whole time. Foolishness was a serious threat to get one of you lynched and the mafia knew he was probably a vig and was saying WBG should die you chose to RB + Hit him. This is why L didn't die and didn't claim a hit. It was because he was never hit.

My argument about how GM's role must of worked was to explain how we could somehow have a RB and a failed hit on me. At that time where Chezinu was being a douche townie that is the information I had to work with. Stop saying that infers I am mafia for that since it was the only explanation I could come up with with the given information. Chezinu lied and fucked us up that day.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 17:07 GMT
#1235
And a failed suicide vig is a perfect excuse isn't it? It explains an extra death, but so far every suicide vig has claimed before acting, or announced at a time when it was too late to go back.

Bum, ask yourself. What makes more sense to explain those two nights of actions? Kita's "Well see there was a suicide vig that night which accounts for extra KP, and then a mafia medic that night to explain L not dying, and lets ignore RB placement because thats unimportant to my scenario"

Or mine "Both scenario's can be perfectly explained by retrospective information as an interaction between roleblocking targets" This means N1, GM was RBed to set up an ez day 2 lynch, but BC cleared that up with a hit. N3 Foolishness was RBed because he was a threat to the mafia and expressed a desire to kill bugs, so he was RB + Hit, which explains everything perfectly.

Occam's Razer, Kita is being silly.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 06 2012 18:10 GMT
#1237
The post you reference first is without the GM hit being claimed. Since no one apparently hit him it made no sense why he would be dead. We all look like fools after all the cards are on the table.

My point was having a list of analysis done doesn't prove you are town just because you could copy a spreadsheet. When I came to a conclusion on you/bum I didn't read over the whole lynch, just your posts pertaining to it, on that note, I may have misread the lynch. I knew even since then, that the true conclusion and final answer would come after reading all the mafia filters in conjunction with yours. That is now what I did, Meapak had me reconsider my case on you and Bum and now I believe you are scum.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 07 2012 14:53 GMT
#1241
Willing to also end the day early and not change my vote.
Bum if you are scum this will be my biggest facepalm in mafia history.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 08 2012 13:30 GMT
#1279
On January 08 2012 14:14 Liquid`Sheth wrote:
HECK YEA, GOOD GAME KITA!!!! MEAPAK I LOVE YOU, BUM YOU CAME THROUGH FOR ME AT THE END. ROL IM PROUD OF YOU. GG

Sorry about EZing you a couple days back :O
Thanks meapak for making me actually put effort into rereading our 3 confirmed scums.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 08 2012 13:42 GMT
#1280
On January 08 2012 14:47 bumatlarge wrote:
Haha I loved it. I was pissed during the game from having 0 information so I couldn't figure out things like I usually do, but now that the game is over it's more fun. I'd change around a few things so that there is an amount of guesswork still. Also, use Responsibility points! Or a role that measures someones response ability!

And mass vigis are scary, I could imagine the scum team would get screwed pretty hard if 2 vigis hit red night 1, while we were able to recover from lylo even after those townie massacre's and a HOliday related no-lynch. I want to be on a scum team with a scum medic

You know how close I came to just not ever triggering your killing ability on me? My immediate thought was "There is no fucking way I am giving him the chance to throw this game away."
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 08 2012 13:49 GMT
#1281
On January 08 2012 19:51 wherebugsgo wrote:

In addition, I completely disagree over having qualified for spam vig, and for syllo qualifying for the acronym vig. There's an inherent bias in the host allowing a person to shoot someone else on certain grounds because the host already knows the alignment of the player in question. Thus, there's already a subconscious bias that will cause a tendency toward the host allowing the player to take a shot on a mafia player, whereas on a town player it's less likely.



In Real Time Mafia where I put in Lurker vigis and other mechanics that involved punishing lurkers I agreed with what you just said and had foolishness (A neutral third party) make a list of all the "lurking" players in the game to avoid that issue. So I do agree with you, as opposed to the host making purely neutral decisions he might sway one way or the other to help the losing team at the time.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 08 2012 13:52 GMT
#1282
On January 08 2012 19:52 syllogism wrote:
Show nested quote +
Because of this absurd roleblocking result, I'm not sure a balance complaint is reasonable unless you want to focus on the excessive volatility which is quite sensible.

I don't understand. The roleblocks made sense in light of what we knew; Sheth had been very suspicious of Kita and so had been GM. Are you suggesting we shouldn't have role blocked anyone? Blocking bum on n5 was a mistake as by that point kita should have gambled but considering his heroic efforts otherwise, can't fault him for that.

Even keeping some of the people a lot of townies were suspicious of (RoL) doesn't seem too bad

At no point did I ever really feel that I was at risk for getting lynched to be honest. I have been in way hotter situations than that. But I do agree, I played rather poorly the first few days but I don't feel I did anything that I couldn't reasonably justify as being from town motivations. The big example is after I shot BC and L was trying to trash me for it, after my push on BC failed I wasn't going to let him live if I could prevent it.

When I wrote my case I put that I was hesitant because I didn't want to risk making BC talk and the lynch failing, thus disabling my trigger and failing to kill BC. But for some reason BC wrote 4 post AFTER my analysis, so I could still kill him. After that I think Chezinu/Sheth were the only other two who I could of applied it to.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 08 2012 14:50 GMT
#1285
On January 08 2012 22:58 syllogism wrote:
I didn't really mean to imply that you played poorly, I don't really pay attention to that as scum, especially when the person in question isn't getting us lynched. I just think that there were enough townies suspicious of you for you to be a realistic lynch candidate and your inactivity could have made defending difficult. Unfortunately you shooting a townie at night apparently confirmed you as town to some.

Yeah, this is where I think WBG erred. You thought your ##Hit on foolishness would of gotten you way more heat then I think it did. Generally if you killed someone the town was accepting you as a real vigilante and since you put heat on foolishness I don't think it would of been seen as bad as you think it would of been.
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