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Lord of the Rings Mafia - Page 4

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 28 2011 01:28 GMT
#2522
jcarl, if you want people to trust: Drazerk and Kita are the only ones, and that's only because they roleclaimed. I dont see anyone else wanting to share so ya, not much I can say to you about myself.

Today's lynch, remember, was mainly on 4 people ([g]ON[/g], [g]kita[/g], Palmar, Chaoser. I don't see how we find scum based on voting or accusations.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 28 2011 01:29 GMT
#2523
EDWOP:

jcarl, if you want people to trust: Drazerk and Kita are the only ones, and that's only because they roleclaimed. I dont see anyone else wanting to share so ya, not much I can say to you about myself.

Today's lynch, remember, was mainly on 4 people (ON, kita, Palmar, Chaoser. I don't see how we find scum based on voting or accusations.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 28 2011 07:21 GMT
#2527
On September 28 2011 11:27 Palmar wrote:
thanks god I'm dying tonight.

I'm seriously speechless over how bad this town is.


I'll take a chunk of the blame. My activity was sporadic and my reads were pretty off. But let's kill Palmar for sure tonight, shall we?
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 29 2011 20:55 GMT
#2648
cyber's gotta go
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 29 2011 20:56 GMT
#2649
On September 30 2011 05:00 Cyber_Cheese wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 30 2011 04:45 TranceStorm wrote:
Also I would like to bring attention to what else Cyber_Cheese does. He accuses me of being on all of the majority lynches. That is true. But notice that Cyber_Cheese is never on a single one. In 3/4 lynches, he votes for side candidates who he knows will not get lynched and will consequently paint him in a bad light. This seems very quirky to me - it seems very much like Cyber_Cheese wants to avoid the spotlight of having made a poor vote. The one time that Cyber_Cheese does vote for one of the top candidates for the lynch, he's voting for ON against iGrok.


There's only been a single majority lynch so far, and all three of the others were late swings in which TranceStorm had a participatory role.
He's been taking the votes late, looking to make sure it's safe to climb upon the wagon's and made sure he's voting with the majority to try to avoid suspicion by hiding amongst townies.


Late swings in which his vote is unnecessary. Why would he do that unless he believed in the lynch as a townie?
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 01:20 GMT
#2665
Actually, I'll be changing my vote to trancestorm.

Final Vote Count for the Jackal Lynch that saved iGrok day 2:

Greymist
chaoser
Radfield
Drazerk
raynpelikoneet
jcarlsoniv
TranceStorm
OriginalName

I'm almost positive there's at least one more mafia in here.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 20:01 GMT
#2701
On October 01 2011 04:50 GGQ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2011 04:18 chaoser wrote:
You're right GGQ, I'm obviously still the SK and my real wincon is actually to kill everyone and it wasn't the same as Palmer's. Cause obviously I would be able to guess/know Palmer's wincon even though he first lied about it in the thread and I then posted his real wincon which then got proven by him leaving the game without my actually knowing anything about his wincon. Cool Story Bro. [/end sarcasm]

Also nice try at misdirection there by saying it's smarter to lynch me over Pyo, obvious scum #1.


I never said this. Feeling defensive?


There's no way we should be focusing on a 3rd party lynch anyways. Go for mafia or go for broke.

I'll post my thoughts on TS later. Although, honestly my basis is that at least 2 mafia voted for Jackal day 2. I don't know how reliable that is as a starting point, but I'll look through and see if there's anything more concrete than the stuff on pyo.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 20:21 GMT
#2710
On October 01 2011 05:19 Drazerk wrote:
Guys does anyone else find it oddly suspicious Mafia would send out a message saying Jcarl is Uglúk when they knew iGrok would probably be lynched the same day?

I don't know but it's just giving me a bad feeling at the moment and something I want to look in to tonight / tomorrow


It's not like it clears jcarl. It could only make people raise suspicion on jcarl for being singled out. I wouldn't look too much into or else you get caught up in a double psychology loop.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 21:23 GMT
#2718
TranceStorm

Again, I looked at interactions with confirmed mafia.

On September 17 2011 14:36 TranceStorm wrote:
Debating about who should get the ring and what each role can or cannot do at the moment is pointless at the current time. However, I do like one of the plans that was proposed by a few people: having the person who successfully passed on the ring claim themselves. This way, we can enable a 'chain' to be made - i.e. the first player can confirm the second player once the second player has passed on the ring themselves. This is all dependent on the assumption that evil players cannot pass the ring themselves which as Radfield pointed out, is probably a true assumption.

Given this, however, this plan would probably only be effective for the first few 'passes' and perhaps near the end of the game when town circles become more clear. The risk after the first few days that the person holding the ring is killed, or has the ring stolen (which is a possible role according to the OP) makes the plan ineffective.

Therefore, I think that such a plan should work for the first 2 or 3 days to confirm at least one or two people. Any thoughts or ideas about this? I haven't fully fleshed this out yet (i.e. the possibility of fake claims is strong), but its probably a better discussion than the arbitrary finger-pointing going on at the moment.


Bad plan. Whatever. Either you are a townie posting your plan with maybe a higher purpose of discussion (which he tries to defend himself as doing when everyone shits on his plan) OR you are mafia trying to slip in a bad plan for town to follow and derail discussion on a ill-formed plan. Null-tell. But what is interesting, is you start off your posts with an automatic belief in Radfield's assumptions. You trust him. Pretty harmless at first but let's look further.

On September 17 2011 14:58 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2011 13:37 chaos13 wrote:
On September 17 2011 10:35 xtfftc wrote:

On September 17 2011 09:32 Radfield wrote:

Posts like this(mine) should not be given consideration when you are trying to determine a players alignment.


They definitely should be.


Nope. The entire content of his post was all based on game mechanics. Game mechanics reveal zero about a player's alignment, so if you give people town cred for posting that, the whole mafia team is going to do it and pretty soon you're completely fucked.
...

Anymore discussion about this is wasted. Starting now look at some of the posts people have made, try to figure out what the intent of them is. Ask people questions. Scum hate being asked what they think of the alignment of their scumbuddies, they want to keep to the shadows. Let's not give them what they want.

You make a fair point about how Radfield's post was more based upon game mechanics than any actual analysis. However, you follow this up with a summary of some rather obvious conclusions derived from the thread and some generic advice of your own! I would love to see you 'ask people questions' and figure out the intent of their posts as well.


Yes, yes "fair point" but then you proceed to soft defend Radfield by attacking chaos' post.

On September 22 2011 06:03 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2011 05:42 Radfield wrote:
On September 22 2011 05:29 TranceStorm wrote:
On September 22 2011 05:26 Radfield wrote:
If iGrok is scum, then he'll be confirmed scum by tomorrow and we lynch him then.

How do we will he be confirmed scum?



If he is scum he needs to follow through with the shot we direct in order to stay clean for tomorrow. If he does not, then he gets lynched. If he claims he was 'roleblocked' then he gets lynched. If for any reason his target does not die, he gets lynched. If the target we choose is a townie, and scum kill him, AND his flavour comes up with 'consumed by shadow and flame etc" then so be it, as we are successfully directing scum's targets. If scum want to act as a double lynch for us, so much the better. If anyone else ever dies by the same flavour, or if the KP isn't matching up, we lynch him.

It's like in PYP1/2 when scum got the compvig. IT DOESN"T MATTER AS LONG AS WE ARE DIRECTING THE SHOTS.

Well that sounds reasonable. I am concerned about how the town is supposed to direct iGrok's night kill when we are divided as is though. Nevertheless, I'll look between Jackal and Palmar now.


Is now taking complete guidance from Radfield. His votes are being informed entirely by Radfield.
He has moves off iGrok and is ready to switch last minute onto a bandwagon of Radfield's choosing.

**As a side note, Radfield I have to applaud you for how well you (mis)led the town.

On September 18 2011 01:18 Radfield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2011 15:36 Cyber_Cheese wrote:
On September 17 2011 15:03 TranceStorm wrote:
On September 17 2011 14:57 Cyber_Cheese wrote:
On September 17 2011 14:36 TranceStorm wrote:
Debating about who should get the ring and what each role can or cannot do at the moment is pointless at the current time. However, I do like one of the plans that was proposed by a few people: having the person who successfully passed on the ring claim themselves. This way, we can enable a 'chain' to be made - i.e. the first player can confirm the second player once the second player has passed on the ring themselves. This is all dependent on the assumption that evil players cannot pass the ring themselves which as Radfield pointed out, is probably a true assumption.

Given this, however, this plan would probably only be effective for the first few 'passes' and perhaps near the end of the game when town circles become more clear. The risk after the first few days that the person holding the ring is killed, or has the ring stolen (which is a possible role according to the OP) makes the plan ineffective.

Therefore, I think that such a plan should work for the first 2 or 3 days to confirm at least one or two people. Any thoughts or ideas about this? I haven't fully fleshed this out yet (i.e. the possibility of fake claims is strong), but its probably a better discussion than the arbitrary finger-pointing going on at the moment.


I'm not sure if you realise it or not but that plan sounds awfully anti-town.
How do we guarantee that even those 1-3 people can pass the ring in the first place?
And even if they can, how does that confirm anybody?

In this game, only people with roles that relate to the ring should bother searching for it secretly, and if the ring is passed it will either be the fruits of their efforts or a complete accident.
As for the effects of the ring, there is no real way to find out, the only people that know are the ring bearers and mentioning that you have it/explaining what it does is virtually ensuring you get killed overnight in the hopes that you can't pass it.

First, if the players in question cannot pass the ring, then the plan does not go into effect. A player only announces that they had the ring in the previous turn. If they can't pass it on, they stay silent and we are none the wiser.

Second, given Radfield's argument that evil players probably don't have the mechanic to pass the ring (otherwise they would pass it amongst themselves), if we can get two successive passes, that would confirm at least one player. The danger of course is passing to a mafia player, but that probability initially is small.

At any rate, I think it is pretty likely that the ring will worm into non-town hands (whether 3rd party or mafia) given that non-town players will constantly search and probe every turn. There's no way to comprehensively prevent them from getting the ring, therefore, why not get some benefit to it.

Finally, another point that can be made is that the player who passes on the ring and reveals themselves can also reveal what the ring does. Given that every player already covets it, it would be nice to at least have that information.


So basically you want people to say "I had the ring guys, I managed to pass it off, but I'm not saying to who" and maybe list it's effects?
We can't be sure evil players can't pass the ring, and if the person who claimed to have got rid of it was telling the truth or not.
There is way too much uncertainty, and I believe only a non-town party would be trying to push a bad plan to get the ring
Unless you can come up with a really good reason you care so much about the ring bearer
##Vote TranceStorm



This is a bunk vote. Bad plans are pushed all the time, mostly by townies as scum generally have very little motivation to push a bad plan. Bad plans need refinement, not votes.

Fact is, if the player who has the ring DOES pass it, he should likely claim. Either he is counterclaimed later when frodo/bilbo actually passes it, or he is confirmed. It doesn't help us immensely, but it certainly doesn't hinder.


Radfield returns the favor defending TranceStorm. No one look at Trancestorm, he's just a bad townie with a bad plan.

On September 17 2011 15:27 TranceStorm wrote:
@DrH. Fine, those are valid points. I didn't fully flesh out my plan as well as I imagined it would be and underestimated the risks.

But, wouldn't it be a good idea to set the rule that if a player does ever pass on the ring, they reveal its powers? We already know that everyone wants the ring (both town and non-town) so I think it would be beneficial to town discussion to know the ring powers. (if they don't change like you fear they might).


Many people criticize his plan. Trancestorm makes an effort to address everything thrown at him and when it seems like he's failing to convince people he adds the customary "at least I'm generating discussion which is TOWN". But to DrH, it's simply: You're right. I made a bad plan and you, and only you, get the credit for correcting me. Good job. Only DrH gets him to see the error of his plan when other people have already chimed in with what is essentially the same arguments.


On September 19 2011 04:25 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 19 2011 04:20 prplhz wrote:
in case i didn't make it clear i thought that drh could do better and he was acting weird, that's why i voted him first. when that didn't catch on too well i switched to jack, another person who i thought should be doing a lot better. think it's too late for me to move my vote so i doubt i'm gonna do that.

i have attacked just about 1 guy and only said that 3 people were scummy, i'm sure you can find other people who have thrown more accusations around 'cause that's not really too bad. i think most of all this voting me is because cyriander suddenly came out of nowhere and said i was a good guy and apparently i'm his pal or something, but you should really be questioning him instead 'cause that's very weird day1 after a couple of posts from me that i agree could be interpreted as scummy ... but this is too late and something that can be done tomorrow. i think people should switch their votes to wbg me and jack.

i also want to tell sandroba and palmar that i have the eru-iluvatar-given ability to instantly kill them at my will if they don't start posting.

You made a long analysis to justify why you voted for Dr. H. Then you changed to Jackal (after he had already received a couple of votes) saying that you wanted to pressure him. There is still no justification at all for you vote. Considering that you had already shown that you were willing to give analysis on other people, I find your vote super suspicious hence my vote.

Now you say that it's too late for you to move your vote. You still haven't justified your vote at all, and are basically admitting that you didn't have one in the first place.


End of the day, he votes for the candidate who makes an analysis attacking DrH.

-----

Now what else do we have:

- The late bandwagons and his voting patterns.

- Really anti-iGrok, but who wasn't? (oh yeah me). Attacking cyber_cheese primarily for his votes and for defending iGrok. Rayn is right. This little interaction between the two of them is a little weird. I have no idea what to make of it but at best, only one of the town is mafia.

Am I entirely convinced? Not completely. Radfield did a really good job of getting townies to do what he wanted. ON had many of the same mistakes and he flipped town. The late bandwagons are iffy at best as tells for alignment, and Cyber and TS can just be two townies who can't stop tunneling each other. TS was simply the better alternative to Cyber at the time.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 21:23 GMT
#2719
On October 01 2011 06:14 Pyo wrote:
scum team: heist, chaoser, kitaman


stop being deliberately useless
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 21:27 GMT
#2720
On October 01 2011 06:15 Pyo wrote:
##unvote

##vote: chaoser


What the hell is this? Chaoser has killed a mafia member. Chaoser is not mafia. We are trying to lynch mafia. Mafia, mafia, mafia. Put your vote to better use.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 21:50 GMT
#2732
On October 01 2011 06:48 TranceStorm wrote:
@heist - You say that my interaction with Radfield was a respectful one. That's true, but go back and read through his posts once again - they are quite sensible and logical in their argumentation. I like many other players, was misled by him. No one really put up a fight against his arguments at all during the hours before each lynch (it was only after the lynch that people started saying 'Obviously he wasn't mafia').

Furthermore, think for a moment where my votes came in on both of the those lynches. They both came in at times when the person who I voted for had a large chance of being lynched. If I truly was mafia, wouldn't I have simply said "I don't feel comfortable about this lynch" and voted for another candidate to appear safer? Why would I knowingly vote for the townie candidate in both days 1 and 2 when people had already pointed out the suspicion revolving around my plan?


I admit both of these things in my conclusion. At this point it's a matter of weighing in everything against pyo or cyber.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 21:56 GMT
#2737
I'll make my final choice in around 20 min. Till then I have work to do.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
October 02 2011 08:24 GMT
#2809
2KP = 4 mafia left?

Are we sure of this?
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
October 02 2011 08:25 GMT
#2810
And obviously Draz and kita aren't dead because kita is the obvious medic target from Drazerk, and Drazerk is the obvious medic target from our second medic.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
October 02 2011 08:27 GMT
#2811
wait sry. there's only 7 of us. there can't be 4 mafia.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
October 02 2011 08:35 GMT
#2812
Also can we stop talking about Drazerk and kita? They are irrelevant.

I don't think it's TS.

That leaves it to GGQ and cyber.

My vote goes to cyber.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
October 02 2011 08:40 GMT
#2813
Actually, why aren't mafia RBing Drazerk and killing Kita?
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
October 02 2011 08:43 GMT
#2814
Wow I'm all over the place. Guess that's what happens when no one else is around.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
October 02 2011 09:48 GMT
#2817
If it really comes down to the wire I have an iron claim. Imagine a LOTR character that HAS to be in this game simply for their importance. That's me. mr bigshsot. so ya no use voting for me. oh ya whos the other medic? confirmed townie foor sure.

Mig I wish you the best in all your endeavors.

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