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TL Mafia XLIII

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 01 2011 07:54 GMT
#20
/in
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 01 2011 18:52 GMT
#74
/confirm
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 02 2011 01:09 GMT
#197
I'm fine with sandrobas plan, I've tried one other pm game where everyone mass claimed to a townie day one, and it would have worked great if godfather didnt get dt chcked night one and considered confirmed town, so the scum team had the role list by day 2 (<3 drh). I'd prefer if we pushed the day vig hit to closer to deadline for more discussion though.

Biggest problem however is whether we have a day vig or not. Could the people who still havent commented on it do so? The sooner we know if the majority of the town agrees with the plan the sooner we can focus on who to kill/lynch.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 02 2011 06:53 GMT
#213
In the past few games we've been less reliant on blue roles and won, you want to abuse PMs and the assumption we have such roles to win, this is just going backwards. The fact that you came up with a plan is fine, but you need to come to the realization it is in most cases unrealistic.

Are you against it because you are against relying on blue roles, or because of the setup?
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 02 2011 06:54 GMT
#214
ebwodp:

Are you against the plan because it is relying on blue roles, or because of the setup?
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 02 2011 09:15 GMT
#219
A rule of thump is blue #=mafia #, ie. 4 blues in this setup. There is 3 vigi types in the game, so I'm guessing we have at least one vigi type of role. There is a special mechanic regarding veterans/roleblockers, so I'm guessing there is at least one of those as well. Rest is a bit more vague, could be a heavy vigi setup, or could be a vigi and a medic. In any case, even normal vigi's are some of the easiest to confirm roles when we know the mafia KP, so a mass claim should be possible.

I like syllogism's post above me though, a shot tomorrow is more likely to hit mafia.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 02 2011 18:36 GMT
#243
JeeJee the fact that YM has one useless post sais more about YM than about redFF's innocence, it's hardly an argument either way.

Regarding the plan i don't think we have a majority for using a vigi shot day one, so vigi shouldn't claim just yet.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 02 2011 18:46 GMT
#245
You are starting to sound like you did in mafia xxxviii DrH I guess thats a good thing.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 03 2011 10:47 GMT
#363
I'm suspicious of curu because of this question and answer:

On August 02 2011 07:23 Kurumi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2011 07:14 Curu wrote:
BLU Soldier
You don't care unless area is maggot free. You will blast them maggots when the sun is blazing hot!
Day Vigi with two shots. Type ##Rocket Player in the thread to use Your ability.

Kurumi/Palmar, when this guy shoots, does it get announced in thread regardless if the hit player dies or not?

There is no notification.


The purpose of the question is to figure out if mafia can fake a vigi+veteran combo, be considered confirmed town, and proceed to abuse the suggested plan. It's good thinking and doesn't say anything of his alignment as such. The problem is he asks the question, and then keeps it's significance to himself. As I see it a townie who got the idea would proceed to warn the town about it, not keep it to himself.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 03 2011 19:43 GMT
#406
Activity level has been so low all day, and varpulis defense so bad, that I don't think he can be scum. Of luci drazek and JeeJee, JeeJee seems like the scummiest to me.

#Vote JeeJee
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 03 2011 22:48 GMT
#436
Pleasantly surprised, gj guys .
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 04 2011 00:33 GMT
#471
On August 04 2011 09:27 redFF wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2011 09:21 Curu wrote:
I'd prefer the Vig on JeeJee/Munk-E and the DT on BC. Medic on Mig.

why medic on mig? A medic on ON or DrH is wayy better.

Mig was the one starting the case on varpulis, posting the initial analysis and pressuring him through the day. I consider ON and DrH town as well though. As a side note Trotske is most likely town based on Varpulis' FoS.

I wouldn't DT check JeeJee or BC, if mafia they are most likely to be the godfather.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 04 2011 01:19 GMT
#481
On August 04 2011 10:06 redFF wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2011 09:33 Barundar wrote:
On August 04 2011 09:27 redFF wrote:
On August 04 2011 09:21 Curu wrote:
I'd prefer the Vig on JeeJee/Munk-E and the DT on BC. Medic on Mig.

why medic on mig? A medic on ON or DrH is wayy better.

Mig was the one starting the case on varpulis, posting the initial analysis and pressuring him through the day. I consider ON and DrH town as well though. As a side note Trotske is most likely town based on Varpulis' FoS.

I wouldn't DT check JeeJee or BC, if mafia they are most likely to be the godfather.

For all we know Varp knew he was getting lynched so decided to attack trotske and they could be both scum? Also please read the thread gf is random.

He posted the FoS before there was a case against him, it was one of the cardinal points in the initial analysis. Please read thread?

And yeah I know it says random, but every host messes around with the rolls for balance.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 05 2011 09:14 GMT
#610
Mig is pretty clear town, he was already by night time for leading the varp lynch, and the missing kp in the day post just adds to that. I don't see a reason not to claim to him.

For today I'd prefer to lynch out one of JeeJee and chaos13, simply because I don't think every single scum banded on the varp lynch.

JeeJee and chaos13 where both on the Drazerk wagon, which was the most obvious attempt of a vote switch to save varp. BC was on Drazerk as well, but his posting comes across a lot more town like for me.

I agree with BC's case that JeeJee has failed to take hard stances, he has been defending players instead of pressuring, and now he downplay his ability as town. chaos13 kept seemingly refusing to place his vote on varp, until he suddenly realised Drazerk's meta didn't fit his scum play. It took him 48 minutes to change his mind.

For now,
##Vote JeeJee
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 05 2011 13:25 GMT
#616
^at least two of your questions are answered in the OP:
On August 01 2011 09:48 Kurumi wrote:
Three Legged Electrosapper Robot
You're newly created abomination of RED. Thanks to all improvements, You can defy all laws of normal game, thus making classes useless!
Roleblocker, roleblocks during the night, duh! Every class is notified about roleblock! Cancels Heavy's life!

BLU Medic
Archimedies and You are the greatest doctor team of all! Thanks to Your amazing ZE inventions You can bring Your teamnates from the worst injury!
Just a Medic. Chooses to protect one person every night, thus giving "additional" life for that night. Player, if hit will be notified of protect, Medic won't.

Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 05 2011 21:17 GMT
#663
On August 06 2011 04:51 Sevryn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2011 03:44 Mig wrote:
I was going to wait for chaos and sevryn to show up before I posted this but half way through and they are still awol so gonna post it so everyone can discuss.

One of JeeJee/Bc is pretty much guaranteed scum.

DrH, BC, JeeJee have all claimed medic to me. I talked with BC, ON and DrH who have experience hosting and the odds that there are 3 medics 1 vet in a 20 man game, even with 2 rbers, is virtually none. I trust DrH so I am fairly confident he is telling me the truth. So we can almost guarantee that one of BC/JeeJee is lying. The case against JeeJee is much stronger I believe. He A) defended Varp right after I made the first case against him B) he put virtually 0 effort into contributing analysis and scum hunting, yet when people call him out he comes in and defends himself strongly. So the current plan should be to lynch JeeJee and if he flips red we can try to work out the best plan for the medics, probably something like one defends me one defends the other medic.

Assuming JeeJee flips red then the other 2 scum are very likely between YM/Chaos/Sevryn/Lucid

I'm sorry I'm catching up on the thread how am I connected to these people?

Sevrin the problem is you are the most invisible poster in the thread, I can't remember anything of your stances or posts, neither good or bad. If you are town you should try and be more active and involved.

For an example you could look into YM and chaos13?
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 06 2011 16:19 GMT
#698
Munk-E is in danger of getting modkilled. Everyone else is fine.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 06 2011 16:25 GMT
#699
On August 07 2011 01:19 Barundar wrote:
Munk-E is in danger of getting modkilled. Everyone else is fine.

Scratch that. Lucidity haven't voted. redFF's vote is not counted in Kurumi's vote count either. Maybe repost it with bold?
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 06 2011 21:10 GMT
#721
Phew, waiting was killing me . Looks like we got this game in the bag.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 06 2011 21:25 GMT
#734
On August 07 2011 06:17 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
i dont wanna defend myself too much but can i just say that when people were casting all kinds of doubt on the varp lynch and calling it bad (jeejee immediately saying there was no reason for it on day 2) i was the one who really pushed it in irc. it was large parts a gut read but my feeling was strong. there was a golden opportunity to switch onto drazerk or lucidity on day 1 and knowing my ability to get town to stupidly follow whatever i say, if i were scum i guarantee varpulis would not have been lynched on the first day lol

I felt like an idiot for not voting varp, but at least I got my vote on gf ^^
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 06 2011 21:30 GMT
#737
On August 07 2011 06:28 TheAwesomeAll wrote:
i voted on jeejee before it was cool :3

hipster TAA
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 06 2011 21:35 GMT
#740
I think some townies see conspiracy everywhere. I've been like that (me vs lsb mafia 36).
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 07 2011 10:09 GMT
#766
YM first has my vote as well.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 07 2011 18:49 GMT
#789
##Vote Youngminii

webirc seems down for me.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 07 2011 18:51 GMT
#791
Fair enough.

unvote etc.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 07 2011 20:13 GMT
#818
Gief night post!
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 07 2011 20:36 GMT
#827
Lulz. Can we lynch YM?
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 07 2011 21:09 GMT
#838
On August 08 2011 05:59 Lucidity wrote:
YM would have been the safer lynch after Munk-E claimed Vet. But town will get cocky with 2 scum lynches in a row.

That lynch proved that one of the other Vet claims in the Mig group is false though.

If anything it proved that it's quite likely we have a bunch of vets. Just stick to lynching based on analysis, thats how Varp and JeeJee died...
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 08 2011 07:08 GMT
#857
On August 08 2011 08:42 redFF wrote:
Yup so here's a question. If Munk-e was scum for claiming vet and it was unreasonable there were 5 vets when munk-e was alive. How come now hes dead and flipped vet are we not looking at the other claimed vets. And before you say they counterclaimed jeejee, no they didnt. Jeejee claimed medic, not vet. So from a mafia perspective claiming vet/medic would have been fine. I'd like to ask that we dont majority lynch again, as it leaves us with very little vote discussion. This game is not as won as some of you may think.

Let's have a look:

DrH: Pushed varp then godfather. Claimed hit last night.
BC: Voted for godfather day 1. Claims roleblock last night.
Mig: Lead the varp lynch. Claims hit night 1.
Syllogism: Has clearly been working closely with Mig day 1. Has been pushing for both Varp and JeeJee. I trust Mig's judgement on this one.

How is any of them not confirmed?

Then we have lucid claiming. He is by no means confirmed, but the timing of his claim makes no sense from a scum perspective. If he just learned about Munk-E being vet, claiming vet himself would be the stupidest thing to do. It's way more likely that he just saw a problem with the logic that let to the Munk-E lynch, aka: 5 vets is stupid, lynch liar lol.

Anyway mafia can kill anyone they want tonight with roleblock + kp combo. Mig I hope you give all information to one of the other confirmed towns.

YM+chaos13 still seems by far the most likely scum combo.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 08 2011 07:19 GMT
#859
On August 08 2011 16:12 redFF wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2011 16:08 Barundar wrote:
On August 08 2011 08:42 redFF wrote:
Yup so here's a question. If Munk-e was scum for claiming vet and it was unreasonable there were 5 vets when munk-e was alive. How come now hes dead and flipped vet are we not looking at the other claimed vets. And before you say they counterclaimed jeejee, no they didnt. Jeejee claimed medic, not vet. So from a mafia perspective claiming vet/medic would have been fine. I'd like to ask that we dont majority lynch again, as it leaves us with very little vote discussion. This game is not as won as some of you may think.

Let's have a look:

DrH: Pushed varp then godfather. Claimed hit last night.
BC: Voted for godfather day 1. Claims roleblock last night.
Mig: Lead the varp lynch. Claims hit night 1.
Syllogism: Has clearly been working closely with Mig day 1. Has been pushing for both Varp and JeeJee. I trust Mig's judgement on this one.

How is any of them not confirmed?

Then we have lucid claiming. He is by no means confirmed, but the timing of his claim makes no sense from a scum perspective. If he just learned about Munk-E being vet, claiming vet himself would be the stupidest thing to do. It's way more likely that he just saw a problem with the logic that let to the Munk-E lynch, aka: 5 vets is stupid, lynch liar lol.

Anyway mafia can kill anyone they want tonight with roleblock + kp combo. Mig I hope you give all information to one of the other confirmed towns.

YM+chaos13 still seems by far the most likely scum combo.

Explain this statement!

1) chaos13: Kept saying varp is scummy, but refused to throw down a vote on him and soft pushed Drazerk instead. Pushed for Munk-E lynch before YM before this flip.

2) YM: Silly Mig push after Mig post varp analysis. Silly TAA push after 2-3 votes stack on JeeJee. Post about DT checking godfather and killing BC + "when DT check returned green".

That's the short version of it.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 08 2011 11:49 GMT
#862
I can see plenty of reasons why saying it would be more important than doing the actual vote.

Whos your suspects chaos and why?
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 09 2011 08:39 GMT
#933
I'm not ready to lynch into the town circle just because of a few mislynches. Fact is the medic plan worked, and scum was already in an unfavorable position, so I doubt they intentionally screwed up a kill. Syllo, I would like you to be more active in thread with reads though, been excusing you because it seemed like you worked closely with mig behind the scenes.

I still think we are dealing with a relatively inexperienced mafia team. Hitting Troske and redFF, roleblocking kenpachi, not roleblocking their target points toward newer players.

My suspect list:
Sevryn: Invisible poster, who has failed to give mafia/town reads but pops up after day post. Called out but continued to be invisible. Has connection to Troske.

chaos13: His day 1 play is the most incriminating part about him, he changed opinion between varp and drazerk in around 45 minutes based on meta analysis. Up untill that point he found both scummy, but he would just rather vote for dazerk.

Lucidity: Scum didn't try to push his lynch day 1 when varp was under fire, claims veteran but insist one of the other veterans has to be fake claiming.

At the moment I'm leaning lucidity.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 09 2011 09:16 GMT
#935
syllo whats your thoughts on todays lynch?
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 09 2011 20:56 GMT
#982
Sevryn why are you so eager to hear others opinion without posting your own? You aren't responding to PM's.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 09 2011 21:31 GMT
#988
I still think it would be silly to lynch into the town circle who knew about the plan that wasted one of scum's precious few KP's. Would rather see chaos13 hang first, we are not in a hurry.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 09 2011 23:03 GMT
#992
I'm against a syllogism lynch. Syllogism knew about Mig being veteran from night one, where mafia only hit Mig once, and used the roleblocker on Kenpachi. Syllogism knew about the 4 veteran claims before JeeJee claimed medic, so could have easily warned JeeJee that claiming medic now would be a really bad idea. And Syllogism of course knew of the fake medic plan.

Lynching just because of assumptions as to the setup is silly. Yes when we have 4 veteran claim, the 1 medic claim seems fake, because it's out of place. But remember when Munk-E got lynched for claiming vet as well? He actually was vet. We don't know the number of power roles in the setup, we know that mafia has 2 roleblockers and a godfather, it's entirely possible that we have more than the standard four powerroles, specially since mafia has all the tools they need to completely nulify them (2 roleblockers from start).

The case against Syllogism is mainly based on him being extremely inactive in thread, and that he would be the last of the vets to get lynched. But what has he actually done that is anti town? He has voted Varp and was one of the first on JeeJee day 2. He has argued for mass claim to Mig, which like it or not netted at least one scum (JeeJee). How is that anti town, compared to an inactive like Sevryn?
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 10 2011 05:55 GMT
#1001
hammer'd.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 10 2011 08:38 GMT
#1007
seriusly stop with the fucking troll posts. Was he a mafia or not? Player list is not updated.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 10 2011 08:55 GMT
#1015
Most of the arguments that apply to you apply to BC as well syllo. Anyways gonna go chill for a bit.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 10 2011 20:34 GMT
#1042
I've had a clear town read on BC all game, but I honestly don't think we can take the chance not to lynch him after yesterday. I'll have a look at ghrur, sevryn and lucid tomorrow though.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 10 2011 22:50 GMT
#1050
I'm going to ##Vote sevryn

First of all I don't think BC is scum. He pushed the JeeJee lynch and was part of the town circle. Also he has appeared town in the conversations I've had with him. That said, I think he was/is wrong on syllo being mafia (not sure if you still think this?).

Second of all we have to prepare for a potential lylo. That means getting rid of people we don't have a read on. And while I agree Kenpachi is a lurker who can be hard to read, Sevryn has simply been lurking more hardcore this game. On top of that sevryn sheeped after BC on to Drazerk day one like chaos13 and JeeJee - in fact he didn't even comment on the varp case at all.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 10 2011 23:25 GMT
#1052
On August 11 2011 08:15 Lucidity wrote:
So we're accepting that there are 6 Vets now??

It's silly to lynch solely based on guesses as to the setup. We now know there are at least 5 vets, but Munk-E got lynched because no one thought that was a possibility. If we lynch BC is it because of his actions yesterday, not his claim.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 11 2011 09:14 GMT
#1057
On August 11 2011 17:46 syllogism wrote:
Oh and regarding sevryn; I've a hard time believing they were desperate enough to save varpulis to have 3 of their own vote in a block on a lynch candidate that didn't really have meaningful support from town

Just wanna point out this is wifom and goes for BC as well.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 11 2011 09:26 GMT
#1061
Well ignoring him because 2 scum was on that wagon already seems about as pointless as lynching based on guesses as to setup. Saying "no scum team would place 3 out of 4 votes on same guy day one" is as saying "no mods would put 6 vets in a game".

Kenpachi was the first to break the wave of votes going on to syllogism yesterday and vote chaos13 instead. While I agree he is also unreadable and should be killed off before lylo, I think sevryn is way scummier.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 12 2011 08:03 GMT
#1080
I actually agree, lucid is a good lynch today, he is the only one of the vet claims im not sure of.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 12 2011 08:32 GMT
#1082
On August 12 2011 17:18 syllogism wrote:
This town is starting to really tilt me. Lynch kenpachi. Lucidity is a ridiculously bad lynch. Why would mafia claim vet when there were 5 vet claims and we were about to lynch one (munk-e)? If you say WIFOM, I'll strangle you; some actions in mafia are always more likely than others. The only question is whether we can accurately estimate which is more probable. In this case it's trivial; lucidity is almost certainly town and a vet.


Kenpachi voted chaos13 yesterday when there was a wagon forming on you. Lucid never vote, and was complaining at votes stacking up on chaos13. Sorry but that seems like the best lynch today for me.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 12 2011 14:53 GMT
#1094
Well I will be very suprised if Kenpachi flips red, but no lynch doesn't serve town.

Hammer'd.
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 12 2011 15:08 GMT
#1102
ahaha well my hats off to syllo
Bartundar
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
August 12 2011 20:31 GMT
#1134
A clear majority of players wanted to speed up the game, and for good reason. The lynches was settled ahead, and waiting the full time is just boring. The majority voting didn't even favor town, we only killed mafia after we slowed down lynches again.
Bartundar
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