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Team Melee Mini Mafia II - Page 15

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Pyrrhuloxia
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States6700 Posts
September 21 2010 00:46 GMT
#281
On September 21 2010 05:59 Bill Murray wrote:
LSB's admission is only icing on the cake
@LSB: how would you be so CERTAIN they're scum? You have a scumlist, buddy?

Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 04:43 SouthRawrea wrote:
So you're saying I'm posting nothing when really what I'm doing is making a post that shows that there is really no plan that we can come up with? Then pray, tell me what sort of content-filled posts you can make this early in the game? @Pyrr


This makes me confident in my earlier read
he is appealing to pyrr's authority.
Scummy, scummy, scummy.


I don't get what you mean about SR appealing to my authority. All I did was say that SR always posts these stream of consciousness posts that say very little with many words. When I was on scum team(s) with SR these worried me. When both SR and I were town aligned last game, they made me suspicious of him. I have come to the conclusion that he makes posts like these all the time. Now, when red he has made some suspicious votes so I can recommend we watch his voting carefully. If anything strikes me as scummy about SR so far, it is that he got really defensive, thinking I was attacking him when I was, in fact, pointing out that he was posting in his usual way.

I honestly don't know why LSB is suspicious of team 2. He said "we" were somehow almost certain that team 2 was mafia so maybe he has another partner I don't know about, given that I posted earlier in the thread to say SR was being SR.

To answer SR: I just thought that the fact there was no easy confirmation plan on Day 1 was rather self-explanatory but thank you for posting.
SouthRawrea
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada608 Posts
September 21 2010 00:47 GMT
#282
On September 21 2010 05:59 Bill Murray wrote:
LSB's admission is only icing on the cake
@LSB: how would you be so CERTAIN they're scum? You have a scumlist, buddy?

Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 04:43 SouthRawrea wrote:
So you're saying I'm posting nothing when really what I'm doing is making a post that shows that there is really no plan that we can come up with? Then pray, tell me what sort of content-filled posts you can make this early in the game? @Pyrr


This makes me confident in my earlier read
he is appealing to pyrr's authority.
Scummy, scummy, scummy.

@meeple: I find it funny you ask me to justify my vote when I voted SR on fluff, then make a secondary reason as for voting being fluff yourself. I also dislike you speculating that I was 100% pyrr/SR are the scumteam.... if that was the case, I would have been putting a second vote on Pyrr's team. I didn't. I'm voting SR because I am unsure if Pyrr actually made a slip. The way SR is acting now, though, in the above post, makes me believe that my initial reaction to who I'm voting is actually wrong. I needed to stack on pyrr because his team is way more important as I'm feeling both SR's team #2 with bumatlarge and divinek are scum with Pyrrhuloxia's team #1. My reasoning and justification are how SR is acting towards pyrrhuloxia.

I will also give justification in relation to why we should lynch vs a no lynch day 1. I am not saying "let's not ever no lynch", but that we could use it day 2 if we don't lynch scum day 1.

day 1 lynching scum:

6 v 1
night kill
day 2 5v1 <- possible win here
mislynch + night kill
day 3 3v1 (mylo) <- obvious no lynch unless 100% certainty
night kill
day 4 2v1 (LYLO)

if we DON'T mislynch now, and no lynch later, we can save it for a MyLo potentially.
That's why we need to take a chance on lynching scum today.

this is assuming we fuck up later, but we rocked on day 1. I'm not even really worried about this is Pyrrhuloxia's team #1 flip scum, which I expect them to do based upon SouthRawrEa being a newer player who is a dead giveaway. Though I am more sure of SR based upon his posting, AtA, and my not liking bumatlarge's posting earlier, I feel like they implicate team #1 through SR, and there being a vote on a slot that I find scum is enough for me to want to wagon said slot.

##unvote: pyrrhuloxia/LSB
##vote: SR, bumatlarge, and divinek


You're just being ridiculous here. What sort of authority are you talking about and how on earth am I appealing to it? I'm just pointing out that the majority of the posts here don't really have content anyways.

About your reasoning for saving our NL, here is what happens if we NL now.
Day 1 NL
6v2
Night kill
Day 2 lynching scum (I'm going to say that we lynch scum here because there is a slightly higher chance of lynching scum on day 2 than there is on day 1)
5v1
nightkill
Day 3
4v1 (possible win)
mislynch+night kill
Day 4
2v1 (lylo)

No real difference.
Your explanation doesn't really help. The two scenarios both have the game going for 4 days and I do believe that we will fuck up the day 1 lynch if we end up going through with it. It has the largest margin of error of any of the days until we manage to lynch our first scum. There was a reason I made my earlier post. There really is no benefit to either. It all depends on how the town feels about the scumminess of the teams.

Finally,
On September 20 2010 15:52 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
lol wow I just caught up and that SR post is retarded.

Well a couple of things I saw. Foolishness Medic lists are useful because of the psychological implications of it. Will a medic follow it, will a medic protect themselves, etc. I am really wondering if a medic protects an ENTIRE team or just one of the individuals on it, that will definitely show how strong a medic is. Since this is basically everything x2 I would assume most roles are the same and have entire team implications. IE: DT check effects both members of a team (since no reason it shouldn't) therefore a medic protection should cover an entire team.

Although if that is the case, I sincerely doubt medics can protect themselves. It will be really OP if a medic could just hoard protections on themselves all game since the mafia couldn't possibly kill them. On the other hand if they can only protect half a person they are a useless role. So medics either suck, are OP or aren't in the game. I'd lean towards not being in this set up especially since Korynne remained vague on the answer. I assume the logic is the same as when one of the mafia games had 6 variations of detectives but only 4 were authentic. The point in that was to add more to think about and take into consideration, but in reality it wasn't practical at all because it would break the game.

On that note, I will just go with my team mate and vote for Rasta/Foolishness for picking at incognitos post and ignoring the validity of medic protection list (even though I think medics probably aren't in this game, or at LEAST can't protect themselves)

To summarize because I like Incognito's idea about that.

1. For the moment I am leading towards foolishness/Rasta just because we have nothing better to go on.
2. Really doubt there is a medic role since it seems like it would be really OP, or really shitty depending on how Korynne decided to balance it, and her unwillingness to clarify in thread makes me think its not important.
3. Vote for Foolishness/Rasta just to make it clear.

Its day one though, so I reserve my right to completely change my mind for little to no reason :D


Alright so: That is an incredibly scummy statement if I've ever seen one. (see bolded) This is a really poor justification for voting someone. That early in the game, of course there is nothing to go on. As your teammate had said, we must focus on behavior analysis. However, you seem to agree with his inital vote and then completely ignore the parts of his posts concerning the tactics we should use for the afore-mentioned behaviour analysis. Also, concerning the parts of your post about the medic list, the WIFOM exists regardless of whether or not the medic list is there. In fact, it's general rule of thumb to trust the medic to do his job properly by protecting the person in the most danger of getting NKed. The part about the medic being or not being OP is not even worth reading. Before you criticize my post, look to your own.
SouthRawrea
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada608 Posts
September 21 2010 00:48 GMT
#283
On September 21 2010 09:46 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 05:59 Bill Murray wrote:
LSB's admission is only icing on the cake
@LSB: how would you be so CERTAIN they're scum? You have a scumlist, buddy?

On September 21 2010 04:43 SouthRawrea wrote:
So you're saying I'm posting nothing when really what I'm doing is making a post that shows that there is really no plan that we can come up with? Then pray, tell me what sort of content-filled posts you can make this early in the game? @Pyrr


This makes me confident in my earlier read
he is appealing to pyrr's authority.
Scummy, scummy, scummy.


To answer SR: I just thought that the fact there was no easy confirmation plan on Day 1 was rather self-explanatory but thank you for posting.


Well as I predicted, some people don't seem to think so.
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
September 21 2010 01:14 GMT
#284
Overview: The entire Divinek/Southrawrea/Bumatalarge team was incredibly unhelpful. This isn’t like Zeks, who just lurks all the time. Divinek, Southrawrea, and Bumatalarge usually at least make the effort to help. It’s strange why none of them are doing that right now.

Addon: Bumatalarge’s second post is actually pretty helpful.

Conclusion: Not as sure as before, before I was going off of the "This can't be a coincidence. Once is a accidence, twice is a coincidence, three times is enemy action".
This could just be South and Divinek. If Bum didn't make his second post, I would have immediatly voted for him.

Anyways, I'll still post my thoughts

Divinek
+ Show Spoiler +

Firstly I'm looking at Divinek's actions actions in Callers game. (He is anti-town, dunno the full story yet)
Did a few accusations, nothing major. Was more of a bandwagoner
The main thing is, he doesn't defend himself much. He just tries to laugh things off. He also ignored my accusations in Penalty mafia (He was mafia). Likewise in Penalty mafia he was a bandwagoner.

So look for: Laugh accusations off, bandwagons

The main thing is, it seems that he is jumping to defend himself at the littlest things now, small accusations that are extremely far fetched.

On September 19 2010 11:40 meeple wrote:
I'm wondering if Korynne would put Southrawrea into a group of reds... I don't think she picked that group by random and also wondering if having a group of three is more or less "powerful" than having a group of 2.

^random speculation
On September 19 2010 14:38 Divinek wrote:
i have no idea why he's on our team tbh, im assuming it has something to do with the power of greyskull.

Divinek immediately jumps on this, and does his laugh it off defense.

Also another defense
On September 20 2010 01:57 Pandain wrote:
In addition, who do we lynch today? Well, i'm starting to think we should lynch one of South, Divinek, or Bumatlarge. Lynching one will confirm the two others, helping us in future scum hunting and decision. If mafia try to take these confirmed out, its alright, because they aren't exactly "vets" and it'll take two turns for mafia to finish them off. However, I sort of doubt they'll go for them as they'll probably go for the vets themselves.

I immediately shot that idea down
On September 20 2010 01:59 LSB wrote:
Just FYI, we lynch a team, rather than just one person.

And I felt that conversation should have ended right there.

To my surprise, Divinek suddenly posts
On September 20 2010 05:49 Divinek wrote:
what do you mean lynching one of us will confirm us lol? if you kill one person of a team im pretty sure alignment doesnt flip, if that's even what you're getting at because you don't make it clear, that'd be pretty ridiculous. I've got my eye on you as always pandain!

I can't find it in the rules, but that's how it's been in the past...

Divinek should know that the whole team gets killed. He was lynched day two in the first TMM game.
Obviously this idea has been destroyed already, since I pointed out that it wouldn’t work as per the rules, but why does Divinek suddenly try to offer a random explanation? I can only think that he is paranoid.

Now, you might say that town defend themselves and this doesn’t mean anything. But these are the only posts that Divinek makes. He hasn’t contributed anything at all.

That also mean that Divinek hasn’t been attempting to bandwagon people yet, but that’s because there has been no real attacking post yet.


Divinek 2
+ Show Spoiler +

Later on Divinek makes this post
On September 21 2010 05:38 Divinek wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 04:54 Infundibulum wrote:
On September 21 2010 04:08 LSB wrote:
On September 21 2010 02:15 BrownBear wrote:
There's a bit of an interesting dynamic starting to come out here.

On September 20 2010 15:30 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
That's all SR ever posts. I don't think he posts any better when townie. I think he thinks he is contributing a lot but... he just manages to state the obvious and make it mind bangingly esoteric. Very unnerving.


This could be a slip, or it could be Pyrry trying to gently suggest SR as mafia to us. This early in the game, I would be astonished if Pyrry slipped up that spectacularly, so I think he's trying to plant the SR-scum idea in our heads (inception?).

That's not a slip up. We are pretty certain that team 2 is mafia. I just want a few more posts from them.


What makes you think so? I'm curious, because Team 2 isn't on my radar right now for mafia. The way I see it - Bumatlarge seems drunk, Divinek made one post where he completely misunderstood how the game works, and SR talked about the merits of lynch vs no lynch. none of this says 'mafia' to me.


yeah pandain had me confused into thinking players got lynched instead of teams lol. It's probably his scum jedi mind tricks at work.

Bum wasn't drunk that's just his accent coming through in his posts.

And SR has always been really good at posting really poorly.

I would be all in favour of no lynching day 1, i mean why not use it on the day where we have the least information to go on? We'll still gain something as there will be a nk, or a medic protect to stop it or maybe even a DT check or something.

But instead of throwing around wild allegations (which alot of people seem to be doing) i would much rather not kill an innocent today, which is what 95% to happen on day1? and go with a no lynch

so

##vote no lynch

This seems consistent, he’s defending himself.

Also, since Team 2 is the team that’s getting the most votes right now, he can’t bandwagon that, he’ll go for the next best option, no lynch


SouthRawrea
+ Show Spoiler +

Okay, as town, he is pretty hard to understand. I played with him in PyP, and I just ignored his posts because they took to long to read through, and then I find that he’s making lots of assumptions
At the same time though, he always put his two cents in.

On September 20 2010 09:32 SouthRawrea wrote:
So this is a really basic game of mafia. If the scenario is 2 mafia 6 townies, we're best of lynching from day 1, no buts or ifs. If we have only have a doctor the scenario is the same, lynch from day 1. The only difference is that we have a better chance of survival. The thing about a cop only scenario is that if mafia claims cop and the real cop counterclaims, we'll end up in a scenario where we'll have 1 mafia, 3 townies with the cop most likely dead. We'll most likely have 1 confirmed, 2 townies and 1 mafia at the end in which case we have a 1/3 shot at winning. Now what the mafia has to be careful of is if we have both a cop and a doctor in which case our chances of winning rise significantly because we'll be able to protect the confirmed cop after we realize that we were duped by the mafia fakecop. Now our two possible options are: 1) Lynch right away or 2) Wait a day for a possible guilty report and proceed to lynch regardless if cop outs himself. If we lynch right away for a scenario where we have a cop, we have a slight chance of outting our cop but it's nothing significant. In the end because we end the game on a mylo, it won't make a difference. However if we wait a day in a situation where we do not have a cop, it'll reduce our chances of winning. It doesn't really matter what we choose to do because we don't the setup of the game.

TL;DR We can choose NL or Lynch but it all depends on which of the game setups we have. Since we don't know which one it is, it doesn't matter which we pick.

Translation: It doesn’t matter what we do.
This is very unhelpful. He makes a long post just to say nothing at all.

On September 20 2010 10:04 SouthRawrea wrote:
I'd like to echo Foolishness's point and say that my take on this game is that it's almost 100% scumhunting. There's a 50% shot at there being a cop and Korynne is unwilling to release any information not included in the OP. (Usually though, medics can't protect themselves) This limits any plans that we may have especially because we don't know the setup and we may not be able to investigate.

Alternatively, Korynne may be setting up a game where we can look for clues with his/her posts to perhaps find the mafia or who's innocent.

Also: EBWOP for my earlier post. I didn't realize that we couldn't NL. I overlooked Korynne's post.

Anyhow, posting is good because we actually have nothing to work with other than posts at this point in time and possibly for the entire game.

Again, he doesn’t say anything besides we should play as normal
This isn’t putting his two cents in. This is simply just posting random stuff so it looks like he’s active

On September 21 2010 04:43 SouthRawrea wrote:
So you're saying I'm posting nothing when really what I'm doing is making a post that shows that there is really no plan that we can come up with? Then pray, tell me what sort of content-filled posts you can make this early in the game? @Pyrr

Okay, now he explains his posts, he’s saying that it’s impossible to make a plan.
At the same time though, Incogs plan already declared that the existence of a cop is moot, all we need is the intimidation factor. Although I don’t agree with Incog’s plan, SouthRawrea’s post completely ignores this.

At the same time, to try to prove that we can’t make a plan? That seems incredibly anti-town. A good plan wins the town games. To try persuade us that we can’t make a plan seems pretty scummy.


Bumatlarge (Now seems pro town)
+ Show Spoiler +

On September 21 2010 04:52 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 04:08 LSB wrote:
On September 21 2010 02:15 BrownBear wrote:
There's a bit of an interesting dynamic starting to come out here.

On September 20 2010 15:30 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
That's all SR ever posts. I don't think he posts any better when townie. I think he thinks he is contributing a lot but... he just manages to state the obvious and make it mind bangingly esoteric. Very unnerving.


This could be a slip, or it could be Pyrry trying to gently suggest SR as mafia to us. This early in the game, I would be astonished if Pyrry slipped up that spectacularly, so I think he's trying to plant the SR-scum idea in our heads (inception?).

That's not a slip up. We are pretty certain that team 2 is mafia. I just want a few more posts from them.


If you're certain why aren't you trying hard to convince the rest of us they are scum?

I wanted to see what Bum would write. He really hasn’t posted anything. And there’s no way to tell if he’s busy, or if he is lurking.

Bum then posts a pretty pro town post
On September 21 2010 08:20 bumatlarge wrote:
I only had a minute to throw a post out, and I'd rather not stay quiet. Dont think I said much game-breaking stuff.

Uh medic can protect themself? Would it be possible to get them to claim, since mafia really doesnt want to risk a mis-hit. If medic claims, RNG's protecting themselves or someone else we could get some info, and Im not really sure mafia would be willing to false-claim by chance we have a medic team, and then we are guaranteed a scum lynch by day 2. It kinda confirms them... no? But we should set up an exact tiem for them to roleclaim so we dont have some gimmicky 'oh i didnt see im medic lol. If no one says anything, we know we dont have a med, or they choose to keep quiet.

Thoughts?

I like the idea, basically we get a tree stump, that can vote, and someone is confirmed. That could clear up a lot of confusion. I don’t see a better role for the medic.

As to answer Pandian, I’d like to see a confirmed townie more than a random chance of the medic protecting themselves.

Math wise, the mafia has a 33% chance of hitting the medic during the two nights. And I don't count on stuff with less than half a chance of success

Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
September 21 2010 01:19 GMT
#285
At the same time though... having the medic protect himself does seem like a great way to be able to safely snipe off the active players.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
Pyrrhuloxia
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States6700 Posts
September 21 2010 01:21 GMT
#286
I do think that Divinek and South Rawrea are both weirdly defensive, but BM's idea for the medic was really good. I didn't realize Divinek was also on Team 2 when we talked about him.

I guess I'll have to see what SR says about that plan since he has seemed to hold steadfast that plans are bad.
SouthRawrea
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada608 Posts
September 21 2010 01:27 GMT
#287
I haven't said that plans are bad, just that I'm pretty sure that you really can't come up with a plan in this setup.
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
September 21 2010 01:36 GMT
#288
On September 21 2010 10:27 SouthRawrea wrote:
I haven't said that plans are bad, just that I'm pretty sure that you really can't come up with a plan in this setup.

What do you think about Bum's Medic idea?
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 21 2010 01:57 GMT
#289
On September 21 2010 10:14 LSB wrote:
Overview: The entire Divinek/Southrawrea/Bumatalarge team was incredibly unhelpful. This isn’t like Zeks, who just lurks all the time. Divinek, Southrawrea, and Bumatalarge usually at least make the effort to help. It’s strange why none of them are doing that right now.

Addon: Bumatalarge’s second post is actually pretty helpful.

Conclusion: Not as sure as before, before I was going off of the "This can't be a coincidence. Once is a accidence, twice is a coincidence, three times is enemy action".
This could just be South and Divinek. If Bum didn't make his second post, I would have immediatly voted for him.

Anyways, I'll still post my thoughts

Divinek
+ Show Spoiler +

Firstly I'm looking at Divinek's actions actions in Callers game. (He is anti-town, dunno the full story yet)
Did a few accusations, nothing major. Was more of a bandwagoner
The main thing is, he doesn't defend himself much. He just tries to laugh things off. He also ignored my accusations in Penalty mafia (He was mafia). Likewise in Penalty mafia he was a bandwagoner.

So look for: Laugh accusations off, bandwagons

So, typical Divinek? Or even typical townie?
The main thing is, it seems that he is jumping to defend himself at the littlest things now, small accusations that are extremely far fetched.

back it up
On September 19 2010 11:40 meeple wrote:
I'm wondering if Korynne would put Southrawrea into a group of reds... I don't think she picked that group by random and also wondering if having a group of three is more or less "powerful" than having a group of 2.

^random speculation

On September 19 2010 14:38 Divinek wrote:
i have no idea why he's on our team tbh, im assuming it has something to do with the power of greyskull.

Divinek immediately jumps on this, and does his laugh it off defense.
I'm not sure I would call it "jumping on the occasion." It seems like a perfectly normal post to me. the topic is related to him, why should he not respond? Seriously, its not even a defense. First of all, for it to be one it would have to be both
1. Incriminating to him as mafia
2.Him be mafia.
So accusing him of mafia based on evidence relying on him being mafia is NOT logical in the least bit. I don't know the exact word for that. In addition, I highly doubt how it could be incriminating to him.


Also another defense
On September 20 2010 01:57 Pandain wrote:
In addition, who do we lynch today? Well, i'm starting to think we should lynch one of South, Divinek, or Bumatlarge. Lynching one will confirm the two others, helping us in future scum hunting and decision. If mafia try to take these confirmed out, its alright, because they aren't exactly "vets" and it'll take two turns for mafia to finish them off. However, I sort of doubt they'll go for them as they'll probably go for the vets themselves.

I immediately shot that idea down
On September 20 2010 01:59 LSB wrote:
Just FYI, we lynch a team, rather than just one person.

And I felt that conversation should have ended right there.

To my surprise, Divinek suddenly posts
On September 20 2010 05:49 Divinek wrote:
what do you mean lynching one of us will confirm us lol? if you kill one person of a team im pretty sure alignment doesnt flip, if that's even what you're getting at because you don't make it clear, that'd be pretty ridiculous. I've got my eye on you as always pandain!

I can't find it in the rules, but that's how it's been in the past...

Divinek should know that the whole team gets killed. He was lynched day two in the first TMM game.
Obviously this idea has been destroyed already, since I pointed out that it wouldn’t work as per the rules, but why does Divinek suddenly try to offer a random explanation? I can only think that he is paranoid.

This is the only good point your post brings up:Why does Divinek not remember the rules? But sheep follow, not think, and you can easily attribute this to my incorrect assertiveness that we lynch people. (not calling you sheep Divinek, rather the human race.)
Now, you might say that town defend themselves and this doesn’t mean anything. But these are the only posts that Divinek makes. He hasn’t contributed anything at all.

How long has the game been going on? [/red[

That also mean that Divinek hasn’t been attempting to bandwagon people yet, but that’s because there has been no real attacking post yet.


[red] Citing an entirely speculative reason for that, not logical. "Oh, he's not acting like mafia, but that's because he hasn't gotten the chance!" is not a valid accusation.
Divinek 2
+ Show Spoiler +

Later on Divinek makes this post
On September 21 2010 05:38 Divinek wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 04:54 Infundibulum wrote:
On September 21 2010 04:08 LSB wrote:
On September 21 2010 02:15 BrownBear wrote:
There's a bit of an interesting dynamic starting to come out here.

On September 20 2010 15:30 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
That's all SR ever posts. I don't think he posts any better when townie. I think he thinks he is contributing a lot but... he just manages to state the obvious and make it mind bangingly esoteric. Very unnerving.


This could be a slip, or it could be Pyrry trying to gently suggest SR as mafia to us. This early in the game, I would be astonished if Pyrry slipped up that spectacularly, so I think he's trying to plant the SR-scum idea in our heads (inception?).

That's not a slip up. We are pretty certain that team 2 is mafia. I just want a few more posts from them.


What makes you think so? I'm curious, because Team 2 isn't on my radar right now for mafia. The way I see it - Bumatlarge seems drunk, Divinek made one post where he completely misunderstood how the game works, and SR talked about the merits of lynch vs no lynch. none of this says 'mafia' to me.


yeah pandain had me confused into thinking players got lynched instead of teams lol. It's probably his scum jedi mind tricks at work.

Bum wasn't drunk that's just his accent coming through in his posts.

And SR has always been really good at posting really poorly.

I would be all in favour of no lynching day 1, i mean why not use it on the day where we have the least information to go on? We'll still gain something as there will be a nk, or a medic protect to stop it or maybe even a DT check or something.

But instead of throwing around wild allegations (which alot of people seem to be doing) i would much rather not kill an innocent today, which is what 95% to happen on day1? and go with a no lynch

so

##vote no lynch

This seems consistent, he’s defending himself.

Also, since Team 2 is the team that’s getting the most votes right now, he can’t bandwagon that, he’ll go for the next best option, no lynch
Again, your citing random reasons for his actions when you have no knowledge of such things.


SouthRawrea
+ Show Spoiler +

Okay, as town, he is pretty hard to understand. I played with him in PyP, and I just ignored his posts because they took to long to read through, and then I find that he’s making lots of assumptions
At the same time though, he always put his two cents in.


On September 20 2010 09:32 SouthRawrea wrote:
So this is a really basic game of mafia. If the scenario is 2 mafia 6 townies, we're best of lynching from day 1, no buts or ifs. If we have only have a doctor the scenario is the same, lynch from day 1. The only difference is that we have a better chance of survival. The thing about a cop only scenario is that if mafia claims cop and the real cop counterclaims, we'll end up in a scenario where we'll have 1 mafia, 3 townies with the cop most likely dead. We'll most likely have 1 confirmed, 2 townies and 1 mafia at the end in which case we have a 1/3 shot at winning. Now what the mafia has to be careful of is if we have both a cop and a doctor in which case our chances of winning rise significantly because we'll be able to protect the confirmed cop after we realize that we were duped by the mafia fakecop. Now our two possible options are: 1) Lynch right away or 2) Wait a day for a possible guilty report and proceed to lynch regardless if cop outs himself. If we lynch right away for a scenario where we have a cop, we have a slight chance of outting our cop but it's nothing significant. In the end because we end the game on a mylo, it won't make a difference. However if we wait a day in a situation where we do not have a cop, it'll reduce our chances of winning. It doesn't really matter what we choose to do because we don't the setup of the game.

TL;DR We can choose NL or Lynch but it all depends on which of the game setups we have. Since we don't know which one it is, it doesn't matter which we pick.

Translation: It doesn’t matter what we do.
This is very unhelpful. He makes a long post just to say nothing at all.

On September 20 2010 10:04 SouthRawrea wrote:
I'd like to echo Foolishness's point and say that my take on this game is that it's almost 100% scumhunting. There's a 50% shot at there being a cop and Korynne is unwilling to release any information not included in the OP. (Usually though, medics can't protect themselves) This limits any plans that we may have especially because we don't know the setup and we may not be able to investigate.

Alternatively, Korynne may be setting up a game where we can look for clues with his/her posts to perhaps find the mafia or who's innocent.

Also: EBWOP for my earlier post. I didn't realize that we couldn't NL. I overlooked Korynne's post.

Anyhow, posting is good because we actually have nothing to work with other than posts at this point in time and possibly for the entire game.

Again, he doesn’t say anything besides we should play as normal
This isn’t putting his two cents in. This is simply just posting random stuff so it looks like he’s active

On September 21 2010 04:43 SouthRawrea wrote:
So you're saying I'm posting nothing when really what I'm doing is making a post that shows that there is really no plan that we can come up with? Then pray, tell me what sort of content-filled posts you can make this early in the game? @Pyrr

Okay, now he explains his posts, he’s saying that it’s impossible to make a plan.
At the same time though, Incogs plan already declared that the existence of a cop is moot, all we need is the intimidation factor. Although I don’t agree with Incog’s plan, SouthRawrea’s post completely ignores this.

At the same time, to try to prove that we can’t make a plan? That seems incredibly anti-town. A good plan wins the town games. To try persuade us that we can’t make a plan seems pretty scummy.
Okay, so South is a bad townie and got showed up by Incog. And how is that incrimative to him? He was simply reacting to your statement, and basically said "Well you do better!" That's not neccesarily saying " PLANS ARE BAD DURR DURR I LIKE BEER"


Bumatlarge (Now seems pro town)
+ Show Spoiler +

On September 21 2010 04:52 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 04:08 LSB wrote:
On September 21 2010 02:15 BrownBear wrote:
There's a bit of an interesting dynamic starting to come out here.

On September 20 2010 15:30 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
That's all SR ever posts. I don't think he posts any better when townie. I think he thinks he is contributing a lot but... he just manages to state the obvious and make it mind bangingly esoteric. Very unnerving.


This could be a slip, or it could be Pyrry trying to gently suggest SR as mafia to us. This early in the game, I would be astonished if Pyrry slipped up that spectacularly, so I think he's trying to plant the SR-scum idea in our heads (inception?).

That's not a slip up. We are pretty certain that team 2 is mafia. I just want a few more posts from them.


If you're certain why aren't you trying hard to convince the rest of us they are scum?

I wanted to see what Bum would write. He really hasn’t posted anything. And there’s no way to tell if he’s busy, or if he is lurking.

Bum then posts a pretty pro town post
On September 21 2010 08:20 bumatlarge wrote:
I only had a minute to throw a post out, and I'd rather not stay quiet. Dont think I said much game-breaking stuff.

Uh medic can protect themself? Would it be possible to get them to claim, since mafia really doesnt want to risk a mis-hit. If medic claims, RNG's protecting themselves or someone else we could get some info, and Im not really sure mafia would be willing to false-claim by chance we have a medic team, and then we are guaranteed a scum lynch by day 2. It kinda confirms them... no? But we should set up an exact tiem for them to roleclaim so we dont have some gimmicky 'oh i didnt see im medic lol. If no one says anything, we know we dont have a med, or they choose to keep quiet.

Thoughts?

I like the idea, basically we get a tree stump, that can vote, and someone is confirmed. That could clear up a lot of confusion. I don’t see a better role for the medic.

As to answer Pandian, I’d like to see a confirmed townie more than a random chance of the medic protecting themselves.

Math wise, the mafia has a 33% chance of hitting the medic during the two nights. And I don't count on stuff with less than half a chance of success
No. This plan is bad. Again, confirmed townies are useless in setups with no pms. In addition, protecting themselves will make themselves an invisible tree stump, that the mafia will have to have the chance of hitting. You later say "well then active players will be shot." Whos to say the medic isn't active? And if we did make a list, then mafia would side step that.



This is your proof, the evidence?

You have no evidence or real accusations on these guys. I outlined my response in red.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 21 2010 02:07 GMT
#290
Also, Vote no lynch
SouthRawrea
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada608 Posts
September 21 2010 02:07 GMT
#291
On September 21 2010 10:36 LSB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 10:27 SouthRawrea wrote:
I haven't said that plans are bad, just that I'm pretty sure that you really can't come up with a plan in this setup.

What do you think about Bum's Medic idea?


Bum's medic idea? Other than the fact that mafia might risk claiming medic, I just don't think it's necessary to have a confirmed unless we are about to lynch him or we're further into the game. It's good for day 2 IMO. All it does on day 1 though is lessen the chances that medic will successfully be able to protect someone because they're supposedly going to RNG.
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
September 21 2010 03:00 GMT
#292
We can talk about med claiming day 2, but for today, it's pointless. Unless we're about to lynch him, that is.
SUNSFANNED
Divinek
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Canada4045 Posts
September 21 2010 03:54 GMT
#293
Son of a bitch i had a post typed up and pandain literally said almost everything i did.

Though i'm interested that LSB jumps over me so hard so easily . It's like he's never seen me play before. I forgot the rules cause it wasn't clarified when i read over them, and he made it sound like individuals would be killed so i assumed he pm'd her or something. I realised after i had posted that, that i was obviously incorrect referring back to previous games.

I dont see how forgetting rules makes someone mafia lol. Why are stupid things like that even trying to be used as evidence for a case against me.

Also apparently you always have to play 100% the same every game or you're mafia. It's more of if you're playing drastically different from how you play and in an anti town way. Ill admit im not the most PRO town player ever, but that's because i'm lazy.

I gave my input on how we should play this day, and until someone presents me with a good enough reason to play differently, or keeps attacking me with substanceless accusations i dont really need to add much more.

Day 1 plans are meh in this set up, you can't hypothesis what the blues will do all you want, if we have any. But in the end they'll do what they want. It seems like that kind of discussion derails the town away from hunting mafia, the truly only productive thing we can do on day1. Though it is of course hard since we have little to go on. However, that is why people have to throw out accusations like LSB did, so we can get a read on their character and motivations.

Did LSB make that post to try and get a mafia lynched, or to get a townie lynched? I obviously know the answer. lol
Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity.
Oh goodness me, FOX tv where do you get your sight? Can't you keep track, the puck is black. That's why the ice is white.
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
September 21 2010 04:00 GMT
#294
This is kinda funny I get to see divine in all his real towny glory, now I cant push for him

The medic plan can be used whenever so there is really no rush. I think it should be used if a player gets protected in the night, then medic can claim and be safe the rest of the game, giving us 2 confirmed. We can hold onto it til later. Hopefully we have a medic.

And do we really have to defend against every FoS against us... look at our team and then to the FoS now back to our team. Can you guys just like hold off on the finger pointing based on history for now? I I cant really keep track of this team even when Im on it
Together but separate, like oatmeal
Pyrrhuloxia
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States6700 Posts
September 21 2010 04:18 GMT
#295
On September 21 2010 13:00 bumatlarge wrote:
This is kinda funny I get to see divine in all his real towny glory, now I cant push for him

The medic plan can be used whenever so there is really no rush. I think it should be used if a player gets protected in the night, then medic can claim and be safe the rest of the game, giving us 2 confirmed. We can hold onto it til later. Hopefully we have a medic.

And do we really have to defend against every FoS against us... look at our team and then to the FoS now back to our team. Can you guys just like hold off on the finger pointing based on history for now? I I cant really keep track of this team even when Im on it

You forgot to say "this team is now diamonds!"
YellowInk
Profile Joined April 2010
United States578 Posts
September 21 2010 04:39 GMT
#296
Alright. I'm pretty convinced. The short version: No lynch is bad. This team's posting has been either unproductive or supporting anti-town ideals.

##Vote: Team 6, BloodyC0bbler and RebirthOfLeGenD

Current thoughts on blues: If I were a medic, I'd probably cover either myself, team 4, or team 8. Not sure who I'd poke at if I were a DT yet.
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
September 21 2010 05:50 GMT
#297
Pandain confirmed townies are not useless if they can keep themselves alive the rest of the game, it's basically treestump without the being a stump part. But I dont think thee should come out right away, preferably if they manage to block a hit on someone or themselves. That way mafia cannot fakeclaim, and mafia might figure the person they hit is a medic due to likelyhood of med prot'in themselves, then we might as well know.

Ok yeah, definitely medic should claim after a hit, but not before, because then it would hurt the purpose of what I just said. Going to go with LSB/Pyr, because its REAL easy for scum to just say someone is 'pro-town' even if its my ingenious ingenuity formulating the formulations. It is a funky thing to divide a team up into scum/not-scum... almost seems like an easy way to get a neutral accusation wihtout intending it to go anywhere. Though its hypocritical to just focus on LSB... but who cares I made it up so get over it.

In the future, you should lump team's posts together and analyize them together, AND THEN speculate on who says what. That way you won't develop any bias or sneaky 'well hes scummy but hes townie all the way' wifom.

Kinda like incognito's little format thing, and he didnt rally do the focus on a player thing.

*****

Main Points:
1. Laxin medic goes hippy when they make war not love
2. Incog is fear nothing happenstance benefit
3. My vote wit no apologies because apologies get me in trouble apparently

[Vote]Team 1
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
September 21 2010 05:52 GMT
#298
Oh btw if I dont die I promise to make up stories. And they will contain or not contain clues.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 21 2010 07:01 GMT
#299
On September 21 2010 13:39 YellowInk wrote:
Alright. I'm pretty convinced. The short version: No lynch is bad. This team's posting has been either unproductive or supporting anti-town ideals.

##Vote: Team 6, BloodyC0bbler and RebirthOfLeGenD

Current thoughts on blues: If I were a medic, I'd probably cover either myself, team 4, or team 8. Not sure who I'd poke at if I were a DT yet.

Are you retarded? Explain this now. How is NL Day 1 bad? Do I need to make a fucking graph?
[image loading]

The earlier we use our NL the less of a chance we make a bad lynch. Statistically we become more likely to hit a mafia by the fact there is ONE less townie and information wise we have a lot more to look at.

And lastly, if there is a DT that gives him one more night of information.

How is any of that bad? When you refer to that 4v2 or 3v1 shit, it IS useful, but it means you wasted a lynch earlier that COULD have been put off for lack of information, plus giving you ANOTHER day of info to actually look at when deciding which person to lynch.
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
Korynne
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Canada990 Posts
September 21 2010 07:46 GMT
#300
Vote updated.
TL Mawfyah~ http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
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