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TL Mafia XXVIII - Page 84

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
July 23 2010 12:18 GMT
#1661
Vote Count:

1] Pyrrhuloxia (Misder)
1] zeks (pandain)


Abstain:
Siniquity
BrownBear
Pyrrhuloxia
Protactinium
zeks
Amber[LighT]
~OpZ~


Double Lynch:
Siniquity
BrownBear
Pyrrhuloxia
Protactinium
zeks
Amber[LighT]
~OpZ~

With 25 left, it takes 13 for majority (which would end the day), or to pass a double lynch for the next day.
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
July 23 2010 12:19 GMT
#1662
Day ends in 36 hours and 40 minutes
still seeking 1 replacement for LaXerCannon
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
d3_crescentia
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States4054 Posts
July 23 2010 12:41 GMT
#1663
what the hell is wrong with you people

STOP VOTING DOUBLE LYNCH UNLESS WE HAVE GOOD CANDIDATES TO DO IT WITH; OTHERWISE WE JUST END UP KILLING OURSELVES FASTER

##vote: Tricode
##vote: infundibulum


all of the votes from yesterday's for double and today's for double should seriously be considered and reanalyzed, because we are just wasting our time here and will (likely) waste our lynches unless we get some real analysis going
once, not long ago, there was a moon here
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
July 23 2010 12:54 GMT
#1664
So I finally have enough evidence to build a case. I've looked about 3-4 times back and forth on the thread and now I think I have enough evidence to make a case that should show that Subversion is very likely to be mafia. Let's start with the two voting incidents:

The Two Votes

As we all know, on Day 1, youngminii and Hyperbola were both on the shopping block. At the crucial moment of 9:16, the last vote of the night, Subversion pipes in with a:

Subversion Korea (South). July 19 2010 09:16. Posts 732 PM Profile Blog Report Quote #
##Vote: Hyperbola

Not really convinced by him, and there's not really any other clear choice for me right now.


and casts the deciding vote. This vote pushed Hyperbola to 6, keeping youngminii (at 5), safe from death. As we've later found out, Hyperbola was green. This action came under scrutiny from a number of people:

SiNiquity:

Subversion Votes for Hyperbola with a one liner as night approaches, 45 minutes before the deadline. The vote was previously tied at 5-5. There wasn't a vote count with the Jayme mistake in it, as Jayme voted in between the Last Non-Final Vote Count (4.5 hours before deadline) and the Final Vote Count. It could be a freak coincidence, and had it been left at tied Hyperbola would've won, as he achieved more votes first. But maybe it was too close for comfort, as it was 7 - 5 before two people unvoted Hyperbole. Who's to say another wouldn't have jumped ship? Putting it 6-5 made it more secure.


http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=133561&currentpage=27#538

tree.hugger:

Now, that's not a reason, and furthermore, that's a lie. There's at least one other choice that's close, and several others getting votes. This vote is highly influential, but nobody really caught onto it at the time. But if youngminii is mafia, then that's a direct implication of subversion as well.

Curious-er and curious-er.


http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=133561&currentpage=30#588

and of course, me:

Also, I'm going to put in my vote for Subversion. So far I don't know how I feel about BrownBear. At first I wanted to vote him. He's been playing badly and didn't do anything day one. But then at the same time people jumped all over voting for him in the beginning until just recently when people switched to Subversion, or at least it feels like that.

Subversion's little mafia mistake statement is just weird all in all and was part of that voting block (everyone's already mentioned this) so I'll put my vote on him for now but I'll have to see. Still a full day left.

##vote Subversion


http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=133561&currentpage=37#740

And so with these critisims on him, we moved onto day two where him and BrownBear topped out the votes early in the day. Both at about 5 a piece, the pressure was building on. Then it happened, Pandain starts a case against me and Prry starts a case against DTA. BTW, at this moment, I am not saying that they are both mafia scum. Pandain I don't really think is and is just townie and Prry I don't know yet. Either way, it's not the cases that I'm suspicious about, it's the very very quick voting afterwards. I immediately get 2 votes off youngminii and SouthRawrea. Right after Prry's statement, DTA gets THREE votes in about half an hour, from XeLin, zeks, and Subversion. This whole thing moved the voting off two people into three and finally, at the end of that day, DTA got killed. If you've read my post about voting patterns, you'll see that near the end of that voting process Subversion was "safe", his votes actually FELL off him in hot butter and in the end he was no where close to danger, being at 6 and then jumping up to 8. You can say, but chaoser, what about you? you were also safe! And I will say, yes, I didn't die, but I wasn't safe. I was on top of that vote list back and forth with DTA and due to votelists from everyone that confused me to no end, I actually thought I was dead by end of day. Subversion, on the other hand, was on the top for a only 7 MINUTES before falling down down down.

now, from all this, you can't 100% say Subversion is mafia and some people have said it's coincidence. But things start to be less of a coincidence and more of a trend once it happens more than once don't you think? Also, notice that now youngminii and Subversion are TIED to each other. Sub saved youngminii's ass Day 1, youngminii pushed VERY hard for me to die and that saved Subversion Day 2. At the very least, these incidents over the last two days ties them very very much together.

The next part is about the two things he's said that sound OFF
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
July 23 2010 12:55 GMT
#1665
(by the way, if you guys (tree.hugger, SiNiquity), somewhere in the thread took back your statements about Subversion, inform me and I will repost without your comments on him. Or, if you guys won't want me using your quotes, I'll rewrite without them)
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
Amber[LighT]
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States5078 Posts
July 23 2010 12:57 GMT
#1666
Oh now all of a sudden Subversion is a suspect again?
"We have unfinished business, I and he."
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
July 23 2010 13:04 GMT
#1667
The Two Statements

At the beginning of Day 2, Subversion makes an observation which tree.hugger picks up almost immediately:

On July 20 2010 14:03 tree.hugger wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2010 13:44 Subversion wrote:
Seems at the moment, mafia aren't making too many mistakes.

Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha. I have never, ever seen a townie say something like this. So narcissistic you had to complement yourself?

GG.


People later come to his defense saying's it's bad townie play. Is it though? Or is it bad mafia play? Either way, it's the main reason he gets voted on that day.

Now, after the day ended, I started to play him less of mine until he pulls out another statement:

On July 23 2010 12:51 Subversion wrote:
so excited to see who died.

even tho i really think it might be me, lolz.


Let me ask you, Who? would be excited about people dying? He didn't say he's interested or that he's waiting for it or that he wants to see what happens in the Night, no he's EXCITED about seeing who dies. I point this out with:

chaoser United States. July 23 2010 12:58. Posts 765 PM Profile Quote Edit #
On July 23 2010 12:51 Subversion wrote:
so excited to see who died.

even tho i really think it might be me, lolz.


what a scummy thing to say...


and I get jumped on by youngminii and Pandain.

Saying something scummy one time, OK, I can buy that you're just newbie and did it. But when you do it twice, I'mma take notice. Am I the only one who thinks what he says the second time is scummy? I was interested in the Night Post too cause that's more information, but I don't think I'd ever phrase my interest as "I'm excited to see who died"
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
July 23 2010 13:04 GMT
#1668
I'll talk about his blue claim now.
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
July 23 2010 13:13 GMT
#1669
Blue Claim

When he first hinted blue, my suspicions fell off him. And then he soft claimed it and now apparently he's hard claimed in. Now I ask, if mafia had a CONFIRMED blue, why didn't they hit him?

His claim of blue brought him back from the edges of being lynched but apparently it wasn't enough for mafia to try to kill him. Did they expect medic proc or that he's a vet? Why not test it out? He claimed blue, that's very important in general but somehow it's now lost under the rug. Usually when people claim blue and don't die that first night, something fishy is going on. We should investigate that fishiness.

I've now made the majority of my case. At this time, I'm going to ask what other people think about what I've written. Once we come to a decently unanimous decision, we can all vote together.
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
July 23 2010 13:22 GMT
#1670
I've said before that I don't like to come out and make big announcements about what I feel until I'm sure. You should take that into consideration, that this accusation isn't a light matter for me.
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
Subversion
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
South Africa3627 Posts
July 23 2010 13:39 GMT
#1671
Yawn.

Still talking about the day 1 vote, lolz. I'm really not going to rehash my entire defense for that again, please go back and read it.

People keep forgetting that I DIDNT KNOW IT WAS THE DECIDING VOTE AS THE VOTE COUNT WAS FUCKED.

Sigh, really we going to keep banging this drum again?
Subversion
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
South Africa3627 Posts
July 23 2010 13:40 GMT
#1672
also remember that I DIDNT WANT TO VOTE OFF DARTH.

I strongly pushed to change votes from me, darth and chaoser to someone else, as I felt all 3 of us were town.

If I was mafia, why would I try and get votes moved from a guaranteed townie lynch? Come on man, use your head.

Stop looking at day 1 and look at RECENT stuff.
Subversion
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
South Africa3627 Posts
July 23 2010 13:46 GMT
#1673
And wtf, aren't you excited for a day post? see who the mafia killed? get new information to go on? i think thats pretty exciting stuff.

maybe "anticipation" would be more appropriate, but you're really kind of jumping at shadows now.
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
July 23 2010 13:50 GMT
#1674
This is actually pretty cool. Both d3 and BC claimed veteran. Nobody else came forward. No reason not to trust them if no counter claim comes by the end of the day. Then we also confirm the Vigi. There are two DTs alive who performed 2 checks each - so possibly 4 more confirmed townies for a total of 7 confirmed townies. Not bad!
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
July 23 2010 13:51 GMT
#1675
On July 23 2010 22:50 citi.zen wrote:
This is actually pretty cool. Both d3 and BC claimed veteran. Nobody else came forward. No reason not to trust them if no counter claim comes by the end of the day. Then we also confirm the Vigi. There are two DTs alive who performed 2 checks each - so possibly 4 more confirmed townies for a total of 7 confirmed townies. Not bad!


I don't think they claimed vet. didn't BC say he got medic saved?
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
July 23 2010 13:57 GMT
#1676
On July 23 2010 22:51 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 23 2010 22:50 citi.zen wrote:
This is actually pretty cool. Both d3 and BC claimed veteran. Nobody else came forward. No reason not to trust them if no counter claim comes by the end of the day. Then we also confirm the Vigi. There are two DTs alive who performed 2 checks each - so possibly 4 more confirmed townies for a total of 7 confirmed townies. Not bad!


I don't think they claimed vet. didn't BC say he got medic saved?

d3 claimed vet, but BC didn't, you're right.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
Roffles *
Profile Blog Joined April 2007
Pitcairn19291 Posts
July 23 2010 14:03 GMT
#1677
Good luck Mafia! And thanks to whoever killed me for saving me from reading this garbage. No incentive to post really cause all this thread was literally Player A accuses Player B, Player B flames Player A, and it accumulated to pages of bullshit. Who wants to play a game where everything gets derailed, no town organization and whatnot. You townies better get your shit together otherwise you guys are gonna be dead soon.

The instant someone accuses you slightly, you feel the need to retaliate? Come on people. You can do better than that.
God Bless
rastaban
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States2294 Posts
July 23 2010 14:11 GMT
#1678
##Vote Abstain
Vote: Double Lynch


I have just read through everything that has transpired, we need to carefully look at our options.

This could still be a mafia ploy but I doubt it, since there have been no counter claims. It seems the hit was bad luck for the town, however if we can use that to net us some confirmed townies we can turn this into a good thing.

I don't think we can be sure of their roles until tomorrow. unless someone has checked them already. I said at the very beginning that 2 KP roles the town had were probably 1 vig and 1 hatter (hence the wording). While it is possible that both are red it is very unlikely and we can have a DT check them randomly over the coming nights to confirm if needed. The fact that their was no counter claim makes my almost positive that Tricode is town. If we have someone randomly check BC the next few nights we could clear this matter up.

What we really need to do is start looking at who we need to lynch. I don't necessarily agree with Chaoser's accusations of subversion, but he has the right idea. We need to figure out who to lynch, maybe we need to lynch BC to prove his claim, maybe someone else? Regardless we now know that their was indeed a vig hit last night(there was no counter claim), and it hit BC.

As for who it should be, I am not sure. When I get a little more time I will go back and do some checking and see if I can find some people that stand out. I think we can garner some useful information from all that has transpired that will really help our voting tonight.

As for double lynch or not, d3, why did you yell out against double lynch but then vote twice? I am confused. 2x lynch didn't pass yesterday, we have a lot of information right now, and probably will have even more tomorrow. I had originally thought it was too early as well but Infundibulum convinced me otherwise. Remember it goes in to play tomorrow, so we have to vote a little earlier to make sure that we can use it when needed. The last game I played waited too late to vote for it ( i had thought it occured on the same day it was voted for) and it could have cost us our plan if it wasn't for how lucky we were that game.

Here is the post Infundibulum had on the topic:

On July 22 2010 00:39 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
Rastaban (and others), to clarify my double lynch vote: it's a bet that after tonights actions we will have more than 1 target on the next day. In my experience Days 3 or 4 are the best time to start the double lynch (which means for Day 3 we vote for double lynch on Day 2, etc). I don't like waiting until Day 5 for double lynch because too many townies can die by that time and it makes it harder to use one of our most dangerous weapons against the mafia. If you guys aren't voting for it today, you should strongly consider voting for it tomorrow.

Re: DTA -

I should thank pyrr for doing a really thorough analysis here. I do think it's possible the mafia took that gambit of not killing DTA to make him appear more red (see Foolish's quote... "if the mafia don't kill you tonight you're red" [that was paraphrased]). So, I want to see how he responds to Pyrr's accusation before I decide if I want to vote for him. The pressures pretty strong already. ANd i gotta say i'm all but convinced on this one.

Show nested quote +
On July 21 2010 14:27 youngminii wrote:
My suspicion on infindouwioej4l5k23wtgjfxvpcohinkium is still here, it's just a lot smaller than everything else going on right now.


It's "Infundibulum."


Tyler: "...damn it, that's StarCraft. Opening doors is what we do. Being the first to find food is the greatest pleasure a player can have!"
Divinek
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Canada4045 Posts
July 23 2010 14:26 GMT
#1679
On July 23 2010 22:57 citi.zen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 23 2010 22:51 chaoser wrote:
On July 23 2010 22:50 citi.zen wrote:
This is actually pretty cool. Both d3 and BC claimed veteran. Nobody else came forward. No reason not to trust them if no counter claim comes by the end of the day. Then we also confirm the Vigi. There are two DTs alive who performed 2 checks each - so possibly 4 more confirmed townies for a total of 7 confirmed townies. Not bad!


I don't think they claimed vet. didn't BC say he got medic saved?

d3 claimed vet, but BC didn't, you're right.


where did d3 claim vet? wtf, i blame the spammers
Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity.
Oh goodness me, FOX tv where do you get your sight? Can't you keep track, the puck is black. That's why the ice is white.
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
July 23 2010 14:31 GMT
#1680
I was under the impression both d3 and BC were medic protected
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
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