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Nuclear Launch Detected... =o - Page 48

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KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43352 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-12-13 07:37:51
December 13 2008 06:59 GMT
#941
On December 13 2008 08:40 rei wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

On December 13 2008 07:54 Kwark wrote:
Rei, you keep ignoring my point about a viable solution that creates a long term peace and saves lives. Assuming that a ceasefire saves lives medium term, which is doubtful as I've already argued, it is still not a viable solution to the war. I'm judging the nuking by two standards, not one, whereas you keep seem to insisting that I'm judging purely on lives saved.


I ignore it because it is irrelevant to my argument, which is "those people who justify nuking of japan with the lives it saves are hypocrites"

and i'm not arguing about "those people who justify nuking of japan with the lives it saves and other viable solutions that creates long term peace and saves lives are hypocrites"

If you are saying nuking of japan is only half your argument then good for you, you are only half a hypocrite.

and i am not insisting you are judging purely on lives saved, i never did say that, quote me if i did. all i said was the people who justify nuking of japan with lives it saved are judging purely on lives saved. it was you who made the connection between yourself and these people

it was you who engage my argument in an attempt to defend your ignorance.and as a result change your position as you are arguing, because you realize that I said is true, and you needed an out so you introduced your second standard, or a second argument which is nuking japan is justify because it creates long term peace.

Your first reply to me.
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 11 2008 08:33 Kwark wrote:
Given that Japan had to be compelled to surrender, that Japan intended to contest invasion with lethal force and that lethal force applied to soldiers causes death invading Japan saved lives. Happy now?



your second reply to me
+ Show Spoiler +

On December 12 2008 13:47 Kwark wrote:
Ceasefire with Japan was impossible. The Japan that committed the rape of Nanking had to be broken, destroyed in pride and spirit. Letting that Japan continue to exist would be comparable to not breaking up Germany after WW1. It was a threat to the world to let it exist. The post war constitution of Japan was profoundly pacifist. Do you honestly believe a peaceful ceasefire in which the officials remained in power would result in the same paradigm shift in Japan?


your 3rd reply to me
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 12 2008 14:43 Kwark wrote:
Erm. No, it isn't pretty clear to anyone logical. And stop being such an ass. You're purely trolling here. You're saying the nuke or invade is a false choice and yet you're not presenting an alternative. Peaceful ceasefire? Just not realistic. Japan was militaristic, expansionist and showed a sadistic disregard for the lives of everyone non Japanese. You're acting as if you're somehow better than everyone else in this topic because they disagree with you while basing your argument on some vague suggestion that things would be better if everyone got along. Yeah, being nice to each other > nuking. Well done. You'll get no argument from me there. But assuming everyone can't play nice, which is a very accurate assumption in this scenario, killing 200,000 > killing 1,000,000. The manner of death isn't important, that nukes were used makes no difference.



4th
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 12 2008 14:49 Kwark wrote:
And how the fuck is it hypocritical? If you're in a situation where at least 200,000 people must die but you can choose to increase that significantly then you choose to kill 200,000 to save lives. Simple. Where is the hypocrisy?



5th
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 12 2008 15:07 Kwark wrote:
No. You are still wrong. Of the available choices, of which peace treaty was not one, nuking saved lives. My first priority is a permanent conclusion to the war which invalidates the peace treaty. The second priority is fewest lives killed which invalidates invasion. So of the 3 options we are left with 1. There is still no hypocrisy and you are still being an ass. Please go re-evaluate your life and perhaps start being less of one.



6th
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 12 2008 15:09 Kwark wrote:
Your entire argument relies upon premise 3 which, as cz and I keep pointing out, is invalid. Thus your entire argument is invalid. That you keep repeating the same argument over and over and calling us hypocrites doesn't make it valid. You can claim black is white til you're blue in the face but it's not.



7th (first time you introduce your 2nd argument while claiming you have already put it out there and i just ignored it.)
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 12 2008 16:12 Kwark wrote:
And what about my argument that death count alone is not the only goal? A viable solution needs to create a stable peace as well. Which invalidates 3.

Furthermore the Cold War was the only time in human history two superpowers have coexisted and not gone to war until only one remained. It was simply not worth it in a nuclear world. Stalin was a fairly insane guy but Hiroshima and Nagasaki were a clear message in the only language he understood. In 1945 the Soviet Union did not push their luck in Europe.



I didn't quote many of your posts intended for pure personal insults, and only quote ones that have an argument. As you can see after Kwark read

+ Show Spoiler +
Kwark
in an argument, all premise has to stand along. Take that premise 3 out of context see if it hold true.
Because if you do that and I ask you the question does a peace treaty demonstrate the motive for no more killing? and you have to answer with an Yes or no, you are not allow to clarify your answer to a specific case.

Do you see what i am trying to say here? You seen how lawers do this in the movies, this is what i was trying to get across but you are not seeing it. I have failed you in my last post because I did not construct my words in such a way that you can understand.

now your argument on why my 3rd premise being invalid is because in the special case of japan the peace treaty does not work, which I fucking agreed with you. But it does not removed the fact that you have answered "yes" to my question that validate the stand alone premise.



Oh by the way, when you use japan to even attempt to disapprove a peace treaty in motive wants no more death, you are demonstrating the fallacy of affirming the consequence and ignoratio elenchi and Denying the antecedent

( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Affirming_the_consequent
and
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ignoratio_elenchi
and
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Denying_the_antecedent)

Let me explain if you don't understand,
when you say the propose peace treaty does not work on japan vs usa scenario(which i agree with), therefor ALL motives of a peace treaty is not aimed to stop more death,(my 3rd premise says only about peace treaty, and nothing of japan) you are generalizing and try to make a case against my premise base on one example out of all the other peace treaty signed in history. which does not even directly address to my promise. The easiest fallacy you have made trying to invalidate my 3rd premise is http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Denying_the_antecedent


For those of you who doesn't know what we are talking about and want to learn how to talk someone into realizing they are a hypocrite here is the argument i made. feel free to discover yourselves by clicking this spoiler

+ Show Spoiler +


Here is my argument:
premises:
1) your argument makes the decision on whether to nuke japan or not by the amount of lives it saves( Less death = better)
2) your argument contains two options to choose from which both cause deaths(nuke, or invade).
3) a seize fire peace treaty aims to stop the war which leads to no death.
4) base on the method of decision(choose the least life lost), the 3rd option is the best choice.
5) the choice made was "nuking of japan"
6) Hypocrisy is the act of preaching a certain belief, religion or way of life, but not, in fact, holding these same virtues oneself.

Conclusion: Your argument says that the decision is made base on the number of lives it saved, but nuking japan was not justified by the number of lives it saved because of premise #4.
By preaching the belief of making the decision base on least death caused, but in fact(nuked japan) not making the decision base on least death caused is Hypocrisy. (Supported by premise #1, #2, #5 and #6)


After you said this
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 12 2008 15:09 Kwark wrote:
Your entire argument relies upon premise 3 which, as cz and I keep pointing out, is invalid. Thus your entire argument is invalid. That you keep repeating the same argument over and over and calling us hypocrites doesn't make it valid. You can claim black is white til you're blue in the face but it's not.


and i totally destroyed your argument with all the fallacies you created, I guess you have nothing else? I think you are ready to submit to the fact that you are indeed a hypocrite, tried to deny that to yourself. but at the end the truth hurts does it?

Oh and this is not a trolling attempt, or I would have been banned by any of the admins who's been reading this. if i am really excessive trolling, and flaming massive people to be hypocrites they will know, I see them as equals in logic and they can distinguish me from a troll. My premises are valid and my argument is sound, and they who belief nuking of japan can be justify by the least number of casualties are hypocrite which I logically proved.


you shift to the second argument. now you are arguing about nuking is justify by long term peace instead of nuking is justify by saving lives.

I mentioned it every time before the 7th. I just didn't spell it out because I didn't think I had to, I thought simply arguing it clearly would be enough. When I say viable solution to the war I am disqualifying a peace treaty because it is not.
In the first "given that Japan had to be compelled to surrender", ie given that a peace treaty was not an option.
In the second "ceasefire with Japan was impossible".
In the third "peaceful ceasefire, just not realistic".
....
And so forth. I think it reasonably clear in every one of my posts that my priorities are Japanese surrender and minimum lives lost. You are simply choosing to ignore it because it helps your argument to do so. This is not a clever tactic, pretending to be stupid while repeating your original argument like a broken record just makes you seem like an idiot.

The crux of your argument seems to be 'those who justify nuking Japan because it killed less people than invasion, while not actually stating clearly that they're ruling out a variety of other absurd possibilities that would kill even less people on the grounds that they're absurd, are hypocrites. While those who clearly state that they're ruling out the absurd and non viable options and choosing the one of the two remaining options because it kills less lives than the other, which while not being the primary focus (which is realism) is still a consideration.


Basically you're trolling.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Qwertify
Profile Joined September 2008
United States2531 Posts
December 13 2008 07:28 GMT
#942
+ Show Spoiler +
meow
CJ Entusman #24
Qwertify
Profile Joined September 2008
United States2531 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-12-13 07:32:18
December 13 2008 07:32 GMT
#943
dble port sry
CJ Entusman #24
HnR)hT
Profile Joined October 2002
United States3468 Posts
December 13 2008 14:41 GMT
#944
To MoltkeWarding & EmeraldSparks:

I don't have time today to reply point by point, and I don't have the books with me right now to cite relevant information.

However, most if not all of your knowledge comes books that are heavily reliant on German sources and barely use any Russian/Soviet sources.

The very fact that Moltke raised the issue of summer of 1941, as if the Red Army of 1941 was ANYTHING REMOTELY like the Red Army of 1943 and later in terms of tactical and operational doctrine and the quality of leadership, shows very well where he is coming from.

You need to read this article to better understand the origin of your biases: http://leav-www.army.mil/fmso/documents/e-front.htm

Maybe I'll resurrect this discussion in a week (after my finals are over) and respond in full.
MoltkeWarding
Profile Joined November 2003
5195 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-12-13 15:44:06
December 13 2008 15:35 GMT
#945
The very fact that Moltke raised the issue of summer of 1941, as if the Red Army of 1941 was ANYTHING REMOTELY like the Red Army of 1943 and later in terms of tactical and operational doctrine and the quality of leadership, shows very well where he is coming from.


First of all, I only cited two books out of the many I read in this thread, one of which certainly has taken advantage of Soviet sources. Of my other books, such as those by Erickson or Werth, some are mentioned in your linked article.

The problem is, I am not comparing the Red Army of 41 to her combat effectiveness in later periods. I interjected on the subject of the 41 campaign, because that was precisely the campaign in discussion at the time I entered the thread (regarding the seasonal effect on the progress of Typhoon,) and not the altered circumstances of Zitadelle or Badgration, therefore everything I said concerned the balance of forces in 1941 and not later on in the war.*

The Red Army obviously became an increasingly professional force in 43-45, although its combat effectiveness never quite reached that of the Wehrmacht, (Dupuy's analysis of relative combat effectiveness gives the German:Soviet ratio as alternating between 4:1 at the outset of the war, down to 2:1 in the later periods.)


*It is also natural that 1941 comes up more often in general discussions about history; for the purposes of macrohistorical speculation, the years 1940 and 1941 provide us with the most fertile circumstances, since it in in these years that Hitler could have won the war.
rei
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States3594 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-12-14 00:36:16
December 13 2008 23:50 GMT
#946
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 13 2008 15:59 Kwark wrote: I mentioned it every time before the 7th. I just didn't spell it out because I didn't think I had to, I thought simply arguing it clearly would be enough. When I say viable solution to the war I am disqualifying a peace treaty because it is not. In the first "given that Japan had to be compelled to surrender", ie given that a peace treaty was not an option. In the second "ceasefire with Japan was impossible". In the third "peaceful ceasefire, just not realistic". .... And so forth. I think it reasonably clear in every one of my posts that my priorities are Japanese surrender and minimum lives lost. You are simply choosing to ignore it because it helps your argument to do so. This is not a clever tactic, pretending to be stupid while repeating your original argument like a broken record just makes you seem like an idiot. The crux of your argument seems to be 'those who justify nuking Japan because it killed less people than invasion, while not actually stating clearly that they're ruling out a variety of other absurd possibilities that would kill even less people on the grounds that they're absurd, are hypocrites. While those who clearly state that they're ruling out the absurd and non viable options and choosing the one of the two remaining options because it kills less lives than the other, which while not being the primary focus (which is realism) is still a consideration. Basically you're trolling.


As you are trying so hard to savage your argument by going back to explain your lack of evidence with imply meanings , you have committed multiple fallacies. In the same time you have failed to even address the argument you are trying to make: you are trying to prove that You have mentioned the " nuking is justify by long term peace" before the 7th post

On December 13 2008 15:59 Kwark wrote: I mentioned it every time before the 7th.

by it you are referring to "nuking is justify by long term peace", since you are responding to my argument of you did not have 2 standards before your 7th post, and the "it" you are referring to in your opening sentence has to be the 2nd standard which is "nuking is justify by long term peace" What you have really mentioned before the 7th post is only "peace treaty was not an option", Not " nuking is justify by long term peace" You have lost your objective while tying your hardest to fix your broken logics.

And even when you are arguing something totally off your objective, you still make numerous fallacies.
My evidence:
+ Show Spoiler +
one of your many fallacies deductively A( "given that Japan had to be compelled to surrender") does not lead to the conclusion of B ("peace treaty was not an option"), because here you are trying to say A caused B but correlation does not imply causation
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply_causation

If you follow your argument without fallacy, your argument should have look something like this

given that japan had to be compelled to surrender, --->U.S.A accepts nothing less than a surrender,--->Peace treaty was not an option.

So it is not the compelled to surrender that caused removal of the peace treaty option. It is USA who refuse to offer a peace treaty because they don't have to, due to the advantage they have.


Next
On December 13 2008 15:59 Kwark wrote:
The crux of your argument seems to be 'those who justify nuking Japan because it killed less people than invasion, while not actually stating clearly that they're ruling out a variety of other absurd possibilities that would kill even less people on the grounds that they're absurd, are hypocrites. While those who clearly state that they're ruling out the absurd and non viable options and choosing the one of the two remaining options because it kills less lives than the other, which while not being the primary focus (which is realism) is still a consideration. Basically you're trolling.



you are ruling out the "all the other options based on grounds that they are absurd".
your "grounds of absurd" is this

+ Show Spoiler +
On December 12 2008 13:47 Kwark wrote:
Ceasefire with Japan was impossible. The Japan that committed the rape of Nanking had to be broken, destroyed in pride and spirit. Letting that Japan continue to exist would be comparable to not breaking up Germany after WW1. It was a threat to the world to let it exist. The post war constitution of Japan was profoundly pacifist. Do you honestly believe a peaceful ceasefire in which the officials remained in power would result in the same paradigm shift in Japan?


your premises:
1) japan committed rape of Nanking.
2) Japan had to be broken, destroyed in pride and spirit. ( because of premise #1 )
3) That japan continue to exist would be not breaking up Germany after WW1 ( what did Gemany do in WWII ? lol )
4) The post war constiution of Japan was profoundly pacifist.

your conclusion: Ceasefire with Japan was impossible, because Japan committed war crimes and had to be broken, destroyed in both pride and spirit. also because the result of signing a peace treaty would be like not breaking up Germany after WW1 ( Ironic isn't it, after all what you said you forgot about the reason Germany go into WWII)

how do you logically connect "committing of war crime in Nanking" (fact) with "had to be broken, destroyed in both pride and spirit"
if you follow your premise to a logical conclusion it should look something like this instead:

Japan committed a war crime in Nanking ----> War crime is immoral----> Japan's actions are immoral----> In order to prevent Japan from committing actions that are immoral---> --->removal Japan's ability to commit immoral acts forever. (instead of japan had to be broken, destroyed in both pride and spirit. and none of those bullshit germany after ww1 crap, cause you totally forgot about Germany went into WW2 because of WW1)

Instead of a strewed man, I made you an Iron man.
your grounds of saying a peace treaty is absurd then become a peace treaty will not remove japan's ability to commit immoral acts forever.

Does that sound a shit load better than your previous argument of needing to destroy japan and break japan in both spirit and pride, and that Ironic example of Germany ?

i don't want to put words into your mouth, but in order to make your argument better I must, or you have no argument at all.

Before I continue on to destroy this Iron man which I created, I need to ask you if you agree with this Logical argument that I constructed for you base on your own beliefs since you don't seem to be able to make a logical argument on your own.

GET OUT OF MY BASE CHILL
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