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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 677

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8240 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-05-03 17:42:33
May 03 2024 17:42 GMT
#13521
Not that regular gas attacks isn't bad enough in and of itself, but the big issue with chloropicrin gas is that it goes through the filters on the gas masks. It's not directly lethal, it just makes the victim vomit. This puts them in a position where they can either choke to death on their own vomit, or take their gas masks off and die from whatever other gas they release alongside it

That said I think this is just a continuation of the previous claims. This is US piling on confirming the claims, rather than Ukraine accusing it alone
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5761 Posts
May 03 2024 20:26 GMT
#13522
Speaking of gas, Gazprom reported a net loss (for the first time in over 20 years) of some 6B EUR. If it weren't for the war, it would've made about 4B EUR of profit.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/may/02/gazprom-first-annual-loss-in-20-years-trade-europe-gas-sales-russia-ukraine
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
May 04 2024 16:09 GMT
#13523
https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/04/another-us-precision-guided-weapon-falls-prey-russian-electronic-warfare-us-says/396141/

Seems like GPS denial really hurts the precision weapons from USA. Both glsdb and excalibur don't really work too well without GPS. Volume of fire is really the only solution for now it seems.

I do wonder though, we have news of this:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Contracts/Contract/Article/3765102/

Home on jam for jdams, so apart from the obvious of putting them on aircraft, frankensteining a GLSDB with a home on jam seeker might give a budget friendly way of clearing a large swathe of Frontline from GPS jamming.
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2726 Posts
May 04 2024 17:19 GMT
#13524
GPS jammers are cheap bombs are exspensive.
Need INS and some kind of terminal guidance system.

Backup guidance gets you in the vicinity of the target and terminal gets you on it. Probably either optical image recognition or laser guidance from a drone.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6336 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-05-10 09:23:20
May 10 2024 09:14 GMT
#13525
Seems like something big is starting in the Kharkov direction. A lot of information coming in from both sides though what is actually going on is anyones guess

Edit: in any case its forward groups for now and no sign of a general offensive, though it all depends on the goals. Most talk seems to be about creating a buffer zone
"No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot." - Mark Twain
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
785 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-05-10 18:28:54
May 10 2024 18:17 GMT
#13526
A buffer zone for what?
Branch.AUT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Austria853 Posts
May 10 2024 19:40 GMT
#13527
Peace conference and new borders. What else?
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9284 Posts
May 10 2024 19:44 GMT
#13528
Belgorod?
You're now breathing manually
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
785 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-05-10 19:54:55
May 10 2024 19:54 GMT
#13529
On May 11 2024 04:40 Branch.AUT wrote:
Peace conference and new borders. What else?
Last time I heard nobody wanted peace - Russia wanted Kiev to surrender, Ukraine wanted all of its territories back.
Has it changed recently?
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22131 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-05-10 19:58:02
May 10 2024 19:57 GMT
#13530
Even if Ukraine was willing to accept their loses and go for peace, considering Russia broke the previous agreement not to invade Ukraine such an agreement would not be worth anything and would only serve as a timeout for Russia to rebuilt their army before going again.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12057 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-05-11 04:36:15
May 11 2024 04:35 GMT
#13531
On May 11 2024 04:57 Gorsameth wrote:
Even if Ukraine was willing to accept their loses and go for peace, considering Russia broke the previous agreement not to invade Ukraine such an agreement would not be worth anything and would only serve as a timeout for Russia to rebuilt their army before going again.


The only way for Ukraine to accept peace would be an EU or NATO entry instantly after. Basically joining a defense alliance. As far as I know that isn't offered even if they give up claims to currently occupied Ukraine.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6336 Posts
May 11 2024 04:44 GMT
#13532
On May 11 2024 03:17 ZeroByte13 wrote:
A buffer zone for what?

There has always been talk of creating a buffer or sanitation zone as a response to the supply of long range missiles or weapons to the government in Kiev. Whatever the range of the missiles shipped, thats how far away their possible deployment from populations centers in pre-2022 Russia the buffer zone needs to be. There have also been a few PR border raid campaigns by proxy groups and indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas and something like this has been inevitable for quite some time now.

It also lengthens the front, Russia at the end of 2022 was desperate to shorten the front line as much as possible due to manpower shortages but now if the active front line is lengthened by 20-30% its going to cause a lot more problems for Kiev than for Moscow. They don't have the manpower there to take Kharkov head on and that would be a bloody mess but by forcing a combat line filled with personnel that could have been of use elsewhere the attrition rates spike sharply.
"No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot." - Mark Twain
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43673 Posts
May 11 2024 06:52 GMT
#13533
On May 11 2024 13:44 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2024 03:17 ZeroByte13 wrote:
A buffer zone for what?

There has always been talk of creating a buffer or sanitation zone as a response to the supply of long range missiles or weapons to the government in Kiev. Whatever the range of the missiles shipped, thats how far away their possible deployment from populations centers in pre-2022 Russia the buffer zone needs to be. There have also been a few PR border raid campaigns by proxy groups and indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas and something like this has been inevitable for quite some time now.

It also lengthens the front, Russia at the end of 2022 was desperate to shorten the front line as much as possible due to manpower shortages but now if the active front line is lengthened by 20-30% its going to cause a lot more problems for Kiev than for Moscow. They don't have the manpower there to take Kharkov head on and that would be a bloody mess but by forcing a combat line filled with personnel that could have been of use elsewhere the attrition rates spike sharply.

This is not a reasonable demand. You don’t get to demand that your neighbours surrender all land near your cities, you just have to try to not be the kind of neighbour who deserves missile strikes. That’s what Russia doesn’t understand. Everyone else seems to be able to get along without needing buffer zones because nobody else is attacking their neighbours.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
hexhaven
Profile Joined July 2014
Finland962 Posts
May 11 2024 08:35 GMT
#13534
On May 11 2024 15:52 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2024 13:44 zeo wrote:
On May 11 2024 03:17 ZeroByte13 wrote:
A buffer zone for what?

There has always been talk of creating a buffer or sanitation zone as a response to the supply of long range missiles or weapons to the government in Kiev. Whatever the range of the missiles shipped, thats how far away their possible deployment from populations centers in pre-2022 Russia the buffer zone needs to be. There have also been a few PR border raid campaigns by proxy groups and indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas and something like this has been inevitable for quite some time now.

It also lengthens the front, Russia at the end of 2022 was desperate to shorten the front line as much as possible due to manpower shortages but now if the active front line is lengthened by 20-30% its going to cause a lot more problems for Kiev than for Moscow. They don't have the manpower there to take Kharkov head on and that would be a bloody mess but by forcing a combat line filled with personnel that could have been of use elsewhere the attrition rates spike sharply.

This is not a reasonable demand. You don’t get to demand that your neighbours surrender all land near your cities, you just have to try to not be the kind of neighbour who deserves missile strikes. That’s what Russia doesn’t understand. Everyone else seems to be able to get along without needing buffer zones because nobody else is attacking their neighbours.


Russia wants to create buffer zones within Ukraine because Western militaries have sent long range missiles to Ukraine... after Russia invaded Ukraine. It's just a coincidence that those proposed buffer zones should reach the Polish and Romanian borders, of course.

Reminder that Russia could take tangible steps towards peace any time it wanted to, by moving troops away from the front.
WriterI shoot events. | http://www.jussi.co/esports
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8240 Posts
May 11 2024 11:36 GMT
#13535
On May 11 2024 17:35 hexhaven wrote:
Reminder that Russia could take tangible steps towards peace any time it wanted to, by moving troops away from the front.


Considering their goal was to get rid of Nazism and corruption in Ukraine, one could even argue that they've achieved their goal! They have no reason not to pull out of the country now.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11772 Posts
May 11 2024 11:40 GMT
#13536
On May 11 2024 20:36 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2024 17:35 hexhaven wrote:
Reminder that Russia could take tangible steps towards peace any time it wanted to, by moving troops away from the front.


Considering their goal was to get rid of Nazism and corruption in Ukraine, one could even argue that they've achieved their goal! They have no reason not to pull out of the country now.


In fact, if every Russian soldier left Ukraine, there would almost certainly be far fewer Nazis there.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6336 Posts
May 11 2024 12:43 GMT
#13537
On May 11 2024 15:52 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2024 13:44 zeo wrote:
On May 11 2024 03:17 ZeroByte13 wrote:
A buffer zone for what?

There has always been talk of creating a buffer or sanitation zone as a response to the supply of long range missiles or weapons to the government in Kiev. Whatever the range of the missiles shipped, thats how far away their possible deployment from populations centers in pre-2022 Russia the buffer zone needs to be. There have also been a few PR border raid campaigns by proxy groups and indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas and something like this has been inevitable for quite some time now.

It also lengthens the front, Russia at the end of 2022 was desperate to shorten the front line as much as possible due to manpower shortages but now if the active front line is lengthened by 20-30% its going to cause a lot more problems for Kiev than for Moscow. They don't have the manpower there to take Kharkov head on and that would be a bloody mess but by forcing a combat line filled with personnel that could have been of use elsewhere the attrition rates spike sharply.

This is not a reasonable demand. You don’t get to demand that your neighbours surrender all land near your cities, you just have to try to not be the kind of neighbour who deserves missile strikes. That’s what Russia doesn’t understand. Everyone else seems to be able to get along without needing buffer zones because nobody else is attacking their neighbours.

Random internet users don't get to decide what is reasonable or not. Countries don't care, they take whatever actions they want to take and justify it with whatever they want, they'll find a reason. Look at Isreal.

In this case double down escalation rhetoric has led to a widening of the front.
- If you don't pull out of Ukraine we will send missiles!
- oh yeah? you do that and we will invade even more
- sends missiles
- invades even more
- oh yeah? because you invaded even more we will do xyz next
- ect. ect.

The whole 'regions vote to become part of Russia' came about after negotiations failed and Ukraine started getting mass pumped with weapons. Again, its some people at the top weighing the pros and cons on both sides and being careful not to escalate too much.

When you full send there is no going back and you lose any leverage you had. Take sanctions as an example, Russia had its arm twisted behind its back since 2014 with sanctions and the threat of being cut off. NATO immediately went all in with sanctions, Russia took the hit and didn't collapse. Now sanctions are rarely mentioned anymore unless as a meme used to laugh at how Europe shot itself in the foot with how impotent they are
"No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot." - Mark Twain
Luolis
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Finland7160 Posts
May 11 2024 15:53 GMT
#13538
On May 11 2024 21:43 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2024 15:52 KwarK wrote:
On May 11 2024 13:44 zeo wrote:
On May 11 2024 03:17 ZeroByte13 wrote:
A buffer zone for what?

There has always been talk of creating a buffer or sanitation zone as a response to the supply of long range missiles or weapons to the government in Kiev. Whatever the range of the missiles shipped, thats how far away their possible deployment from populations centers in pre-2022 Russia the buffer zone needs to be. There have also been a few PR border raid campaigns by proxy groups and indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas and something like this has been inevitable for quite some time now.

It also lengthens the front, Russia at the end of 2022 was desperate to shorten the front line as much as possible due to manpower shortages but now if the active front line is lengthened by 20-30% its going to cause a lot more problems for Kiev than for Moscow. They don't have the manpower there to take Kharkov head on and that would be a bloody mess but by forcing a combat line filled with personnel that could have been of use elsewhere the attrition rates spike sharply.

This is not a reasonable demand. You don’t get to demand that your neighbours surrender all land near your cities, you just have to try to not be the kind of neighbour who deserves missile strikes. That’s what Russia doesn’t understand. Everyone else seems to be able to get along without needing buffer zones because nobody else is attacking their neighbours.

Random internet users don't get to decide what is reasonable or not. Countries don't care, they take whatever actions they want to take and justify it with whatever they want, they'll find a reason. Look at Isreal.

In this case double down escalation rhetoric has led to a widening of the front.
- If you don't pull out of Ukraine we will send missiles!
- oh yeah? you do that and we will invade even more
- sends missiles
- invades even more
- oh yeah? because you invaded even more we will do xyz next
- ect. ect.

The whole 'regions vote to become part of Russia' came about after negotiations failed and Ukraine started getting mass pumped with weapons. Again, its some people at the top weighing the pros and cons on both sides and being careful not to escalate too much.

When you full send there is no going back and you lose any leverage you had. Take sanctions as an example, Russia had its arm twisted behind its back since 2014 with sanctions and the threat of being cut off. NATO immediately went all in with sanctions, Russia took the hit and didn't collapse. Now sanctions are rarely mentioned anymore unless as a meme used to laugh at how Europe shot itself in the foot with how impotent they are

Sounds to me like we should just bomb the shit country of Russia then if they dont play with the rules.
pro cheese woman / Its never Sunny in Finland. Perkele / FinnishStarcraftTrivia
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11439 Posts
May 11 2024 16:38 GMT
#13539
Guess we have a modern day imperialist in our midst.

The Israel situation is not even remotely comparable unless there was an unending barrage of rocket attacks into Russia that I was not aware of prior to Feb 24, 2022 (or 2014 for that matter).
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/palestinian-rocket-and-mortar-attacks-against-israel

The Ukrainian's greatest fault is they had the temerity to not roll over when Russia invaded. What horrible neighbours, defending their own borders. The inhumanity!
Moderator"In Trump We Trust," says the Golden Goat of Mars Lago. Have faith and believe! Trump moves in mysterious ways. Like the wind he blows where he pleases...
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43673 Posts
May 11 2024 16:49 GMT
#13540
On May 12 2024 01:38 Falling wrote:
Guess we have a modern day imperialist in our midst.

The Israel situation is not even remotely comparable unless there was an unending barrage of rocket attacks into Russia that I was not aware of prior to Feb 24, 2022 (or 2014 for that matter).
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/palestinian-rocket-and-mortar-attacks-against-israel

The Ukrainian's greatest fault is they had the temerity to not roll over when Russia invaded. What horrible neighbours, defending their own borders. The inhumanity!

In fairness they did also try rolling over when Russia invaded. That's what they did in 2014. It didn't help one bit, Russia just invaded again.

The idea that Ukraine has been given any option other than resistance is absurd. They tried disarmament, they tried treaties of territorial recognition and integrity, they tried negotiated ceasefires, they tried appeasement. There was no violence in the Donbas in 2021. There was a peace until Russia broke it.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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