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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 22

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Elroi
Profile Joined August 2009
Sweden5595 Posts
March 03 2022 12:59 GMT
#421
Source?
"To all eSports fans, I want to be remembered as a progamer who can make something out of nothing, and someone who always does his best. I think that is the right way of living, and I'm always doing my best to follow that." - Jaedong. /watch?v=jfghAzJqAp0
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 03 2022 13:09 GMT
#422
Formula 1 has boycotted Russia for the foreseeable future.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Oukka
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
Finland1683 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-03 13:28:52
March 03 2022 13:27 GMT
#423
An Estonian cargo ship is sinking/has already sunk near Odessa. An explosion, apparently caused by hitting a mine. I've not seen any educated guesses/reporting of who had laid those mines.

Two crew members are on a life raft, four still missing.

How many third party ships have already been hit during the fighting? And was I being stupidly naive when I thought that it would be fairly easy to distinguish between civilian ships and military vessels, especially if those ships themselves are flying their normal colours are not refusing to answer radio calls or such?

Obviously this one is different with a mine, but the previous cases were various sorts of missles or gunfire.
I play children's card games and watch a lot of dota, CS and HS
[JXSA].Zergling
Profile Joined July 2020
China186 Posts
March 03 2022 13:31 GMT
#424
Western media are double standards and not objective enough.
Ukrainian forces shelled residential buildings, which the media chose to ignore.
Similarly, reporting on China is also a double standard.
As an ordinary Chinese, I do not support the Russian government or the Ukrainian government. I sympathize with the injured Ukrainian people.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland25344 Posts
March 03 2022 13:34 GMT
#425
On March 03 2022 21:14 dudeee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2022 19:46 deacon.frost wrote:
On March 03 2022 19:38 Vindicare605 wrote:
On March 03 2022 19:17 Silvanel wrote:
Lets keep this about Ukraine. This whataboutism is derailing the thread.


Except it's sadly relevant. A key reason that we didn't intervene when Russia invaded Georgia was because we realistically couldnt because our army was bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan. Something Putin was happy to point out to us.

I personally think it's a bit weird to be bringing up the mistakes of the US over the last 20 years as a way to excuse what Putin is doing though. Since when does 2 wrongs make a right?

It's more about pointing out the hypocricy of the west.

When an Afghani person fights against an invading Soviet soldier - he's a freedom fighter!
When an Afghani person fights against an invading NATO soldier - he's a terrorist!
And now when an Ukraine person fights against an invading Russian soldier - he's a freedom fighter!

When the US invaded Iraq everybody looked away.
When the Turkey invaded Syria everybody looked away.
When the Russia invades Ukraine everybody looses their mind.

It would be nice to at least be as less hypocritical as possible and more consistent if the west wants to play the moral high ground card.


The west absolutely has moral high ground it's not even close.

Why are all these west criticisers comparing Saddam Hussein to Volodymyr Zelenskyj?

They always bring up iraq war and how west didnt massively sanction US or some stupid argument like its the same as russia invading ukraine.

Saddam was a brutal dictator making ppl dissapear all the time and killing hundreds of thousands of people.

Zelenskyj is a publicly elected president.

Please tell me i'm missing something otherwise its just so incredicly dumb.

I think the main issue with Iraq is, there was a clear humanitarian reason, not just domestically but in terms of Iraq stepping up atrocities outside it's borders to just get rid of Saddam during the first Gulf War.

Instead that wasn't done until later, with dubious (and by dubious I mean totally false) rationales, in a manner that unleashed sectarian violence all over that area.

I do think it's borderline imbecilic to talk about 'the West' in these terms though. What West? America and say, Finland, where's the commonality there?

There's considerable relative cultural homogenisation and many shared values across the West sure, but there is significant, significant divergence in matters of foreign policy, as there is between nations in other regions of the world.

Europe, some nations rather more than others took in rather a lot of refugees in the aftermath of the Syrian civil war, as indeed did some of the nations in closer geographic proximity. Plenty of other more culturally aligned, non-Western countries with wealth shirked that responsibility.

Now we'll sadly see the mass displacement of people by war, this time in Europe, I just hope we can collectively help these people temporarily until they're back on their feet and, hopefully able to return to a country that isn't in ruins as soon as possible. I hope my own country, wider Europe and elsewhere can answer that call in this hour of need.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21687 Posts
March 03 2022 13:34 GMT
#426
On March 03 2022 22:27 Oukka wrote:
An Estonian cargo ship is sinking/has already sunk near Odessa. An explosion, apparently caused by hitting a mine. I've not seen any educated guesses/reporting of who had laid those mines.

Two crew members are on a life raft, four still missing.

How many third party ships have already been hit during the fighting? And was I being stupidly naive when I thought that it would be fairly easy to distinguish between civilian ships and military vessels, especially if those ships themselves are flying their normal colours are not refusing to answer radio calls or such?

Obviously this one is different with a mine, but the previous cases were various sorts of missles or gunfire.
I imagine the main issue is the 'over the horizon' range of modern combat.

By the time I can physically identify you are a cargo ship flying an Estonian flag, rather then a blip on a screen, you will have sunk my ship 100x over if your a hostile warship.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 03 2022 13:42 GMT
#427
--- Nuked ---
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
March 03 2022 13:42 GMT
#428
On March 03 2022 22:31 [JXSA].Zergling wrote:
Western media are double standards and not objective enough.
Ukrainian forces shelled residential buildings, which the media chose to ignore.
Similarly, reporting on China is also a double standard.
As an ordinary Chinese, I do not support the Russian government or the Ukrainian government. I sympathize with the injured Ukrainian people.

Source.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32740 Posts
March 03 2022 13:48 GMT
#429
A pretty reputable journalist who specializes in Russia says her friend is scrambling to leave Russia to the Baltics by land. There's expectations that Putin will declare martial law soon. Not exactly a sign that Putin is feeling confident at home if this is true.



Russia was already seeing a severe brain drain of its best and brightest, and it's surely going to be even worse now. A nearly worthless currency, a country being closed off from the world, and a shortening window for escape means panic from people who have the opportunity.

This is also a great read on how the economic sanctions will reverberate throughout the world, including places and industries we may not be considering. This means the least developed countries will face food shortages because Russia and Ukraine are a major source of wheat exports, Tajikistan's economy will lose a major chunk of its remittances, and fertilizer costs will skyrocket because Russia exports a great deal of the potash and nitrogen that sustains global crop yields.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Oukka
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
Finland1683 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-03 13:51:34
March 03 2022 13:50 GMT
#430
On March 03 2022 22:34 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2022 22:27 Oukka wrote:
An Estonian cargo ship is sinking/has already sunk near Odessa. An explosion, apparently caused by hitting a mine. I've not seen any educated guesses/reporting of who had laid those mines.

Two crew members are on a life raft, four still missing.

How many third party ships have already been hit during the fighting? And was I being stupidly naive when I thought that it would be fairly easy to distinguish between civilian ships and military vessels, especially if those ships themselves are flying their normal colours are not refusing to answer radio calls or such?

Obviously this one is different with a mine, but the previous cases were various sorts of missles or gunfire.
I imagine the main issue is the 'over the horizon' range of modern combat.

By the time I can physically identify you are a cargo ship flying an Estonian flag, rather then a blip on a screen, you will have sunk my ship 100x over if your a hostile warship.

That would make sense.

But how is that compatible with general rules of engagement regarding knowing what you are pointing your weapons at? At least in theory ships should be only firing at targets they have identified to be hostile. Also friendly fire surely becomes an issue at some point if any blip on radar is a potential target, especially when operating under strict radio silence or similar.

Appreciating the answer already and don't take the further questions as negative! I just don't have any understanding of how modern naval combat works.
I play children's card games and watch a lot of dota, CS and HS
r00ty
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany1056 Posts
March 03 2022 14:24 GMT
#431
While i welcome a different perspective, i'll refrain from discussing anything with people who could get into serious trouble in their country for just quoting or researching something that is not in line with their governments agenda. Please mind that everybody and take care Zergling.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
March 03 2022 14:30 GMT
#432
On March 03 2022 22:50 Oukka wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2022 22:34 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 03 2022 22:27 Oukka wrote:
An Estonian cargo ship is sinking/has already sunk near Odessa. An explosion, apparently caused by hitting a mine. I've not seen any educated guesses/reporting of who had laid those mines.

Two crew members are on a life raft, four still missing.

How many third party ships have already been hit during the fighting? And was I being stupidly naive when I thought that it would be fairly easy to distinguish between civilian ships and military vessels, especially if those ships themselves are flying their normal colours are not refusing to answer radio calls or such?

Obviously this one is different with a mine, but the previous cases were various sorts of missles or gunfire.
I imagine the main issue is the 'over the horizon' range of modern combat.

By the time I can physically identify you are a cargo ship flying an Estonian flag, rather then a blip on a screen, you will have sunk my ship 100x over if your a hostile warship.

That would make sense.

But how is that compatible with general rules of engagement regarding knowing what you are pointing your weapons at? At least in theory ships should be only firing at targets they have identified to be hostile. Also friendly fire surely becomes an issue at some point if any blip on radar is a potential target, especially when operating under strict radio silence or similar.

Appreciating the answer already and don't take the further questions as negative! I just don't have any understanding of how modern naval combat works.
Unsophisticated mines don't care about rules of engagement. There are some sophisticated ones though that can be programmed to do so.

Ships operating under a strict "radio" or "no radar" emissions would not be able to fire a missile at a target as they have no way to detect and track targets, except by receiving information from an external source, but that still can create emissions which can be blurred by background emissions. Doubtful that Russian ships has sophisticated networking capability anyways. They can still defend themselves from missiles using passive sensors. Some ships have sophisticated communication intelligence ie "listening" capabilities. Interrogator "blips" are sent for IFF to "blip" a response back. Friendly fire is not a problem in that if you are trying to avoid detection you generally wouldn't be firing any missiles at targets of opportunity anyways. Running silent is normally due to a fixed mission plan, not as a general operation in an area. Search, identification and track are the most important steps before firing a missile, shaped by general intelligence.
Legan
Profile Joined June 2017
Finland406 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-03 14:43:12
March 03 2022 14:37 GMT
#433
The whole invasion looks so weird, when there are so many pictures that outside experts can analyze. For example, Russian army may not have done proper maintenance on their vehicles, especially their tires in this case, for long time.



If this analysis is correct, it is hard to see things changing fast in Russian army. They are not going to suddenly start having great maintenance on their equipment while stuck on muddy road. Even though this makes things look promising for Ukrainian army, it also feels that it could increase forcefulness of Russian army leadership even more. E: grammar
Creator of Gresvan, Tropical Sacrifice, Taitalika, and Golden Forge
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18827 Posts
March 03 2022 14:40 GMT
#434
On March 03 2022 23:37 Legan wrote:
The whole invasion looks so weird, when there are so many pictures that outside expert can analyze. For example, Russian army may not have done proper maintenance on their vehicles, especially their tires in this case, for long time.

https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1499164245250002944

If this analysis correct, it is hard to see things changing fast in Russian army. They are not going to suddenly start having great maintenance on their equipment while stuck on muddy road. Even though this makes things look promising for Ukrainian army, it also feels that it could increase forcefulness of Russian army leadership even more.

Indeed, if true, it would appear that Putin-led Russia became so practiced in manipulating or obscuring information about its military that it began to believe its own lies, leading it to overestimate its military's readiness and ability to conduct an invasion.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 03 2022 14:44 GMT
#435
Seems the Putin and Macron talk didn't go well.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Oukka
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
Finland1683 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-03 14:50:29
March 03 2022 14:45 GMT
#436
On March 03 2022 23:30 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2022 22:50 Oukka wrote:
On March 03 2022 22:34 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 03 2022 22:27 Oukka wrote:
An Estonian cargo ship is sinking/has already sunk near Odessa. An explosion, apparently caused by hitting a mine. I've not seen any educated guesses/reporting of who had laid those mines.

Two crew members are on a life raft, four still missing.

How many third party ships have already been hit during the fighting? And was I being stupidly naive when I thought that it would be fairly easy to distinguish between civilian ships and military vessels, especially if those ships themselves are flying their normal colours are not refusing to answer radio calls or such?

Obviously this one is different with a mine, but the previous cases were various sorts of missles or gunfire.
I imagine the main issue is the 'over the horizon' range of modern combat.

By the time I can physically identify you are a cargo ship flying an Estonian flag, rather then a blip on a screen, you will have sunk my ship 100x over if your a hostile warship.

That would make sense.

But how is that compatible with general rules of engagement regarding knowing what you are pointing your weapons at? At least in theory ships should be only firing at targets they have identified to be hostile. Also friendly fire surely becomes an issue at some point if any blip on radar is a potential target, especially when operating under strict radio silence or similar.

Appreciating the answer already and don't take the further questions as negative! I just don't have any understanding of how modern naval combat works.
Unsophisticated mines don't care about rules of engagement. There are some sophisticated ones though that can be programmed to do so.

Ships operating under a strict "radio" or "no radar" emissions would not be able to fire a missile at a target as they have no way to detect and track targets, except by receiving information from an external source, but that still can create emissions which can be blurred by background emissions. Doubtful that Russian ships has sophisticated networking capability anyways. They can still defend themselves from missiles using passive sensors. Some ships have sophisticated communication intelligence ie "listening" capabilities. Interrogator "blips" are sent for IFF to "blip" a response back. Friendly fire is not a problem in that if you are trying to avoid detection you generally wouldn't be firing any missiles at targets of opportunity anyways. Running silent is normally due to a fixed mission plan, not as a general operation in an area. Search, identification and track are the most important steps before firing a missile, shaped by general intelligence.

Thanks, this was illustrative! My short and unsophisticated take from it is that there is no reason for as many hits on third party vessels as we've seen. If someone fires a missile at a non-hostile ship they've either failed at identification, haven't done it at all or are firing at non-hostile targets on purpose. So not particularly different from land combat in that sense.

Mines obviously being different in that after they've been laid they're there until cleared.

Edit: are there conventions about use of mines at sea? About how/where they can be used, should they be communicated to other vessels etc?
I play children's card games and watch a lot of dota, CS and HS
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42693 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-03 15:04:32
March 03 2022 15:03 GMT
#437
On March 03 2022 23:37 Legan wrote:
The whole invasion looks so weird, when there are so many pictures that outside experts can analyze. For example, Russian army may not have done proper maintenance on their vehicles, especially their tires in this case, for long time.

https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1499164245250002944

If this analysis is correct, it is hard to see things changing fast in Russian army. They are not going to suddenly start having great maintenance on their equipment while stuck on muddy road. Even though this makes things look promising for Ukrainian army, it also feels that it could increase forcefulness of Russian army leadership even more. E: grammar

Corrupt billionaire to other corrupt billionaires in a poor country:
“but where did all the money for maintenance go?”
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4100 Posts
March 03 2022 15:14 GMT
#438
The statement from Moscow includes the following claim:
"The statement said Russia's "special operation" in Ukraine was going "according to plan". It said reports that Russian forces were bombarding Kyiv were part of an "anti-Russia disinformation campaign", and that Russian forces were doing all they could to protect civilians."
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-tells-macron-russia-will-achieve-its-goals-ukraine-2022-03-03/

This is an obvious lie as there's plenty of proof of apartment blocks and other civilian buildings being shelled, and it means that Putin has no intention of negotiating honestly. He's lying to the world and so I believe him when he says that the war is going to continue until he has successfuly invaded the Ukraine.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42693 Posts
March 03 2022 15:16 GMT
#439
I mean I’m sure Ukraine had a plan for defence against a Russian invasion. Did they specify whose plan it was going according to?
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4100 Posts
March 03 2022 15:20 GMT
#440
To add, a new video just surfaced
"Rockets fired at a residential area in the city of Chernihiv on the northern front line in Ukraine at 12:16 p.m. Ukrainian authorities say it is a Russian airstrike on civilians. In that case, according to Clingendael researcher Danny Pronk, this is a war crime."
https://nos.nl/artikel/2419666-dodelijke-raketaanval-op-woonwijk-in-tsjernihiv-mogelijk-met-clustermunitie
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
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