EPTAnyone got insight on that one?
2020 US Election - Page 35
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Stratos_speAr
United States6959 Posts
Anyone got insight on that one? | ||
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Zambrah
United States7393 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:43 PVJ wrote: I never thought of that. Is there strong correlation? Dunno, our system is pretty fucked though. Having states like SC and Alabama help decide who the candidate is just seems dumb to me though when the only states that matter are states like PA and FL. Realistically it should be exclusively swing states if Democrats wanted to maximize winning by that logic, but I'm a random jackass on the internet just making suppositions so, lol | ||
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GreenHorizons
United States24391 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:28 LegalLord wrote: Florida looks a lot less like an outlier and a lot more like a trend. To that point Hispanic vote numbers in Ohio, Georgia, and Florida (not sure their proportions of the electorate in each though). | ||
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Stratos_speAr
United States6959 Posts
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LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:39 DarkPlasmaBall wrote: I definitely miss the 2 Obama elections, when there were comfortable victories. Didn't feel comfortable at the time, but they broke for Obama in the end. Charisma helps. | ||
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iPlaY.NettleS
Australia4456 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:51 Stratos_speAr wrote: So 70% of NC is in with Biden up by 5.3%, yet NYT gives Trump a 70% chance to win it. Anyone got insight on that one? Probably counted the early votes first and Trump is leading with in persons, who knows anymore. | ||
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GreenHorizons
United States24391 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:52 iPlaY.NettleS wrote: Probably counted the early votes first and Trump is leading with in persons, who knows anymore. That's exactly what is happening. | ||
KwarK
United States44386 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:51 Stratos_speAr wrote: So 70% of NC is in with Biden up by 5.3%, yet NYT gives Trump a 70% chance to win it. Anyone got insight on that one? Early votes and processed mail ballots, which are likely to be relatively stronger for Democrats, are expected first. Election Day results, which are likely to be relatively stronger for Republicans, will be reported over the course of the night. Postmarked ballots are accepted until Nov. 12, but officials have said they expect 97 percent of ballots to be reported on election night. Per their website. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9857 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:50 LegalLord wrote: The fact that Virginia is still heavily Trump with Biden declared the winner is eyebrow-raising. They counted a lot more votes and it didn't move all that much yet. I'm assuming they count the election day votes first and the mail-in votes are still outstanding. They don't just call states haphazardly. | ||
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PhoenixVoid
Canada32755 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:51 Stratos_speAr wrote: So 70% of NC is in with Biden up by 5.3%, yet NYT gives Trump a 70% chance to win it. Anyone got insight on that one? I'm reading that the urban and suburban vote is counted faster and the rural areas have yet to report most of their results. | ||
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Introvert
United States5044 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:51 Stratos_speAr wrote: So 70% of NC is in with Biden up by 5.3%, yet NYT gives Trump a 70% chance to win it. Anyone got insight on that one? saw a report that it was HEAVILY early vote there so far, not sure how they know tho. I'm also interested in the house, seems hst the GOP may claw some back. also watching VA as a curiosity. | ||
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Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:43 Starlightsun wrote: In 2016 at least he was a political unknown. There was a chance he would at least surround himself with competent people and do a good job despite being a bad person. I truly can't understand how it is close this year though. While people might not like Trump, they don't like what the Dems are offering even more. How is that hard to understand? By the way looks like I will be right about FL with Trump at +3%. | ||
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LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:51 Stratos_speAr wrote: So 70% of NC is in with Biden up by 5.3%, yet NYT gives Trump a 70% chance to win it. Anyone got insight on that one? All the big cities are already counted and all the rural precincts are yet to report. | ||
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Stratos_speAr
United States6959 Posts
I'm just a bit surprised that a 5.3% deficit can be made up with less than 30% of the vote remaining. | ||
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Stratos_speAr
United States6959 Posts
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LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:54 Grackaroni wrote: I'm assuming they count the election day votes first and the mail-in votes are still outstanding. They don't just call states haphazardly. Not that I expect Trump to win it, but lackluster results in a safe state bode poorly for swing states. | ||
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Nouar
France3270 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:52 iPlaY.NettleS wrote: Probably counted the early votes first and Trump is leading with in persons, who knows anymore. Yeah, meanwhile the Fox prediction meters look like they don't give a shit : ![[image loading]](https://i.imgur.com/xYkol12.jpg) | ||
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KwarK
United States44386 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:54 Stratos_speAr wrote: I'm just a bit surprised that a 5.3% deficit can be made up with less than 30% of the vote remaining. Remaining votes need to go 950k Trump 750k Biden or more for Trump to win. | ||
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Nouar
France3270 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:51 Stratos_speAr wrote: So 70% of NC is in with Biden up by 5.3%, yet NYT gives Trump a 70% chance to win it. Anyone got insight on that one? Had a look at 2016/2020, total votes for reported precincts look more or less the same, so... | ||
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WombaT
Northern Ireland27464 Posts
On November 04 2020 10:46 Monochromatic wrote: After the Corbyn experiment ended in utter failure does anyone still think far-left is the future? It's easy to look at a candidate doing poorly and claim someone else would do better, but in reality that's pretty much a baseless assumption. I voted Biden. I'd vote Trump over Bernie 100% of the time. Bernie 2024. Things aren’t particularly predictable, I mean would anyone have said 10 years ago a Trump that is beyond satire being President would be an eventuality that could possibly occur? That said, the pathway doesn’t look exactly promising. | ||
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