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Coronavirus and You - Page 515

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 20 2021 00:31 GMT
#10281
--- Nuked ---
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
November 20 2021 00:42 GMT
#10282
wait, we can subscribe to threads? what does that even mean? lol. have I been a TL noob this whole time?
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21966 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-11-20 00:48:09
November 20 2021 00:47 GMT
#10283
On November 20 2021 09:42 Mohdoo wrote:
wait, we can subscribe to threads? what does that even mean? lol. have I been a TL noob this whole time?
Left corner, below the last post on the page and the reply box.

and https://tl.net/mytlnet/mythreads.php will show you all your subscribed threads and if they have new replies.
(your automatically subscribed to any thread you post in)
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
November 20 2021 02:48 GMT
#10284
On November 20 2021 09:47 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 20 2021 09:42 Mohdoo wrote:
wait, we can subscribe to threads? what does that even mean? lol. have I been a TL noob this whole time?
Left corner, below the last post on the page and the reply box.

and https://tl.net/mytlnet/mythreads.php will show you all your subscribed threads and if they have new replies.
(your automatically subscribed to any thread you post in)


This feels redundant. I use tl.net/myposts
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18132 Posts
November 20 2021 08:41 GMT
#10285
On November 20 2021 11:48 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 20 2021 09:47 Gorsameth wrote:
On November 20 2021 09:42 Mohdoo wrote:
wait, we can subscribe to threads? what does that even mean? lol. have I been a TL noob this whole time?
Left corner, below the last post on the page and the reply box.

and https://tl.net/mytlnet/mythreads.php will show you all your subscribed threads and if they have new replies.
(your automatically subscribed to any thread you post in)


This feels redundant. I use tl.net/myposts

It isn't redundant. It's a rather different function. Especially for people who read a lot but don't post much.

(1) you can subscribe to threads without posting in them
and
(2) you can unsubscribe despite posting and it won't show up in the list, and
(3) it shows you any new posts since last you read (and not since last you posted)

It is infinitely better for keeping up with threads of interest than myposts.

Anyway, back on topic: I'm not in favor of vaccine mandates, because I don't feel the vaccine is actually effective enough a tool for public health to require its mandate. That said, I have the luxury of living in a country with over 90% vaccination uptake (over 85% of the full population). I could see how a country with more crazy anti-vaxxers might deem it necessary. I don't think there is any holy line that is crossed by government. Especially if it's a choice between mandating vaccines for the unvaccinated vs a stringent lockdown for everyone (I just expect the vaccine mandate won't avoid the lockdown at this point so it's largely pointless)
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11646 Posts
November 20 2021 09:09 GMT
#10286
On November 20 2021 09:17 WombaT wrote:
I don’t really understand how this is some new Rubicon that has been crossed.

There were far, far more stringent impositions on freedoms of all kinds in both World Wars, but these are seen through misty eyes as some high water mark of collective sacrifice and pushing in the same direction.

Which were ultimately completely repealed, come the cessation of said conflict. They weren’t some slippery slope into tyranny in perpetuity.

Especially by (many) of the same people who seem to have some instinctual political instinct against, relatively minor impingements on personal autonomy in the current pandemic scenario.

This isn’t to say legitimate objections aren’t a thing, I am aware and share some of them. And I thoroughly respect some of the measured objections contained within this thread.

But, for others, in the wider non-TL Corona thread sphere absolutely not. People wanking off over their Remembrance for veterans of the World Wars and the sacrifices they made, complaining about modern ‘snowflakes’, but for whom even wearing a mask is too much of a contemporary sacrifice, never mind getting a vaccine.

No, just no. Fuck off with your nonsense, it’s utterly ridiculous. Fuck off and get with the program.


Regarding WW2 and vaccinations. I talked to my grand parents about this, and apparently after WW2 there were also mandatory vaccinations by the occupying troops. They remember that everyone had to get vaccinated or you no longer got food rations. And no one made any fuss about that.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21966 Posts
November 20 2021 09:18 GMT
#10287
On November 20 2021 18:09 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 20 2021 09:17 WombaT wrote:
I don’t really understand how this is some new Rubicon that has been crossed.

There were far, far more stringent impositions on freedoms of all kinds in both World Wars, but these are seen through misty eyes as some high water mark of collective sacrifice and pushing in the same direction.

Which were ultimately completely repealed, come the cessation of said conflict. They weren’t some slippery slope into tyranny in perpetuity.

Especially by (many) of the same people who seem to have some instinctual political instinct against, relatively minor impingements on personal autonomy in the current pandemic scenario.

This isn’t to say legitimate objections aren’t a thing, I am aware and share some of them. And I thoroughly respect some of the measured objections contained within this thread.

But, for others, in the wider non-TL Corona thread sphere absolutely not. People wanking off over their Remembrance for veterans of the World Wars and the sacrifices they made, complaining about modern ‘snowflakes’, but for whom even wearing a mask is too much of a contemporary sacrifice, never mind getting a vaccine.

No, just no. Fuck off with your nonsense, it’s utterly ridiculous. Fuck off and get with the program.


Regarding WW2 and vaccinations. I talked to my grand parents about this, and apparently after WW2 there were also mandatory vaccinations by the occupying troops. They remember that everyone had to get vaccinated or you no longer got food rations. And no one made any fuss about that.
I imagine having to take a vaccine is not some tyrannical action when you've just lived under an actual military occupation.

Its easy to shout 'tyrannical dictatorship' when you live in a cosy democracy and have no concept of what it actually means to not have rights.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
November 20 2021 11:06 GMT
#10288
"There were far, far more stringent impositions on freedoms of all kinds in both World Wars"

No kidding... Is this where we are setting the bar now? lmao
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 20 2021 14:05 GMT
#10289
--- Nuked ---
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26108 Posts
November 21 2021 01:43 GMT
#10290
On November 20 2021 20:06 BlackJack wrote:
"There were far, far more stringent impositions on freedoms of all kinds in both World Wars"

No kidding... Is this where we are setting the bar now? lmao

Not my most sensible comparison, albeit I mean a period where individual freedoms were curtailed for a greater good, and were subsequently restored, as opposed to being removed in perpetuity.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-11-21 23:01:33
November 21 2021 23:00 GMT
#10291
I assume everyone has enough common sense to respect bodily autonomy enough to not take it lightly when Austria threatens to fine or jail people for not getting an injection. So there has to be a strong argument to override the right to bodily autonomy. So here are what I think are the 3 strongest arguments for vaccine mandates and why I don't think they pass muster. If anyone wants to add another argument feel welcome to.

1) Vaccinating the unvaccinated is for their own good
2) The unvaccinated pose a health threat to the vaccinated by infecting them with COVID
3) The unvaccinated pose a health threat to the vaccinated by overwhelming the healthcare system


1) Vaccinating the unvaccinated is for their own good

Obviously by far the weakest of the 3 arguments to the point where I don't think anything even needs to be said here. Overriding someone's bodily autonomy for "their own good" is not something that is done in any developed country as far as I know. We will literally let people die before forcing a medicine/treatment on them as long as they have mental capacity to make decisions for themselves.


2) The unvaccinated pose a health threat to the vaccinated by infecting them with COVID

Let's just set aside the stupidity required to believe that the COVID vaccine protects you from COVID but it doesn't protect you from the unvaccinated. Or the stupidity that the vaccinated need to be protected from a "pandemic of the unvaccinated."

A lot of people here still seem to be buying into this myth that the unvaccinated are preventing us from reaching herd immunity and if we just coerced the last of them to get the vaccine we can be over the pandemic. This is bullshit. I don't think anyone serious scientific organization is still promoting the idea that we can eradicate COVID. They have all switched their messaging to "controlling" COVID. COVID will still continue to exist even if everyone gets vaccinated and we already have real world examples of that. Gibraltar is the "most vaccinated place on earth" with 100% of its population being vaccinated and 40% receiving their "booster" dose, yet they have the highest rate of spread of COVID out of anywhere in Europe right now

[image loading]

But okay, even though COVID can still spread among the fully vaccinated, the unvaccinated can also spread it even more, so there is still an increased risk posed by the unvaccinated that could be reduced if they got vaccinated. So how do we quantify the benefit here? Well according to the CDC COVID tracker the most recent data for the week ended September 4 shows a death rate of 0.74 per 100,000 people among the fully vaccinated. About 7-8 people per million. Now as I said, there's little evidence to assume we could reach 0 COVID deaths among the fully vaccinated even with strict vaccine mandates. So now you're willing to violate people's bodily autonomy to protect some fraction of that 0.74 per 100,000. Meanwhile an equally large number of people would die of the flu every year and nobody thought twice about any preventative measures to protect the vulnerable. The desire to trample personal liberty to protect people from a respiratory virus when everyone here has spent their entire lives sleeping through tens of thousands of respiratory virus deaths every flu season doesn't make their position morally superior, it just makes it arbitrary and hypocritical.

3) The unvaccinated pose a health threat to the unvaccinated by overwhelming the healthcare system

By far the best argument offered. Nobody should go along with hospitals running out of oxygen and people dying on sidewalks waiting to be triaged. However we're now at a place where we are firing HCW who refuse to be vaccinated. We're 2 years into the pandemic now and all those "field hospitals" that cities and hospitals spent millions to erect have long been torn down and never used. It's hard to simultaneously argue that the healthcare system is going to collapse while at the same time firing healthcare workers and tearing down supplemental hospital beds. We've already seen Florida get to the other side of a bad delta wave and their governor was shit talking masks and mandates the whole way through it. It's hard to believe that a state or country that has more of it's population vaccinated than Florida and has a government with better messaging would not be able to make it through a COVID wave without the collapse of their healthcare system. Although hats off to Florida in the way they blitzed out the monoclonal antibody treatment centers - that was quite impressive to see and maybe was a game changer and not something other states or countries could replicate with less competent leadership. I also have very little knowledge on the capabilities of other countries to increase their healthcare capacities. The US currently has a shit ton of travel RNs, RTs, and other healthcare workers that can deploy to hotspots and are compensated quite well. I don't know if countries with single-payer/socialized systems have the ability to increase capacity by just throwing $ at contractors in the same way.
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-11-21 23:14:59
November 21 2021 23:05 GMT
#10292
the unvaccinated pose a health threat to anyone injured or ill by overwhelming the health system
passive quaranstream fan
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-11-21 23:56:57
November 21 2021 23:53 GMT
#10293
--- Nuked ---
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21966 Posts
November 22 2021 00:18 GMT
#10294
2) Are we really still comparing it to the flu? Covid is a lot more dangerous to a lot more people then the flu. This argument was stupid 2 years ago, it's still stupid now.

3) not everyone is the US. The US in general has more ICU beds then most other countries. 5 seconds on google puts them at 3e in the world per capita.
The Netherlands on the other hand are 31st and have less then 25% capacity compared to the US. We normally don't need them and ICU staff takes a while to train (and healthcare has a shortage anyway) so we can't really just increase capacity. Because beds isn't the problem, its people who can care for them.
And yes firing people for refusing to get vaccinated sucks but when i've seen it in the news the % have been tiny to insignificant.

A quarter of Dutch OR's are not in use as of a week ago because personal was sick or needed elsewhere.
1 in 6 hospitals is having issues delivering critical care on time (defined as needing treatment within 6 weeks to prevent health damage)

I don't know what the hospital situation in Austria is, but I know that 'just let it happen it will be fine' is absolutely not sustainable for the Netherlands.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
RKC
Profile Joined June 2012
2848 Posts
November 22 2021 01:34 GMT
#10295
Elsewhere, some of my friends are pissed that the government rushed to reach a vaccination target to open up with soft mandates and distribution of less than effective vaccines. Now the government is desperately calling for people who took those vaccines to quickly get boosters (three months after second shot).

This is why protest is gathering steam. Trust is waning, just as vaccination effects is waning. Yes, people were aware that boosters were on the cards. But the "please jab yourself every three months" isn't exactly what they signed up for.

I really hope governments would just make hard decisions right now, instead of just going with the flow.
gg no re thx
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 22 2021 01:36 GMT
#10296
--- Nuked ---
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26108 Posts
November 22 2021 01:39 GMT
#10297
On November 22 2021 08:00 BlackJack wrote:
I assume everyone has enough common sense to respect bodily autonomy enough to not take it lightly when Austria threatens to fine or jail people for not getting an injection. So there has to be a strong argument to override the right to bodily autonomy. So here are what I think are the 3 strongest arguments for vaccine mandates and why I don't think they pass muster. If anyone wants to add another argument feel welcome to.

1) Vaccinating the unvaccinated is for their own good
2) The unvaccinated pose a health threat to the vaccinated by infecting them with COVID
3) The unvaccinated pose a health threat to the vaccinated by overwhelming the healthcare system


1) Vaccinating the unvaccinated is for their own good

Obviously by far the weakest of the 3 arguments to the point where I don't think anything even needs to be said here. Overriding someone's bodily autonomy for "their own good" is not something that is done in any developed country as far as I know. We will literally let people die before forcing a medicine/treatment on them as long as they have mental capacity to make decisions for themselves.


2) The unvaccinated pose a health threat to the vaccinated by infecting them with COVID

Let's just set aside the stupidity required to believe that the COVID vaccine protects you from COVID but it doesn't protect you from the unvaccinated. Or the stupidity that the vaccinated need to be protected from a "pandemic of the unvaccinated."

A lot of people here still seem to be buying into this myth that the unvaccinated are preventing us from reaching herd immunity and if we just coerced the last of them to get the vaccine we can be over the pandemic. This is bullshit. I don't think anyone serious scientific organization is still promoting the idea that we can eradicate COVID. They have all switched their messaging to "controlling" COVID. COVID will still continue to exist even if everyone gets vaccinated and we already have real world examples of that. Gibraltar is the "most vaccinated place on earth" with 100% of its population being vaccinated and 40% receiving their "booster" dose, yet they have the highest rate of spread of COVID out of anywhere in Europe right now

[image loading]

But okay, even though COVID can still spread among the fully vaccinated, the unvaccinated can also spread it even more, so there is still an increased risk posed by the unvaccinated that could be reduced if they got vaccinated. So how do we quantify the benefit here? Well according to the CDC COVID tracker the most recent data for the week ended September 4 shows a death rate of 0.74 per 100,000 people among the fully vaccinated. About 7-8 people per million. Now as I said, there's little evidence to assume we could reach 0 COVID deaths among the fully vaccinated even with strict vaccine mandates. So now you're willing to violate people's bodily autonomy to protect some fraction of that 0.74 per 100,000. Meanwhile an equally large number of people would die of the flu every year and nobody thought twice about any preventative measures to protect the vulnerable. The desire to trample personal liberty to protect people from a respiratory virus when everyone here has spent their entire lives sleeping through tens of thousands of respiratory virus deaths every flu season doesn't make their position morally superior, it just makes it arbitrary and hypocritical.

3) The unvaccinated pose a health threat to the unvaccinated by overwhelming the healthcare system

By far the best argument offered. Nobody should go along with hospitals running out of oxygen and people dying on sidewalks waiting to be triaged. However we're now at a place where we are firing HCW who refuse to be vaccinated. We're 2 years into the pandemic now and all those "field hospitals" that cities and hospitals spent millions to erect have long been torn down and never used. It's hard to simultaneously argue that the healthcare system is going to collapse while at the same time firing healthcare workers and tearing down supplemental hospital beds. We've already seen Florida get to the other side of a bad delta wave and their governor was shit talking masks and mandates the whole way through it. It's hard to believe that a state or country that has more of it's population vaccinated than Florida and has a government with better messaging would not be able to make it through a COVID wave without the collapse of their healthcare system. Although hats off to Florida in the way they blitzed out the monoclonal antibody treatment centers - that was quite impressive to see and maybe was a game changer and not something other states or countries could replicate with less competent leadership. I also have very little knowledge on the capabilities of other countries to increase their healthcare capacities. The US currently has a shit ton of travel RNs, RTs, and other healthcare workers that can deploy to hotspots and are compensated quite well. I don't know if countries with single-payer/socialized systems have the ability to increase capacity by just throwing $ at contractors in the same way.

Why do any of that? Least over here services are stretched thin as it is, I imagine we’ll have a pretty big uptake in the coming winter period, especially as uptake of boosters doesn’t seem as enthusiastic as the initial first two shots.

Maybe we’re equipped to handle a surge, maybe not.

Nobody’s bodily autonomy is being violated, least not here. Which is great, people can, for no particularly good reason make the already difficult task of pandemic mitigation harder, with no consequence whatsoever.

It’s honestly not something I care about anymore, just leave people to it and their ridiculous justifications. I have more meaningful restrictions (which I agree with incidentally) as a smoker upon my person than someone who, for whatever reason refuses vaccination.

That’s how it works, and how it should work, I’m not on some high horse saying I should have the freedom to breathe smoke in people’s faces indoors, that would be silly. The anti vax crowd want their cake, and the eating of it too.

For the record Gibraltar has a relatively tiny population and has a ton of tourist throughput, I’d be skeptical of any stats regarding its vaccine uptake vs Covid outcomes on those lines alone.

And again with comparison to the flu man, I mean come on you make plenty of good posts here but you know that’s a bogus point of comparison.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26108 Posts
November 22 2021 01:54 GMT
#10298
On November 22 2021 10:34 RKC wrote:
Elsewhere, some of my friends are pissed that the government rushed to reach a vaccination target to open up with soft mandates and distribution of less than effective vaccines. Now the government is desperately calling for people who took those vaccines to quickly get boosters (three months after second shot).

This is why protest is gathering steam. Trust is waning, just as vaccination effects is waning. Yes, people were aware that boosters were on the cards. But the "please jab yourself every three months" isn't exactly what they signed up for.

I really hope governments would just make hard decisions right now, instead of just going with the flow.

Governments can’t do that because their citizens are capricious morons

If governments and associated advisory bodies say something like ‘we aren’t sure how effective and long lasting x vaccine is’ nobody will take it because there’s a lack of surety there

If they say x vaccine is great and push people to take it, and it turns out it’s not super effective then people will complain they were lied to and there’s a lack of trust

If you can’t get a sufficient stockpile of the ‘good vaccines’, you’ll be viewed badly too.

You can’t really win, unless you’re a country with huge stockpiles of the best vaccine available, which you maybe can sell. If you are not, then these things all come into conflict.

People don’t like being lied to, they also don’t like being told the truth. I’m unsure of if you live in such a country, there’s plenty of places in the world where the truth is ‘this is the best combo of vaccine procurement and wider mitigation we can deliver, it’s not as good as other places but it’s our best shot’

People complain the world over that politicians aren’t honest, there’s a good reason they aren’t
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
RKC
Profile Joined June 2012
2848 Posts
November 22 2021 03:01 GMT
#10299
Yes, governments are stuck in a difficult lose-lose situation. That's the sad reality of the pandemic.

But as you said, many people are "capricious morons". That's the sad reality that governments have to deal with, like it or not.

Anyway, point is not to blame the government or people on what has transpired in the past. The next wave comes along with a new baggage of political and social issues, which may call for new different approaches.
gg no re thx
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
November 22 2021 03:04 GMT
#10300
On November 22 2021 09:18 Gorsameth wrote:
2) Are we really still comparing it to the flu? Covid is a lot more dangerous to a lot more people then the flu. This argument was stupid 2 years ago, it's still stupid now.


There's been somewhere in the neighborhood of 15k-20k breakthrough COVID deaths in the US in the 11 months we've been vaccinating people. A flu season can easily have double the deaths in just a few months. People spent their whole lives sleeping through tens of thousands of people being killed by a respiratory virus, but now they can't stop talking about the grave danger posed to the vaccinated by the unvaccinated by a respiratory virus that kills even fewer of them. I think there's a reason everyone responds with "comparing flu and covid is just dumb! Let's not talk about it" when they are faced with having to explain away such inconsistencies in their thinking.


3) not everyone is the US. The US in general has more ICU beds then most other countries. 5 seconds on google puts them at 3e in the world per capita.
The Netherlands on the other hand are 31st and have less then 25% capacity compared to the US. We normally don't need them and ICU staff takes a while to train (and healthcare has a shortage anyway) so we can't really just increase capacity. Because beds isn't the problem, its people who can care for them.
And yes firing people for refusing to get vaccinated sucks but when i've seen it in the news the % have been tiny to insignificant.

A quarter of Dutch OR's are not in use as of a week ago because personal was sick or needed elsewhere.
1 in 6 hospitals is having issues delivering critical care on time (defined as needing treatment within 6 weeks to prevent health damage)

I don't know what the hospital situation in Austria is, but I know that 'just let it happen it will be fine' is absolutely not sustainable for the Netherlands.


yeah this is the strongest argument. As I said, I can't speak for other countries and their ability or inability to meet healthcare demands.
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