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Coronavirus and You - Page 230

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11834 Posts
August 12 2020 06:34 GMT
#4581
I wouldn't take an untested vaccine (which currently means every vaccine, including the one the russians want to use) if you paid me to.
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16121 Posts
August 12 2020 09:06 GMT
#4582
I trust the FDA and CDC. If they clear it as safe I'll take it. Until then, I'll keep quarantining myself.
aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
Sapaio
Profile Joined October 2017
Denmark2037 Posts
August 12 2020 11:49 GMT
#4583
Lægemiddelchef: Flere andre forskere er længere end russerne
Chef for Lægemiddelstyrelsen, Nikolai Brun, fortæller i B.T. live onsdag, at russerne faktisk ikke er så langt med deres vaccine, som mange andre forskere i verden. Russerne er i fase to, mens man mange andre steder er i fase tre.

- Jeg kan ikke vide, hvor god den russiske vaccine er, for vores russiske kolleger har ikke delt deres data med os, siger han og forklarer, at man i Rusland godt kan slippe en vaccine løs, før man er helt sikker på, at den virker og ikke har bivirkninger. Det kan man ikke i Europa.

- Det russiske system er anderledes. Der kan man godt markedsføre vaccinen, før man har sikret, at den er sikker. Det kan man ikke i Europa. Russerne har testet 76 personer, og det er ikke nok til at få en vaccine godkendt i Europa. Her skal man teste flere tusinde personer.


This is from a thread in a danish newspaper BT.
It quote the chef of medical departement saying that the Russian Vaccine is behind other vaccines. In is only in fase 2 where some other are in fase 3. He says he can't judge effectivnes as the Russian won't share data.
The reason it is out for sale is that there are different rules for testing then in EU. And that it's only tested on 76 persons and it require several thousend test.
GO OG
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
August 12 2020 13:43 GMT
#4584
--- Nuked ---
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-08-12 21:25:20
August 12 2020 21:24 GMT
#4585
--- Nuked ---
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-08-13 22:16:03
August 13 2020 22:15 GMT
#4586
In BC, we're getting a modelling update today, which reflects what the future looks like. It's in progress, but I found this picture interesting.

We've been far better at preventing transmission to the elderly, but a drastic increase in the 20-29, 30-39 age groups. Just younger people being irresponsible.
[image loading]

Good news is going by the graphs, over 95% of the new cases are found via contact tracing, despite the increasing case numbers - 85 new yesterday, 78 today. We're still doing well in breaking the chain of transmission very early in most cases.

Still worrying, but it's stil under control for now. Contact tracing coupled with rapid testing is still very effective at controlling the spread. Our mean turnaround time for testing is 22.2 hours right now. Pretty damn good.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
August 13 2020 23:00 GMT
#4587
--- Nuked ---
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
August 14 2020 00:16 GMT
#4588
"This is for your freedom!"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
August 14 2020 00:16 GMT
#4589
On August 14 2020 07:15 Lmui wrote:
In BC, we're getting a modelling update today, which reflects what the future looks like. It's in progress, but I found this picture interesting.

We've been far better at preventing transmission to the elderly, but a drastic increase in the 20-29, 30-39 age groups. Just younger people being irresponsible.
[image loading]

Good news is going by the graphs, over 95% of the new cases are found via contact tracing, despite the increasing case numbers - 85 new yesterday, 78 today. We're still doing well in breaking the chain of transmission very early in most cases.

Still worrying, but it's stil under control for now. Contact tracing coupled with rapid testing is still very effective at controlling the spread. Our mean turnaround time for testing is 22.2 hours right now. Pretty damn good.

The elderly are the critical area, so good job.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12087 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-08-14 10:43:02
August 14 2020 10:42 GMT
#4590
On August 14 2020 08:00 JimmiC wrote:
People have been talking about excessive deaths and while this is a little bit old I think it paints a pretty good picture about what is going on. USA probably close to double, somewhere like Mexico 5x and then Norway is down deaths compared to past years (which makes sense will less car travel and so on.

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/07/15/tracking-covid-19-excess-deaths-across-countries

And Florida still amazes with its strangeness, Sheriffs saying they will not enforce mask rules and will force people to remove masks in their building.

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/08/12/901756223/florida-sheriff-orders-deputies-and-staff-not-to-wear-face-masks

Problem with excess deaths is that so few places track it. So it can't be used to track it on a global scale.Works well in Europe and some other rich areas but has very few data points outside that.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
August 14 2020 17:31 GMT
#4591
--- Nuked ---
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
August 15 2020 21:27 GMT
#4592
I'm still having mixed feelings on France's situation. Cases numbers are rising pretty fast, but hospitalisation and ICU cases are still level. We are testing more, but the positivity ratio is still increasing.
It looks like older people are protecting themselves correctly, while youngsters are restless and getting more reckless.

The R looks like it is slowly lowering, but is still pretty far over 1 at 1.3...
We'll see how this goes. The trend currently is to mandate masks even outside in busy areas. It's not that useful as a recent survey showed that 48% of contaminations occured at work, and 25+% in a family setting (can't find a link). The goal is to control what we can so we can last on the long term with the lowest possible impact on the economy.
NoiR
arbiter_md
Profile Joined February 2008
Moldova1219 Posts
August 16 2020 06:40 GMT
#4593
On August 16 2020 06:27 Nouar wrote:
The trend currently is to mandate masks even outside in busy areas. It's not that useful as a recent survey showed that 48% of contaminations occured at work, and 25+% in a family setting (can't find a link).


I think it might be very useful. There are 27% of cases that are occurring outside of work and family, and it is surely a significant part that can be worked on. The question is where these 27% of infections happen. Are the bars, discos, karaokes and other entertainment places open in France?
The copyright of this post belongs solely to me. Nobody else, not teamliquid, not greetech and not even blizzard have any share of this copyright. You can copy, distribute, use in commercial purposes the content of this post or parts of it freely.
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
August 16 2020 12:00 GMT
#4594
On August 16 2020 15:40 arbiter_md wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 16 2020 06:27 Nouar wrote:
The trend currently is to mandate masks even outside in busy areas. It's not that useful as a recent survey showed that 48% of contaminations occured at work, and 25+% in a family setting (can't find a link).


I think it might be very useful. There are 27% of cases that are occurring outside of work and family, and it is surely a significant part that can be worked on. The question is where these 27% of infections happen. Are the bars, discos, karaokes and other entertainment places open in France?

Night clubs are closed until at least september. The other places I believe are open, as karaokes and bars usually involve smaller clumps of people. Bars and restaurants involve 1m distance between each table, and compulsory mask everytime you go inside and are not seated at your table.
All indoor entertainment places (concerts, theatre etc) have strict seated distancing.

There is a chance bars/restaurants might have to close again, but it would be dramatic after already being shut for 3 full months, so my guess is they will do every other action possible and keep some avenues of contamination open, trying to balance the numbers as much as they can.

Schools are scheduled to open as expected in september, I guess if cases boom at that point, we'll have a clear culprit...

Yes I agree even if it's 5% sources of contamination, it's better to work on what's easily achievable. Wearing a mask outside is easy as hell to do, and pretty easy to enforce in busy streets by law enforcement. But I stand by my remark that it would not be *that* useful. It is useful and needed, it is easy, but doesn't strike where the worst of the contamination happens.
We should also have some new workspace rules starting from September.

Where we currently stand, even small things can tip the scale the right way, so I'm all for it.
NoiR
120720
Profile Blog Joined July 2020
95 Posts
August 16 2020 12:37 GMT
#4595
My mother thinks covid19 is "nothing".
If they force her to wear mask she said she would but "I will not cover my nose".
My country passed some laws about working from home she thinks they took advantage of the fake virus to do this.
She thinks that if you get the virus you should just take one paracetamol and you are good to go.
Someone told her "there has been 1 million deaths" she replied "no, it's 700 000 and it's all over the world", so to her it's "nothing".

The joy of a mentally ill mother.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
August 16 2020 15:11 GMT
#4596
well, she's ~80% right.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
August 16 2020 15:43 GMT
#4597
On August 17 2020 00:11 xM(Z wrote:
well, she's ~80% right.

No.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
Garbels
Profile Joined July 2010
Austria653 Posts
August 16 2020 19:12 GMT
#4598
Well in the grand scheme of things it is almost nothing. It's about a weeks worth of population growth.
But its only so "low" because most of the world reacted drastic.

Still those 700k (1m is more likely) and more to come are/were people too.
And just pretend-wearing a mask is just evil.
Anc13nt
Profile Blog Joined October 2017
1557 Posts
August 16 2020 19:26 GMT
#4599
On August 17 2020 00:11 xM(Z wrote:
well, she's ~80% right.


you mean -80%?
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
August 16 2020 19:48 GMT
#4600
Using statistics to say all those families lost basically nothing when their loved ones died is pretty gross from where I'm sitting. Trivializing their loss and difficulties by telling them to just take whatever they have in their medicine cabinet and get on with their lives is doubly insulting and infuriating. That's not something I'm ok with.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
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