Relative to each country's outbreak Czechia started lockdown a week or two earlier than Germany for example.
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ZigguratOfUr
Iraq16955 Posts
Relative to each country's outbreak Czechia started lockdown a week or two earlier than Germany for example. | ||
LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Edit: This plot is a good one. Admittedly it's not exactly a very small amount of flight in the lesser affected regions of Europe, but Spain, Italy, etc., have visibly more. | ||
Lmui
Canada6213 Posts
I'm a bit skeptical of the reporting though for some states. It's almost definitely an undercount, primarily by assigning different causes of death. (Copied from reddit) https://wonder.cdc.gov/ucd-icd10.html https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm * Indiana: 1,832 COVID-19 deaths; 2,149 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 384) * Illinois: 4,856 COVID-19 deaths; 3,986 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 782) * Tennessee: 336 COVID-19 deaths; 1,704 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 611) * Ohio: 1,969 COVID-19 deaths; 2,327 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 820) * Virginia: 1,208 COVID-19 deaths; 1,394 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 451) * West Virginia: 72 COVID-19 deaths; 438 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 117) Edit: 5year avg is expected deaths in state from feb1 to whenever comment was made Across all states, taking the pneumonia deaths this year vs 5 year averages, it's around 40k excess deaths from pneumonia alone. Odds are including a couple other related ones, actual deaths are likely much higher than currently reported. | ||
Mohdoo
United States15690 Posts
On May 28 2020 09:11 Lmui wrote: As expected I guess, USA is over their holiday and is reporting higher numbers again. I'm a bit skeptical of the reporting though for some states. It's almost definitely an undercount, primarily by assigning different causes of death. (Copied from reddit) Edit: 5year avg is expected deaths in state from feb1 to whenever comment was made Across all states, taking the pneumonia deaths this year vs 5 year averages, it's around 40k excess deaths from pneumonia alone. Odds are including a couple other related ones, actual deaths are likely much higher than currently reported. The bump from people saying "but its not reasonable to..." won't happen until probably 3 weeks from now. People normalized it last weekend and will just go back to business as usual because they are dumb | ||
Mohdoo
United States15690 Posts
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Slydie
1920 Posts
On May 28 2020 09:11 Lmui wrote: As expected I guess, USA is over their holiday and is reporting higher numbers again. I'm a bit skeptical of the reporting though for some states. It's almost definitely an undercount, primarily by assigning different causes of death. (Copied from reddit) Edit: 5year avg is expected deaths in state from feb1 to whenever comment was made Across all states, taking the pneumonia deaths this year vs 5 year averages, it's around 40k excess deaths from pneumonia alone. Odds are including a couple other related ones, actual deaths are likely much higher than currently reported. I think a more correct approach is to compare with flu seasons where deaths also tend to spike, often dramatically. | ||
Artisreal
Germany9235 Posts
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Harris1st
Germany6931 Posts
On May 28 2020 09:11 Lmui wrote: As expected I guess, USA is over their holiday and is reporting higher numbers again. I'm a bit skeptical of the reporting though for some states. It's almost definitely an undercount, primarily by assigning different causes of death. (Copied from reddit) Edit: 5year avg is expected deaths in state from feb1 to whenever comment was made Across all states, taking the pneumonia deaths this year vs 5 year averages, it's around 40k excess deaths from pneumonia alone. Odds are including a couple other related ones, actual deaths are likely much higher than currently reported. Did I understand this right that all those deaths caused by pneumonia are not counted in the COVID numbers? And nobody bats an eye that pneumonia deaths are 4-5 times the "usual" numbers? | ||
Gorsameth
Netherlands21689 Posts
On May 28 2020 20:04 Harris1st wrote: When politicians stake their political career on pretending there is no crisis this is what you get. A large effort to pretend that there is no crisis.Did I understand this right that all those deaths caused by pneumonia are not counted in the COVID numbers? And nobody bats an eye that pneumonia deaths are 4-5 times the "usual" numbers? | ||
Simberto
Germany11517 Posts
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Harris1st
Germany6931 Posts
On May 28 2020 20:27 Gorsameth wrote: When politicians stake their political career on pretending there is no crisis this is what you get. A large effort to pretend that there is no crisis. and this: On May 28 2020 20:32 Simberto wrote: I mean, even with the official numbers, the US is quickly reaching WW1 levels of deaths due to corona. But maybe that's just me | ||
farvacola
United States18828 Posts
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Simberto
Germany11517 Posts
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Firebolt145
Lalalaland34491 Posts
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Howie_Dewitt
United States1416 Posts
Newsweek link, has link to the governor's twitter post on it Phase 3 of "Restore Illinois" allows most essential and non-essential businesses to re-open while accommodating for social distancing guidelines. Bars and restaurants can't open their inside spaces up yet, though. I'm not sure about this, and I'm glad that Chicago is using its own schedule instead, even if it means I'm stuck inside for a bit longer. I went to volunteer at a food pantry today, and while there's not enough space to enforce social distancing in the back end of the place and some of the recipients don't have masks, the staff are doing what they can. I didn't get to ask if they've seen an uptick in customers, but I'll try to figure it out next time I go. | ||
Mohdoo
United States15690 Posts
On May 29 2020 04:48 Howie_Dewitt wrote: With the exception of Chicago, Illinois is getting ready to re-open. They've met all 5 of the White House's criteria for re-opening, so governor Pritzker is moving forward. Newsweek link, has link to the governor's twitter post on it Phase 3 of "Restore Illinois" allows most essential and non-essential businesses to re-open while accommodating for social distancing guidelines. Bars and restaurants can't open their inside spaces up yet, though. I'm not sure about this, and I'm glad that Chicago is using its own schedule instead, even if it means I'm stuck inside for a bit longer. I went to volunteer at a food pantry today, and while there's not enough space to enforce social distancing in the back end of the place and some of the recipients don't have masks, the staff are doing what they can. I didn't get to ask if they've seen an uptick in customers, but I'll try to figure it out next time I go. Must be nice. Oregon is amazingly stupid. People are obsessed with sitting inside. | ||
ZerOCoolSC2
8984 Posts
On May 29 2020 04:48 Howie_Dewitt wrote: With the exception of Chicago, Illinois is getting ready to re-open. They've met all 5 of the White House's criteria for re-opening, so governor Pritzker is moving forward. Newsweek link, has link to the governor's twitter post on it Phase 3 of "Restore Illinois" allows most essential and non-essential businesses to re-open while accommodating for social distancing guidelines. Bars and restaurants can't open their inside spaces up yet, though. I'm not sure about this, and I'm glad that Chicago is using its own schedule instead, even if it means I'm stuck inside for a bit longer. I went to volunteer at a food pantry today, and while there's not enough space to enforce social distancing in the back end of the place and some of the recipients don't have masks, the staff are doing what they can. I didn't get to ask if they've seen an uptick in customers, but I'll try to figure it out next time I go. Yeah, we can't reopen the bar yet because we don't have enough space outside to make it worthwhile just yet. So maybe mid-June is when we'll open fully and get things going. It'll still be a challenge but we'll see how it goes. I'm assuming you're downtown? | ||
Howie_Dewitt
United States1416 Posts
On May 29 2020 05:27 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: Yeah, we can't reopen the bar yet because we don't have enough space outside to make it worthwhile just yet. So maybe mid-June is when we'll open fully and get things going. It'll still be a challenge but we'll see how it goes. I'm assuming you're downtown? Northside, near the zoo. PM me the bar name, I might go once things ease up! | ||
LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Was operating at around 1/10 store capacity during lockdown (some logistics still need doing, some businesses can still operate fully online / via curbside), went to about 1/4 when it opened up at first, now looks like maybe 1/3 of the stores are open. Looking at which stores seem to be in the process of bringing things back online, I think about half will be open in the very near future. Maybe 4 stores looked like they're now shuttered for good, judging by obvious signs of packing up and leaving. I'm sure there will be more eventually. The mall was historically very well trafficked, with what must have been thousands of people on any given day. These last few times, it wasn't exactly "dead mall" levels of empty, but... even at popular times there couldn't have been more than 200 people there. And what's more, wearing a mask is so suffocating that it absolutely makes me think twice about going shopping. The whole "social distancing" mechanic isn't much fun either. Seems like a lot of people are hoping for a rapid economic recovery driven by a post-lockdown boom. Personally, I'm just not feeling it. If I'm supposed to be patronizing businesses when I have to avoid all other people like the plague, and wear a suffocating mask while doing it - well I'm definitely going to think twice about doing so. I bet most other people will feel the same way. | ||
Mohdoo
United States15690 Posts
On May 29 2020 08:34 LegalLord wrote: My local mall opened up again just over a week ago. Been around there a few times before and since; it's been interesting to watch. Was operating at around 1/10 store capacity during lockdown (some logistics still need doing, some businesses can still operate fully online / via curbside), went to about 1/4 when it opened up at first, now looks like maybe 1/3 of the stores are open. Looking at which stores seem to be in the process of bringing things back online, I think about half will be open in the very near future. Maybe 4 stores looked like they're now shuttered for good, judging by obvious signs of packing up and leaving. I'm sure there will be more eventually. The mall was historically very well trafficked, with what must have been thousands of people on any given day. These last few times, it wasn't exactly "dead mall" levels of empty, but... even at popular times there couldn't have been more than 200 people there. And what's more, wearing a mask is so suffocating that it absolutely makes me think twice about going shopping. The whole "social distancing" mechanic isn't much fun either. Seems like a lot of people are hoping for a rapid economic recovery driven by a post-lockdown boom. Personally, I'm just not feeling it. If I'm supposed to be patronizing businesses when I have to avoid all other people like the plague, and wear a suffocating mask while doing it - well I'm definitely going to think twice about doing so. I bet most other people will feel the same way. Not only is it unpleasant, but lots of people have developed ways of getting by without malls at this point. Similar to WFH, the people who didn't quite get around to making themselves efficient at online shopping are likely totally set at this point. I won't be going to stores for a very long time, but once I do, I'm not sure what that will look like. | ||
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