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Trading/Investing Thread - Page 105

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BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
May 04 2022 09:06 GMT
#2081
On May 04 2022 17:51 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2022 17:47 BlackJack wrote:
On May 03 2022 08:59 KwarK wrote:
On May 03 2022 08:18 BlackJack wrote:
Series I Bonds up to 9.62%. Can only buy up to $10,000 per calendar year. Apparently can get another $5,000 if you use your federal tax return, something I wish I knew a month ago.

You can abuse the gift loophole to buy more. Bought 25k but I’m probably going to up that substantially.


Can you elaborate on this? I googled this and according to an article on seekingalpha you can use the gift option to lock in the interest rate while it is high and deliver when it goes down but you can't actually exceed the $10k per SSN per year

Apparently accepting gifts and buying for yourself count against annual limit. Buying gifts for others who can’t accept them yet leaves them in limbo earning interest. Then they accept the gift in a future year against their limit for that year.


I see. So as long as it's earning interest while waiting to be gifted and you're going to receive it in a subsequent year it's functionally the same as buying more now. The main downside I assume being that you lose the liquidity until the gift is delivered and interest rates may go down however unlikely. Interesting, thanks. Now I'll have to do some research because I have no idea what the tax implications of large gifts are.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-05-04 18:32:13
May 04 2022 18:01 GMT
#2082
Fed raising interest by 50 basis points.

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by the steepest increment since 2000 and decided to start shrinking its massive balance sheet, deploying the most aggressive tightening of monetary policy in decades to control soaring inflation.

The U.S. central bank’s policy-making Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday voted unanimously to increase the benchmark rate by a half percentage point. The Fed will begin allowing its holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities to roll off in June at an initial combined monthly pace of $47.5 billion, stepping up over three months to $95 billion.


Source

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 05 2022 17:01 GMT
#2083
Well the markets have fallen of a cliff, literally. Already down %5, 2 more and I think the first circuit breaker action happens.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22383 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-05-05 19:53:27
May 05 2022 19:48 GMT
#2084
On the other hand, natgas keeps going higher, oil too to a lesser extent.

Energy crisis with manifest consequences around the corner? Maybe, depends on this.

https://app.electricitymap.org/map
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 05 2022 22:39 GMT
#2085
Bad news for any $SPCE investors still out there.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4421 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-05-06 06:49:16
May 06 2022 06:48 GMT
#2086
On May 06 2022 04:48 Vivax wrote:
On the other hand, natgas keeps going higher, oil too to a lesser extent.

Energy crisis with manifest consequences around the corner? Maybe, depends on this.

https://app.electricitymap.org/map

This is due to the EU planning to ban Russian oil and gas see : https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61318689.amp

Would be nice if they did this with alternatives already in place since the everyday consumer will and is paying the price for the EUs action.Food and fuel are increasing in price very sharply.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Emnjay808
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States10665 Posts
May 06 2022 21:51 GMT
#2087
I’m 220 @30 with $SPCE. I’m numb to any news at this point.

Anyways, it seems more and more likely this is the year the bullish market ends. Time for people investing in longs to start doing DD.
Skol
3FFA
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States3931 Posts
May 07 2022 13:16 GMT
#2088
It hasn't been terrible for the entire market, to be fair.
[image loading]


Source: https://www.morningstar.com/articles/1092959/7-charts-for-making-sense-of-these-markets
"As long as it comes from a pure place and from a honest place, you know, you can write whatever you want."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 07 2022 23:35 GMT
#2089
Bad news for Rivian

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-05-08 20:55:02
May 08 2022 20:39 GMT
#2090
The week ahead, if I had any guts I would on Monday morning be buying Puts on Rivian.

[image loading]
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-05-11 14:54:56
May 11 2022 14:50 GMT
#2091
Heads up to any holders of Coinbase, might want to get out now. The stock is already down 23% today...

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
May 11 2022 15:32 GMT
#2092
How exactly did Coinbase go from wildly profitable to talking about bankruptcy? Guessing they either have assets tied to the value of shitcoin or got screwed by volatility, but maybe someone knows what actually happened.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium5183 Posts
May 11 2022 16:01 GMT
#2093
Probably ties with LUNA and UST I assume.
But don't exhanges thrives off of high volatility? More trades = more fee, no?
Taxes are for Terrans
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22383 Posts
May 11 2022 16:28 GMT
#2094
On May 12 2022 00:32 LegalLord wrote:
How exactly did Coinbase go from wildly profitable to talking about bankruptcy? Guessing they either have assets tied to the value of shitcoin or got screwed by volatility, but maybe someone knows what actually happened.


Probably same as any other exchange. Low interest debt by central bank used to avoid selling the assets they hold or bid them higher.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
May 11 2022 16:57 GMT
#2095
On May 12 2022 01:01 Uldridge wrote:
But don't exhanges thrives off of high volatility? More trades = more fee, no?

Volume gets you more fees perhaps, but severe volatility means that holding assets is risky. Robinhood had to put a whole lot of money up for collateral when the price of GME was highly volatile, and when they had to start borrowing that money that became a huge problem. And it's one thing when that's just for clearing buy/sells that someone did, but even worse when you actually own the assets - which to a large extent the trading platform does if they do something like fractional shitcoins where the platform owns the actual coin and the users pay money to have a fraction of it.

I could see some scheme where playing with the finances of crypto makes for a high-risk play where volatility could turn into massive losses (or massive gains for that matter). But maybe someone actually knows what games Coinbase was playing. I'm guessing that moving between huge profits and sizeable losses means they were doing some sort of gamble or other with crypto, but I'm only speculating.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Blitzkrieg0
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States13132 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-05-11 17:56:32
May 11 2022 17:05 GMT
#2096
On May 12 2022 00:32 LegalLord wrote:
How exactly did Coinbase go from wildly profitable to talking about bankruptcy? Guessing they either have assets tied to the value of shitcoin or got screwed by volatility, but maybe someone knows what actually happened.


They let people leverage their crypto for margin trading right? I suspect we'll see this in a lot of areas now that the market has stopped only going up. There was a reddit post the other day about how someone made an all cash offer on a house by leveraging their unvested RSUs. The price took a tumble and they're drowning now. It is insane how much risk tolerance some people have, but when you live in a world where numbers only go up I guess it makes sense.

Edit: They do for bitcoin at least.
I'll always be your shadow and veil your eyes from states of ain soph aur.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24046 Posts
May 11 2022 17:06 GMT
#2097
On May 12 2022 01:57 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2022 01:01 Uldridge wrote:
But don't exhanges thrives off of high volatility? More trades = more fee, no?

Volume gets you more fees perhaps, but severe volatility means that holding assets is risky. Robinhood had to put a whole lot of money up for collateral when the price of GME was highly volatile, and when they had to start borrowing that money that became a huge problem. And it's one thing when that's just for clearing buy/sells that someone did, but even worse when you actually own the assets - which to a large extent the trading platform does if they do something like fractional shitcoins where the platform owns the actual coin and the users pay money to have a fraction of it.

I could see some scheme where playing with the finances of crypto makes for a high-risk play where volatility could turn into massive losses (or massive gains for that matter). But maybe someone actually knows what games Coinbase was playing. I'm guessing that moving between huge profits and sizeable losses means they were doing some sort of gamble or other with crypto, but I'm only speculating.

I have no idea what coinbase was doing but if it's legal I'd not be surprised to find out they tried something like Zillow. Really I'd probably be more be surprised to find out they weren't using the data they collect from users to speculate.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Emnjay808
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States10665 Posts
May 11 2022 17:29 GMT
#2098
Wow I have a friend who is super bullish on NFTs and Crypto. He got in pretty big during coinbase’s IPO. I realized he doesn’t talk much about his portfolio anymore. Tbf, so have I lol. I all but shut off notifications and maybe check on my positions 1-2 times a week.
Skol
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6284 Posts
May 11 2022 17:51 GMT
#2099
On May 12 2022 01:01 Uldridge wrote:
Probably ties with LUNA and UST I assume.
But don't exhanges thrives off of high volatility? More trades = more fee, no?

More volatility does not always mean more trades. In illiquid markets you can have large price changes due to the difficulty of matching buyers and sellers. From what I've read there's a lot less trading from retail investors and coinbase relies almost completely on trading fees.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 11 2022 19:01 GMT
#2100
Anyone have $1.5 billion laying around?

The backers of the TerraUSD algorithmic stablecoin are trying to raise about $1.5 billion to shore up the token after it crashed from its dollar peg, according to the founder of a firm that was approached about the deal.

Investors in the proposed deal will be able to buy the Luna coin at a 50% discount to the spot price, Kumar Gaurav, the founder and chief executive of crypto liquidity provider Cashaa, said in an interview. Luna, the token that’s part of the peg mechanism for TerraUSD, has tumbled about 95% in the past 24 hours.

The plunge in TerraUSD, or UST, has reignited the debate over algorithmic stablecoins, a subject of controversy within the crypto industry. It crashed to around 45 cents on Wednesday, days after breaking an intended 1-to-1 peg to the dollar, as confidence in the project evaporated.

Cashaa is among prospective investors that received the proposal from the Luna Foundation Guard, Gaurav said, adding that his firm won’t participate. Investors will be subject to a one-year lockup and a monthly “linear vest” over 12 months, he added. The LFG didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
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