EPTOf course, I can only blame myself for not leaving the platform in March 2020 and sticking with it up through the GME crisis. Evidently that’s a reputation crisis they haven’t been able to dig themselves out of.
Trading/Investing Thread - Page 102
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LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
Of course, I can only blame myself for not leaving the platform in March 2020 and sticking with it up through the GME crisis. Evidently that’s a reputation crisis they haven’t been able to dig themselves out of. | ||
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BlackJack
United States10574 Posts
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
maybe even $STLD | ||
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LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
On April 12 2022 02:51 BlackJack wrote: Since this is the investing thread, I'm curious what people would actually recommend investing in right now. Say you had $100k to invest, what would you do with it? Deutsche bank is predicting a recession in 2023, does anyone have any qualms about putting money into the stock market? Honestly have no idea how things will play out so hedging my bets pretty hard. Added to my stake in gold since currency devaluation and market crash are a big worry, but not exiting my more mainstream stock positions either. Not worried about some mythical recession "not now but soon" as much as I am about an inflation-debt crisis. | ||
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
U.S. consumer prices rose in March by the most since late 1981, bolstering expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by half a point next month. The consumer price index increased 8.5% from a year earlier following a 7.9% annual gain in February, Labor Department data showed Tuesday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1.2% from a month earlier, the biggest gain since 2005. Gasoline costs drove half of the monthly increase. Economists in a Bloomberg survey called for the overall CPI to increase 8.4% from a year ago and 1.2% from February. Source | ||
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
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LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
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3FFA
United States3931 Posts
On April 12 2022 02:51 BlackJack wrote: Since this is the investing thread, I'm curious what people would actually recommend investing in right now. Say you had $100k to invest, what would you do with it? Deutsche bank is predicting a recession in 2023, does anyone have any qualms about putting money into the stock market? Alright - tell me when the time to buy is. ![[image loading]](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FNbSLvyWQAEHwB8?format=png&name=medium) S&P is up 700% since the beginning of this chart. I can tell you what I'd personally invest in with $1 million for 20 years or more Would look into private alternative investing strategies for the last 10 to 20% if investing with much more than $1 million to further diversify into something like Reinsurance. With anything at or under roughly $1million I would pursue the following: QMOM 25 AVUV 25 AVDV 15 IMOM 15 AVES 10 KMLM 10 Managed Futures OR just 10 VGIT intermediate term treasury bonds A more standard portfolio that's still using academic findings without being as complex would look like 50% AVUS 30% AVDE 10% AVEM 10% VGIT Live backtest comparison vs Mutual Fund Equivalent Backtest Comparison The 'Balanced Index' is a 60/40 portfolio of entirely US Stocks and Bonds. As a general rule, Vanguard recommends investors invest around 60% of a given stock allocation into US Stocks and 40% into Ex-US stocks. Then once withdrawing from a given portfolio I might either take 2% of the current or 4% of the peak value, whichever is lowest, as a nice conservative annual withdrawal rate if I want the money to outlive me and have fair potential to continue growing into the future. Could probably make 3%/5% work as well. If focused on the next 5 years, could look at https://www.optimizedportfolio.com/i-bonds/ As always, personal situation, convictions, etc. dictates the 'right' decision for a given individual. | ||
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-14/elon-musk-launches-43-billion-hostile-takeover-of-twitter | ||
zatic
Zurich15366 Posts
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
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Harris1st
Germany7379 Posts
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
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BlackJack
United States10574 Posts
On April 14 2022 19:53 zatic wrote: As I've read somewhere, it makes sense. He is securing the raw material primarily responsible for driving Tesla's share price. haha, that's pretty good | ||
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BlackJack
United States10574 Posts
On April 13 2022 14:25 3FFA wrote: + Show Spoiler + On April 12 2022 02:51 BlackJack wrote: Since this is the investing thread, I'm curious what people would actually recommend investing in right now. Say you had $100k to invest, what would you do with it? Deutsche bank is predicting a recession in 2023, does anyone have any qualms about putting money into the stock market? Alright - tell me when the time to buy is. S&P is up 700% since the beginning of this chart. I can tell you what I'd personally invest in with $1 million for 20 years or more Would look into private alternative investing strategies for the last 10 to 20% if investing with much more than $1 million to further diversify into something like Reinsurance. With anything at or under roughly $1million I would pursue the following: QMOM 25 AVUV 25 AVDV 15 IMOM 15 AVES 10 KMLM 10 Managed Futures OR just 10 VGIT intermediate term treasury bonds A more standard portfolio that's still using academic findings without being as complex would look like 50% AVUS 30% AVDE 10% AVEM 10% VGIT Live backtest comparison vs Mutual Fund Equivalent Backtest Comparison The 'Balanced Index' is a 60/40 portfolio of entirely US Stocks and Bonds. As a general rule, Vanguard recommends investors invest around 60% of a given stock allocation into US Stocks and 40% into Ex-US stocks. Then once withdrawing from a given portfolio I might either take 2% of the current or 4% of the peak value, whichever is lowest, as a nice conservative annual withdrawal rate if I want the money to outlive me and have fair potential to continue growing into the future. Could probably make 3%/5% work as well. If focused on the next 5 years, could look at https://www.optimizedportfolio.com/i-bonds/ As always, personal situation, convictions, etc. dictates the 'right' decision for a given individual. thanks for the response, a lot more thorough than I was expecting | ||
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MeSaber
Sweden1235 Posts
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
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farvacola
United States18866 Posts
On April 16 2022 01:26 {CC}StealthBlue wrote: https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1515003380237623299 Aka a poison pill | ||
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3FFA
United States3931 Posts
On April 15 2022 04:06 BlackJack wrote: thanks for the response, a lot more thorough than I was expecting Of course! Feel free to ask questions. I have plenty of resources and knowledge on these topics. One of the best places to learn more is the Rational Reminder Podcast (on iTunes, Youtube, podcast websites, etc.) which goes through unpacking much of the modern academic research behind it all. | ||
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
Rivian Automotive Inc.’s “launch mode” is impressive — at least on its trucks. While the battery-powered pickups go from 0 to 60 miles per hour in 3.3 seconds, the 3.3 million-square-foot factory they roll out of is off to a protracted start. The assembly lines are perfectly capable of cruising speed; they just need more computer chips. That was the message from Chief Executive Officer R.J. Scaringe last week as he took Bloomberg on a tour of the company’s Normal, Illinois, plant two hours southwest of Chicago. The cavernous facility was packed with people — 5,200 in all, spread across different shifts. Industrial tools were punching metal into door frames and scores of robotic arms were welding body panels, smooshing on windshields and spraying paint. The parking lot behind the factory is crammed with hundreds of battery-electric pickups called R1T, Rivian's debut consumer product. Parked alongside in trademark “Prime Blue” were dozens of plug-in commercial delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc., a critical customer and investor. All of the machines are awaiting shipment to their new owners, a dormant cavalcade ready to deploy in the coming electric vehicle wars. Still, for all the activity, the factory is limping compared to rival facilities. Rivian forecasts it will run at just 50% capacity this year as a shortage of key parts constrains output. The assembly line was static in places and some workers were diligently organizing parts bins and re-checking machinery. At times, the first shift of the day files out at around 3 p.m., Scaringe said in an interview, simply because they don’t have enough to do. “I would love to be in a position where we’re running two shifts, but two shifts would gain us nothing right now,” Scaringe said. “We need parts.” Source | ||
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