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Trading/Investing Thread - Page 102

Forum Index > General Forum
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Prev 1 100 101 102 103 104 148 Next
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
April 09 2022 14:36 GMT
#2021
I blame incompetence and an unwillingness to admit they didn’t have enough liquidity to allow meme stock trading rather than some deep collusion. They mishandled that something fierce.

Of course, I can only blame myself for not leaving the platform in March 2020 and sticking with it up through the GME crisis. Evidently that’s a reputation crisis they haven’t been able to dig themselves out of.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10488 Posts
April 11 2022 17:51 GMT
#2022
Since this is the investing thread, I'm curious what people would actually recommend investing in right now. Say you had $100k to invest, what would you do with it? Deutsche bank is predicting a recession in 2023, does anyone have any qualms about putting money into the stock market?
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-11 17:56:09
April 11 2022 17:55 GMT
#2023
Invest it in $TSLA

maybe even $STLD
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
April 11 2022 18:13 GMT
#2024
On April 12 2022 02:51 BlackJack wrote:
Since this is the investing thread, I'm curious what people would actually recommend investing in right now. Say you had $100k to invest, what would you do with it? Deutsche bank is predicting a recession in 2023, does anyone have any qualms about putting money into the stock market?

Honestly have no idea how things will play out so hedging my bets pretty hard. Added to my stake in gold since currency devaluation and market crash are a big worry, but not exiting my more mainstream stock positions either. Not worried about some mythical recession "not now but soon" as much as I am about an inflation-debt crisis.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 12 2022 12:39 GMT
#2025
Well this is very bad.

U.S. consumer prices rose in March by the most since late 1981, bolstering expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by half a point next month.

The consumer price index increased 8.5% from a year earlier following a 7.9% annual gain in February, Labor Department data showed Tuesday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1.2% from a month earlier, the biggest gain since 2005. Gasoline costs drove half of the monthly increase.

Economists in a Bloomberg survey called for the overall CPI to increase 8.4% from a year ago and 1.2% from February.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 12 2022 20:10 GMT
#2026
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
April 12 2022 20:23 GMT
#2027
Let's just hope bad things happen to China's economy before they happen to the US so that we have someone to blame.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
3FFA
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States3931 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-13 06:09:01
April 13 2022 05:25 GMT
#2028
On April 12 2022 02:51 BlackJack wrote:
Since this is the investing thread, I'm curious what people would actually recommend investing in right now. Say you had $100k to invest, what would you do with it? Deutsche bank is predicting a recession in 2023, does anyone have any qualms about putting money into the stock market?


Alright - tell me when the time to buy is.

[image loading]


S&P is up 700% since the beginning of this chart.

I can tell you what I'd personally invest in with $1 million for 20 years or more
Would look into private alternative investing strategies for the last 10 to 20% if investing with much more than $1 million to further diversify into something like Reinsurance.

With anything at or under roughly $1million I would pursue the following:

QMOM 25
AVUV 25
AVDV 15
IMOM 15
AVES 10
KMLM 10 Managed Futures OR just 10 VGIT intermediate term treasury bonds

A more standard portfolio that's still using academic findings without being as complex would look like
50% AVUS
30% AVDE
10% AVEM
10% VGIT

Live backtest comparison
vs
Mutual Fund Equivalent Backtest Comparison

The 'Balanced Index' is a 60/40 portfolio of entirely US Stocks and Bonds. As a general rule, Vanguard recommends investors invest around 60% of a given stock allocation into US Stocks and 40% into Ex-US stocks.

Then once withdrawing from a given portfolio I might either take 2% of the current or 4% of the peak value, whichever is lowest, as a nice conservative annual withdrawal rate if I want the money to outlive me and have fair potential to continue growing into the future. Could probably make 3%/5% work as well.

If focused on the next 5 years, could look at https://www.optimizedportfolio.com/i-bonds/

As always, personal situation, convictions, etc. dictates the 'right' decision for a given individual.

"As long as it comes from a pure place and from a honest place, you know, you can write whatever you want."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 14 2022 10:44 GMT
#2029
Elon Musk has launched a hostile takeover of Twitter.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-14/elon-musk-launches-43-billion-hostile-takeover-of-twitter
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
zatic
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Zurich15325 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-14 10:53:30
April 14 2022 10:53 GMT
#2030
As I've read somewhere, it makes sense. He is securing the raw material primarily responsible for driving Tesla's share price.
ModeratorI know Teamliquid is known as a massive building
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-14 12:39:40
April 14 2022 12:34 GMT
#2031
Or it might just be a pump and dump scheme as the stock price was $70 not too long ago. i mean it is a non binding offer.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6918 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-14 12:43:16
April 14 2022 12:43 GMT
#2032
43 billion dollars for an "edit" button... seems reasonable
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 14 2022 14:20 GMT
#2033
Twitter Board meeting started 20 minutes ago.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10488 Posts
April 14 2022 19:06 GMT
#2034
On April 14 2022 19:53 zatic wrote:
As I've read somewhere, it makes sense. He is securing the raw material primarily responsible for driving Tesla's share price.


haha, that's pretty good
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10488 Posts
April 14 2022 19:06 GMT
#2035
On April 13 2022 14:25 3FFA wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

On April 12 2022 02:51 BlackJack wrote:
Since this is the investing thread, I'm curious what people would actually recommend investing in right now. Say you had $100k to invest, what would you do with it? Deutsche bank is predicting a recession in 2023, does anyone have any qualms about putting money into the stock market?


Alright - tell me when the time to buy is.

[image loading]


S&P is up 700% since the beginning of this chart.

I can tell you what I'd personally invest in with $1 million for 20 years or more
Would look into private alternative investing strategies for the last 10 to 20% if investing with much more than $1 million to further diversify into something like Reinsurance.

With anything at or under roughly $1million I would pursue the following:

QMOM 25
AVUV 25
AVDV 15
IMOM 15
AVES 10
KMLM 10 Managed Futures OR just 10 VGIT intermediate term treasury bonds

A more standard portfolio that's still using academic findings without being as complex would look like
50% AVUS
30% AVDE
10% AVEM
10% VGIT

Live backtest comparison
vs
Mutual Fund Equivalent Backtest Comparison

The 'Balanced Index' is a 60/40 portfolio of entirely US Stocks and Bonds. As a general rule, Vanguard recommends investors invest around 60% of a given stock allocation into US Stocks and 40% into Ex-US stocks.

Then once withdrawing from a given portfolio I might either take 2% of the current or 4% of the peak value, whichever is lowest, as a nice conservative annual withdrawal rate if I want the money to outlive me and have fair potential to continue growing into the future. Could probably make 3%/5% work as well.

If focused on the next 5 years, could look at https://www.optimizedportfolio.com/i-bonds/

As always, personal situation, convictions, etc. dictates the 'right' decision for a given individual.



thanks for the response, a lot more thorough than I was expecting
MeSaber
Profile Joined December 2009
Sweden1235 Posts
April 15 2022 04:41 GMT
#2036
Or just buy VT.
-.-
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 15 2022 16:26 GMT
#2037
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18825 Posts
April 15 2022 16:29 GMT
#2038
On April 16 2022 01:26 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1515003380237623299

Aka a poison pill
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
3FFA
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States3931 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-15 18:14:06
April 15 2022 18:13 GMT
#2039
On April 15 2022 04:06 BlackJack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2022 14:25 3FFA wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

On April 12 2022 02:51 BlackJack wrote:
Since this is the investing thread, I'm curious what people would actually recommend investing in right now. Say you had $100k to invest, what would you do with it? Deutsche bank is predicting a recession in 2023, does anyone have any qualms about putting money into the stock market?


Alright - tell me when the time to buy is.

[image loading]


S&P is up 700% since the beginning of this chart.

I can tell you what I'd personally invest in with $1 million for 20 years or more
Would look into private alternative investing strategies for the last 10 to 20% if investing with much more than $1 million to further diversify into something like Reinsurance.

With anything at or under roughly $1million I would pursue the following:

QMOM 25
AVUV 25
AVDV 15
IMOM 15
AVES 10
KMLM 10 Managed Futures OR just 10 VGIT intermediate term treasury bonds

A more standard portfolio that's still using academic findings without being as complex would look like
50% AVUS
30% AVDE
10% AVEM
10% VGIT

Live backtest comparison
vs
Mutual Fund Equivalent Backtest Comparison

The 'Balanced Index' is a 60/40 portfolio of entirely US Stocks and Bonds. As a general rule, Vanguard recommends investors invest around 60% of a given stock allocation into US Stocks and 40% into Ex-US stocks.

Then once withdrawing from a given portfolio I might either take 2% of the current or 4% of the peak value, whichever is lowest, as a nice conservative annual withdrawal rate if I want the money to outlive me and have fair potential to continue growing into the future. Could probably make 3%/5% work as well.

If focused on the next 5 years, could look at https://www.optimizedportfolio.com/i-bonds/

As always, personal situation, convictions, etc. dictates the 'right' decision for a given individual.



thanks for the response, a lot more thorough than I was expecting


Of course! Feel free to ask questions. I have plenty of resources and knowledge on these topics. One of the best places to learn more is the Rational Reminder Podcast (on iTunes, Youtube, podcast websites, etc.) which goes through unpacking much of the modern academic research behind it all.
"As long as it comes from a pure place and from a honest place, you know, you can write whatever you want."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 18 2022 12:30 GMT
#2040
Now the patient me would be loading up on $RIVN shares, but I'm not really patient when it comes to waiting YEARS just for a company to get ONE factory working at default speed.

Rivian Automotive Inc.’s “launch mode” is impressive — at least on its trucks.

While the battery-powered pickups go from 0 to 60 miles per hour in 3.3 seconds, the 3.3 million-square-foot factory they roll out of is off to a protracted start. The assembly lines are perfectly capable of cruising speed; they just need more computer chips.

That was the message from Chief Executive Officer R.J. Scaringe last week as he took Bloomberg on a tour of the company’s Normal, Illinois, plant two hours southwest of Chicago. The cavernous facility was packed with people — 5,200 in all, spread across different shifts. Industrial tools were punching metal into door frames and scores of robotic arms were welding body panels, smooshing on windshields and spraying paint.

The parking lot behind the factory is crammed with hundreds of battery-electric pickups called R1T, Rivian's debut consumer product. Parked alongside in trademark “Prime Blue” were dozens of plug-in commercial delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc., a critical customer and investor. All of the machines are awaiting shipment to their new owners, a dormant cavalcade ready to deploy in the coming electric vehicle wars.

Still, for all the activity, the factory is limping compared to rival facilities. Rivian forecasts it will run at just 50% capacity this year as a shortage of key parts constrains output. The assembly line was static in places and some workers were diligently organizing parts bins and re-checking machinery. At times, the first shift of the day files out at around 3 p.m., Scaringe said in an interview, simply because they don’t have enough to do.

“I would love to be in a position where we’re running two shifts, but two shifts would gain us nothing right now,” Scaringe said. “We need parts.”


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
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