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South American Politics thread - Page 44

Forum Index > General Forum
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JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 11 2019 15:52 GMT
#861
--- Nuked ---
Mo_tx
Profile Joined November 2019
26 Posts
November 11 2019 16:59 GMT
#862
To be fair, Morales has been democratically elected 3 times. He was leading this last elections as well and probably would have won.The alleged fraud and manipulations would have just granted him a 10 points lead, which means he would be elected directly.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
November 11 2019 17:38 GMT
#863
On November 12 2019 01:59 Mo_tx wrote:
To be fair, Morales has been democratically elected 3 times.


the third time after ignoring a referendum that would have barred him from even running. That alone is enough to put him into the category of aspiring tinpot despot, not to mention the cartoonish election irregularities this time around. Even the largest labour union in the country came out in opposition to Morales, I'm not really sure in what world organised labour is suddenly right-wing but these coup calls in particular by western politicians like Corbyn are just cringeworthy.

Him stepping down is clearly a win for democracy, it's good to see that the police and the military stood with the people and that civil society ousted him before he could entrench himself further.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States22991 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-11-11 22:10:01
November 11 2019 21:56 GMT
#864
On November 12 2019 02:38 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 12 2019 01:59 Mo_tx wrote:
To be fair, Morales has been democratically elected 3 times.


the third time after ignoring a referendum that would have barred him from even running. That alone is enough to put him into the category of aspiring tinpot despot, not to mention the cartoonish election irregularities this time around. Even the largest labour union in the country came out in opposition to Morales, I'm not really sure in what world organised labour is suddenly right-wing but these coup calls in particular by western politicians like Corbyn are just cringeworthy.

Him stepping down is clearly a win for democracy, it's good to see that the police and the military stood with the people and that civil society ousted him before he could entrench himself further.


Win for democracy and glad to see the military and police push out the leader instead of having an election in order to clear the way for someone more willing to steal from poor people in the country so western corporations can profit. okay...
_______________________________________________________________________________________________

Reports are that a group of officials in Mexico are trying to get Mexico to leave the OAS for coordinating the "Bolivian coup"

CDMX.- We are told that a group of deputies from Morena , are already preparing a point of agreement to request the Mexican government, particularly the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (SRE), to leave the Organization of American States ( OAS ), for having, according to they, coordinated the "Bolivian coup" and overthrow a legitimate government like that of Evo Morales .


www.eluniversal.com.mx

Also that Mexico will be offering Morales asylum because of threats he faces in Bolivia.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
des
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
United States507 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-11-11 22:16:41
November 11 2019 22:15 GMT
#865
OAS claims of fraud are disputed: http://cepr.net/press-center/press-releases/no-evidence-that-bolivian-election-results-were-affected-by-irregularities-or-fraud-statistical-analysis-shows

Supreme court struck down the term limit (that is, he ran legally): https://www.reuters.com/article/us-bolivia-politics/bolivian-court-clears-way-for-morales-to-run-for-fourth-term-idUSKBN1DS2ZX

Indigenous and working class Bolivians (Morales's core support) are marching in support of him:


Morales offered new elections in response to the OAS claims of fraud in order to have a fair election: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-bolivia-election-morales/bolivian-president-morales-calls-for-new-elections-after-oas-audit-idUSKBN1XK0AK

Meanwhile his opposition rejects his democratic offers and instead turns to a coup (literally a coup, he was the legally elected president, they had an opportunity to beat him in an election and instead turned to the army to force him from power), and the westernized world calls this a victory for democracy.
my larvae bring all the zerg to the yard
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 11 2019 22:35 GMT
#866
--- Nuked ---
des
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
United States507 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-11-11 23:00:11
November 11 2019 22:55 GMT
#867
If Trump could maintain re-election forever (and not die of old age or choking on McDonalds) via popular vote then that would seem to be the will of the people. He didn't even win popular vote the first time. America is a somewhat poor example of a functioning democracy. The two term limit is also not even 100 years old in America, and FDR is generally well remembered here despite having also had four terms (albeit dying in the fourth).

If the will of the people is Morales three times, four times, one hundred times, then that is democracy. That is the definition of democracy. There are elections every five years, if Morales is worse than his opposition in the eyes of his people, that is the venue set forth in all extant democracies to make that call and they can end his presidency there. Democracy is not when an opposition party ousts the winner of an election via military pressure.

Do you believe that democracy is found in the rejection of the rule of law and electoralism and instead in violence in the streets? Would the US have been more democratic if we turned to violence after Bush v. Gore? Does the political alignment of the military outweigh the will of the people?

EDIT: Or, since you bring up Trump, should the military have coerced Trump's resignation based on unproven claims of election tampering by Democrats?
my larvae bring all the zerg to the yard
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 11 2019 23:09 GMT
#868
--- Nuked ---
des
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
United States507 Posts
November 11 2019 23:23 GMT
#869
You're not reading my posts, I never said anything about the opposition party being right wing, and also I gave links showing that fraud claims are disputed and he offered another election. I also never said anything about a conspiracy, if anything you are the one trying to find the shadow actor who cheated the election in order to justify extrajudicial regime change. My post has a link disputing significant irregularities in the election, and indicates his win was legitimate. I also indicate that his fourth term run was legal as per the Supreme Court of Bolivia.

Please respond to those points instead of a strawman conspiracy theorist. I am making two assertions:

1) Military/police demanding and obtaining the resignation of an elected leader is a coup.
2) Military/police demanding and obtaining the resignation of an elected leader is antithetical to the democratic process, and should not be called a victory of democracy.
my larvae bring all the zerg to the yard
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12045 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-11-11 23:30:47
November 11 2019 23:29 GMT
#870
I appreciate that a lot of the important leftist people, especially in the US, who were timid on Maduro openly came out in support of Morales. The situation is clear but I wasn't taking it for granted. Good.

As for Bolivia, well, another example that in order to truly get socialism we need to start from one of the biggest superpowers, otherwise "democracy" will keep "winning" in the same fashion.
"It is capitalism that is incentivizing me to lazily explain this to you while at work because I am not rewarded for generating additional value."
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-11-12 00:16:42
November 11 2019 23:54 GMT
#871
--- Nuked ---
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12045 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-11-12 00:29:17
November 12 2019 00:28 GMT
#872
Luckily Morales agreed to have new elections (even though your account of what happened is wrong, there was no "low and behold" or miracle, the parts of the country that hadn't reported yet were parts of the country where he has more support, and his end result is consistent with polling before the election), so now that he agreed to have new elections we don't have to back a coup to "protect "democracy"", we can just have new elections.

Oh, wait, you're still backing a coup?

That's... let's say "interesting".
"It is capitalism that is incentivizing me to lazily explain this to you while at work because I am not rewarded for generating additional value."
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-11-12 00:33:31
November 12 2019 00:32 GMT
#873
On November 12 2019 09:28 Nebuchad wrote:...
we can just have new elections....

Oh, wait, you're still backing a coup?

That's... let's say "interesting".


Given the following quote, would you care to explain how you came to the above conclusion?

On November 12 2019 08:54 JimmiC wrote:...
now all the people, Morales followers included should fight to make sure there are safe, free elections and respect the results when they happen. Hopefully the UN or someone both can agree too can monitor to make sure they are.

des
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
United States507 Posts
November 12 2019 00:33 GMT
#874
Would you call it a victory for democracy if it was a right wing candidate? If Trump were ousted from power by the US military, that would be a democratic outcome?

If Morales had to play cloak and dagger to win, why did he offer another election after allegations of fraud were raised? This election would have had more scrutiny and if, as you say, he clearly would have lost a fair election, what does he stand to gain. Why did the opposition reject this?
my larvae bring all the zerg to the yard
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12045 Posts
November 12 2019 00:35 GMT
#875
On November 12 2019 09:32 Aquanim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 12 2019 09:28 Nebuchad wrote:...
we can just have new elections....

Oh, wait, you're still backing a coup?

That's... let's say "interesting".


Given the following quote, would you care to explain how you came to the above conclusion?

Show nested quote +
On November 12 2019 08:54 JimmiC wrote:...
now all the people, Morales followers included should fight to make sure there are safe, free elections and respect the results when they happen. Hopefully the UN or someone both can agree too can monitor to make sure they are.



Hey Jimmi Aquanim thinks that I'm misrepresenting your position when I say you're fine with the military ousting Morales so that democracy can prevail, would you care to set me straight?
"It is capitalism that is incentivizing me to lazily explain this to you while at work because I am not rewarded for generating additional value."
des
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
United States507 Posts
November 12 2019 00:37 GMT
#876
On November 12 2019 09:32 Aquanim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 12 2019 09:28 Nebuchad wrote:...
we can just have new elections....

Oh, wait, you're still backing a coup?

That's... let's say "interesting".


Given the following quote, would you care to explain how you came to the above conclusion?

Show nested quote +
On November 12 2019 08:54 JimmiC wrote:...
now all the people, Morales followers included should fight to make sure there are safe, free elections and respect the results when they happen. Hopefully the UN or someone both can agree too can monitor to make sure they are.



Given that he offered a new set of elections and they were declined by the opposition, anyone in support of free and fair elections should logically want another election w/ monitoring. Supporting the opposition in their current actions is supporting a coup. Why would the pro-democracy side reject an election?
my larvae bring all the zerg to the yard
des
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
United States507 Posts
November 12 2019 00:40 GMT
#877
I'm stating this for the record: if a right wing government were ousted via military action, either by the state military or popular paramilitary, I would not call that a democratic process. I would likely support a people's army acting revolutionarily in this way, but I would call it a coup d'etat. The only reason I can imagine this is being disputed is to provide an air of legitimacy to the opposition by being able to say they are pro-democracy rather than acknowledging their non-democratic methods of gaining power.
my larvae bring all the zerg to the yard
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-11-12 01:00:19
November 12 2019 00:59 GMT
#878
If Trump was to run for a third term, ignore a popular referendum, stack the courts in his favour, and suddenly freeze election results for 24 hours without explanation I'd pray that the military drags his ass out of office and anyone who would call that a loss for democracy has lost their minds.

The issue here is simply that Morales is a sort of messianic figure in particular for the far-left in the west, so just like with Cuba or Venezuela they'll ignore corruption or lack of due process or anti-democratic behaviour for political ends. The same has also been true for right-wing dictators in latin america and both is reprehensible. The only right position is to support the rule of law, transparent elections and the will of the people (that is all the people) which Morales had lost, including allies.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12045 Posts
November 12 2019 01:07 GMT
#879
They asked for new elections. He said ok. They said no. That's what's missing from your little Trump analogy.

If you were in this for democracy, you would be fine with new elections with oversight so that we can trust the results (even though, again, those results are consistent with polling and there's no evidence that anything fraudulent has happened, which is probably why Morales is okay with new elections btw). But that's not what's happening. Instead a coup happened, and you're backing it. This isn't one of those ones where it's kind of hard to see who has the right facts like the Maduro one. This one is very clear.
"It is capitalism that is incentivizing me to lazily explain this to you while at work because I am not rewarded for generating additional value."
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-11-12 01:12:44
November 12 2019 01:10 GMT
#880
--- Nuked ---
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