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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4038

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
August 03 2023 13:22 GMT
#80741
--- Nuked ---
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42685 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-03 14:17:43
August 03 2023 14:14 GMT
#80742
On August 03 2023 18:21 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2023 18:10 Magic Powers wrote:
On August 03 2023 17:47 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 03 2023 11:03 GreenHorizons wrote:
On August 03 2023 04:15 WombaT wrote:
On August 03 2023 01:28 GreenHorizons wrote:
On August 03 2023 01:09 KwarK wrote:
Anything short of a long prison sentence is a mockery of our justice system. He’s on tape joking about the crimes because he genuinely believes he’s above the law. The issue at stake is whether he’s right. And honestly he probably is.

It does really make me wonder who will still consider the US a "nation of laws'" if he is

Well indeed. There is a marked and rather stark contrast between what is likely to happen to Trump and what happens to poor folks stealing a few tide pods or whatever, two quite neatly juxtaposed topics within this thread.

What's wild is that Biden is in a coin flip to find out if he's going to hand the nuclear football back to Trump (regardless of whether he's in prison or not) and he still ostensibly plans on restarting student loan payments.

Depending on how Biden handles it (or if he makes any other obviously big mistakes), Trump very well could win.

Then what? "Vote Blue no matter who, if or when they let you vote, pray they count them, and if you win hope they recognize it!" isn't exactly a winning slogan.
Considering how US politics works and how tribal the divide is I don't think it has anything to do with Biden. Or even with Trump.

The last 4 elections have been about a 46-51 split (with a slight dip for Hillary). It doesn't matter who either party runs, it will always look like a coin flip in generic polling.


That's because of the various methods within gerrymandering. While it can backfire occasionally, it usually comes out favorably for Republicans (as long as they correctly predict voter turnout). It may appear as if election results are reasonably balanced when in actuality they're completely skewed the majority of the time a Republican wins (and sometimes when a Democrat wins, but much less often).


Gerrymandering isnt actually a factor in presidential elections.

The state of Maine literally exists due to gerrymandering. They redistricted the state of Massachusetts to create two anti slave districts because of Missouri. The state of Puerto Rico doesn’t due to gerrymandering.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35147 Posts
August 03 2023 18:44 GMT
#80743
Also somewhat the similar as to why there's 2 Dakotas and why Arizona and New Mexico are split vertically and not horizontally.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4750 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-04 00:14:50
August 03 2023 21:25 GMT
#80744
On August 03 2023 23:14 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2023 18:21 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On August 03 2023 18:10 Magic Powers wrote:
On August 03 2023 17:47 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 03 2023 11:03 GreenHorizons wrote:
On August 03 2023 04:15 WombaT wrote:
On August 03 2023 01:28 GreenHorizons wrote:
On August 03 2023 01:09 KwarK wrote:
Anything short of a long prison sentence is a mockery of our justice system. He’s on tape joking about the crimes because he genuinely believes he’s above the law. The issue at stake is whether he’s right. And honestly he probably is.

It does really make me wonder who will still consider the US a "nation of laws'" if he is

Well indeed. There is a marked and rather stark contrast between what is likely to happen to Trump and what happens to poor folks stealing a few tide pods or whatever, two quite neatly juxtaposed topics within this thread.

What's wild is that Biden is in a coin flip to find out if he's going to hand the nuclear football back to Trump (regardless of whether he's in prison or not) and he still ostensibly plans on restarting student loan payments.

Depending on how Biden handles it (or if he makes any other obviously big mistakes), Trump very well could win.

Then what? "Vote Blue no matter who, if or when they let you vote, pray they count them, and if you win hope they recognize it!" isn't exactly a winning slogan.
Considering how US politics works and how tribal the divide is I don't think it has anything to do with Biden. Or even with Trump.

The last 4 elections have been about a 46-51 split (with a slight dip for Hillary). It doesn't matter who either party runs, it will always look like a coin flip in generic polling.


That's because of the various methods within gerrymandering. While it can backfire occasionally, it usually comes out favorably for Republicans (as long as they correctly predict voter turnout). It may appear as if election results are reasonably balanced when in actuality they're completely skewed the majority of the time a Republican wins (and sometimes when a Democrat wins, but much less often).


Gerrymandering isnt actually a factor in presidential elections.

The state of Maine literally exists due to gerrymandering. They redistricted the state of Massachusetts to create two anti slave districts because of Missouri. The state of Puerto Rico doesn’t due to gerrymandering.


This puts the emphasis in the wrong place.

The Missouri Compromise was mostly about the balance of power in the Senate, and a little about the House and almost none about the presidency. So mostly the Senate. And if you think about it, that makes sense. Admitting a new state has a far bigger impact on the Senate than the House or the Electoral College (though I suppose if you split a close state into two uncompetitive ones it could have a larger impact). Also amusing choice of Maine since it is only one of two states that splits its electoral college votes, though that does mean gerrymandering could matter there! Lol

And as I've pointed out before, it was the slave states that wanted a proportional senate at the constitutional convention. History is funny that way.

Edit:removed something not totally relevant

edit 2: for clarity since I have a minute. The senate issue was also about population, as we all learned in school the small states were worried about being run over. but most of the southern states thought they would grow and wanted slaves to count for representation which would bolster their numbers. Madison was a slave holder from the largest state in the union and while he was a principled actor, one has to imagine his own concerns influence his bitter opposition to the Connecticut Compromise.

+ Show Spoiler +
But he contended that the States were divided into different interests not by their difference of size, but by other circumstances; the most material of which resulted partly from climate, but principally from the effects of their having or not having slaves. These two causes concurred in forming the great division of interests in the U. States. It did not lie between the large & small States: It lay between the Northern & Southern, and if any defensive power were necessary, it ought to be mutually given to these two interests. He was so strongly impressed with this important truth that he had been casting about in his mind for some expedient that would answer the purpose. The one which had occurred was that instead of proportioning the votes of the States in both branches, to their respective numbers of inhabitants computing the slaves in the ratio of 5 to 3, they should be represented in one branch according to the number of free inhabitants only; and in the other according to the whole no. counting the slaves as if free. By this arrangement the Southern Scale would have the advantage in one House, and the Northern in the other. He had been restrained from proposing this expedient by two considerations: one was his unwillingness to urge any diversity of interests on an occasion where it is but too apt to arise of itself-the other was, the inequality of powers that must be vested in the two branches, and which wd. destroy the equilibrium of interests.


From Madison's notes, June 30th. He wrote his own parts in 3rd person
"It is therefore only at the birth of a society that one can be completely logical in the laws. When you see a people enjoying this advantage, do not hasten to conclude that it is wise; think rather that it is young." -Alexis de Tocqueville
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-03 21:40:25
August 03 2023 21:39 GMT
#80745
--- Nuked ---
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42685 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-03 23:33:41
August 03 2023 23:33 GMT
#80746
On August 04 2023 06:39 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2023 06:25 Introvert wrote:
On August 03 2023 23:14 KwarK wrote:
On August 03 2023 18:21 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On August 03 2023 18:10 Magic Powers wrote:
On August 03 2023 17:47 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 03 2023 11:03 GreenHorizons wrote:
On August 03 2023 04:15 WombaT wrote:
On August 03 2023 01:28 GreenHorizons wrote:
On August 03 2023 01:09 KwarK wrote:
Anything short of a long prison sentence is a mockery of our justice system. He’s on tape joking about the crimes because he genuinely believes he’s above the law. The issue at stake is whether he’s right. And honestly he probably is.

It does really make me wonder who will still consider the US a "nation of laws'" if he is

Well indeed. There is a marked and rather stark contrast between what is likely to happen to Trump and what happens to poor folks stealing a few tide pods or whatever, two quite neatly juxtaposed topics within this thread.

What's wild is that Biden is in a coin flip to find out if he's going to hand the nuclear football back to Trump (regardless of whether he's in prison or not) and he still ostensibly plans on restarting student loan payments.

Depending on how Biden handles it (or if he makes any other obviously big mistakes), Trump very well could win.

Then what? "Vote Blue no matter who, if or when they let you vote, pray they count them, and if you win hope they recognize it!" isn't exactly a winning slogan.
Considering how US politics works and how tribal the divide is I don't think it has anything to do with Biden. Or even with Trump.

The last 4 elections have been about a 46-51 split (with a slight dip for Hillary). It doesn't matter who either party runs, it will always look like a coin flip in generic polling.


That's because of the various methods within gerrymandering. While it can backfire occasionally, it usually comes out favorably for Republicans (as long as they correctly predict voter turnout). It may appear as if election results are reasonably balanced when in actuality they're completely skewed the majority of the time a Republican wins (and sometimes when a Democrat wins, but much less often).


Gerrymandering isnt actually a factor in presidential elections.

The state of Maine literally exists due to gerrymandering. They redistricted the state of Massachusetts to create two anti slave districts because of Missouri. The state of Puerto Rico doesn’t due to gerrymandering.


This puts the emphasis in the wrong place.

The Missouri compromise was mostly about the balance of power in Senate, and a little about the House and almost none about the presidency. But mostly the Senate. And if you think about it, that makes sense. Admitting a new state has a far bigger impact on the Senate than the House or the Electoral college.

And as I've pointed out before, it was the slave states that wanted a proportional senate at the constitutional convention. History is funny that way.

Edit:removed something not totally relevant

I wouldn't use funny as much as disturbing that more people wanted to keep slavery.

Or is it funny that now there are less horrible people holding hostage and before it was a few decent people holding hostage?

It’s funny that the free states wanted to count free men only for the purpose of representation whereas the slave states wanted to insist that slaves were people to the extent that they should be represented, but only let their owners vote.

The 3/5ths compromise is misunderstood. The slaveowners wanted full representation for the slaves in congress, but they wanted to be the representative. The abolitionists wanted no representation because they correctly assumed that the slaveowners would use the voting power of their slaves to expand slavery.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1919 Posts
August 04 2023 19:38 GMT
#80747
The senate issue was also about population, as we all learned in school the small states were worried about being run over.


This point sums up how many in the US think about democracy: overrepresented minorities feel entitled not to have their power brought in line with the rest of the population.

I had a discussion with a conservative saying exactly that he did not even consider the US a democracy, so he was 100% fine with whatever conservative overrepresentation the system would give him.

Losing privilege feels like oppression.
Buff the siegetank
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6209 Posts
August 05 2023 05:47 GMT
#80748
Minority representation against majoritarian rule is one of the core tenets of modern liberal democracies. It's something you see in almost every Western country to an extent and without it we'd have no EU. You can argue that it is too much but I don't see anything wrong with the idea itself.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain17991 Posts
August 05 2023 07:08 GMT
#80749
On August 05 2023 14:47 RvB wrote:
Minority representation against majoritarian rule is one of the core tenets of modern liberal democracies. It's something you see in almost every Western country to an extent and without it we'd have no EU. You can argue that it is too much but I don't see anything wrong with the idea itself.

The question here is obviously what minorities you intentionally overrepresent. In the US (and it seems a general trend worldwide) the minorities being overrepresented are mostly "people living in rural areas". This causes other minorities such as "black people" to be underrepresented because they mostly live in densely populated areas.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44327 Posts
August 05 2023 10:13 GMT
#80750
On August 05 2023 14:47 RvB wrote:
Minority representation against majoritarian rule is one of the core tenets of modern liberal democracies. It's something you see in almost every Western country to an extent and without it we'd have no EU. You can argue that it is too much but I don't see anything wrong with the idea itself.


Slydie specifically said overrepresentation and privilege, not merely representation. Not the same thing. In fact, a lot of times they function as opposites, such as looking for female representation when a system overrepresents and privileges men, or looking for representation of people of color when a system overrepresents and privileges white people. The issue isn't with representing groups, especially when it combats overrepresenting a privileged group.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6209 Posts
August 06 2023 08:08 GMT
#80751
On August 05 2023 16:08 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 05 2023 14:47 RvB wrote:
Minority representation against majoritarian rule is one of the core tenets of modern liberal democracies. It's something you see in almost every Western country to an extent and without it we'd have no EU. You can argue that it is too much but I don't see anything wrong with the idea itself.

The question here is obviously what minorities you intentionally overrepresent. In the US (and it seems a general trend worldwide) the minorities being overrepresented are mostly "people living in rural areas". This causes other minorities such as "black people" to be underrepresented because they mostly live in densely populated areas.

Sure I do not disagree that it can be too much or can have unintended consequences but on the other hand less populated areas being left behind or not sufficiently represented is not an imaginary concern. For instance, the gillets jaune were in part a response to a feeling of abandonment in rural areas, and in The Netherlands de Randstad dominates politics and other parts of the countries feel left behind.

On August 05 2023 19:13 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 05 2023 14:47 RvB wrote:
Minority representation against majoritarian rule is one of the core tenets of modern liberal democracies. It's something you see in almost every Western country to an extent and without it we'd have no EU. You can argue that it is too much but I don't see anything wrong with the idea itself.


Slydie specifically said overrepresentation and privilege, not merely representation. Not the same thing. In fact, a lot of times they function as opposites, such as looking for female representation when a system overrepresents and privileges men, or looking for representation of people of color when a system overrepresents and privileges white people. The issue isn't with representing groups, especially when it combats overrepresenting a privileged group.

Not the same thing but sometimes overrepresentation is required. You cannot prevent a tyranny of the majority without overrepresenting the minority. Dismissing it as a privilege ignores the real concern that small states have. I am pro EU but I don't want France and Germany to push through European legislation because they happen to be the two biggest states in the union.
Kyadytim
Profile Joined March 2009
United States886 Posts
August 06 2023 16:35 GMT
#80752
On August 06 2023 17:08 RvB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 05 2023 16:08 Acrofales wrote:
On August 05 2023 14:47 RvB wrote:
Minority representation against majoritarian rule is one of the core tenets of modern liberal democracies. It's something you see in almost every Western country to an extent and without it we'd have no EU. You can argue that it is too much but I don't see anything wrong with the idea itself.

The question here is obviously what minorities you intentionally overrepresent. In the US (and it seems a general trend worldwide) the minorities being overrepresented are mostly "people living in rural areas". This causes other minorities such as "black people" to be underrepresented because they mostly live in densely populated areas.

Sure I do not disagree that it can be too much or can have unintended consequences but on the other hand less populated areas being left behind or not sufficiently represented is not an imaginary concern. For instance, the gillets jaune were in part a response to a feeling of abandonment in rural areas, and in The Netherlands de Randstad dominates politics and other parts of the countries feel left behind.

Show nested quote +
On August 05 2023 19:13 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On August 05 2023 14:47 RvB wrote:
Minority representation against majoritarian rule is one of the core tenets of modern liberal democracies. It's something you see in almost every Western country to an extent and without it we'd have no EU. You can argue that it is too much but I don't see anything wrong with the idea itself.


Slydie specifically said overrepresentation and privilege, not merely representation. Not the same thing. In fact, a lot of times they function as opposites, such as looking for female representation when a system overrepresents and privileges men, or looking for representation of people of color when a system overrepresents and privileges white people. The issue isn't with representing groups, especially when it combats overrepresenting a privileged group.

Not the same thing but sometimes overrepresentation is required. You cannot prevent a tyranny of the majority without overrepresenting the minority. Dismissing it as a privilege ignores the real concern that small states have. I am pro EU but I don't want France and Germany to push through European legislation because they happen to be the two biggest states in the union.
What people are dismissing as a privilege is overrepresentation to the point that tyranny of the minority is what we should be talking about preventing.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42685 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-06 17:59:18
August 06 2023 16:57 GMT
#80753
You can prevent tyranny of the majority through things like a strong bill of rights and requiring supermajorities or allowing for vetos. That allows for protection of a minority from the majority without allowing for the minority to impose it's will on the majority.

You don’t need to give minorities additional votes in the legislative. That’s just tyranny of the minority.

Tyranny of the majority is prevented by placing limits on what a majority can do while still allowing it to be a majority. The problem isn’t the majority part, it’s the tyranny part. Just stop them from being tyrants. Constrain the power of the legislative in total, don’t steal power from one group within the legislative and gift it to a specific minority group.

How Americans think tyranny of the majority should be prevented is by picking exactly one specific minority, rich white men, and giving them more legislative power. To me that suggests that they’re not upset by the tyranny part, just that they’re not the majority.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21683 Posts
August 06 2023 17:04 GMT
#80754
On August 07 2023 01:57 KwarK wrote:To me that suggests that they’re not upset by the tyranny part, just that they’re not the majority.
Sounds like a perfect description of the GOP. especially post jan 6th when the mask came off and they showed to be perfectly ok with a fascist takeover attempt to install a literally tyranny. But it was attempted by their guy so it was fine.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1919 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-07 17:57:13
August 07 2023 17:56 GMT
#80755
On August 07 2023 01:57 KwarK wrote:
You can prevent tyranny of the majority through things like a strong bill of rights and requiring supermajorities or allowing for vetos. That allows for protection of a minority from the majority without allowing for the minority to impose it's will on the majority.

You don’t need to give minorities additional votes in the legislative. That’s just tyranny of the minority.

Tyranny of the majority is prevented by placing limits on what a majority can do while still allowing it to be a majority. The problem isn’t the majority part, it’s the tyranny part. Just stop them from being tyrants. Constrain the power of the legislative in total, don’t steal power from one group within the legislative and gift it to a specific minority group.

How Americans think tyranny of the majority should be prevented is by picking exactly one specific minority, rich white men, and giving them more legislative power. To me that suggests that they’re not upset by the tyranny part, just that they’re not the majority.


That is what I mean, the overrepresented groups in the US feel ENTITLED to their overrepresentation, and call any intent of removing their privilege "tyranny of the majority", which is pure spin, imo.
Buff the siegetank
captainwaffles
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
United States1050 Posts
August 08 2023 07:45 GMT
#80756
Has anyone here read the MAGACommunism substack?

https://showinfrared.substack.com/p/the-rise-of-maga-communism

Even if you're not a marxist, it's a good read.
https://x.com/CaptainWaffless
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28665 Posts
August 08 2023 08:19 GMT
#80757
I read the first 20% and then the concluding paragraphs.

What a load of nonsensical drivel. Not a good read. I don't usually make posts like these because I want to encourage people to honestly engage with source material they disagree with, but this had me shaking my head going 'what?' several times in every paragraph. I've many times thought, when our resident right wingers have linked opinion pieces from right wing outlets, that 'okay, I totally disagree, but this is coherent and it does make sense'. Here, I cannot be that charitable.
Moderator
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42685 Posts
August 08 2023 10:23 GMT
#80758
It’s all so clear once you recognize that the allies in WW2 were the real Nazis.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain17991 Posts
August 08 2023 11:22 GMT
#80759
On August 08 2023 16:45 captainwaffles wrote:
Has anyone here read the MAGACommunism substack?

https://showinfrared.substack.com/p/the-rise-of-maga-communism

Even if you're not a marxist, it's a good read.

Whether you are a Marxist or not, that is the most inane drivel I have clicked on all month. And I clicked on some of your previous links too!
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6929 Posts
August 08 2023 12:10 GMT
#80760
On August 08 2023 20:22 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2023 16:45 captainwaffles wrote:
Has anyone here read the MAGACommunism substack?

https://showinfrared.substack.com/p/the-rise-of-maga-communism

Even if you're not a marxist, it's a good read.

Whether you are a Marxist or not, that is the most inane drivel I have clicked on all month. And I clicked on some of your previous links too!


Mr Waffles here is a regular in all politic threads here on TL (US, China, War thread) and his posts and links are ... special.
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
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