US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2493
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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting! NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets. Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source. If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread | ||
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Danglars
United States12133 Posts
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Mohdoo
United States15725 Posts
On July 10 2020 04:23 micronesia wrote: The argument is most likely that a significant majority of congress can remove the president at any time. If the republican senators didn't fully side with the president in the impeachment hearing Trump would have been out. And that's a good thing. Accountability should increase as power increases, forever and always. The most powerful man should be required to be a saint. | ||
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micronesia
United States24741 Posts
On July 10 2020 04:28 Danglars wrote: Impeachment still contains subpoena power, as demonstrated in unsuccessful fights by Clinton and Nixon to prevent it. They went too slapdash on Trump to pursue subpoenas past challenges. The dissent is fine. It's a matter that reasonable people can disagree on. Based on what we've seen recently, what will happen if future presidents being impeached refuse to turn over any documents or cooperating witnesses in response to subpoenas? | ||
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
On July 10 2020 04:23 micronesia wrote: The argument is most likely that a significant majority of congress can remove the president at any time. If the republican senators didn't fully side with the president in the impeachment hearing Trump would have been out. Of course, if the president can block all investigation federally and by States, then the incriminating evidence won't come out so allies will never vote to remove him/her. The majority required for impeachment is way too high, imo. 2/3 of the senate and 1/2+1 of the house is nuts. Most countries set it at a bare majority for no confidence votes which is a little low, but it's so high that even people who definitely should've been removed weren't (speaking mainly of Andrew Johnson here). It's so high that it's rare for anyone to get impeached, even non-presidential offices. Over 250 years I'd have expected us to have more than the 50 or so on the wikipedia article on it. Would that mean that we might have seen Clinton impeached and removed? Maybe. I'd have been fine with that. His behavior was awful (though by no means unique to him as a president). | ||
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Sent.
Poland9247 Posts
On July 10 2020 05:24 Nevuk wrote: The majority required for impeachment is way too high, imo. 2/3 of the senate and 1/2+1 of the house is nuts. Most countries set it at a bare majority for no confidence votes which is a little low, but it's so high that even people who definitely should've been removed weren't (speaking mainly of Andrew Johnson here). It's so high that it's rare for anyone to get impeached, even non-presidential offices. Over 250 years I'd have expected us to have more than the 50 or so on the wikipedia article on it. Would that mean that we might have seen Clinton impeached and removed? Maybe. I'd have been fine with that. His behavior was awful (though by no means unique to him as a president). Impeachment and vote of no confidence are two different things. Other countries like Germany, Poland or Czechia have similar requirements to impeach their presidents, even if they're nowhere near powerful as their American or even French equivalents. | ||
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Danglars
United States12133 Posts
On July 10 2020 04:53 micronesia wrote: Based on what we've seen recently, what will happen if future presidents being impeached refuse to turn over any documents or cooperating witnesses in response to subpoenas? They'll go to court, and lose (should the subpoena be relevant to the impeachment). United States v. Nixon: Nixon is forced to give over the tapes and other materials Clinton: Subpoenaed, but withdrawn when he agreed to testify under oath (Bonus, only slightly related Clinton vs Jones: Sexual harassment civil suit could continue for acts done before taking office) Latest House subpoenas of Trump relating to impeachment: Abandoned court fight, many times didn't even issue subpoenas So, any House that isn't rushing to get to the vote and skipping key steps, will win subpoenas fights tailored around the substance of the impeachment charge. The record is crystal clear. | ||
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micronesia
United States24741 Posts
On July 10 2020 05:42 Danglars wrote: They'll go to court, and lose (should the subpoena be relevant to the impeachment). United States v. Nixon: Nixon is forced to give over the tapes and other materials Clinton: Subpoenaed, but withdrawn when he agreed to testify under oath (Bonus, only slightly related Clinton vs Jones: Sexual harassment civil suit could continue for acts done before taking office) Latest House subpoenas of Trump relating to impeachment: Abandoned court fight, many times didn't even issue subpoenas So, any House that isn't rushing to get to the vote and skipping key steps, will win subpoenas fights tailored around the substance of the impeachment charge. The record is crystal clear. Thank you for your response. Do you think, had the current house gone to court and fought it out for all the things they wanted to subpoena during the recent impeachment hearings, that the courts (at whatever level it went to) would have ruled in their favor for at least a decent chunk of the requests? Separately, if this is happening towards the latter portion of a term, multiple levels of court battles could delay the impeachment inquiry until the president reaches the term limit or steps down after a full term, so it's probably not a preferred place to be for the house. | ||
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Danglars
United States12133 Posts
On July 10 2020 05:46 micronesia wrote: Thank you for your response. Do you think, had the current house gone to court and fought it out for all the things they wanted to subpoena during the recent impeachment hearings, that the courts (at whatever level it went to) would have ruled in their favor for at least a decent chunk of the requests? Separately, if this is happening towards the latter portion of a term, multiple levels of court battles could delay the impeachment inquiry until the president reaches the term limit or steps down after a full term, so it's probably not a preferred place to be for the house. Yes, that is the way the court would have ruled. Can you state clearly that you've seen the record, as cited, and it shows that subpoenas relating to impeachment prevail? Historically and for good reason, they work as intended? Separation of powers cannot be hopped over, even when a term is ending. You can tell in this case nobody cared that there was plenty of time remaining in Trump's term. They sent it to the Senate lacking necessary testimony for the record, and it's fully on them. There are also requests to expedite the process, should some future president do something deemed impeachable late in the term. | ||
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Mohdoo
United States15725 Posts
I remember being grumpy and wishing the house was more aggressive, but I don't clearly remember what punches the house pulled that they should not have. | ||
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
edit- you may be thinking of the people who took themselves to court for the court to tell them whether executive privilege took precedence over the congressional request. | ||
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Gorsameth
Netherlands21957 Posts
On July 10 2020 06:00 Mohdoo wrote: The House could have held them in contempt for refusing to comply and ordered their arrest. Which would have involved the DoJ (and therefor Barr, gl with that) or the Congress sergeant at arms.Can someone remind me, I thought the house DID subpoena people, but they never showed up because executive privilege or whatever? It is not clear to me what they didn't follow through on. I remember being grumpy and wishing the house was more aggressive, but I don't clearly remember what punches the house pulled that they should not have. What is the Secret Service going to do when said sergeant at arms walks into the White House to arrest the Chief of Staff? I seem to remember some subpoena(?) went through the courts and the verdict was that the House had the authority but they needed to enforce it themselves, the court wasn't going to do it for them. Bit vague on that and cba to look up the details right now. | ||
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ShoCkeyy
7815 Posts
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farvacola
United States18839 Posts
On July 10 2020 06:24 Gorsameth wrote: The House could have held them in contempt for refusing to comply and ordered their arrest. Which would have involved the DoJ (and therefor Barr, gl with that) or the Congress sergeant at arms. What is the Secret Service going to do when said sergeant at arms walks into the White House to arrest the Chief of Staff? I seem to remember some subpoena(?) went through the courts and the verdict was that the House had the authority but they needed to enforce it themselves, the court wasn't going to do it for them. Bit vague on that and cba to look up the details right now. You're remembering correctly, the holding of the DC Circuit you're referring to is very much in question now, or would at least require a redo after these SCOTUS cases came down. Its posture was different from the cases decided today in that it dealt more with the roles of federal courts than the scope of executive privilege outright. Here's a recap of the controversial 2-1. On July 10 2020 06:17 Nevuk wrote: No, they issued requests for people and said they wouldn't bother with subpeonas because of how long the court fight would take. Which always sounded off to me - the SC will expedite truly important requests REALLY fast. Not every single request they made, but the most important few could have been decided rather rapidly. Bolton told them he'd testify if they subpeona'd but not otherwise, which they said "lol no". edit- you may be thinking of the people who took themselves to court for the court to tell them whether executive privilege took precedence over the congressional request. That was perplexing to me as well, the White House/DoJ were getting cases shot up the appeals chain right in front of Congress' eyes. | ||
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
On July 10 2020 06:53 farvacola wrote: You're remembering correctly, the holding of the DC Circuit you're referring to is very much in question now, or would at least require a redo after these SCOTUS cases came down. Its posture was different from the cases decided today in that it dealt more with the roles of federal courts than the scope of executive privilege outright. Here's a recap of the controversial 2-1. That was perplexing to me as well, the White House/DoJ were getting cases shot up the appeals chain right in front of Congress' eyes. It's also not exactly new. The SC ruled on the watergate tapes super fast - from the initial subpeona trial to the hearing was barely more than a month (May 20 - > July 8th), with the ruling coming quickly as well (they all agreed within a day on the issue, but took 3 weeks to write the opinion). As far as I can tell, I think it was a token effort that Pelosi/leadership in the house didn't want to actually put any effort into, but she knew if she didn't she faced a revolt from membership on the topic. | ||
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GreenHorizons
United States23486 Posts
On July 10 2020 06:35 ShoCkeyy wrote: Well this ruling has forced Deutsche bank to comply about Trumps Finances anyways which they now have agreed to comply as well. Even if they continue trying to take the ruling back to the courts, the Deutsche bank is getting ready to hand over all documents to SDNY. It's quite remarkable Deutsche Bank even continues to exist. They make Wells Fargo look like a fine institution by comparison. | ||
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farvacola
United States18839 Posts
On July 10 2020 07:35 Nevuk wrote: It's also not exactly new. The SC ruled on the watergate tapes super fast - from the initial subpeona trial to the hearing was barely more than a month (May 20 - > July 8th), with the ruling coming quickly as well (they all agreed within a day on the issue, but took 3 weeks to write the opinion). As far as I can tell, I think it was a token effort that Pelosi/leadership in the house didn't want to actually put any effort into, but she knew if she didn't she faced a revolt from membership on the topic. A significant strategic mistake in hindsight, but it's hard to know what they were looking at specifically when they gamed it out. They're certainly not Archibald Cox types in any case. Edit: Upon further reflection, Nancy Pelosi and Carl Albert might compare relatively well, so what do I know haha | ||
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mierin
United States4943 Posts
On July 10 2020 07:45 GreenHorizons wrote: It's quite remarkable Deutsche Bank even continues to exist. They make Wells Fargo look like a fine institution by comparison. Is it remarkable, though? Seems like run of the mill corruption to me. | ||
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
5-4 decision in McGIRT v. OKLAHOMA, written by Gorsuch, that most of the eastern half of Oklahoma still belongs to native americans (the Creek specifically in the case, with four other tribes affected). This includes Tulsa. This is because the treaty that gave them the land was never revoked by congress, despite being from the 1800s. The ruling appears to be limited to law enforcement purposes currently, but it makes it very clear that they consider treaties valid unless congress invalidates them - which they almost never did. So expect a lot of challenges to be brought up rapidly. (bolded emphasis mine) The Supreme Court on Thursday ruled that much of eastern Oklahoma falls within an Indian reservation, a decision that could reshape the criminal justice system by preventing state authorities from prosecuting offenses there that involve Native Americans. The 5-to-4 decision, potentially one of the most consequential legal victories for Native Americans in decades, could have far-reaching implications for the people who live across what the court affirmed was Indian Country. The lands include much of Tulsa, Oklahoma’s second-biggest city. The case was steeped in the United States government’s long history of brutal removals and broken treaties with Indigenous tribes, and grappled with whether lands of the Muscogee (Creek) Nation had remained a reservation after Oklahoma became a state. A New Map of Oklahoma The Supreme Court on Thursday ruled that much of eastern Oklahoma falls within an Indian reservation. “Today we are asked whether the land these treaties promised remains an Indian reservation for purposes of federal criminal law,” Justice Gorsuch wrote in the majority opinion. “Because Congress has not said otherwise, we hold the government to its word.” https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/09/us/supreme-court-oklahoma-mcgirt-creek-nation.html Some more from the opinion - it has very strong language indicating that Gorsuch is willing to side with tribes in the future. The federal government promised the Creek a reservation in perpetuity. Over time, Congress has diminished that reservation. It has sometimes restricted and other times expanded the Tribe’s authority. But Congress has never withdrawn the promised reservation. As a result, many of the arguments before us today follow a sadly familiar pattern. Yes, promises were made, but the price of keeping them has become too great, so now we should just cast a blind eye. We reject that thinking. If Congress wishes to withdraw its promises, it must say so. Unlawful acts, performed long enough and with sufficient vigor, are never enough to amend the law. To hold otherwise would be to elevate the most brazen and longstanding injustices over the law, both rewarding wrong and failing those in the right. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/18-9526_9okb.pdf (both nyt and wikipedia have maps on areas affected) | ||
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Acrofales
Spain18125 Posts
On July 10 2020 10:25 Nevuk wrote: So the supreme court issued a ruling that may have larger implications than Trump's tax returns that we didn't talk about at all. 5-4 decision in McGIRT v. OKLAHOMA, written by Gorsuch, that most of the eastern half of Oklahoma still belongs to native americans (the Creek specifically in the case, with four other tribes affected). This includes Tulsa. This is because the treaty that gave them the land was never revoked by congress, despite being from the 1800s. The ruling appears to be limited to law enforcement purposes currently, but it makes it very clear that they consider treaties valid unless congress invalidates them - which they almost never did. So expect a lot of challenges to be brought up rapidly. (bolded emphasis mine) https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/09/us/supreme-court-oklahoma-mcgirt-creek-nation.html Some more from the opinion - it has very strong language indicating that Gorsuch is willing to side with tribes in the future. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/18-9526_9okb.pdf (both nyt and wikipedia have maps on areas affected) Is there anything stopping congress from passing a revoke-deprecated-treaties act that does what Gorsuch wants? Or even create legislation that automatically invalidates treaties older than 50/70/100 years? I mean, Gorsuch doesn't actually side with the Indians, her just says that Congress needs to get their paperwork in order. Of course, if this means reparations need to be paid for ~200 years of illegal exploitation of the land, and persecution of its rightful owners, this will have legs, but I don't think you can get there from this ruling. | ||
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mahrgell
Germany3943 Posts
On July 10 2020 15:57 Acrofales wrote: Is there anything stopping congress from passing a revoke-deprecated-treaties act that does what Gorsuch wants? Or even create legislation that automatically invalidates treaties older than 50/70/100 years? I mean, Gorsuch doesn't actually side with the Indians, her just says that Congress needs to get their paperwork in order. Of course, if this means reparations need to be paid for ~200 years of illegal exploitation of the land, and persecution of its rightful owners, this will have legs, but I don't think you can get there from this ruling. Yes, all he is saying that "If you want to be jerks, at least publicly announce it." But this is first of all damaging the public image and makes the US look unreliable (Who wouldn't have noticed in the last decade, but official confirmations are still of value in the world of politics.) and hindering future treaties with this partner or 3rd parties. And secondly, revoking those treaties also means that they can't be used the other way around again either. The good old fashioned: "Hey we violated our part of the treaties for years, but now, please honor your obligations, otherwise we must punish you" diplomacy. And I doubt having an "All our treaties are invalidated after X years" act is really helping future treaties. Well, depending on which party is in power, this might be seen as beneficial, but maybe there are still some people left who actually want to properly deal with ... anyone else. | ||
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