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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26225 Posts
February 03 2020 12:53 GMT
#41461
On February 03 2020 18:07 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 03 2020 07:25 Wombat_NI wrote:
If Sanders doesn’t manage it this time round, GH 2024 yo

I'v been given worse charges lol.

You can’t rely on my vote though alas, pesky lack of citizenship.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
February 03 2020 14:14 GMT
#41462
On February 03 2020 21:01 Broetchenholer wrote:
Plenty of good people on both sides. I don't know who this David Duke guy is and I will not say that it's bad he endorsed me.

Some people's ability to repeatedly forget about all of that is quite something.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23571 Posts
February 03 2020 16:10 GMT
#41463
Looking forward to Biden losing tonight. Just wonder if it'll be bad enough for him to end up losing SC.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45210 Posts
February 03 2020 16:31 GMT
#41464
On February 04 2020 01:10 GreenHorizons wrote:
Looking forward to Biden losing tonight. Just wonder if it'll be bad enough for him to end up losing SC.


Current polling has Sanders beating Biden by a few points in Iowa today, but within the margin of error. Even if Biden does lose Iowa (and even after he almost certainly loses New Hampshire), I think South Carolina is still a lock for him. In 2016, Hillary swept the entire southern United States, and those conservative states seem to (unsurprisingly) prefer more moderate, centrist candidates than true progressives.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15726 Posts
February 03 2020 16:35 GMT
#41465
Biden losing was a given since he started this sham of a campaign, but Warren and Buttigieg losing feels particularly good for their own reasons.

For Buttigieg, his whole "look at me I'm Christian, gay, young and I identify as Barrack Obama - vote for me" thing was hard to stomach. Painted himself as anti-establishment, took in dirty cash. Repeated inaccurate attacks on medicare for all and other progressive ideas.

For Warren, she basically piggy-backed on Sanders' ideas, then painted a "but isn't it great that I'm a woman AND progressive? XD" image that wasn't comfortable for me. It was too blatant, too shameless and never felt genuine. I always had faith she'd at least somewhat follow through on her promises, but it wasn't until she did the whole "Bernie said a woman can't win" thing that it was lights out. After that, I realized everything people said about her was true. A true hack, trying to seize on a movement created by Bernie.

And now, Bernie is about to take a fucking katana to both their campaigns. Trying to decide what food I will buy to celebrate tonight. Cheers from Oregon, Iowa!
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10833 Posts
February 03 2020 16:42 GMT
#41466
Didn't Sanders do better than the polls expected him to do the last time around? Did the polling improve or are we in for another (nice) surprise?
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15726 Posts
February 03 2020 17:01 GMT
#41467
On February 04 2020 01:42 Velr wrote:
Didn't Sanders do better than the polls expected him to do the last time around? Did the polling improve or are we in for another (nice) surprise?


Yes, and with the way caucuses hugely favor enthusiastic voters, Warren and Buttigieg tanking so much recently, the stars are totally aligned for the 14%/14% dream. Bernie could be the only one with Iowa delegates.

The big problem for Pete and Warren is that they have no "market" right now. Why vote for Warren over Bernie? Bernie leading, even nationally with the whole "eLeCtAbLe??" thing shot in the head. Pete? Just a less honest Biden. Pete still going nowhere nationally. Supposedly "pragmatic" "centrists" don't see a reason to back a candidate who isn't actively winning. So why back Pete?

Meanwhile Bernie has the entire left on lockdown. I firmly believe we are about to see Warren and Buttigieg become completely irrelevant in the next week.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12379 Posts
February 03 2020 17:14 GMT
#41468
Should I stay up btw? When do you think the results will be clear?
No will to live, no wish to die
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
February 03 2020 17:16 GMT
#41469
Didn’t Bernie win Iowa last year vs Hillary only to eventually lose? How important is Iowa, really?
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18845 Posts
February 03 2020 17:28 GMT
#41470
Hillary won the ‘16 Iowa Caucus by .3%
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15726 Posts
February 03 2020 17:28 GMT
#41471
On February 04 2020 02:16 IgnE wrote:
Didn’t Bernie win Iowa last year vs Hillary only to eventually lose? How important is Iowa, really?


Iowa is important because CNN won't be able to say "other" won. They'll have to at least abbreviate Bernie's name somehow. And lots of indicators are showing Pete and Warren are both approaching a fizzle. Lots of people are too cautious to support a Bernie underdog but will eat the rich when he's winning. Pete and Warren are both pretending to be relevant in a way that is quickly approaching Klobuchar'esque.
Blitzkrieg0
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States13132 Posts
February 03 2020 17:32 GMT
#41472
On February 04 2020 01:35 Mohdoo wrote:
For Warren, she basically piggy-backed on Sanders' ideas, then painted a "but isn't it great that I'm a woman AND progressive? XD" image that wasn't comfortable for me. It was too blatant, too shameless and never felt genuine. I always had faith she'd at least somewhat follow through on her promises, but it wasn't until she did the whole "Bernie said a woman can't win" thing that it was lights out. After that, I realized everything people said about her was true. A true hack, trying to seize on a movement created by Bernie.


You can hate her response to the issue, but at its heart it is manufactured outrage from CNN and it sold extremely well so I'd expect more of it in the future. People need to be more aware of when stuff was said in relation to when it was reported in this country and how that impacts what they think of it.
I'll always be your shadow and veil your eyes from states of ain soph aur.
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
February 03 2020 18:02 GMT
#41473
On February 03 2020 19:45 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 03 2020 17:52 nojok wrote:
On February 03 2020 13:24 BerserkSword wrote:
On February 03 2020 13:01 KwarK wrote:
They also couldn’t be much more different on policy. Trump ran on an explicit campaign promise of reversing as much of the Obama legislative legacy as he could, including the largest and most important legislative achievement, the ACA.

Also you’re turning this into a question of oratory when the difference is substance. You’re right that Obama, like most people for whom English is a first language, is a better orator than Trump who routinely struggles with words like league, origins, pessimism, and so forth. But that isn’t the difference we’re talking about, it’s that Trump only speaks to talk about how good he is.

You seem to be saying that the difference is X, and therefore it follows that Y and Z are the same. The difference is X, but it’s also every other letter. The difference is oratory skill, but it’s also everything else.


I know what Trump ran on. What I said in my post is that he broke a lot of the promises he made during his campaign....and instead became Obama-lite.

Trump and Obama are essentially the same thing when it comes to what, in my opinion, are the two most important things, bar none, to address - economic and monetary policy. The Federal Reserve, with its out of control easy money policies, is the single most harmful thing to working Americans imo, and Trump is taking the same steps Obama did, despite, like you said, promising to end it. Trump is slightly better for the economy than Obama with tax cuts and deregulation, but it's barely anything compared to Trump's massive interventionist and protectionist agendas that, again, are reminiscent of the Obama era. Not to mention the fact that he did nothing to work towards fixing the budget deficit like he promised. All in all, the same deal when it comes to by far the most important factors.

I can go down the list of policies comparing and contrasting but these are by far the most important imo, so I'll stick with these for now. Obviously they are not exactly the same. Personally, I think Trump is the lesser evil than Obama. Others might think differently. But who cares? The both propagate the crux of the problems we face.

Trump has a distasteful way of speaking but I honestly don't care about all of that. Personally, Obama's speeches often disgusted me especially when you compared it to what he was actually doing. But that's beyond the point, at least for me. I just care about policy. Bush, Obama, and Trump all spoke very differently from each other but they are all more or less similar in how they bring down working Americans. I don't know why I should care so much about how they speak.



What about the pedophile who mysteriously died in prison while being Trump's friend? What about the thousands of lies he pronounces every year? What about his senior advisor and son in law meeting Kremlin's officials? What about legitimating nazis?

What is your limit?

Legitimating Nazis? How, what, why?

Anyway my opinion of the situation has changed drastically over this month, due to the coronavirus.Iron Ore was down $10 this weekend, we here in Australia and several countries have completely blocked incoming travel for Chinese nationals.This is huge for our tourism, education and property sectors.

We're headed for a recession now for sure and the world is as well.Not doomongering here but big economic turmoil is on the way if this virus does not die down soon.Good for Bernie, bad for Trump.


Like, "good people on both sides", or accepting endorsements and donations from neo-nazi group leaders, feigning ignorance when asked about it ? Nothing big. As long as money is involved, he would even kiss Stalin.

User was warned for this post
NoiR
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
February 03 2020 18:51 GMT
#41474
On February 04 2020 02:16 IgnE wrote:
Didn’t Bernie win Iowa last year vs Hillary only to eventually lose? How important is Iowa, really?


A big difference between last year is that last year they could spin the story that Hillary had +200 delegates on Bernie even right after Iowa (which is only ~50 delegates) because of the super delegates.

With the super delegates (mostly) gone this time around, the person actually winning the primaries will be ahead rather than the narrative being shaped by a large group of declared super delegates.

So for all of Feb (after NH) even though Sander's insurgent campaign had secured more pledged delegates than Clinton, Clinton was stated as ahead in a commanding position and backing Bernie was backing a massive underdog. Which is not wrong given super delegates, but hypothetically if the narrative was more balanced (no superdelegates) then later primaries may have played out differently.
Logo
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-03 19:03:41
February 03 2020 19:03 GMT
#41475
On February 04 2020 02:01 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 04 2020 01:42 Velr wrote:
Didn't Sanders do better than the polls expected him to do the last time around? Did the polling improve or are we in for another (nice) surprise?


Yes, and with the way caucuses hugely favor enthusiastic voters, Warren and Buttigieg tanking so much recently, the stars are totally aligned for the 14%/14% dream. Bernie could be the only one with Iowa delegates.

The big problem for Pete and Warren is that they have no "market" right now. Why vote for Warren over Bernie? Bernie leading, even nationally with the whole "eLeCtAbLe??" thing shot in the head. Pete? Just a less honest Biden. Pete still going nowhere nationally. Supposedly "pragmatic" "centrists" don't see a reason to back a candidate who isn't actively winning. So why back Pete?

Meanwhile Bernie has the entire left on lockdown. I firmly believe we are about to see Warren and Buttigieg become completely irrelevant in the next week.


Pete hasn't fallen below 15% in any polls, has been blitzing Iowa and is a big beneficiary of 2nd choices along with Warren, I wouldn't be surprised if he ends up with the most delegates at the end of the night due to Sanders piling up votes in the cities but doesn't have the same enthusiasm elsewhere.

Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1950 Posts
February 03 2020 19:08 GMT
#41476
You guys are too purist. From an outside perspective, Warren is in no way the moderate bitch this thread is decrying her to be. I get that sanders is better in your eyes and I hope he can achieve what you want and him to achieve, but it's kinda harsh how you treat one of your more genuine, diligent and effective allies. Good luck with your election.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15726 Posts
February 03 2020 19:11 GMT
#41477
On February 04 2020 04:08 Broetchenholer wrote:
You guys are too purist. From an outside perspective, Warren is in no way the moderate bitch this thread is decrying her to be. I get that sanders is better in your eyes and I hope he can achieve what you want and him to achieve, but it's kinda harsh how you treat one of your more genuine, diligent and effective allies. Good luck with your election.


Going after Bernie as a supposed sexist told us everything we need to know about her values and integrity. Once those are gone, her supposed policy positions are meaningless. I'll still vote for her over Trump but I have no reason to pretend she is acceptable at this stage.
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
February 03 2020 19:28 GMT
#41478
Can someone explain how Iowa is important? If it's too much to explain, maybe an article that explains which states are important and how they lead to deciding who the best candidate is.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1950 Posts
February 03 2020 19:29 GMT
#41479
This thread started shitting on her way before that big scandal. Most of this thread seem to have loved the fact that now they finally had the smoking gun they assumed before was there. It's just an observation and it does not need to be true, I can't read minds.

I definitely hope you guys finally move socially to the left and get more quality of life for your poorer population. And I would especially love to see grumpy grandpa on the international stage yelling at Putin!
Kreuger
Profile Joined October 2011
Sweden801 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-03 19:33:35
February 03 2020 19:31 GMT
#41480
On February 04 2020 04:28 BigFan wrote:
Can someone explain how Iowa is important? If it's too much to explain, maybe an article that explains which states are important and how they lead to deciding who the best candidate is.


Dont have a article explaining in detail, but since 1996 every candidate that has won in Iowa has been the presidential candidate later on.

So I guess its a mix of momentum and some superstition :p


article:

https://people.howstuffworks.com/iowa-caucus.htm
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