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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2004

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4729 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-08 08:28:49
January 08 2020 08:25 GMT
#40061
Accroding to BBC: Ukraine at this point belives it was engine failure. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-51029994 I guess they might have communication from the crew indicating some sort of problem with the plane.

I am more worried about this: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-51028954 i do not see a scenario in which US do not respond in military manner. Escalation seems imminnent.
Pathetic Greta hater.
iFU.pauline
Profile Joined September 2009
France1564 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-08 09:27:52
January 08 2020 09:26 GMT
#40062
"All is well! Missiles launched from Iran at two military bases located in Iraq. Assessment of casualties & damages taking place now. So far, so good! We have the most powerful and well equipped military anywhere in the world, by far! I will be making a statement tomorrow morning."

Trump tweet

That level of communication is beyond order. Those people are fucking dead... And yeah no need to worry "we have supa big weapons, the best in the universe, please go back to sleep now"
No coward soul is mine, No trembler in the world's storm-troubled sphere, I see Heaven's glories shine, And Faith shines equal arming me from Fear
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4729 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-08 10:58:39
January 08 2020 10:08 GMT
#40063
Well hopefully noone is dead, thats the only way i can see there will be no escalation. If Iran targeted infrastructure (like airfields, fuel depots, ammodepots etc.) and noone died, then with some good will this might end without even stronger military response (US might then response with bombing of infrastructure and everyone will achive their goals).
Pathetic Greta hater.
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
January 08 2020 10:45 GMT
#40064
Initial reports said no US casualties. I can't imagine Trump posting what he did if there was confirmed US casualties. He'd be banging the drums in that instance, no doubt.
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
iFU.pauline
Profile Joined September 2009
France1564 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-08 11:29:43
January 08 2020 11:25 GMT
#40065
12 missiles on an US base, if it is a military base then surely there is people inside it... No casualties? I mean why not, it just sounds improbable. The world should rather think it did not kill anyone and I am fine with that.
No coward soul is mine, No trembler in the world's storm-troubled sphere, I see Heaven's glories shine, And Faith shines equal arming me from Fear
ShambhalaWar
Profile Joined August 2013
United States930 Posts
January 08 2020 12:27 GMT
#40066
On January 08 2020 00:42 RenSC2 wrote:
I'll defend capitalism.

Let's start with a true story. Many years ago, my father ran the IT department for a company. After the fall of the USSR, the company brought in some Russian immigrants to work in his IT department. My father found out they were stealing from the company and wanted to fire them. His boss, the owner (and founder) of the company instead said something like, "They're not bad, they're ignorant. They grew up in socialism and the only way to get ahead in socialism is to steal. We'll work with them." The owner, a true self-made billionaire with Russian ancestry, felt pity for them and wanted to help them. He recognized that the methods of getting ahead in socialism are corruption and theft. If you can re-educate people to teach them that in capitalism you can get ahead through hard work, then you can end up with some good employees and those employees can end up with a better life than they'd ever have under socialism.

People want to get ahead. I'm going to take that as a self-evident truth. In socialism, the outlet for that desire is loyalty to the system (like KGB members getting ahead, hello Mr. Putin) or to outright steal. Ethics and morals be damned. Capitalism directs that desire into something much healthier. It directs it into innovation and hard work. Yes, theft can get you ahead in capitalism too, but at least there it's not the only way.

Capitalism is essentially a force of nature. If you can accept that people can own things (which is not unique to capitalism), then capitalism is a natural extension of that ownership: you can use what you own to make money. You can use your own labor to make money. You can use the piece of land you own to make money. You can use the factory on the land to make money. You can use the money to make money.

Anything else is either saying that people can't own things or is trying to cut people off from the nature of ownership.

Having said that, unrestrained capitalism is not good. The government is supposed to be the check on capitalism to keep its excesses in check. The government is the part where society gets to vote and say, "hey, you have too much". Unfortunately, some of the people who should be educating society on a better form of capitalism have instead decided that the bankruptcy of socialism is better. We've seen socialism, it isn't a new idea, every implementation the world has seen stinks.

If instead, you worked to curb the excesses of capitalism through educating the population, then you'd have more success and end up with a better system. For starters, teach people that taxes aren't all bad. The inheritance tax should be high. If it's a 90% tax over 100 million (or pick your number), then you can prevent infinite generational wealth while still allowing a parent to set up their children for life. You also de-incentivize excess wealth because you'll never get to use it (currently true) and 90% of it will go back to the government anyways (not currently true). Right now, a large portion of people who will never be effected by the inheritance tax voted to get rid of it (part of the Republican platform).

If you also used the government to force people to pay for their ecological destruction, then you'd get different calculus on various capitalistic endeavors. Things like a carbon tax could greatly change society for the better by making some activities unprofitable. However, again, we've been conditioned to think taxes = bad. Fight that fight and the environment has a chance. Pretending that socialism has answers when it has never had any answer for the environment before seems quite dubious.

Finally, there are some areas where socialism can be used in a capitalistic society. I look to socialism to set a floor. Everyone deserves the law, so police and the courts should be socialized (they already are, socialists love the socialized police force /s). Everyone deserves basic health protection so the fire departments and healthcare should be socialized (fire usually is, healthcare not really... an area where I'd love to see universal healthcare). Everyone deserves a basic education so we have public schools and libraries (although I'm not a fan of free college, I think that's past the limit of basic education).

In my ideal society, government sets the floor through socialism and curbs the excess through taxes (which also pay for the socialism); however, we allows capitalism to work in the middle. Many European countries are headed in that direction. The US has a reasonable structure to move in that direction, but it takes people pushing for it, rather than trying to throw the whole thing out and implement something that has never worked before in some magical undefined new way.


You make some very interesting points, and much of it I think I agree with, minus your first couple paragraphs. *The idea that anyone can get ahead in America if you just work hard enough is a fallacy, which the country has pushed since its birth. It's simply not true... It's like saying, "anyone can be an NFL quarterback, you just have to work hard!"

Being in the NFL is a combination of really hard work, and a lot of luck... good genetics, who you know, right place right time.

In capitalism, yes you can make it from the very bottom to the very top... but only an extremely small number of people can ever do that... And over time (as evidenced in America) accumulation of wealth at the high end limits to even more extremes the number of people whom can make it to the top.

*The biggest problem with your overall defense of capitalism (keeping in mind that I agree if you have capitalism it should be regulated capitalism), is that eventually the richest people have accumulated enough wealth to buy power and influence in a way that they can start to re-write the laws and structure of society... and because there really is no moral check on greed (which is an endless addictive cycle) at the top end (sociopaths are more likely to filter to the top, because they don't worry about sacrifices made to reach the top), the greediest people at the top manipulate the system to chase a cycle of endless wealth gain... to the detriment of all around them.

Because many of them never feel the impacts of their actions, and they have successfully manipulated the system to deregulate endless accumulation of wealth, there really isn't anything to stop them... When laws get in the way, they lobby against them to deregulate and change the rules... until the system collapses (which it has to, it's not a sustainable system) and then resets to begin the cycle of capitalism again.

My theory is that at some point, whether it be capitalism or socialism... or some combination of the two... we as humans will have to evolve to a point in which we begin to include a moral or ethical (emotional) element into the economy.

Where people make economic decisions based on what is the best for society, not simply what will make the most money for a given company.

I don't know what this looks like, but we can't simply continue in the system of capitalism America exists in (which is actually regulated capitalism). Keep in mind, we have been running the experiment of capitalism for decades now, and it is failing in its current form.

Healthcare is a prime example. When you supply something essential, such as healthcare in a profit based system, eventually you will see peoples' health scarified under the justification of profit gain. Should we all at least agree that society should never want to make the choice of letting people die in order to simply make as much money as the market can bare?
ShambhalaWar
Profile Joined August 2013
United States930 Posts
January 08 2020 12:29 GMT
#40067
On January 08 2020 19:45 iamthedave wrote:
Initial reports said no US casualties. I can't imagine Trump posting what he did if there was confirmed US casualties. He'd be banging the drums in that instance, no doubt.


You don't seem to know trump then... by virtue of him saying anything, there is a high probability what he has said is a lie.

Doesn't matter if there was good reason for it or not.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 08 2020 13:38 GMT
#40068
--- Nuked ---
ShambhalaWar
Profile Joined August 2013
United States930 Posts
January 08 2020 14:02 GMT
#40069
On January 08 2020 01:33 GreenHorizons wrote:
Does anyone have an idea of how we get from where we are to this Scandinavian social democracy (which as practiced is still unsustainable) in the decade we have to get there if we want to keep the probability of mass extinction under ~50%?

When I entertain electoralism the closest I can come is.

Sanders wins 2020. First 2 years are nothing but roadblocks, and like Obama, he's handed an economy in free fall. During that time disillusioned Sanders supporters and socialists unite to replace the entirety of congress and the Senate and in Sanders second term he can sign the radical legislation necessary to avert what the best available science tells us is near certain doom otherwise.

People that aren't supporting Sanders as that sort of last hope seem to completely avoid reconciling how voting for anyone but Sanders keeps us on a trajectory toward irreversible (on a non geological time scale) and catastrophic ecological collapse.

As far as I can tell the science says anyone accepting anything less radical than Sanders is supporting not only dooms the global south (as the Scandinavian model does) but makes global catastrophic climate collapse certain.

I can't imagine and don't think anyone can, a scenario where Biden wins the nomination and we make the radical changes in the time needed through any other explanation than magic and hope.


Your description of a Sanders win sounds pretty ideal to me.

I'm even starting to lose faith in Warren, the way she seems to pander to the center. Faltering on medicare for all, and seeing Castro endorse her, while not at all a bad thing (I think they are both rather progressive), was extremely depressing to me... and felt mostly like a statement of how desperate the democratic power structure is to hold onto the way things are.

If democrats really want to win, they would endorse Sanders... His fundraising, his backing by the youth, and the excitement that has always been behind him I believe would overwhelm trump's campaign ez, and bring real change to the US.

I don't at all trust the democratic party to do anything but split the party between the center and his supporters. We tried the center in 2016 and we lost, despite that... they will fight to the last to desperately hold onto the status quo.

I think at this point everyone knows it... yet... They do EVERYTHING but acknowledge him, for anything... at the very least they could acknowledge him as someone running in the race.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 08 2020 14:40 GMT
#40070
--- Nuked ---
mikedebo
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada4341 Posts
January 08 2020 14:45 GMT
#40071
On January 08 2020 23:40 JimmiC wrote:
Trump is going to make a statement at 11am Est.

https://www.npr.org/2020/01/08/794404894/president-trump-to-deliver-statement-on-iran


Over-under on how many people he refers to as "dogs" in this broadcast?
I NEED A PHOTOSYNTHESIS! ||| 'airtoss' is an anagram of 'artosis' ||| SANGHOOOOOO ||| "No Korea? No problem. I have internet." -- Stardust
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-08 14:53:42
January 08 2020 14:51 GMT
#40072
On January 08 2020 23:02 ShambhalaWar wrote:...
If democrats really want to win, they would endorse Sanders... His fundraising, his backing by the youth, and the excitement that has always been behind him I believe would overwhelm trump's campaign ez, and bring real change to the US.
...

I find it very difficult to believe Sanders would defeat Trump easily; in practice a left-wing candidate probably needs significantly more than 50% to win and I doubt even half the American voting public is politically closer than Sanders than Trump (which is not to say that Sanders cannot be carried over the line by sheer personal distaste for Trump). It's possible he's the strongest candidate but that is more a condemnation of the others than a compliment to Sanders.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18826 Posts
January 08 2020 14:59 GMT
#40073
On January 08 2020 23:51 Aquanim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2020 23:02 ShambhalaWar wrote:...
If democrats really want to win, they would endorse Sanders... His fundraising, his backing by the youth, and the excitement that has always been behind him I believe would overwhelm trump's campaign ez, and bring real change to the US.
...

I find it very difficult to believe Sanders would defeat Trump easily; in practice a left-wing candidate probably needs significantly more than 50% to win and I doubt even half the American voting public is politically closer than Sanders than Trump (which is not to say that Sanders cannot be carried over the line by sheer personal distaste for Trump). It's possible he's the strongest candidate but that is more a condemnation of the others than a compliment to Sanders.

You’re defining “left-wing” too narrowly with reference to Sanders, he has crossover appeal that conflicts with the typical urban/rural divide, as was seen when he won Michigan in the ‘16 primary. I don’t know if that means he’d win easily, but assuming that his progressivism would necessitate some measure of significantly higher turnout doesn’t jive with the specifics of his candidacy.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23230 Posts
January 08 2020 15:03 GMT
#40074
On January 08 2020 23:02 ShambhalaWar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2020 01:33 GreenHorizons wrote:
Does anyone have an idea of how we get from where we are to this Scandinavian social democracy (which as practiced is still unsustainable) in the decade we have to get there if we want to keep the probability of mass extinction under ~50%?

When I entertain electoralism the closest I can come is.

Sanders wins 2020. First 2 years are nothing but roadblocks, and like Obama, he's handed an economy in free fall. During that time disillusioned Sanders supporters and socialists unite to replace the entirety of congress and the Senate and in Sanders second term he can sign the radical legislation necessary to avert what the best available science tells us is near certain doom otherwise.

People that aren't supporting Sanders as that sort of last hope seem to completely avoid reconciling how voting for anyone but Sanders keeps us on a trajectory toward irreversible (on a non geological time scale) and catastrophic ecological collapse.

As far as I can tell the science says anyone accepting anything less radical than Sanders is supporting not only dooms the global south (as the Scandinavian model does) but makes global catastrophic climate collapse certain.

I can't imagine and don't think anyone can, a scenario where Biden wins the nomination and we make the radical changes in the time needed through any other explanation than magic and hope.


Your description of a Sanders win sounds pretty ideal to me.

I'm even starting to lose faith in Warren, the way she seems to pander to the center. Faltering on medicare for all, and seeing Castro endorse her, while not at all a bad thing (I think they are both rather progressive), was extremely depressing to me... and felt mostly like a statement of how desperate the democratic power structure is to hold onto the way things are.

If democrats really want to win, they would endorse Sanders... His fundraising, his backing by the youth, and the excitement that has always been behind him I believe would overwhelm trump's campaign ez, and bring real change to the US.

I don't at all trust the democratic party to do anything but split the party between the center and his supporters. We tried the center in 2016 and we lost, despite that... they will fight to the last to desperately hold onto the status quo.

I think at this point everyone knows it... yet... They do EVERYTHING but acknowledge him, for anything... at the very least they could acknowledge him as someone running in the race.


The only way Sanders can lose is if the establishment consolidates around 1 candidate before super Tuesday. Otherwise no one has the combination of money, volunteer infrastructure, and polling to compete with Sanders in the super Tuesday states that Democrats will rely on in November.

What needed to happen for a candidate to supplant Biden or Sanders was an Obama like campaign and none of them managed to put it all together. It's not something that can manifest in the time they have, even with good performances leading up to super Tuesday.

The only way for the Dems to stop Sanders at this point is to get it to a 3-way race with Sanders, Warren, and an establishment consolidating pick. That or banking on their defense of 2016 that they can pick the nominee without consideration for primary votes if they wish (it would be politically absurd).
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
January 08 2020 15:05 GMT
#40075
On January 08 2020 23:59 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2020 23:51 Aquanim wrote:
On January 08 2020 23:02 ShambhalaWar wrote:...
If democrats really want to win, they would endorse Sanders... His fundraising, his backing by the youth, and the excitement that has always been behind him I believe would overwhelm trump's campaign ez, and bring real change to the US.
...

I find it very difficult to believe Sanders would defeat Trump easily; in practice a left-wing candidate probably needs significantly more than 50% to win and I doubt even half the American voting public is politically closer than Sanders than Trump (which is not to say that Sanders cannot be carried over the line by sheer personal distaste for Trump). It's possible he's the strongest candidate but that is more a condemnation of the others than a compliment to Sanders.

You’re defining “left-wing” too narrowly with reference to Sanders, he has crossover appeal that conflicts with the typical urban/rural divide, as was seen when he won Michigan in the ‘16 primary. I don’t know if that means he’d win easily, but assuming that his progressivism would necessitate some measure of significantly higher turnout doesn’t jive with the specifics of his candidacy.

Even if the Sanders vs Trump matchup somehow plays out in such a way that the Electoral College system is not fundamentally rigged in favour in Trump, Sanders still has to reach something pretty close to half the votes. Even if we assume that Sanders is going to pull some votes from traditionally Republican areas and non-voters due to the specifics of his platform it still seems like a pretty tough row to hoe.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18826 Posts
January 08 2020 15:10 GMT
#40076
The electoral college being rigged is besides the point, Sanders merely needs to take the traditional blue states, which he will have no problem doing, and pick up some battleground states like Ohio, Michigan, and Florida, each of which have, at worst, average prospects of a Sanders victory. The row here is no tougher than it would be for any other candidate, and given Sanders’ unique crossover appeal, there’s a good argument that it will be easier.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
January 08 2020 15:15 GMT
#40077
Zero casualties gives Trump an easy out now. We'll know what's up if he doesn't take it.

There are reports that the Iraqis were warned by Iran about the strike before it happened. That would make it much like the cruise missile strike on Syria by the US where they were also warned before time, so it turned out to be inconsequential in the end.



I'm a bit doubtful that a 'warning' strike like this will sooth all revenge feelings in Iran given how large the public response was to Soleimani's killing. Hopefully the 'pride' feeling of having attacked the big US military head on will mend revenge calls and it all ends here, but there might be more in the pipeline.
Neosteel Enthusiast
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15689 Posts
January 08 2020 15:33 GMT
#40078
LOL Iran is now saying they won't hand over the black box. Now, I ought to make sure I don't jump to any conclusions here!

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/08/iran-says-it-will-not-give-black-box-from-crashed-airliner-to-boeing
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 08 2020 15:46 GMT
#40079
--- Nuked ---
raga4ka
Profile Joined February 2008
Bulgaria5679 Posts
January 08 2020 15:52 GMT
#40080
There was no way that Iran wouldn't have retaliated after their top military commander got assassinated, but they played it smart without needlessly escalating the situation it seems by purposefully targeting empty military bases.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-01-07/iran-retaliates-against-u-s-with-rocket-attack-on-base-in-iraq

I hope US officials don't escalate this any further as they only have themselves to blame.
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