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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1926

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

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Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-04 09:21:28
December 04 2019 09:14 GMT
#38501
As opposed to Biden and Sanders, Harris didn't have a substantial base of rusted-on supporters walking into the primary. There are two ways a campaign fitting that profile can go: take and hold enough support from other candidates to be competitive, or crash and burn. Harris did the second, though the first looked pretty plausible for a while. Warren appears to be doing the first so far although there are still a couple of months for a crash and burn to happen.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23557 Posts
December 04 2019 11:05 GMT
#38502
On December 04 2019 18:05 Belisarius wrote:
I did wonder if Harris would turn out to be the best head-to-head contender for the general. The female black DA against the senile orange mob boss looked like a good match-up to me.

I was quite surprised she stalled so hard so fast. There was clearly something counting against her that wasn't obvious to me.


Basically she was supposed to pull Black voters, but didn't because she's an unrepentant cop who did a lot of messed up cop stuff.

Once it was clear she wasn't pulling Black voters, the Clinton camp (much of her staff and organization came from 2016 Clinton) moved on to their next preference.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-04 12:24:05
December 04 2019 12:14 GMT
#38503
A fair proportion of those black voters would probably have to have come from Biden, who hasn't imploded nearly as fast as several people predicted. If he had, Harris might have had a larger opening. (edit: ...or they might have just gone elsewhere. It's all tea leaf reading, really.)
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23557 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-04 12:33:40
December 04 2019 12:29 GMT
#38504
On December 04 2019 21:14 Aquanim wrote:
A fair proportion of those black voters would probably have to have come from Biden, who hasn't imploded nearly as fast as several people predicted. If he had, Harris might have had a larger opening.


Sorta but not quite imo. Biden was predicted to collapse sooner (and he sorta has without much attention payed to it) but Kamala was supposed to take Bernie's/consolidate with Booker Black under 40 support right away and they both failed miserably.

When younger Black voters completely shut her down it was a dead campaign walking. Without young Black voters the older voters weren't going to support Kamala over Joe or Pete.

EDIT: A critical reason Obama and Sanders were able to mount remarkable underdog campaigns was massive youth support. None of these other candidates (the billionaires could buy establishment support) have a chance to overwhelm Biden's establishment support without it.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26225 Posts
December 04 2019 12:47 GMT
#38505
I’m over the other side of the Atlantic so outside of actively seeking out information I don’t get surrounded by the ‘regular’ media coverage you guys do.

I don’t really recall much in terms of what she’d actually do, most commentators and subsequently my impression was ‘she’s a competent women with a track record in public office.’ That’s basically it, she loses out in so many other areas.

Bernie has his policies that many people are enthused by. Warren has some of that but also the ‘competent woman with a track record’ part, and Warren’s is in advocating financial reform and protecting consumer rights, Harris’ is in law and order which doesn’t play well with some of the demographics she needs to pull.

Biden has the name recognition, Buttigieg has been running a decent campaign and avoiding gaffes thus far of the more centrist candidates, then you have the hipster choice campaign being Andrew Yang and his Merry Gang

If there’s a niche there it’s pretty tight and she har to claim it and gain momentum pretty damn quickly, which didn’t really happen.

I think it’s a good sign that just being black isn’t sufficient to court an enthusiastic black support of a candidate
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
December 04 2019 14:06 GMT
#38506
On December 04 2019 05:01 Wombat_NI wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2019 04:51 KwarK wrote:
On December 04 2019 04:40 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
It was in response to Kwark's line about "when your kids aren’t interested in farming " as a reason for suicide. Your children's existence should be enough reason for you own continued existence. If all engineering jobs vanished overnight and the job I love is oversaturated, I will damn well persevere and get another job even if I hate every moment of it for the sake of my otherwise fatherless child.

If your children aren't interested in farming and want to go and study at university, or even open up another independent business, those children should damn well be supported.

You can’t see why being the end of the line might make people sad? It’s not one or the other, you can be happy for your children while still being sad about the family farm, with the labour of generations sunk into it, being lost. It’s a legacy.

You’re doing that thing where you pretend to be an idiot in order to defend making the stupidest possible interpretation of a post again. They’re not sad because they hate the success of their children, that’s a really stupid take. They’re sad because the family legacy is ending and they’re the last ones.

Yes, you don’t have to be some crazy conservative to like some form of lineage.

My grandad was an engineer, as was his father. My dad was an electronic engineer and subsequently I’m studying to be a software engineer currently.

My grandad (who outlived my dad by a good 7 years) always said he got a bit of a kick that his descendants choice of career path, while rooted in similar interests also reflected the changes of the world and emerging technologies.

Not quite the same as a family farm but it’s still a thing. You want your children to do better than you in life but you also want them to be a ‘better version’ of you, not something entirely different.

I think most parents if they’re being honest want that as the ideal, not to say they won’t support their children on going on different paths.

I’d support my son if he decided to be a professional drag queen and was gay, I’d still rather he was a heterosexual nerd who liked RTS games if given the choice.
I can honestly say the idea of subsidies to support the idea of an occupational lineage baffles me. Isn't that exactly what we've been fighting for the last 200 years? To prevent the privileges of a social caste? If there was a family lineage of lawyers, should we support that too, as parental lawyers will be disapointed if their children wanted to be farmers? Or for engineers? Where would you draw the line?
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26225 Posts
December 04 2019 14:40 GMT
#38507
On December 04 2019 23:06 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2019 05:01 Wombat_NI wrote:
On December 04 2019 04:51 KwarK wrote:
On December 04 2019 04:40 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
It was in response to Kwark's line about "when your kids aren’t interested in farming " as a reason for suicide. Your children's existence should be enough reason for you own continued existence. If all engineering jobs vanished overnight and the job I love is oversaturated, I will damn well persevere and get another job even if I hate every moment of it for the sake of my otherwise fatherless child.

If your children aren't interested in farming and want to go and study at university, or even open up another independent business, those children should damn well be supported.

You can’t see why being the end of the line might make people sad? It’s not one or the other, you can be happy for your children while still being sad about the family farm, with the labour of generations sunk into it, being lost. It’s a legacy.

You’re doing that thing where you pretend to be an idiot in order to defend making the stupidest possible interpretation of a post again. They’re not sad because they hate the success of their children, that’s a really stupid take. They’re sad because the family legacy is ending and they’re the last ones.

Yes, you don’t have to be some crazy conservative to like some form of lineage.

My grandad was an engineer, as was his father. My dad was an electronic engineer and subsequently I’m studying to be a software engineer currently.

My grandad (who outlived my dad by a good 7 years) always said he got a bit of a kick that his descendants choice of career path, while rooted in similar interests also reflected the changes of the world and emerging technologies.

Not quite the same as a family farm but it’s still a thing. You want your children to do better than you in life but you also want them to be a ‘better version’ of you, not something entirely different.

I think most parents if they’re being honest want that as the ideal, not to say they won’t support their children on going on different paths.

I’d support my son if he decided to be a professional drag queen and was gay, I’d still rather he was a heterosexual nerd who liked RTS games if given the choice.
I can honestly say the idea of subsidies to support the idea of an occupational lineage baffles me. Isn't that exactly what we've been fighting for the last 200 years? To prevent the privileges of a social caste? If there was a family lineage of lawyers, should we support that too, as parental lawyers will be disapointed if their children wanted to be farmers? Or for engineers? Where would you draw the line?

I’ve said multiple times I don’t think subsidies necessarily are a solution to what may/may not be the problem(s) here.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
December 04 2019 15:21 GMT
#38508
--- Nuked ---
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10830 Posts
December 04 2019 15:35 GMT
#38509
What baffles me is how vile the left is on YouTube to everyone that isn't Bernie.

Warren? Crook, bad, horrible
Buttigieg? Basically S A T A N...

Democracy is about compromise, in a country that just elected someone like Trump (and not long ago Bush...) you should be erratic that someone like Warren or even Buttigieg (which is a FAAAR third for me) could make it. Yet, the leftist purity crusaders are out in force.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18845 Posts
December 04 2019 15:39 GMT
#38510
I wouldn’t use YouTube as a basis for estimating general attitudes of “the left,” that place is ground zero for misinformation and half-truths. Yes, some holier than thou lefties are anti anyone who trends towards the center, but pinning down the number of folks accurately represented by YouTube comments is a fool’s game.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23557 Posts
December 04 2019 15:51 GMT
#38511
On December 05 2019 00:39 farvacola wrote:
I wouldn’t use YouTube as a basis for estimating general attitudes of “the left,” that place is ground zero for misinformation and half-truths. Yes, some holier than thou lefties are anti anyone who trends towards the center, but pinning down the number of folks accurately represented by YouTube comments is a fool’s game.


Could you expand on what you mean by that?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18845 Posts
December 04 2019 16:13 GMT
#38512
Simply that there are people who figure as the kernel of truth underlying the “Bernie Bro” meme.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Ben...
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada3485 Posts
December 04 2019 16:16 GMT
#38513
On December 05 2019 00:39 farvacola wrote:
I wouldn’t use YouTube as a basis for estimating general attitudes of “the left,” that place is ground zero for misinformation and half-truths. Yes, some holier than thou lefties are anti anyone who trends towards the center, but pinning down the number of folks accurately represented by YouTube comments is a fool’s game.

Indeed. Youtube's recommendation systems encourage those making videos to make the most controversial, outrageous, or otherwise eye-catching videos possible, and that naturally attracts people who fall for this stuff. Their system doesn't allow nuance if you want to be successful, which is how we end up with a bunch of grifters like Ben Shapiro shouting down people, and videos that conclude with the most unreasonable, ridiculous takes possible. It's not only not surprising to hear that there's a "Bernie or Bust" sentiment among those who are in some of Youtube's various politics bubbles, but entirely expected.

This is the bed Youtube has made itself. Good content from Youtube's perspective for a long time now has not been content that is informative or useful to users, but content that generates views and interactions that they can use to sell ads, so it's natural that their system has evolved to encourage these types of videos. It's not just an issue with political videos, but an issue overall on the platform.

And that's not even getting into the misinformation and propaganda efforts that happen on the platform, but that's a different can of worms.
"Cliiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiide" -Tastosis
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12379 Posts
December 04 2019 16:22 GMT
#38514
I'm on the Youtube left way too much and I don't really experience that when it comes to Warren. Buttigieg sure, but that makes sense doesn't it?

There is some level of pushback that I find logical when it comes to primaries. Bernie is the best candidate for the left, it's not that close. Warren is much better than others and I'm very sure that the overwhelming majority of the Youtube left will vote for her if Bernie isn't available as an option.
No will to live, no wish to die
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23557 Posts
December 04 2019 16:27 GMT
#38515
On December 05 2019 01:13 farvacola wrote:
Simply that there are people who figure as the kernel of truth underlying the “Bernie Bro” meme.


Presumably less than the PUMA types.

I was just trying to figure out if you were talking about people to Bernie's left or over enthusiastic Sanders supporters. Sounds like the latter? If that's the case yeah, but I agree with Neb.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2696 Posts
December 04 2019 16:43 GMT
#38516
On December 05 2019 00:35 Velr wrote:
What baffles me is how vile the left is on YouTube to everyone that isn't Bernie.

Warren? Crook, bad, horrible
Buttigieg? Basically S A T A N...

Democracy is about compromise, in a country that just elected someone like Trump (and not long ago Bush...) you should be erratic that someone like Warren or even Buttigieg (which is a FAAAR third for me) could make it. Yet, the leftist purity crusaders are out in force.


Are you sure it is "the left"?

Disinformation campaigns is a real thing and one of the "best" things you can do is exactly this. It's very hard to convince a voter to switch from (D) to (R) but it is pretty easy to make them not vote. And one of the best ways to do this is to segregate the candidates as much as possible into "mine" and "the others". That way when one of them invariably wins everyone else will feel that "their" candidate lost and be way less inclined to vote for them.

And a key way to do this is to promote this kind of thing on social media. You don't even have to post it you just have to find it somewhere deep down in the muck and then use your botnets to upvote/spread it.

Sow "us and them" in the primaries and reap the benefits in the general election.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23557 Posts
December 04 2019 18:26 GMT
#38517
Turley is something else. I appreciated him calling for Bush to be prosecuted for war crimes but he is just shredding any hope for impeachment even getting out of the house.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35165 Posts
December 04 2019 18:32 GMT
#38518
On December 05 2019 03:26 GreenHorizons wrote:
Turley is something else. I appreciated him calling for Bush to be prosecuted for war crimes but he is just shredding any hope for impeachment even getting out of the house.

That's his entire point of being there.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10830 Posts
December 04 2019 18:34 GMT
#38519
On December 05 2019 01:43 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 05 2019 00:35 Velr wrote:
What baffles me is how vile the left is on YouTube to everyone that isn't Bernie.

Warren? Crook, bad, horrible
Buttigieg? Basically S A T A N...

Democracy is about compromise, in a country that just elected someone like Trump (and not long ago Bush...) you should be erratic that someone like Warren or even Buttigieg (which is a FAAAR third for me) could make it. Yet, the leftist purity crusaders are out in force.


Are you sure it is "the left"?

Disinformation campaigns is a real thing and one of the "best" things you can do is exactly this. It's very hard to convince a voter to switch from (D) to (R) but it is pretty easy to make them not vote. And one of the best ways to do this is to segregate the candidates as much as possible into "mine" and "the others". That way when one of them invariably wins everyone else will feel that "their" candidate lost and be way less inclined to vote for them.

And a key way to do this is to promote this kind of thing on social media. You don't even have to post it you just have to find it somewhere deep down in the muck and then use your botnets to upvote/spread it.

Sow "us and them" in the primaries and reap the benefits in the general election.


I'm talking about some of the biggest leftist youtubers here. Not all of them are guilty to the same extent but "bernie or bust" is just barely avoided... The comment sections of these, uuugh.
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35165 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-04 18:37:06
December 04 2019 18:36 GMT
#38520
The comment section of basically any youtube video from a big enough channel is garbage. They give Twitch Chat a run for their money as far as worthless communities.
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