US Politics Mega-thread - Page 182
Forum Index > General Forum |
Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting! NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets. Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source. If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread | ||
Doodsmack
United States7224 Posts
| ||
Toadesstern
Germany16350 Posts
On May 10 2018 09:20 Liquid`Drone wrote: Firstly, my apologies if my understanding of the deal and surrounding events is lacking. I haven't really had time to read up on it and mostly joined the argument due to generic opposition towards the might makes right justification for foreign policy. (The way I see it, people's belief in or acceptance of this principle is the chief explanation for most worldly atrocities that happen, not just on a country to country basis but on an individual to individual basis too. I feel it is my moral obligation to inspire people to critically examine the way they relate to this issue.) It's very questionable whether the US has any moral high ground over Iran when examining their relationship with each other or their general support of terrorist groups in other countries or their tendency to destabilize other countries or their tendency to invade other countries. To me, it would seem Iran requiring the US to halt support of Saudi Arabia (specifically in light of the ongoing conflict in Yemen) before they are willing to denuclearize is a comparable request to the US requiring Iran to stop support of Hamas or Hezbollah before lifting / not implementing sanctions. The chief difference being that the US is more powerful thus more able to dictate the weaker countries -> thus the only reason I see for supporting the US claim without also supporting a similar Iranian claim (which the US would obviously never accept) would have to be the belief that the US is entitled to make claims from others that they would not be willing to agree to themselves because they are mightier. I can't agree with this. Then I would argue that current american actions work to limit future american power because you are in serious danger of extinguishing the remaining good will you have from your most historically important allies. So even from a completely amoral realpolitik-perspective, I don't see how american actions make any sense. In terms of Iran supporting Hezbollah or Hamas, I don't want to justify that. I also don't know nearly enough about intricacies of the generic middle east conflict to make a coherent and factual post on how Iran benefits. I assume from an Iranian perspective however, there is something to be gained from it - or they would stop. That said, I think hindering nuclear proliferation seems significantly more important than stopping Iranian support of Hezbollah or Hamas. Humanity has survived countless wars - and even genocides. Although nukes so far can certainly be credited with keeping the peace between major powers, they also represent an actual threat to the future of humanity. just on the "So even from a completely amoral realpolitik-perspective, I don't see how american actions make any sense." part... let's be real here. It's probably a combination of 3 things: a) Trump talked shit about the deal for years and he doesn't want to look like what he'd call weak. So he has to follow up on his words, no matter what those words are (this is applicable in a lot of scenarios, or at least it looks that way to me) b) Republicans care about making Isreal look good... (sry, I don't know how to phrase this without sounding stupid... "Republicans care about Isreal" would imply that Democrats don't whereas it's more about Democrats being willing to criticize them in some situations while it seems that's not an option for Republicans) c) Trump probably assumes that this will hurt others more than the US. Nations tend to trade with other closeby nations moreso than with nations on the other side of the globe aside for some exceptions like China etc. The US trades more with Canada and Mexico than Europe does. Germany on the other hand trades more with France than the US would for example. And Iran, due to it's geographical location is more likely to fall into the European/Asian economical influence. So he's probably thinking to himself that this will hurt European and Asian interests, which is a good thing for him. Not saying "it makes sense" but I can see why he does it | ||
![]()
Liquid`Drone
Norway28558 Posts
| ||
Toadesstern
Germany16350 Posts
| ||
Gahlo
United States35091 Posts
On May 10 2018 10:14 Doodsmack wrote: The war lovers need to be at the front queue of the draft, that's for sure. The problem is then we deal with the sunken cost fallacy in times and lives and they just dig even deeper into the war camp. An active military culture only breeds more of it. | ||
Plansix
United States60190 Posts
| ||
ticklishmusic
United States15977 Posts
On May 10 2018 10:51 Plansix wrote: Trumps view of foreign policy as binary. There are winners and losers, and any deal that doesn’t favor the US directly needs to end or be reworked. This transactional thinking works in business world. But the foreigner policy goals of modern nations is co-existence first, national gain second. Because putting national gain first is what leads to wars. Most business, especially for complex deals, is more about creating value and collaboration to some extent. However, Trump's version of business is transactional, and that's carried over to how he approaches domestic and foreign policy. You'll note that his business career was pretty mediocre. | ||
GreenHorizons
United States22707 Posts
On May 10 2018 01:10 GreenHorizons wrote: If the glad handing she was doing after the questions was any indication she's definitely getting in. All the CIA folks on MSNBC have been caping for her and she's got bipartisan support throughout the intelligence community. Democrats could stop this if they wanted, but if they were we'd already know. They aren't/we don't, so she's getting in. Democrats are going to give Donald Trump a known torturer to lead his CIA and they already gave him a CIA ran state department by a guy who thinks he's in a holy war. Democrats need to stop punching left and start putting more pressure on the right flank of their party. Avid torture advocate President Trump has locked in his first Democrat vote to put former torture supervisor Gina Haspel in charge of the CIA | ||
Mohdoo
United States15398 Posts
On May 10 2018 12:39 GreenHorizons wrote: Avid torture advocate President Trump has locked in his first Democrat vote to put former torture supervisor Gina Haspel in charge of the CIA https://twitter.com/thehill/status/994293434713161728 He's still technically a net positive compared to a republican holding his seat. But not by a lot. | ||
Plansix
United States60190 Posts
| ||
GreenHorizons
United States22707 Posts
On May 10 2018 13:27 Plansix wrote: McCain opposes her and a bunch of republicans are undecided. Manchin is a peice of shit, but West Virginia is not known for its quality Democratic challenges. I'm not sure by what measure Manchin is supposed to be better than Paula Swearengin? | ||
ImFromPortugal
Portugal1368 Posts
On May 10 2018 07:58 Mohdoo wrote: I think you are making silly comparisons. Germany conquering Europe is very different from our current situation. The war of dominance was won a long time ago. Political and military dynamics are super different now anyway. Major wars don't happen anymore because of mutually assured destruction. None of these comparisons make sense. WW3 will never happen. Influence and military dominance work differently now. The fact of the matter is: Hamas and Hezbollah have a 0% chance of ever accomplishing their major goals. Iran funds them because of bullshit religious reasons, not because they would gamble their rent money on an eventual victory. I'll phrase it this way: What long term benefits do you see resulting from Iran's support for Hezbollah and Hamas? Projection of force and control over vast regions of the middleast , Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen.. why should they give up on this power, that would be inviting it's enemies to attack. You guys have been threatening Iran for decades with death and destruction, you should just move on and accept that there are countries that won't tolerate bullies. | ||
Mohdoo
United States15398 Posts
On May 10 2018 14:00 GreenHorizons wrote: I'm not sure by what measure Manchin is supposed to be better than Paula Swearengin? Right and she lost terribly because West Virginia is... West Virginia. | ||
GreenHorizons
United States22707 Posts
On May 10 2018 15:08 Mohdoo wrote: Right and she lost terribly because West Virginia is... West Virginia. She lost but she got more votes than any of the Republicans (given their votes were more split) with the entire Democratic machine behind her opponent and starting with 0 name recognition. Worth noting Bernie Sanders beat Hillary in WV by more than 15%. The whole "It's West Virginia, so it's either someone who supports Trump most of the time or someone who suppoorts Trump all of the time" doesn't mean Manchin should be welcome in the party. If he actually cares about the things Dems want his vote on, changing the letter after his name wouldn't change his votes anyway. So let him run as the Republican-lite/Centrist he is and have the Democrat be a Democrat. But this whole "we need him" stuff just isn't an acceptable argument to me. I don't buy this "WV is WV so we have to settle for Manchin" argument in the slightest. If that was the case Bernie wouldn't have beat Hillary there. EDIT: Also let's not pretend Democrats think primaries are supposed to be real democratic exercises, they've made abundantly clear they are publicity stunts. | ||
Mohdoo
United States15398 Posts
On May 10 2018 15:16 GreenHorizons wrote: She lost but she got more votes than any of the Republicans (given their votes were more split) with the entire Democratic machine behind her opponent and starting with 0 name recognition. Worth noting Bernie Sanders beat Hillary in WV by more than 15%. The whole "It's West Virginia, so it's either someone who supports Trump most of the time or someone who suppoorts Trump all of the time" doesn't mean Manchin should be welcome in the party. If he actually cares about the things Dems want his vote on, changing the letter after his name wouldn't change his votes anyway. So let him run as the Republican-lite/Centrist he is and have the Democrat be a Democrat. But this whole "we need him" stuff just isn't an acceptable argument to me. I don't buy this "WV is WV so we have to settle for Manchin" argument in the slightest. If that was the case Bernie wouldn't have beat Hillary there. EDIT: Also let's not pretend Democrats think primaries are supposed to be real democratic exercises, they've made abundantly clear they are publicity stunts. I would say Clinton had more of a systematic advantage than Manchin. Having complete control of the party is a lot more intense than being heavily backed. I really think West Virginia just likes Manchin. Bernie winning West Virginia should have boded poorly for Manchin, right? | ||
GreenHorizons
United States22707 Posts
On May 10 2018 15:27 Mohdoo wrote: I would say Clinton had more of a systematic advantage than Manchin. Having complete control of the party is a lot more intense than being heavily backed. I really think West Virginia just likes Manchin. Bernie winning West Virginia should have boded poorly for Manchin, right? He's got high name recognition, but it's not like many of his votes make any sense by way of helping west Virginians. West Virginians weren't clamoring for him to back Ben Carson for HUD for example. He lost 30% of Democrats to someone who no one in the whole state heard of before she decided to run while still having the entire machine on his side and outspending her ~19:1. That's a terribly weak performance for an incumbent up against a no name challenger that got basically 0 coverage. So I mean whether he's more electable is questionable, but it seems that he's undeniably worse than his (D) opponent. | ||
![]()
Womwomwom
5930 Posts
On May 10 2018 15:27 Mohdoo wrote: I would say Clinton had more of a systematic advantage than Manchin. Having complete control of the party is a lot more intense than being heavily backed. I really think West Virginia just likes Manchin. Bernie winning West Virginia should have boded poorly for Manchin, right? West Virginia from everything I've read is no different from any mining town in Queensland or Western Australia. For them, then Labor PM Julia Gillard was the actual devil for even suggesting a resources tax. Mining jobs were extremely lucrative during the mining boom and no one wanted the gravy train to end. Its important people remember that Clinton was getting hit really, really hard for this exact quote: "we're going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business." Certainly misrepresented in its proper context but its one that both Bernie and Trump took advantage of as an example she was against working class Americans who work in primary and secondary industries. So while Bernie won the state by 15%, the state also saw 12.7% of people voting for alternative candidates. Not just that, around 33% of people who voted for Bernie would have voted for Trump if Bernie was the Democratic Party's Presidential nominee. There was a huge backlash against Clinton for not only her image during the campaign but also her role in the Obama Administration where they saw her as an extension of. Neither candidate was seen sufficiently pro-coal enough, that's shown in the number of Democratic Primary voters willing to vote for Trump. The only conclusion I have is that West Virginia just likes Manchin because he represents West Virginian values and their reactionary desire for coal to be king again. I dunno what he actually does for his state, like a lot of bad state representatives, but I doubt what candidate he votes for really rings in their mind. He could help vote in a war criminal and I suspect the general population would still be more concerned if their existing coal mining jobs were going to be maintained. | ||
Plansix
United States60190 Posts
| ||
GreenHorizons
United States22707 Posts
On May 10 2018 19:24 Womwomwom wrote: West Virginia from everything I've read is no different from any mining town in Queensland or Western Australia. For them, then Labor PM Julia Gillard was the actual devil for even suggesting a resources tax. Mining jobs were extremely lucrative during the mining boom and no one wanted the gravy train to end. Its important people remember that Clinton was getting hit really, really hard for this exact quote: "we're going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business." Certainly misrepresented in its proper context but its one that both Bernie and Trump took advantage of as an example she was against working class Americans who work in primary and secondary industries. So while Bernie won the state by 15%, the state also saw 12.7% of people voting for alternative candidates. Not just that, around 33% of people who voted for Bernie would have voted for Trump if Bernie was the Democratic Party's Presidential nominee. There was a huge backlash against Clinton for not only her image during the campaign but also her role in the Obama Administration where they saw her as an extension of - this is shown in both the Bernie and small candidate vote. West Virginia just likes Manchin for whatever reason. I dunno what he actually does for his state, like a lot of bad state representatives, but I doubt what candidate he votes for really rings in their mind. He could help vote in a war criminal and I suspect the general population would still be more concerned if their existing coal mining jobs were going to be maintained. So 30%+ of Bernie's primary voters would have voted Trump if Bernie was the nominee according to exit poll data. Interesting considering Republicans weren't allowed to vote in the Democratic primary. But presuming the argument is that WV does like Joe Manchin, then fine, let them vote for him as a Republican or Independent. I don't see the benefit of him being welcomed in the Democratic party as he proudly proclaims to support a war criminal for head of CIA? | ||
![]()
Womwomwom
5930 Posts
On May 10 2018 19:36 GreenHorizons wrote: So 30%+ of Hillary's primary voters would have voted Trump if Bernie was the nominee? But presuming the argument is that WV does like Joe Manchin, then fine, let them vote for him as a Republican or Independent. I don't see the benefit of him being welcomed in the Democratic party as he proudly proclaims to support a war criminal for head of CIA? 30% were voting for Trump regardless who the presidential candidate was. Over 30% of people voting for Sanders would back Trump even if Sanders was the Democratic nominee. Which is insane, why would you even vote in a Democratic Party presidential primary if you were just going to straight vote Trump but I guess neither candidate was sufficiently pro-coal and wanted that to be known. | ||
| ||