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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 713

Forum Index > General Forum
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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Sr18
Profile Joined April 2006
Netherlands1141 Posts
March 15 2017 21:08 GMT
#14241
The VVD, D66, CDA and CU coalition only has a 1 seat majority in the senate. That seems really risky to me.
If it ain't Dutch, it ain't Park Yeong Min - CJ fighting!
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6205 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-15 21:13:50
March 15 2017 21:13 GMT
#14242
On March 16 2017 06:08 Sr18 wrote:
The VVD, D66, CDA and CU coalition only has a 1 seat majority in the senate. That seems really risky to me.

The Senate is the eerste kamer. It has 75 seats. VVD 13, CDA 12, D66 10, CU 3. That's 38 seats (majority of 3). The bigger problem is the lower house (tweede kamer) where they're just on 75 seats now and even if they win the majority will likely only be 1 or a couple of seats.
https://www.eerstekamer.nl/fracties
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
March 15 2017 21:20 GMT
#14243
38 ou of 75 is not a majority of 3 in my book
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain17979 Posts
March 15 2017 21:21 GMT
#14244
On March 16 2017 06:08 Sr18 wrote:
The VVD, D66, CDA and CU coalition only has a 1 seat majority in the senate. That seems really risky to me.

Not just that, but D66 and CU only really see eye to eye on economic issues. They are probably the most socially progressive party in NL, and they may balk at governing with two Christian Democratic parties. Groen Links is a far more natural ally for them, but that might make CDA quite unhappy for the same reasons. Very difficult situation to form a coalition if the result is similar to the exit polls. Maybe a minority government would be the best option, with VVD,CDA and D66, and agreements with CU and GL for support of different parts of the program?
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
March 15 2017 21:21 GMT
#14245
It's pretty incredible how PvdA got obliterated and VVD is still the largest after ruling together as equals for 4 years.
Neosteel Enthusiast
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-15 21:25:09
March 15 2017 21:24 GMT
#14246
From a US citizen’s perspective, you folks have more acronyms than our armed services. It is impressive you can keep them all straight. Congrats on what appears to be a low key, drama free election.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
March 15 2017 21:25 GMT
#14247
That's European education for you my friend
passive quaranstream fan
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
March 15 2017 21:27 GMT
#14248
@Dutch people: so how many points and seats did the social-democrats lose?
Fildun
Profile Joined December 2012
Netherlands4122 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-15 21:32:47
March 15 2017 21:29 GMT
#14249
Well, we grow up with them so that makes it easier.
Is the gap between VVD and GL smaller than the gap between D66 and CDA/CU?

Also obligatory fuck Thierry Baudet

Edit: Dwf, they lost 29 out of their 38 seats. They're left with 9.
Sr18
Profile Joined April 2006
Netherlands1141 Posts
March 15 2017 21:31 GMT
#14250
According to the current exit polls: the PvdA goes from 38 to 9 seats.
If it ain't Dutch, it ain't Park Yeong Min - CJ fighting!
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6205 Posts
March 15 2017 21:37 GMT
#14251
On March 16 2017 06:20 mahrgell wrote:
38 ou of 75 is not a majority of 3 in my book

sorry I miscalculated lol. Divided 70 by 2 instead of 75.
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
March 15 2017 21:39 GMT
#14252
Idk if that is possible, but I think it would be appreciated if a mod could put a link to the respective election's poll into the announcement at the top of the page. We'll gonna have that a couple of times this year
https://lfverkiezingen.appspot.com/nos/widget/main.html
passive quaranstream fan
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11501 Posts
March 15 2017 21:41 GMT
#14253
On March 16 2017 06:24 Plansix wrote:
From a US citizen’s perspective, you folks have more acronyms than our armed services. It is impressive you can keep them all straight. Congrats on what appears to be a low key, drama free election.


That still remains to be seen. In european elections, drama often happens in the coalition forming phase.
Fildun
Profile Joined December 2012
Netherlands4122 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-15 21:42:14
March 15 2017 21:41 GMT
#14254
That page may be slightly misleading because the graphic at the top shows the exitpoll, but the graph + map at the bottom is what's actually been reported (which is 3 out of 388 municipalities).
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 15 2017 21:56 GMT
#14255
He's like a comic book villian...

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-15 22:01:15
March 15 2017 22:00 GMT
#14256
Certainly has the face of a James Bond villain.

As I say, populist sentiment ebbs and flows and 2017 doesn't seem quite as troublesome as 2016. Mostly just the fallout of 16.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
March 15 2017 22:02 GMT
#14257
Relieved to see that Wilders performed relatively badly. Now France hold pls and we can all relax for a while. 2016 was exciting enough.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain17979 Posts
March 15 2017 22:04 GMT
#14258
On March 16 2017 06:27 TheDwf wrote:
@Dutch people: so how many points and seats did the social-democrats lose?

Depends on how you count social democrats. If you count that as PvdA, they got decimated. They're down from 38 to 9 seats in Parliament, and it's their largest defeat ever. If you count social democrats as PvdA, GL and D66, then they "only" lost 10 seats: both GL and D66 are up significantly. And if you add DENK in there as well, then they're down 7. How on earth DENK gets 3 seats is beyond me, but that's what the exit polls predict.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21655 Posts
March 15 2017 22:06 GMT
#14259
On March 16 2017 07:00 LegalLord wrote:
Certainly has the face of a James Bond villain.

As I say, populist sentiment ebbs and flows and 2017 doesn't seem quite as troublesome as 2016. Mostly just the fallout of 16.

I think we can thank Trump for that. The world got a bit of a shock there in how bad things can turn out if you go full 'f*** the establishment'.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-15 22:13:07
March 15 2017 22:12 GMT
#14260
On March 16 2017 07:06 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 16 2017 07:00 LegalLord wrote:
Certainly has the face of a James Bond villain.

As I say, populist sentiment ebbs and flows and 2017 doesn't seem quite as troublesome as 2016. Mostly just the fallout of 16.

I think we can thank Trump for that. The world got a bit of a shock there in how bad things can turn out if you go full 'f*** the establishment'.

If the populist wave ends where it is right now, then we can probably just say that the Anglosphere made an oopsie and everyone else mostly weathered the storm relatively alright.

Realistically, though, this is just like 2014-2015. In the wake of troublesome circumstances the centrists still manage to pull off surprise victories and the populists disappoint. But then 2016 mk II comes and everything goes to shit again. The fundamental causes of populism have not left us and so it will manifest again.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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