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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 1027

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18234 Posts
January 09 2018 07:14 GMT
#20521
Just popping in to say that I just read this left-liberal article that said Big J doesn't know what he's talking about. But it is obviously fake news! I won't post the source because until the Bilderberg group pays me as much as they steal from the sheeple, I refuse to repeat their filthy slanderous nonsense. But trust me, it was nonsense, because I define "outstanding poster" as "someone who posts like Big J", so by definition, he knows what he's talking about! Therefore any article, written by neo capitalist scum, stating he doesn't know his ass from his elbow, is fake news!

Don't worry, Big J, I got your back. We'll show them liberal lefties what's what!
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
January 09 2018 09:16 GMT
#20522
On January 07 2018 08:17 Nyxisto wrote:
@xM(Z

if you think that you could shitpost in ancient Rome or China to your heart's content I have bad news for you. I didn't invent the concept of civil discourse and limitation on expression. I don't know if that makes me a discourse imperialist or not, but spaces are moderated for good reasons, because most people don't want their entire society to turn into the youtube comment section.

Given that we live in an age were over-saturation of news and media is a real problem, and a lot of people feel overwhelmed by the content they consume, the need for ways to filter out the nonsense from insight and fact from fiction is bigger than ever. For this, moderation needs to happen.

There is such a thing as truth or untruth. Not every expression of hierarchy is simply display of power or cenorship, as is the case with British racism in your example. Nobody is automatically validated because they are excluded from a civic platform, they can be marginalized for good reasons.

Today, trolls and extremists are deliberately using freedom of speech and permissive liberal platforms to spread their crap. If you want those platforms to continue to exist you need to draw a line. That's just self-preservation.
that is not really a reply to what i said but whatever, other people touched on my points.
going with what you wrote there: the /b part is imperialistic discourse; at this point i don't think you can help doing it/using it/making it.
what in it is bad:
- a lot of people feel overwhelmed by the content they consume = you defined the controlled and gave them 'legitimate' inferiority.
- the need for ways to filter out the nonsense from insight and fact from fiction is bigger than ever = you established the presence of confidence in those controlling(they know what to do: filter out) and the absence of confidence in those controlled(they're clueless: implied); also, you emphasized the proper subservience of the ruled in need of that certain benevolence and 'legitimate' superiority from the rulers.
- for this, moderation needs to happen = you asserted your rule(the need for you to rule) based on the above.

now, how a normal dude should do it:
- realize that the ones who know how to filter out the nonsense and the ones who don't know are both ... people; groups of people(i'd ask you here to try and point out some of the reasons for why does that happen but i'm pretty sure you'll just assert again and again that sheep exist and they need protecting so i won't do that).
- know that a healthy society would be able do defend itself from outside threats(by virtue of healthiness - the state of being vigorous and free from bodily or mental disease).
- figure out(try to) where, why, how the society is sick and cure it(try to).

what you though your discourse are doing is isolating/quarantining the sick chronicizing the disease, to justify the need for a medic.

so i'll ask again: why, do some people, believe in the stupid(a.k.a. fake news)?+ Show Spoiler +
and no, it's not because they're inferior or lack confidence; just fuck off with that men
.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18234 Posts
January 09 2018 09:36 GMT
#20523
On January 09 2018 18:16 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2018 08:17 Nyxisto wrote:
@xM(Z

if you think that you could shitpost in ancient Rome or China to your heart's content I have bad news for you. I didn't invent the concept of civil discourse and limitation on expression. I don't know if that makes me a discourse imperialist or not, but spaces are moderated for good reasons, because most people don't want their entire society to turn into the youtube comment section.

Given that we live in an age were over-saturation of news and media is a real problem, and a lot of people feel overwhelmed by the content they consume, the need for ways to filter out the nonsense from insight and fact from fiction is bigger than ever. For this, moderation needs to happen.

There is such a thing as truth or untruth. Not every expression of hierarchy is simply display of power or cenorship, as is the case with British racism in your example. Nobody is automatically validated because they are excluded from a civic platform, they can be marginalized for good reasons.

Today, trolls and extremists are deliberately using freedom of speech and permissive liberal platforms to spread their crap. If you want those platforms to continue to exist you need to draw a line. That's just self-preservation.
that is not really a reply to what i said but whatever, other people touched on my points.
going with what you wrote there: the /b part is imperialistic discourse; at this point i don't think you can help doing it/using it/making it.
what in it is bad:
- a lot of people feel overwhelmed by the content they consume = you defined the controlled and gave them 'legitimate' inferiority.
- the need for ways to filter out the nonsense from insight and fact from fiction is bigger than ever = you established the presence of confidence in those controlling(they know what to do: filter out) and the absence of confidence in those controlled(they're clueless: implied); also, you emphasized the proper subservience of the ruled in need of that certain benevolence and 'legitimate' superiority from the rulers.
- for this, moderation needs to happen = you asserted your rule(the need for you to rule) based on the above.

now, how a normal dude should do it:
- realize that the ones who know how to filter out the nonsense and the ones who don't know are both ... people; groups of people(i'd ask you here to try and point out some of the reasons for why does that happen but i'm pretty sure you'll just assert again and again that sheep exist and they need protecting so i won't do that).
- know that a healthy society would be able do defend itself from outside threats(by virtue of healthiness - the state of being vigorous and free from bodily or mental disease).
- figure out(try to) where, why, how the society is sick and cure it(try to).

what you though your discourse are doing is isolating/quarantining the sick chronicizing the disease, to justify the need for a medic.

so i'll ask again: why, do some people, believe in the stupid(a.k.a. fake news)?+ Show Spoiler +
and no, it's not because they're inferior or lack confidence; just fuck off with that men
.


Long term solution: improve education so people are better equipped to understand an argument, analyse the steps and identify faults. Interestingly, our education was probably better at that in the 19th century than it is today, but that was before mass education. I'm sure Eton still forces people to read Seneca. Given that in the 19th century most people couldn't read it wasn't really a problem that they couldn't analyze a bullshit text and point to where the argument falls apart.
A further problem is that gullible fools are just something we have to live with. It'd be best if we didn't, but just as our eyes evolved inside out and we have appendices and tonsils, society isn't perfect either, and it's just something we have to deal with..

That makes the short term solution of moderating the discussion something that will probably be permanent. Demagoguery has been around since as long as we have recorded history and it's naive to think we can stop it with education.

And to keep with your analogy of a sick organism: short term we need to keep the symptoms under control (painkillers for a human, moderation or even censoring for societal information flow). Long term we can try to solve the problem (e.g. surgery for a human, or improving our education system). But perhaps it simply cannot be cured and having contracted the nasty condition of fake news the best we can do is manage its symptoms while continuing to search for a cure.

How bout that for following you down the rabbit hole of a bizarre analogy? :D
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
January 09 2018 18:13 GMT
#20524
Difference in aptitude between individuals is real, some people are just downright unable to parse news and put it into proper context. Sorry, if you believe that everybody is equally capable to keep bullshit and reality apart you have to be living in a fairy-tale. It's just not true. There's a sizeable population of people in developed counties who literally cannot read.

I'm not saying that it is some individuals fault alone, that there is nothing to be done about it, that is is unchangeable or whatever, but in the current state some kind of laissez-faire "the masses know best" stuff is just mad.

Hierarchies serve a function in every society. A university is a better place than a bootcamp for learning for a reason. Journalists have editors for the same purpose and we don't let everybody vote with a strawpoll. There is no justification why this shouldn't apply to how we consume media.
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-09 20:08:27
January 09 2018 20:07 GMT
#20525
There is no decision system that can prevent what you are fearing. Whether you let your whole population vote on everything, or whether you democratically pick a sample to govern from those people is irrelevant. The chance to get -
what you consider - bullshit is the same.
Representative democracies make sense because governing is a job and noone has time to govern besides everything they do. That doesn't mean that the population shouldn't have a legal way to interfere with anything they believe their representatives are getting wrong.

Besides, you are acting on the premise that everyone is dumb and believes they are not. In reality I have met very few people that I believe are outright dumb. I fear the people that believe they have understood how others act and how they can be controlled to their own good much more.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
January 10 2018 01:22 GMT
#20526
On January 10 2018 05:07 Big J wrote:
There is no decision system that can prevent what you are fearing. Whether you let your whole population vote on everything, or whether you democratically pick a sample to govern from those people is irrelevant. The chance to get -
what you consider - bullshit is the same.


Institutions and procedures are irrelevant now? You can't be serious at all. Of course the form of organisation of a democracy alters the decisions that are produced in that democracy. The more distance there is between representatives and voters, the more moderation and personal judgement takes place, and the less influential is the public will. Many democracies are deliberately designed that way.


Besides, you are acting on the premise that everyone is dumb and believes they are not. In reality I have met very few people that I believe are outright dumb.


Of course I can and people even spend a lot of time studying this stuff.
In this specific case Bartels et al showed that voters do not vote rationally at all, even intelligent voters. People will frequently vote on an emotional basis, contradict themselves, or change their own beliefs rather than their party affiliation. And worse, they found that more involved voters often got the facts more wrong, because they exposed themselves to even more biased material than casual observers.

Voting and political decision making is highly irrational, even among intelligent individuals.
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
January 10 2018 08:05 GMT
#20527
A presidental election happens this weekend in Czech Republic. As the president is less impactful on the politics than the parliament, I won't go into so much detail, but maybe some brief introduction might be interesting for some.

The vote is two-round, (this weekend and then in 2 weeks) and a first-round win is unlikely. The favourite is the current president Milos Zeman, a 73-year ex-politician (former prime minister, but like 10-15 years ago) - rude, uncultured, frequently drunk and with failing health, but also very popular by the commoners for "telling it how it is" and protecting our nation from the assault by the non-existent hordes of muslim immigrants (who avoid our country like plague). Zeman recently found an unexpected ally in Andrej Babis, multi-billionaire, entrepreneur and head of ANO, the victor of parliamentary elections, whom he named prime minister despite Babis's lack of majority support in the parliament and an ongoing EU investigation into a funding fraud in one of his projects. Zeman is also known for his orientation to the east and enthusiasm for relations with Russia and China. He "does not conduct a campaign" for reelection, but his billboards are everywhere and he toured the county (as a president, on taxpayer money).

The challengers are a weird assortment of mostly non-politicains, as the general atmosphere is very negative towards political figures at the moment and a political-party-backed candidate would have little chances to gain majority. Those most likely to reach the second round include Jiri Drahos, former head of Academy of Sciences, Mirek Topolanek, a surprising late entrant and also a former prime minister (inactive in politics for a decade), Pavel Fischer, a former diplomat, Marek Hilser, a physician and self-proclaimed citizen activist and Michal Horacek, a songwriter and gambling entrepreneur.

The real question of these elections is the second round, where Zeman will go head to head against someone and we will see if supporters of other candidates can rally together against Zeman or not - because, to be fair, a lot of the other candidates are pretty similar in opinions or at least in that they offer "not being a total asshole" as the main thing that separates them from Zeman.
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
January 10 2018 12:03 GMT
#20528
So Babis is the head of a minority government, like in Spain?
Archeon
Profile Joined May 2011
3265 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-10 12:58:07
January 10 2018 12:56 GMT
#20529
On January 09 2018 07:54 Big J wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2018 06:58 Nyxisto wrote:
I don't really understand the argument. Debt isn't real because the telegraph is owned by a shadowy cabal of bankers?

You can have whatever opinion you want on public spending policy but that is a little bit out there


As has been pointed out, I didn't post the article, so it's not necessarily the telegraph.

Debt is as real as any contract. There are many ways people look at it. The correct one is that debt is a contract. It has a value when it is traded (as all things only have value at the moment of interaction, apart from that we can only speculate on the price they could potentially have). That value is usually a positive one, as you get money for giving away a debt contract. That's how money is created, by trading something against a promise. If you are out of things you want to trade but want money, you start trading debt contracts (i.e. you get the promise that is money itself, its value guaranteed for by the institutions emitting it, for the promise to give the other side money later on).

A popular but technically wrong conception of debt is to sum up the overall projected payments written in the contract and call that debt. And since it is a contract, you can always see it from both sides. When you take that already technically wrong notion and say "the world owes X", you may as well say "the world has a credit of X". Hurray, we are so rich and gonna get so much money!

Which is why I call it fake news. It is an agenda. There is as much global debt as there is global credit (=negative debt).

Could you explain to me why it's wrong? I get that it's technically imprecise, as sometimes payment gets delayed which increases interests and inflation acts as an often ignored counterweight, but the difference is mostly so minimal that it's a very good approximation.

I guess you mean that the definition of debt only takes the debt-contract from one side into account?
low gravity, yes-yes!
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
January 10 2018 13:41 GMT
#20530
On January 10 2018 21:03 TheDwf wrote:
So Babis is the head of a minority government, like in Spain?


That is a good question to which the answer is not known. The government represents only ANO, which does not have majority, but so far it has been only appointed by the president and it still has to be approved by the parliament. There we will see how much support the government actually has and whether a stable government-supporting fraction emerges in the parliament.
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2395 Posts
January 10 2018 13:43 GMT
#20531
I guess he's saying that the world has both debt and credit which cancel each other out.

I'd say that talking about global volumes of debt might be important it if we're trying to look at risk - the more leveraged economies are, the greater the potential systemic problems if at some point we find out that some asset-class is overvalued (ie. houses, dotcoms or tulips).
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
January 10 2018 13:43 GMT
#20532
On January 10 2018 22:41 opisska wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2018 21:03 TheDwf wrote:
So Babis is the head of a minority government, like in Spain?


That is a good question to which the answer is not known. The government represents only ANO, which does not have majority, but so far it has been only appointed by the president and it still has to be approved by the parliament. There we will see how much support the government actually has and whether a stable government-supporting fraction emerges in the parliament.

Ah OK, the "majority vote" didn't happen yet. Do you think it will pass?
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
January 10 2018 14:02 GMT
#20533
On January 10 2018 22:43 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2018 22:41 opisska wrote:
On January 10 2018 21:03 TheDwf wrote:
So Babis is the head of a minority government, like in Spain?


That is a good question to which the answer is not known. The government represents only ANO, which does not have majority, but so far it has been only appointed by the president and it still has to be approved by the parliament. There we will see how much support the government actually has and whether a stable government-supporting fraction emerges in the parliament.

Ah OK, the "majority vote" didn't happen yet. Do you think it will pass?


I honestly don't know. The Communists seemed to be willing to support it but Babis was not willing to show publicly dealing with them, they are still stigmatized. Okamura's party may also provide support, but there was friction as well.

We already had a government not pass and then rule for half a year "in demission", also the president may nominate the same government for the second time and the third attempt belongs to the head of parliament, who is from ANO....
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 10 2018 14:50 GMT
#20534
Carles Puigdemont aims to return to office as president of Catalonia — despite the fact it's unlikely he'll actually return there in person. He's currently living in Belgium, facing immediate arrest if he goes back home.

The leading separatist parties in Spain's northeast region announced Wednesday they plan to support Puigdemont's re-election. If carried through, the move would reinstall a leader who was ousted from power, along with the rest of the region's leaders, by Spain's central government for unilaterally declaring the region's independence last fall.

The parties' announcement Wednesday raises the specter of a renewed push for independence — and also raises difficult questions about how, exactly, Puigdemont might go about governing. After getting sacked by Madrid, the former regional president fled to Brussels with several other Catalan ministers to escape charges of rebellion. Those leaders remain out of the country, and Puigdemont has said if he's re-elected, he would discharge his duties remotely, via a video linkup such as Skype.

"It is not possible to return to Catalonia," the ousted leader acknowledged Tuesday, according to Politico. Spain has jailed other pro-separatist leaders involved in the independence push.

"He would be arrested if he sets foot back in Spain," Lauren Frayer notes for NPR's Newscast unit. "So he proposes ruling from afar, by video conference — possibly with a stand-in reading his speeches in parliament."

Representatives for the Catalan parties cast the decision as the will of the people voiced in last month's snap election. That vote, which had been called by Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy after Catalan leaders were dismissed in October, handed pro-independence lawmakers a slim majority of parliamentary seats in the regional government.

"The Dec. 21 result gave us the mandate to reflect the majority," Jordi Xucla, a representative for Puigdemont's Together for Catalonia party, told Spanish national radio Wednesday, according to Reuters. "The presidential candidate will evidently be Puigdemont."

Opposition parties — not to mention the Spanish courts — are likely to contest the legality of the deal, which would become official next week when the new regional parliament convenes.

"It's evident that for governing Catalonia you have to be in Catalonia, you can't do that via WhatsApp or as a hologram," said Ines Arrimadas, the leader of the anti-independence Ciutadans party, as reported by The Associated Press. "A person who is fleeing justice can't be the president."

Nevertheless, Puigdemont and his allies plan to push forward, as Puigdemont made clear in an op-ed published in Politico on Wednesday:

"Madrid must be made to understand that what is needed is dialogue, negotiation and agreement on the future relationship we Catalans want to have with Spain — one based on respect, recognition, cooperation and equality."


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18234 Posts
January 10 2018 18:17 GMT
#20535
On January 10 2018 23:50 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
Carles Puigdemont aims to return to office as president of Catalonia — despite the fact it's unlikely he'll actually return there in person. He's currently living in Belgium, facing immediate arrest if he goes back home.

The leading separatist parties in Spain's northeast region announced Wednesday they plan to support Puigdemont's re-election. If carried through, the move would reinstall a leader who was ousted from power, along with the rest of the region's leaders, by Spain's central government for unilaterally declaring the region's independence last fall.

The parties' announcement Wednesday raises the specter of a renewed push for independence — and also raises difficult questions about how, exactly, Puigdemont might go about governing. After getting sacked by Madrid, the former regional president fled to Brussels with several other Catalan ministers to escape charges of rebellion. Those leaders remain out of the country, and Puigdemont has said if he's re-elected, he would discharge his duties remotely, via a video linkup such as Skype.

"It is not possible to return to Catalonia," the ousted leader acknowledged Tuesday, according to Politico. Spain has jailed other pro-separatist leaders involved in the independence push.

"He would be arrested if he sets foot back in Spain," Lauren Frayer notes for NPR's Newscast unit. "So he proposes ruling from afar, by video conference — possibly with a stand-in reading his speeches in parliament."

Representatives for the Catalan parties cast the decision as the will of the people voiced in last month's snap election. That vote, which had been called by Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy after Catalan leaders were dismissed in October, handed pro-independence lawmakers a slim majority of parliamentary seats in the regional government.

"The Dec. 21 result gave us the mandate to reflect the majority," Jordi Xucla, a representative for Puigdemont's Together for Catalonia party, told Spanish national radio Wednesday, according to Reuters. "The presidential candidate will evidently be Puigdemont."

Opposition parties — not to mention the Spanish courts — are likely to contest the legality of the deal, which would become official next week when the new regional parliament convenes.

"It's evident that for governing Catalonia you have to be in Catalonia, you can't do that via WhatsApp or as a hologram," said Ines Arrimadas, the leader of the anti-independence Ciutadans party, as reported by The Associated Press. "A person who is fleeing justice can't be the president."

Nevertheless, Puigdemont and his allies plan to push forward, as Puigdemont made clear in an op-ed published in Politico on Wednesday:

"Madrid must be made to understand that what is needed is dialogue, negotiation and agreement on the future relationship we Catalans want to have with Spain — one based on respect, recognition, cooperation and equality."


Source


I love it. I'm going to use tha analogy of a schoolyard, because that's essentially the level of politics here.

It's like one kid punching the other in the face saying "talk to me". Instead he gets punched back... and they are both indignant that the other side keeps throwing punches instead of choosing a "rational" approach.


Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-11 09:18:17
January 11 2018 09:15 GMT
#20536
Step One after two far-right parties win an election based on anti-migration agenda: Higher quotas for non-EU migration.

"Democracy"

article in German:
https://diepresse.com/home/innenpolitik/5351546/Regierung-erhoeht-Zuwandererquote
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2395 Posts
January 11 2018 10:30 GMT
#20537
On January 11 2018 18:15 Big J wrote:
Step One after two far-right parties win an election based on anti-migration agenda: Higher quotas for non-EU migration.

"Democracy"

article in German:
https://diepresse.com/home/innenpolitik/5351546/Regierung-erhoeht-Zuwandererquote

6120 places for 2018, a staggering 5.5% increase from last year. Anyway, what leads a far right party to make such a reckless move?
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
January 11 2018 10:39 GMT
#20538
It's just a useful reminder that you vote for people, not their proclamations. Pre-election promises aren't binding. If enough people enter a party they can turn its program 180 degrees and it is still completely democratic.
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
January 11 2018 12:08 GMT
#20539
On January 11 2018 18:15 Big J wrote:
Step One after two far-right parties win an election based on anti-migration agenda: Higher quotas for non-EU migration.

"Democracy"

article in German:
https://diepresse.com/home/innenpolitik/5351546/Regierung-erhoeht-Zuwandererquote

What had they promised? No immigration at all from non-EU countries?
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
January 11 2018 13:21 GMT
#20540
On January 11 2018 21:08 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2018 18:15 Big J wrote:
Step One after two far-right parties win an election based on anti-migration agenda: Higher quotas for non-EU migration.

"Democracy"

article in German:
https://diepresse.com/home/innenpolitik/5351546/Regierung-erhoeht-Zuwandererquote

What had they promised? No immigration at all from non-EU countries?


"Remigration". Zero migration plus remigration of anyone who migrated illegally.

It may not be much of an increase. It's still the total opposite of what they promised.

Just like the 12-14 billion euros per year they (both parties) wanted to save have become 2.5 billion over the next years and 4% (FPÖ)/10% (ÖVP) of the voting base being able to initiate a referendum have become ~14% on not-CETA, not-ÖXIT, not-budget and only from 2022. Also, expectetly "no Hartz 4" in Austria has survived the elections by only a few months.

My most favorite comment so far must be interior minister Kickl's: "Our security system is doing great work, our job is to close the gap between the reality and how people feel."
Well... Who was the propaganda man in charge of FPÖ for the past 15 years telling everyone that we are all about to die any second now?
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