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KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44190 Posts
May 03 2019 19:42 GMT
#10401
Local elections are treated as a protest vote in the UK. A way of showing discontent on political issues without deserting the party. A Lib Dem surge in local elections can only be read one way.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9929 Posts
May 03 2019 20:10 GMT
#10402
On May 04 2019 04:42 KwarK wrote:
A Lib Dem surge in local elections can only be read one way.


Then why do I get the feeling that May will read it as "MPs should vote for my deal"?
RIP Meatloaf <3
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22463 Posts
May 03 2019 20:12 GMT
#10403
On May 04 2019 05:10 Jockmcplop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 04:42 KwarK wrote:
A Lib Dem surge in local elections can only be read one way.


Then why do I get the feeling that May will read it as "MPs should vote for my deal"?
Because its her only path forward without cancelling which she seems adamant not to want to do?

It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
May 03 2019 20:38 GMT
#10404
How can any English or NE politician still blame May for anything after she survived every attempt at her post? This parliament is such a joke and it's been told oh so many times that it stopped being funny idk how many months ago.

I still have hope for my Scottish friend, who are remainers and their school age daughter, that she will grow up to enjoy the freedom of movement and study abroad without much hassle or costs.
passive quaranstream fan
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4428 Posts
May 15 2019 10:32 GMT
#10405
Well the Tories have just slipped to 5th in the EU election yougov poll and are neck and neck with Brexit party in general election polling.Go back to this David Cameron speech from 2015 and it becomes clear why voters are abandoning them.The clip is only 90 seconds long.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
May 15 2019 10:39 GMT
#10406
Would you mind stating what you think it is that drives people off the tories?
I could imagine it by the video but as we've got rather different political standpoints on various occasions, it would amount to a lot of guesswork but nothing really substantiated.
passive quaranstream fan
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27206 Posts
May 15 2019 10:57 GMT
#10407
On May 15 2019 19:39 Artisreal wrote:
Would you mind stating what you think it is that drives people off the tories?
I could imagine it by the video but as we've got rather different political standpoints on various occasions, it would amount to a lot of guesswork but nothing really substantiated.

Almost everything at this point.

Generally any party in power for such a sustained period eventually will gradually lose support anyway the longer they’re incumbents, especially in a borderline 2 party system like ours. It happened to Labour in the Blair/Brown era, it happens regularly in the US legislatures that the populace eventually gets fatigue over the ones in power and wants to give the other guys a shot.

They have a lot of unpopular policies anyway, especially austerity related ones, ones that would be way more vociferously opposed if Brexit wasn’t hanging about and dominating a lot of discussion.

They’re losing support on basically all aspects of Brexit. They haven’t negotiated well so they lose on competence, the party is fighting itself and factionalism makes them lose on competence again. Cameron initiated the whole process and lead to Brexit, so pro-EU Tory voters aren’t exactly happy there, and pro-Brexit Tory voters aren’t exactly happy that they don’t have Brexit yet so they’ll look elsewhere as well.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9929 Posts
May 15 2019 16:09 GMT
#10408
Here's another example of the shocking, horrifying incompetence of our government.
They forgot to apply for money from the EU to help our poorest,most vulnerable citizens so they have to go without the help they are entitled to.
The home office is becoming a ridiculous joke at this point.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2019/may/15/home-office-misses-deadline-access-eu-poverty-relief-funds-sajid-javid

A catalogue of errors by the Home Office has led to a loss of access to £600,000 of EU funds earmarked for the most deprived people in Britain and has put a further £2.9m at risk, it can be revealed.

The government had tried to claim the money for Theresa May’s flagship policy of helping the victims of modern slavery, but Sajid Javid’s department missed the deadline to recoup the ringfenced money.

Under the watch of the home secretary, who has ambitions to replace May in Downing Street, the UK has been left as the only EU member state to fail to deliver aid to its citizens through the programme, and it is still yet to make an application for the remainder of the £3.5m that was available.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22463 Posts
May 15 2019 17:09 GMT
#10409
On May 16 2019 01:09 Jockmcplop wrote:
Here's another example of the shocking, horrifying incompetence of our government.
They forgot to apply for money from the EU to help our poorest,most vulnerable citizens so they have to go without the help they are entitled to.
The home office is becoming a ridiculous joke at this point.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2019/may/15/home-office-misses-deadline-access-eu-poverty-relief-funds-sajid-javid

Show nested quote +
A catalogue of errors by the Home Office has led to a loss of access to £600,000 of EU funds earmarked for the most deprived people in Britain and has put a further £2.9m at risk, it can be revealed.

The government had tried to claim the money for Theresa May’s flagship policy of helping the victims of modern slavery, but Sajid Javid’s department missed the deadline to recoup the ringfenced money.

Under the watch of the home secretary, who has ambitions to replace May in Downing Street, the UK has been left as the only EU member state to fail to deliver aid to its citizens through the programme, and it is still yet to make an application for the remainder of the £3.5m that was available.
Why would they need to apply for EU funds?
They were leaving after all
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Razyda
Profile Joined March 2013
1046 Posts
May 17 2019 11:35 GMT
#10410
Another bit of Guardian:
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2019/may/17/brexit-latest-news-developments-express-regret-but-not-surprise-as-cross-party-talks-reportedly-set-to-be-wound-up-live-news


May blames Labour split over second referendum for breakdown of cross-party Brexit talks
Theresa May is speaking at a Conservative European elections campaign event in Bristol now.

She says only the Conservatives can deliver Brexit. (we have over two years of proof)

She takes one question.

Q: Corbyn blames the state of the government for the collapse of the talks. Do you accept that?

May says the talks have been constructive, and the two sides have made progress.

But she says there is a fundamental division in !!!Labour!!! between those who want to deliver Brexit and those who do not. (Good thing we have fully united and acting unisono tories...)

In all Brexit situation most annoying comment i keep hearing (irrelevant if you voted stay, or leave):
"We have to deliver on result of referendum, or people will loose trust in politicians"
What else people will loose? teleporting devices? ability to shoot fireballs from their fingers? third hand?
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8270 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-17 12:35:37
May 17 2019 12:33 GMT
#10411
It also ignores the fact that the referendum was done by a completely different (and uninformed) population. Everyone against a new referendum knows exactly why: There is pretty much no chance of it landing on Leave again. Going through with Brexit does not represent what the majority of the population wants right now, but rather what a different population thought they wanted 3 years ago.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27206 Posts
May 17 2019 13:04 GMT
#10412
On May 17 2019 21:33 Excludos wrote:
It also ignores the fact that the referendum was done by a completely different (and uninformed) population. Everyone against a new referendum knows exactly why: There is pretty much no chance of it landing on Leave again. Going through with Brexit does not represent what the majority of the population wants right now, but rather what a different population thought they wanted 3 years ago.

But my democracy or something. The difference between the Irish being just made vote again on the Lisbon Treaty which I really didn’t like vs a second referendum is precisely what you described, a change in information and understanding of the actual issue itself.

We all know why people don’t want a second vote, but people want to apply a binding standard to an old decision made at a different in a way that nobody does to anything else.

I mean a girl might make the mistake of agreeing to date me, I don’t get to bind her to that decision 3 years later when she understandably wants to break up with me.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-20 20:16:57
May 20 2019 20:14 GMT
#10413
There seems to be a seismic shift in the political landscape occurring with the rise of the Brexit Party, just look at the polling on https://twitter.com/britainelects , a party that didnt exist a few months ago is going to easily win the European Elections and isn't far off from beating everyone in westminster polling.

The Brexit Party seems to be able to unite the traditionally Labour Working Class with the conservative vote, this could be a general election winning force if the conservatives truly implode.





https://www.flavible.com/politics/map/polls?sid=2005

a few more percentage points and that seat number is going to exponentially increase with the FPTP system.
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
May 20 2019 20:20 GMT
#10414
I can't imagine a newly formed party polling 20+ percent.
then I remember that we have the Afd...
passive quaranstream fan
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-21 01:51:08
May 21 2019 01:50 GMT
#10415
On May 21 2019 05:14 Zaros wrote:
There seems to be a seismic shift in the political landscape occurring with the rise of the Brexit Party, just look at the polling on https://twitter.com/britainelects , a party that didnt exist a few months ago is going to easily win the European Elections and isn't far off from beating everyone in westminster polling.

The Brexit Party seems to be able to unite the traditionally Labour Working Class with the conservative vote, this could be a general election winning force if the conservatives truly implode.

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1129828139721478147

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1129828984844427264

https://www.flavible.com/politics/map/polls?sid=2005

a few more percentage points and that seat number is going to exponentially increase with the FPTP system.


The problem is that Nigel Farage i.e. leader of the Brexit Party has tried this shit seven times and still failed every time. Every time he looks unstoppable, and then people don't vote for him or his pals when the REAL votes happen.

Conversely, he always does well on EU stuff.

This could be the time. There's change in the air. But it doesn't seem likely that he topples the Tories. And woe betide us if he does. The Tories are bad, but the Brexit Party will be the end of politics as we know it. It's 100% an American import, using modern Trump style rhetoric and campaigning practices.

I hope people see through him when it matters like they always have. I don't think Farage's regular public tantrums go over well with the majority of the public.

Side note for 'dickhead of minor note' watch, I think Sargon of Akkad is running for a seat in UKIP.
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4428 Posts
May 21 2019 04:46 GMT
#10416
On May 21 2019 05:20 Artisreal wrote:
I can't imagine a newly formed party polling 20+ percent.
then I remember that we have the Afd...

You must have poor memory.
Macrons party was new.
Don’t care what people think of Farage but throwing milkshakes at him and other politicians you disagree with isn’t on.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
May 21 2019 05:48 GMT
#10417
Fair point. Albeit la Republic en marche Actually having à programme and politicians is something the aforementioned don't, being single issue parties.
Some of these politicians being terrible is something they have in common though.
passive quaranstream fan
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-21 06:37:17
May 21 2019 06:33 GMT
#10418
On May 21 2019 10:50 iamthedave wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 21 2019 05:14 Zaros wrote:
There seems to be a seismic shift in the political landscape occurring with the rise of the Brexit Party, just look at the polling on https://twitter.com/britainelects , a party that didnt exist a few months ago is going to easily win the European Elections and isn't far off from beating everyone in westminster polling.

The Brexit Party seems to be able to unite the traditionally Labour Working Class with the conservative vote, this could be a general election winning force if the conservatives truly implode.

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1129828139721478147

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1129828984844427264

https://www.flavible.com/politics/map/polls?sid=2005

a few more percentage points and that seat number is going to exponentially increase with the FPTP system.


The problem is that Nigel Farage i.e. leader of the Brexit Party has tried this shit seven times and still failed every time. Every time he looks unstoppable, and then people don't vote for him or his pals when the REAL votes happen.

Conversely, he always does well on EU stuff.

This could be the time. There's change in the air. But it doesn't seem likely that he topples the Tories. And woe betide us if he does. The Tories are bad, but the Brexit Party will be the end of politics as we know it. It's 100% an American import, using modern Trump style rhetoric and campaigning practices.

I hope people see through him when it matters like they always have. I don't think Farage's regular public tantrums go over well with the majority of the public.

Side note for 'dickhead of minor note' watch, I think Sargon of Akkad is running for a seat in UKIP.


I think a lot of the sucess post European election will depend if Farage is willing to share the limelight more with other members of the Brexit party, I assume they are going to at least need spokespeople for various governmental departments. If the Brexit Party is just Farage then it probably has hit its ceiling but if there is more then I think it does have a lot of potential.
schaf
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany1326 Posts
May 21 2019 09:01 GMT
#10419
On May 21 2019 10:50 iamthedave wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 21 2019 05:14 Zaros wrote:
There seems to be a seismic shift in the political landscape occurring with the rise of the Brexit Party, just look at the polling on https://twitter.com/britainelects , a party that didnt exist a few months ago is going to easily win the European Elections and isn't far off from beating everyone in westminster polling.

The Brexit Party seems to be able to unite the traditionally Labour Working Class with the conservative vote, this could be a general election winning force if the conservatives truly implode.

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1129828139721478147

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1129828984844427264

https://www.flavible.com/politics/map/polls?sid=2005

a few more percentage points and that seat number is going to exponentially increase with the FPTP system.


The problem is that Nigel Farage i.e. leader of the Brexit Party has tried this shit seven times and still failed every time. Every time he looks unstoppable, and then people don't vote for him or his pals when the REAL votes happen.

Conversely, he always does well on EU stuff.

This could be the time. There's change in the air. But it doesn't seem likely that he topples the Tories. And woe betide us if he does. The Tories are bad, but the Brexit Party will be the end of politics as we know it. It's 100% an American import, using modern Trump style rhetoric and campaigning practices.

I hope people see through him when it matters like they always have. I don't think Farage's regular public tantrums go over well with the majority of the public.

Side note for 'dickhead of minor note' watch, I think Sargon of Akkad is running for a seat in UKIP.


He is and he already started great with edgy rape jokes about a politician!

https://news.sky.com/story/carl-benjamin-ukip-candidate-investigated-over-rape-comment-11713643
Axiom wins more than it loses. Most viewers don't. - <3 TB
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27206 Posts
May 21 2019 12:43 GMT
#10420
On May 21 2019 14:48 Artisreal wrote:
Fair point. Albeit la Republic en marche Actually having à programme and politicians is something the aforementioned don't, being single issue parties.
Some of these politicians being terrible is something they have in common though.

Yes, strip away the single issue and the party usually ends up indistinguishable from the Tories, or less palatable to some people.

It’s just a weird time and Brexit is a bombshell that’s exploded on the Tories too. There’s a lot in flux anyway but surely the Tories can’t be this incompetent in perpetuity? A reversion to some kind of mean there will claw back at least some support.

I wonder if pro-EU folks will end up regretting the lack of a single issue EU kind of party, or at least some kind of coordinated campaign across the pro-EU parties in these Euro elections. Some kind of equivalent organic popular movement seems sorely lacking
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
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