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Hey guys! We'll be closing this thread shortly, but we will make an American politics megathread where we can continue the discussions in here. The new thread can be found here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=383301 | ||
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m4inbrain
1505 Posts
On November 07 2012 14:54 JinDesu wrote: http://www.baqi.tv/2011/10/watch-fox-news-live/ Fox news is the stream I have. Romney should be coming up soon. Thank you.  | ||
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farvacola
United States18866 Posts
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Hrrrrm
United States2081 Posts
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Graviton
Australia146 Posts
On November 07 2012 14:51 igotmyown wrote: I'd say Reagan was more conservative than all of them. George W Bush tried to seem moderate (compassionate conservativism) in 2000, McCain's the maverick, romney's just vanilla. Reagan started trickle down economics, slashing welfare, huge defense budgets. Yeah, I didn't articulate that well at all, Reagan just appealed to a wider voter base and was far more willing to compromise on a variety of issues. He also passed Therapeutic Abortion bill and increased taxes after his large first year cuts, so I'd say he wasn't necessarily more conservative. | ||
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Hammer442
Australia749 Posts
On November 07 2012 14:54 Lyter wrote: Is there a link for the concession speech? Link | ||
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hypercube
Hungary2735 Posts
On November 07 2012 14:38 Signet wrote: What you want to do is compare the number of states he actually got correct to the total amount of confidence he had in his predictions. ie, if Silver gave 4 states a 75% chance of being correct, but he was actually right on all 4, he's underestimating his model's accuracy by saying just 75%. Ideally, over the long run, the total states he gets correct should equal the total sum of his probabilities. Other statisticians like Sam Wang or Drew Linzer, whose predictions are also doing very well tonight, expressed higher confidence in their picks. In fact one of those two has criticized Silver for underselling his own model with low confidences. I don't really know what the correct approach is. One the one hand you want to reward the model for creating high confidence predictions (i.e getting the most out of the data). OTOH, a model that gets exactly 3/4 right for the 75% predictions is in a sense better than a model that claims 80% confidence for the same events but nails all of them. The second one seems to be more effective but the first one understands its own power better. | ||
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JinDesu
United States3990 Posts
On November 07 2012 14:55 Probe1 wrote: That's like saying I'm really good lategame but getting supply blocked for the first ten minutes lol. But it's not that Huntsman was blocking his own supply - it's the Republican nomination process. | ||
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jpak
United States5045 Posts
On November 07 2012 14:55 Voltaire wrote: Oregon didn't legalize weed  I'm sad to say that Washington is now a superior state. Federal law still says marijuana is illegal, so don't cheer so much yet. | ||
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JinDesu
United States3990 Posts
Wewt. Waiting for Obama's speech. | ||
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tuho12345
4482 Posts
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jpak
United States5045 Posts
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ticklishmusic
United States15977 Posts
On November 07 2012 14:56 jpak wrote: LOL saying that choosing Ryan was the best decision he ever made besides his wife. inb4 gay joke | ||
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mufin
United States616 Posts
DAE think Romney's gay? | ||
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ticklishmusic
United States15977 Posts
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TheTenthDoc
United States9561 Posts
On November 07 2012 14:56 jpak wrote: LOL saying that choosing Ryan was the best decision he ever made besides his wife. Yeah, it's great when your running-mate makes stops at soup kitches without asking and loses his home state.  | ||
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tshi
United States2495 Posts
On November 07 2012 14:56 jpak wrote: LOL saying that choosing Ryan was the best decision he ever made besides his wife. # TRIPPY . I M O | ||
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MountainDewJunkie
United States10346 Posts
Okay, not throwing VP under the bus... Big pain-filled smile... Nothing juicy yet. I'm impressed. A lot of thank yous. | ||
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Probe1
United States17920 Posts
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StarStruck
25339 Posts
 Well he did have a few sentences for Obama. | ||
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Risen
United States7927 Posts
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