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Please guys, stay on topic.
This thread is about the situation in Iraq and Syria. |
^ So far ISIS hasn't made much gains with that large offensive. They did take over 3 Kurdish bases in Qara Tappa (note: Qara Tappa itself is not captured) and a couple abandoned villages though. They did this by their typical tactic as disguising as Kurdish fighters or Iraqi soldiers.
The peshmerga are fighting them in Sinjar at large. If need be, they have the assistance of Coalition and Iraqi aircraft.
This big attack is a desperation move from ISIS. Kobani not working? Can't beat the Iraqi? Better move all our guys in Mosul and eastern Syria to the far north of Iraq now.
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so who pays for the weapons given to the kurds? 'cause there's no way they are getting freebees. what's the money angle here?, what does the Coalition expects to get in return?. (for kurds, to be able to pay anything (be it in favors/land/resources) they would need to own land and have some form of self-determination/authority/control over it)). who will be giving them that land and where?
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On October 21 2014 14:22 xM(Z wrote: so who pays for the weapons given to the kurds? 'cause there's no way they are getting freebees. what's the money angle here?, what does the Coalition expects to get in return?. (for kurds, to be able to pay anything (be it in favors/land/resources) they would need to own land and have some form of self-determination/authority/control over it)). who will be giving them that land and where? Maybe they made a deal to ultimately leave Kirkuk if USA/Iraq gives them arms
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Zurich15313 Posts
As far as I know none of the arms deliveries to the Kurds were being payed for. At least the German shipments are "freebees", I would assume the French' as well.
In "return" the coalition gets bodies on the ground where they are unwilling to deploy their own.
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On October 21 2014 15:56 zatic wrote: As far as I know none of the arms deliveries to the Kurds were being payed for. At least the German shipments are "freebees", I would assume the French' as well.
In "return" the coalition gets bodies on the ground where they are unwilling to deploy their own. that doesn't make sense. who gains what then?. are you saying this is just a +1 for democracy?. that's laughable.
@JudicatorHammurabi: well, the more i excite my neuron on this issue the more i see it as a move against Turkey just because it became to strong (military and otherwise). i'm not thinking of an Yugoslavia kind of thing here, but someone is teaching turks a lesson imo. they are being brought back in line.
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On October 21 2014 14:22 xM(Z wrote: so who pays for the weapons given to the kurds? 'cause there's no way they are getting freebees. what's the money angle here?, what does the Coalition expects to get in return?. (for kurds, to be able to pay anything (be it in favors/land/resources) they would need to own land and have some form of self-determination/authority/control over it)). who will be giving them that land and where?
Kurds will pay with their lives in future for holy purposes of USA. They have nothing to offer but their lives.
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Zurich15313 Posts
On October 21 2014 16:53 xM(Z wrote:Show nested quote +On October 21 2014 15:56 zatic wrote: As far as I know none of the arms deliveries to the Kurds were being payed for. At least the German shipments are "freebees", I would assume the French' as well.
In "return" the coalition gets bodies on the ground where they are unwilling to deploy their own. that doesn't make sense. who gains what then?. are you saying this is just a +1 for democracy?. that's laughable. Why doesn't it make sense? The Western countries are unwilling to deploy their own to this mess so they are arming local allies. It's one of the oldest plays in the book.
Whether it's a "+1 for democracy" is a different question. But at least I don't find the willingness to fight ISIS just because they are evil motherfuckers so out of this world.
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On October 21 2014 17:05 Laserist wrote:Show nested quote +On October 21 2014 14:22 xM(Z wrote: so who pays for the weapons given to the kurds? 'cause there's no way they are getting freebees. what's the money angle here?, what does the Coalition expects to get in return?. (for kurds, to be able to pay anything (be it in favors/land/resources) they would need to own land and have some form of self-determination/authority/control over it)). who will be giving them that land and where? Kurds will pay with their lives in future for holy purposes of USA. They have nothing to offer but their lives. now yes, but after they'll win the war? (they'll get some spoils for sure). they won't just fight for survival then call it quits. they were and are terrorists after all so they will just keep being terrorists.
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On October 21 2014 17:15 zatic wrote:Show nested quote +On October 21 2014 16:53 xM(Z wrote:On October 21 2014 15:56 zatic wrote: As far as I know none of the arms deliveries to the Kurds were being payed for. At least the German shipments are "freebees", I would assume the French' as well.
In "return" the coalition gets bodies on the ground where they are unwilling to deploy their own. that doesn't make sense. who gains what then?. are you saying this is just a +1 for democracy?. that's laughable. Why doesn't it make sense? The Western countries are unwilling to deploy their own to this mess so they are arming local allies. It's one of the oldest plays in the book. Whether it's a "+1 for democracy" is a different question. But at least I don't find the willingness to fight ISIS just because they are evil motherfuckers so out of this world. even if one is a hardcore admirer of democracy he has to admit that the timing of it all is way off. IS was killing stuff for 1.5/2 years (at least) and no one cared; but then, when someone finally cared they decided to arm terrorists?. you have iraqis and syrians and assyrians and all other nations there but nope, they arm terrorists ...
Turkey tried to play US in Syria with that whole sarin gas fiasco to make it intervene/start the war against Assad. it didn't work and now it's payback time.
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Zurich15313 Posts
ISIS has been internationally visible only since January - and since then talks about intervening have been going on. I don't see how the timing is off here, in fact Western involvement seems perfectly aligned following ISIS successes.
Also there are more reasons for international involvement than either "money" or "democracy". I don't think anyone expects either to come out of the fight against ISIS.
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On October 21 2014 17:17 xM(Z wrote:Show nested quote +On October 21 2014 17:05 Laserist wrote:On October 21 2014 14:22 xM(Z wrote: so who pays for the weapons given to the kurds? 'cause there's no way they are getting freebees. what's the money angle here?, what does the Coalition expects to get in return?. (for kurds, to be able to pay anything (be it in favors/land/resources) they would need to own land and have some form of self-determination/authority/control over it)). who will be giving them that land and where? Kurds will pay with their lives in future for holy purposes of USA. They have nothing to offer but their lives. now yes, but after they'll win the war? (they'll get some spoils for sure). they won't just fight for survival then call it quits. they were and are terrorists after all so they will just keep being terrorists.
This is why Turkish side is not happy about giving weapons to Kurdish warriors. Fighting against ISIS doesn't make them heroes or purely humanitarian force rather if the ISIS issue is closed in some way I don't think they hesitate one bit to use them against Turkey. Another option would be, they may fight against Syria and/or Iraq and/or Turkey to build up a Kurdish state which is very similar what ISIS does now without inhuman brutality. It would be dumb to expect them to surrender weapons when done or use them for solely defensive purposes in conjunction with Syria & Iraq forces.
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Erdoğan opposes arming PYD, says it's a terrorist group like PKK
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has objected to arms transfers to a Syrian Kurdish group defending the border town of Kobani in the face of an Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) onslaught, saying it is a terrorist group that is no different from the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK).
http://www.todayszaman.com/national_erdogan-opposes-arming-pyd-says-its-a-terrorist-group-like-pkk_362021.html
Why Does The U.S. Like Iraq's Kurds But Not Syria's?
The Kurds, who formally achieved semi-autonomy in northern Iraq nearly a decade ago, have their share of problems, including recurring internal divisions. Still, their enclave has been the most peaceful and prosperous part of Iraq in recent years.
Kurdish fighters have resisted the advances of the Islamic State, and when the U.S. began bombing the extremist group, Kurdish forces swiftly moved into areas vacated by the group. The U.S. and the Kurds would like to replicate this model throughout northern Iraq.
Kurdish Forces Say They're Waiting For U.S. Weapons Meanwhile, there are plenty of parallels in Syria, where the Kurds have been repressed for decades by the current president, Bashar Assad, and his father, the late Hafez Assad.
There's one key difference. The Kurdish militia in Syria, known as the YPG, is closely aligned with a militant Kurdish group in Turkey, the PKK, that has fought for Kurdish self-rule since the 1980s.
In that long battle, Turkey declared both PKK and YPG terrorist groups.
http://www.npr.org/blogs/parallels/2014/09/23/350579007/why-does-the-u-s-like-the-kurds-in-iraq-but-not-in-syria
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On October 21 2014 21:18 ImFromPortugal wrote: Erdoğan opposes arming PYD, says it's a terrorist group like PKKShow nested quote +President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has objected to arms transfers to a Syrian Kurdish group defending the border town of Kobani in the face of an Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) onslaught, saying it is a terrorist group that is no different from the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). http://www.todayszaman.com/national_erdogan-opposes-arming-pyd-says-its-a-terrorist-group-like-pkk_362021.htmlWhy Does The U.S. Like Iraq's Kurds But Not Syria's?Show nested quote +The Kurds, who formally achieved semi-autonomy in northern Iraq nearly a decade ago, have their share of problems, including recurring internal divisions. Still, their enclave has been the most peaceful and prosperous part of Iraq in recent years.
Kurdish fighters have resisted the advances of the Islamic State, and when the U.S. began bombing the extremist group, Kurdish forces swiftly moved into areas vacated by the group. The U.S. and the Kurds would like to replicate this model throughout northern Iraq.
Kurdish Forces Say They're Waiting For U.S. Weapons Meanwhile, there are plenty of parallels in Syria, where the Kurds have been repressed for decades by the current president, Bashar Assad, and his father, the late Hafez Assad.
There's one key difference. The Kurdish militia in Syria, known as the YPG, is closely aligned with a militant Kurdish group in Turkey, the PKK, that has fought for Kurdish self-rule since the 1980s.
In that long battle, Turkey declared both PKK and YPG terrorist groups. http://www.npr.org/blogs/parallels/2014/09/23/350579007/why-does-the-u-s-like-the-kurds-in-iraq-but-not-in-syria I read the second article a while ago, but it ignored probably the most important detail.
The primary US interest in the Iraqi Kurds was to use as buffer/opposition to Iraq during the embargo. When the US invaded and overthrew the government, Iraq-proper took front and center in US interests, and has been that way since.
The Iraqi Kurds are part of defending Iraq today, so we give them (pretty limited) weapons. However, now since Iraqi forces dominate operations everywhere except maybe the very far north of Iraq, the peshmerga are playing less of a role than say in August. Of course, right now, our media mainly focuses on them for some reason, probably residual habit from the pro-Kurdish US propaganda of the 1990s.
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Kirkuk is in trouble, and the governor is requesting airstrikes (see spoiler): + Show Spoiler + The governor of Iraq's northern region of Kirkuk has asked the US-led coalition to launch air strikes against Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) positions, as its fighters advance on the region with the aim of capturing its rich oil fields.
Najmaldin Karim, the governor of Kirkuk, told Al Jazeera that in some places the frontline between ISIL and Kurdish Peshmerga forces was just "500 metres".
Peshmerga forces have been battling ISIL since June after establishing control over the northern region and its vast oil reserves, a potential high-value economic zone that Kurdish leaders believe can heavily boost their ambitions of a sovereign state.
The Peshmerga, the security forces of Iraq's autonomous Kurdish north, swept into Kirkuk after the Iraqi army abandoned its posts there following ISIL's offensive in the north.
But with ISIL fighters infiltrating Kirkuk city and checkpoints coming under frequent attack from suicide bombers, authorities fear ISIL could push to seize the oil rich area that lies on the road to Baghdad.
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Iraq ironically makes $278 million deal with Halliburton: + Show Spoiler + Oct 21 (Reuters) - Iraq's cabinet approved on Monday a $278.5 million drilling deal with U.S. oil service company Halliburton for the southern West Qurna- 1 oilfield, according to a government statement.
Under the 30-month contract, Halliburton is to drill 30 oil wells in the 8.7-billion-barrel West Qurna Phase One field, operated by U.S. major ExxonMobil, the statement said.
Oil production at the West Qurna-1 field is running at a rate of 360,000 barrels per day due to problems with low levels of water injection, which is needed to boost production, officials said.
Iraq has awarded lucrative oilfield development contracts to majors such as Royal Dutch Shell, BP and Exxon Mobil with the ambitious target of expanding its oil production capacity to 8.5-9 million bpd by 2017.
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More ironic: New Iraqi defense minister, who is a former Baath senior air force officer, is to begin investigation into the military collapse in June. This is one of the first attempts to really clean up the political/military corruption that's plagued the nation since 2003. Leave it to Baathists to clean up US's/Maliki's mess. The irony is almost killing me. xD + Show Spoiler + BAGHDAD: Iraq's new defense minister vowed Tuesday to investigate military failings that allowed ISIS to overrun large areas of the country and to hold those responsible to account.
"We will investigate with depth and sincerity" and hold accountable those who made mistakes or failed to perform their duties, Khaled al-Obaidi said in his first speech since being approved by parliament on Saturday.
"I will not relent in striking corruption and the corrupt, and with God's help, we will work to build a professional military institution."
Obaidi will face major challenges in doing so.
ISIS-led militants launched a major offensive in June, overrunning Iraq's second city Mosul as security forces collapsed en masse, in some cases even abandoning their uniforms and weapons in their haste to flee.
The militants then swept through much of the country's Sunni Arab heartland, where many residents were deeply mistrustful of Iraq's Shiite-led government.
Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi has sacked some senior officers, but it will take years to make up the Iraqi military's huge shortcomings in training and discipline.
Corruption is another major problem, with people in some cases buying positions or paying off commanders so they do not have to show up to work.
But the fact that there is a defense minister at all is a positive step - the post, as well as that of interior minister, were both filled on an interim basis for four years until Abadi's appointment.
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SERIOUS: 100,000s of Iraqi refugees threatened by the coming winter (inb4 Game of Thrones references): + Show Spoiler + Religious minorities in Iraq are in more danger than ever as winter approaches, a Catholic charity has warned.
Hundreds of thousands of displaced Iraqis forced to live in makeshift tents after fleeing ISIS face freezing conditions as temperatures are expected to soon plunge below zero.
"There is an absolutely overwhelming need...people cannot be expected to survive in tents," John Pontifex of Aid to the Church in Need (ACN) told Christian Today.
Pontifex, who returned from Iraq earlier this month, said:
"These people left their homes with nothing other than the shirts on their backs. They need warm clothes, housing, schools, and they need greater protections to ensure that they don't fall to the mercy of extreme militants."
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Russia delivers 37 tons of humanitarian aid to Iraq: + Show Spoiler + MOSCOW, October 21 (RIA Novosti) - Russia has delivered another humanitarian consignment to the people in Iraq who have suffered as a result of the armed conflict with the Islamic State (IS) militant group, a statement published on Russia's Foreign Ministry's website Tuesday said.
"On October 21, a Russian MES [Ministry of Emergency Situations] plane delivered to Baghdad another humanitarian consignment, weighing 37 ton, for the population, refugees and internally displaced persons who suffered as a result of the ongoing armed conflict with the militants of 'the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant' [Islamic State] in the northwest of the Republic of Iraq. The consignment comprises food, blankets, tents and mobile generators," the statement said.
The ministry noted that Russia's efforts to provide humanitarian aid to the friendly Iraq would be ongoing.
According to the statement, another consignment is currently being prepared. It will be sent to Erbil, the capital of the Kurdish Autonomous Region.
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Iraqi forces liberated some ISIS-held areas in Ramadi
Iraqi forces mass in Baiji in preparation for more operations in Saladin province
========================================================================================== Pretty interesting thing I found on statistics from the Iraqi defense ministry. Apparently, in the very bad months of June and July, in the first 20 days of July, 2,508 ISIS fighters were killed. From June 9 to July 20, they report 5,664 fighters having been killed. I don't know how legitimate this is, but it really gives you an idea of just how BIG ISIS actually is. Mind you, this is in the bad months of June and July. I'd love to see what statistics the Iraqi govt. has for August-October. At this rate, the Iraqi military and allied airstrikes will kill more ISIS fighters in Iraq alone than the combined Coalition/Iraqi forces did in the 8-year Iraq War. src
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Very unconfirmed reports coming in that a chemical attack by ISIS has occurred in Kobani.
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Does this surprise anyone?? They've used chemical weapons quite a few times already. Even though they're not extremely lethal agents like VX or sarin, they're still going to injure and kill any trapped or otherwise vulnerable people.
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I noted a day ago how the road between Tikrit and Baiji has been secured. This came after successful operations in the Diyala province, which is mostly liberated.
Now these key cities in Saladin province have been surrounded and cut-off by Iraqi forces.
Iraqi forces backed by U.S. air strikes have surrounded ISIS fighters in the northern city of Tikrit in a bid to isolate and choke off the fighters in Saddam Hussein's birthplace, according to senior local officials.
"Iraqi security forces were able to secure and control the road from Tikrit to Baiji,” a Brigadier-General in Iraq’s defense ministry told NBC News late Sunday, referring to the nearby town which is adjacent to a key oil refinery. “These forces are around the city of Baiji now, in order to retake it, but ISIS fighters are fighting hard to defend their position inside the city.”
He added that government forces, which have been protecting the refinery since June, were preparing for a possible revenge attack by ISIS fighters if they lost control of Baiji, which has become a strategically important city for the extremist group. U.S. war planes have carried out air strikes around Tikrit on Saturday and Sunday, the general said. The action was a key reason for "the success of our forces," he said, adding that the city was now "completely surrounded" by Iraqi forces.
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Related: Iraqi forces liberate Dawm area in Tikrit
ALSO: Sunni Tikritis flee Tikrit in fear of atrocities by Shiite militias:
ISIS screwing up university studies pretty badly:
A Mosul University researcher who wished to remain anonymous tellsSciDev.Net that dozens of graduate students stopped their studies after the ISIS militants took control of the city. Many students were unable to continue with their experiments, he said, especially those that needed electricity and communication tools such as the internet to carry out their research.
To help students who can no longer attend classes avoid failing their degrees, the Iraqi Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research has decided to “consider the new school year [for undergraduate] students living in [the affected] provinces a no-fail year”, says Ghassan Hamid Abdel Majed, director-general of the ministry’s Research and Development Department.
Graduate students who have fled their home province because of the violence have also been allowed to complete their studies at a different university in their new province of residence, he adds, provided their specialist subjects are taught there.
But the transfer may not be that easy. Raed Al-Khashea, a graduate law student at the University of Tikrit, escaped the conflict but lost all his documents — so, he says, a potential new host university may simply refuse to accept him.
Money is also an issue, he adds, as moving to a university in Iraq’s capital Baghdad, for example, would sharply increase the cost of living. He also fears a change in professors, “because the research methodology differs from one university to another as well as from one professor to another”.
The state, however, intends to support the relocated students’ research with grants of at least 100 million Iraqi dinars (US$90,000).
“The ministry has supplies of scientific instruments which will be used to compensate universities at their alternative sites,” says Qassim Mohammed Al-Ataby, the ministry’s undersecretary.
Read the rest here: src
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