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NASA and the Private Sector - Page 120

Forum Index > General Forum
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Keep debates civil.
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1416 Posts
April 21 2017 19:18 GMT
#2381
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/first-mars-astronauts-may-trapped-143000782.html

trump seal of approval.
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1416 Posts
April 21 2017 19:21 GMT
#2382
http://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-spacex-mars-colony-talk-iac-2016-9?international=true&r=US&IR=T

elon musk is aiming for 2022, that feels a bit to optimistic.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-21 19:31:04
April 21 2017 19:30 GMT
#2383
That's the thing about unrealistic deadlines: no one really cares if you make them up.

I'd say 2050 is more likely. The issues related to Mars are solvable, but very far from solved. And it probably won't be Musk doing it.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11997 Posts
April 21 2017 22:30 GMT
#2384
Gotta say, manned mars flyby sounds like a silly idea.

You have the worst of both worlds. The risks and the costs of a manned mars mission, but none of the bragging rights of actually putting humans on other planets. Yeah, it is cheaper than actually landing there because you have to bring less fuel, but space next to mars isn't significantly different from space next to earth.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 21 2017 22:38 GMT
#2385
Yeah, if we're going that far, I want a goddamn landing. Space, as we've found out over the decades, is quite strongly dominated by perceptions, and people don't want to wait two years to see someone do a flyby then head on home.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44296 Posts
April 22 2017 10:49 GMT
#2386
Landing on Mars and then getting back into space is the primary risk. A manned Mars flyby doesn't have the worst of both worlds, it's a Mars mission without either the primary achievement or the primary risk. You do it as a proof of concept and then work out how to land a rocket capable of leaving Mars on the surface.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22596 Posts
April 22 2017 11:05 GMT
#2387
Considering current technology I wonder why we would want to leave Mars.
If you want to go there your best chance is probably just a one way trip.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 22 2017 16:02 GMT
#2388
It's an implicit requirement of all missions involving astronauts that it will be a round trip.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11997 Posts
April 22 2017 19:36 GMT
#2389
On April 22 2017 20:05 Gorsameth wrote:
Considering current technology I wonder why we would want to leave Mars.
If you want to go there your best chance is probably just a one way trip.

You don't really have a nice retirement on Mars. If you want good people for your mission, they probably want to get back. And if you take the people who are fine with staying there, they are probably not the best people for the job. Also, it makes people think you are an asshole when you send people to mars and leave them there to die.
hypercube
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary2735 Posts
April 22 2017 23:22 GMT
#2390
One way can either mean left there to die or stay there as part of a permanent settlement or colonization effort.

No one plans to send people to Mars with no means to sustain themselves, but there are plans that involve most of the people travelling there staying.
"Sending people in rockets to other planets is a waste of money better spent on sending rockets into people on this planet."
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44296 Posts
April 22 2017 23:54 GMT
#2391
On April 23 2017 01:02 LegalLord wrote:
It's an implicit requirement of all missions involving astronauts that it will be a round trip.

You could always work out how to get them back later. Young astronauts, plenty of time to work it out. Refusing to do anything until you can do everything in a single expedition will inevitably mean you have no progress for a long time.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-23 00:10:32
April 23 2017 00:10 GMT
#2392
You have to sell the mission to the general public though. And "we'll get them back eventually, I hope" is really fucking depressing.

Send a doge or a mankey or something if you want a one-way trip. If one of those die then they will get over it in the long run. Dead astronauts are remembered forever.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44296 Posts
April 23 2017 01:36 GMT
#2393
On April 23 2017 09:10 LegalLord wrote:
You have to sell the mission to the general public though. And "we'll get them back eventually, I hope" is really fucking depressing.

Send a doge or a mankey or something if you want a one-way trip. If one of those die then they will get over it in the long run. Dead astronauts are remembered forever.

Without looking it up, what is the number of astronauts and cosmonauts killed by failed operations to date?
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 23 2017 02:13 GMT
#2394
My guess was 20, looked it up and the answer was in the range of 18 to more depending on how you count. Close enough.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_spaceflight-related_accidents_and_incidents
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44296 Posts
April 23 2017 02:19 GMT
#2395
On April 23 2017 11:13 LegalLord wrote:
My guess was 20, looked it up and the answer was in the range of 18 to more depending on how you count. Close enough.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_spaceflight-related_accidents_and_incidents

The point being that leaving one on Mars wouldn't materially impact the accuracy of your estimate.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24799 Posts
April 23 2017 02:45 GMT
#2396
I think we've argued about this topic a few times in the past. There are some users here who think a 'one way trip' for space exploration is acceptable, and there are others who say 'no, we won't do it until we can make it a round-trip.' Frankly I don't think discussion here will bring people over to one side or the other.

Personally, I think the idea of sending people to Mars to their death is disgusting and I'm glad all previous missions including moon missions were performed with the stated goal of not leaving people in space.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
hypercube
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary2735 Posts
April 23 2017 02:58 GMT
#2397
On April 23 2017 08:54 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 23 2017 01:02 LegalLord wrote:
It's an implicit requirement of all missions involving astronauts that it will be a round trip.

You could always work out how to get them back later. Young astronauts, plenty of time to work it out. Refusing to do anything until you can do everything in a single expedition will inevitably mean you have no progress for a long time.


It's not technological problem that needs some surprising insight or advancement in general technology. You need a spacecraft that is capable of landing on and launching from Mars and get to Earth orbit. You probably need infrastructure to create fuel on Mars and a heavy launcher to launch the whole thing from Earth.

The point is that probably any technological hurdles could be overcome by more investment, right now. When the astronauts are on the surface you will still need the same kind of investment to develop the technology. So the question becomes, why not develop it first and then do the landing?

Realistically, the return part might not be the biggest problem anyway. It's probably radiation shielding during the trip and just having a large enough launcher. You are saving a small chunk of your whole budget.
"Sending people in rockets to other planets is a waste of money better spent on sending rockets into people on this planet."
hypercube
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary2735 Posts
April 23 2017 02:59 GMT
#2398
On April 23 2017 11:45 micronesia wrote:
I think we've argued about this topic a few times in the past. There are some users here who think a 'one way trip' for space exploration is acceptable, .


When you say one way, do you mean one way to die, or one way to stay?

Even Mars One meant one way to stay, although being a clickbaity media company they rarely clarify it.
"Sending people in rockets to other planets is a waste of money better spent on sending rockets into people on this planet."
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24799 Posts
April 23 2017 03:02 GMT
#2399
I don't see 'one way to stay' as more feasible than 'round trip' right now, so I mean 'one way to die.'
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
hypercube
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary2735 Posts
April 23 2017 03:05 GMT
#2400
On April 23 2017 12:02 micronesia wrote:
I don't see 'one way to stay' as more feasible than 'round trip' right now, so I mean 'one way to die.'


Well, technically neither is one way to die, unless dying before getting to the Mars surface is fine too.

The only difference between one way to stay and one way to die is that you need to get more payload to the surface, which means more launches and higher cost, or a more capable and cheaper launch vehicle.
"Sending people in rockets to other planets is a waste of money better spent on sending rockets into people on this planet."
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