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Ukraine Crisis - Page 346

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There is a new policy in effect in this thread. Anyone not complying will be moderated.

New policy, please read before posting:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=21393711
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
March 18 2014 19:45 GMT
#6901
the euro crisis is not really a conspiracy or desired result. the regional imbalances in the EU were not counterbalanced by a united fiscal system. political dysfunction in some countries also obviously contributed. outside of the currency crisis, opening trades and investment barriers is at least theoretically beneficial when developing positively. surely you don't want a case of bad dutch disease as the russians have it.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
March 18 2014 19:46 GMT
#6902
the us has a lot of debt too; if you don't want debt, change policy, it isn't anyone else's fault.


given that Russia is far dirtier, that's an odd choice.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Cheerio
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Ukraine3178 Posts
March 18 2014 19:46 GMT
#6903
On March 19 2014 04:40 myminerals wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2014 04:32 DeepElemBlues wrote:
first and foremost people really really really hate the west and its democracy bullshit because we only get to be their economical slaves and political/territorial vassals. no one wants that.


Global poverty was cut in half in the last 20 years.

It has also witnessed the rising economic/geopolitical/territorial power of countries like:

China
Brazil
India
Indonesia
The Philippines
Vietnam
Venezuela
Colombia
Poland
Turkey

I guess this was somehow accomplished despite the West and its democracy bullshit making poorer countries their economic slaves and political/territorial vassals.

so are you implying that the referendum was all a fraud and Crimean people have nothing to do with the current situation?


that question has little to do with putin inviting a bunch of neo-nazis and other fascists to stand in front of the cameras for some kremlin propaganda

as you know full well it's just misdirection on your part

it is.
propaganda is everywhere, I try to keep my head above the surface.

you are failing badly.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-18 19:49:50
March 18 2014 19:46 GMT
#6904
For the developing countries of Eastern Europe the free market transition and trade agreements with the Western European countries(for example Romania after 1998 and their trade relations to Germany and Italy) resulted in a huge economic boost.

[image loading]

Romania is sitting at a national debt of 37% their GDP xM(Z. That's perfectly fine. What you're describing here isn't really i check with reality.

Personally I'm a little sad that people are still so inclined to nationalism, after all economic growth is the number one thing to help rising the living standards.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
March 18 2014 19:51 GMT
#6905
so their debt is only like, 65 billion and he's complaining? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22088 Posts
March 18 2014 19:54 GMT
#6906
On March 19 2014 04:42 myminerals wrote:
Neither side is 100% clean, but I'd give Russia my vote just because there is more sense in its actions in my opinion.

There is sense in invading a country and forcing it to join you?
Well if you love medieval life I guess there is yeah. Tobad some of us like the way the world has advanced since then.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
seenster
Profile Joined December 2010
Germany385 Posts
March 18 2014 19:58 GMT
#6907
On March 19 2014 04:32 myminerals wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2014 03:20 seenster wrote:
On March 19 2014 02:36 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote:
Hello, there were international observers.

Yeah right ...
[image loading]

another source in german

edit: editing is fun

so are you implying that the referendum was all a fraud and Crimean people have nothing to do with the current situation?

No I don't. However I am implying that the "international observers" are slightly biased.
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
March 18 2014 20:00 GMT
#6908
On March 19 2014 04:41 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2014 04:29 Sub40APM wrote:
On March 19 2014 04:20 xM(Z wrote:

first and foremost people really really really hate the west and its democracy bullshit because we only get to be their economical slaves and political/territorial vassals. no one wants that.

No one in the West wants you as slaves or political vassals, they want to sell you things and its in the West's interest for you to become richer so they can sell you even more things

but we're not becoming richer, we are just given more debt.
they give us (lend) money so we could buy their shit then leave us with the debt.

Actually that was the Conducător economic policy, which is why in the late 80s you had austerity.
Mc
Profile Joined March 2010
332 Posts
March 18 2014 20:01 GMT
#6909
On March 19 2014 04:54 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2014 04:42 myminerals wrote:
Neither side is 100% clean, but I'd give Russia my vote just because there is more sense in its actions in my opinion.

There is sense in invading a country and forcing it to join you?
Well if you love medieval life I guess there is yeah. Tobad some of us like the way the world has advanced since then.

He will say that the Crimean people want to join Russia so they aren't being forced. Nobody is dragging them into the voting booths. I am very anti-Putin but I'm pretty sure that over 50% of the people in Crimea wanted to join Russia. I'm sure the Russian propaganda that was decimated after invasion pushed this number even higher.
5hh.gg
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-18 20:14:38
March 18 2014 20:04 GMT
#6910
On March 19 2014 04:51 zlefin wrote:
so their debt is only like, 65 billion and he's complaining? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.

well if you think we had 0 debt few years ago when communism fell and that it'll only go up ... our kids will be slaves
but anyway that's off topic. (i won't even mention that to have debt you must first afford to have it)
@Sub40APM: we had austerity 'cause he payed out debt.

point was, people hate the west more then they like Putin.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
March 18 2014 20:05 GMT
#6911
those people are extremely delusional.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Mc
Profile Joined March 2010
332 Posts
March 18 2014 20:05 GMT
#6912
Why is it always "Russian Media" and "Western Media". The media of all of these countries have very different opinions on different things (EU expansion/inclusion, regional politics, IRAQ WAR, etc.).

It'd be funny if RT (Russia's international propaganda network) said : "American, Polish, German, French, Italian, Czech, Ukranian... etc, etc. media claims that Russia has performed an illegal military act against a sovereign country"
5hh.gg
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
March 18 2014 20:11 GMT
#6913
On March 19 2014 05:05 Mc wrote:
Why is it always "Russian Media" and "Western Media". The media of all of these countries have very different opinions on different things (EU expansion/inclusion, regional politics, IRAQ WAR, etc.).

It'd be funny if RT (Russia's international propaganda network) said : "American, Polish, German, French, Italian, Czech, Ukranian... etc, etc. media claims that Russia has performed an illegal military act against a sovereign country"


Yes the whole 'western media' term is idiotic. The only thing western about them is that the people working there have been socialized in Western countries. There is no institutional pressure on them to from a certain opinion that the government wants the people to have. Very big news agencies like The Guardian and Spiegel have proven over and over again that they don't give a crap if what they're reporting is 'in line' with what western Governments want.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
March 18 2014 20:14 GMT
#6914
On March 19 2014 05:05 Mc wrote:
Why is it always "Russian Media" and "Western Media". The media of all of these countries have very different opinions on different things (EU expansion/inclusion, regional politics, IRAQ WAR, etc.).

It'd be funny if RT (Russia's international propaganda network) said : "American, Polish, German, French, Italian, Czech, Ukranian... etc, etc. media claims that Russia has performed an illegal military act against a sovereign country"

the west is run by the great [conspiracy generator here] conspiracy. it's a united front
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Banaora
Profile Joined May 2013
Germany234 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-18 20:17:12
March 18 2014 20:15 GMT
#6915
So Nyxisto, as you posted GDP for Romania, I'm going to post it for Russia:
[image loading]

It's from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Russia

So you see from this, Yeltsin mismanaged the economy and Putin was quite successful, if you want to attribute economic growth of a country to its leader.

So there is certainly a fear that when sanctions really hit, people in Russia will be upset. But will they be upset about Putin? When will the sanctions hit? Half a year, a year, longer term? How badly will Europe be hit by them? Can Russia evade them somewhat by strengthening its ties with China or India? Do we want that? What does all this mean for peace in Europe?

In my opinion it would be far better to integrate Russia and build Europe with them and not against them. There are already proposals to allow Ukraine to be associated with the European Union and the Eurasian Union of Russia. A guarantee for its territorial integrity (probably without Crimea) under the pretense that Ukraine will not become a NATO member state.

If Ukraine pushes for NATO, I can see Russia invading. Some of Russia's military weapons are currently produced in eastern Ukrainian factories and I'm sure they don't want these under NATO command.
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
March 18 2014 20:16 GMT
#6916
Turkey has reportedly threatened to close the Bosphorus to Russian ships, if there is violence against the Crimean Tatars.

In his speech today, President Putin was at pains to stress that the rights of Tatars, persecuted and deported from Ukraine in the Stalin-era, would be protected.

Citing a diplomatic source, the Sofia news agency says that Turkey’s prime minister Recep Erdogan made the threat in a telephone conversation with Putin.

Erdogan also said that Turkey would not recognise the referendum in Crimea in which 97% of the voters cast their ballots in favour of joining the Russian Federation, according to the report.

Saryph
Profile Joined April 2010
United States1955 Posts
March 18 2014 20:24 GMT
#6917
On March 19 2014 05:16 Sub40APM wrote:
Show nested quote +
Turkey has reportedly threatened to close the Bosphorus to Russian ships, if there is violence against the Crimean Tatars.

In his speech today, President Putin was at pains to stress that the rights of Tatars, persecuted and deported from Ukraine in the Stalin-era, would be protected.

Citing a diplomatic source, the Sofia news agency says that Turkey’s prime minister Recep Erdogan made the threat in a telephone conversation with Putin.

Erdogan also said that Turkey would not recognise the referendum in Crimea in which 97% of the voters cast their ballots in favour of joining the Russian Federation, according to the report.



With the tatar houses being marked, and some of their buildings being burned down, combined with the Tatar who was found tortured to death in Crimea, you'd hope they'd at least do that.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
March 18 2014 20:30 GMT
#6918
On March 19 2014 05:04 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2014 04:51 zlefin wrote:
so their debt is only like, 65 billion and he's complaining? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.

well if you think we had 0 debt few years ago when communism fell and that it'll only go up ... our kids will be slaves
but anyway that's off topic. (i won't even mention that to have debt you must first afford to have it)
@Sub40APM: we had austerity 'cause he payed out debt.

point was, people hate the west more then they like Putin.


your debt is 70 billion ish dollars and is a third of your gdp. affordability IS a function of the % of gdp your debt is.
And communism didn't fall a few years ago, it fell over twenty years ago.
The US debt is 17-ish TRILLION dollars; and 90% or so of our gdp last I checked.
Our debt is 250x yours.
So no, your debt is nothing to complain about at all.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Mc
Profile Joined March 2010
332 Posts
March 18 2014 20:39 GMT
#6919
On March 19 2014 05:15 Banaora wrote:
So Nyxisto, as you posted GDP for Romania, I'm going to post it for Russia:
[image loading]

It's from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Russia

So you see from this, Yeltsin mismanaged the economy and Putin was quite successful, if you want to attribute economic growth of a country to its leader.

So there is certainly a fear that when sanctions really hit, people in Russia will be upset. But will they be upset about Putin? When will the sanctions hit? Half a year, a year, longer term? How badly will Europe be hit by them? Can Russia evade them somewhat by strengthening its ties with China or India? Do we want that? What does all this mean for peace in Europe?

In my opinion it would be far better to integrate Russia and build Europe with them and not against them. There are already proposals to allow Ukraine to be associated with the European Union and the Eurasian Union of Russia. A guarantee for its territorial integrity (probably without Crimea) under the pretense that Ukraine will not become a NATO member state.

If Ukraine pushes for NATO, I can see Russia invading. Some of Russia's military weapons are currently produced in eastern Ukrainian factories and I'm sure they don't want these under NATO command.

I'm trying to find a better chart, but it's quite clear a lot of Russia's economic success since Putin can be attributed to oil prices. This is not the best chart but..
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Crude_oil_prices_since_1861.png

I'm not an expert on economy, so I would accept an argument that Putin did a good job taking advantage of the situation and the gains can be attributed to Putin's handling of the situation. But accepting that, I would argue that Putin isn't setting up Russia's economy for long term success. They are a horrible place to do business (see corruption index, and politics over-meddling in business is obviously bad) and rely way too heavily on gas/oil prices to sustain their economy. Very fragile economy. Also Putin's aggression in Ukraine is causing countries to re-think doing business with them, and more importantly, to look for energy sources elsewhere. In the long term Russia is f*ed.
5hh.gg
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
March 18 2014 21:00 GMT
#6920
I know in the US the president tends to get a lot of blame/credit for the economy being bad/good, even though he really only has a rather small effect on it overall.

I agree it doesn't seem well setup for long term success in Russia.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
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