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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
December 13 2017 18:42 GMT
#190241
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.


idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


I don't know anything about the specifics of Alabama, but there are actually infinite ways to draw a map. For example, 6 and 3 could be the same region (as could 4 and 5) without making the map look (more) janky.

Bora Pain minha porra!
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9632 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-13 18:45:29
December 13 2017 18:42 GMT
#190242
On December 14 2017 03:40 raNazUra wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:27 brian wrote:
yea sorry i must’ve edited that in too slowly. but again that it’s just so equitable elsewhere(in a deeply red state) seems to say the opposite. perhaps i am just too unfamiliar with the state. maybe i need a district map with the cities specifically highlighted. which would be pretty useful when talking about gerrymandering i suppose.

On December 14 2017 03:27 Plansix wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)

That 40% of the population does not make up 40% of the seats the states gets. 40% of the population gets 12% of the political power in the state. Of course I am sure it has nothing to do with the fact that all the black people in the state live in the city.

i think this still speaks to my point though. in an otherwise deeply red state, that the only district that gets the blue vote is the one with the biggest city and highest population should be wholly unsurprising?


Without trying to be cheeky, if you've ever had the math behind gerrymandering explained to you, equal-ish districts that lean toward you is precisely what you want, so that is, if anything, evidence *for* it.

Example: 30 people live in 6 districts, 5 people each. Let's say the population is 50/50, so 15 Rs and Ds. You'd expect each side to get 3 districts. But if I get to split it up, and I make the districts I win close and the ones you win blowouts, then it's not even close:

District 1: 3R 2D
District 2: 3R 2D
District 3: 3R 2D
District 4: 3R 2D
District 5: 3R 2D
District 6: 0R 5D

Result: 5 R districts and 1 D district, even though the population is split 50/50. So the map above, with close-ish districts with R victories and one blowout D district is precisely what I would want to see if I had been put in charge of gerrymandering a state.


i understand the math, and realized my poor phrasing afterwards. my point was moreso that it being close is surprising on its own, considering the demographic. in any other election these numbers aren’t close. that they are NOW was why it looked less suspect.

but point well taken regardless. there’s only so many conclusions to draw when seeing it whether it should or shouldn’t be surprising.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
December 13 2017 18:44 GMT
#190243
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Ciaus_Dronu
Profile Joined June 2017
South Africa1848 Posts
December 13 2017 18:45 GMT
#190244
On December 14 2017 03:38 brian wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).


i disagree with your concept of fair in this instance. your argument in this case would be that we break birmingham alone into multiple districts, which is obviously nonsense. ones concept of fairness in this instance will always be biased by whether they’re city dwellers or rural folk. the entire reason for both a house and a senate.

rest of the post well taken, i do understand what gerrymandering is.


So to you "fair" is giving half the people 6 seats of house representation, and the other half 1?
Okay no.
And why is that obviously nonsense? Cities are sprawling, have different populations and regions and needs. A 20 minute drive can see you in a totally different region with vastly different needs and population. The WHOLE populous district has... 1 seat. Meanwhile 6 sparse, rural districts, none of which are particularly large, each have a seat. What?

Also look at that district 7, it has 2 weird tails branching out. Each could probably be its own district, given those regions are densely populated. You could probably easily merge some pairs of the connected red districts and have a map no less arbitrary, but much more fair in terms of house seats.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10809 Posts
December 13 2017 18:48 GMT
#190245
You break it along communes/villages.
No math required, just common sense.
Ciaus_Dronu
Profile Joined June 2017
South Africa1848 Posts
December 13 2017 18:50 GMT
#190246
On December 14 2017 03:44 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.


If more than half your state by population is rural, then winning those districts will still get you more house representation.
How is that unfair?

brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9632 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-13 19:09:20
December 13 2017 18:51 GMT
#190247
nvm, i’m really not interested in supporting this argument.

On December 14 2017 03:52 LegalLord wrote:
Maybe we can't agree where the line for gerrymandering is, but I'm sure we can all agree that in this case it's been crossed.

yea, sorry. i was hoping to go a little deeper.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
December 13 2017 18:52 GMT
#190248
Maybe we can't agree where the line for gerrymandering is, but I'm sure we can all agree that in this case it's been crossed.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
December 13 2017 18:52 GMT
#190249
On December 14 2017 03:44 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.

But 40% of the population gets 12% of the power. They are at the mercy of the rural voters who also happen to think they all want to murder babies. At least in Alabama.

Congress and the president is another matter. The house is the home of real gerrymandering issues.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
December 13 2017 19:05 GMT
#190250
On December 14 2017 03:44 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.



Can you elaborate on what you mean by "undue"? I understand what you mean by saying if, for example, Seattle 100% determined all Washington representation.

But the idea that 100,000 urban folks should have the same representation as 10,000 rural is still a little silly. It shouldn't be equal. It should be skewed to make 10,000 not so powerless, but we need to keep in mind we are aiming to represent people here. Some counties, while very large, are mostly made up of cattle and other agricultural stuff. It is important to keep in mind that the goal is still to represent humans, not land. The Seattle issue is certainly an issue, but the solution is not to say these miniscule counties should get totally equal representation.
Ciaus_Dronu
Profile Joined June 2017
South Africa1848 Posts
December 13 2017 19:11 GMT
#190251
On December 14 2017 03:51 brian wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:45 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:38 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).


i disagree with your concept of fair in this instance. your argument in this case would be that we break birmingham alone into multiple districts, which is obviously nonsense. ones concept of fairness in this instance will always be biased by whether they’re city dwellers or rural folk. the entire reason for both a house and a senate.

rest of the post well taken, i do understand what gerrymandering is.


So to you "fair" is giving half the people 6 seats of house representation, and the other half 1?
Okay no.
And why is that obviously nonsense? Cities are sprawling, have different populations and regions and needs. A 20 minute drive can see you in a totally different region with vastly different needs and population. The WHOLE populous district has... 1 seat. Meanwhile 6 sparse, rural districts, none of which are particularly large, each have a seat. What?

Also look at that district 7, it has 2 weird tails branching out. Each could probably be its own district, given those regions are densely populated. You could probably easily merge some pairs of the connected red districts and have a map no less arbitrary, but much more fair in terms of house seats.


there’s no need to pretend districting a state is an easy task, it just comes off as condescending. i still strongly disagree with your idea that a city ought to get an undue amount of districts, and to say cities are sprawling and only take 20 minutes to see a whole different side of things is contradictory to say the least.

but all the same i’m not looking to argue the point any further. obviously 40% of the population earns more than one representative, and i didn’t come close to saying anything else. if we’re assuming i’m trying to fit all the population into one district from the start i have no interest in supporting that argument at all.

Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:48 Velr wrote:
You break it along communes/villages.
No math required, just common sense.

it isn’t so easy. because then again you do portion more republican districts by design, since all the population, and democrat votes, will be in one district. it’s just a more nuanced topic than can be covered with a one size fits all approach.


You very strongly implied the map looks fine and didn't see why that was a sign of gerrymandering.
and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines


I'm sorry if I misinterpreted that, but I'm not sure how else I could have been expected to read it.

And I said nothing about you wanting to fit all the population into one district. I'm not sure where you are coming from with that?
Unless you mean all the dem population, in which case you de facto argued that by saying splitting Birmingham would be "obviously nonsense". Because unless you want to have part rural part urban districts all over the place, splitting Birmingham is the only way (immediately obvious to me) you'd avoid that for Alabama. If you see an alternative that would give obviously better representation here, or a principle to apply to find such in general, I'm open to suggestions.

Also I never said it was easy, I just outlined a principle to apply that I thought (incorrectly) was self-apparent. In a few minutes with a map and some stats, I could probably conclude a state's district outlines was, to me, "fair". But hell if I was told to design the algorithm and process outline to draw fair lines I'd probably come close to having a stroke, even with something of a mathematics and data science background.

Also I don't see how those points are contradictory, they are complimentary. Pointing out that you will have many different populations and regions to represent in a large city (as a result of both the size of the city, and how closely packed different faces of a city are).
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14047 Posts
December 13 2017 19:12 GMT
#190252
On December 14 2017 04:05 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:44 Danglars wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.



Can you elaborate on what you mean by "undue"? I understand what you mean by saying if, for example, Seattle 100% determined all Washington representation.

But the idea that 100,000 urban folks should have the same representation as 10,000 rural is still a little silly. It shouldn't be equal. It should be skewed to make 10,000 not so powerless, but we need to keep in mind we are aiming to represent people here. Some counties, while very large, are mostly made up of cattle and other agricultural stuff. It is important to keep in mind that the goal is still to represent humans, not land. The Seattle issue is certainly an issue, but the solution is not to say these miniscule counties should get totally equal representation.

Thats not whats being argued. Can we at least agree that there is a practical issue where it would be a lot easier to do campaigning in Seattle then to campaign in rural areas? No ones asking for a 10:1 split on equal power people just don't want to be ignored like a lot of people even in this thread want rual people to be.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
December 13 2017 19:13 GMT
#190253
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
December 13 2017 19:17 GMT
#190254
On December 14 2017 03:50 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:44 Danglars wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.


If more than half your state by population is rural, then winning those districts will still get you more house representation.
How is that unfair?


Because rural areas lack population but still deserve representation ... instead of stupidly putting all voters in a basket and assigning based on popular vote percentage. A Democrat in small town farmland is not the same as a Democrat living in public housing working in a service industry. It’s by design reflective of areas instead of state populations.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 13 2017 19:22 GMT
#190255
On the eve of a Federal Communications Commission vote to repeal net neutrality rules, some congressional Republicans are suddenly pivoting against the Trump administration and joining the outcry against the move — just as a new poll shows the vast majority of GOP voters want the rules preserved.

In 2015, the FCC put in place strong net neutrality regulations, which prevent internet service providers from selectively blocking or throttling content by charging for paid prioritization or censoring politically critical content.

After President Donald Trump in April said he wanted the rules eliminated, his newly installed FCC commissioner Ajit Pai — a former lawyer for Verizon — began a process to repeal the rules. That process will culminate in a vote scheduled for Thursday.

Pai’s proposed FCC order would undo the Barack Obama administration’s 2015 Title II classification of ISPs as “common carriers” while simultaneously preventing states from issuing their own net neutrality rules. Pai has frequently claimed the unelected FCC commissioners should not be setting policy.

The repeal effort would be a boon to telecommunications corporations, who are among the biggest campaign donors to federal lawmakers. But Pai’s initiative has prompted a backlash among consumer groups and political groups across the ideological spectrum, who say the repeal would both jeopardize the free flow of information on the internet as well as innovation and competition online.

Much of the congressional opposition to the repeal has come from Democrats — but a new poll shows three out of four Republican voters oppose the Pai's proposal. As that opposition has swelled, high-profile Republican lawmakers are suddenly speaking out against the repeal in the final hours before the FCC vote.

Chief among the critics are U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman — a five-term incumbent who represents the kind of pivotal swing seat Republicans need to win to maintain their House majority. Coffman on Tuesday sent a letter to Pai demanding delay the FCC’s vote and allow Congress to pass permanent open internet legislation instead.

"The Internet has been and remains a transformative tool, and I am concerned that any action you make take to alter the rules under which it functions may well have significant unanticipated negative consequences," Coffman wrote to Pai. "Therefore, I urge you to delay your upcoming vote and provide Congress with the opportunity to hold hearings on the net neutrality issue and to pass permanent open Internet legislation."

Coffman’s break with the telecom industry lobby is particularly notable, considering that Comcast just shifted 1,000 jobs to his district last year, a move that normally cultivates political favor.

The night before Coffman sent his letter, Republican Rep. Jeff Fortenberry of Nebraska also posted on Twitter that he asked Pai to “preserve the framework of net neutrality.”

Republican Reps. Mark Sanford of South Carolina, John Curtis of Utah, Dave Reichert of Washington and GOP Sen. Susan Collins of Maine have all recently expressed skepticism of Pai’s proposed order.

“We commend Rep. Mike Coffman and all the other Republicans who have opposed FCC Chairman Ajit Pai’s plan to destroy net neutrality,” Pierce Stanley, technology fellow at Demand Progress said in a statement. “By opposing Pai’s plan, Republicans are demonstrating that they stand with their constituents, and not Comcast, when it comes to preserving an internet free from censorship and slow lanes. It’s time for all members of congress, Republican and Democrat alike, to join in the call for the FCC to cancel its Thursday vote to repeal net neutrality protections, which would be catastrophic for innovation and free expression.”


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-13 19:31:12
December 13 2017 19:22 GMT
#190256
It seems to me the first step in fighting gerrymandering to not have absolutist electoral systems where having 51% of the vote and 99% of the vote give you equivalent political power, such that if 40% of a state's population is rural they control 40% of the legislative seats regardless of where you draw district lines.

Suddenly gerrymandering becomes virtually impossible, and everyone has a voice. And we can even allocate electoral college votes proportionally so that it's relevant to campaign in deep-red and deep-blue states for both candidates.

But people don't want to do math and hate change, so...
Ciaus_Dronu
Profile Joined June 2017
South Africa1848 Posts
December 13 2017 19:29 GMT
#190257
On December 14 2017 04:17 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:50 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:44 Danglars wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.


If more than half your state by population is rural, then winning those districts will still get you more house representation.
How is that unfair?


Because rural areas lack population but still deserve representation ... instead of stupidly putting all voters in a basket and assigning based on popular vote percentage. A Democrat in small town farmland is not the same as a Democrat living in public housing working in a service industry. It’s by design reflective of areas instead of state populations.


1) That is literally what one is doing when making a whole city, or such a large part of it, a single district. Let's not pretend urban areas are homogeneous and every group and region actually gets represented by having "the urban district" like we see with Alabama here.
2) One wants to represent people, not land. I'm not saying get rid of rural districts, they still get house seats. Just not so disproportionately many.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
December 13 2017 19:29 GMT
#190258
On December 14 2017 04:12 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 04:05 Mohdoo wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:44 Danglars wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.



Can you elaborate on what you mean by "undue"? I understand what you mean by saying if, for example, Seattle 100% determined all Washington representation.

But the idea that 100,000 urban folks should have the same representation as 10,000 rural is still a little silly. It shouldn't be equal. It should be skewed to make 10,000 not so powerless, but we need to keep in mind we are aiming to represent people here. Some counties, while very large, are mostly made up of cattle and other agricultural stuff. It is important to keep in mind that the goal is still to represent humans, not land. The Seattle issue is certainly an issue, but the solution is not to say these miniscule counties should get totally equal representation.

Thats not whats being argued. Can we at least agree that there is a practical issue where it would be a lot easier to do campaigning in Seattle then to campaign in rural areas? No ones asking for a 10:1 split on equal power people just don't want to be ignored like a lot of people even in this thread want rual people to be.


So then what is being argued? What *should* the conversion be?

The solution to representing rural America is not without it's problems. What ratio is fair?
raNazUra
Profile Joined December 2012
United States10 Posts
December 13 2017 19:30 GMT
#190259
On December 14 2017 04:17 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:50 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:44 Danglars wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.


If more than half your state by population is rural, then winning those districts will still get you more house representation.
How is that unfair?


Because rural areas lack population but still deserve representation ... instead of stupidly putting all voters in a basket and assigning based on popular vote percentage. A Democrat in small town farmland is not the same as a Democrat living in public housing working in a service industry. It’s by design reflective of areas instead of state populations.

I think my main issue with this statement is that I think this is the fact that we already have the House and the Senate. In my mind, the House is the body that provides the ideal (in the ideological sense, not the optimal sense) of 'one person, one vote', while the Senate is the body that says "This geographical area (i.e. a state) gets equal votes with its neighbors" or 'one state, one vote'. The founding fathers decided it was a good idea to balance between those two, and I do think it's still reasonable, but when we're talking about one of them in isolation, like the House, then we should be thinking about what that body in particular is supposed to represent.

Long story short, I would disagree with your last sentence, and say that the Senate is by design reflective of areas instead of populations, and we're talking about House districts.
Speak the truth, even if your voice shakes
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
December 13 2017 19:32 GMT
#190260
On December 14 2017 04:05 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 03:44 Danglars wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:34 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:23 brian wrote:
On December 14 2017 03:21 ticklishmusic wrote:
Oh, this is pretty insane. The 7th district includes basically all 3 major urban areas plus the Black Belt in AK. Probably like 40% of the population and over half the state's economic output.

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/940953688071462915

idk if i’m a total idiot or anything but that doesn’t really shout ‘gerrymandered’ to me. of course the biggest cities are going to vote democrat and hold a significant portion of an otherwise unpopjlous state. and i mean there’s only so many ways to draw a map. that the rest of the map was so evenly split, to me, speaks to some very equitable lines. the only questionable piece is that odd leg through 6, and just *how* red 4 is (knowing nothing of the area though there might be an explanation i’m i aware of.)


It's gerrymandered because it means that seats (what you are trying to win) are assigned to the regions people vote in such a way that as many democratic voters are looking to vote for 1 seat as possible. So even if you theoretically were to have dems somehow take ~70% of the vote (with most of it in district 7), they'd still get only 1/7 seats.

Basically, let all the dems take 1 district uncontested, but claim all the others.
"Fair" representation would be where the number of seats assigned to each party matches the vote percentages, or something to that effect (say, if 40% of people vote Dem, then ~3/7 seats should be blue).

The entire electoral college system favours republicans in this way ("state" as well as headcount contribute to EC votes per state, so more people in a state actually means those people have less EC representation).

You still have a problem with fairness. Your system would mean densely populated urban centers get undue influence over rural Americans. National party then comes in, ignores the pop outside urban centers because they don’t get many seats, and the House of Representatives are only representative of big cities. Pretty unfair.



Can you elaborate on what you mean by "undue"? I understand what you mean by saying if, for example, Seattle 100% determined all Washington representation.

But the idea that 100,000 urban folks should have the same representation as 10,000 rural is still a little silly. It shouldn't be equal. It should be skewed to make 10,000 not so powerless, but we need to keep in mind we are aiming to represent people here. Some counties, while very large, are mostly made up of cattle and other agricultural stuff. It is important to keep in mind that the goal is still to represent humans, not land. The Seattle issue is certainly an issue, but the solution is not to say these miniscule counties should get totally equal representation.

Did you read his proposal of popular vote deciding proportional representation? That’s what unduly influences dense population centers.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
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