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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 9510

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
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TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-13 15:18:28
December 13 2017 15:15 GMT
#190181
It's hard to raise money for impossible races, but it's even harder to convince talented people to throw themselves into the torturous hell that is modern federal congressional campaigning when they will lose 65-35. Especially against incumbents. That's why wins like last night (and the Virginia governor win, and various congressional near misses) are important.

I mean, part of why Jones ran is likely that none of the R options were great here. Moore is a garbage fire of a candidate even before the underage girl stuff, what with being forcibly removed from the state Supreme Court twice and barely squeaking in (relative to the Alabama norm) the second time.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 13 2017 15:16 GMT
#190182
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
December 13 2017 15:19 GMT
#190183
On December 13 2017 23:57 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2017 23:55 kollin wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:51 farvacola wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:50 kollin wrote:
Is it common for either party to give up contesting seats if they don't think they have a chance? Do Republicans commonly not contest firmly blue seats?

Depends on the district in question, but Democrats tend to give up on difficult races moreso than Republicans.

Are resources so limited for Democrats that they feel they need to do this? It seems absolutely insane to me not to just run someone, and I can't help but feel that it's no wonder the general 'message' of the Democrats isn't penetrating particular areas if they literally abandon the democratic process like that.

Chalk it up to how impotent the DNC has become, though the across the board weakening of unions is also at fault here. Hopefully, Jones' win will shake up establishment attitudes towards ostensibly long shot races.

If they can win in Alabama, they can win anywhere with a good candidate.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 13 2017 15:22 GMT
#190184
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22132 Posts
December 13 2017 15:28 GMT
#190185
On December 14 2017 00:19 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2017 23:57 farvacola wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:55 kollin wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:51 farvacola wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:50 kollin wrote:
Is it common for either party to give up contesting seats if they don't think they have a chance? Do Republicans commonly not contest firmly blue seats?

Depends on the district in question, but Democrats tend to give up on difficult races moreso than Republicans.

Are resources so limited for Democrats that they feel they need to do this? It seems absolutely insane to me not to just run someone, and I can't help but feel that it's no wonder the general 'message' of the Democrats isn't penetrating particular areas if they literally abandon the democratic process like that.

Chalk it up to how impotent the DNC has become, though the across the board weakening of unions is also at fault here. Hopefully, Jones' win will shake up establishment attitudes towards ostensibly long shot races.

If they can win in Alabama, they can win anywhere with a good candidate.

Was this the Dems having a good candidate or the Republicans have a possibly the worst candidate they could have ever found?

My money is on the latter.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-13 15:30:52
December 13 2017 15:30 GMT
#190186
On December 14 2017 00:28 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 00:19 Plansix wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:57 farvacola wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:55 kollin wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:51 farvacola wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:50 kollin wrote:
Is it common for either party to give up contesting seats if they don't think they have a chance? Do Republicans commonly not contest firmly blue seats?

Depends on the district in question, but Democrats tend to give up on difficult races moreso than Republicans.

Are resources so limited for Democrats that they feel they need to do this? It seems absolutely insane to me not to just run someone, and I can't help but feel that it's no wonder the general 'message' of the Democrats isn't penetrating particular areas if they literally abandon the democratic process like that.

Chalk it up to how impotent the DNC has become, though the across the board weakening of unions is also at fault here. Hopefully, Jones' win will shake up establishment attitudes towards ostensibly long shot races.

If they can win in Alabama, they can win anywhere with a good candidate.

Was this the Dems having a good candidate or the Republicans have a possibly the worst candidate they could have ever found?

My money is on the latter.


Honestly both. I think Jones' connections with civil rights advocacy was a major part in turning out the black vote here.
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9639 Posts
December 13 2017 15:34 GMT
#190187
On December 14 2017 00:28 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 00:19 Plansix wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:57 farvacola wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:55 kollin wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:51 farvacola wrote:
On December 13 2017 23:50 kollin wrote:
Is it common for either party to give up contesting seats if they don't think they have a chance? Do Republicans commonly not contest firmly blue seats?

Depends on the district in question, but Democrats tend to give up on difficult races moreso than Republicans.

Are resources so limited for Democrats that they feel they need to do this? It seems absolutely insane to me not to just run someone, and I can't help but feel that it's no wonder the general 'message' of the Democrats isn't penetrating particular areas if they literally abandon the democratic process like that.

Chalk it up to how impotent the DNC has become, though the across the board weakening of unions is also at fault here. Hopefully, Jones' win will shake up establishment attitudes towards ostensibly long shot races.

If they can win in Alabama, they can win anywhere with a good candidate.

Was this the Dems having a good candidate or the Republicans have a possibly the worst candidate they could have ever found?

My money is on the latter.


this seems like the easiest and most sensible conclusion, but they did elect trump by a landslide.

On December 14 2017 00:22 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/940955920967880704

some real ground breaking politics. you mean you want qualified politicians in public office? well shit, it’s a new dawn.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
December 13 2017 15:40 GMT
#190188
Perhaps what one could learn from all this is that it’s not just about the other person sucking but also about finding people who genuinely want to vote for you, not just reluctantly, and getting them to vote. I know it’s easy to play the shitty game of identity politics and “have you seen the other guy” but Jones did what both Trump and Sanders did to fight well above their weight class: they inspired key voting blocs to turn out in droves for them.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10856 Posts
December 13 2017 15:45 GMT
#190189
Good candidate vs absolutely horrible prick.

That this was even close is still scary. I guess many people in Alabama now feel a bit like democrats felt when Trump got elected ^^.
KOFgokuon
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States14908 Posts
December 13 2017 15:49 GMT
#190190
wow 97% of black women that's insane, wonder if that's higher than obama in 2012. data isn't easy to find
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 13 2017 15:55 GMT
#190191
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
December 13 2017 15:57 GMT
#190192
On December 14 2017 00:40 LegalLord wrote:
Perhaps what one could learn from all this is that it’s not just about the other person sucking but also about finding people who genuinely want to vote for you, not just reluctantly, and getting them to vote. I know it’s easy to play the shitty game of identity politics and “have you seen the other guy” but Jones did what both Trump and Sanders did to fight well above their weight class: they inspired key voting blocs to turn out in droves for them.

Isn't inspiring key voting blocs to turn out an extremely euphemistic way of saying identity politics?
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9639 Posts
December 13 2017 15:58 GMT
#190193
On December 14 2017 00:55 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/JoeMyGod/status/940643564068966402

as if there would be a world in which those events would play out well for her or the WH
Sadist
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States7326 Posts
December 13 2017 15:59 GMT
#190194
Alabama just looks like a turnout issue for Republicans due to the candidate.

Probably like the general election for Hillary.

The 74% of white men who voted for Moore is frustrating. I see that kinda divide in my workplace in Michigan. Its really hard to convince these guys not to vote republican. They dont have much empathy unless an issue directly affects them personally. Only then do they ever seem to change their mind.

Its like they grew up without all of the empathy training people normally get as children.
How do you go from where you are to where you want to be? I think you have to have an enthusiasm for life. You have to have a dream, a goal and you have to be willing to work for it. Jim Valvano
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
December 13 2017 16:04 GMT
#190195
On December 14 2017 00:57 kollin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 00:40 LegalLord wrote:
Perhaps what one could learn from all this is that it’s not just about the other person sucking but also about finding people who genuinely want to vote for you, not just reluctantly, and getting them to vote. I know it’s easy to play the shitty game of identity politics and “have you seen the other guy” but Jones did what both Trump and Sanders did to fight well above their weight class: they inspired key voting blocs to turn out in droves for them.

Isn't inspiring key voting blocs to turn out an extremely euphemistic way of saying identity politics?

Only if you already intended to say identity politics in the first place and want to shoehorn it in.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
December 13 2017 16:09 GMT
#190196
On December 14 2017 00:57 kollin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 00:40 LegalLord wrote:
Perhaps what one could learn from all this is that it’s not just about the other person sucking but also about finding people who genuinely want to vote for you, not just reluctantly, and getting them to vote. I know it’s easy to play the shitty game of identity politics and “have you seen the other guy” but Jones did what both Trump and Sanders did to fight well above their weight class: they inspired key voting blocs to turn out in droves for them.

Isn't inspiring key voting blocs to turn out an extremely euphemistic way of saying identity politics?

yes;
most people who use the term identity politics use it as a pejorative in an unjustified way that ignores the reality of how politics works and the extent to which much of politics is identity politics.
basically, these days most people usin the term "identity politics" in a serious fashion are spouting nonsense and/or complainin gbecause it's about identity groups they don't like.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9639 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-13 16:27:07
December 13 2017 16:12 GMT
#190197
On December 14 2017 01:04 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 00:57 kollin wrote:
On December 14 2017 00:40 LegalLord wrote:
Perhaps what one could learn from all this is that it’s not just about the other person sucking but also about finding people who genuinely want to vote for you, not just reluctantly, and getting them to vote. I know it’s easy to play the shitty game of identity politics and “have you seen the other guy” but Jones did what both Trump and Sanders did to fight well above their weight class: they inspired key voting blocs to turn out in droves for them.

Isn't inspiring key voting blocs to turn out an extremely euphemistic way of saying identity politics?

Only if you already intended to say identity politics in the first place and want to shoehorn it in.

in what way do you intend people to woo these key blocs if not identity politics? do you think black people or women have special fiscal interests that motivate them to vote? (genuinely asking)

it’s hard for me to separate social policy from identity politics, but that may also be conflated by the difference in opinion of the two sides on almost every social issue of the day.

train below cites universal issues but i’d be interested in which of them (that are relevant today) wouldn’t be considered identity politics? does healthcare even fit the bill anymore here? yea nvm i’ve basically just talked to myself out loud here
Trainrunnef
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States601 Posts
December 13 2017 16:14 GMT
#190198
On December 14 2017 01:04 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2017 00:57 kollin wrote:
On December 14 2017 00:40 LegalLord wrote:
Perhaps what one could learn from all this is that it’s not just about the other person sucking but also about finding people who genuinely want to vote for you, not just reluctantly, and getting them to vote. I know it’s easy to play the shitty game of identity politics and “have you seen the other guy” but Jones did what both Trump and Sanders did to fight well above their weight class: they inspired key voting blocs to turn out in droves for them.

Isn't inspiring key voting blocs to turn out an extremely euphemistic way of saying identity politics?

Only if you already intended to say identity politics in the first place and want to shoehorn it in.


You dont have to play identity politics to get people to turn out and vote, you have to inspire them. There are plenty of universal issues that need to be addressed, and can be addressed without going off the deep end.
I am, therefore I pee
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 13 2017 16:19 GMT
#190199
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15742 Posts
December 13 2017 16:20 GMT
#190200
Anyone know much about the nitty gritty that went into the decision making to go all-in on Alabama for democrats? I can't help but imagine this was not a straightforward decision. This must have been a hotly debated topic. If this is the work of Perez, consider my hat tipped.

With democrats usually being so cynical and hopeless, the fact that democrats even tried speaks volumes to me. Alabama is Alabama. This wasn't a blowout. 49.9 to 48.4 clearly shows Jones would have lost without the enormous effort to help him win.

After losing Wisconsin, I must admit I had almost zero faith in the DNC. My interest is piqued.
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